Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Browns vs. Bengals Odds
Looking for Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Browns taking on the Bengals on Sunday, December 22nd at the Paycor Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Cleveland Cincinnati matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(3-11) Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals (6-8)
Date: Sunday, December 22nd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati OH
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Cleveland +7 | Cincinnati -7
NFL Moneyline Odds: Cleveland +262 | Cincinnati -331
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48
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Week 16 NFL action brings us a classic AFC North rivalry as the Browns visit the Bengals in a matchup brimming with storylines and betting intrigue.
Historically, Cincinnati has owned this series, leading 54-48 overall and a dominant 33-18 at home. Their last clash, however, went Cleveland’s way in emphatic fashion, a 24-3 beatdown back in September.
Fast forward to December, and the stakes feel different. The Bengals, at 6-8, are fighting to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, while the 3-11 Browns are playing for pride—and maybe a spoiler role.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Bengals have the leg up at 2-1. The Bengals also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 35 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
The betting lines tell the story: Cincinnati is favored by a touchdown, reflecting their steadier form.
Cleveland Browns
With a 3-11 record, the Browns sit 4th in the AFC North and 25th in our power rankings. Cleveland has lost three straight, including a 21-7 defeat to the Chiefs in week 15. They were unable to cover the 4-point spread, and the 28 combined points fell short of the 41-point line.
The Browns have a -8.4 scoring margin and are 4-10 against the spread. They are 0-4 as favorites and 4-6 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-8, with the under hitting in two straight games.
Cleveland Browns Stats
Heading into week 16, the Browns are 31st in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (39) but are 17th in passing yards, averaging 217.5 per game. After a 497-yard, 4-touchdown game in week 13, Jameis Winston threw for 212 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 14, followed by a 146-yard, 3-interception performance in week 15.
Jerry Jeudy had 11 catches for 108 yards in week 15, and Jerome Ford rushed for 84 yards on 7 carries. Cleveland ranks 27th in points per game (17.1) and 22nd in yards per game (309.6). They are 30th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (28.6%).
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In their 21-7 loss to the Chiefs, the Browns’ defense gave up 132 rushing yards on 35 attempts, but they did not allow any sacks. The Browns’ defense held the Chiefs to 4.5 yards per attempt. Overall, the defense gave up 311 yards, with 179 yards coming through the air. The Browns also allowed the Chiefs to convert on 38.9% of their third down attempts and hit 52.5% of their passes. The Browns’ defense also gave up two passing touchdowns.
Cincinnati Bengals
With two consecutive wins, the Bengals have improved to 6-8 on the season. After a week 13 loss to the Steelers, Cincinnati bounced back with road victories over the Cowboys (27-20) and Titans (37-27). They were favored in both games and covered the spread each time, including a 10-point win over Tennessee as 6-point favorites.
Heading into week 16, the Bengals have a +0.9 scoring margin and are 8-6 ATS. They rank 17th in our NFL power rankings and have a 6% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 10-4, with their games averaging 56.1 points per game.
Cincinnati Bengals Stats
Joe Burrow has thrown for 271 yards in week 15, with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, completing 26 of 37 passes. He had a passer rating of 95 against the Titans. Burrow’s top target, Ja’Marr Chase, had 9 catches for 94 yards, while Chase Brown led the rushing attack with 97 yards on 25 carries.
Heading into week 16, the Bengals rank 6th in our offensive power rankings. They are 5th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28.5, and lead the league in passing yards per game with 271.4. On 3rd down, they have a conversion rate of 47.5%, which ranks 4th in the NFL.
Despite allowing the Titans to convert on 62.5% of their third downs, the Bengals’ defense came up with four interceptions in their 37-27 win over Tennessee. They gave up 291 passing yards and 83 yards on the ground, with Tennessee finishing with 374 total yards. The Bengals also allowed Tennessee to complete 76.3% of their passes.
Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Browns are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bengals are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Browns are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bengals have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Browns’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Bengals’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Browns vs. Bengals Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns | +145 | +262 | +3.5 | +7 |
| Bengals | -175 | -331 | -3.5 | -7 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Cleveland +7
The Bengals are 6-3 against the spread in their last nine games and thrive in December, winning 11 of their last 14 games outright during the month.
Meanwhile, Cleveland has struggled mightily, going 1-5 ATS and SU in their last six games and posting a dismal 5-15 ATS in their last 20 meetings with the Bengals.
With Paycor Stadium providing the backdrop, expect Cincinnati’s balanced offense and opportunistic defense to challenge Cleveland’s inconsistent unit.
Our pick vs. the spread in this Browns vs. Bengals matchup is to take the Bengals to cover as home favorites. The current line has the Bengals -7, and we have them winning by a score of 34-16.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 48 points, we like the over, projecting a combined score of 50 points.
Rivalry games are rarely predictable, but the numbers—and momentum—point strongly toward the home team in this one. Buckle up for a gritty divisional clash!
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Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
The Battle of Ohio: Round 2… otw.
Weekday Work | @IEL_LLC pic.twitter.com/JBVw4Wpk8g
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) December 19, 2024
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