Free NFL Week 18 Pick: Browns vs. Bengals Odds
Looking for Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals free NFL Week 18 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Browns taking on the Bengals on Sunday, January 7th at the Paycor Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 18 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Cleveland Cincinnati matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 18
(11-5) Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals (8-8)
Date: Sunday, January 7th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati OH
NFL Week 18 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Cleveland +5 | Cincinnati -5
Week 18 NFL Moneyline Odds: Cleveland +181 | Cincinnati -225
NFL Betting Total: O/U 39.5
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Kevin Stefanski deserves coach of the year for guiding this injury-riddled Browns team to the playoffs, and Joe Flacco’s career revival is truly remarkable.
The Bengals’ playoff hopes were dashed with a loss to the Chiefs. Despite losing Joe Burrow for the season, the Bengals kept fighting, but the Jake Browning experiment ran its course.
During their first meeting, Browns secured a 24-3 win against Bengals. On the point-spread, the Browns went in as the favorite (+-0.5) and they secured a 21 point win, picking up an ATS win.
The over/under line going into the game was 46.5 points, which the teams fell short of.
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Cleveland Browns
The Browns’ week 18 matchup vs. Cincinnati will be their 8th road game of the season. On the road, they have gone 3-4 and are 11-5 overall. In the AFC-North, Cleveland is 2nd and 5th in the AFC. The Browns hold a 10-5-1 record against the spread. As we approach week 18, their scoring margin stands at +3.2 per game.
Key to the Browns’ win, was the fact that they got off to a good start in the first-quarter. Cleveland scored 20 points in the opening period. Overall, the Browns had 428 yards of offense compared to the 360 at 360.
Going into the game, Cleveland was favored by 6.5 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Joe Flacco had a big game, throwing for 309 yards on a passer rating of 121.
Flacco completed 65% of 29 attempts in the game.
Cleveland Browns Stats
Offensively, Flacco finished with 309 passing yards while completing 65% of his passes. On the ground, the Browns ran the ball 28 times for 127 yards. The team went 5/10 on third down.
The Cleveland offense is currently positioned 8th in the league, scoring an average of 23.9 points per contest.
In terms of turnovers, the Cleveland defense has 27 takeaways, which is 3rd in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 20.7 points per game and 266.6 yards.
Cincinnati Bengals
So far this season, the Bengals are an above .500 team at home at 5-3. Heading into week 18, they are 4th in the AFC-North on an overall record of 8-8. On the road, Cincinnati has gone 3-5 thus far. Taking a look at the Bengals’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -2.2. This has resulted in an ATS record of 6-9-1.
After trailing by four at halftime, the Bengals struggled in the second half and ended up losing to the Chiefs. The Bengals’ defense allowed a total of 373 yards with 132 coming on the ground and 241 through the air.
Offensively, the Bengals averaged 3 for a total of 263 yards. Cincinnati’s 8 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 7 point underdogs.
Quarterback Jake Browning threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score. Browning completed 57% of his passes for 197 yards.
Cincinnati Bengals Stats
Against the Chiefs, the Bengals ran the ball 32 times, with Joe Mixon leading the team with 65 yards. Browning threw the ball 33 times for 197 yards and a passer rating of 85.
Offensively, the Bengals have an average of 20.9 points per game, which is 17th in the NFL.
On defense, the Bengals are currently positioned 18th in tackles for loss and 10th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 23.1 points per game and gaining 382.8 yards per contest.
Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Browns are 2-2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bengals are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Browns are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bengals have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Browns’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Bengals’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Browns vs. Bengals Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Browns | +148 | +181 | +3.5 | +5 |
Bengals | -176 | -225 | -3.5 | -5 |
4* Free Week 18 NFL Betting Prediction: Cleveland +5
The Browns will rest many key players against Cincinnati, including 39-year-old quarterback Joe Flacco, who came out of retirement to win four games in December, securing Cleveland’s third playoff appearance since 1999.
Considering Cincinnati’s recent struggles in the passing game against Kansas City, I’m not optimistic about a sudden change. That’s why I’m liking Cleveland as 5-point underdogs.
Cleveland comes into this week’s game with an average margin of +6.3 against their over/under lines. With an over/under of 39.5, our prediction is that this game will go over, resulting in a combined total of 43 points.
Browns Bengals NFL Handicapping
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Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Prepping for the Battle of Ohio.
Weekday Work | @IEL_LLC pic.twitter.com/PqYnEVjpa4
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) January 4, 2024
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