Free Week 16 Prediction: Ducks vs. Trojans Odds
Looking for Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojans free picks? Week 16 betting sees the Ducks taking on the Trojans on Saturday, December 19th, at United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Oregon – USC Week 16 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 16
(3-2) Oregon Ducks vs.USC Trojans (5-0)
Date: Saturday, December 19th, 2020
Time: 8:00 P.M. EST
Venue: United Airlines Field In Los Angeles, CA.
NCAA Football Spread: USC -3
NCAA Football Moneyline: Ducks +135, Trojans -145
NCAA Betting Total: O/U 62.5
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This PAC-12 Championship game has already had a lot of controversy without a snap of football being played. Oregon officially ended the season second to UW in the North standings but due to COVID protocols the University of Washington was going to be unable to field 52 scholarship players on Friday. So the Ducks, who were ready for this scenario and on standby, are flying out to LA to face USC.
Oregon Ducks
The Ducks have managed to have a tail of two seasons in a season of just six games. In the first four the Oregon offense was able to move the ball down field, and most importantly put it in the endzone. They scored an average 35+ their first five games and were in the conversation (briefly) for the college football playoff, until they lost a tough one to their rivals Oregon State and failed to do much of anything in the red zone against Cal.
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So the question is which Oregon team will show up? In their two losses Oregon’s offense actually moved the ball well. If it wasn’t for untimely turnovers against the Beavers, and a running back who put up a rivalry game record 300+ yards plus their inability to finish in the red zone against Cal, this Duck’s team could easily be looking at a top 10 FBS ranking and a real shot at the CFP. But instead the Pac-12 did what the PAC-12 does and ate each other alive.
Oregon will look to improve on its Red-zone lapses on Friday night. It will be tough against a USC defense that allows touchdowns on just 58.3% of opponent’s 12 combined red-zone trips. The Ducks average 7.1 yards a play this season which ranks 8th nationally and Shough will look to turn it around after putting up his worst numbers of the season in a stagnant offensive game V.S Cal.
USC Trojans
On offense USC will continue its “air-raid” style approach as it showcases a range of talent at the wide receiver position. Amon-Ra St. Brown, Tyler Vaughns, and Drake London will be a tough test for the Oregon secondary who has done a solid job thus far this season only allowing five touchdowns to opponents through the air. Fortunately for the run soft Oregon defense the Trojans ground game is the weakest part of their offense and will most likely be missing their starting back and leading rusher Vavae Malepeai, who sprained his knee during their last game against UCLA
Trojan QB Kedon Slovis will likely be the deciding factor in this game for the Trojans. His 70% completion this season is downgraded by the fact he averages only 7.6 yards per attempt and with a 153.3 QB Rating is 29th he is just behind Shough who has the top grade in the Pac-12. Slovis will look to pat his college resume with a championship performance as many regard him to be the top QB selected in the 2022 NFL draft. Honestly his performance hinges entirely on Oregon’s ability to apply pressure and get him out of the pocket as he tends to make mistakes when on the move. He will have a couple chances for big plays as Oregon tends to give up “the big one” more than they would like and even tho they probably won’t have an established run-action, if he can put the ball where it needs to be in those moments, USC could be looking at a PAC-12 ring.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Oregon are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games.
- Oregon are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Southern California.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon’s last 5 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon’s last 7 games.
- Southern California are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southern California’s last 7 games against Oregon.
Free Week 16 NCAA Football Prediction:
Many are upset with how Oregon got into this game but seeing how they were 6-point favorites against UW before that game got cancelled, this is probably the matchup we would of seen regardless. In a year where Clay Helton needed to impress he has a chance to finish up a perfect season and bring the PAC-12 back down to Southern California. I think this is going to be a high scoring affair as both teams will leave it all out there, going for big gains and knockout punches. While I believe Oregon will ultimately come out on top, the over is the bet in this one.
Free NCAA Betting Pick: Over 62.5
Week 15 Free Score Prediction: Oregon 35 – USC 31(Bet Now!)
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