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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-03-18 | Blackhawks v. Flames -121 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Calgary Flames (10:00 EST). The 24-20 Chicago Blackhawks are in Calgary to take on the 25-18 Flames and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. It’s all hands on deck for the Flames tonight as they look to break a six-game slide. Calgary has taken points in four of those contests, but it comes in hungry after back-to-back regulation setbacks, most recently to Tampa Bay. The Hawks earned points in three straight contests before falling to the Canucks in their most recent action. The Hawks have looked a bit better of late, but Calgary is clearly the “hungrier” team. Calgary has had leads in each of its last six games (0-4-2), but the bounces simply haven’t gone its way: “We’re going through a tough patch right now; there’s no doubt about it,” forward Matt Stajan assessed yesterday. “Adversity has hit. We have to stick together in these walls and get through this.” The Hawks lost 4-3 in OT to Calgary already this year, but note that Chicago is a poor 8-15 (-8.6 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Calgary is already 8-4 (+3.7 units) this year following a loss by two goals or more. Home ice advantage can’t be overlooked as a very real factor working in favor of the Flames today either. Great value on the desperate home side, play on Calgary. Good luck…Larry |
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02-02-18 | Capitals v. Penguins -146 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:00 EST). Both teams come in off victories, with the Capitals beating the Flyers 5-3, while the Pens got the better of the Sharks 5-2 in their latest action. Washington averages 3.04 GPG and it concedes 2.80. Braden Holtby is 26-11 with a 2.67 GAA on the year. For his career Holtby is 8-10 with a 2.69 GAA against Pittsburgh. The Capitals have struggled on the road this season though, going 11-12 away from friendly confines, to go along with averaging 2.91 GPG and conceding 3.39 in those contests. Pittsburgh averages 2.96 GPG and it concedes 2.96 as well. The Pens though are 18-8 at home, averaging 3.38 GPG and conceding just 2.69. Goaltender Matt Murray saved 40 of 42 shots he faced to move to 16-13- with a 2.90 GAA in the victory over San Jose. Note that Murray is a strong 10-5 with a 2.61 GAA at home this season. Additionally I’ll point out that the Capitals are just 2-5 in their last seven road games agains a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Penguins are 41-13 in their last 54 home games against a team with a losing road record. Washington is just 2-7 in its last nine trips to Pittsburgh and it faces an uphill battle here as well. I like the Pens to continue their hot play at home and I expect the Capitals’ “road woes” to continue. Lay the price, play on the Penguins. Good luck…Larry |
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02-01-18 | Ducks v. Senators +145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 145 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Ottawa Senators (7:05 EST). Anaheim comes in off a very satisfying 3-1 road in over Boston in its first game back from the All Star game, while the Sens fell 2-1 to the Canes in their first outing of the second half. The Ducks average just 2.76 GPG, while they concede 2.79. John Gibson is questionable for this game and if he does play, he brings his pedestrian 18-19, 2.63 GAA record to the table. If Ryan Miller gets the nod, note that he’s 3-3 with a 2.44 GAA on the road this season. Overall Anaheim is just 11-14 on the road, averaging 2.67 GPG and conceding 2.64 away from friendly confines. The Senators average 2.50 GPG and concede 3.40. Goaltender Craig Anderson gave up two goals on 39 shots in the loss to Carolina, dropping him to 12-22 with a 3.17 GAA. The Ducks have three more tough road match ups ahead of them, including at Montreal on Saturday night, followed by an outing in Toronto on Monday. There’s no question that in some small way this sets up as a let down/look ahead spot for the surging Ducks. But the Senators don’t have the same luxury, as the come in desperate here after losing five of their last six. Ottawa is desperate and this has essentially become a “must win” for it. Now throw in the fact that the Sens also play with revenge after falling 3-0 in Anaheim in early December and all signs do indeed point to a win for the hungry home side. Good luck…Larry |
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01-31-18 | Sharks v. Red Wings -107 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Detroit Red Wings (8:05 EST). I base my picks on many different things, and “scheduling” is one of them. San Jose played and lost 5-2 in Pittsburgh just last night. Surely the Sharks would love to get back into the win column right away, but they come in flat and tired against a Red Wings team looking to make some noise as it looks to get off on “the right foot” to open the second half. Detroit’s latest action saw it fall 5-1 at home to Chicago just before the All Star Game. San Jose is now 12-13 on the road, averaging 2.79 GPG away from friendly confines and conceding 2.83. Martin Jones is expected between the pipes for the visitors tonight and he’s 5-9 with a 2.65 GAA on the road this season. Detroit has gone a poor 10-17 at home this year, averaging 2.63 GPG and conceding 3.07. Jimmy Howard is in net tonight for the home side and he’s 10-14 with a 2.85 GAA in Detroit this year. But San Jose is dealing with injury issues and it come in “dog tired” after falling at the defending champs last night. It’s a great spot for the Wings to take advantage of and all things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Sharks. Good luck…Larry |
