
Free NFL Week 8 Pick: Ravens vs. Browns Odds
Looking for Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Ravens taking on the Browns on Sunday, October 27th at the Huntington Bank Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Baltimore Cleveland matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(5-2) Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns (1-6)
Date: Sunday, October 27th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland OH
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Baltimore -9 | Cleveland +9
NFL Moneyline Odds: Baltimore -469 | Cleveland +364
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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Get ready for some Week 8 fireworks as the Baltimore Ravens, riding high at 5-2, take on the Cleveland Browns, struggling at 1-6.
History leans heavily in favor of the Ravens, with a dominant 36-14 all-time record against the Browns, and Cleveland has had a tough time defending home turf, going 8-17 in this matchup at Huntington Bank Field.
But this is the NFL, and anything can happen when divisional rivals collide!
Each team picked up a win on the road in last year’s series between the Ravens and Browns. The Ravens took the first game 28-3, and the Browns won the second game 33-31.
The Ravens were favored by -1.5 in their win, and the Browns were +5.5 in their victory. The over/under line for the first game was 38 points, and the teams combined for 31 points.
In the second game, the line was 38.5 points, and the teams combined for 64 points.
Baltimore Ravens
Heading into week 8, the Ravens sit 2nd in our NFL power rankings and have a 69.9% chance of winning the AFC North and a 96.4% chance of making the playoffs. Baltimore is 5-2 and has won five straight games, including a 41-31 road win over the Buccaneers in week 7. The Ravens covered the 4.5-point spread in that game, but the 72 combined points easily went over the 51-point line, marking their third straight over.
Baltimore is 4-2-1 against the spread this season, with a +5.4 scoring margin. They are 4-1-1 ATS as favorites and 0-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-1, with their games averaging 56.9 points compared to an average line of 47.6.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
Heading into week 8, the Ravens are 2nd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in points per game (31.1) and yards per game (461.4). Baltimore is also 5th in passing yards per game, despite ranking 22nd in pass attempts. On the ground, they lead the league in rushing attempts (34.1) and rushing yards per game (210.9).
Lamar Jackson has been on fire, posting a perfect passer rating of 158 in week 7, with 281 yards and 5 touchdowns on 17/22 passing. Derrick Henry rushed for 169 yards on 15 carries, and Rashod Bateman had 121 receiving yards. Before Bateman, Zay Flowers led the team with 132 yards in week 6 and 111 yards in week 5.
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Despite giving up 356 passing yards to the Buccaneers, the Ravens’ defense came away with two interceptions in their 41-31 win. Tampa Bay completed 31 passes for a 68.9% completion rate and had 481 total yards on offense. Baltimore struggled on third downs, allowing the Buccaneers to convert 64.7% of their third down attempts.
On the positive side, the Ravens’ defense recorded three sacks and won the quarterback hit battle by two. However, they did allow three passing touchdowns and struggled to stop the run, giving up 125 rushing yards on 30 attempts.
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland’s losing streak now stands at five games, dropping them to 1-6 on the season. The Browns rank 17th in our NFL power rankings and have just a 3.9% chance of making the playoffs. Their division odds are even lower at 0.2%. Cleveland is 0-1 in the AFC North and 1-2 in conference play.
Against the spread, the Browns are 2-5, with both of their covers coming as underdogs. They couldn’t cover as 5.5-point home underdogs in their week 7 loss to the Bengals. The O/U line for that game was 42.5, and the teams combined for 35 points. The under has hit in two straight Browns games.
Cleveland Browns Stats
Heading into week 8, the Browns rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 15.6, and they sit at the bottom of the league in total yards per game with 253.9. Despite ranking 5th in passing attempts, they are 30th in passing yards per game, averaging 159.6. On the ground, Cleveland ranks 27th in both rushing attempts and rushing yards per game, with 94.3. One bright spot has been their red zone efficiency, where they rank 2nd in the NFL, converting 100% of their opportunities.
Deshaun Watson posted a passer rating of 98 in week 7, going 15/17 for 128 yards before being replaced by Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who is dealing with a finger injury. Thompson-Robinson led the team in rushing with 44 yards on 3 carries. Cedric Tillman had 8 catches for 81 yards, leading the receiving corps. The Browns scored 8 points in the 4th quarter against the Bengals after being shut out in the 1st and 3rd quarters.
In the Browns’ 21-14 loss to the Bengals, their defense allowed just 59 rushing yards on 25 attempts, holding Cincinnati to 2.4 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite their strong effort against the run, the Browns gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed 164 yards through the air. They struggled on third down, allowing the Bengals to convert just 15.4% of their third down attempts.
Cleveland’s defense also managed three sacks in the game and limited the Bengals to a 60% completion percentage. However, the Browns’ offense couldn’t capitalize on their defensive effort, as they were held to just 14 points in the loss.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Ravens are 4-0-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Browns are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Browns have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Ravens’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Browns’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Ravens vs. Browns Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -122 | -472 | -1.5 | -9 |
| Browns | +102 | +361 | +1.5 | +9 |
4* Free Week 8 NFL Betting Prediction: Cleveland +9
The Ravens are coming in hot, potentially the best team in the league right now, but don’t sleep on the Browns.
Sure, Baltimore is favored by 9, but Cleveland could be sneaky here. Divisional games are often closer than expected, and the Browns have shown they can hang with the Ravens, especially in tight spots like their 33-31 win over Baltimore last season.
The spread here looks juicy for Cleveland backers, and while Baltimore is expected to win, covering 9 points on the road is no walk in the park.
Our pick against the spread in this week eight matchup is to take the Browns to cover as home underdogs.
The point spread lines have the Browns at +9, and although we have the Ravens winning 21-16, the Browns’ point spread is our top pick.
Where’s the real value? The UNDER is calling! Cleveland’s recent trend leans heavily in that direction—UNDER in 10 of their last 15 games against Baltimore, UNDER in 5 of their last 6 overall, and again, UNDER in 4 of their last 5 Sunday games.
With a total sitting at 44.5, look for a gritty, lower-scoring AFC North clash.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 44.5 points, we have a projected combined score of 37 points, making the UNDER our recommended play for this matchup.
Points may be tough to come by, and betting the UNDER feels like the smart, sharp play here.
Buckle up, it’s gonna be a battle!
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
In this week’s edition of X’s and Joes, @joehaden23 joins @NathanZegura to take a look at the film from some key moments last week as we prepare to face the Ravens in Week 8.
📺: https://t.co/UVpU2dkktj pic.twitter.com/GmzIlLuN4V
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) October 23, 2024
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