Free NFL Week 5 Pick: Bears vs. Commanders Odds
Looking for Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders free NFL Week 5 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bears taking on the Commanders on Thursday, October 5th at the FedEx Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Chicago Washington matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(0-4) Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders (2-2)
Date: Thursday, October 5th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: FedEx Field
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Chicago +6.5 | Washington -6.5
Week 5 NFL Moneyline Odds: Chicago +240 | Washington -306
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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On Thursday, October 5th, at 8:15 ET, football fans will gather at FedEx Field as the struggling (0-4) Chicago Bears take on the (2-2) Washington Commanders in this week’s Prime Video’s Thursday Night Football showdown. The Chicago Bears have had a tough start, going 0-3-1 ATS in 2023, while the Commanders hold a more balanced record of 2-2 ATS.
The betting odds for this game are Chicago +6.5 and Washington -6.5, with the Week 5 NFL Moneyline Odds favoring Chicago at +240 and Washington at -306. The NFL Betting Total stands at O/U 44.5.
In their recent games, Denver staged an impressive comeback, scoring 24 unanswered points to beat Chicago 31–28, while the Commanders suffered a close loss to their division rival Eagles, falling 34-31.
The Commanders picked up a 12-7 over the Bears in their only head-to-head matchup last season. With their combined 19 points, the Bears and Commanders stayed below the over/under line of 38.5.
The Commanders covered the spread in this matchup. Offensively, the Commanders finished with 86 passing yards and 128 rushing yards in their win over the Bears.
As for Chicago, they ended the game with 392 yards of total offense.
Stay tuned to our NFL football handicapping blog for valuable insights on this exciting matchup!
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Chicago Bears
As they face the Commanders, the Bears will be looking to improve upon their 0-4 record.
This has them positioned 4th in the NFC-North and 15th in the NFC. In terms of the spread, the Bears hold a record of 0-3-1. This has come on an average scoring margin of -15.5.
Chicago struggled with a slow start in their defeat against the Broncos, failing to register any points in the first quarter. In total, the Bears managed 471 yards on offense while allowing 311 yards on defense.
Each team finished with a push against the spread, as Chicago was the 3 point underdog. Justin Fields threw for 335 yards while completing 80% of his passes and throwing for 335. Fields threw for four touchdowns.
Chicago Bears Stats
On offense, the Bears finished with 471 yards against the Broncos. On third-down situations, the Bears had a 50% conversion rate.
Notably, Khalil Herbert led the rushing attack with 103 yards, while Justin Fields passed for 335 yards.
This season, the Chicago offense has an average of 18.8 points, placing them 21st in the league.
When it comes to defense, the Bears have given up 267.8 passing yards and 115.5 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Chicago ranks 13th among other defenses. Coming into week 5, they have allowed 34.2 points per game and 383.2 yards.
Washington Commanders
This week will be the Commanders’ 3rd home game of the season. So far, they have put together a record of 1-1 at home and 1-1 on the road. Their overall mark of 2-2 has them sitting 3rd in the NFC-East. The Commanders have put together a record of 2-2 against the spread.
This mark has come on an average scoring margin of -7.8.
Despite slightly cutting into their seven-point halftime deficit, the Commanders still lost to the Eagles. On offense, the Commanders finished with 365 on 4 yards per play. On the other end, the Eagles ran the ball 27 times for 104 yards.
The Eagles finished with 415 yards of total offense. Even though Washington lost the game straight-up, they did cover the spread as 9-point underdogs. Sam Howell threw for 290 yards while completing 70% of his passes and throwing for 290.
Howell threw for one touchdown.
Washington Commanders Stats
Against the Eagles, the Commanders ran the ball 28 times, with Brian Robinson Jr. leading the team with 45 yards. Sam Howell threw the ball 41 times for 290 yards and a passer rating of 98.
This season, the Washington offense has an average of 22.2 points, placing them 16th in the league.
The Commanders are 21st in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 352.5 yards per contest. Washington’s defense comes in with an average of 30 points per game allowed, which is 26th in the NFL.
Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bears are 0-4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Commanders are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Commanders have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bears’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Commanders’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Bears vs. Commanders Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bears | +176 | +231 | +4.5 | +6.5 |
Commanders | -210 | -294 | -4.5 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Chicago +6.5
My point spread pick for this Bears vs. Commanders game is siding with the Bears to cover on the road. At present, they are 6.5-point underdogs, and I anticipate them covering this spread.
Just a small play on the spread. My more preferred play is on the total.
Love the play on the UNDER this week.
With the over/under line for this week’s game being higher than the lines for all of Washington’s previous games, I’m going with the under.
The Bears can run the ball again! They’ll have to run this week against Washington. For under bettors that’s music to our ears. That clock keeps moving.
We’ve seen the over under go UNDER in 7 of the last 7 games for Washington, and in 13 of the Commanders L19 games, and the NFL total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago’s last 6 games against an opponent in the NFC East.
We believe this line is a little high for these teams, and our prediction is that the game will not exceed 44.5 points. In fact, my model has it coming in around 37.
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Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
A NFC clash is brewing in Washington 🐻🇺🇸
🏈: @ChicagoBears vs. @Commanders | #TNFonPrime
📺: Thursday, 7 PM ET only on @PrimeVideo pic.twitter.com/eQcNe1Smk8— NFL on Prime Video (@NFLonPrime) October 3, 2023
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