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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-20-17 | Sabres v. Red Wings -140 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Detroit Red Wings (7:30 EST). The 29-31-6-6 Buffalo Sabres are in Detroit to take on the 28-31-11-0 Red Wings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. No need to overthink this one in my opinion, as I believe the Sabres are due for a predictable letdown here after a rare 2-1, shootout road victory over the Ducks. Buffalo averages 2.47 GPG and concedes 2.83. Detroit averages 2.41 GPG and concedes 3.00. These are two teams which have struggled in all facets of the game for most of the season. Each has also gotten inconsistent goaltending this year. When you add it all up, each finds itself almost mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. For arguments sake I am calling the goaltending a “wash.” Home ice advantage simply can’t be overlooked here though, as Detroit has won 15 of the last 18 in this series at Joe Louis Arena. All signs point to a comfortable victory, lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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03-19-17 | Hurricanes v. Flyers -137 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Philadelphia Flyers (7:30 EST). The 29-27-7-5 Carolina Hurricanes are in Philadelphia to take on the 32-30-4-4 Flyers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. No need to overthink this one in my opinion. Carolina comes in off two straight victories, including a very satisfying 4-2 win at home over Nashville just last night. The Hurricanes are great at home (21-10-3-1), but horrible on the road (9-17-4-4). The Flyers play with “revenge” after dropping the most recent in the series 5-1 on January 31st. Philadelphia comes in off a humbling 6-2 loss at the Devils and will embark on a lengthy road trip after this game at home tonight. Clearly the Flyers need to make the most of familar confines. I’ll point out that Carolina is just 2-5 in its last seven in the second game of a back-to-back, while Philadelphia is 24-8 the last 32 in this series in front of the home town crowd. When taking into account the strong situational, motivational and trend based factors working in their favor, the Flyers could easily be much bigger favorites in this spot in my opinion. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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03-16-17 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -130 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -130 | 22 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Tampa Bay Lightning (7:35 EST). The 31-23-14 Toronto Maple Leafs are at Tampa Bay to take on the 34-26-9 Lightning and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Leafs got hammered 7-2 in Florida on Tuesday, goaltender Frederik Andersen gave up three goals on eight shots, before getting pulled for Curtis McElhinney. Tampa Bay comes in with momentum though, most recently picking up a hard-fought 2-1 OT win over the surging Senators. Victor Hedman got the goal in the extra fame and goaltender Andrei Vasileskiy made 31 stops to help his team win its fourth straight. With a home game against the Blackhawks on Saturday, I think the Leafs get caught “looking ahead” here. Tampa has quietly been dominating of late and I don’t think is getting nearly enough respect from the books. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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03-14-17 | Lightning v. Senators -135 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -135 | 28 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Ottawa Senators (7:35 EST). The 32-26-6-3 Tampa Bay Lightning are in Ottawa to take on the 39-22-5-1 Senators and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. No need to over think this one in my opinion, as the Lightning are playing the second game of a back-to-back. And that’s music to the ears of the red hot Senators who have won six in a row. Tampa will surely be gassed here after the Monday night matchup against the Rangers. Goaltender Andrej Vasilevskly is expected to get the start and he’s 2-2-0 with a 2.56 GAA lifetime against the Sens. The Lightning average 2.72 GPG and concede 2.70. The Senators average 2.66 GPG and concede 2.57. Craig Anderson is 21-8-1 with a 2.23 GAA this year and 8-4-3 with a 1.88 career GAA agains the Bolts. I’ll point out though that Ottawa is just 4-11 in its last 15 in the second game of the back-to-back, while Ottawa is 5-2 in its last seven at home. Tampa has won just four of its last 11 on the road, while Ottawa has won three straight at home. All signs point to a fourth here and all things considered, I think we’re getting a great price on the surging home side. Play on the Senators. Good luck…Larry |
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03-13-17 | Penguins -115 v. Flames | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (9:05 EST). The 43-16-6-2 Pittsburgh Penguins are in Calgary to take on the 38-26-2-2 Flames and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Pittsburgh has won five straight, while Calgary has won nine straight. These are two teams performing at very peak effeciency, but I think the high-powered Penguins will prove to be just too much for the Flames to handle tonight. The Pens outshot Vancouver 48-27 in their most recent 3-0 win on Saturday. Matt Murray is now 26-8-3 with a 2.33 GAA. Pittsburgh averages a league-leading 3.48 GPG and concedes 2.75. Calgary averages 2.71 GPG and concedes 2.65. Goaltender Brian Elliott is 12-1-1 in his last 14 outings. I’ll point out though that Pittsburgh is 7-3 (+3 units this year in revenging a home loss against an opponent, as the Flames scored a 3-2 OT victory earlier in the season) and 3-0 (+3 units) after shutting out their opponent, while Calgary is just 1-2 (-1.2 units) in its last three after a six games or longer unbeaten streak. If recent history is any precedence, then the visitors have to be loving their chances tonight as they’ve won five of the last six in Calgary. I think the Pens’ No. 1 offense turns out to be the difference maker tonight, play on Pittsburgh. Good luck…Larry |
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03-11-17 | Capitals -108 v. Kings | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Washington Capitals (10:30 EST). The 44-15-2-5 Washington Capitals are in LA to take on the 32-28-3-3 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The Capitals will be hungry here after consecutive defeats, most recently falling 4-2 to the Sharks on Thursday. Goaltender Braden Holtby is now 34-10-5 with a 1.97 GAA. Washington averages 3.23 GPG and allows the least with 2.09. LA goaltender Jon Quick is 3-0-1 with a 2.46 GAA on the year, recently returning from injury. Ben Bishop is 16-13-4 with a 2.58 GAA on the year. LA averages just 2.45 GPG and concedes 2.47. I’ll point out that Washington is still 14-5 (+6 units) in non-conference games this year, while LA is just 4-5 (-2.6 units) after playing three consecutive home games. I think the “desperate” Capitals find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Good luck…Larry |
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03-09-17 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs -140 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7:35 EST0. The 31-26-4-4 Philadelphia Flyers are in Toronto to take on the 29-22-6-8 Leafs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Flyers come to town off a 6-3 road victory over the Sabres and they’ve now won three of their last four. The Leafs broke a five-game home losing streak with a 3-2 win over Detroit last time out and suffice it to say, I’m expecting the team to carry that momentum over here. Note that these teams have already split a pair of games this year, each winning in its own barn. Philadelphia is back in the conversation for the playoffs, but note that the six goals it scored in the win over the Sabres was just the fifth time all year that the Flyers have posted more than four markers in a game. Also note, that despite the victory Philadelphia remains just 12-20 away from friendly confines. Goaltender Steve Mason is 19-24 with a 2.76 GAA and 7-15 with a 3.03 GAA on the road. He’s also just 4-8 with a 3.43 GAA lifetime against Toronto. Philly averages 2.52 GPG and concedes 2.91. Toronto averages 3.02 GPG and concedes 2.88. Goaltender Frederik Andersen is 25-27 with a 2.72 GAA on the year, including 15-15 with a 2.63 GAA at home. He’s also 5-0 with a 2.71 GAA lifetime against Philadelphia. I’ll point out that Philadelphia is just 8-10 (-2.9 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while Toronto is 2-1 (+1 unit) in its last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. I like Andersen to easily outduel his inconsistent counterpart. All things considered, I think we’re getting a very fair price in this matchup, play on the Leafs. Good luck…Larry |
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03-07-17 | Predators +109 v. Ducks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Edmonton Oilers (9:00 EST). The 30-23-7-4 New York Islanders are in Edmonton to take on the 35-22-4-4 Oilers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Islanders lost 5-2 in Calgary and have now dropped three of their last four, while Edmonton enters off a tough 4-3 home win over Detroit and it’s now won two straight. These teams played to a close one on Long Island, but it was the Oilers that managed the 4-3 shootout win back in November. New York averages 2.92 GPG and concedes 2.95. Gotlatender Thomas Greiss was removed after allowing four goals in the first period in the loss to Calgary. He’s 9-12 with a 2.62 GAA on the road now. Edmonton averages 2.82 GPG and concedes 2.55. Cam Talbot is 33-25 with a 2.39 GAA on the year and 5-1 with a 2.92 GAA lifetime against the Isles. I’ll point out that New York is just 6-14 in its last 20 road games against clubs with a winning home record, while Edmonton is 5-1 in its last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. New York has scored just three goals in its last two games and this is the tail end of a long road trip. The Isles have also allowed 18 goals in their last four games. I expect Edmonton to do more than enough to secure the victory tonight, lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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03-06-17 | Bruins -115 v. Senators | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* SITUATIONAL STUNNER is on the Boston Bruins (7:30 EST). The 34-25-5-2 Boston Bruins are in Ottawa to take on the 35-22-5-1 Senators and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Boston comes in off a 3-2 home win over New Jersey and has now won eight of its last ten, while Ottawa enters off a 3-2 home victory over Columbus, it’s now won three of its last four. Boston averages 2.74 GPG and concedes 2.58. Goaltender Tuukka Rask is 30-19 with a 2.26 GAA on the year, including 16-11 with a 2.22 GAA on the road. Ottawa averages 2.57 GPG and concedes 2.60. Netminder Craig Anderson is 18-9 with a 2.29 GAA on the year and is 10-6 with a 2.36 GAA at home. Note though that Rask owns a 2.38 GAA lifetime record against the Sens, while Anderson is 9-11 with a 3.18 GAA for his career against the Bruins. I’ll point out as well that Boston is 8-2 in its last ten against the Atlantic division, while Ottawa is just 3-7 in its last ten following a victory. I like Rask to outduel his counterpart, play on Boston. Good luck…Larry |
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03-05-17 | Sharks v. Wild -125 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT NHL SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Minnesota Wild (6:05 EST). The 38-18-6-1 San Jose Sharsk are in Minnesota to take on the 41-15-4-2 Wild and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. San Jose comes to town off a 3-1 home victory over the Canucks and it’s now won three straight. There’s no question that this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot as it now takes to the road to face a Wild side coming off a 1-0 road loss in Columbus. Minnesota though has still won four of its last six and the home team has won 16 of the last 21 in this series. Martin Jones is expected in net for the visitors and he’s 15-10 with a 2.45 GAA on the road. The Sharks average 2.76 GPG and concede 2.32. Devan Dubnyk will be in net for the home side, he’s 34-15 with a 2.03 GAA on the year, including 19-7 with a 2.04 GAA at home. The Wild average 3.32 GPG and concede 2.35. I’ll point out that San Jose is just 5-7 (-5.4 units) this year after a thre game unbeaten streak, while Minnesota is 16-6 (+9.7 units) against teams with winning records this season. The Sharks have been great and are tough on the road, but the scales today tip in favor of the Wild and the home ice advantage. I’m expecting the home side to do just enough secure the victory, play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
