Free NFL Pre-Season Pick: Bears vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs free pre-season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bears taking on the Chiefs on Thursday, August 22nd at the Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Pre-Season games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Chicago Kansas City matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(3-0) Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs (3-0)
Date: Thursday, August 22nd
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City MO
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Chicago -3.5 | Kansas City +3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Chicago -185 | Kansas City +149
NFL Betting Total: O/U 34.5
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Bears vs. Chiefs Gameday
Get ready for Week 3 of the NFL Preseason, where the stakes are rising, and teams are fine-tuning their rosters for the real deal. The unbeaten Chicago Bears (3-0) head to Arrowhead to face the also undefeated Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) this Thursday night at 8:20 ET. Chicago, already battle-tested with three games under their belt, enters as a slight favorite at -3.5.
There was just one head-to-head matchup between the Bears and Chiefs last year, with the Chiefs coming out on top 41-10. The Chiefs were the heavy favorites at -12.5 and not only won the game but covered the spread. The game saw a combined total of 51 points, surpassing the over/under line of 48 points.
Chicago Bears
The Bears are now 3-0 in the pre-season after a 27-3 win over the Bengals. Chicago led 10-3 at halftime and then scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter to take a commanding 24-3 lead heading into the 4th. Chicago was -6.5 point favorites, and their 24-point win easily covered the spread. The combined 30 points in the game was just under the 36.5 point total line.
Chicago’s defense did not allow any points in the 4th quarter until the Bengals scored with just over two minutes left in the game. Chicago’s Tyson Bagent connected with Dante Pettis for two touchdowns in the 3rd quarter to help the Bears pull away.
Chicago Bears Stats
The Bears’ offense is coming off a game in which they had 15 first downs and put up 209 yards through the air in their 27-3 win over the Bengals. Chicago rushed for 90 yards on 24 attempts, but struggled on third down, converting just 20% of their chances. Tyson Bagent led the passing attack, going 7/8 for 87 yards and two touchdowns. He was sacked once.
Khalil Herbert was the top rusher with 31 yards, including a 21-yard run. Dante Pettis caught three passes for a team-high 53 yards, with two of his catches going for touchdowns.
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In Chicago’s 27-3 win over the Bengals, the Bears’ defense was dominant, allowing just 144 passing yards and forcing two interceptions. They limited the Bengals to 82 rushing yards on 25 attempts, giving up only two rushing first downs. The Bears also held the Bengals to just 15 first downs overall.
Chicago’s pass rush was effective, with two sacks and a number of quarterback hits. The Bears defended well on third downs, allowing the Bengals to convert just 46.7% of their third down attempts.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs lost to the Lions 24-23, dropping their pre-season record to 0-2. Kansas City led 13-0 after the 1st quarter and 16-12 at halftime. The Chiefs added a touchdown late in the 4th quarter to take a 23-21 lead, but the Lions scored a last-second field goal to pull off the comeback.
Heading into the 4th, the Chiefs were up 23-18 after a touchdown from Chris Oladokun to Cornell Powell. However, the Chiefs couldn’t hold on, as the Lions closed the game with a field goal from Jake Bates as time expired. This is the second straight pre-season game that the Chiefs have lost.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
The Chiefs’ offense struggled to move the ball in their 24-23 loss to the Lions, managing only 13 first downs and 202 yards passing on 35 attempts. They also struggled on third down, converting just 28.6% of their chances. Overall, they finished with 74 yards rushing on 18 attempts.
Quarterback Chris Oladokun led the team with 99 yards passing, completing 6 of 7 passes and throwing one touchdown. Deneric Prince was the top rusher with 47 yards, while Cornell Powell caught one pass for 64 yards and a touchdown.
In the Chiefs’ 24-23 loss to the Lions, the defense allowed 24 first downs and 459 total yards. They struggled to defend the run, giving up 117 rushing yards on 31 attempts. Despite forcing one interception and holding the Lions to a 43.8% third-down conversion rate, the Chiefs allowed 342 passing yards and 8.1 yards per attempt.
Kansas City’s defense managed only one sack and allowed the Lions to complete 61.9% of their passes. Even though they won the turnover battle with a +2 differential, the Chiefs struggled to get off the field and stop the Lions’ passing attack.
Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bears are 2-2-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Bears are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chiefs have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bears’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Chiefs’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Bears vs. Chiefs Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | -140 | -185 | -2.5 | -3.5 |
| Chiefs | +120 | +149 | +2.5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: Kansas City +3.5
The Bears are likely to play it safe with their key players, especially with the regular season looming. Kansas City, fresh off a dominant Week 3 performance last year, will also be cautious, but don’t sleep on their depth. With a moneyline of +149 for the Chiefs and a total set at O/U 34.5, there’s value to be found for sharp bettors.
Both teams are looking to keep momentum without risking too much, making this matchup a chess game for preseason handicappers.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chiefs to cover as home underdogs. The current line has the Chiefs at +3.5, and we have them winning this pre-season week three matchup by a score of 20-17.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 34.5 points, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 37 points.
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Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
15 days until we’re back for real. pic.twitter.com/FNSnKgquKg
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) August 21, 2024
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