Free NFL Pre-Season Pick: Falcons vs. Dolphins Odds
Looking for Atlanta Falcons vs. Miami Dolphins free pre-season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Falcons taking on the Dolphins on Friday, August 9th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Pre-Season games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Atlanta Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Atlanta Falcons vs. Miami Dolphins (0-0)
Date: Friday, August 9th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Atlanta -2.5 | Miami +2.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Atlanta -149 | Miami +122
NFL Betting Total: O/U 37.5
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Last season, the Falcons and Dolphins did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Dolphins have the leg up at 2-1. The Dolphins also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 48 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta’s pre-season got off to a good start with a 19-3 win over the Dolphins in week one. They finished with a 1-1-1 record, going 1-0 on the road and 0-1-1 at home. In week two, they tied with the Bengals 13-13 but ended their pre-season with a 24-0 loss to the Steelers.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
Finishing 24th in the league, the Falcons’ offense struggled to put up points last pre-season, averaging just 10.7 points per game. In terms of yardage, they were 26th with 272.3 yards per game. One of the reasons for their struggles was a lack of a running game, as they were 25th in rushing yards and 19th in attempts.
For the pre-season, the Falcons averaged 86 rushing yards per game and 186.3 passing yards per game, ranking 21st in the NFL.
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Despite giving up 302.7 yards per game last pre-season, the Falcons’ defense was tough to score against, finishing 3rd in the pre-season by allowing just 13.3 points per game. They were 26th in yards allowed, but their pass defense was one of the best, finishing 4th in passing yards allowed.
Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins finished last year’s pre-season with a 1-2 record, picking up a 28-3 win over the Texans in week two after dropping their opener to the Falcons (19-3). Miami was 0-1 at home and 1-1 on the road in the pre-season.
They ended the pre-season with a 31-18 loss to the Jaguars.
Miami Dolphins Stats
Despite finishing 18th in passing yards per game last pre-season, the Dolphins’ passing attack averaged 188.7 yards per game. They were 17th in passing attempts per game, averaging 30.3 attempts.
For the pre-season, Miami’s offense finished 18th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 16.3 points. They were one of the more successful rushing attacks, ranking 3rd in rushing yards and 8th in rushing attempts.
Heading into the regular season, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 275.3 yards per game last pre-season, putting them 9th in the league. They finished last year’s pre-season giving up 17.7 points per game, which was also 9th in the league.
For some more specific numbers, the Dolphins allowed 88 rushing yards per game and 187.3 passing yards per game, ranking 7th and 10th, respectively, in last year’s pre-season.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Dolphins are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Dolphins have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Falcons’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Dolphins’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Falcons vs. Dolphins Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | -125 | -149 | -1.5 | -2.5 |
| Dolphins | +105 | +122 | +1.5 | +2.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Miami +2.5
The Dolphins are loaded with playmakers and have strengthened their defense with key offseason acquisitions. Meanwhile, the Falcons are introducing new quarterbacks, with Michael Penix Jr. starting Week 1 as Kirk Cousins sits out the preseason.
Notably, the Dolphins hold a strong record against the Falcons in recent preseason matchups.
Our prediction for this week one pre-season matchup between the Dolphins and Falcons is to take the Dolphins to not only win, but also cover the spread. The point spread lines have the Dolphins at +2.5, and we have them winning by a score of 27-17. With this being the case, our best bet is to take the Dolphins to cover as home underdogs.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 37.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with our projections having this game finishing with just 45 combined points.
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Atlanta Falcons vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Surfing szn 🔜⁰⁰31 days until the regular season kicks off! 🏄♂️ pic.twitter.com/oCs8ZQSpWA
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) August 8, 2024
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