Free NFL Pre-Season Pick: Bears vs. Bills Odds
Looking for Chicago Bears vs. Buffalo Bills free pre-season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bears taking on the Bills on Saturday, August 10th at the Highmark Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Pre-Season games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Chicago Buffalo matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(1-0) Chicago Bears vs. Buffalo Bills (0-0)
Date: Saturday, August 10th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park NY
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Chicago -1 | Buffalo +1
NFL Moneyline Odds: Chicago -118 | Buffalo -103
NFL Betting Total: O/U 38
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Get ready for an electrifying kickoff to Week 1 with a thrilling matchup between the Chicago Bears and Buffalo Bills!
The Bears, fresh off a win, are slight favorites at -1 as they head into Highmark Stadium to face the Bills, who are looking to start their season on a high note. The betting lines are razor-thin, with Chicago at -118 on the moneyline and Buffalo at a tempting -103.
The over/under is set at 38, promising a tight, hard-fought battle. This game is shaping up to be a must-watch for bettors, so grab your tickets and get ready to ride the action live!
Last season, the Bears and Bills did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Bills have the leg up at 2-1.
The Bills also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 46 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Chicago Bears
After the 1st quarter, the Bears trailed 7-0, but they battled back to take a 21-17 lead heading into the 4th quarter of their pre-season matchup against the Texans. Chicago is looking to close things out and improve to 1-0 in the pre-season.
Heading into the game, the Bears’ point spread was +2.5, and with the current score, they are in position to cover the spread and pull off the upset. Our projected point total line was 32.5, and with 38 combined points heading into the 4th quarter, this one is going over.
Chicago Bears Stats
The Bears’ offense finished with 192 yards passing in their most recent game vs. the Texans, coming away with a 21-17 win. They really made the most of their passing game, as they finished with 3 touchdowns and 75% of their passes were completed. Brett Rypien led the way with 166 yards passing, going 11/15 and finishing with a passer rating of 148.
Chicago’s running game had just 15 attempts and 86 yards, with Khalil Herbert leading the way with 35 yards and averaging 8.8 yards per attempt. In the passing game, Collin Johnson led the team with 56 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
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In their most recent game, the Bears’ defense was able to limit the Texans to just 54 rushing yards on 21 attempts. Despite allowing 190 passing yards, they held Houston to 7.0 yards per attempt. Chicago also forced the Texans to convert just 25% of their third down attempts.
The Bears’ defense finished with one sack and came away with a 21-17 victory. They finished with 15 first downs allowed and held the Texans to 244 total yards. However, they did allow two passing touchdowns and finished with a 70.4% completion percentage allowed.
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo finished last year’s pre-season with a 2-1 record, going 1-1 on the road and 1-0 at home. The Bills started with a 23-19 win over the Colts in week one of the pre-season. They dropped their week two match-up vs. the Steelers but closed out the pre-season with a 24-21 win over the Bears.
Buffalo Bills Stats
The Bills’ passing game was one of the more productive units last pre-season, finishing 5th in the NFL with 247.3 passing yards per game. They averaged 36 passing attempts per game, which was 8th in the league.
Buffalo’s rushing game was more middle of the pack, finishing with 109 rushing yards per game (15th) and 4.1 rushing yards per attempt. For the pre-season, they finished with 20.7 points per game, ranking 11th in the league.
Buffalo’s defense was 17th in points allowed last pre-season, giving up 22.3 points per game. Despite finishing 17th, they were 8th in yards allowed (271 per game). In terms of the passing game, they were tough to move the ball against, finishing 5th in passing yards allowed.
Chicago Bears vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bears are 2-2-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Bills are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Bears are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bills have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bears’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Bills’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Bears vs. Bills Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | +100 | +104 | +1.5 | -1 |
| Bills | -120 | -127 | -1.5 | +1 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Buffalo +1
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Bills to cover as home underdogs. Right now, the line is sitting at -1 in favor of the Bears, and with our projected final score being 23-21 in favor of Buffalo, they are our pick to cover.
For this week one pre-season matchup, we also like the over as a good bet. The current O/U line is 38 points, and we have the Bills and Bears finishing with 42 combined points, making the over an appealing bet.
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Chicago Bears vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Last Bills Camp lap for QB1! 👊#GoBills | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/QbNYMO1zsp
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) August 9, 2024
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