Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Bears vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions free NFL Week 11 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bears taking on the Lions on Sunday, November 19th at the Ford Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Chicago Detroit matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(3-7) Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions (7-2)
Date: Sunday, November 19th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit MI
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Chicago +10 | Detroit -10
Week 11 NFL Moneyline Odds: Chicago +375 | Detroit -515
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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When looking back at the head to head matchups last season, the Lions and Bears faced off two times, with the Lions going 2-0. The two teams averaged a combined 56 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-1.
Against the spread, the Lions went 2-0. Offensively, the Lions averaged 413.5 yards per game in the head-to-head matchups compared to the Bears at 319 yards.
In the teams’ two meetings last season, Fields rushed for a combined 279 yards but the Lions won both games. (Fields is back this week btw)
The Bears and Lions have faced off 186 times in their rivalry. The Bears came out on top in 104 of those games, while Detroit secured victory in 77 matches. Additionally, they ended up tying 5.
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In the current season, the Bears hold an overall record of 3-7, placing them at 4th in the NFC-North. Their performance consists of a 2-6 record as underdogs and 1-1 when they are favored.
When it comes to the spread, the Bears come in at 3-5-2. Going into week 11, their scoring margin per game is -5.1.
On offense, the Bears racked up 295 yards in their 16-13 win over the Panthers. For the game, the Bears ran for 133 yards on an average of 3.6 yards per attempt.
Defensively, they allowed 213 yards of total offense with 170 yards coming through the air and 43 on the ground. Going into the game, Chicago was favored by 3, resulting in an ATS push for both teams.
Tyson Bagent did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 20 of 33 passes for 162 yards. Bagent ended the game with a passer rating of 73.
Chicago Bears Stats
Offensively, Tyson Bagent ended with 162 passing yards with a completion rate of 60%. The Bears ran the ball 37 times, gaining 133 yards. The team converted 6 of 15 third-down opportunities.
On the offensive front, the Bears are currently averaging 20.4 points per game, positioning them 17th in the NFL.
Chicago is 24th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 25.5 points per game, accumulating 324.2 yards per contest.
Having played nine games, the Lions have a record of 7-2. This puts them at 1st in the NFC-North and 2nd in the NFC. The Lions hold a 7-2 record against the spread.
As we approach week 11, their scoring margin stands at +4.2 per game.
Even though the Lions did not score in the first-quarter, they still recovered to pick up the win. Offensively, they finished with 533 yards while giving up 421 yards to the Chargers.
Going into the game, Detroit was favored by 2 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Jared Goff had a big game, throwing for 333 yards on a passer rating of 122. Goff completed 69% of 33 attempts in the game.
Detroit Lions Stats
In their matchup against the Chargers, the Lions ran the ball 31 times, with David Montgomery emerging as the top rusher with 116 yards.
Let’s not forget Jahmyr Gibbs as well. He looks like a future superstar.
Gibbs carried the ball 14 times for 77 yards and 2 TD’s, plus he caught 3/5 for 35 vs. LAC.
Gibbs and Montgomery seem likely to remain in a timeshare against the Bears. Which isn’t a bad thing.
In the passing game, Jared Goff finished with 33 passes, resulting in 333 yards and a passer rating of 122.
On offense, the Lions have been one of the better teams in the league in the first quarter, ranking 4th in the NFL. Overall, they are averaging 26.8 points per game (5th).
The Lions are currently 16th in tackles for loss and 12th in sacks on defense. Their opponents are scoring an average of 22.6 points per game and gaining 310.7 yards per contest against them.
Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bears are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Lions have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bears’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Lions’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Bears vs. Lions Line Movement
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Chicago +10
Bears have had a few extra days to get healthy and ready for this one. The Game Plan is ready! Based on their solid defensive performance against Carolina, I’m confident in rolling with Chicago as the best bet to cover the spread this week, especially with the line at +10.
Chicago are 7-3 SU in their last 10 against Detroit, and Chicago are 4-1 SU in their last 5 when playing on the road against the Lions.
Looking for a total play? My model is on the UNDER. 43 points is my projection.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago’s last 5 games.
For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Chicago and Detroit combining for 42 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 46.5, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
Detroit still wins this one. The Lions won a thriller on Sunday, 41-38, over the Chargers, and I think this game could look similar until D-Town wraps it up in the 4th. The job isn’t over yet though for the Lions.
They’ll play 5 of their final 8 against the NFC North.
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Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
That 'Almost Friday' feeling
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) November 16, 2023
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