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01-30-18 | Avalanche -105 v. Canucks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Colorado Avalanche (10:00 EST). The 27-18-3 Colorado Avalanche are in Vancouver to take on the 19-24-6 Canucks and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the visitors. The Avs fell 3-1 to St. Louis in their latest action. Vancouver also lost in its final game before the break, a listless 4-0 setback to lowly Buffalo. Colorado has in fact now lost two straight (after winning ten straight.) Jonathan Bernier made 31 saves in the latest losing effort. On the year the Avs average 3.3 GPG, while conceding 2.9. Vancouver averages 2.6 GPG and it concedes 3.2. Goaltender Jacob Markstrom is 13-16-15 with a 2.74 GAA this year. I think it’s important to note though that this is a spot in which the Avs have done quite well in of late, going 6-2 in their last eight when playing with three or more days rest, while Vancouver is just 2-5 in its last seven in the same position. The Canucks have won just eight of their last 36 in front of the home town crowd and lack the scoring depth to keep pace with the rested Avs in my opinion. All things considered, I feel this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Colorado. Good luck…Larry |
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01-25-18 | Blue Jackets -120 v. Coyotes | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* WEEKLY WIPEOUT WINNER is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (9:05 EST). Columbus looks to rebound here after falling 6-3 in Vegas on Tuesday. The Blue Jackets average just 2.6 GPG this year, but they make up for it on the defensive end of the ice, anchored by spectacular goaltending from Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 21-15-3 overall to go along with a 2.50 GAA. After a couple of shaky outings, Bobrovsky will be eager to return to form against the Coyotes, who look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after their 3-2 OT win over the Isles on Monday (their second straight victory.) Antti Raanta stopped 32 of 34 shots in that one and he’s now 8-12-5 with a 2.58 GAA on the season. I’ll point out though that Columbus is already 11-4 (+5.4 units) this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest, while Arizona is a horrible 1-8 (-6.9 units) this year when playing with two days rest. I give the Blue Jackets the big nod in net in this one and in my opinion, that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in their favor tonight. Great price here, play on Columbus. Good luck…Larry |
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01-23-18 | Hurricanes v. Penguins -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:00 EST). Carolina enters off a 5-1 home loss to Las Vegas and I think it’s primed for another letdown here. Pittsburgh also enters off a loss, a tough 2-1 road setback in San Jose. The Hurricanes are just 11-15 on the road now, averaging 2.73 GPG away from friendly confines, while conceding 3.08. Overall Carolina averages 2.70 GPG and it concedes 3.04. Goaltender Cam Ward is 12-7 with a 2.75 GAA overall this season. Pittsburgh is 15-8 at home this year, averaging 3.22 GPG in front of the one town crowd, while conceding 2.78. Goaltender Casey DeSmith gave up two goals on 36 shots in his team’s latest setback. I’ll point out though that Carolina is interestingly just 5-14 in its last 19 following a loss of three goals or more, while Pittsburgh is 39-13 in its last 52 home games against clubs with losing road records. Note that this is a revenge game for the Pens after they fell 4-0 to Carolina just two weeks ago. In my professional opinion, this number could easily be a lot larger. Play on Pittsburgh. Good luck…Larry |
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01-22-18 | Islanders -116 v. Coyotes | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -116 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the New York Islanders (9:00 EST). The 24-20-4 New York Islanders are in Arizona to take on the 11-28-9 Coyotes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the high-scoring visiting side. The Coyotes look poised for a letdown here after a rare road win over St. Louis. a victory which snapped a five-game slide. The Isles come in with a ton of momentum though after they smashed the Hawks 7-3 in Chicago on Saturday. Anthony Beauvillier had two power-play goals in that one and he now has seven goals in his last nine games. The Coyotes got two goals from Christian Dvorak to beat the Blues 5-2 this weekend. Arizona though is tied with Buffalo for last in the league with only 31 points overall. Additionally I’ll point out that Arizona is just 6-20 in its last 26 following a victory, while New York is 5-2 in its last seven against the Pacific Division. I think this is a great price as I believe the Coyotes return to mediocrity here against this high-powered Isles’ offense. Play on New York. Good luck…Larry |
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01-21-18 | Sharks v. Ducks -146 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -146 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Anaheim Ducks (9:05 EST). San Jose held on for a very satisfying 2-1 win at home over Pittsburgh just last night and suffice it to say, I believe all signs point to a classic letdown for the Sharks here. Anaheim comes in with momentum after its most recent 2-1 win over the Kings. San Jose averages 2.80 GPG and it concedes 2.66. Goaltender Martin Jones will not be starting tonight, instead it’s backup Aaron Dell, who is 10-5 with a 2.26 GAA. Anaheim averages 2.70 GPG and it concedes 2.64. Goaltender John Gibson is 16-18 with a 2.59 GAA and would go on to make 23 of 24 saves against LA. Note that he’s 2-2 with a tiny 1.61 GAA lifetime against San jose. I’ll point out as well that San Jose is just 6-9 (-5.2 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Anaheim is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in its last four against teams with winning records. Anaheim has been playing a lot better of late, anchored by some great play in net by Gibson. I believe Gibson will easily out duel his counterpart tonight and in my opinion, that’ll be more than enough to secure the victory for the home side. Lay the price with confidence, play on the Ducks. