Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Panthers vs. Saints Odds
Looking for Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Panthers taking on the Saints on Sunday, September 8th at the Caesars Superdome. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Carolina New Orleans matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 8th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans LA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Carolina +4 | New Orleans -4
NFL Moneyline Odds: Carolina +167 | New Orleans -201
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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Panthers vs. Saints Gameday
Get ready for Week 1 NFL action, folks! It’s time to dive into the Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints showdown, and I’m here to give you the edge. The Panthers, with a new head coach and a hungry squad, are getting +4 on the spread, while the Saints are favored at -4 in the Caesars Superdome. Moneyline? Carolina’s sitting at +167, while the Saints are at -201. With the total set at 41.5, expect some tight action.
The Saints won both of their matchups against the Panthers last season, with their first win coming by a score of 20-17 and their second win being more lopsided at 28-6. The first game had an over/under line of 39.5 points, while the second game’s line was 38.5 points. New Orleans was favored by -3 in the first game and -5.5 in the second game, covering the spread in their 28-6 victory.
Carolina Panthers
The Panthers’ 2023 season was a struggle, as they managed just two wins, finishing 2-15 overall. Their only two wins came in non-conference games, as they were winless in the NFC, going 1-11. Carolina’s only win within their division came in the NFC South, where they went 1-5. The Panthers were heavy underdogs in all of their games last season, going 2-6 ATS as home underdogs and 4-11-2 ATS overall.
On the road, the Panthers were 0-9, while at home, they went 2-6. When facing teams with above .500 records, the Panthers went 1-11, and they were 1-4 against teams with below .500 records. The Panthers’ over/under record for the season was 5-12, and their games averaged 38.4 points per game.
Carolina Panthers Stats
Carolina’s offense was one of the worst in the league last season, finishing 30th in the power rankings. They averaged just 13.9 points per game, ranking 31st, and were dead last in both yards per game (265.3) and yards per play (4.1). The Panthers struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging only 161.2 passing yards per game, the lowest in the NFL.
One of the reasons for their passing game struggles was their inability to convert on third downs, where they ranked 24th. They also relied heavily on the passing game, averaging 34.5 passing attempts per game, the 12th most in the league, while their running game ranked 20th in attempts and yards.
Adam Thielen, who had 1,014 receiving yards and 103 catches last season, joins the Panthers after playing 17 games last year. Diontae Johnson, coming over from the Steelers, is also a new addition and is heading into his 6th season. Johnson played in 13 games last year and finished with 717 receiving yards on 51 catches. The Panthers are also adding rookie Xavier Legette to their receiving group this season.
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Despite excelling in several key areas, the Panthers’ defense struggled to pressure the quarterback last season. They ranked 27th in our power rankings, giving up 24.5 points per game, which was 29th in the NFL. However, they were 3rd in the league in yards allowed per game, giving up just 293.9 yards per game. They also had the 3rd best passing defense in the NFL, allowing only 171.5 passing yards per game.
Carolina’s inability to generate turnovers hurt them, as they were 21st in sacks and 24th in quarterback hits. They forced only 11 turnovers throughout the season. Although they were strong against the pass, they struggled to defend the run, giving up 4.1 yards per attempt, which was 26th in the league.
New Orleans Saints
The Saints were 4-4-1 against the spread vs. below .500 teams last season. Against teams with winning records, they were 2-6. New Orleans finished the 2023 season with a 9-8 record, placing them 2nd in the NFC South and 9th in the NFC overall. Within their division, they went 4-2, and they were above .500 at home with a 5-3 record. When favored, the Saints went 7-6, and as underdogs, they were 2-2.
The Saints’ over/under record was 6-11, with their games averaging a combined 42.9 points per game. This placed them 21st in the league in average combined scoring. Against the spread, they were 6-10-1, with a slightly better record on the road (3-5) compared to at home (3-5).
New Orleans Saints Stats
Against the spread, the Saints were 6-10-1, and they had a disappointing 3-5 ATS record at home. On the road, their ATS record was 3-5. When favored, the Saints went 7-6 straight-up, and as underdogs, they were 2-2. The Saints were below .500 ATS when favored at 4-8-1 and 2-2 when they were the underdog.
New Orleans’ over/under record was 6-11, and the average over/under line in their games was 41.6 points. Their games averaged 42.9 points per game. The Saints finished the 2023 season with a 9-8 record, going 4-2 in the NFC South to finish 2nd behind the Buccaneers. Within the division, the Saints went 4-2. They were 7-2 against below .500 teams and 2-6 against teams with above .500 records.
Chris Olave, who is entering his 3rd season in the league, is a key part of the Saints’ receiving group after putting up 1123 yards and five receiving touchdowns last year. He is joined by Rashid Shaheed, who also had five receiving touchdowns and 719 yards. The Saints have also added Cedrick Wilson Jr. from the Dolphins, who had 296 yards on 22 catches last season.
The Saints’ defense was one of the best at taking the ball away last season, ranking 3rd in the league with 29 takeaways. They also excelled in defending the pass, giving up 207.3 passing yards per game and holding quarterbacks to a 59.7% completion percentage, which was the 2nd best in the league. Overall, New Orleans allowed just 19.2 points per game, placing them 6th in the NFL, and their defense was 8th in the league’s power rankings.
Despite not generating a lot of quarterback pressure (18th in sacks, 23rd in QB hits), the Saints’ defense was tough to score on, giving up the 4th fewest rushing touchdowns and the 6th fewest passing touchdowns. In addition, opponents struggled on third downs against New Orleans, converting only 34.5% of their third down attempts.
Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Panthers are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Saints are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Panthers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Saints have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Panthers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Saints’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Panthers vs. Saints Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | +180 | +167 | +5.5 | +4 |
| Saints | -221 | -201 | -5.5 | -4 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Carolina +4
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Panthers to cover as road underdogs in this week one matchup between the Panthers and Saints. The point spread lines have the Panthers at +4, and we have them not only covering but winning by a score of 21-17.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 41.5 points, we like the under, with our projected combined score coming in at 38 points.
Whether you’re eyeing the spread, moneyline, or total, this matchup is packed with intrigue, and there’s plenty of value for sharp bettors looking to kick off the season strong. Keep your eye on the live lines—they’ll be shifting as Week 1 inches closer. Ready to ride the NFL betting wave? Let’s make this opener a winning one!
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Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Saints football doesn’t just live in a building, in a memory, or a moment…it’s in our DNA ⚜️ pic.twitter.com/c28ef0iMAs
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) September 6, 2024
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