Free NFL Week 8 Pick: Bears vs. Commanders Odds
Looking for Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bears taking on the Commanders on Sunday, October 27th at the Northwest Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Chicago Washington matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(4-2) Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders (5-2)
Date: Sunday, October 27th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Chicago -1.5 | Washington +1.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Chicago -129 | Washington +108
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43.5
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Get ready for some Week 8 NFL fireworks as the Chicago Bears take on the Washington Commanders in a matchup dripping with history and excitement!
These two teams have clashed 53 times, with Washington holding a slim 27-25 edge (plus one tie), but the Bears got the better of them last year in a dominant 40-20 win.
Now, we’re all waiting to see if rookie QBs Daniels and Williams will go head-to-head, but Daniels’ status is still up in the air, making this game even more intriguing for bettors.
The last year’s 60 combined points in the game surpassed the over/under line of 45 points.
Chicago Bears
The Bears head into week 8 on a three-game winning streak, which includes a 35-16 win over the Jaguars in week 6. This puts them at 4-2, with both losses coming on the road. Chicago is 4-0 at home this season. Despite their winning record, the Bears are 4th in the NFC North, but they have a +7.8 scoring margin and rank 12th in our NFL power rankings.
Chicago has a 39.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.2% chance of winning the division. Against the spread, the Bears are 5-1, including three straight wins. Their O/U record is 3-3, with the over hitting in three consecutive games.
Chicago Bears Stats
Caleb Williams has been on fire for the Bears, posting impressive passer ratings in his last three games: 106 in week 4, 126 in week 5, and 124 in week 6. Against the Jaguars in week 6, he threw for 226 yards and 4 touchdowns, completing 23 of 29 passes. D’Andre Swift led the rushing attack with 91 yards on 17 carries, while Cole Kmet had 5 receptions for 70 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Heading into week 8, Chicago ranks 10th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 24.7. They are 20th in passing yards per game (196.7) and 23rd in rushing yards per game (104.8). On 3rd down, they convert 35.4% of the time, which ranks 21st in the league.
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In their 35-16 win over the Jaguars, the Bears’ defense allowed just 3.4 yards per attempt on 20 rushing attempts, giving up a total of 68 rushing yards. They also recorded four sacks and came away with one interception. Despite this, they allowed Jacksonville to convert on 46.7% of their third down attempts.
In the passing game, the Bears gave up 210 yards through the air, with the Jaguars completing 24 passes. Chicago also allowed two passing touchdowns and a 66.7% completion percentage to Jacksonville.
Washington Commanders
Washington bounced back from their week 6 loss to the Ravens with a 40-7 win over the Panthers in week 7, improving their record to 5-2. The Commanders were 10-point favorites and easily covered the spread, putting them at 5-1-1 ATS this season. They rank 14th in our NFL power rankings and have a +9.4 scoring margin. Washington has a 73.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 46.5% chance of winning the NFC East.
Washington is 3-0 at home this season and 2-2 on the road. Their only home win came in week 5, when they beat the Browns 34-13. In week 4, they beat the Cardinals 42-14 on the road, and in week 3, they defeated the Bengals 38-33. They also have a 21-18 win over the Giants in week 2.
Washington Commanders Stats
Heading into week 8, the Commanders sit atop our offensive power rankings, leading the NFL in scoring with 31.1 points per game. They rank 4th in total yards, averaging 384.1 per game, and are 3rd in rushing with 165.4 yards per game on 31.9 attempts. Despite ranking 24th in passing attempts, they are 13th in passing yards, with 218.7 per game. On 3rd down, they convert 48.8% of the time, which ranks 3rd in the league.
In week 7, Washington put up 40 points against the Panthers, scoring 27 of those in the first half. Marcus Mariota threw for 205 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 18 of 23 passes. Terry McLaurin had 6 catches for 98 yards, and Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 71 yards on 12 carries. The Commanders converted 50% of their 3rd downs and went 3/6 in the red zone.
In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense was dominant, allowing just 85 passing yards and forcing two interceptions in a 40-7 win over the Panthers. The Commanders’ defense held Carolina to just 95 yards rushing on 23 attempts. Carolina managed only 180 total yards and went 3-of-10 on third down conversions.
Washington’s defense limited the Panthers to 13 completions on a 72.2% completion rate. They also recorded two sacks and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns.
Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bears are 5-0 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Commanders are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Bears are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Commanders have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bears’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Commanders’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Bears vs. Commanders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | -130 | -129 | -2 | -1.5 |
| Commanders | +110 | +107 | +2 | +1.5 |
4* Free Week 8 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +1.5
Our model has the Bears coming out on top by a score of 21-17 in their week eight matchup against Washington. With this projected score, we like the Bears to cover the spread as 1.5-point home favorites. Small play on the Bears.
At 4-2, Chicago is coming in hot and has been a dream for bettors recently, covering the spread in nine of their last 13 games, and they’re 5-0 as favorites!
On the other side, Washington’s 5-2 record may look strong, but they’ve been shaky at home, going just 3-7 in their last 10.
Chicago’s defense is a key factor—they’re top five in yards and points allowed per play, which makes the UNDER an enticing play in this one, especially with the total sitting at 43.5.
For this game, we have a pick on the over/under line, which is currently at 43.5 points. Our prediction is that these teams combine for 38 points, making the UNDER a great pick in this one. It’s actually my favorite O/U play this week.
With Chicago giving up just 1.5 points on the spread, the line is tight, but history favors the Bears in this spot. They’ve been rock solid on the road, cashing in UNDER bets in five straight away games, while Washington has struggled to keep pace at home.
Keep an eye on those live odds as we inch closer to kickoff, but a small play on Chicago with confidence in the UNDER could be the way to go!
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Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
.@dantefowler and @emmanuelforbes7 set the tone on Sunday
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) October 24, 2024
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