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Blues v. Senators +105 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Ottawa Senators (7:30 EST). St. Louis enters off a 2-1 OT win over Toronto, while Ottawa is off a 4-3 road victory over the Leafs as well. The Blues average 2.83 GPG and concede 2.62. Goaltender Jake Allen is 18-16 with a 2.75 GAA, including going just 8-9 with a 2.90 GAA on the road. The Senators average 2.76 GPG and concede 3.43. Netminder Craig Anderson stopped 45 of 48 shots against Toronto in his teams latest victory to move him to 12-18 with a 3.22 GAA. I’ll point out though that St. Louis is just 1-2 in its last three after an OT victory in which it held its opponent to 1 or less goals, while Ottawa is 2-1 in its last three after scoring four goals or more in tis previous outing. The Sens went into their break having won three of their previous four with their offense leading the way with 18 goals over its last four games. Also note that Ottawa has averaged 3.14 GPG at home this year. St. Louis has been struggling a bit on the defensive side of the ice lately (despite the OT win last time out), allowing a total of 18 goals over its last four games. With two whole nights off before a “cream puff” at home against Arizona, I think the Blues come out flat footed as they caught looking ahead. It’s a PERFECT STORM of factors working in favor of the hungry home side. Play on the Senators. Good luck…Larry |
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01-16-18 | Golden Knights v. Predators -140 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Nashville Predators (8:05 EST). No need to overthink this one in my opinion. The Las Vegas Golden Knights are 29-10-1 this year, including 11-8 on the road. But Nashville comes out of its bye week off back-to-back victories rested and focused and looking to avenge a 3-0 loss to Vegas in early January. Vegas enter this one in a natural letdown spot; after losing 3-2 in OT at home to Edmonton, it’s had two nights off. And with a tough game on Friday night in Tampa Bay, its not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way getting caught “looking ahead” to that one (conversely, the Predators have nothing to look past here with lowly Arizona coming to town on Thursday.) It’s hard to find any negative stats for the Knights yet, they’ve completely exceeded everyone’s expectations to this point. I will point out though that Nashville is 3-1 (+2 units) already this year when playing with three or more days rest and 3-1 (+2 units) in is last four trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. This line could easily be a lot higher in my opinion. Play on the Predators. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-18 | Bruins -133 v. Canadiens | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Boston Bruins (7:05 EST). The 23-10-5-2 Boston Bruins are in Montreal to take on the 18-20-3-1 Canadiens and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the visitors. Boston averages 3.23 GPG and it concedes 2.50. Goaltender Tuukka Rask is 14-8-5 with a 2.23 GAA overall this year. The Bruins come out of their bye week off a 6-5 OT defeat to the Pens, but they still have not suffered a regulation loss in 11 straight outings. Note that the Bruins have won eight of their last 11 away from friendly confines. The Habs comes in off back-to-back wins, a 2-1 shoot-out victory over Tampa Bay to snap a five-game slide, before a 5-2 victory over Vancouver. Montreal averages just 2.52 GPG and it concedes 3.05. Netminder Carey Price is 13-14-2 with a 2.89 GAA. I’ll point out that the Bruins are 4-0 in their last four when playing on three or more days rest, while the Canadiens are just 1-4 in their last five against the Eastern Conference. I give the Bruins the nod in net and that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in their favor this evening. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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01-12-18 | Jets v. Blackhawks -110 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Chicago Blackhawks (8:30 EST). Winnipeg looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its 7-4 road win over Buffalo, while it’s going to be “all hands on deck” for the Hawks after their 2-1 home loss to Minnesota. The Jets average 3.4 GPG, while conceding 2.73. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 24-10 with a 2.36 GAA on the year, including 7-8 with a 2.59 GAA on the road. But as mentioned above, after three straight wins and victories in six of their last seven, I think the visitors are going to have bit of a mental lapse this evening. The Hawks average 3.12 GPG and concede 2.72. Netminder Anton Forsberg is 1-3 with a 1.60 GAA at home this season. I’ll point out as well that Winnipeg has in fact struggled in this spot, despite the win against the Sabres it’s still only 3-9 in its last 12 on the road (also just 1-8 in its last nine road games against a team with a winning home record), while Chicago is 100-45 in its last 145 home games against a team with a losing road record. I think the hungry Hawks find a way to get the job done at the end of the night and all things considered, I believe this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Chicago. Good luck…Larry |
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01-07-18 | Sharks v. Jets -130 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Winnipeg Jets (3:05 EST). I think the Sharks have a predictable letdown here after their 6-5 OT loss in Ottawa in their latest action. Conversely, I look for the Jets to build off their 4-3 home win over Buffalo. San Jose comes into this one averaging 2.74 GPG, while ranked fifth in goals allowed by conceding just 2.56 per contest. Goaltender Martin Jones is 13-13 with a 2.54 GAA and just 4-7 with a 2.79 GAA on the road. Winnipeg averages 4.11 GPG and concedes just 2.58 in front of the home town crowd this season. Connor Hellebuyck is 24-10 with a 2.40 GAA, including 15-2 with a 2.24 GAA at home. I’ll point out as well that San Jose is just 1-4 in its last five against teams with winning records, while Winnipeg is 40-19 in its last 59 home games against teams with a losing road record. The Sharks are just 9-10 on the road this year, which doesn’t bode well for Jones facing this high-scoring home side. When you add it all up, I think this is fantastic “line value.” Play on the Jets. Good luck…Larry |
