Free Week 3 Prediction: Bears vs. Browns NFL Odds
Looking for Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns free NFL Week 3 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bears taking on the Browns on Sunday September 26th at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, OH. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Chicago Cleveland matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(1-1) Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns (1-1)
Date: Sunday, September 26th, 2021
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
NFL Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: Browns -7.5
NFL Week 3 Moneyline Odds: Bears +275 | Browns -350
NFL Week 3 NFL Betting Total: 46.5
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Is it Justin Fields time for Chicago? With Andy Dalton possibly sidelined with an injured knee the former Ohio State star could make his first NFL start back in the Buckeye state. If so, Fields will have to do it against one of the better pass rushes in the NFL.
The Browns look like they’ll have a great chance to move to 2-1 in this matchup. Cleveland had their chances in a week 1 loss against the Chiefs but bounced back to put away the Texans in the 2nd half last week. The Browns look poised to go on a nice streak here.
Bears fans may be clamoring for Fields, but there are going to be some growing pains in starting the rookie. That, and Dalton actually wasn’t bad last week against the Bengals starting off the game 9 for 11 with a TD.
Fields has had his moments, running for a TD vs. the Rams in the season opener and having an Allen Robinson drop cost him a TD pass last week. He also ran the ball 10 times for 31 yards last week, and that mobility will be key against the likes of Myles Garrett and the Cleveland pass rush.
The Bears defense is the biggest key coming into Sunday’s matchup. The Cleveland offense is 6th in the NFL in points scored through two games, but Chicago made some strides in picking off Joe Burrow three times last week. Roquan Smith returned one of those for a TD as well.
Chicago’s secondary still has some issues despite the 3 INTs and holding Cincinnati to 14 points last week. Matthew Stafford was 20/26 with 321 yards and 3 TD against the Bears in week 1 and that was in his first game running the Rams system.
It’s looking like a big week for Baker Mayfield, who completed 19 of 21 passes last week against the Texans. Mayfield also had a 321 yard passing game in the season opener against Kansas City, and is completing a whopping 81.6% of his passes through two games.
As good as the Browns passing game has been, it does take a hit with Odell Beckham remaining out with a knee injury and Jarvis Landry now joining him with an MCL sprain. Austin Hopper is the Browns’ leading receiver through two games with 8 catches, and nobody on Cleveland has amassed 100 yards yet.
The good news about Cleveland being a bit banged up on the outside is that they have arguably the best running game in the NFL. Nick Chubb ran for 95 yards on just 11 carries last week and has 3 rushing TDs so far. Kareem Hunt is averaging 4.4 ypc and had 51 yards on 13 carries last week.
One thing going against Cleveland is that they don’t know who to gameplan for as the Chicago starter. Fields and Dalton have very different styles, and although Patrick Mahomes is on a different level he did have 337 yards and 3 TD vs. the Browns in the season opener.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Bears are 5-2 ATS last 7 in September
- Bears are 2-6 ATS last 8 as an underdog
- Bears are 1-5 ATS last 6 as a road underdog
- Browns are 1-4 ATS last 5 as a favorite
- Browns are 1-5 ATS last 6 home games
- OVER is 4-1 Browns last 5 overall
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: OVER 46.5
Mayfield should have his way with this Bears secondary, which isn’t as good as the three interceptions off Joe Burrow last week would indicate. Even with Landry out, Mayfield has a grasp of this offense and when he gets the passing game going that only opens things up for Chubb and Hunt in the running game.
At the same time, Fields might surprise some people in his return to Ohio. The former Buckeye was much more accurate than his 6 for 13 passing last week would indicate.
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