Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Bengals vs. Chargers Odds
Looking for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bengals taking on the Chargers on Sunday, November 17th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Cincinnati Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(4-6) Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers (6-3)
Date: Sunday, November 17th
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Cincinnati +1.5 | Los Angeles -1.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Cincinnati +100 | Los Angeles -120
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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The Chargers and Bengals rivalry has been played 38 times thru the years. The Chargers have come out winners 23 times. The Bengals only 15.
The last matchup was 12/5/2021. A 41-22 Chargers win in Cincinnati.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Chargers have the leg up at 3-0. The Chargers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 45 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Cincinnati Bengals
Heading into week 11, the Bengals sit 15th in our NFL power rankings, with a 36.9% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4-6 this season, including a 3-2 record on the road. In week 10, Cincinnati narrowly lost to the Ravens, but they managed to cover the spread as 6-point underdogs. The Bengals bounced back from a week 8 loss to the Eagles with a 17-point win over the Raiders in week 9.
Cincinnati is 6-4 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +0.8 points per game. Their O/U record is 7-3, with the over hitting in three straight games. Bengals games have averaged 53.2 points this season, compared to an average O/U line of 46.2 points.
Cincinnati Bengals Stats
Heading into week 11, the Bengals are 5th in our offensive power rankings and are averaging 27 points per game, which ranks 5th in the NFL. They are 12th in the league in yards per game (344.5) and 4th in passing yards per game, with 254.8 on 35.8 attempts per contest. Cincinnati has struggled in the run game, ranking 29th in rushing yards per game and 24th in attempts. They have been strong on 3rd down, converting 47.3% of their opportunities, which ranks 3rd in the NFL, but they sit 23rd in red zone conversion percentage.
Joe Burrow is coming off a 428-yard, 4-touchdown performance in week 10 against the Ravens, completing 34 of 56 passes without an interception. Ja’Marr Chase had a massive game, hauling in 11 catches for 264 yards and 3 touchdowns. Chase Brown led the team in rushing with 42 yards on 13 carries, while Burrow was sacked 3 times in the loss.
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In their 35-34 loss to the Ravens, the Bengals’ defense struggled to generate pressure, as they failed to record any sacks and lost the quarterback hit battle by a margin of -12. The Bengals allowed Baltimore to complete 75.8% of their passes for 290 yards, with four of those completions going for touchdowns. Overall, the Bengals gave up 389 total yards and allowed the Ravens to convert on 58.3% of their third down attempts.
Despite winning the tackles for loss battle, the Bengals allowed the Ravens to run for 99 yards on 25 attempts, averaging 4.0 yards per attempt. Cincinnati will need to improve their pass rush and coverage in the secondary to prevent big plays in future games.
Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers have won three straight games, including a 27-17 victory over the Titans in week 10, bringing their record to 6-3. Los Angeles currently sits 6th in the AFC and has an 88.2% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. However, they rank just 16th in our NFL power rankings. The Chargers are 6-2-1 against the spread this season, with all six of their wins coming as the favorite.
Los Angeles has a +7.6 scoring margin this season and has an O/U record of 2-7. Their games have averaged 33.8 points, while the O/U line has been 40.1. In week 10, the Chargers and Titans combined for 44 points, going over the 40-point line.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Heading into week 11, the Chargers are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 16th in the NFL in points per game (20.7) and 22nd in passing yards per game (196.4), despite being 30th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 19th in rushing yards per game (117.9) on 29.6 attempts per game. Los Angeles ranks 12th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 6th in red zone conversion percentage.
Justin Herbert has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 123 in week 10, 282 yards in week 9, and 279 yards in week 8. He avoided sacks in week 10 after being sacked 6 times in week 9. Ladd McConkey led the Chargers with 52 receiving yards in week 10, following a 118-yard performance from Quentin Johnston in week 9 and a 111-yard game from McConkey in week 8.
In the Chargers’ 27-17 win over the Titans, their defense gave up 132 rushing yards on just 21 attempts. Despite this, they allowed only 157 passing yards on 18 completions. The Titans finished with 289 total yards, and the Chargers’ defense came away with seven sacks and held Tennessee to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.
The Titans did find the endzone twice through the air, with their quarterbacks completing 78.3% of their passes. Los Angeles also won the battle in tackles for loss and led in the QB hit differential by 7.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bengals are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chargers have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bengals’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Chargers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Bengals vs. Chargers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | -130 | +100 | -2 | +1.5 |
| Chargers | +110 | -120 | +2 | -1.5 |
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles -1.5
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chargers to cover as home favorites. Even though the line is close, with the Bengals at +1.5, we have the Chargers winning 28-23 in this week 11 matchup.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 46.5 points, we have a projected score of 51 points, making the over a great pick in this one.
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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
charged up pic.twitter.com/oUN1YoVbn7
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) November 15, 2024
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