Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Bears vs. Cardinals Odds
Looking for Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bears taking on the Cardinals on Sunday, November 3rd at the State Farm Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Chicago Arizona matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(4-3) Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals (4-4)
Date: Sunday, November 3rd
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: State Farm Stadium, Glendale AZ
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Chicago +1 | Arizona -1
NFL Moneyline Odds: Chicago +106 | Arizona -120
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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Get ready for some vintage NFC action as the Chicago Bears and Arizona Cardinals rekindle their rivalry in this highly anticipated Week 9 matchup!
It’s been 15 years since Dennis Green delivered his legendary, “They are who we thought they were!” rant after his Cardinals let a victory slip against the Bears—a timeless moment for any football fan.
With the all-time series heavily in favor of Chicago (58-29-6), Arizona is looking to close the gap and make some new history of its own.
The Bears and Cardinals did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Bears have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Cardinals went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 42 points per game.
The oddsmakers have Arizona as slight favorites at -1, with the O/U line sitting at 44.5.
Chicago Bears
Chicago heads into week 9 with a 4-3 record, which puts their playoff chances at 27.5% according to our projections. The Bears rank 14th in our power rankings and are 8th in the NFC. Despite their winning record, they sit 4th in the NFC North, largely due to an 0-3 record on the road. However, they have been perfect at home, going 4-0.
Against the spread, Chicago is 5-2, with a +6.3 scoring margin. They are 3-0 as favorites and 2-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 3-4, with their games averaging 40.3 points compared to an average line of 43.4. In week 8, the Bears lost 18-15 to the Commanders, with the teams combining for 33 points, well below the 46.5-point line.
Chicago Bears Stats
Heading into week 9, the Bears sit 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 16th in the NFL in points per game (23.3) and 26th in yards per game (302.3). Chicago ranks 15th in passing attempts but is 27th in passing yards per game, averaging 184.4. On the ground, they are 11th in rushing attempts and 19th in rushing yards per game (117.9). The Bears are 24th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 33% success rate, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 9th with a 52.6% conversion rate.
Caleb Williams struggled in week 8, posting a passer rating of 59 after going 10/24 for 131 yards in the loss to Washington. D’Andre Swift led the rushing attack with 129 yards on 18 carries, while Rome Odunze had 3 catches for 41 yards. Chicago’s offense was shut out in the first half but scored 8 points in the 4th quarter.
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In their most recent game, the Bears’ defense allowed 481 yards in an 18-15 loss to the Washington Commanders. Chicago gave up 168 rushing yards on just 32 attempts, with Washington averaging 5.2 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite this, the Bears’ defense held the Commanders to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.
Chicago’s defense did manage to sack the quarterback twice and limited Washington to a 55.3% completion rate. However, the Commanders had 313 passing yards, averaging 8.2 yards per attempt, and scored one passing touchdown.
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona’s win over the Dolphins in week 8 brought their record to 4-4 and extended their winning streak to two games. After the victory, the Cardinals sit 1st in the NFC West with a 2-0 division record. However, our power rankings have them 21st heading into week 9, and they have a 38.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 33.2% chance of winning the division.
Against the spread, the Cardinals are 5-3 this season, including 4-2 as underdogs. They’ve covered in two straight games, including their 1-point win over Miami in week 8, where they were 4.5-point underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-3-1, with their games averaging 47.9 points per game.
Arizona Cardinals Stats
Heading into week 9, the Cardinals sit 13th in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in points per game (22.2) and 11th in yards per game (338.5). Arizona ranks 21st in passing yards per game (196.8) and 22nd in pass attempts. On the ground, they average 141.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 7th in the league, on 27.4 attempts per game.
Kyler Murray is coming off a strong performance in week 8, throwing for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns with a passer rating of 116 against the Dolphins. He connected with Trey McBride 9 times for 124 yards. James Conner rushed for 53 yards and a touchdown on 20 carries.
In their 28-27 win over the Dolphins, the Cardinals’ defense gave up 150 rushing yards on just 25 attempts, with Miami averaging a huge 6.0 yards per attempt. Arizona’s defense allowed 377 total yards, but they did hold the Dolphins to 1 sack and won the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. The Dolphins converted on 73.3% of their third down attempts and had a 73.7% completion percentage.
Arizona’s defense also gave up 227 passing yards and one touchdown, while the offense put together a late drive to secure the victory.
Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bears are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bears are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cardinals have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bears’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Cardinals’ have an over/under record of 1-1-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Bears vs. Cardinals Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | -112 | -108 | -1 | 0 |
| Cardinals | -108 | -112 | +1 | 0 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Arizona -1
Let’s dive into the numbers: the Bears, who have dropped three games this season by less than a touchdown, are consistently close but struggle to close out. On the road, they’re 5-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last ten, a mixed bag that leaves bettors wondering if they can finally seal the deal in a close game.
Meanwhile, Arizona’s 7-3 ATS record over the last 10 games speaks to a team that can play tight and deliver when it counts, especially at home.
Our pick vs. the spread in this Bears vs. Cardinals matchup is to take the Cardinals to cover as home underdogs.
As for the point spread lines, the Cardinals are currently sitting at -1 to win this one, and our projected final score is 23-20 in favor of Arizona.
If you’re thinking of betting the spread or the moneyline, take note that Arizona has covered in seven of their last ten meetings with Chicago, making them a promising pick if they can keep their offense steady.
For the over/under line, we like taking the under, with a projected combined score of 43 points. At the current line of 44.5 points, there is some good value in taking the under.
Expect a nail-biter here, and for those following every down, every snap, and every crucial decision—this one’s a can’t-miss showdown!
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Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Naturally, it had to be CHADDDD!!! pic.twitter.com/ezyBDTb2if
— Arizona Cardinals (@AZCardinals) October 31, 2024
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