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01-06-18 | Wild v. Avalanche +115 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 115 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* UNDERDOG SHOCKER OF THE MONTH is on the Colorado Avalanche (9:00 EST). The 22-16-3 Minnesota Wild are in Colorado to take on the 21-16-3 Avalanche and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Minnesota comes in off a 6-2 win over Buffalo on Thursday, while Colorado comes in off a 2-0 win over Columbus in its latest action. Note that this is a revenge game for Colorado after it fell 3-2 to the Wild in a shootout in the only other meeting this year. Minnesota averages 2.9 GPG and it concedes 2.8. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is 15-8-2 with a 2.57 GAA. The Avs average 3.2 GPG and concede 3.00. Jonathan Bernier is 8-7-1 with a 2.94 GAA. Gabriel Landeskog has 12 points in his last nine games. I’ll point out that Minnesota is just 6-7 (-1.8 units) this year against division opponents and only 6-7 (-2.2 units) following a win by two goals or more, while Colorado is 4-1 (+3.5 units) in its last five in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. I think the Avs offer great value in this spot. Good luck…Larry |
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01-05-18 | Golden Knights v. Blackhawks -118 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -118 | 31 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Chicago Blackhawks (8:30 EST). This is a “common sense” play for me. The Vegas Golden Knights come in off a hard-fought 2-1 loss in St. Louis just last night and suffice it to say, I think they’ll have a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back to back. Chicago comes in off an impressive 5-2 win over New York and it will be looking to take advantage of this situation after some recent shoddy play. Clearly Las Vegas has been a big surprise this year, almost unbeatable at home and still decent on the road with a 10-8-0-1 record. The Hawks play with revenge today as well though after falling 4-2 to Vegas in late October. Chicago has won four straight at home and I believe the stars have aligned for it in this particular matchup. All things considered, this is the very definition of “great line value” in my opinion. Play on the Blackhawks. Good luck…Larry |
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01-04-18 | Ducks v. Oilers -126 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Edmonton Oilers (9:05 EST). Edmonton will be desperate here as it’s so far gone 0-2-1 during a four-game home stand. The Oilers sit nine points out of a playoff spot, which is being held by Anaheim. The Ducks look poised for a letdown here in my opinion though as they’ve won three straight, most recently getting the better of the Canucks 5-0 on Tuesday. Anaheim averages 2.7 GPG, while it concedes 2.7 as well. Edmonton has in fact lost four straight, most recently a 5-0 setback at home to the Kings. Connor McDavid remains a bright spot on the team with 45 points overall. Additionally I’ll point out that Anaheim has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors already this season, going 0-2 (-2.4 units) after shutting out its opponents in its previous game and just 4-5 (-1.7 units) after a win by two goals or more, while Edmonton is 5-2 (+2.4 units) against division opponents this season and 6-4 (+1.9 units) after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing. I think the Ducks have a letdown here after their big 5-0 win and I look for the Oilers to risk life and limb today after back-to-back 5-0 losses. All things considered a great price, play on Edmonton. Good luck…Larry |
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01-03-18 | Blackhawks v. Rangers -145 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -145 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the New York Rangers (8:05 EST). Chicago comes in off a 4-3 OT loss in Calgary, while the Rangers are off a 3-2 OT win over Buffalo in the Winter Classic. The Blackhawks sit in tenth in the West, averaging only 2.95 GPG. On the defensive end they’ve been decent, allowing 2.76. Goaltender Jeff Glass gave up four goals on 39 shots in his last outing and he’s now 1-1 with a 3.46 GAA. New York averages 3.10 GPG and concedes 2.69. Goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is 13-6 with a 2.38 GAA at home this year. I’ll point out that Chicago is just 3-9 in its last 12 against teams with winning records, while New York is a solid 35-17 in its last 52 against the Western Conference. Both teams come in scuffling, but I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real factor in this matchup. I also believe that New York has a significant advantage in net tonight and that makes this a price that I have no issues at all in laying. Play on the Rangers. Good luck…Larry |
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01-02-18 | Predators +125 v. Golden Knights | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Nashville Predators (10:00 EST). Vegas enters 2018 having gone 16-2-1 at the T-Mobile Arena. Nashville though looks to score an upset here, coming into this contest averaging 3.2 GPG, fuelled by a No. 2 ranked power play that converts on 25.0 percent of its chances. Vegas most recently beat the Leafs 6-3 on Sunday. It was the Knights seventh win in a row. The Golden Knights have been getting exceptional goaltending, but the Predators can match pace with Pekka Rinne in that department. Nashville plays with revenge here as well after falling to Vegas earlier in the year and note that the Predators are already a solid 9-7 (+1.2 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. I think that the Knights stumble here against this equally as powerful Western Conference foe. Great value, play on the Predators. Good luck…Larry |
