Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Cardinals vs. Texans Odds
Looking for Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans free NFL Week 11 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Cardinals taking on the Texans on Sunday, November 19th at the NRG Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Arizona Houston matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(2-8) Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans (5-4)
Date: Sunday, November 19th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston TX
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Arizona +4 | Houston -4
Week 11 NFL Moneyline Odds: Arizona +165 | Houston -201
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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Plain and simple when these teams play, the home team wins. Will that happen this week?
The Cardinals and Texans did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Cardinals have a record of 2-1.
However, against the spread the Texans went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 46 points per game.
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The Cardinals-Texans rivalry has seen 5 matchups, resulting in 3 victories for the Arizona Cardinals and 2 wins for the Houston Texans.
Last 3 game scores: 10/24/21 31-5 Arizona. 11/19/2017 31-21 Houston. 11/10/2013 27-24 Arizona.
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Arizona Cardinals
Heading into their matchup with the Texans, the Cardinals have a 2-8 record. In the NFC-West, they are in 4th place and 15th place in the NFC overall.
This season, the Cardinals boast an above .500 record versus the spread, currently standing at 5-5.
Their average scoring margin for this season is -8.7.
Despite a scoreless first quarter, the Cardinals managed to bounce back and secure the win. On the offensive front, they accumulated 352 yards, while allowing 254 yards to the Falcons.
Arizona went into the game as the underdog (+2), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
Even though Kyler Murray did not throw for a touchdown, he ran for one score and threw for 249 yards on 32 attempts. This of course was his season debut after ACL surgery.
Arizona Cardinals Stats
In terms of offensive production, Kyler Murray finished with 249 passing yards with a completion rate of 59%. The Cardinals ran the ball 26 times for 122 yards. The team’s third-down conversion rate was 3/11.
For this season, the Arizona offense has an average of 17.6 points per game, placing them at 22nd in the league.
Thus far, the Cardinals’ defense has given up an average of 342.6 yards per game and 26.3 points per contest (25th). Going into this game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 69.1% and have surrendered 15 passing touchdowns.
When it comes to run defense, they rank 28th in the NFL.
Houston Texans
This week will be the Texans’ 5th home game of the season. So far, they have put together a record of 3-1 at home and 2-3 on the road. Their overall mark of 5-4 has them sitting 2nd in the AFC-South. Their Week 10 win was their 2nd straight win and 3rd in 4.
Looking at the Texans’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at +2.8. This has led to an ATS record of 5-4.
Despite a scoreless first quarter, the Texans managed to bounce back and secure the win. On the offensive front, they accumulated 544 yards, while allowing 380 yards to the Bengals.
Houston went into the game as the underdog (+5.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Running back Devin Singletary had a big game for the Texans, running for one touchdown and 150 yards.
C.J. Stroud completed 59% of his passes for 356 yards. There’s rumors out there starting to fly that’s he’s in the MVP discussion, and to be fair, I’m not one to argue.
Houston Texans Stats
Offensively, C.J. Stroud finished with 356 passing yards while completing 59% of his passes. On the ground, the Texans ran the ball 34 times for 188 yards. The team went 4/13 on third down.
Regarding their offense, the Texans have an average 24.1 points per game, which places them 9th in the NFL.
Houston’s defense has come up with 12 turnovers so far this season.
This figure has them 7th in the NFL. Heading into week 11, they are allowing 21.3 points per game and 340.0 yards.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Cardinals are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Texans are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Texans have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cardinals’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Texans’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Cardinals vs. Texans Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | +110 | +166 | +2.5 | +4 |
| Texans | -130 | -204 | -2.5 | -4 |
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Arizona +4
For this Texans vs. Cardinals matchup, we see there being good value on grabbing a Cardinals team that is coming off both a straight-up and and ATS win. Sure they’re after their first road win of the year, but the Cards are a different team with their QB back under center.
I firmly believe the public is going to hammer the Texans this week, so if you wait a bit on this line it could move more in your favor IF you’re planning to bet on the Cardinals.
Look for the Cardinals to continue this momentum, making them a good pick at +4.
Houston are 4-15-1 SU in their last 20 games at home, and they’re 2-13 SU in their last 15 against NFC teams.
For this week’s matchup, I’m going with the under. The over/under line of 47.5 is set higher than the lines in all of Houston’s previous games.
We believe this line is sitting to high for this matchup, and our expectation is that the game will not surpass 47.5 points.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 6 games.
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Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Love this…
https://twitter.com/HoustonTexans/status/1724532844913897656
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