Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Panthers vs. Falcons Odds
Looking for Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons free NFL Week 1 regular season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Panthers taking on the Falcons on Sunday, September 10th at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Carolina Atlanta matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1 Regular Season
(0-0) Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 10th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NFL Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Carolina +3 | Atlanta -3.5
Week 1 Moneyline NFL Odds: Carolina +148 | Atlanta -185
NFL Betting Total: O/U 39.5
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Last year, the Panthers and Falcons split their head-to-head matchups with each team going 1-1. Against the spread, the Panthers went 2-0 while the over/under record in these games was 1-1 on an average of 55.5 points per game.
In these head-to-head matchups, the Panthers’ offense averaged 405.5 yards per game compared to the Falcons at 348.5.
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Carolina Panthers
Despite finishing in second place in the NFC-South, the Panthers still missed out on a Wild-Card berth and the playoffs. Carolina’s overall record was 7-10 and 4-2 in the division.
At home, the Panthers put together a mark of 5-4 while going 2-6 on the road.
Carolina Panthers Stats
Carolina closed out last season as the 19th ranked offense in terms of points per game (20.4). In the passing game, the Panthers averaged 176.2 while sitting 27th in attempts.
For the season, they were 10th in terms of sacks allowed and 3rd in quarterback hits allowed. In the running game, Carolina averaged 130.0 rushing yards per contest.
The Panthers’ defense finished the season slightly below the league average at 22.0 points per game, which was 16th in the NFL. For the season, opponents averaged 350.2 yards per contest (22nd).
Carolina was 12th in takeaways and ended the season with 35 sacks (13th).
Atlanta Falcons
After a season in which they concluded with an overall record of only 7-10, the Falcons are looking to take a step forward this season. Within the NFC-South, Atlanta secured a 4th place finish and went 2-4 record against divisional rivals.
When playing on their home turf, the Falcons went 6-3, while they held a 1-7 record when competing on the road.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
Offensively, the Falcons averaged 21.5 points per game in 2022, putting them 15th in the NFL. In the passing game, they finished 29th in passing attempts and averaged 158.8 yards per game through the air.
When looking at their running game, the Falcons were 6th in yards per attempt.
Defensively, the Falcons finished last season 26th in yards allowed while giving up an average of 22.7 points per game (20th).
When looking at how they got after the quarterback, Atlanta was 3rd in quarterback hits and 17th in sacks.
Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Panthers are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Falcons are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Panthers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Falcons have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Panthers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Falcons’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Panthers vs. Falcons Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Panthers | +110 | +148 | +2.5 | +3.5 |
Falcons | -132 | -184 | -2.5 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Carolina +3
The side I’m playing on the spread, is to take the Panthers on the road. With the line, sitting at +3, I’d be looking to act now on getting some action on Carolina.
Why would I do that if Carolina only had eight wins in 17 games against the spread last season?
Defense, defense, defense. Carolina’s defensive prowess truly stands out, where Donte Jackson, Jaycee Horn, and CJ Henderson are all in excellent health.
Plus, navigating the NFC South isn’t a formidable task. The Panthers came close to winning the division with a ‘losing’ record, just one game and play away from doing so. Reich and Young is a really nice combo, and I’m excited to watch on Sunday.
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Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Who wit us? pic.twitter.com/DxDJMeZHR4
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) September 6, 2023
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