Free Week 1 NFL Pick: Cardinals vs. Commanders Odds
Looking for Arizona Cardinals vs. Washington Commanders free NFL Week 1 regular season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cardinals taking on the Commanders on Sunday, September 10th at the FedEx Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Arizona Washington matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Arizona Cardinals vs. Washington Commanders (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 10th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: FedEx Field
NFL Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Arizona +7 | Washington -7
Week 1 NFL Moneyline Odds: Arizona +247 | Washington -318
NFL Betting Total: O/U 38
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Last season, the Cardinals and Commanders did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Commanders have the leg up at 2-1. The Commanders also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 36 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
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Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals are gearing up for the season, looking to improve on their last place finish in the NFC-West which put them 15th in the NFC. Arizona’s cumulative record stood at 4-13, which included going 3-5 on the road and 1-8 when playing on their own turf.
When facing divisional opponents, the Cardinals achieved a 1-5 record.
Arizona Cardinals Stats
Arizona is coming off a season in which they were 21st in points per game, at 20.0 points per contest. In terms of their offensive efficiency, they averaged 4.8, which was 28th in the NFL. On the ground, the Cardinals ran the ball an average of 25.5 times per contest (20th) and finished 18th in passing yards.
The Cardinals’ defense is coming off a season in which they were 29th in points allowed and gave up an average of 348.9 yards per game (21st).
When looking at how they got after the quarterback, Arizona was 12th while also finishing 9th in quarterback hits while hitting the QB on 16.5% of their dropbacks.
Washington Commanders
The Commanders head into the season looking to take a step forward, as they finished in last place in the NFC-East and 9th in the NFC. Washington’s overall record was 8-8-1, including going 4-3-1 on the road and 4-5 at home. In divisional games, the Commanders went 2-3-1.
Washington Commanders Stats
On offense, the Commanders are coming off a season in which they were 19th in yards per game and averaged 18.9 points per game (24th). In the passing attack, Washington was 19th in passing attempts and 21st in passing yards.
On the ground, the Commanders averaged 126.1 yards per contest (12th).
On defense, the Commanders finished the season ranked 8th in points allowed at 20.2 points per contest. On the road, Washington gave up 21.5 points per game compared to 19 at home.
In terms of yardage, the Commanders gave up 304.6 yards per game and finished the season 11th in turnovers.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Washington Commanders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Cardinals are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Commanders are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cardinals are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Commanders have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cardinals’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Commanders’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Cardinals vs. Commanders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | +190 | +249 | +5.5 | +7 |
| Commanders | -235 | -320 | -5.5 | -7 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Arizona +7
On the point-spread, I have the Cardinals covering as road underdogs. At +7, there is good value on the Cardinals.
The Commanders had an excellent preseason and remained undefeated with a 3-0 record. The burning question is: does Sam Howell possess the NFL skills required? Can he meet the high expectations?
On the other side, the Cardinals boast a 7-0 ATS (Against The Spread) record in their last seven games against NFC East opponents.
The Cardinals’ performance will heavily rely on James Conner, and I, for one, maintain faith in his running abilities.
He’s the reason I believe the Cardinals can keep this game close. During the previous season, Conner concluded with over 780 rushing yards and seven touchdowns.
Keep an eye on him, as he may single-handedly assist Zona in covering the +7 spread in this match.
This one also sails over the total. (10/17 games for the CARDS went over in 2022/23)
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Arizona Cardinals vs. Washington Commanders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Out here building leaders
New episode of Commanders Log drops in one hour pic.twitter.com/0uNvKYr54j
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) September 6, 2023
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