Free NFL Wild Card Round Pick: Browns vs. Texans Odds
Looking for Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans free Wild Card Round picks & NFL odds? NFL playoff betting sees the Browns taking on the Texans on Saturday, January 13th at the NRG Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Super Wildcard Weekend games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Cleveland Houston matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Wild Card Round
(11-6, 10-6-1 ATS) Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans (10-7, 9-8 ATS)
2024 Super Wildcard Weekend
Date: Saturday, January 13th
Time: 4:30 ET
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston TX
NFL Wild Card Round ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Cleveland -2.5 | Houston +2.5
Wild Card Moneyline Odds: Cleveland -143 | Houston +118
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44
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Isn’t this an intriguing matchup? We’re witnessing an unexpectedly entertaining clash between two surprising playoff contenders. Initially favored by Vegas to make the postseason, the Browns have endured a tumultuous quarterback situation, now turning to Joe Flacco for this game.
Meanwhile, Houston has displayed strength against the run but faced difficulties defending against the pass in recent outings.
In the first meeting between the Browns and Texans, the Browns came away with a 36-22 win. Taking the point spread into account, Browns were the favorites by -3 and they covered it with a 14 point victory.
Before the game, the over/under line was set at 40 points, a mark that the teams exceeded.
The Texans and Browns have faced off 14 times in their rivalry, resulting in an even split of 7 wins for each team.
Cleveland has won four straight in this series since November 2020, including the last two games at NRG Stadium. Conversely, the Texans hold a solid 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 vs. the Browns.
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Cleveland Browns
The last time these two met, the Browns prevailed in Week 16, with seasoned veterans Flacco and Cooper shining. Flacco completed 27 of 42 passes for 368 yards and 3 TD’s, while Cooper had 11 receptions for 265 yards and 2 TD’s.
In their game against the Texans, the Browns will aim to improve their 11-6 record. This positions them 2nd in the AFC-North and 5th in the AFC. The Browns’ scoring margin for the season is currently +2.
This has contributed to their ATS record of 10-6-1.
In their loss to the Bengals, Cleveland didn’t put up any points in the first quarter. The Browns totaled 244 yards on offense while allowing 328 yards on defense.
Cleveland’s 17 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 7.5 point underdogs. Of course they sat most of their starters in this one.
Jeff Driskel threw for 166 yards while completing 50% of his passes and throwing for 166. Driskel threw for two touchdowns.
Cleveland Browns Stats
Versus the Bengals, the Browns finished with 24 rushing attempts, and Pierre Strong Jr. led the way with 65 yards. Meanwhile, Driskel had 26 pass attempts, resulting in 166 yards and a passer rating of 63.
On offense, the Browns are at 23.3 points per game, putting them 10th in the NFL.
With a matchup against the Texans’ offense, the Browns defense has allowed an average of 21.3 points per game so far. They currently are 11th in quarterback hits and are allowing 270.2 yards per contest.
Houston Texans
The last time these two met, CJ Stroud missed the Week 16 clash, but he’s poised to lead Houston in this opener. He’s a Rookie of the Year hopeful, and is one of the main reasons why the Texans’ offense is on the “up and up”, He tossed 4,108 yards, 23 TD’s , and only 5 INT’s.
Houston is currently 1st in the AFC-South this season, with an overall record of 10-7.
In games outside the conference, they are 3-2 and in AFC games, they’ve gone 7-5. Thus far this season, the Texans hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 9-8.
Their average scoring margin in the current season is +1.4.
Key to the Texans’ win in Week 18 versus the Colts, was the fact that they got off to a good start in the first-quarter. Houston scored 7 points in the opening period. Overall, the Texans had 306 yards of offense.
Going into the game, Houston was favored by 1.5 and went on to cover the spread. C.J. Stroud threw for 264 yards while completing 76% of his passes and throwing for 264.
Stroud threw for two touchdowns.
Houston Texans Stats
On offense the Colts finished with 28 rushing attempts, and Devin Singletary was the leading rusher with 63 yards. In the passing game, Stroud threw the ball 26 times, accumulating 264 yards and a passer rating of 134.
For this season, the Houston offense has an average of 22.2 points per game, placing them at 12th in the league.
On the defensive side of the ball, Houston currently ranks 11th in points allowed.
Their opponents have been averaging 20.8 points per game while gaining 330.7 yards per contest.
Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Browns are 5-0 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Texans are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Browns are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Texans have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Browns’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Texans’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Browns vs. Texans Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | -139 | -148 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Texans | +116 | +122 | +2.5 | +2.5 |
4* Free Wildcard NFL Betting Prediction: Houston +2.5
A few weeks ago, Cleveland dominated the game, leading 36-7 with slightly over 6 minutes remaining. However, the Texans managed to score two late TD’s, resulting in a final score of 36-22.
My pick on the spread is Houston at +2.5. I’m expecting the Houston rushing attack to exploit the weaknesses in Cleveland’s rush defense.
In recent NFL trends, Cleveland has struggled with a 2-7 ATS record against Houston and a 2-5 ATS record when playing on the road against them. Additionally, they have a 1-4 ATS record in January games.
Houston shines with a 4-2 ATS record overall, a 5-2 ATS record when hosting Cleveland, and an impressive 6-2 ATS record as underdogs.
My play for this game is Houston at +2.5. I am however taking the Browns to win straight up!
With the over/under line sitting at 44, I’m getting a bet down on the under.
The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Cleveland and Houston finishing with a combined 41 points.
In recent NFL matchups, Houston has consistently seen the total go UNDER, with 6 of their last 8 games and 10 of their last 13 against Cleveland going below the set total.
Additionally, at home, 4 of their last 5 games have resulted in UNDER outcomes.
Browns Texans NFL Handicapping
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Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/HoustonTexans/status/1744728422419730611
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