Free NFL Week 5 Pick: Ravens vs. Steelers Odds
Looking for Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers free NFL Week 5 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Ravens taking on the Steelers on Sunday, October 8th at the Acrisure Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Baltimore Pittsburgh matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(3-1) Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2)
Date: Sunday, October 8th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Baltimore -4.5 | Pittsburgh +4.5
Week 5 NFL Moneyline Odds: Baltimore -232 | Pittsburgh +187
NFL Betting Total: O/U 38.5
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Get ready for an electrifying AFC North showdown as the (3-1) Baltimore Ravens clash with the (2-2) Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, October 8th, at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA. The kickoff is set for 1:00 ET, and you can catch all the action on CBS and DAZN.
According to the NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines, Baltimore is favored at -4.5, while Pittsburgh is the underdog at +4.5. In terms of Moneyline odds, the Ravens stand at -232, and the Steelers are at +187. The game’s over/under is set at 38.5 points.
As for recent performances, the Steelers had a rough outing, getting thumped 30-6 by the Houston Texans last Sunday. Meanwhile, the Ravens, despite being undermanned against the NFL’s top-ranked defense, secured a dominant 28-3 victory over the Browns.
In the historic rivalry between the Steelers and Ravens, they’ve clashed 58 times, including four postseason games. The Steelers hold the edge with 33 wins to the Ravens’ 25.
In the two head-to-head matchups last season, the Ravens and Steelers each picked up one win apiece. Together the Ravens and Steelers averaged 29.5 points per game and had an over/under record of 0-2. Against the spread, they each went 1-1.
The Steelers had the edge in terms of offensive yards last season, averaging 340 yards of offense compared to the Ravens at 274.5.
Stay tuned to our NFL football handicapping blog for in-depth insights and analysis on this thrilling matchup.
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Baltimore Ravens
Through four games, the Ravens have played two games on the road where they have gone 2-0. So far, all of their games have been vs. AFC teams and their overall record of 3-1 has them sitting 1st in the AFC-North.
The Ravens’ have a scoring margin of +10.2 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 3-1.
Even though, the Ravens’ offense picked up a below-average number of first-downs, they stil went on to beat the Browns. The Ravens finished with 296 yards of total offense compared to 166 for the Browns.
The Browns averaged 2.0 yards per passing attempt and 3.7 yards per rush. Going into the game, Baltimore was favored by 1.5 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Lamar Jackson threw for two touchdowns and ran for 2 scores.
Jackson completed 78% of his passes for 186 yards.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
Looking at their performance on offense, Lamar Jackson threw for 186 yards while completing 78% of his passes.
On the ground, the Ravens rushed the ball 33 times for 131 yards. The team’s third-down performance stood at 4/12.
Baltimore’s offense is 11th in the league, with an average of 24.8 points per contest.
In terms of defense, the Ravens hold the 6th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 2nd in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 14.5 points and gain 260.8 yards per game against them.
Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers’ week 5 matchup vs. Baltimore will be their 3rd home game of the season. On the road, they have gone 1-1 and are 2-2 overall. In the AFC-North, Pittsburgh is 2nd and 6th in the AFC.
Pittsburgh’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -9.5. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 2-2.
Pittsburgh struggled with a slow start in their defeat against the Texans, failing to register any points in the first quarter. In total, the Steelers managed 225 yards on offense while allowing 451 yards on defense.
Pittsburgh also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 3 point favorites. Kenny Pickett did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 15 of 23 passes for 114 yards. Pickett ended the game with a passer rating of 58.
Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
Against the Texans, the Steelers ran the ball 25 times, with Najee Harris as the primary rusher, accumulating 71 yards. Kenny Pickett attempted 23 passes, amassing 114 yards and a passer rating of 58.
Offensively, the Steelers have an average of 15.5 points per game, which positions them 24th in the NFL.
On the defensive front, the Steelers enter the game as the 5th ranked team in tackles for loss and 4th in sacks.
Their opponents are averaging 25 points per game against them, along with an average of 403.0 yards per contest.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Ravens are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Steelers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Ravens’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Steelers’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Ravens vs. Steelers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -126 | -232 | -2.5 | -4.5 |
| Steelers | +108 | +187 | +2.5 | +4.5 |
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Pittsburgh +4.5
The line opened at the Ravens -1.
Despite being favored by 4.5 vs. the Steelers, I’m not completly buying what the Ravens are selling. The public will be heavy on Baltimore which has me wanting to throw my betting action behind Tomlin’s Steelers.
Baltimore are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Pittsburgh, and the Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their L8, and are 6-2 SU in their L8 as well.
Our recommendation is to take the Steelers +4.5.
This is the week the Steelers defense will rise to the occasion, and I have confidence in Tomlin’s game strategy. Judging from his track record, it’s unlikely the Steelers will end up with a losing record.
Expect this game to be a closely contested one.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 38.5 points. Our betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 41 points.
Like most smashmouth AFC North games the public will be on the UNDER.
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Coach Tomlin provides an update on injuries: pic.twitter.com/YvuAQ9EZ6z
— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) October 3, 2023
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