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03-04-17 | Canadiens v. Rangers -124 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -124 | 27 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the New York Rangers (7:00 EST). The 31-26-6-2 Montreal Canadiens are in New York to take on the 41-21-0-2 Rangers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Habs come to town off a satisfying 2-1 home win over Nashville, while the Rangers come in off a 2-1 road win over Boston. I think Montreal is poised for a letdown here after winning four straight. Note that goaltender Carey Price is 9-10 with a 2.76 GAA on he road. Also note that Montreal averages 2.72 GPG, while coneding 2.49. The Rangers average 3.22 GPG and concede 2.61. Netminder Henrik Lundqvist is 15-11 with a 2.97 GAA at home. I’ll point out though that Montreal is just 10-12 (-4.9 units) this year after a non-conference game and 13-16 (-5.9 units) against teams with winning records, while New York is 9-2 (+7.2 units) in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. I think the home side does just enough in this one to secure the victory. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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03-03-17 | Red Wings v. Flames -148 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on the Calgary Flames (9:05 EST). the 25-26 Detroit Red Wings are in Calgary to take on the 34-26 Flames and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Detroit comes to town off a 3-2 road win over the Canucks and looks poised for a letdown after winning three of its last four. Calgary comes in on fire having won five straight, most recently a 2-1 home victory over the Kings. Despite the victory over Vancouver, note that the Wings are still ranked just 26th in the league in scoring with 2.39 GPG. They’ve been just as bad on the defensive end in conceding 2.95, ranked 25th. Petr Mrazek is 7-11 with a 2.95 GAA on the road. Calgary is 18th in scoring with an average of 2.63 GPG, while ranked 14th in conceding 2.75. Brian Elliot is 7-6 with a 2.30 GAA at home. I’ll point out though that the Wings are just 12-27 in their last 39 road games against a team with a winning home record, while Calgary is 7-1 in its last eight when playing on two days rest and 18-5 in its last 23 after scoring two goals or less in its previous game. Calgary has dialled up the pressure on the defensive end of late, allowing just six total goals over its last five games. Suffice it to say, i have a hard time seeing the inconsistent Wings mounting much of an offensive attack tonight. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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03-02-17 | Maple Leafs v. Kings -150 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the LA Kings (10:30 EST). The 28-21-13 Toronto Maple Leafs are in LA to take on the 30-27-6 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I thnk this one favors the home side. The Leafs are in a tail-spin right now, having lost five of their last seven. The offense is averaging three goals per game, but it’s stalled over the last month. Note that Toronto concedes 2.9 GPG. The Kings can empathize, they’ve lost six of their last eight. So far LA averages only 2.4 GPG, while allowing 2.5. For arguments sake, lets call these goaltenders a “wash.” Note thought that Toronto is just 5-8 (-4.6 units) this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest and 10-13 (-5.8 units) following a non-conference game, while LA is 2-1 (+1.2 units) after losing six of its last eight overall. I think this late night West Coast game favors the home side in this one. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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02-28-17 | Maple Leafs v. Sharks -143 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Jose Sharks (10:30 EST). The 28-20-6-7 Toronto Maple Leafs are in San Jose to take on the 32-24-3-1 Sharks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Toronto comes to town off a 3-2 OT loss to Montreal, while San Jose smashed Vancouver 4-1 in its latest action. The Leafs are a good team, they average 3.1 GPG. Goaltender Frederik Andersen has been average this year, he owns a 24-13-11 record, behind a pedestrain 2.76 GAA. Note that Toronto allows 2.9 GPG, ranked 22nd. The Sharks are a pretty good team as well, they average 2.8 GPG. San Jose is great on the defensive end though, ranked third overall in allowing 2.4 GPG. Martin Jones is 29-15-6 with a 2.31 GAA overall. I’ll point out that Toronto is just 9-14 (-8.6 units) in non-conference games this year, while the Sharks are 17-11 (+2.8 units) in the same position. San Jose has averaged 3.2 GPG over its last ten and is 18-7-4 at home this year. The Leafs look a lot better this year, but the fact remains that they’ve still lost 12 of their last 13 against the Sharks. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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02-27-17 | Kings v. Wild -150 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Minnesota Wild (7:00 EST). The 30-27 LA Kings are in Minnesota to take on the 39-14-4-2 Wild and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. LA comes to town off a 4-1 home win over the Ducks, while Minnesota will be eager to get back on track after falling 5-3 at home to the Blackhawks. But if recent history is any precedence, then the Wild have to be liking their chances for an immediate bounce back as the home team has won five of the last six in this series. Despite the win over Anaheim, the Kings are still ranked just 25th in the league in scoring with an average of 2.44 GPG, while at the defensive end they’re ranked at fifth in goals allowed at 2.43. Minnesota is third in the league in scoring with average of 3.31 GPG, while ranked second on the defensive end in conceding 2.31. While LA has received very good goaltending this year, I’m still going to give hte nod to the Wilds’ Devan Dubnyk, who has posted a solid 1.96 GAA at home. And that doesn’t bode well for a Kings team which has averaged only 2.09 GPG on the road this season. I’m banking on the Wild to continue their strong play at home, lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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02-25-17 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -110 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* LEGEND is on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7:00 EST). The 32-21-6-2 Canadiens are in Toronto to take on the 28-20-5-7 Leafs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Habs are reeling, most recently coming off a 3-0 shutout loss at home to the Isles on Thursday. Toronto comes in off a tough 2-1 shootout loss to New York in its latest action. Note that this is a big time revenge game for Toronto though, as Montreal has taken all three meetings this year, winning 2-1 in the first two matchups and 5-3 in the latest. The “triple revenge” factor is what this play is almost entirely based upon. But Montreal is not the same team as it was earlier in the season, it comes in having dropped eight of its last ten and its current slide looks eerily familar to last season’s debacle as well. So far the Habs average 2.7 GPG, while conceding 2.6. The Leafs average 3.1 GPG and concede 2.9. I’ll point out that Montreal is just 1-6 in its last seven when playing on one days rest, while Toronto is 5-2 in its last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. The Canadiens have scored two or fewer goals in eight of their last ten games and have been shutout in four of their last eight. The Leafs have averaged 3.2 GPG over their last ten and will be risking life and limb today in trying to avenge the three earlier losses. All things considered, I think we’re getting a great price on Toronto. Good luck…Larry |
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02-24-17 | Flames v. Panthers -150 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -150 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Florida Panthers (7:35 EST). The 31-26-2-2 Calgary Flames are in Florida to take on the 28-21-5-5 Panthers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. No need to overthink this one in my opinion, as the Flames enter off a highly satisfying and hard-fought 3-2 win in Tampa just last night. Florida will be eager to take advantage and to get back on track after a tough 4-3 home loss to Edmonton. Also note that this is a revenge game for the Panthers after they fell 5-2 in the first meeting between the clubs earlier in the season. And I’ll point out that Calgary has struggled in this spot mightily for bettors, going just 6-13 in its last 19 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation and only 1-5 in its last six in the second game of the back-to-back, while Florida has excelled in this position, going 7-3 in its last ten with one days rest. Florida had won five straight games on the road and then returned home to get beaten by Edmonton. Many view such a scenario as a classic “letdown” spot for a team. No such situational advantage working in favor of the Flames tonight though. Lay the price, play on the Panthers. Good luck…Larry |
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02-23-17 | Flames v. Lightning -141 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -141 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Tampa Bay Lightning (7:35 EST). The 30-26-2-2 Calgary Flames are in Tampa Bay to take on the 27-24-5-3 Lightning and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Calgary looks poised for a classic letdown here after its big 6-5 OT win on the road over Nashville. Tampa most recently was very business like in its 4-1 clobbering of Edmonton. When these teams played back in December, it was the Bolts that prevailed easily 6-3 and suffice it to say, I’m expecting a repeat performance here. Calgary may be fighting for a playoff spot, but note that it’s just 19th in scoring with 2.60 GPG, while 18th in goals allowed by conceding 2.83. Brian Elliot is 7-10 with a poor 3.14 GAA on the road thus far. The Lightning average 2.73 GPG and concede 2.78. Ben Bishop is 9-5 with a 2.65 GAA at home. I’ll point out that Calgary is just 4-10 in its last 14 after scoring five goals or more in its previous contest, while Tampa is 47-20 in its last 67 home games against teams with losing road records. Tampa is also fighting for playoff positioning and is 4-1 in its last five at home in this series. All things considred, I think we’re getting a very fair price in this one, play on the Lightning. Good luck…Larry |
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02-22-17 | Bruins v. Ducks -110 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:35 EST). The 30-23-4-2 Boston Bruins are in Anaheim to take on the 31-20-8-2 Ducks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. I feel the Bruins are primed for a classic letdown here after winning four straight, most recently a 2-1 OT victory over San Jose. Conversely, I look for the home side to risk life and limb today as it looks to bounce back off an ugly 3-2 road loss to the lowly Coyotes last time out. Boston has looked a lot better under interim coach Brad Cassidy, but I simply expect it to finally run out of gas here. Tuukka Rask has been a strong point once again for the team this season, he’s 28-17 with a 2.24 GAA on the year. Note though that Rask has had difficulties with the Ducks throughout his career, going just 1-5 with a poor 3.48 GAA. And despite the recent up-tick in play, the Bruins are still ranked 18th in scoring at 2.66 GPG, while ranked 11th on the defensive end in conceding 2.61. The Ducks average 2.59 GPG and concede 2.50. John Gibson is expected to get the call in net tonight and he’s 23-23 with a 2.24 GAA on the year and 15-9 with a 2.06 GAA in front of the home town crowd. I’ll point out that Boston has already struggled in this spot big time for bettors this season though, going just 13-16 (-6.9 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and just 1-4 (-3.2 units) after a three-game unbeaten streak. When taking into account all of the factors listed above, I think the home side offers great value in this spot, play on the Ducks. Good luck…Larry |
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02-21-17 | Blackhawks v. Wild -130 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -130 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Minnesota Wild (8:00 EST). The 36-18-5 Chicago Blackhawks are in Minnesota to take on the 39-13-6 Wild and for a number of different reasons, i think this one favors the home side. The Hawks came out of their “bye” week and lost 3-1 at home to the Oilers. Chicago bounced back though with a big 5-1 win at Buffalo on Sunday, led by Patrick Kane with a goal and an assist. It was Scott Darling that got the call in net against the Sabres, but it’s Corey Crawford expected between the pipes tonight. And he’ll square off against Devan Dubnyk, who has won five of his last six. The Wild are fourth overall in scoring at 3.3 GPG, while Dubnyk is in line for the Vezina. I’ll point out that Chicago is just 1-4 in its last five road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Minnesota is a perfect 4-0 in its last four when playing on two days rest. Minnesota starts its bye week on Wednesday, so I’m expecting it to leave everything on the ice tonight as it goes for broke before the extended layoff. Play on the Wild. Good luck…Larry |
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02-20-17 | Panthers v. Blues -132 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -132 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the St. Louis Blues (8:05 EST). The 27-20-5-5 Florida Panthers are in St. Louis to take on the 31-23-4-1 Blues and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Florida has been on quite the run of late, but I think finally suffers a letdown here. The Panthers have won seven of eight and four straight after beating the Kings 3-2 on the road last time out. The Blues are looking to get back on track after they had their six game win streak snapped in a 3-2 road loss to Buffalo on Saturday. And if recent history is any precedence, then St. Louis has to be loving it chances for an immediate return to the winners circle as when these tems met on February 12th, the Blues came away with the convincing 5-3 road victory. Note that despite the recent “up tick” in play of late, the Panthers still rank just 22nd in the league in scoring with an average of 2.5 GPG, while ranked 15th in goals allowed with 2.7 per contest. St. Louis averages 2.8 GPG and concedes 2.9. Note that the Blues though are fourth in the NHL on the penalty kill with an 84.6 percent success rate. I’ll point out as well the Florida has struggled in this spot all year, going 4-9 in their last 13 after allowing two goals or less in its previous game, while St. Louis has excelled in this spot, going 4-0 in its last four after scoring two goals or less in its previous outing. I think the home side offers great value in this spot, play on St. Louis. Good luck…Larry |
