Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Bengals vs. Browns Odds
Looking for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns free NFL Week 1 regular season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bengals taking on the Browns on Sunday, September 10th at the Cleveland Browns Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Cincinnati Cleveland matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 10th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium
NFL Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Cincinnati -2 | Cleveland +2.5
Week 1 NFL Moneyline Odds: Cincinnati -138 | Cleveland +117
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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In the two head-to-head matchups last season, the Bengals and Browns each picked up one win apiece. The Bengals and Browns split their games vs. the spread last season.
Together they combined to average 39 points per contest and finished with an over/under mark of 1-0-1.
The Browns had the edge in terms of offensive yards last season, averaging 392 yards of offense compared to the Bengals at 296.
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Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals head into the season, looking to build on last year’s success.
Last year, made it to the AFC-Championship game, before a 23-20 loss to Chiefs. During the regular season, the Bengals went 12-4 and 4-3 against divisional rivals.
This placed Cincinnati 1st in the AFC-North standings.
Cincinnati Bengals Stats
Looking back to the Bengals’ 2022 season, they finished 7th in scoring at 25.7 points per game. Cincinnati was 28th in rushing yards, with an average of 95.9 yards per contest.
In terms of overall yardage, the Bengals were 10th (353.8) and finished with a red-zone conversion rate of 7.0%, which was 27th in the NFL.
When looking at how the Bengals’ defense performed on 3rd down last season, they were 19th in the NFL with opponents converting 39.6% of their 3rd down attempts.
Cincinnati finished the season 5th in turnovers and allowed an average of 19.6, putting them 5th in the NFL.
Cleveland Browns
The Browns are gearing up for the season, looking to improve on their last place finish in the AFC-North which put them 12th in the AFC. Cleveland’s cumulative record stood at 7-10, which included going 3-6 on the road and 4-4 when playing on their own turf.
When facing divisional opponents, the Browns achieved a 3-3 record.
Cleveland Browns Stats
On offense, the Browns are coming off a season in which they were 13th in yards per game and averaged 21.2 points per game (17th). In the passing attack, Cleveland was 20th in passing attempts and 22nd in passing yards.
On the ground, the Browns averaged 146.5 yards per contest (5th).
When looking at how the Browns’ defense performed on 3rd down last season, they were 18th in the NFL with opponents converting 39.5% of their 3rd down attempts.
Cleveland finished the season 9th in turnovers and allowed an average of 22.4, putting them 18th in the NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bengals are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Browns are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Bengals are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Browns have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bengals’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Browns’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Bengals vs. Browns Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | -134 | -138 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Browns | +110 | +117 | +2.5 | +2.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Cleveland +2.5
Joe Burrow is going to play, but I’m still leaning on the Browns in the season opener. This is Stefanski’s 4th year at the helm, and he knows his roster now.
Remember that Halloween game in 2022? A 32-13 W for the Dogs?
I think they have the film they need to replicate that success.
The Deshaun Watson, Amari Cooper, Nick Chubb trifecta is one I really really like. Let’s not forget about Myles Garrett to bolster the Browns D-Line. He was tied for second in the NFL with 16 sacks and he’ll be coming after Burrow all day long.
The Browns have added to their offense with Goodwin and Moore coming in, these key ingredients in addition to Peoples-Jones, Bryant, Akins, Tillman, and Njoku are more than enough to hang with the Bengals in my opinion.
Last season, teams that were favored against the spread, went on to cover at a rate of just 44.6%. I like the value in grabbing the Browns at +2.5 in their matchup vs. the Bengals.
The Browns have won 5 of the L6 between these two, and I think they’ll get it done again on Sunday.
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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/Browns/status/1699573218594742363
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