Free NFL Week 14 Pick: Bengals vs. Cowboys Odds
Looking for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Dallas Cowboys free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bengals taking on the Cowboys on Monday, December 9th at the AT&T Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Cincinnati Dallas Monday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
Monday Night Football on ESPN
(4-8) Cincinnati Bengals vs. Dallas Cowboys (5-7)
Date: Monday, December 9th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Cincinnati -5.5 | Dallas +5.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Cincinnati -240 | Dallas +197
NFL Betting Total: O/U 50.5
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Week 14’s Monday Night Football clash between the Bengals and Cowboys has all the ingredients for a thrilling prime-time showdown!
Cincinnati, riding a strong 5-1 ATS streak on the road, rolls into AT&T Stadium as 5.5-point favorites, facing a Dallas team that’s struggled to deliver against the spread, especially at home (1-7 ATS in their last eight).
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Cowboys have the leg up at 3-0. The Cowboys also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 38 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
History leans heavily toward Dallas in this series—they’ve taken 10 of the 14 meetings, including a tight 20-17 win last year—but recent trends tell a different story.
Cincinnati Bengals
Heading into week 14, the Bengals are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 44-38 home loss to the Steelers in week 13. Cincinnati was favored by 3 points but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 4-8.
This puts them 3rd in the AFC North and 10th in the conference. Our power rankings have the Bengals 15th, and they have a 2.3% chance of making the playoffs.
Against the spread, the Bengals are 6-6 this season, with an average scoring margin of -0.4 points per game. They’ve failed to cover in two straight games, including their week 13 loss to Pittsburgh. Their O/U record is 9-3, with the over hitting in five consecutive games.
Cincinnati Bengals Stats
Joe Burrow has been on a roll heading into week 14, throwing for 309 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 13, with a passer rating of 112. He had 356 yards in week 11 and 428 yards in week 10. In his last game, Burrow completed 28 of 38 passes, with one interception and 4 sacks.
Chase Brown led the rushing attack with 70 yards on 12 carries, while Ja’Marr Chase had 6 catches for 86 yards and a touchdown.
Against the Steelers in week 13, the Bengals scored 14 points in the first quarter and 14 more in the fourth. They converted 4 of 8 third downs and went 4/5 in the red zone.
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In the Bengals’ 44-38 loss to the Steelers, their defense allowed 410 passing yards on 29 completions. Pittsburgh’s passing game was very efficient, averaging 10.8 yards per attempt and completing 76.3% of their passes. Cincinnati struggled to get off the field, allowing the Steelers to convert 44.4% of their third down attempts.
Despite giving up 520 total yards, the Bengals did come up with one interception and managed two sacks.
On the ground, the Steelers ran for 110 yards on 26 attempts against Cincinnati. The Bengals also allowed three passing touchdowns and didn’t generate much pressure, losing both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.
Dallas Cowboys
After a four-game losing streak, the Cowboys have now won two in a row, including a 27-20 victory over the Giants in week 13. Dallas was a 4-point favorite in this game and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 4-8 this season.
They rank 30th in our NFL power rankings and have a -7.6 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 8-4, with the over hitting in three straight games.
Dallas is 5-7 this season, which puts them 3rd in the NFC East. They have a 3-1 division record but are just 1-5 at home, compared to 4-2 on the road. Our projections give the Cowboys a 1.1% chance of making the playoffs.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Heading into week 14, the Cowboys rank 28th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (39.9) and rank 7th in passing yards, averaging 236.8 per game. Cooper Rush threw for 195 yards (21/36) and a touchdown in week 13, after his 247-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 12.
Rico Dowdle had 22 carries for 112 yards against the Giants, and KaVontae Turpin led the team with 53 receiving yards.
Dallas ranks 24th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions (35.4%) but is 2nd in red zone conversion percentage. They scored 2 touchdowns on 4 red zone trips in week 13. The Cowboys are 20th in the league in points per game, averaging 20.7, and they rank 20th in yards per game with 322.7.
The Cowboys’ defense played well in their 27-20 win over the Giants, allowing just 131 passing yards and coming up with six sacks.
Despite giving up 116 rushing yards on 21 attempts, the defense limited the Giants to 4.1 yards per attempt through the air and to a 25% third-down conversion rate.
Forcing one interception and not allowing any passing touchdowns, the Cowboys kept the Giants’ offense in check.
They also had 11 quarterback hits and held the Giants to a total of 247 yards.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bengals are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Bengals are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cowboys have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bengals’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Cowboys’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Bengals vs. Cowboys Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | -112 | -240 | -0.5 | -5.5 |
| Cowboys | -108 | +197 | +0.5 | +5.5 |
4* Free Week 14 MNF Betting Prediction: Cincinnati -5.5
The Bengals have excelled against NFC opponents, boasting an 11-2 SU record in their last 13 such matchups, and they’re up against a Cowboys squad limping through a 3-8 ATS stretch.
Joe Burrow and company are primed to make the most of Dallas’ inconsistencies, while the Cowboys will need their home crowd to help flip the script.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Bengals to cover as road favorites. The point spread line for this week 14 matchup is at -5.5 in favor of the Cowboys. However, we have the Bengals winning by a score of 30-24.
With both defenses allowing 30+ points in 10 combined games this season, the 50.5-point total could see plenty of action.
For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the OVER, with a projected combined score of 54 points and the O/U line sitting at 50.5 points.
This game is loaded with storylines and betting angles, and as these two teams meet under the Monday night lights, bettors should expect a fast-paced, high-energy battle to cap off Week 14 in style!
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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
monday night mindset 🧘#CINvsDAL | @oakley pic.twitter.com/1UewdJnxgk
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) December 5, 2024
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