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02-19-17 | Kings v. Ducks -131 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Anaheim Ducks (9:05 EST). The 28-24-1-3 LA Kings are in Anaheim to take on the 30-18-8-2 Ducks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. I had a play on the Kings just last night and they’d blow a golden opportunity in a 3-2 loss to the Panthers who were playing the second game of a back-to-back. Normally I don’t flip flop on teams from one night to the next, but in this case, tonight’s contest will be looked at entirely on its own and in my opinion, all signs do definitely point to the Ducks as the correct call. Anaheim will be desperate to get back into the winners circle after dropping five of its last seven, most recently a 4-1 setback to Florida on Friday (despite outshooting the Panthers 36-31 in that one). LA has done decently on the second game of a back-to-back over the years, but note that it’s just 40-50 (-28.4 units) in its last 90 following a non-conference contest, while Anaheim is already 11-2 (+9.4 units) this year after allowing four goals or more and 10-2 (+8.4 units) after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. All in all, I think we’re getting a really good price on the home side in this spot. Play on Anaheim. Good luck…Larry |
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02-18-17 | Panthers v. Kings -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 30 h 33 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the LA Kings (10:00 EST). The 25-20-5-5 Florida Panthers are in LA to take on the 28-24-1-3 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. No need to overthink this one, the Panthers come in off a hugely satisfying 4-1 win in Anaheim just last night and I think they’re primed for a predictable letdown here. The Panthers have been playing great of late, winning six of their last seven. Roberto Luongo is expected in net and he’s just 15-14-6 with a 2.71 GAA on the year. Note that Florida averages just 2.49 GPG and concedes 2.78. The Panthers have been especially poor on the power play though with just a 14.9 percent success rate. The Kings will be especially motivated here after a humbling 5-3 loss at home to the Coyotes on Thursday. Peter Budaj took the loss, but he still sits at an impressive 26-17-3 with a 2.15 GAA on the year. LA averages 2.50 GPG and concedes 2.46. I’ll point out that Florida is just 1-4 in its last five in the second game of the back-to-back scenario, while LA has won seven straight in this series on home ice. I expect that strong trend to continue here, lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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02-17-17 | Penguins v. Blue Jackets -103 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:05 EST). The 35-13-5-2 Pittsburgh Penguins are in Columbus to take on the 36-15-4-1 Blue Jackets and because of two situational factors and one very strong ATS trend, I think this one favors the home side. Pittsburgh played and won 4-3 in OT over Winnipeg just last night. Now the team has to board a plane and play against the revenge minded Blue Jackets, who are 20-8-1 at home this year (compared to Pittsburgh’s rather pedestrian 12-10-3 road record). This does indeed set up as a “revenge” game for Columubs after it fell 4-3 in OT in Pittsburgh on February 3rd (Columbus is 16-8, +7.6 units this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent). It’s a great situational play and there’s no doubt that the price is right as well. Play on the Blue Jackets. Good luck…Larry |
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02-16-17 | Senators v. Devils -107 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* PERFECT STORM on the New Jersey Devils (7:05 EST). The 29-19-5-1 Ottawa Senators are in New Jersey to take on the 24-22-8-2 Devils and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Ottawa enters off a 3-2 home loss to Buffalo, while New Jersey comes in off a 3-2 home win over Colorado. If recent history is any precedence, then clearly the Devils have to be liking their chances today as they’ve taken four of the last five in the series. Senators’ goaltender Craig Anderson is 13-8 with a 2.37 GAA on the year. Ottawa ranks 19th in the league in scoring at 2.61 GPG, while ranked 13th in goals allowed in conceding 2.69 per contest. The Devils are ranked just 29th in scoring at 2.29 GPG, while ranked 17th in goal allowed in conceding 2.80. Goaltender Cory Schneider looked good though in the victory over the Avs, he’s now 12-9 with a 2.41 GAA at home, while against Ottawa for his career he’s 6-2 with a 1.58 GAA. I’ll point out that Ottawa has really struggled in this spot for bettors all year, going a horrible 1-5 (-4.7 units) after playing three consecutive home games, while New Jersey is 2-1 (+1 units) in its last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. I think the hungry home side is not getting nearly enough respect, play on New Jersey. Good luck…Larry |
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02-15-17 | Flyers v. Flames -128 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Calgary Flames (9:35 EST). The 27-22-3-4 Philadelphia Flyers are in Calgary to take on the 28-26-1-2 Flames and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Philadelphia broke a three-game losing streak with a 2-1 OT victory at home over the Sharks, while the Flames will be looking to atone for a 5-0 home loss to the lowly Coyotes last time out. Calgary has to be liking it chances today for a bounce back performance, as the home team has won the last four games in this series. The Flyers come to town scuffling, they’ve lost four of their last six. Goaltender Michal Neuvirth is 9-6 with a 2.67 GAA on the year, including 3-2 with a 3.69 GAA on the road. Philadelphia averages 2.54 GPG and concedes 2.93. Calgary averages 2.56 GPG and concedes 2.84. Chad Johnson will get the call in net tonight, he’s 9-8 with a 2.92 GAA at home thus far. I’ll point out though that the Flyers are already 0-3 (-3.8 units) this season when playing with three or more days rest, while Calgary is 11-5 (+7 units) this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. I think the home side is going to be risking life and limb to score a victory today after getting embarrassed last time out. All things considered, I think this is a great price, play on Calgary. Good luck…Larry |
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02-14-17 | Sabres v. Senators -153 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -153 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Ottawa Senators (7:30 EST). The 23-23-5-5 Buffalo Sabres are in Ottawa to take on the 29-18-5-1 Senators and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Sabres come in with zero momentum after losing 4-2 at home to the Canucks, while the Sens enter off a confidence building 3-0 win over a previously red hot Islanders team. Note though that this does set up as a “revenge” scenario for the home side as Buffalo has somehow managed to win four of the last five in the series. Robin Lehner took the loss against Vancouver and he’s now 14-22 with a 2.57 GAA on the year and 8-10 with a 2.75 GAA on the road. Note that the Sabres average 2.45 GPG and concede 2.75. Ottawa averages 2.62 GPG and concedes 2.68. Craig Anderson stopped all 33 shots he faced in the win over the Isles and is now 13-7 with a 2.34 GAA on the year, including going 8-5 with a 2.43 GAA at home. I think Anderson is the difference here and look for the Sens to do just enough to secure the victory. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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02-12-17 | Sharks v. Devils +120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the New Jersey Devils (12:35 EST). The 33-18-3-1 San Jose Sharks are in New Jersey to take on the 23-21-8-2 Devils and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. San Jose comes in off a 2-1 loss in Philadelphia in OT just yesterday, while the Devils have had four whole nights off after besting the Sabres 2-1 at home. The Sharks are in a tail-spin, having lost four in a row now. Martin Jones is expected in net tonight and he’s 27-19 with a 2.30 GAA on the year. San Jose averages 2.71 GPG and allows 2.38. New Jersey averages 2.30 GPG and concedes 2.80. The numbers favor the Sharks on paper, but the “situation” favors the well rested home side in my opinion. New Jersey is playing much better of late, as it would hammer Columbus 5-1 on the road previous to its win over the Sabres. Cory Schneider hasn’t been his usual dominant self this year, but he’s been at his best in front of the home town crowd, going 11-8 with a 2.40 GAA in New Jersey thus far. Back-to-back early starts turns out to be just too much for the Sharks to overcome this afternoon and the focused home side finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on New Jersey. Good luck…Larry |
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02-11-17 | Saint Louis Cardinals v. Canadiens -145 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -145 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Montreal Canadiens (7:00 EST). The 28-22-4-1 St. Louis Blues are in Montreal to take on the 31-17-6-2 Canadiens and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. I think the Blues have a letdown here after three straight wins. Mike Yeo took over the head coaching duties on Feb. 1st and the team has gone 4-1 under him. Goaltender Jake Allen though is having an overall “down” year, sitting at 20-14-3 with a 2.69 GAA. Note that he’s had difficulty against the Habs throughout his career as well, going just 1-3-0 with a 3.45 GAA lifetime. The Blues average 2.84 GPG and conceded 2.95. The Canadiens average 2.89 GPG and concede 2.50. Montreal finally got off the shneid and broke a four-game slide with a 5-4 OT win over the Coyotes. Habs’ goaltender Carey Price is also having an “up-and-down” season, he’s 24-13-5 with a 2.42 GAA this year and lifetime against the Blues sees him 4-3-2 with a 2.39 GAA. I’ll point out that St. Louis is already just 1-3 (-3.2 units) this season following a three-game unbeaten streak, while Montreal is 11-5 (+6.2 units) after allowing four goals or more. Clearly the Canadiens can’t be happy with a single OT win over the league’s worst team. I’m expecting the home side to come out fired up and for Price to outduel his counterpart. This line should be significantly higher in my opinion, play on Montreal. Good luck…Larry |
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02-09-17 | Canadiens -155 v. Coyotes | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Montreal Canadiens (9:00 EST). The 30-17-8 Montreal Canadiens are in Arizona to take on the 17-28-6 Coyotes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The Habs have lost four straight and will clearly be looking to take advantage of this favorable matchup and lay a beating to the league’s “doormat.” Arizona comes in contented anyways after it broke a two-game slide with a shootout win over the Sharks on Saturday. It will be all hands on deck for Montreal tonight: “Every team goes through tough stretches,” goalie Carey Price explained last night. “I think it’s important we continue to have fun and not dwell on things when they’re not going well. That’s always seemed to be the recipe to get out of a funk, and that’s what we’re going to use.” The Coyotes haven’t played since Saturday and I think will come out a bit flat footed here. I’ll also point out that Montreal is in fact 17-8 in its last 25 against clubs with losing records, while Arizona is only 1-5 in its last six on at least three days of rest. Price has dominated the Coyotes throughout his career, going 8-0 with a 1.49 GAA. I’m laying the price on Price with confidence. Good luck…Larry |
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02-07-17 | Wild -117 v. Jets | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Minnesota Wild (8:00 EST). The 34-13-5 Minnesota Wild are in Winnipeg to take on the 25-26-4 Jets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The WIld had their three-game win streak snapped by a desperate Colorado team this past Saturday. The Jets look like a perfect opponent to get back on track against in my opinion, as Winnipeg is poised for a letdown after winning four of its last five, most recently against Vancouver. Minnesota leads the Western Conference by four points over Chicago and San Jose. Note that the Wild have killed it in this spot for bettors all year, going 8-1 (+6.4 units) after playing three consecutive road games and 13-6 (+6.2 units) after a victory by two goals or more. Also note that the Jets have been brutal in this spot all season, going just 8-11 (-1.3 units) against teams with a winning record and just 7-9 (-2.1 units) after a loss by two goals or more in their previous contest. I’m banking on the Wild to do just enough to ground the Jets tonight. Play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
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02-06-17 | Sabres v. Devils -117 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the New Jersey Devils (7:00 EST). The 21-20-5-5 Buffalo Sabres are in New Jersey to take on the 22-21-8-2 Devils and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Buffalo looks primed for a letdown here after its satisfying 4-0 home win over the Senators. New Jersey looks to build momentum today after its 5-1 road win over Columbus. A date against the inconsistent Sabres is just what the doctor ordered to keep the ball rolling as Buffalo is in fact just 1-5 in its last six trips to New Jersey. Sabres’ goaltender Robin Lehner is 7-9 with a 2.89 GAA on the road. He’s also just 1-5 with a 2.79 GAA lifetime against the Devils. Note that Buffalo averages 2.43 GPG and concedes 2.71. New Jersey averages 2.30 GPG and concedes 2.83. Cory Schneider is 10-8 with a 2.49 GAA at home and is 6-5 with a 1.61 GAA lifetime against Buffalo. I’ll point out that Buffalo is just 50-103 in its last 153 games when playing on one days rest, while New Jersey is 5-1 in its last six home games in this series. I like New Jersey to break its losing streak today and all things considered, do definitely feel we’re getting a great price on the motivated home side. Good luck…Larry |
