Free NFL Week 3 Pick: Ravens vs. Cowboys Odds
Looking for Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Ravens taking on the Cowboys on Sunday, September 22nd at the AT&T Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Baltimore Dallas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(0-2) Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys (1-1)
Date: Sunday, September 22nd
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Baltimore -1 | Dallas +1
NFL Moneyline Odds: Baltimore -118 | Dallas -103
NFL Betting Total: O/U 49
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NFL Week 3 is upon us, and this Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys matchup is shaping up to be a nail-biter! We’ve got the (0-2) Ravens, hungry for their first win of the season, taking on the (1-1) Cowboys, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. The lines are razor-thin: Baltimore is a slight 1-point favorite, with a moneyline of -118 for the Ravens and -103 for Dallas.
The over/under is set at 49, so expect some action on the scoreboard, but here’s the thing—this game is going to be won in the trenches.
The Ravens and Cowboys did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Ravens have a record of 2-1.
However, against the spread the Cowboys went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 51 points per game.
Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens are now 0-2 after losing to the Raiders 26-23 in their most recent game. Baltimore was favored by -8.5, and the 3-point loss put their ATS record at 0-2. The Ravens lost to the Raiders 26-23, dropping their record to 0-2 for the season. Baltimore missed a chance to take the lead heading into halftime when Justin Tucker missed a 56-yard field goal.
Derrick Henry took over in the 3rd quarter for the Raiders, rushing for a 29-yard touchdown to give the Ravens a 16-13 lead and adding a 3-yard touchdown in the 4th. However, the Ravens did manage to tie the game at 23 with 3:57 left in the 4th quarter, as Lamar Jackson scored on a 1-yard touchdown run. But the Raiders were able to pull off the comeback, as Daniel Carlson kicked a 38-yard field goal with 31 seconds left to give the Raiders the win.
Looking at the betting lines, the over/under line was set at 42.5 points, and the teams combined for 49 points. Baltimore led 9-6 at halftime, and the Ravens missed a chance to extend their lead when Justin Tucker missed a 56-yard field goal late in the 2nd quarter. The Ravens fell behind early in the 3rd quarter when Derrick Henry broke free for a 29-yard touchdown. However, the Ravens responded with a touchdown from Gardner Minshew II to Brock Bowers to take a 23-20 lead with 10:31 left in the 4th quarter. Henry’s 3-yard touchdown and a late field goal from the Raiders sealed the Ravens’ fate.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
In the Ravens’ 26-23 loss to the Raiders, Lamar Jackson completed 21 of 34 passes for 247 yards, with one touchdown and one interception. The Ravens’ offense managed 21 first downs and 232 passing yards, but struggled on third down, converting only 27.3% of their chances. Jackson was sacked twice in the game.
On the ground, the Ravens ran for 151 yards on 27 attempts, averaging 5.6 yards per carry. Derrick Henry led the team with 84 rushing yards and a touchdown, while Zay Flowers was the top receiver with 91 yards and one touchdown. Jackson also contributed 45 rushing yards on five attempts.
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In the Ravens’ 26-23 loss to the Raiders, their defense allowed just 27 rushing yards on 17 attempts, with Las Vegas managing only 1.6 yards per attempt. Despite this, Baltimore’s defense struggled to get off the field, as the Raiders converted 66.7% of their fourth-down attempts and 46.7% of their third-down attempts. The Ravens’ defense also forced five sacks and had an interception.
Baltimore’s defense held the Raiders to 233 passing yards on 30 completions. The Ravens also limited Las Vegas to a 33.3% third-down conversion rate. However, the Raiders were able to sustain drives and pull off the upset, even with Baltimore’s strong pass rush.
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys’ most recent game was a 44-19 loss to the Saints, dropping their record to 1-1. Dallas got off to a tough start, falling behind 14-3 after the 1st quarter and 35-16 by halftime. The Cowboys managed to add a field goal in the 3rd quarter and a touchdown to Jalen Tolbert but still trailed 41-19 heading into the 4th. The over/under line was 47 points, and the teams combined for 63 points.
Dallas opened the scoring with a 52-yard field goal from Brandon Aubrey, but the Saints responded with two quick touchdowns. Alvin Kamara had a big game for the Saints, scoring multiple touchdowns. Despite the heavy 25-point loss, the Cowboys were still 6.5-point favorites but failed to cover the spread.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
The Cowboys’ offense managed 20 first downs in their 44-19 loss to the Saints, but turnovers were a big issue, as they threw two interceptions and lost a fumble. Dallas finished with 285 yards passing on 42 attempts, with Dak Prescott throwing for 293 yards and completing 27 of 39 passes. He was sacked three times and finished with a passer rating of 78.
On the ground, Dallas struggled, gaining just 68 yards on 21 attempts. Rico Dowdle was their leading rusher with 30 yards. CeeDee Lamb led the team with 90 receiving yards, including a 65-yard reception and one touchdown.
In their 44-19 loss to the Saints, the Cowboys’ defense struggled to get off the field, allowing New Orleans to convert 62.5% of their third down attempts. Despite allowing just 11 completions, the Cowboys gave up 242 yards through the air. On the ground, Dallas gave up 190 yards on 39 attempts, with the Saints averaging 4.9 yards per attempt.
The Cowboys’ defense did come up with one interception in the game, but they allowed two passing touchdowns. They also managed just one sack and had negative differentials in both QB hits and tackles for loss.
Betting Angle
Dallas has struggled as underdogs, going a dreadful 1-4 ATS in their last five in that role. Meanwhile, Baltimore has been road warriors, cashing in a solid 7-3 ATS in their last 10 away games.
The Ravens need this win like air, and with Lamar Jackson leading a run-heavy attack featuring Derrick Henry, they’ve got a prime matchup against one of the league’s worst rushing defenses.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Ravens are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cowboys have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Ravens’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Cowboys’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Ravens vs. Cowboys Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | +100 | -118 | +1 | -1 |
| Cowboys | -120 | -103 | -1 | +1 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: Baltimore -1
Dallas has been a brick wall against the pass but has crumbled against the run, and that’s going to be the story of this game.
The Cowboys’ offense is looking one-dimensional, especially with Ezekiel Elliott struggling to make an impact since his return. Just 56 rushing yards through two weeks? Not exactly setting the world on fire. Without a ground game to balance things out, Dallas is going to be leaning too hard on their passing attack, and that plays right into the Ravens’ hands.
Our pick vs. the spread for this Ravens vs. Cowboys matchup is to take the Ravens to cover as road favorites. The point spread lines have the Ravens at -1, and we have them winning by a score of 30-26.
For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 56 points and the O/U line sitting at 49 points.
Bottom line: Take the Ravens to cover. Baltimore’s ground-and-pound style will wear down the Cowboys, and this could be the game where they get back on track! Get in now before the line moves, because this is a prime betting opportunity you don’t want to miss!
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Check out the latest episode of @DC_StoryLine LIVE from The Star as Nick Eatman takes your #DallasCowboys questions and calls (888-855-2297). https://t.co/6u9kOqlFzQ
— CowboysStoryLine (@DC_StoryLine) September 20, 2024
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