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12-31-17 | Blackhawks v. Flames -129 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Calgary Flames (9:00 EST). The 18-14-5 Chicago Blackhawks are in Calgary to take on the 18-16-4 Flames on New Years Eve and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the hungry home side. Chicago enters off a 4-3 OT road win over Edmonton, while Calgary lost 2-1 in Anaheim in its latest action. The Hawks average 2.9 GPG and concede 2.7. Goaltender Corey Crawford owns a 16-9-2 record and a 2.27 GAA thus far. The Flames average 2.7 GPG and concede 2.8. Netminder Mike Smith has a 14-13-3 record to go along with a 2.56 GAA. I’ll point out though that Chicago is just 4-5 (-2.5 units) in its last nine after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while Calgary is 6-3 (+2.6 units) this season after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing and 2-0 (+2.5 units) after three or more consecutive losses. The Flames are the much “hungrier” team and home ice can’t be overlooked as a very real factor either in this situation. In my opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Flames. Good luck…Larry |
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12-29-17 | Islanders v. Jets -138 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Winnipeg Jets (8:00 EST). The 20-13-4 New York Islanders are in Winnipeg to take on the 21-11-6 Jets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Note that Winnipeg plays with revenge here after falling 5-2 in Long Island last weekend. New York got the better of Buffalo 3-2 in OT on Wednesday. The Isles rank among the league leaders in all offensive categories, but they’ve gotten inconsistent goaltending from Jaroslav Halak. Winnipeg enters off a 4-3 win over Edmonton. Note that the Jets are 21-7 in their last 28 home games and 21-6 in their last 27 home games against clubs with losing road records. Winnipeg goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 19-4-5 on the season. I’ll also point out that the Islanders are a poor 1-4 in their last five following a victory. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion as I believe the Isles stumble in this non-conference Western road swing opener. Play on the Jets. Good luck…Larry |
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12-28-17 | Flames v. Sharks -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the San Jose Sharks (10:30 EST). The 18-15-3 Calgary Flames are in San Jose to take on the 19-11-4 Sharks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Calgary comes in off a 3-2 home loss to the Habs, while San Jose enters off a 2-0 win over the Kings. And if recent history is any precedence, then the Sharks have to be liking their chances today, because when these teams met earlier in the season, it was San Jose that skated away with the 3-2 win. The Flames are just 4-4-2 in their last ten games and have averaged just 2.8 GPG this year, ranking them 21st overall. Goaltender Mike Smith has been a bright spot, posing a 14-12-2, 2.58 GAA record thus far. San Jose averages 2.8 GPG as well, and it concedes just 2.40, ranked second overall. Goaltender Martin Jones is 12-8-3 with a 2.51 GAA. I’ll point out that Calgary is just 1-4 in its last five road games against a team with a winning home record, while San Jose is 4-0 in its last four home games against a team with a winning road record. The Flames’ offense has been horrible of late, averaging just 2.3 GPG over its last ten, which clearly doesn’t bode well going up against San Jose’s elite defense. In my opinion, this line could easily be a lot higher. Lay the price, play on the Sharks. Good luck…Larry |
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12-27-17 | Golden Knights v. Ducks -117 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -117 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:05 EST). Anaheim enters off a 4-0 road win over Pittsburgh. Rickard Rakell had two points, while goaltender John Gibson posted the shutout. Keep your eyes on Rakell, he now leads the team with 24 points, including ten goals. The difference maker today for me though is Ducks’ netminder Gibson, who is just 11-11-4 on the year, but who owns an elite .922 save percentage and 2.77 GAA. Vegas is 15-2-1 at home this season, but just 8-7-1 on the road. The Golden Knights have been great, but clearly their weakness is their performance away from friendly confines. Vegas looks primed for a letdown here too in my opinion after knocking off the Capitals at home in their latest action. I’ll point out as well that Vegas is just 1-2 in its last three when playing on two or more days rest, while the Ducks are 4-0 in their last four when playing on three or more days rest. For all the reasons listed above, play on Anaheim. Good luck…Larry |
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12-20-17 | Blues +105 v. Flames | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the St. Louis Blues (9:35 EST). St. Louis comes in off a 4-0 loss at Winnipeg and with a game tomorrow night in Edmonton, tonight’s contest takes on added importance. The Flames broke a three-game slide with a big 6-1 road win over Vancouver and I think they look primed for a letdown here. St. Louis is still ranked 13th in the league in scoring with an average of 3.00 GPG, while ranked fourth on the defensive side by conceding just 2.51. Goaltender Jake Allen looks to bounce back off a rare shaky effort, he’s still 17-11 with a 2.59 GAA on the year, including 7-5 with a 2.82 GAA on the road. Calgary averages 2.79 GPG, while it allows 2.94. Goaltender Mike Smith is 13-14 with a 2.61 GAA on the year, including 7-9 with a 3.05 GAA at home. I’ll point out that St. Louis is 38-17 in its last 55 when playing on two days of rest, while Calgary is still just 27-58 in its last 85 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. I like Allen to outplay Smith and in my opinion, that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in favor of the Blues tonight. Good luck…Larry |
