Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Cowboys vs. Panthers Odds
Looking for Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers free NFL Week 11 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cowboys taking on the Panthers on Sunday, November 19th at the Bank of America Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Dallas Carolina matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(6-3) Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers (1-8)
Date: Sunday, November 19th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte NC
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Dallas -10.5 | Carolina +10.5
Week 11 NFL Moneyline Odds: Dallas -588 | Carolina +422
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
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Before we cover anything to do with this matchup let’s take a second to talk about the Cowboys defense.
In just one word, the Giants’ performance on Sunday was SUFFOCATING. Despite having Danny DeVito (yes I know) as quarterback, the team struggled immensely. Shockingly, the Giants averaged a dismal 1.2 YPP throughout the 1st half.
Barkley, managed only 7 carries for a single yard in the first half. Devito completed just 4-of-9 passes, gaining a mere 24 yards. Slayton was the sole pass-catcher with multiple receptions and over 10 receiving yards during the initial half.
I certainly hope that got Frank Reich’s attention for this week, or we could have a sequel on our hands.
Last season, the Cowboys and Panthers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Panthers have the leg up at 2-1.
The Panthers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 44 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
I’m not reading too much into the Cowboys win last week.
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Last week the Cowboys entered the matchup as 17-point favorites, boasting an impressive 11-game winning streak at AT&T Stadium, coupled with a formidable five-game winning streak against the Giants. What happened, was supposed to happen, and it did happen.
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Dallas Cowboys
On the road, the Cowboys have a record of 2-3 this season and are 6-3 overall. When looking at the standings, Dallas is 6th in the NFC and 2nd in the NFC-East. On the road, Dallas has gone 2-3 thus far.
Taking a look at the Cowboys’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +11.6. This has resulted in an ATS record of 6-3.
Key to the Cowboys’ win, was the fact that they got off to a good start in the first-quarter. Dallas scored 7 points in the opening period. Overall, the Cowboys had 640 yards of offense compared to the Giants at 172.
Going into the game, Dallas was favored by 17.5 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Dak Prescott threw for four touchdowns and ran for 1 score. Prescott completed 74% of his passes for 404 yards.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Versus the Giants, the Cowboys turned to the run 33 times, and it was Rico Dowdle who led the way with 79 yards. Meanwhile, Dak Prescott finished with 35 pass attempts, resulting in 404 yards and a passer rating of 138.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Cowboys currently hold an average of 29.9 points per game, which places them at 2nd in the NFL.
Heading into this week’s matchup with the Panthers, the Cowboys defense has given up an average of 18.3 points per game.
They are currently 14th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 275.1 yards per contest.
Carolina Panthers
This week will be the Panthers’ 7th game against an NFC opponent.
Their overall record is 1-8 while going 0-6 against other teams in the NFC. In the standings, Carolina is 4th in the division and 16th in the NFC.
Looking at the Panthers’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at -9.9. This has led to an ATS record of 1-6-2.
To open the game, the Panthers put up 7 points and held the early lead, but still couldn’t go on to win. Offensively, Carolina finished with 213 yards of offense, while on the defensive side of the ball they allowed 295 yards.
Each team finished with a push against the spread, as Carolina was the 3 point underdog. Bryce Young did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 21 of 38 passes for 185 yards.
Young ended the game with a passer rating of 68.
Carolina Panthers Stats
Carolina’s offense produced a total of 213 yards against the Bears. When it came to third downs, the Panthers had a conversion rate of 20%.
The leading rusher for the Panthers was Chuba Hubbard with 23 yards, and Bryce Young contributed 185 passing yards.
Carolina’s offense is 26th in the league, with an average of 17 points per contest.
The Panthers’ defense, so far, has an average of 308.3 yards given up per game and 26.9 points per contest (27th).
Leading up to the game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 65.6% and 11 passing touchdowns. In terms of stopping the run, they are 26th in the NFL.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Panthers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Cowboys are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Panthers have gone 3-6-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cowboys’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Panthers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Cowboys vs. Panthers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | -390 | -571 | -8.5 | -10.5 |
| Panthers | +310 | +416 | +8.5 | +10.5 |
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Carolina +10.5
I know Prescott is playing the best football of his career, but this game is the dreaded let down game, and here’s why. The Panthers haven’t played for 10 days. They’re rested, they’ve had 3 extra days to game plan, and they’ll play with high effort.
I like the TE’s to be a factor in this game. Carolina has two good ones in Tremble and Hurst. The Cowboys have allowed 16 TD’s in the L5 games, and 5 of them have been to TE’s. (Look for some TE props out there at your book)
Defensively, Carolina looked good in their most recent game vs. Chicago. Also, Dallas are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
For this week’s best bet, I like Carolina to cover with the line currently sitting at +10.5.
The UNDER has hit in 4 of Carolina’s last 5 games at home. So, if you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing below 42 points.
For this game, my money is on the under.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina’s last 10, and in 4 of Carolina’s last 6 games against Dallas.
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Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Another TE could keep Big D on their toes
Jaycee Horn and Ian Thomas are designated to return from IRhttps://t.co/5SmhkEu8nu
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) November 13, 2023
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