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02-04-17 | Wild -153 v. Canucks | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Minnesota Wild (10:00 EST). The 33-12-3-2 Minnesota Wild are in Vancouver to take on the 23-22-4-2 Canucks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Minnesota will be in a foul mood after a painful 5-1 loss in Calgary. The Canucks are floundering though as they come in having lost three of their last four. The Wild don’t need to hang their heads obviously, it was just their first regulation loss since Nov. 29th. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is now 27-9-3 with a 1.96 GAA on the year. Minnesota averages 3.28 GPG and concedes just 2.28. Vancouver averages just 2.27 GPG, while conceding 2.78. After a 3-0 loss to the Coyotes, the Canucks would then fall 4-1 to the Sharks. Goaltender Ryan Miller is 14-13-3 with a 2.53 GAA on the year. I’ll point out that Minnesota is 9-0 its last nine after scoring two goals or less, while Vancouver is 0-4 in its last four againts teams with a winning percentage above .600. The Wild play with revenge here as well after losing in Vancouver earlier in the year. All things considered, I think we’re getting a very fair price in this one, play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
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02-02-17 | Canadiens v. Flyers -109 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Philadelphia Flyers (7:05 EST). The 30-14-6-1 Montreal Canadiens are in Philadelphia to take on the 25-20-2-4 Flyers on Thursday and in my opinion, the home side should be a much larger fav in this spot. Montreal comes in off a 5-2 home win over the Sabres in its first action out of the All Star break, while Philadelphia comes back home in a foul mood after laying an egg in Carolina, losing 5-1. A game at home against the Habs is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though, as note that the Flyers have won 13 of the last 16 in this series in Philadelphia. Carey Price got the win at home for Montreal, but note that he’s an unremarkable 6-7 with a 2.66 GAA on the road this year. Montreal averages 3.02 GPG and concedes 2.47. Steve Mason looked horrible in the loss to the Hurricanes, but he’s been decent at home this season, going 10-8 with a 2.78 GAA. Note that he’s 4-1 with a 1.79 GAA lifetime against the Canadiens. The Flyers average 2.67 GPG and concede 3.06. I’ll point out though that Montreal has struggled mightily in this spot for bettors already this year, going just 7-9 (-4 units) after a win by two goals or more, while Philadelphia is 7-5 (+1.3 units) this season after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. Price has struggled on the road this year and I think he’ll once again have his hands full with this determined home side. All things considered, I do indeed feel we’re getting a great price on the Flyers. Good luck…Larry |
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02-01-17 | Wild -116 v. Flames | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -116 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Minnesota Wild (10:05 EST). The 32-11-3-2 Minnesota Wild are in Calgary to take on the 25-24-1-2 Flames and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Minnesota opened the second half by smashing the Oilers 5-2 last night and suffice it to say, I’m expecting the red hot Wild to continue the surge against the inconsistent Flames. The last time Calgary played, it was a 3-2 OT win in Ottawa. The Wild are expected to start backup Darcy Kuemper, who is 5-5 with a 3.28 GAA on the year. Note that Minnesota is ranked fourth in the league in scoring at 3.29 GPG, while ranked second in goals allowed in conceding just 2.23. Calgary has been all over the map as far as its game to game consistency is concerned. So far it’s just 13-13 at home. The Flames turn to Chad Johnson, who is 16-13 with a 2.50 GAA overall and 9-7 with a 2.79 GAA at home. Calgary is ranked 21st in the league in scoring at 2.54 GPG, while ranked 18th on the defensive end in conceding 2.83. Clearly I’d rather have Devan Dubnyk in net for the Wild, but note that Minnesota is 2-1 in its last three in the back-to-back scenario, while Calgary is just 2-4 (-2.2 units) this season after playing three consecutive road games. I’m banking on the Wild’s superior offense to prove to be the difference maker. Play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
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01-26-17 | Sabres v. Stars -143 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Dallas Stars (8:30 EST). The 20-18-9 Buffalo Sabres are in Dallas to take on the 19-20-10 Stars and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Buffalo is poised for a big letdown tonight after winning three straight. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for Dallas as it looks to snap a three-game slide. Buffalo most recently scored two late third period goals and then won 5-4 in OT in Nashville most recently. Goaltender Robin Lehner is now 4-1-0 in January. The Stars come in off a tough 3-2 shootout loss to Minnesota on Tuesday. Keep your eyes on Tyler Seguin, who has 29 assists and 46 points this year. I’ll point out that Buffalo is already a horrible 3-8 (-5 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while Dallas is a perfect 4-0 (+4.8 units) after three or more consecutive losses. I’m banking on the “hungry” home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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01-25-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -135 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -135 | 31 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:00 EST). The 26-15-4-4 Oilers are in Anaheim to take on the 27-14-18-1 Ducks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Edmonton enters off a highly satisfying 7-3 destruction of rival Calgary, while Anaheim comes in off a 3-2 road win at Winnipeg. The Oilers will send Cam Talbot to the net tonight and he’s 11-9 with a 2.50 GAA on the road (note that he’s 2-5 with a 2.28 GAA lifetime against the Ducks). Edmonton averages 2.88 GPG and concedes 2.59. Anaheim averages 2.62 GPG and concedes just 2.48. Getting the call in net for the home side will be John Gibson, who is 13-7 with a 2.07 GAA at home and who is 4-1 with a tiny 1.19 GAA lifetime against Edmonton. I’ll point out that the Oilers are miserable 9-42 in their last 51 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Ducks are 6-1 in their last seven when playing on one days worth of rest. Edmonton is just 1-8 in its last nine at the Honda Center, while the Ducks are already 16-8 at home this year. Gibson is the difference maker for me and all things considered, I do indeed feel we’re getting a very fair price on the Ducks tonight. Good luck…Larry |
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01-22-17 | Rangers -141 v. Red Wings | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the New York Rangers (12:35 EST). The 29-16-0-1 New York Rangers are in Detroit to take on the 20-19-7 Wings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. After three straight losses the Rangers got back on track with a convincing 5-2 win at Toronto in their last game. Goaltender Henrik Lundqvist looked a lot better after a shaky stretch in making 23 saves. Note that he’s 5-4-2 with a 2.16 career GAA against the Wings. So far the Rangers rank second in the league in averaging 3.50 GPG. New York isn’t quite as good defensively though in conceding 2.70. Also note that the Blueshirts have the eighth best overall power play at 22.1 percent. Detroit comes in off a deflating 3-2 OT loss to the league worst Sabres on Friday. Goaltender Petr Mrazek is now 10-11-5 with a 3.13 GAA. Note that the Wings average just 2.48 GPG and concede 2.93. I’ll point out that New York is 5-1 in its last six on the road, while Detroit is interestingly just 2-8 in its last ten against teams with a winning percentage above .600. New York plays with revenge after falling to Detroit 2-1 earlier in the season. It’s payback time, lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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01-21-17 | Kings v. Islanders +109 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 109 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH is on the New York Islanders (7:00 EST). The 22-19-1-3 LA Kings are in New York to take on the 18-17-5-3 Islanders and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Isles have looked a lot better of late and come into this one having posted two straight shutouts. LA comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having dropped two straight. The Kings most recently come off a loss at home to the Sharks, Peter Budaj had 24 saves in the setback. Note that he’s 1-1-1 with a 2.42 GAA lifetime against the Isles. So far LA averages 2.49 GPG while conceding 2.44. The Kings’ powerplay has been atrocious all year as well, posting a 16.4 percent success rate. New York beat Dallas 3-0 in new coach Doug Weight’s first game. It was the Isles third win in their last four games. Note that the Islanders would go on to outshoot the Stars 36-23. Captain John Tavares led the way offensively with two goals. Goaltender Thomas Greiss is now 12-7-2 on the year with a 2.29 GAA. While he’s just 3-3-0 in seven career games against the Kings, he owns a very respectable 2.07 GAA. Note that the Isles average 2.84 GPG and concede 2.91. I’ll point out that LA is just 8-10 (-5.4 units) in non-conference games this year and only 8-10 (-6.7 units) against teams with losing records, while New York is 10-8 (+1.4 units) in non-conference action. I think the visitors are ripe for the picking, play on New York. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-17 | Red Wings +111 v. Sabres | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Detroit Red Wings (7:00 EST). The 20-19-6-0 Red Wings are in Buffalo to take on the 17-18-4-5 Sabres and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. So far Detroit has under achieved this season, but it comes to town having won three straight. Suffice it to say, I think that momentum gets carried over here. The Wings average 2.49 GPG and concede 2.93. But as mentioned above, Detroit has started to show some life, especially on the offensive end. Buffalo though has been even worse this year and enters having lost three of its last four, most recently a 4-3 seback at Toronto on Tuesday. Note that the Sabres average just 2.34 GPG and concede 2.70. I’ll point out that Detroit is 5-2 in its last seven when playing on one days rest, while Buffalo is just 6-13 (-6.8 units) this year against clubs with losing records. The Sabres own the leagues worst penalty kill, was clearly doesn’t bode well in facing the resurgent Wings’ offense right now. Play on Detroit. Good luck…Larry |
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01-19-17 | Rangers +106 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 5-2 | Win | 106 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the New York Rangers. The 28-16-0-1 New York Rangers are in Toronto to take on the 21-13-3-5 Maple Leafs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. New York is going to be the “hungrier” team tonight, as it comes in having lost three straight. Conversely, this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the home side after winning three straight. The Rangers have to be feeling pretty confident that they can get untracked tonight as they’ve won five of the last seven in Toronto. New York will be especially motivated to atone for a horrible 7-6 loss at home to Dallas. The Rangers check in second in the league in scoring with 3.47 GPG, but have gotten poor goaltending over the last month. Henrik Lundqvist is 18-13 with a 2.89 GAA on the year, including 9-6 with a 2.62 GAA on the road, while vs the Maple Leafs he has gone 13-14 with a 2.82 GAA in his career. Despite the recent poor play on the defensive end, note that the Rangers are 17th overall in that department, conceding 2.71 GPG. The home side turns to Frederik Andersen, who has now gone 19-16 with a 2.68 GAA on the year, including 11-8 with a 2.80 GAA here at home, while vs the Rangers in his career he has gone 2-1 with a 2.77 GAA. Toronto is ranked fifth in scoring at 3.12 GPG and 19th on the defensive side of the rink, conceding 2.81 GPG. I’ll point out though that the Rangers are already 14-5 (+7.8 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 14-4 (+5.6 units) following a non-conference contest, while Toronto is just 9-10 (-1.6 units) after scoring four goals or more in its previous outing. I like the Rangers to avenge the earlier loss and to shake off the poor stretch with a big winning effort against the complacent home side. Play on New York. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-17 | Penguins v. Canadiens -107 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -107 | 30 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Montreal Canadiens (7:30 EST). The 27-11-4-1 Pittsburgh Penguins are in Montreal to take on the 27-12-5-1 Canadiens and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. No need to overthink this one in my opinion as I believe the Pens come in “gassed” after their epic 8-7 home win over the Capitals in OT. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Habs, who have lost three of their last five. Pens goaltender Matt Murray allowed seven goals and is now 14-5 with a 2.53 GAA. If backup Marc-Andre Fleury gets the nod, then he’s 13-11 with a 3.23 GAA on the year, including 2-7 with a 4.06 GAA on the road, while vs the Habs in his career he has gone 21-15 with a 2.98 GAA. Pittsburgh is ranked No. 1 in scoring average with 3.51 GPG, but is ranked 25th in goals allowed in conceding 3.02 GPG. Montreal has a nine point lead in its division, but will be eager to get back on track after some recent scuffling. Last time out the Habs fell 1-0 in Detroit. Goaltender Carey Price is now 21-12 with a 2.30 GAA, including 15-6 with a 2.10 GAA at home. The Canadiens average 3.04 GPG and are seventh in goals allowed, conceding 2.49. I’ll point out that the Pens are in fact just 1-5 their last six on the road, while Montreal is 10-2 in its last 12 home games against teams with a losing road record. The Habs are 17-6 in their last 23 at home overall. Great value on Montreal today. Good luck…Larry |