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12-19-17 | Lightning v. Golden Knights +112 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 112 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Las Vegas Golden Knights (10:05 EST). I think Tampa has a letdown here in the finale of its four-game Western swing. Both teams come in hot, with Tampa leading the NHL with 50 points, while the Knights have won six of their last seven. Tampa ranks first in the league in goals with 3.8 per game, while goaltender Andrei Vasileskly is 21-4-1 with a 2.11 GAA. Speaking of hot goaltenders though, Knights’ starter Marc Andre Fleury is back from injury and he comes in with an 8-2 record after winning his last four starts. Note that Vegas has six players with over 20 points so far this year. Additionally I’ll point out that Tampa is just 29-65 in its last 94 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Vegas is still 13-3 in its last 16 in front of the home town crowd. The Knights are third in the NHL in scoring with 3.4 GPG and I think they’ll catch the Lightning a little “flat footed” in their final game of their road trip. Great value, play on the Golden Knights. Good luck…Larry |
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12-16-17 | Predators v. Flames -105 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Calgary Flames (10:05 EST). Calgary has struggled over its last ten games, winning just four of them. The Flames come in having lost two straight, most recently a tough 3-2 setback to the Sharks. With a game tomorrow night on the road in Vancouver, the Flames look to break their string of shoddy play with a big victory in front of the home town crowd. Nashville comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having won seven of its last ten, including back-to-back games, most recently a 4-0 win in Edmonton on Thursday (after hammering the Canucks 7-2.) With two whole nights off before a home game against the Jets, I think the visitors finally come in a bit complacent here and get caught looking ahead. Additionally I’ll point out that the Predators are already 0-2 (-2.1 units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game, while Calgary is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in its last four after losing in OT and failing to register three or more goals in its previous outing. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Flames. Good luck…Larry |
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12-14-17 | Ducks v. Blues -146 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -146 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the St. Louis Blues (8:05 EST). St. Louis comes in off a 3-0 loss to Tampa Bay on Tuesday, snapping a four-game win streak, while the Ducks come in having won two of their last three. Note that a number of Anaheim players are questionable for this game, with LW Nick Ritchie and defenseman Hampus Lindholm both questionable. Anaheim got the job done 3-2 over Carolina in its latest action, but was outshot 30-23. The Blues’ Jake Allen looks to get back on track, he’s now 17-7-2. Note that Allen hasn’t seen more than 30 shots on goal in six straight games. Anaheim is a decent 5-4 on the road, but the Blues are 11-6 at home. I given Allen the big nod in net in this matchup and that alone will be more than enough for me to pull the trigger on the home side. Lay the price, play on the Blues. Good luck…Larry |
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12-13-17 | Stars v. Islanders -128 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -128 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the New York Islanders (7:05 EST). Dallas comes to town off a highly satisfying 2-1 road win over the Rangers, while the Isles also come in off a 3-1 home victory over the Capitals. So far the Stars average 2.87 GPG, while ranked 13th in goals allowed with 2.87. Goaltender Kari Lehtonen is 4-5 with a 2.49 GAA. Ben Bishop will be in net tonight though and he’s 13-9 with a 2.75 GAA, including jsut 4-6 with a 3.55 GAA on the road. New York averages 3.53 GPG and concedes 3.30. Goaltender Jaroslav Halak is 9-8 with a 2.82 GAA and 5-1 with a 2.39 GAA at home. I’ll point out that Dallas is just 17-35 in its last 52 after allowing two goals or less in its previous game, while New York is 8-2 in its last ten at home. New York has struggled on the road, but is 9-3 at home. Dallas has struggled on the road as well, going just 7-10 thus far. The home team is 6-1 the last seven in this series and I expect that strong trend to continue here. All things considered, this is a very fair price. Play on New York. Good luck…Larry |
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12-12-17 | Kings -136 v. Devils | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -136 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the LA Kings (7:05 EST). LA comes in off a 3-2 OT win at home over Carolina, while New Jersey enters off a 5-2 road loss at the Rangers. The Kings are rolling, winners of eight straight and averaging 3.08 GPG. LA is No. 1 defensively, conceding just 2.19 GPG. Goaltender Jonathan Quick is 15-9 with a 2.18 GAA, including 8-3 with a 2.14 GAA on the road. The Devils average 3.00 GPG and concede 3.06. Goaltender Cory Schneider is 11-9 with a 2.72 GAA, including 5-6 with a 2.77 GAA at home. New Jersey is just 6-7 at home this season. Additionally I’ll point out that LA is 8-1 in its last nine road games against a team with a losing home record, while New Jersey is just 15-36 in its last 51 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. LA is 10-4 on the road and Quick gets the big nod over Schneider here. I don’t expect LA to “look past” its opponent and all things considered, I do indeed feel this number could in fact be a lot larger. Play on the red hot Kings. Good luck…Larry |
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12-11-17 | Hurricanes +103 v. Ducks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on the Caroilna Hurricanes (10:05 EST). The 11-10-7 Carolina Hurricanes are in Anaheim to take on the 12-11-7 Ducks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Carolina comes to town having lost five of its last six. The Hurricanes are struggling, but so too are the Ducks, who can completely empathize with their counterparts today as they’ve lost six straight after scoring two or fewer goals in their previous outing. Anaheim is struggling with several injuries to its offense as well. I’m calling Scott Darling and John Gibson a “wash” in net in this one, but note that Carolina is 5-2 (+2.7 units) in its last three after three or more consecutive losses, while Anaheim is already just 1-4 (-3 units) this year when playing with two days rest. I like Carolina to finally get off the schneid in this favorable machup. Great value, play on the Hurricanes. Good luck…Larry |
