Free NFL Week 7 Pick: Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds
Looking for Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers free NFL Week 7 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Falcons taking on the Buccaneers on Sunday, October 22nd at the Raymond James Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Atlanta Tampa Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(3-3) Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2)
Date: Sunday, October 22nd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay FL
NFL Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Atlanta +2.5 | Tampa Bay -2.5
Week 7 NFL Moneyline Odds: Atlanta +120 | Tampa Bay -146
NFL Betting Total: O/U 38
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This week in NFL betting, we’ve got the Atlanta Falcons (3-3, 1-5 ATS) facing off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2, 3-2 ATS) on Sunday, October 22nd, at 1:00 ET. They’ll be clashing at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, FL, and you can catch it on FOX.
Here are the Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: Tampa Bay -2.5, and the Week 7 NFL Moneyline Odds are Atlanta +120 and Tampa Bay -146. The NFL Betting Total is set at O/U 38.
Recapping last week’s action, the Falcons suffered a tough 24-16 loss to the Commanders in NFL Week 6, and the Buccaneers also faced disappointment with a 20-6 loss to the Lions.
In terms of their rivalry, the Falcons and Buccaneers have met 59 times, with the Falcons winning 29 games and the Buccaneers securing 30 victories.
In the two head-to-head matchups last season, the Falcons and Buccaneers each picked up one win apiece. The over/under under mark in these matchups was 1-1, with the team’s combining to average 41.5 points per contest.
When looking at the spread, the Falcons went 2-0 in their head-to-head matchups.
On offense, the two teams finished with similar production in yardage, with the Falcons averaging 321.5 yards per game compared to the Buccaneers at 321.
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Atlanta Falcons
In the NFC-South standings, the Falcons are in 2nd place with a record of 3-3. Within the NFC, Atlanta is 9th, heading into week 7. Atlanta’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -3.5. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 1-5.
Even though the Falcons finished with 402 yards of offense compared to the Commanders’ 193, the Falcons still lost the game. In the game, the Falcons averaged 3.7 yards per rush for a total of 106.
On the other side, the Commanders threw for 121 yards while running for 72. Atlanta also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 1.5 point favorites. Desmond Ridder threw for 307 yards while completing 59% of his passes and throwing for 307. Ridder threw for two touchdowns.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
Offensively, the Falcons rushed the ball 29 times against the Commanders. Tyler Allgeier led the ground attack with 51 yards. Desmond Ridder made 47 passing attempts, accumulating 307 yards and achieving a passer rating of 66.
On offense, the Falcons are averaging 16.5 points per game, putting them 26th in the NFL.
On the defensive front, the Falcons enter the game as the 15th ranked team in tackles for loss and 12th in sacks.
Their opponents are averaging 20 points per game against them, along with an average of 278.2 yards per contest.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
With an overall record of 3-2, the Buccaneers are 1st in the NFC-South. This record also has them 4th in the NFC. At home, Tampa Bay is 1-2 compared to a record of 2-0 on the road. When it comes to the spread, the Buccaneers have a 3-2 record. Heading into week 7, their scoring margin is at +0.4 (per game).
The Buccaneers were unable to overcome being held scoreless in the first quarter against the Lions and lost by a score of 20-6. Defensively, they allowed they gave up 380 yards and allowed the Lions to convert 16.7% of their 3rd downs.
On offense, the Buccaneers finished with 251 yards went 2/12 on third down. Tampa Bay’s 14 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 3 point underdogs. Baker Mayfield did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 19 of 37 passes for 206 yards.
Mayfield ended the game with a passer rating of 56.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
On offense, the Buccaneers finished with 251 yards against the Lions. On third-down situations, the Buccaneers had a 16.7% conversion rate. Notably, Rachaad White led the rushing attack with 26 yards, while Baker Mayfield passed for 206 yards.
On offense, the Buccaneers are averaging 18 points per game, putting them 23rd in the NFL.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Buccaneers give up an average of 247.0 passing yards and 83.8 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Tampa Bay is currently ranked 8th in the league.
So far, they are giving up 17.6 points per game and 330.8 yards.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Buccaneers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Falcons are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Buccaneers have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Falcons’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Buccaneers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Falcons | +100 | +120 | +1.5 | +2.5 |
Buccaneers | -118 | -146 | -1.5 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 7 NFL Betting Prediction: Atlanta +2.5
We’re flipping the script this week and taking the Falcons +2.5. The Bucs defense is a bend don’t break type of D, and I think this week they’ll break just enough for the Falcons fantastic run-game to burst on thru.
The Atlanta Falcons, affectionately dubbed the Dirty Birds, currently boast an average of 119 rushing yards, positioning them at the 10th spot in the league for ground yardage.
When it comes to scoring, they maintain an average of 16.5 points per game (PPG).
Robinson has 401 rushing yards, Allgeier has 242 rush yards. Ridder has 75 rush yards. These guys will come downhill on day long this week.
Last season, teams that were favored against the spread, went on to cover at a rate of just 44.6%. I like the value in grabbing the Falcons at +2.5 in their matchup vs. the Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games, and they’re 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home.
With the over/under line sitting at 38, my pick is to take the under. So far, Tampa Bay has an average margin vs. the over/under of -5.8 points per game.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games, plus we’ve seen the UNDER hit in 5 of Atlanta’s L6.
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Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Love the Uni’s
A special day to share with the Krewe 🧡
Coming back better. pic.twitter.com/RilKGDVnnv
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) October 16, 2023
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