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01-14-17 | Wild -123 v. Stars | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Minnesota Wild (8:05 EST). The 26-9-3-2 Minnesota Wild are in Dallas to take on the 18-17-8-0 Stars and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The Wild have earned points in 21 of their last 23, most recently coming off a second-straight win, this time a 7-1 destruction of the visiting Montreal Canadiens. 14 players tallied at least a point in the lop-sided beatdown. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk let in a goal with 9 seconds left. He’s now 13-1-0 over his past 14 starts and 22-7-3 with a 1.77 GAA on the year. Note that Minneosta is ranked fourth offensively in averaging 3.23 GPG, while being ranked second on the defensive end in conceding 2.10. The Stars are coming off a win over the Red Wings as goaltender Antti Niemi stopped 31 shots. Niemi is now 9-7-4 on the year with a 2.84 GAA. Dallas was the highest scoring team in the league last year, but is just 19th now in averaging 2.65 per contest. The Stars are also poor on the defensive end, conceding 3.00 GPG. I’ll point out that Minnesota is 8-0 in its last eight after its opponent allows two goals or less in its previous contest and 8-1 in its last nine road games, while Dallas is 0-4 in its last four after scoring five goals or more in its prevoius outing. These are two teams moving in opposite directions. The oddsmakers seem slow in recognizing and in my professional opinion, the red hot visitors do indeed offer fantastic value in this spot. Play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-17 | Maple Leafs v. Rangers -140 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -140 | 28 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE MONTH is on the New York Rangers (7:00 EST). The 18-13-3-5 Toronto Maple Leafs are in New York to take on the 28-13-0-1 Rangers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Toronto comes to town off a 5-3 home loss to Montreal, while New York beat Columbus 5-4 in its last outing. The Rangers come in red hot, having won five of their last six and they have to be feeling pretty confident here as they’ve also won four straight in this series. The Leafs though have lost two of three and are sitting in 11th spot in the East. Frederik Andersen is now 17-16 with a 2.69 GAA, including only 7-8 with a 2.56 GAA on the road. Note that Andersen is 1-1 with a ballooned 3.42 GAA against Toronto lifetime. Henrik Lundqvist notched the win over the Blue Jackets last time out and he’s now 18-10 with a 2.55 GAA. Note that he’s 9-5 with a 2.73 GAA at home and is 13-13 with a 2.77 GAA all time against the Leafs. I’ll point out that Toronto is just 6-12 (-5 units) in its last 18 when playing with three or more days rest and just 6-8 (-1.8 units) this season against clubs with winning records, while New York is already a perfect 2-0 (+2 units) this year when playing with three or more days rest and 14-6 (+2.8 units) against teams with losing records. I’m giving the home side the big nod in net and in my opinion, that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in its favor tonight. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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01-12-17 | Bruins v. Predators -105 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Nashville Predators (8:05 EST). The 22-17-4-1 Boston Bruins are in Nashville to take on the 18-16-4-3 Predators and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Boston has won two of its last three, but I think will stumble in the finale of its four-game road swing. The Predators will look to capatalize and build off their win over the Canucks last time out. The Bruins most recently hammered the Blues 5-3 on Tuesday. Goaltender Tuukka Rask wasn’t overly impressive though, making 14 saves on 17 shots. Note that he’s 2-1-2 with a 2.56 career GAA against the Predators. Boston is ranked 24th in the league with an average of just 2.45 GPG, while ranked seventh on the defensive in conceding 2.43 per contest. Nashville got 29 saves from Pekka Rinne versus the Canucks, he’s now 15-11-6 with a 2.42 GAA on the year and note that he’s 4-0-1 with a 1.89 career GAA against Boston. The Predators average 2.76 GPG and concede 2.63. I’ll point out that Boston is already just 3-8 (-6 units) this season following a victory by two goals or more and only 3-7 (-4.6 units) after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while Nashville is 3-1 (+2 units) in its last four following an OT victory. The Predators embark on a five-game road trip starting on Saturday, so taking advantage of familiar surroundings becomes paramount. And as mentioned off the top, everything points to a mental letdown for the B’s in the final game of their extended trip. Play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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01-11-17 | Panthers v. Islanders -115 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the New York Islanders (7:05 EST). The 18-16-3-5 Florida Panthers are in New York to take on the 15-15-5-3 Islanders in the opener of a home and home set and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Florida enters off a 3-0 road win over the Devils, while the Isles lost 2-1 in OT in Arizona in their last outing. Despite the win, the Panthers are just 3-6 in their last nine and note that they’ve consistently been at their worst on the road, just 8-15 away from friendly confines thus far. Note that Florida ranks 26th in the league in scoring at 2.26 GPG, while ranked tenth on the defensive end in conceding 2.57. The Islanders have also struggled this year. Goaltender Thomas Greiss though is 6-3 with a respectable 2.68 GAA at home. Note that New York is 12th in scoring with an average of 2.76 GPG, while ranked 27th in conceding 3.00 GPG. I’ll point out though that Florida is just 5-17 in its last 22 following a victory, while New York is 7-0 in its last seven home games following a road trip of seven or more days. There isn’t much separating these two clubs, but the first game of the home and home set, combined with revenge factor make the Isles the correct call in this one. Good luck…Larry |
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01-10-17 | Flyers -111 v. Sabres | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -111 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Philadelphia Flyers (7:05 EST). The 21-5-2-4 Philadelphia Flyers are in Buffalo to take on the 15-15-4-5 Sabres and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Philadelphia comes to town off a hard-fought 2-1 OT loss at Columbus, while Buffalo enters off a 4-3 home win over Winnipeg. Michal Neuvirth is expected in net for the visitors and he’s 3-1 with a 3.57 GAA on the road this year. Philadelphia is ranked seventh in the league in scoring at 2.83 GPG, while ranked 24th in goals allowed, conceding 2.98. The home side counters with Robin Lehner, who is 4-9 with a 2.45 GAA in Buffalo this year and 1-2 with 3.35 GAA lifetime against the Flyers. I’ll point out though that Philadelphia is 8-3 in its last 11 after allowing two goals or less in its previous game, while Buffalo is a poor 19-41 in its last 60 following a victory and just 9-21 in its last 30 when playing on two days rest. I think the Flyers build off their last performance against the Blue Jackets and continue their domination of this series, coming in having won 14 of the last 19. Play on Philadelphia. Good luck…Larry |
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01-09-17 | Capitals +102 v. Canadiens | Top | 4-1 | Win | 102 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Washington Capitals (7:35 EST). The 25-9-1-4 Washington Capitals are in Montreal to take on the 25-9-5-1 Canadiens and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Washington took care of business in Ottawa last time out, leaving with a 1-0 road win, while Montreal enters off a 5-3 road victory at Toronto. If recent history is any precedence, then the visitors have to be loving their chances, as they’ve won nine of their last ten games in Montreal. Braden Holtby is expected in net for the visitors, he’s now posted back-to-back shutouts, making 30 stops against the Sens. He’s 6-6 with a 2.13 GAA on the road and 8-3 with a 1.64 GAA lifetime against the Canadiens. Note that Washington ranks ninth in the league in scoring at 2.82 GPG, while ranked first in goals allowed, conceding just 2.03. Clearly this won’t be a cake-walk going up against Carey Price, who is now 20-9 with a 2.06 GAA on the year. Note though that he’s always had his hands full against the Capitals, going just 6-13 with a ballooned 2.97 GAA. Montreal ranks fifth in the league in scoring with 3.08 GPG and fifth in goals allowed in conceding 2.30. I think this is another great situational play, as it does indeed set up as a natural “letdown” spot for the Habs, who finally make their first home appearance after seven straight on the road, finishing by winning the final three. I’m banking on Holtby continuing his incredibly hot play and look for the visitors to score the minor upset once it’s all said and done. Good luck…Larry |
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01-08-17 | Flyers +162 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Philadelphia Flyes (6:00 EST). The 20-15-4-1 Philadelphia Flyers are in Columbus to take on the 27-7-3-1 Blue Jackets and for a number of different reasons, I think the visitors have more than a “punchers chance” this evening. I’ve played against the Blue Jackets in two straight games. First they lost in Washington mid week, a setback which snapped their 16 win streak. Then I had the Rangers as a slight dog last night. And now the Flyers, fresh off a 4-2 win over the Lightning at home yesterday afternoon, come to town and try to kick this reeling team while it’s down. Philadelphia clearly won’t be content here, previous to yesterday’s victory it had lost five straight. Note that the Flyers are eighth in the league in scoring with an average of 2.85 GPG while ranked 27th in conceding 3.03. The Blue Jackets are in the Top 5 in both offense and defense, but once again I think this one sets up as a letdown spot for Columbus. The way the Blue Jackets lost last night was crushing, as they held a 4-2 lead in the third period, before then succumbing 5-4 in regulation. I think the big win streak is over and Columbus starts to regress. Great value on Philadelphia today. Good luck…Larry |
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01-07-17 | Rangers +113 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 5-4 | Win | 113 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the New York Rangers (7:00 EST). The 27-13-0-1 New York Rangers are in Columbus to take on the 27-6-3-1 Blue Jackets and for a couple of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. I bet against Columbus in its first loss in 16 games against Washington last time out. The Blue Jackets fell 5-0 in the nation’s capital. Now the team returns home to a classic letdown spot in its first outing back from the road trip. The Rangers also play with revenge here after falling 4-2 to Columbus back on November 18th. New York has had two whole nights off to prepare for this one and then doesn’t play again for another five days, so not only are the Rangers well rested and prepared, they also have nothing to “look forward to.” It’s a perfect set of situational circumstances working in favor of the visitors today. All signs point to a slight upset, play on New York. Good luck…Larry |
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01-06-17 | Islanders v. Avalanche +123 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 123 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Colorado Avalanche (9:00 EST). The 15-15-4-2 New York Islanders are in Colorado to take on the 12-25-0-1 Avalanche and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the hungry home side. New York is 4-1-0 in its last five, but is still trailing the second Wild card spot in the East by nine points. Thomas Greiss is 9-5-0 with a 2.45 GAA. The Isles have struggled with consistency all year and they’ve consistently been at their worst on the road, going 4-8-2 away from friendly confines thus far. Note that New York is ranked eighth in the leauge with 2.86 GPG, but is ranked second to last on the defensive side in allowing 3.37 GPG. The Avs are struggling in every facet of the game right now. Goaltender Calvin Pickard is 6-11-1 with a 3.19 GAA and has never faced the Islanders before. The team scores the least and concedes the most. But desperation breeds motivation. This is the perfect opponent to get off the scheid against. The Isles are a shell of their former selves and the Avs will be risking life and limb today in trying to secure the victory with the knowledge that they don’t play again for another five days. And with a very winnable game tomorrow night in Arizona, it’s not too big of a stretch to think the Isles could get caught “looking ahead” to that one. Great value on the home side tonight, play on the Avalanche. Good luck…Larry |