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12-09-17 | Islanders v. Bruins -143 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Boston Bruins (7:05 EST). New York comes in off a disheartening 4-3 OT loss to Pittsburgh, while the Bruins enter off an easy 6-1 home win over the Coyotes. After a great streak, the Isles have come crashing down to Earth of late, having dropped three of their last four. New York averages 3.64 GPG and concedes 3.39. Goaltender Jaroslav Halak is 8-7 with a 2.99 GAA, including 4-6 with a 3.12 GAA on the road. The Bruins average 2.84 GPG and concede 2.80. Tuukka Rask is 6-10 with a 2.52 GAA on the year, including 5-5 with a 2.40 GAA at home. Rask has dominated the Isles throughout his career though, going 10-5 with a 2.39 GAA. New York is just 2-6 in its last eight in this series, while Boston is 16-5 in its last 21 home games against teams with a losing road record. The Isles are just 8-9 on the road this year and I think their sloppy play carries over in Bean-town. Lay the price, play on the Bruins. Good luck…Larry |
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12-08-17 | Wild -108 v. Ducks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Minnesota Wild (10:05 EST). Minnesota looks to get back on track after a 5-2 loss to the Kings, while the Ducks look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after prevailing 3-0 over the hapless Senators in their latest action. Minnesota averages 2.92 GPG, while allowing 3.00. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is 11-10 with a 2.78 GAA and owns an elite 2.12 GAA in 14 career matchups with Anaheim. Anaheim averages 2.62 GPG and allows 3.00. Goaltender John Gibson is 8-12 with a 2.97 GAA. Gibson has had success against the Wild in the past (3-1, 1.19 GAA), but note that the Ducks are a horrible 8-9 (-4.3 units) in their last 17 after shutting out their opponent in their previous game. Conversely, this is a spot in which the Wild have excelled in this season, going 4-2 (+1.6 units) against clubs with losing records and 7-5 (+2.4 units) after allowing four goals or more. I’m calling the goaltenders a “wash” in this one, but the numbers do indeed point to the visitors as the correct call in my opinion. Play on the Wild. Good luck…Larry |
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12-07-17 | Flyers v. Canucks -118 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -118 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Vancouver Canucks (10:05 EST). No need to overthink this one. Philadelphia ended a ten-game losing streak with a win over Calgary and then followed it up with a 4-2 victory in Edmonton just last night. Vancouver comes in rested and focused and on top form, having won three straight. The Canucks have outscored their opponents 10-4 during their win streak, scoring the 3-0 shutout over Carolina in their most recent action. I’ll point out that Philadelphia is just 1-3 in its last four in the second game of a back to back after scoring four goals or more in a victory in the first contest, while the Canucks are 2-1 in their last three after three or more consecutive victories. This line could easily be a lot bigger in my opinion as the oddsmaker’s are giving the red hot Canucks little respect in this great situational matchup. Play on Vancouver. Good luck…Larry |
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12-04-17 | Bruins v. Predators -132 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* NHL GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Nashville Predators (8:05 EST). Boston comes to town off a 3-0 win over the hapless Flyers, while Nashville enters off a 3-2 shootout win over the lowly Ducks. The Bruins average 2.71 GPG, while conceding 2.79. Netminder Tuukka Rask comes off the strong outing against Philadelphia, but overall he’s been terrible, going just 5-10 with a 2.65 GAA, including only 1-5 with a 2.80 GAA on the road. Nashville averages 3.04 GPG and concedes 2.81. Goaltender Pekka Rinne is 15-6 with a 2.35 GAA, including 10-2 with a 2.52 GAA at home (note that he’s 4-2 with a 2.07 GAA lifetime against Boston.) Additionally I’ll point out that Boston is just 1-6 in its last seven trips to Nashville, while the Predators are 4-1 in their last five against the Eastern Conference. I like Rinne to outduel his currently inconsistent counterpart and all things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Lay the price, play on the Predators. Good luck…Larry |
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12-02-17 | Oilers v. Flames -139 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -139 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Calgary Flames (10:05 EST). The Flames come in off a convincing 3-0 home win over Arizona and I expect the team to carry that momentum over here. The Oilers continue to struggle as they come in off a 6-4 home loss to Toronto. With four nights off after this contest, it’s not too hard to imagine Edmonton getting caught looking ahead here as well. Note only does Calgary play with revenge after a 3-0 setback to Edmonton on October 4th, but note that it’s done extremely well in this spot for bettors all year, going 4-2 (+1.5 units) against division opponents and 6-4 (+2.2 units) trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Conversely, this is a spot in which the Oilers have really struggled in, going just 3-7 (-5.8 units) this year after allowing four goals or more in their previous contest. This line could easily be a lot larger in my estimation. Great value, play on the Flames. Good luck…Larry |
