Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Panthers vs. Buccaneers Odds
Looking for Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Panthers taking on the Buccaneers on Sunday, December 29th at the Raymond James Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Carolina Tampa Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(4-11) Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7)
Date: Sunday, December 29th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Carolina +8 | Tampa Bay -8
NFL Moneyline Odds: Carolina +322 | Tampa Bay -416
NFL Betting Total: O/U 49.5
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When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Buccaneers have the leg up at 3-0. However, against the spread the Panthers went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 31 points per game.
Carolina Panthers
Heading into week 17, the Panthers sit at 4-11 and rank 32nd in our power rankings. They have a -11 scoring margin this season and are 7-8 against the spread. Carolina is 0-1 ATS as a favorite and 7-7 as an underdog. Their O/U record is 11-4, with the over hitting in two straight games.
In week 16, the Panthers snapped a four-game losing streak with a 36-30 win over the Cardinals. They were 5.5-point underdogs and covered the spread. The teams combined for 66 points, going over the 47-point line.
Carolina Panthers Stats
Carolina’s offense ranks 24th in our power rankings, averaging 18.9 points per game, which is 26th in the NFL. They are 30th in passing yards per game (183.5) despite being 15th in attempts, and they rank 16th in rushing yards per game with 112.3. On 3rd down, they rank 27th, converting 35.3% of the time, but they are 13th in red zone conversion percentage.
Bryce Young had a strong performance in week 16, posting a passer rating of 107 with 158 yards and 2 touchdowns. Chuba Hubbard rushed for 152 yards on 25 carries, and Adam Thielen had 5 catches for 43 yards and a touchdown. Carolina scored 7 points in the 1st quarter and 13 in the 2nd against the Cardinals.
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Despite giving up 206 yards on the ground, the Panthers’ defense held the Cardinals to just 176 yards passing in their most recent game, which ended in a 36-30 overtime win for Carolina. The Panthers’ defense recorded three sacks and forced one interception. Arizona finished with 382 total yards, and Carolina’s defense allowed them to convert on 46.2% of their third down attempts.
Even though the Panthers’ run defense struggled, they kept the Cardinals out of the endzone through the air, allowing just one passing touchdown. Carolina also won the tackles for loss battle, finishing with a +1 differential compared to Arizona.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Heading into week 17, the Buccaneers are 8-7, putting them 2nd in the NFC South. Our projections give Tampa Bay a 58.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 51.7% chance of winning the division. They currently rank 8th in our NFL power rankings. Against the spread, the Bucs are 9-6, with an average scoring margin of +5 points per game. Their O/U record is 10-5, with the over hitting in each of their last two games.
After three straight wins, Tampa Bay fell to the Cowboys in week 16, dropping their record to 8-7. Before that, they had picked up wins over the Chargers, Raiders, and Panthers. In week 15, they beat the Chargers 40-17, covering the spread as 3-point underdogs. The O/U line was 46 points, and the teams combined for 57. In week 14, the Bucs beat the Raiders 28-13, covering the 6.5-point spread. The O/U line was 47, and the teams combined for 41 points.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Heading into week 17, the Buccaneers rank 9th in our offensive power rankings. They are 5th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 28.5 points per game, and are 3rd in total yards per game with 389.8. Tampa Bay has been strong on 3rd down, converting 48.4% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league. Despite ranking 5th in red zone attempts, they are 29th in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on just 5.2% of their trips inside the 20.
Baker Mayfield threw for 303 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 16, completing 31 of 43 passes against the Cowboys. Mike Evans led the team with 5 catches for 69 yards, while Bucky Irving rushed for 68 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries. Tampa Bay scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter but struggled in the 1st, failing to score.
In their 26-24 loss to the Cowboys, the Buccaneers’ defense gave up just 31 rushing yards on 20 attempts, but Dallas was able to move the ball through the air, finishing with 286 passing yards. The Bucs allowed one touchdown and a completion percentage of 74.3% to the Cowboys. Tampa Bay recorded one sack and allowed Dallas to convert on 33.3% of their third down attempts. The Buccaneers’ offense had 317 yards in the game.
Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Panthers are 5-0 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Buccaneers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Buccaneers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Panthers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Buccaneers’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Panthers vs. Buccaneers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | +105 | +322 | +2 | +8 |
| Buccaneers | -125 | -415 | -2 | -8 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Carolina +8
Even though the Panthers are 8-point dogs, we have the Bucs winning 27-24.
Our pick vs. the spread in this week 17 matchup between the Panthers and Buccaneers is to take Carolina to cover.
As for the best way to bet this one, we really like the over for the point total. The line is currently sitting at 49.5 points, and we have these teams combining for 51, making the over a pretty good play.
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Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
CHASING GREATNESS 🫡
M1️⃣K3️⃣ now needs three receptions & 182 receiving yards to continue his 1,000-yard & 60-catch streaks. pic.twitter.com/UWCn3oiSBe
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) December 27, 2024
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