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01-05-17 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals -130 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH is on Washington Capitals (7:05 EST). The 27-5-3-1 Columbus Blue Jackets are in Washington to take on the 23-9-1-4 Capitals and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the home side. Columbus has won 16 straight games. Another victory would match the all time streak set by the 1992/93 Penguins. Suffice it to say, I think the overachieving Blue Jackets finally stumble today against the revenge minded Capitals. Columbus enters off a 3-1 home win over Edmonton, while Washington came from behind to beat the Leafs 6-5 in OT. The Blue Jackets have been riding the strong play of goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 25-7 with a 1.92 GAA this season. Note though that Bobrovsky is just 6-8 with a 2.98 GAA lifetime against the Capitals. Columbus is ranked No. 2 on offense at 3.44 GPG and No. 1 on defense, giving up just 2.03 GPG. Braden Holtby is expected in net for the home side and he’s 16-12 with a 2.06 GAA on the year, including 11-6 with a 1.90 GAA in Washington. The Capitals enter ranked 11th in the league in scoring with an average of 2.81 GPG, while ranked third on the defensive end in conceding 2.14 GPG. Washington plays with revenge and it will be out to end the Blue Jackets impressive streak. Columbus could hardly be faulted for a letdown here. All things considered, I do indeed feel we’re getting a very fair price in this one. Play on Washington. Good luck…Larry |
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01-04-17 | Jets v. Panthers -150 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -150 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Florida Panthers (7:00 EST). The 17-19-2-1 WInnipeg Jets are in Florida to take on the 16-14-3-5 Panthers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. No need to overthink this one, as Winnipeg comes to town off an extremely satisfying 6-4 win in Tampa Bay just last night. Florida comes in off a 3-1 road win over the Stars and looks to keep the momentum rolling. Note that the home team has won seven of the last eight in this series as well. Michael Hutchinson is expected to get the start in net for the visitors, he’s 4-9 with a 3.18 GAA this year, including 3-6 with a 2.88 GAA on the road. The Jets are ranked 17th in the league in scoring at 2.59 GPG and 27th defensively in conceding 2.97. Roberto Luongo is expected in net for the home side and he’s 8-6 with a 2.17 GAA at home. The Panthers rank only 25th in the league in scoring at 2.34 GPG, but have been very solid defensively, conceding 2.61 GPG, which is ranked 11th. I’ll point out that the Jets are just 20-51 in their last 71 in the second game of the back-to-back scenario, while Florida is 16-5 in its last 21 when playing on three or more days rest. Both teams have struggled with consistency this year, but this one sets up beautifully for the well rested home side. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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01-03-17 | Canadiens v. Predators -126 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -126 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Nashville Predators (8:05 EST). The 22-9-5-1 Montreal Canadiens are in Nashville to take on the 16-14-3-3 Predators and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Nashville closed out 2016 with a big 4-0 win over the Blues, while Montreal started its seven-game road trip with three defeats in four outings. The Habs had a 3-2 lead over Pittsburgh on Saturday and then let in a goal with just 55 seconds left in regulation, eventually falling in the extra frame. Goaltender Carey Price is 2-3-1 with a 2.29 GAA lifetime against the Predators. The Preds snapped their three-game slide with the shutout over St. Louis, backup goaltender Juuse Saros made his seventh NHL career start and posted his first ever scorless effort. Pekka Rinne is expected to get the call here though and he’s 6-1-1 with a tiny 1.23 GAA in his lifetime against the Habs. I’ll point out that Montreal is just 3-4 (-2 units) this year when playing with two days rest, while Nashville is 8-5 (+2.5 units) against teams with winning records this season. PK Subban may be on injured reserved, but I think Rinne will be a difference maker today. All things considered, I do indeed feel we’re getting great line value on the home side. Play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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12-31-16 | Islanders v. Jets -138 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -138 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Winnipeg Jets (7:05 EST). The 14-15-4-2 New York Islanders are in Winnipeg to take on the 17-18-2-1 Jets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. New York comes in off a disheartening 6-4 road loss at Minnesota, while Winnipeg enters off a 5-3 home loss to Columbus. The Isles are in last place in the Metropolitan and have gotten poor goaltending all year. Jaroslav Halak is expected to be in net and he’s 6-13 with a 3.23 GAA this season, including only 1-6 with a 3.93 GAA on the road. New York is 12th in the league in scoring at 2.77 GPG, while on the defensive end it ranks 28th in goals allowed at 3.11. The Jets have won four of their last six and are 10-8 at home. Connor Hellebuyck is expected in net and he’s 13-12 with a 2.62 GAA on the year, including going 9-5 with a 2.30 GAA at home. Winnipeg ranks 17th in the league in scoring at 2.61 GPG, while ranked 22nd in goals allowed at 2.89. I’ll point out that New York is a poor 2-7 (-4.9 units) after a loss by two goals or more, while Winnipeg is 8-6 (+1.4 units) in its last 14 after allowing four goals or more in its previous game. I’m giving Hellebuyck the big nod in net and that’s going to be more than enough in my opinion to tip the scales in favor of the home side. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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12-29-16 | Blue Jackets -128 v. Jets | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (8:00 EST). Columbus enters on a 13-game win streak and I’m expecting the red hot Blue Jackets to notch another one in the victory column tonight as they make their only visit of the season to Winnipeg. The Jackets rank first in power-play percentage (27.1), second in scoring (3.4 GPG) and second in defense (2.0 GPG allowed). Note that Columubs has scored fewer than three goals just once during the streak. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky has a 22-5-2 record to go along with a 1.91 GAA and .934 save percentage this year. Winnipeg comes in off a satisfying 3-1 win in Chicgo on Tuesday. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 13-11-1 with a 2.62 GAA and .913 save percentage. I’ll point out that Columbus is already 3-0 (+4.2 units) this year after playing three consecutive home games, while Winnipeg is just 5-10 (-5.9 units) in non-conference games this season. The Blue Jackets play with revenge today as the Jets have taken four straight in this series. All things considered, I think we’re getting a great price on the best team in the league. Play on Columbus. Good luck…Larry |
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12-28-16 | Flyers v. Blues -140 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the St. Louis Blues (8:05 EST). The 20-12-1-3 Philadelphia Flyers are in St. Louis to take on the 18-12-4-1 Blues and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Philadelphia plays its first game back after the X-Mas break, most recently losing 4-0 to New Jersey last week, while the Blues enter off a 5-2 loss to Tampa Bay last Thursday. In the loss to the Devils, the Flyers mustered just 16 shots on net. Philadelphia has now lost three of its last four and is ranked sixth in the league in scoring at 2.9 GPG. The Flyers though struggle on the defensive side of the ice, conceding an average of 2.9 GPG, which ranks them 24th overall. Goaltender Steve Mason is 14-10-4 with a pedestrian 2.69 GAA and .908 save percentage. St. Louis looks to get things turned around at home after losing three of its last four as well. A little “home cooking” is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though as the Blues are 13-2-4 at the Scottrade Center thus far. So far the Blues average 2.8 GPG, ranked 12th overall. St. Louis concedes 2.9 GPG, tied with Philadelphia. I’ll point out though that the Flyers are just 3-5 (-2.4 units) this year afer allowing four goals or more, while the Blues are 3-1 (+1.8 units) in their last four against clubs with winning records. I like St. Louis to take care of business in its own barn and all things considered, do definitely feel we’re getting good line value in this matchup. Play on the Blues. Good luck…Larry |
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12-27-16 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets -143 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:00 EST). The 18-14-3-1 Boston Bruins are in Columbus to take on the 23-5-3-1 Blue Jackets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Boston comes out of the Christmas break with zero momentum, most recently losing 3-2 in OT to Caroilna, while the Blue Jackets enter off a 2-1 home win over Montreal, the latest victory in a current 12-game win streak. I don’t think Columbus has a letdown here, as Boston has taken four of the last five in the series. I firmly believe the home side will be out to make a statement tonight. The Bruins turn to Tuukka Rask and he’s 17-9 with a 1.87 GAA. The home side counters with Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 21-7 with a 1.87 GAA. Boston though is ranked 25th in the league in scoring at 2.31 GPG, while Columbus is ranked second at 3.38. I’ll point out that the Bruins are just 4-14 (-15.9 units) in their last 18 when playing with three or more days rest, while the Blue Jackets are 11-6 (+6.3 units) their last 17 in the same position. All things considered, I think we’re getting fantastic value on the still under appreciated Blue Jackets. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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12-23-16 | Kings v. Stars -130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Dallas Stars (8:35 EST). LA starting goaltender Jon Quick was injured on opening night and the Kings have struggled with consistency ever since. This is the second game of a back-to-back for LA and I think it’s primed for a letdown here after its satisfying 4-0 win over Nashville on Thursday. So far LA is 7-9-2 on the road this year. Dallas is 13-14-7 overall, but is 9-5-3 in front of the home town crowd. The Stars now look to close strong before the Christmas break and after falling 3-2 in OT to St. Louis on Tuesday. Goaltender Antti Niemi is 7-4-4 with a 2.85 GAA. I’ll point out that LA is just 2-5 in its last seven in the third game of a “three-in-four” situation, while Dallas is 27-16 (+8.2 units) in its last 43 when playing with two days of rest. It’s a great spot for the revenge minded home side, which I think finds a way to get the job done against a Kings team which comes in contented after its big road win last night. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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12-22-16 | Hurricanes v. Sabres -117 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -117 | 24 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Buffalo Sabres (7:05 EST). The 13-11-3-4 Carolina Hurricanes are in Buffalo to take on the 12-11-3-5 Sabres and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. This is an immediate revenge game for the Sabres, who fell 2-1 in a shootout to Carolina in the Hurricanes’ last game. Buffalo played the Panthers in between and lost in a 4-3 shootout on the road. Note though that the home team has taken five of the last six games in this series. Carolina has played well at home, but has been an absolute train-wreck on the road in going just 4-14 thus far. Goaltender Cam Ward is an unremarkable 10-14 with a 2.30 GAA, including only 3-11 with a 2.60 GAA on the road. He’s also struggled against the Sabres, going just 12-15 with a pedestrian 2.80 GAA. Carolina is ranked 17th in the league in scoring and 14th in goals allowed. The Sabres are only 5-10 on the road, but have played much better in front of the home town crowd. Goaltender Robin Lehner is 7-14 with a 2.47 GAA this year and while he’s struggled against the Hurricanes in the past, take note that Carolina is a poor 45-47 (-4.4 units) against teams with losing records, while Buffalo is 8-5 (+3.1 units) in its last 13 after allowing four goals or more. Buffalo is 3-1 in its last four in front of the home town crowd and I think it offers tremendous value in this revenge scenario. Play on the Sabres. Good luck…Larry |
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12-20-16 | Kings v. Blue Jackets -136 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* PERFECT STORM on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:00 EST). The 16-13-0-2 LA Kings are in Columbus to take on the 20-5-3-1 Blue Jackets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Columbus has won nine in a row and I don’t think it’s going to go have a letdown here in this favorable matchup. LA enters having split its first four games on this current road trip. The Kings however are ocming off a 1-0 loss in Boston on Sunday in which they posted just 18 total shots. That simply won’t get the job done against this high-powered Blue Jackets team. Peter Budaj took the loss and he’s now 4-7 with a 2.09 GAA on the road this year. LA is ranked 19th in the league in scoring at 2.52 GPG, while ranked ninth in goals allowed in conceding 2.45 GPG. Columbus is 10-2 in its last 12 at Nationwide Arena. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is 10-1 with a 2.03 GAA in front of the home town crowd. The Blue Jackets are ranked No. 1 on offense at 3.34 GPG and second on the defensive end in conceding just 2.07 GPG. I’ll point out that LA is just 4-12 in its last 16 after scoring two goals or less in its previous contest, while Columbus is 10-1 in its last 11 when its opponent allows two goals or less in its previous game. All signs point to a rout from start to finish and in my opinion, I think we’re getting great value on the home side. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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12-16-16 | Capitals -133 v. Hurricanes | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Washignton Capitals (7:35 EST). The 18-7-1-2 Washington Capitals are in Carolina to take on the 12-11-3-3 Hurricanes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Carolina has won seven straight at home, but Washington has won five straight overall. Most recently the Capitals come off a 4-2 win over the Islanders on Tuesday, led by Matt Niskanen’s two goals. Goaltender Braden Holtby made 26 saves and is now 14-6-2 on the year with a 2.08 GAA. He’s also 9-4-0 with a tiny 1.90 GAA lifetime against Carolina. So far the Capitals are 12th in the league in scoring with an average of 2.71 GPG. Washington excels on the defensive end though, conceding just 2.11 per contest, ranked third overall. Carolina scored six goals in the third period to best the Vancouver Canucks 8-6 last time out. Suffice it to say, I’m absolutely expecting a letdown here after that improbable comeback. Cam Ward is 9-8-4 with a 2.34 GAA, but Eddie Lack could get the start tonight, and he’s 1-2-1 with a 3.78 GAA. The Hurricanes are 14th in the league in scoring, averaging 2.62, while being ranked 16th on the defensive end, conceding 2.72 per contest. I’ll point out that Washington is already 8-4 (+2.1 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Carolina is just 2-6 (-4.5 units) against the division already this year. Because of all of the reasons listed above, I’m laying the price. Good luck…Larry |
