Free NFL Week 18 Pick: Falcons vs. Saints Odds
Looking for Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints free NFL Week 18 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Falcons taking on the Saints on Sunday, January 7th at the Caesars Superdome. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 18 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Atlanta New Orleans matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 18
(7-9) Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints (8-8)
Date: Sunday, January 7th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans LA
NFL Week 18 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Atlanta +3.5 | New Orleans -3.5
Week 18 NFL Moneyline Odds: Atlanta +154 | New Orleans -192
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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The first matchup between the teams saw, the Falcons win with a 24-15 score over Saints. As they entered the game, the Falcons were considered underdogs with a +2 point spread but managed to secure an ATS win.
Before the game, the over/under line was set at 42 points, resulting an under for the over/under result.
The intense rivalry between the Saints and Falcons has seen a total of 109 NFC South matchups, including one postseason game. Out of these, the New Orleans Saints have emerged with wins in 54, while the Falcons have claimed wins in 55.
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Atlanta Falcons
Over the course of 16 games, the Falcons have put together a record of 7-9. This positions them 3rd in the NFC-South and 12th in the NFC. The Falcons have put together a record of 5-11 against the spread.
This mark has come on an average scoring margin of -1.3.
In their defeat against the Bears, Atlanta had a slow start and failed to score in the first quarter. The Falcons concluded the game with 307 yards on offense, while allowing 432 on defense.
Atlanta’s 20 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 3 point underdogs. Quarterback Taylor Heinicke threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score.
Heinicke completed 34% of his passes for 163 yards.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
The Falcons’ offense produced a total of 307 yards against the Bears. On third downs, the Falcons achieved a conversion rate of 30.8%. Notably, Bijan Robinson led the rushing attack with 75 yards, while Heinicke passed for 163 yards.
For this season, the Atlanta offense has an average of 19 points per game, placing them at 23rd in the league.
On the defensive side of the ball, Atlanta currently ranks 9th in points allowed. Their opponents have been averaging 20.3 points per game while gaining 316.1 yards per contest.
New Orleans Saints
Over the course of 16 games, the Saints have put together a record of 8-8. This positions them 2nd in the NFC-South and 9th in the NFC. The Saints have a 5-10-1 ATS record so far.
As we enter week 18, their scoring margin per game is +2.8.
Key to the Saints’ win, was the fact that they got off to a good start in the first-quarter. New Orleans scored 7 points in the opening period. Overall, the Saints had 310 yards of offense compared to the 349 at 349.
New Orleans went into the game as the underdog (+2.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Derek Carr threw for 197 yards while completing 75% of his passes and throwing for 197. Carr threw for two touchdowns.
New Orleans Saints Stats
Offensively, Derek Carr ended with 197 passing yards with a completion rate of 75%.
The Saints ran the ball 35 times, gaining 108 yards. The team converted 8 of 18 third-down opportunities.
On the offensive front, the Saints are currently averaging 22.1 points per game, positioning them 13th in the NFL.
The Saints are 13th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 323.3 yards per contest.
New Orleans’ defense comes in with an average of 19.4 points per game allowed, which is 6th in the NFL.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Saints are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Saints have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Falcons’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Saints’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Falcons vs. Saints Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Falcons | +145 | +154 | +3.5 | +3.5 |
Saints | -175 | -192 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 18 NFL Betting Prediction: Atlanta +3.5
In the 109th regular season showdown between the Saints and the Falcons, both teams are vying for a postseason berth.
New Orleans desperately needs a win against Atlanta.
If they succeed and the Buccaneers stumble against the Panthers, New Orleans will secure their first division title since 2020.
Even if Tampa Bay prevails, a Saints victory, combined with losses or ties by the Seahawks and Packers, could catapult New Orleans into a coveted Wild Card playoff spot, setting the stage for Super Wild Card weekend.
Both teams are clinging to their NFC playoff hopes, requiring not just a win but also assistance from Tampa Bay and others.
This matchup is one of many this weekend with significant implications, known for nail-biting outcomes—36 games since 1991 decided by eight points or less between these two.
I’m going with Atlanta to cover as 3.5-point underdogs in this matchup. Atlanta had an impressive performance in their last game, particularly in the ground game against Chicago.
I anticipate them to replicate that success, which is why I’m backing Atlanta before kickoff.
If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing below 41.5 points. For this game, my money is on the under.
This game adds another chapter to their fierce rivalry, promising more thrilling drama.
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Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) January 4, 2024
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