Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Bills vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bills taking on the Lions on Sunday, December 15th at the Ford Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Buffalo Detroit matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(10-3) Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions (12-1)
Date: Sunday, December 15th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit MI
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Buffalo +1.5 | Detroit -1.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Buffalo +107 | Detroit -129
NFL Betting Total: O/U 55
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Get ready for a blockbuster Week 15 clash as the high-flying Buffalo Bills (10-3) visit the surging Detroit Lions (12-1) at Ford Field in what promises to be a thrilling late-season showdown.
These two teams don’t meet often, but when they do, sparks fly. Buffalo holds a 7-4-1 edge in the all-time series, including a nail-biting 28-25 victory in Detroit last Thanksgiving.
Both squads are legitimate Super Bowl contenders this year, setting the stage for a battle with playoff implications and a ton of betting intrigue.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Bills have a record of 3-0. However, against the spread the Lions went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 0-3 on an average of 36 points per game.
The Lions, a juggernaut at home this season, come in as slight 1.5-point favorites, but Buffalo isn’t one to back down from a challenge.
Buffalo Bills
After a week 13 win over the 49ers, the Bills couldn’t keep their momentum going, falling 44-42 to the Rams in week 14. Buffalo entered the game as 3.5-point favorites but couldn’t hold on for the win, dropping their record to 10-3. Despite the loss, they still have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and winning the AFC East. The Bills are 3-0 in division games and 7-2 in conference play, putting them 2nd in the AFC and 2nd in our power rankings.
Buffalo has an average scoring margin of +9.9 points per game and is 8-5 against the spread this season. They are 7-3 ATS as favorites and 1-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-5, with their games averaging 51.2 points compared to an average line of 46.3.
Buffalo Bills Stats
Josh Allen has been excellent in his last three games, posting passer ratings of 117 in week 14, 141 in week 13, and 83 in week 12. In his most recent outing, he threw for 342 yards and 3 touchdowns without an interception against the Rams. Allen also led the team in rushing with 82 yards and 3 touchdowns on 10 carries. Khalil Shakir led the team in receiving with 5 catches for 106 yards.
Buffalo is currently 2nd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 30.5 points per game. They rank 12th in passing yards per game (229.3) and 11th in rushing (125.7). The Bills are 8th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 43.4% success rate.
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In their 44-42 loss to the Rams, the Bills’ defense struggled to get off the field, allowing the Rams to convert on 73.3% of their third down attempts. Buffalo gave up 320 yards through the air on 23 completions, and the Rams’ passing game was efficient, averaging 10.7 yards per attempt. The Bills also struggled to stop the run, allowing 137 yards on 42 attempts.
Buffalo’s defense failed to record a sack in the game, despite winning the QB hit differential and having four more tackles for loss than the Rams. The Bills will be looking for significant improvement on the defensive side of the ball in their next game.
Detroit Lions
Detroit’s 34-31 win over the Packers in week 14 extended their winning streak to 11 games, bringing their record to 12-1. The Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and an 89% chance of winning the NFC North. They are 4-0 in division games and 8-1 in conference play.
Detroit is 9-3-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +14.1 points per game. Their O/U record is 6-6-1, with their games averaging 50.1 points. The O/U line for their week 14 matchup with the Packers was 53 points, and the teams combined for 65.
Detroit Lions Stats
Heading into week 15, the Lions are 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in points per game (32.1) and are 2nd in yards per game (394.8). Despite ranking 22nd in passing attempts, they are 4th in passing yards per game (243.8). On the ground, Detroit is 3rd in rushing attempts and 4th in rushing yards per game (151.1). They also rank 4th in 3rd-down conversion percentage and lead the league in red zone attempts, though they are 29th in red zone conversion percentage.
Jared Goff threw for 283 yards (32/41) and 3 touchdowns in week 14, with one interception. David Montgomery had 51 rushing yards on 14 carries, while Jameson Williams led the team with 5 catches for 80 yards. The Lions scored in every quarter against the Packers, finishing with 10 points in the 4th quarter.
In the secondary, the Lions gave up just 12 completions to the Packers in their most recent game, allowing 199 yards through the air. They also held Green Bay to a 20% conversion rate on third down. Despite this, the Lions allowed one passing touchdown and struggled to generate consistent pressure, finishing with only one sack.
On the ground, the Lions gave up 99 yards rushing to the Packers on 24 attempts. Detroit’s defense limited Green Bay to 298 total yards in their 34-31 win, and their defensive line won the QB hit battle, though they did lose the tackles for loss differential.
Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bills are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Lions are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bills are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Lions have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bills’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Lions’ have an over/under record of 0-2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Bills vs. Lions Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | +114 | +107 | +2 | +1.5 |
| Lions | -135 | -129 | -2 | -1.5 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Buffalo +1.5
The Bills have been red-hot, going 7-1 straight up in their last eight games and 6-1 against Detroit in their last seven matchups. Detroit, however, isn’t the same team Buffalo faced in years past, with an explosive offense and a defense that thrives in big moments.
Buffalo’s road strength (7-3 SU in their last 10 away games) and Detroit’s dominance make this a can’t-miss game for fans and bettors alike.
For this week 15 matchup between the Bills and Lions, we have the Bills coming out on top by a score of 24-21. The point spread lines have the Bills at +1.5, making them our best bet to cover as road underdogs.
As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 55 points, we have a lean towards the UNDER, with our projected combined score coming in at 45 points.
With the total set at 55, oddsmakers are expecting fireworks, but I think defense will play a big factor in this one.
Buckle up—this one’s going to be electric!
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Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Dark knights rising pic.twitter.com/l0VhBRzo7w
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) December 13, 2024
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