Free NFL Week 13 Pick: Bears vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bears taking on the Lions on Thursday, November 28th at the Ford Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Chicago Detroit Thanksgiving Day NFL matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
Thanksgiving Day NFL
(4-7) Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions (10-1)
Date: Thursday, November 28th
Time: 12:30 ET
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit MI
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Chicago +9.5 | Detroit -9.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Chicago +398 | Detroit -521
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47.5
- Live Betting Odds for the upcoming Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions Week 13 game!
- Want more NFL football regular season predictions like this Bears Lions play? Check out our free NFL Week 13 AI Picks for today!
- View our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
Thanksgiving Day football doesn’t get better than a classic NFC North rivalry between the surging Detroit Lions and the struggling Chicago Bears. This is one of the NFL’s most storied matchups, played an incredible 188 times, with the Bears historically leading the series 105-78-5. But the tides have shifted in recent years.
The Lions have taken three of the last five meetings, including a solid 3-2 record against the spread during that span.
However, the last time these teams squared off, it was the Bears who walked away victorious, a 28-13 home win on December 10, 2023, in a battle of Goff vs. Fields.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Lions have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Bears went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 49 points per game.
Chicago Bears
Chicago’s losing streak now stands at five games after a 30-27 loss to the Vikings in week 12. This leaves the Bears at 4-7, putting them 4th in the NFC North. They have a +0.4 scoring margin this season and are 6-4-1 against the spread. Chicago is 3-1 ATS as a favorite and 3-3-1 as an underdog.
Heading into week 13, the Bears rank 24th in our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs. They are 0-4 on the road this season and will be in Detroit to face the Lions this week.
Chicago Bears Stats
Heading into week 13, the Bears rank 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game (20.1) and 26th in yards per game (298.9). Despite ranking 12th in pass attempts, they are 29th in passing yards per game with 187.1. On the ground, they are 15th in rushing attempts and 22nd in rushing yards per game (111.8). Chicago ranks 29th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 32.3%, but they are 7th in red zone conversion percentage.
Caleb Williams threw for 340 yards (32/47) and 2 touchdowns in week 12, with no interceptions. He also led the team in rushing with 33 yards on 6 carries. DJ Moore had 7 catches for 106 yards and a touchdown. The Bears scored 17 points in the 4th quarter against the Vikings, converting 3/3 red zone attempts and 6/17 3rd downs.
Expert NFL Betting Picks
Looking for more NFL betting picks? Check out today’s featured premium plays from CappersPicks handicappers, including sides, totals, and weekly NFL betting packages.
In their 30-27 overtime loss to the Vikings, the Bears’ defense gave up 452 total yards. They allowed 328 passing yards and 124 rushing yards on 27 attempts, with Minnesota averaging 9.4 yards per pass attempt. Chicago’s defense allowed 23 completions (65.7% completion rate) and two passing touchdowns to the Vikings.
Despite the loss, the Bears’ defense managed three sacks and had a +5 advantage in quarterback hits, but they did allow the Vikings to convert on 46.2% of their third down attempts.
Detroit Lions
With a 10-1 record, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 9-game winning streak. This includes a 24-6 win over the Colts in week 12, where they covered the 7-point spread. Detroit also easily handled the Jaguars in week 11, winning 52-6 and covering as 14-point favorites.
According to our projections, the Lions have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and an 84.7% chance of winning the NFC North. They are 9-2 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +16.1 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-5-1.
Detroit Lions Stats
Heading into week 13, the Lions are 2nd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in scoring with 32.7 points per game and rank 2nd in total yards, averaging 394.3 per game. Despite being 27th in passing attempts, they are 6th in passing yards, with Jared Goff throwing for 269 yards in week 12. Detroit is 4th in rushing, averaging 150.8 yards per game on 32.4 attempts.
On 3rd down, the Lions convert 46.8% of their attempts, ranking 4th in the NFL. They are 29th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 3rd in red zone attempts. In week 12, Detroit scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter and 7 in the 3rd, with Goff going 26/36 for 269 yards.
Indianapolis managed just 11 completions for 172 yards through the air against the Lions in their most recent game, with Detroit coming out on top 24-6. The Lions’ defense was tough on third downs, allowing only a 25% conversion rate, and they held the Colts to 39.3% completions. Despite not recording any sacks, Detroit limited Indianapolis to 96 yards on 21 rushing attempts.
The Lions also won the battle in the trenches, finishing with a better tackles for loss number than the Colts. Detroit’s secondary didn’t give up any big plays, as the Colts failed to score a passing touchdown and averaged just 6.1 yards per attempt.
Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bears are 2-2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bears are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Lions have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bears’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Lions’ have an over/under record of 0-2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Bears vs. Lions Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | +175 | +397 | +4.5 | +9.5 |
| Lions | -210 | -520 | -4.5 | -9.5 |
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: Lions -9.5
Heading into Week 13, Detroit has been unstoppable, boasting a stellar 10-1 record and covering the spread in eight of their last nine games. They’ve also been rock-solid at home, winning nine straight outright.
The Lions’ offense is clicking on all cylinders, making them heavy favorites at -9.5, with a moneyline that reflects their dominance (-521). Meanwhile, the Bears are on the opposite trajectory, dropping five straight games and failing to find consistency on either side of the ball.
At +9.5, they’re significant underdogs, with a moneyline of +398 signaling just how uphill their climb will be.
For the point spread, we have the Bears losing out on this one 34-17. With the Bears at +9.5, our pick is to take the Lions to cover as home favorites.
With the line sitting at 47.5 points, our pick is to take the OVER, as we have this week 13 matchup between the Bears and Lions finishing with 51 combined points.
With a total set at 47.5, bettors should also consider the over/under, as these teams have combined to hit the over in two of their last five matchups.
Expect Ford Field to be rocking as the Lions look to keep their momentum rolling and deliver a Thanksgiving feast for Detroit fans.
Whether you’re watching for tradition, passion, or a sharp betting edge, this matchup has all the ingredients for a high-stakes holiday showdown.
Best Sportsbooks For Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions NFL Gambling Today!
- 50% Reload Bonuses
- Daily Player Promos
- Live Dealer Casino
- Crypto Deposits
- Same-Game Parlays
- Casino + Poker
- Same-Game Parlays
- Overnight Lines
- Progressive Jackpots
- Reduced-Juice Lines
- 7% Racebook Rebate
- 100% Crypto Bonus
- VIP Cash Rewards
- Live Betting & Props
- High Betting Limits
In Canada? Try Bodog!
Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
That’s a proper meal pic.twitter.com/TpzS5kHpZ5
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) November 28, 2024
If you’re looking for more NFL picks like this Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions Thanksgiving Day NFL matchup we’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football picks!
Register here for a FREE NFL Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special NFL Regular Season Offers!
