Free NFL Week 14 Pick: Bills vs. Rams Odds
Looking for Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bills taking on the Rams on Sunday, December 8th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Buffalo Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
(10-2) Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams (6-6)
Date: Sunday, December 8th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Buffalo -4.5 | Los Angeles +4.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Buffalo -213 | Los Angeles +177
NFL Betting Total: O/U 49
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Get ready for a Week 14 clash that’s as juicy as it gets! The 10-2 Buffalo Bills roll into SoFi Stadium to take on the 6-6 Los Angeles Rams, and there’s plenty to unpack in this one.
These two teams have squared off 14 times, with Buffalo owning the rivalry at a 9-5 clip, including a dominant 31-10 win in their most recent meeting. Buffalo has been a powerhouse this season, sitting at 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games and riding a seven-game straight-up win streak.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Bills have a record of 3-0. The Bills also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 52 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Buffalo Bills
With seven straight wins, the Bills are now 10-2 and sit atop the AFC East. After a week 5 loss to the Texans, Buffalo has been on a roll, including a 25-point win over the 49ers in week 13. They also have wins over the Chiefs, Colts, and Dolphins during their streak.
Our projections give the Bills a 100% chance of making the playoffs and winning the division. They are 8-4 against the spread and have covered in three straight games. Their O/U record is 7-5, with their games averaging 48.2 points.
Buffalo Bills Stats
Our offensive power rankings have the Bills sitting 3rd in the NFL, and they are 2nd in points per game, averaging 29.6. Buffalo ranks 10th in the league in passing yards per game (219.9) and 17th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 11th in rushing yards per game, with 127.6, on 28.8 attempts per game. The Bills rank 8th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 42.7% success rate, and they are 29th in red zone conversion percentage.
Josh Allen is coming off a strong performance in week 13, posting a passer rating of 141 against the 49ers, with 148 yards and 2 touchdowns on 13/17 passing. Buffalo’s offense put up 35 points in the win, scoring in every quarter. James Cook led the team in rushing with 107 yards on 14 carries, while Dawson Knox had 56 receiving yards on 2 catches.
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Buffalo’s defense was dominant in their 35-10 win over the 49ers, holding them to just 86 yards passing on 11 completions. The 49ers managed just 239 total yards, with the Bills’ run defense giving up 153 yards on 27 attempts. Despite this, Buffalo’s defense was still good on third downs, allowing the 49ers to convert just 30% of their third down attempts.
The Bills also had two sacks and won the tackles for loss battle. Even though the 49ers found some success running the ball, Buffalo’s defense was able to keep them out of the endzone, not allowing a single touchdown.
Los Angeles Rams
At 6-6, the Rams have a 22.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 21.3% chance of winning the NFC West. They rank 16th in our NFL power rankings. Against the spread, Los Angeles is 5-7, with a scoring margin of -3 points per game. Their O/U record is 6-6, with their games averaging 45.3 points compared to an average line of 47.
After a week 12 loss to the Eagles, the Rams bounced back with a 21-14 win over the Saints in week 13. They were 2.5-point favorites and covered the spread with a 7-point victory. The combined score of 35 points fell short of the 48.5-point line.
Los Angeles Rams Stats
Heading into week 14, the Rams sit 15th in our offensive power rankings. They are 19th in the NFL in points per game (21.2) and 18th in total yards per game (331). Los Angeles ranks 11th in passing yards per game (230.8) and 26th in rushing, with 100.2 yards per game on the ground. Their 3rd-down conversion rate of 32.6% ranks 29th in the league.
Matthew Stafford has posted passer ratings of 110 or higher in each of his last three games, including a 183-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 13. Kyren Williams rushed for 104 yards on 15 carries, and Puka Nacua led the team with 5 catches for 56 yards and a touchdown. The Rams scored 14 points in the 4th quarter against the Saints, converting 4 of 9 3rd-down attempts and going 3 for 3 in the red zone.
Despite allowing 143 rushing yards on 31 attempts, the Rams’ defense held the Saints to just 184 passing yards in their 21-14 win. New Orleans managed only one touchdown and went 4.6 yards per attempt on the ground. The Rams’ defense limited the Saints to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.
Los Angeles gave up 327 total yards and 24 completions to the Saints. They didn’t record any sacks but did win the tackles for loss battle, with one more TFL than the Saints.
Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bills are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Rams are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Bills are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Rams have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bills’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Rams’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Bills vs. Rams Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | -115 | -213 | -1 | -4.5 |
| Rams | -105 | +176 | +1 | +4.5 |
4* Free Week 14 NFL Betting Prediction: Buffalo -4.5
The Bills are thriving on the road, covering in five of their last six road games, which spells trouble for a Rams squad that’s been shaky at home, going 1-4 ATS in their last five at SoFi.
For this week 14 matchup between the Bills and Rams, we have the Bills coming out on top by a score of 30-24.
Even though the Rams are the home team, we like the Bills to cover the spread as 4.5-point favorites on the road. Our best bet for this game is to take the Bills to cover at -4.5.
On paper, the Bills outclass the Rams in nearly every category. With Josh Allen and the high-octane offense firing on all cylinders, it’s hard to envision Los Angeles keeping pace.
While the Rams have flashes of brilliance, they’ve struggled with consistency, and their recent record against Buffalo isn’t promising.
This matchup has all the makings of a statement game for the Bills as they continue their march toward playoff dominance.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 49 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 54 points.
Buckle up—it’s going to be a wild one in LA!
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Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Omar goodness 😳 pic.twitter.com/rnBZGqvWik
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) December 5, 2024
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