Ray “The Razor” Monohan – Last Updated on November 6, 2022 7:34 am
Free Week 9 Prediction: Bills vs. Jets NFL Odds
Looking for Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Free NFL Week 9 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bills taking on the Jets on Sunday, November 6th, 2022 at MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Buffalo – New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(6-1) Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets (5-3)
Date: Sunday, November 6th, 2022
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: MetLife Stadium
NFL Week 9 ATS Betting Lines: Bills -13 (-110) | Jets +13 (-110) (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 9 Moneyline Odds: Bills -600 | Jets +425
NFL Week 9 NFL Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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An AFC East matchup sees the Bills on the road to face off with the Jets for the first time in the 2022 season.
After just a really bad loss to the Patriots on Sunday, it will only get harder for New York when they have to play the best team in their division.
Buffalo picked up a scrappy win over the Packers on Sunday Night and will just look to keep up their winning ways in what has already been a very impressive season so far for them.
Given the disparity between these two teams, there is no surprise that the Bills are a 13-point favorite on the road. So far, there has not been a lot of movement in the total with it staying right around 47.5.
Buffalo Bills
The Bills failed to cover as a 10.5-point favorite on Sunday Night Football, but they still walked away with a 27-17 victory and improved their record to 6-1 on the season.
They certainly did not play their cleanest brand of football and there are plenty of areas they are going to want to get better in as the year goes on, but it was still a solid victory for their group.
If you looked just at the final score, you might think the game was relatively close, but for the most part that was not the case. Buffalo controlled the whole game even though they did not do a whole lot offensively in the second half.
At the end of the first half, the Bills led 24-7 and it really looked like they could bury the Packers even more in the second half, but that was not the case, as Green Bay did at least show some resistance.
Still, it was clear that the AFC East leaders were just too much for an underachieving Green Bay squad. Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Jones did what they could to help, but it still was not enough to fend off a team of this caliber.
Josh Allen has been rightfully praised all season long for the way he has played, but the performance he had on Sunday was certainly one he wished could have been better in.
The fifth-year quarterback finished the night completing just 52% of his passes to go along with two touchdowns and two picks. Given what he had done prior to that, you just do not expect those sorts of games from him.
Even in a less-than-stellar performance, Allen was still able to find Stefon Diggs 6 times for 108 yards and 1 touchdown. It was good he was able to do that because there really were not any other receivers for them that did much of anything.
Devin Singletary ran the ball 14 times for 67 yards and Allen also added in 49 yards on 6 carries. It certainly was nothing that really stood out on the ground, but they did what they needed to do against a pretty solid defense.
To me, this is just another example of the multiple ways the Bills can beat a team. If they have to win a shootout by putting 40+ points on the board, they can do that, but they also have the ability to win a more defensive type of game, which a lot of teams simply cannot do.
Beating a team like the Packers is something they should have done, but it still is never easy when Aaron Rodgers is on the other sideline. No matter what kind of season he is having or what kind of supporting cast he has, being able to knock off his team is big for anybody in the NFL.
As the Bills start to focus on the Jets, they are once again in a very winnable situation and if they just play their style of football, should improve to 7-1 on the season.
The defense for New York is certainly much better than it has been in a while, but the Bills know there is really no unit out there that can stop them when they are totally clicking. After seeing some mixed results in week 8, this is a good opportunity for Josh Allen to get back into his MVP form.
Defensively, Buffalo has been great all year long and that really should not change on Sunday in East Rutherford. They have been able to contain some strong offenses already and there is no reason they cannot keep the Jets in check if they play like they have to this point.
Really, their game plan should be similar to the Patriot’s game plan when they faced off with the Jets on Sunday. If they can stop the run and force Zach Wilson to make mistakes by getting consistent pressure on him, their opponent is not going to score a ton of points.
We all remember what happened a year ago when the Bills went on the road in Jacksonville, but that really should not be the case here against a team that is just not ready for the big boys yet.
New York Jets
Even though they are still a 5-3 football team, the Jets were once again unable to beat the Patriots, as they fell 22-17 to their divisional rival in a very upsetting fashion.
The game truly was up for grabs in the first half and New York actually went into the half with a 10-6 lead. In the second half, though, that quickly changed, as the Patriots made some adjustments and started to play with a little more rhythm and confidence.
New England really began to assert themselves as the game went on and they outscored their opponent 16-7 in the second half. It was pretty clear once the Pats go out of their own way and stopped beating themselves, there was just no way the Jets were going to have enough answers to beat a team that is better than them.
Sure, they lost by just five points, but anyone who watched the game knows that is really not an accurate representation of how the game was played. The Patriots did get burned for a big gainer at the end and the Jets were able to cash in, but the game really was not that close.
This team played so poorly on so many levels that they should actually feel fortunate they did not lose by more. If they had faced a team with a little more firepower on offense with a better quarterback, it would have been a very lopsided final score.
One game is not going to bury them in the AFC playoff picture or take away what they had done prior to that, but this was another opportunity they had to beat a team that has dominated them for years and they still could not get it done and they did not deserve to get it done.
Make no mistakes about it, the Patriots played far from a great game and they still made plenty of mental/physical errors, but they did not make the type of mistakes over and over again that the Jets did.
All in all, I thought the defense for the Jets was good enough to give their team a shot at winning, but the offense, specifically Zach Wilson, made way too many mistakes for them to get the job done.
The Jets’ supposed franchise quarterback looked lost for the majority of the game on Sunday and he also threw three brutal interceptions, all of which were costly.
In a game where Breece Hall was sidelined and the running game was just not going to be very explosive, they really needed their second-year quarterback to step up in a big way and he just did not do it.
New England did a great job of getting pressure on him all afternoon long and he just did not have a lot of answers. If he was not turning the ball over, he was throwing it out of bounds, which is certainly something that should concern the fans of this team.
A lot of people were hoping this game was one where the Jets took some steps forward, but it was the exact opposite. The only way they can walk out of Sunday’s debacle is with a negative slant and it will only get harder when they have to face the cream of the crop in the AFC this Sunday.
If they play as sloppily as they did in week 8 against the Bills this week, it is going to be a very long afternoon for them because Buffalo is a team that will make you pay more times than they don’t. Unless some serious adjustments are made in terms of coaching and playing, I have a hard time seeing them do much in this matchup.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bills are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
- Bills are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games in November.
- Jets are 12-27-3 ATS in their last 42 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Jets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
- Jets are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC East.
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Bills -13 (-110)
This is not a game that I see ending all that well for the Jets, mainly because I just do not feel they are ready to compete with a team on the level of the Bills at the moment.
Buffalo was not exactly sharp in their last victory, but I do not see that being the case when they face off with a team they are much more talented and dynamic than.
On both sides of the ball, the Jets are going to have their hands full. Being able to stop Allen & co. once they are in a rhythm is no picnic and the same goes for moving the ball against the best defense in the NFL.
I know this is a high number in a divisional game, but I really do not see it being very competitive.
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