Free NFL Week 7 Pick: Ravens vs. Buccaneers Odds
Looking for Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Ravens taking on the Buccaneers on Monday, October 21st at the Raymond James Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Baltimore Tampa Bay Monday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
Monday Night Football on ESPN
(4-2) Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2)
Date: Monday, October 21st
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Baltimore -3.5 | Tampa Bay +3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Baltimore -193 | Tampa Bay +160
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48
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Get ready for a Week 7 Monday Night Football showdown that’s dripping with excitement—Ravens vs. Buccaneers! This rivalry has seen seven matchups, with Baltimore taking five wins, but Tampa Bay won’t be backing down, especially with both teams sitting at 4-2.
The last time these two met, Baltimore edged out a 27-22 victory, and you can bet the Bucs are hungry for revenge.
The Ravens and Buccaneers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Ravens have a record of 3-0.
The Ravens also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 48 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Baltimore Ravens
After starting the season with two straight losses, the Ravens have bounced back with four consecutive wins, including a 30-23 victory over the Commanders in week 6. Baltimore was favored by 7 points in that game, so the win was a push against the spread. The over hit, with the teams combining for 53 points, surpassing the 50.5-point line. The Ravens now have a 5-1 O/U record this season.
Heading into week 7, Baltimore ranks 2nd in our NFL power rankings and has a 70.9% chance of winning the AFC North and a 93.8% chance of making the playoffs. They currently sit atop the division with a 4-2 record, including a 1-0 mark in division games. Against the spread, the Ravens are 3-2-1, with a +4.7 scoring margin.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
Heading into week 7, the Ravens are 2nd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in yards per game (453.7) and are 3rd in points per game, averaging 29.5. Baltimore relies heavily on the run game, leading the league in rushing attempts and yards per game (205.3). They also rank 8th in passing yards per game, despite being 21st in pass attempts.
Lamar Jackson has been on fire, throwing for 323 yards (20/26) and a touchdown in week 6 against the Commanders. He posted a passer rating of 114, following his 348-yard, 4-touchdown game in week 5. Derrick Henry rushed for 132 yards on 24 carries in week 6, and Zay Flowers had 9 catches for 132 yards.
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Despite giving up 253 passing yards, the Ravens’ defense held Washington to 52 rushing yards on 18 attempts in their 30-23 win. Washington finished with 305 total yards against Baltimore. The Ravens allowed two passing touchdowns and forced Washington to convert on just 33.3% of their third down attempts.
Baltimore’s defense also recorded three sacks and had four more quarterback hits than Washington. The Ravens’ defense gave up 24 completions on 35 attempts, with opposing quarterbacks completing 68.6% of their passes against them.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
With a 4-2 record, the Buccaneers have a 69.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 44.1% chance of winning the NFC South. They rank 10th in our NFL power rankings and are 4-2 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +6.2 points per game. Tampa Bay’s O/U record is 4-2, with the over hitting in three straight games.
After a week 5 loss to the Falcons, the Bucs bounced back with a 51-27 win over the Saints in week 6. They easily covered the 3.5-point spread, and the teams combined for 78 points, surpassing the 42.5-point O/U line.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Heading into week 7, the Buccaneers’ offense is ranked 7th in our power rankings, and they are 2nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 29.7. They also rank 9th in yards per game (367.2) and 11th in passing yards per game (230.3), despite being 15th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 18th in rushing attempts but 8th in rushing yards per game, with 136.8. Tampa Bay has been strong on 3rd down, converting 47.1% of their attempts, which ranks 3rd in the league. However, they are 27th in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 4th in red zone attempts.
Baker Mayfield threw for 325 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 6, but he also had 3 interceptions. Chris Godwin led the team with 11 catches for 125 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Sean Tucker rushed for 136 yards on 14 carries. Tampa Bay scored 20 points in the 4th quarter against the Saints, and they converted 6 of 10 3rd downs and 4 of 5 red zone attempts.
In their 51-27 win over the Saints, the Buccaneers’ defense was dominant, coming up with five sacks and forcing two interceptions. They held the Saints to just 81 yards rushing on 21 attempts and limited them to 222 passing yards. New Orleans managed to score just one passing touchdown while completing only 55% of their passes. Tampa Bay also defended well on third downs, allowing only a 30.8% conversion rate.
The Buccaneers’ pass rush was relentless, winning the QB hit differential by +8. They also had 5 tackles for loss in the game, and the defense played a key role in the victory.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Ravens are 3-1-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Buccaneers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Buccaneers have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Ravens’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Buccaneers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Ravens vs. Buccaneers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -225 | -192 | -5 | -3.5 |
| Buccaneers | +185 | +160 | +5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 7 NFL Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay +3.5
Our model has the Buccaneers coming out on top by a score of 27-24 in their week seven matchup against the Ravens. With the point spread sitting at +3.5 in favor of the Buccaneers, we are targeting them to not only win but cover the spread as home underdogs.
As for the best way to attack the over/under line, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 51 points, which matches the O/U line. This makes the over a good bet for this Ravens vs. Buccaneers matchup.
This game is slated for prime time at Raymond James Stadium, and it’s got all the makings of a high-scoring affair. The Ravens have hit the over in four of their last five games, while the Bucs have done it in three straight.
With both offenses firing on all cylinders, I’m loving the OVER 48 play here—points will be flying! And don’t sleep on the Bucs covering the +3.5 spread.
Tampa has been rock-solid at home, going 7-3 in their last 10, so they’re more than capable of keeping this one tight, or even pulling off the upset.
This one is set to be a firecracker, so buckle up—Week 7 football doesn’t get much better than this!
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Red jerseys for MNF 😍#WeAreTheKrewe pic.twitter.com/9FORVeCxzu
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) October 17, 2024
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