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12-15-16 | Wild v. Predators -130 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -130 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Nashville Predators (8:00 EST). The 16-8-4 Minnesota Wild are in Nashville to take on the 13-11-4 Predators and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Minnesota is primed for a big letdown here after winning five straight in my opinion. Conversely, after losing three straight, the Predators got back on track with a 6-3 thumping of St. Louis on Tuesday and I’m fully expecting the team to build off that effort. The Wild have been getting strong goaltending from Devan Dubnyk, who is 14-6-3 with a 1.60 GAA this year. Note though that Minnesota is already 0-2 (-2.1 units) this season after playing three consecutive home games. The Predators welcomed back defenseman Colton Sissons and Ryan Ellis in the win over the Blues and the results were obvious. I’ll point out that Minnesota is just 24-58 in its last 82 road games against teams with a home winning percentage over .600, while Nashville is 35-16 in its last 51 home games against teams with losing road records. The Wild are 9-3-0 at home, but are a modest 6-5-2 on the road. The Predators on the other hand have been practically unbeatable at home, going 10-2-2 at the Bridgestone Arena thus far. I’m expecting the home side to take make the most of this situation and build off its last victory. Play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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12-13-16 | Blue Jackets +102 v. Oilers | Top | 3-1 | Win | 102 | 31 h 47 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (9:00 EST). The 17-5-3-1 Columbus Blue Jackets are in Edmonton to take on the 15-11-3-2 Oilers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Columbus has won six straight, while Edmonton just broke a four-game losing slide with a tough 3-2 home win over the Jets. The Blue Jackets are 7-5 on the road already this year, while Edmonton is just 7-7 in front of the home town crowd. Columbus most recently destroyed the Islanders 6-2 on Saturday. Sergei Bobrovsky is 16-7 with a 1.98 GAA on the year, including 6-4 with a 1.94 GAA on the road. The Blue Jackets rank 3rd in the league in scoring at 3.31 GPG and ranked 3rd on the defensive end, conceding 2.12 GPG. The Oilers have lost four of their last five, despite the win last time out. Cam Talbot is 14-13 on the year with a 2.55 GAA, including 7-6 with a 2.50 GAA in front of the home town crowd. Edmonton is ranked sixth in the league in scoring, but is in the middle of the pack on the defensive end, conceding 2.68 GPG. I’ll point out that Columbus is 4-1 (+3.5 units) this year when playing on two days rest, while Edmonton is just 4-9 (-6.4 units) this season in non-conference games. I think the Blue Jackets offer tremendous value in this spot and think Bobrovsky will outduel his inconsistent counterpart. Play on Columbus. Good luck…Larry |
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12-11-16 | Blues v. Wild -111 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Minnesota Wild (6:05 EST). The 15-8-3-1 St. Louis Blues are in Minnesota to take on the 14-8-2-2 Wild and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. St. Louis enters off a 4-1 win at New Jersey, while Minnesota comes into this one off a 3-2 home win over Edmonton. Note that the home team has won six of the last eight games in this series and suffice it to say, I’m fully expecting that strong trend to continue tonight. St. Louis has won nine of its last 12. Goaltender Jake Allen is now 14-7 with a 2.24 GAA on the year. If he’s had one weakness though, it’s clearly been his performance on the road where he’s struggled to a 4-5, 3.25 GAA mark. The Blues are ninth in the league in scoring (2.75 GPG) and 15th overall on the defensive end, conceding 2.68. Wild goaltender Devan Dubnky improved to 12-9 with a 1.66 GAA on the year after the win over the Oilers in OT last time out. He’s 7-3 with a 1.60 GAA at home. Minnesota is ranked tenth in scoring at 2.75 GPG. Defensively though Minnesota is a power house, ranked No. 2 in the league in allowing just 2.04 GPG. I’ll point out that St. Louis is just 1-5 in its last six road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600, while Minnesota is interestingly 4-1 in its last five after allowing two goals or less in its previous game. The Blues are just 4-8 on the road, while the Wild are 8-3 at home. All things considered, I think we’re getting a very fair price on this one. Play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
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12-10-16 | Jets v. Flames -125 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Calgary Flames (10:05 EST). The 13-14-2-1 Winnipeg Jets are in Calgary to take on the 15-13-1-1 Flames and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Winnipeg has lost two straight, which doesn’t bode well in facing the red hot Flames, as Calgary enters this one having won five-straight. Jets’ goaltender Michael Hutchinson is 3-5-2 on the year with a 2.95 GAA. He’s a pedestrian 2-2-0 against Calgary with a 2.90 GAA. Winnipeg has struggled on the road all year, going just 5-8-2 away from friendly confines. It averges 2.57 GPG, but concedes 2.87 on the defensive end. Note that Jets’ powerplay has just four goals on the road in 36 opportunities. Calgary has gone 8-2-1 in its last 11, with netminder Chad Johnson now 10-2-0 over his past 12 starts. Note that Johnson is 12-4-1 with a 1.98 GAA on the season and owns a 1.26 GAA lifetime against the Jets. The Flames come in on top form and momentum is often a factor in which the bookmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line. And that’s the case in this matchup in my professional opinion. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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12-09-16 | Rangers v. Blackhawks -125 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Chicago Blackhawks (8:35 EST). No need to overthink this one in my opinion. The Rangers played and won 2-1 in Winnipeg just last night and I think will come into this one predictably “gassed.” New York didn’t have the services of Rick Nash last night and he won’t be in the lineup this evening either after hurting his groin in Tuesday’s 4-3 loss to the Islanders. Henrik Lundqvist is expected to start tonight after back up Antii Raanta got the call last night. Chicago leads the Western Conference and it ended a two-game slide by easily handling Arizona 4-0 on Tuesday. Marian Hossa had two goals, while Scott Darling had 22 saves. The Hawks are dealing with a few injuries, but note that Chicago is 4-1 (+2.6 units) this year following a win by two goals or more and 4-1 (+3 units) when playing with two days rest. Despite being down a few pieces, I think the situation favors the home side. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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12-08-16 | Predators -115 v. Stars | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Nashville Predators (8:30 EST). The 12-9-2-2 Nashville Predators are in Dallas to take on the 10-11-6-0 Stars and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Nashville lost the first two of its three-game home stand but bounced back with a 4-3 win over the Avs and I think it will carry that momentum over into this one. Preds’ goaltender Pekka Rinne is 11-5-4 on the year with a 2.23 GAA. He’s 12-8-2 with a 2.72 GAA lifetime against the Stars. Note that Nashville is also the sixth highest scoring team in the league with an average of 3.00 GPG (also owns the sixth best power play unit with a 22 percent success rate). Dallas enters off a 2-1 loss at home to the Flames and is just 1-3-1 in its last five. Goaltender Kari Lehtonen is 5-8-3 with a 3.00 GAA. Note that the stars have the third worst goal difference in the league with -20. They also have the fourth worst penalty kill unit with just a 77.7 percent efficiency rating, as well as the worst goal allowance per game with 3.22 conceded on average. I’ll point out that Nashville is already 7-4 (+2.4 units) agaist the division this year, while Dallas is just 6-8 (-1.9 units) in the same position. The Predators have actually averaged 3.57 goals per game over their last seven, which clearly doesn’t bode well for the Stars and their horrendous defense. All things considered, I think this is a great price, play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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12-07-16 | Bruins v. Capitals -144 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* PLAY OF THE MONTH is on the Washington Capitals (8:00 EST). The 15–10-0-1 Boston Bruins are in the nation’s capital to take on the 14-7-1-2 Capitals and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Boston is poised for a letdown here in my opinion after winning three straight, most recently a 4-3 effort over Florida. The Capitals finally got off the schneid after a three-game losing streak to earn a hard-fought 3-2 victory over Buffalo in OT and I’m expecting the team to build off that performance. Bruins’ goaltender Tuukka Rask is 14-5 with a 1.68 GAA this year and he’s had to be sharp, as his team ranks just 23rd in the league in scoring with 2.35 GPG. Capitals’ netminder Braden Holtby is 11-8 with a 2.14 GAA, including 7-4 with a 2.10 GAA at home. Note that Holtby is 9-2 with a 1.57 GAA lifetime against the Bruins. Washington is ranked just 18th in scoring with 2.55 GPG. I’ll point out that Boston is just 2-5 (-3.6 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while Washington is 6-4 (+1.5 units) in its last ten against clubs with winning records. Rask is just 1-12 in his career against Washington and I think he’ll once again have his hands full tonight against this hungry home side. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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12-06-16 | Canadiens v. Blues -121 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the St. Louis Blues (8:00 EST). The 17-6-1-1 Montreal Canadiens are in St. Louis to take on the 14-7-3-1 Blues and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Montreal is 2-2 on its current road trip after a hard-fought 5-4 win over LA, while the Blues enter off a 3-2 home loss to Winnipeg. St. Louis though has still won seven of its last nine and note that the home side has won four of the last five in this series. Despite the win over the Kings, Montreal is just 5-6 on the road this year, compared to 12-2 at home. And note that the four goals the Habs posted were the most they’d put up in their last ten games. Goaltender Carey Price has been a bright spot this season, so far he’s 14-4 with a 1.82 GAA. During his career against St. Louis he’s 4-5 with a 2.39 GAA. Note that the Canadiens come into this one averaging 2.92 GPG, ranked eighth in the league, while conceding just 2.20 GPG, ranked fourth. St Louis will star Jake Allen between the pipes tonight and he’s 12-6 with a 2.33 GAA on the season, including 9-2 with a 1.78 GAA at home. I’ll point out that Montreal is interestingly just 3-14 in its last 17 against the Central, while St. Louis is 48-21 in its last 69 against the Atlantic. This is the final game of a five-game road trip for a tired Montreal team and I’m expecting the home side to make the most of this opportunity. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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12-04-16 | Red Wings v. Islanders -145 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* 33-Club Play is on the New York Islanders (6:05 EST). The 11-10-3-0 Detroit Red Wings are in New York to take on the 9-10-2-2 Islanders and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Detroit played and lost 5-3 in Pittsburgh just last night and I think will be predictably “gassed” in this one. And that’s music to the Islanders’ ears, who will look to build off their 3-0 shutout win over the Capitals on the road. Note that the home team has won four of the last five in this series. The Wings are struggling offensively, ranked 25th overall at just 2.29 GPG. The defense is 15th overall, conceding 2.54 GPG. Detroit goaltender Petr Mrazek is now 6-8 on the year with a 2.83 GAA, including just 2-3 with a 3.03 GAA on the road. The Isles though have been getting improved defensive play and goaltending, as Jaroslav Halak posted the shutout against the the high-powered Capitals. Halak has struggled this year, but has to be feeling much better after his latest performance. New York led the league in most offensive categories last year, but this season sees it ranked 17th in scoring at 2.52 GPG. The Isles concede 2.83 GPG, ranked 21st overall. I’ll point out though that Detroit is just 3-13 in its last 16 when playing on back-to-back days, while New York is 6-3 (+3 units) against clubs with losing records. New York can ill afford to take the foot off the gas after the horrible start to the year. Detroit is struggling in all phases of the game right now and will come in dog-tired after last night’s disheartening setback in Pittsburgh. I’m lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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12-03-16 | Blue Jackets -135 v. Coyotes | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (8:00 EST). The 13-5-3-1 Columbus Blue Jackets are in Arizona to take on the 8-11-3-0 Coyotes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The Blue Jackes have earned points in their last four outings and they’ll look to keep the momentum rolling against the 7th ranked Coyotes, who have dropped two in a row. Most recently the Jackets beat the Avs 3-2 on Thursday, led by Brandon Saad and Nick Foligno, each who tallied a goal. