Free NFL Week 3 Pick: Falcons vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions free NFL Week 3 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Falcons taking on the Lions on Sunday, September 24th at the Ford Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Atlanta Detroit matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(2-0) Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions (1-1)
Date: Sunday, September 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Ford Field
NFL Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Atlanta +3.5 | Detroit -3.5
Week 3 NFL Moneyline Odds: Atlanta +152 | Detroit -188
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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Get ready for an exciting Week 3 showdown as the Falcons face off against the Lions at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday. Wondering who will come out on top? Our NFL handicapping blog has you covered with game analysis and predictions.
Catch the action at 10 a.m. MST on FOX. The Lions are favored by 4.5 points, with -200 on the moneyline, while the Falcons sit at +165.
The Falcons and Lions did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Falcons have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Lions went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 45 points per game.
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Atlanta Falcons
To kick off the season, the Falcons took down the Panthers and made it look easy. Then in Week 2 they went up against the Packers at home, resulting in a 25-24 win.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
On offense, the Falcons finished with 446 yards against the Packers. When it came to third downs, the Falcons had a 40% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Bijan Robinson with 124 yards, and Desmond Ridder contributed 237 passing yards.
On the defensive end, the Falcons recorded one sack and one interception against the Packers. Additionally, the team’s secondary allowed 140 passing yards, while the rush defense gave up 84 rushing yards.
Detroit Lions
To open their season, the Lions of course took down the Super Bowl defending champion KC Chiefs in the NFL season opener. They of course won! To start their season 1-0. Then in Week 2, in their home opener they faced off against the Seahawks at home.
Unfortunately, they lost and now have a 1-1 record following a 37-31 loss.
Detroit Lions Stats
On offense the Seahawks finished with 27 rushing attempts, and David Montgomery was the leading rusher with 67 yards. In the passing game, Jared Goff threw the ball 35 times, accumulating 323 yards and a passer rating of 121.
On defense, the Lions conceded 393 yards of total offense to Seattle. 82 of these yards were obtained on the ground, while the team’s secondary allowed 311 yards on 41 pass attempts.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Lions are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Falcons are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Lions have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Falcons’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Lions’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Falcons vs. Lions Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | +150 | +139 | +4 | +3.5 |
| Lions | -178 | -171 | -4 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: Atlanta +3.5
One trend working in the Falcons’ favor in this matchup is the fact that road underdogs covered the spread at a rate of 54.8% last season.
Most experts and the PUBLIC will be on the Lions in this one, so when they zig we’re going to zag, and bet against the public.
Look for the Falcons to cover the spread in this week one matchup vs. the Lions.
I’m not sure I can see a game where the Detroit Lions are able to keep Bijan Robinson in check. When you sprinkle in Allgeier and Ridder as well this is an offensive attack that will be tough to game plan around.
On the other side, the Lions will be missing their lead dog Montgomery in this one, advantage Falcons.
The Lions are also not top notch defending the pass, so I expect Drake London to be a difference maker in this one too.
For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has the Falcons and Lions combining for 41 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 45.5, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
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Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
🔊🔊🔊🔊 pic.twitter.com/AlvEgQ5jJn
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) September 19, 2023
Watch: A recap of the festivities surrounding @BarrySanders' statue unveiling at @FordField this weekend.#EasyToCelebrate pic.twitter.com/ZoSdsvQIcj
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) September 19, 2023
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