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky has been spectacular this year, going 13-5-2 with a 2.08 GAA, giving up two goals or fewer in 11 of his past 14 games. Note that Columbus is 5-2-3 on the road this season and 7-1-2 in its last ten overall. Also note that the Blue Jackets are the NHL leaders on the power play, converting 26 percent of their chances. Arizona comes in off losses to San Jose and LA. In their 4-3 loss to the Kings, the Yotes committed 5 giveaways. Arizona is now just 3-2-3 in its last eight against the Pacific. Coyotes’ netminder Mike Smith is 4-2-2 on the year with a 2.74 GAA. Overall though Arizona is the third worst defensive team in the league, giving up an average of 3.14 goals per game. It also has the fourth worst power play with an efficiency rate of just 13.6. I’ll point out that Columbus is 5-1 in its last six after allowing two goals or less in its previous game and 4-1 in its last five on one days rest. I like the Blue Jackets to keep those strong trends rolling here, they have the better goaltending and the power play is on fire. All things considered, I do indeed feel this is a great price, play on Columbus. Good luck…Larry |
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12-01-16 | Lightning v. Blues -145 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* LEGEND is on the St. Louis Blues (8:00 EST). The 13-10-0-1 Tampa Bay Lightning are in St. Louis to take on the 13-7-2-1 Blues and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Bolts are reeling, they’ve lost four of their last five, which doesn’t bode well in facing this surging Blues team which is even better at home. During the slide Tampa has allowed 14 goals, while the offense has posted just two in its last two home games and just one marker in each of its last seven road losses. The Blues have won five straight in this series (note that Tampa hasn’t even won in St. Louis in over seven years!). The Blues are 6-1-0 in their last seven overall and have earned a point in all of their ten home games. Goaltender Jake Allen is 11-3-3 this season with a very respectable 2.39 GAA. When Allen faced Tampa Bay last year, he came away with the 2-0 victory. Note that St. Louis owns the third most effective penalty killing unit, with an 87.6 percent success rate. And I’ll point out that the Lightning are just 1-4 in their last five when plaing with one day’s rest, while St. Louis is 4-1 in its last five following a victory. Tampa Bay is clearly rudderless now without the services of captin Steven Stamkos and I think the Blues take advantage tonight. Note that Lightning goaltender Ben Bishop is 1-4 in his career against St. Louis. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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11-30-16 | Penguins -145 v. Islanders | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -145 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (8:00 EST). The 13-6-2-1 Pittsburgh Penguins are in New York to take on the 7-10-2-2 Islanders and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The Pens most recently knocked off the Devils 4-3 in a shootout at home, while the Isles scored a 2-1 home victory over the Flames. Pittsburgh goaltender Matt Murray posted the win last time out, he’s now 7-1 with a 1.75 GAA this year. Marc-Andre Fleury though is expected to get the call tonight, and while he’s struggled for the most part this season, the veteran has a big opportunity to “right the ship” in facing this inconsistent Islanders offense. Note that he’s 23-15 with a 2.50 GAA lifetime against the Isles. The Penguins are eighth in the NHL in scoring at 2.91 GPG, while also ranking first in shots taken at 33.9. And that doesn’t bode well for the last place Isles. Goaltender Thomas Greiss notched the win over Calgary, he’s now 4-4 with a 2.41 GAA this season. But Jaroslav Halak will get the call in this one and he’s just 3-10 with a 3.08 GAA this season. The Islanders are 22nd in the league in scoring with an average of 2.68 GPG. I’ll point out that the Penguins are 22-6 in their last 28 against teams with losing records, while New York is just 3-13 in its last 16 against clubs with winning records. The Isles have struggled against good teams this year and I think that trend continues. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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11-29-16 | Stars v. Red Wings -133 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Detroit Red Wings (7:30 EST). The 9-8-5-0 Dallas Stars are in Detroit to take on the 10-10-2-0 Red Wings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Dallas played and lost 4-3 in St. Louis just last night. Now it has to transition across the country to play a hungry Red Wings team which has lost seven of 12 in front of the home town crowd this year. The Stars own the second worst GAA record in the league with 3.27 conceded goals per game. Like Dallas, Detroit has been plagued by injury this year. The Wings have looked a bit better of late though, picking up five points from their last three contests. Backup goaltender Petr Mrazek looked good in his team’s 2-1 OT loss to the Habs last time out, allowing just one regulation goal. I’ll point out that Dallas is just 2-7 in its last nine on the road, while Detroit is 4-1 in its last five against clubs with losing records. Despite all of their injuries, the Red Wings are the correct call here, they’re rested and have an opportunity to move to 3-0-1 in their last four. I’m laying the price. Good luck…Larry |
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11-26-16 | Canadiens -128 v. Red Wings | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Montreal Canadiens (7:00 EST). No need to overthink this one. Detroit comes in off an exhausting 5-4 OT win at New Jersey just last night and would go on to lose starting goaltender Jimmy Howard to injury in the process. Despite a 5-5-0 record, Howard has a 1.82 GAA and .940 save percentage. Petr Mrazek got the win in relief and has started only one of the past nine games. Note that he’s given up four goals in each of his past four starts, going 0-3-1. Montreal enters off a 2-1 win over the Hurricanes at home on Thursday and will be looking to start its five-game road trip with a big win on Saturday night: "It's a trip that's coming at just the right time for us," Montreal coach Michel Therrien told the Canadiens website. "It's going to be tough. We'll face good teams, and I'm eager to see how we respond. We've been playing with confidence, but we'll take things one game at a time," I’ll point out that Montreal is 7-3 (+2.3 units) in its last ten against the division and 5-2 (+2.6 units) against teams with losing records, while Detroit is interestingly, just 1-6 (-6.4 units) this season after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest. Lay the price with confidence, play on the Canadiens. Good luck…Larry |
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11-23-16 | Stars v. Predators -155 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Nashville Predators (8:05 EST). Dallas is 8-7-5 this year and just finished a four-game homestand on Monday with a satisfying 3-2 OT win over the Wild. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here. Antti Niemi stopped 27 shots and it was his first win since November 3rd. Note that he owns a poor 3.17 GAA thus far. Nashville started slowly, but has started to turn things around, most recently coming off a 3-1 win over Tampa Bay on Monday. Defensemen PK Subban scored twice and goaltender Pekka Rinne made 24 saves. Rinne is 7-5-3 on the year with a tiny 2.04 GAA and .933 save percentage. I’ll point out that Dallas is just 2-6 its last eight on the road, just 2-11 in its last 13 after allowing two goals or less in its previous game and just 1-6 in its last seven following a victory, while Nashville is 4-1 in its last five when playing on one days rest. This is a revenge game for Nashville after falling 2-1 to the visiting Stars back on October 18th. It’s payback time, lay the price with confidence. Good luck…Larry |
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11-21-16 | Lightning v. Predators -115 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK in on the Nashville Predators (8:05 EST). The Lightning have won the first four games of their road trip, which is amazing considering the significant injuries they’ve sustained, most notably to captain Steven Stamkos, who lead the team in most offensive categories. Suffice it to say, I think this one sets up perfectly as a “letdown” spot for Tampa Bay this evening though and I’m expecting the hungry home side to take full advantage. The Predators are coming off a 3-1 loss in St. Louis on Saturday night to drop the team to 2-6-2 away from friendly confines. Their play at Bridgestone Arena though has been nothing short of spectacular, as Nashville is 5-1-1 in front of the home town crowd to date. This is a favorable part of the schedule for the Predators, who also welcome Dallas and Winnipeg at the end of the week. Keep your eyes on forward James Neal, who has seven goals in his last seven games. I’ll also point out that Tampa Bay is already just 2-3 (-1.7 units) this year after playing three consecutive road games, while Nashville is 4-1 (+3 units) against clubs with winning records. Great value, play on the Predators. Good luck…Larry |
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11-19-16 | Devils v. Kings -123 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE MONTH is on the LA Kings. The 9-4-3-0 New Jersey Devils are in LA to take on the 8-9-0-1 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. This sets up as a classic letdown spot for New Jersey after it had its five-game win streak snapped in a 3-2 loss at Anaheim last time out. Conversely, the Kings come in with momentum after bouncing the Oilers in a 4-2 home win which would break a four-game slide. Devils’ goaltender Corey Schneider is 7-6 with a 2.21 GAA. He’s just 1-6 with a 2.70 GAA on the road though. New Jersey is just 23rd in the league in scoring at 2.38 PG. The Devils get the job done on the defensive end, where they concede just 2.13 GPG, ranked second overall. The Kings have struggled this year, but have looked better of late. And LA has been great at home, going 6-2 so far. Goaltender Peter Budaj is 8-7 with a 2.12 GAA and is 6-1 with a 2.18 GAA at home. LA is ranked 22nd in scoring and 14th in goals allowed. I’ll point out that New Jersey is just 6-16 in its last 22 when playing with one days rest, while LA is 40-17 in its last 57 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. All things considered, I think we’re getting an awesome price on the home side in this one. Play on LA. Good luck…Larry |
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11-17-16 | Devils v. Ducks -148 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:00 EST). The Ducks are rolling, most recently coming off a convincing 4-1 win over the Oilers on Tuesday night. Goaltender John Gibson made a season-high 33 saves. Anaheim is now tied with Edmonton for the Pacific Division Lead and will look to slow down the Devils, who have also been on a tear of late. The Ducks have posted an 8-3-2 record over their past 13 games with right winer Corey Perry leading the charge with ten points, while Ryan Kesler has scored five goals in five games and six goals this month. New Jersey is poised for a letdown here after five-straight wins. The Devils have been getting the job done with a suffocating defense which ranks second in fewest goals allowed with 31. Most recently New Jersey beat the Stars 2-1 in OT on Tuesday. Of injury concern for the visitors though is Taylor Hall, who shares the team lead with five goals and 12 points. Hall underwent knee surgery yesterday and will be out at least three weeks. And that’s bad news for a power play which has failed to score in its last 21 opportunities spanning six games. I think the Ducks’ continue to build momentum and find a way to get the job done against this now wounded Devils team. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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11-15-16 | Oilers v. Ducks -140 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 2 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:05 EST). Edmonton holds first place in the Pacific Division by two points over the third-place Ducks, who will look to assert themselves on home ice. The Oilers are led by 19 year old Connor McDavid, who leads the league with 14 assists and ranks third with 19 points. But Edmonton has already started to regress after the unrealistic hot start to the season, coming to Anaheim on a three-game losing streak. The Ducks will be in a foul mood too after falling to Columbus 3-2 in OT on Wednesday. Anaheim is getting great goaltending right now, as Jonathan Bernier owns a tiny 2.08 GAA and .934 save percentage. I’ll point out that Edmonton is already 0-1 (-1 unit) this year after scoring 1 goal or less in its previous contest, while Anaheim is 4-0 (+4.2 units) this season in the same position. Lay the price, play on the Ducks. Good luck…Larry |
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