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12-01-17 | Senators v. Islanders -140 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM on the New York Islanders (7:05 EST). These two teams are moving in opposite directions. The Senators are going to be desperate here, but that doesn’t necessarily mean they have the advantage. In fact, Ottawa is struggling in all facets of the game, having lost seven straight, most recently a heartbreaking 2-1 loss to Montreal. New York though is surging in the other direction (most recently a 5-2 spanking of Vancouver) and I think it could easily be a much larger fav than what it is in this situation. The Sens average 2.91 GPG and concede 3.13. Goaltender Craig Anderson has struggled so far this season, he’s 7-11 with a 2.95 GAA, including 3-3 with a 2.49 GAA on the road. The Isles own the league’s No. 1 offense at 3.67 GPG. At home they average 4.60 GPG. Overall on the year New York concedes 3.13 GPG. Goaltender Thomas Greiss is 8-4 with a 3.34 GAA and he’s always done well against the Senators, sporting a 3-1, 2.71 GAA lifetime record vs. them. I’ll point out that Ottawa is 0-6 in its last six after scoring two goals or less in its previous contest, while New York is 19-7 in its last 26 against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Greiss is the correct call here. Anderson is struggling and that doesn’t bode well facing the league’s No. 1 offense that comes into this one on top form. As stated off the top, this line could/should easily be a lot larger. Play on the Islanders. Good luck…Larry |
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11-30-17 | Maple Leafs v. Oilers -106 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Edmonton Oilers (9:05 EST). Toronto has been better than Edmonton this year. The Leafs though have lost three of their last five. The Oilers have been a big disappoinment overall this season, but they’ve looked a lot better of late, wining three of their last four. The Leafs are in Vancouver on Saturday night, while the Oilers travel to Calgary on Saturday. Clearly these teams are very evenly matched. Edmonton has under-performed big time to this point, while Toronto has likely exceeded expectations. The Leafs are now stumbling, while the Oilers seem to be on the rise. Despite Edmonton starting its backup goaltender tonight, I’m still calling the netminders a “wash” in this one. I simply feel that the Oilers are the much “hungrier” team. Expectations were sky high coming into the season and there’s no way the team can be satisfied with a couple of recent wins under its belt. I like Edmonton to risk life and limb tonight as it sends a message to Eastern Canada. Play on the Oilers. Good luck…Larry |
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11-28-17 | Stars -112 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* ODDSMAKERS ERROR is on the Dallas Stars (10:00 EST). The 12-10-1 Dallas Stars are in Vegas to take on the 15-6-1 Golden Knights on Tuesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Dallas allows 2.9 GPG and scores 2.9 as well, placing it in the middle of the pack on both ends of the ice. The Stars come in off a 6-4 home win over the Flames and have now won three of their last four games. Vegas concedes 3.00 GPG and averages 3.7. The Golden Knights have won four in a row and five of their last six, but note that Vegas is already just 1-2 in its last three after three-game or longer unbeaten streak. I like Dallas in this spot as it looks to avenge a 2-1 setback to the Knights back on October 6th. Play on the Stars. Good luck…Larry |
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11-24-17 | Senators v. Blue Jackets -155 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:00 EST). Columbus comes in off an OT win over Calgary and it’s now won five straight. Suffice it to say, I’m fully expecting the home side to carry that mometum over here. The Senators on the other hand are in “free fall” mode, having dropped four straight. Note that Columbus plays with revenge here as well as Ottawa took three of four in the season series a year ago. During their slide the Sens have posted just five goals, most recently getting shutout at New York, followed up by a 5-2 loss to Washington on Wednesday. Goaltender Craig Anderson gave up four of those five goals to the Capitals before being pulled. A cold offense is not what the doctor ordered when facing red hot Blue Jackets’ netminder Sergei Bobrovsky, who has given up four goals during his team’s five game win streak (that includes two shuouts.) Note that Ottawa is just 1-5 in its last six against the Eastern Conference, while Columbus is 4-0 in its last four in the same position. I’m banking on Bobrovsky to continue his stellar play. Great value, play on the Blue Jackets. Good luck…Larry |
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11-22-17 | Sharks -126 v. Coyotes | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 9 m | Show |
10* Las Vegas Insider on the San Jose Sharks (9:05 EST). San Jose comes to town on the heels of a three-game losing streak, with only one hope to snap the slide. And that hope arrives in the form of the Arizona Coyotes, who I believe are primed for a letdown here after three straight victories. The Sharks offense has gone cold of late. Defense and goaltending are both fine. Note that while they’ve allowed eight goals in their last three home games, they’ve only managed to pot three themselves. San Jose No. 1 netminder Martin Jones (8-5-1) is expected between the pipes after giving up two goals on 30 shot attempts to Anaheim in his latest action. I think he’ll be a difference maker today. This sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Coyotes as well. Arizona won three straight on the road in Eastern Canada and then returns home for its first game against a desperate team. The Coyotes most recently beat the Leafs 4-1 in Toronto. I believe the situation favors the desperate Sharks. I expect San Jose to finally find the back of the net tonight. Good luck…Larry |
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11-21-17 | Oilers v. Blues -145 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the St. Louis Blues (8:05 EST). Edmonton enters off a 6-3 loss at Dallas, while St. Louis fell 4-3 in OT to the Canucks on the road. The Oilers rank just 27th in the league in scoring with 2.50 GPG, while ranked 23rd on the defensive end by conceding 3.15. Goaltender Cam Talbot is 7-11 with a 3.10 GAA this season, including only 3-5 with a 2.67 GAA on the road. The Blues rank seventh in the league in scoring with 3.24 GPG, while ranked fifth on the defensive side by conceding just 2.62. Goaltender Jake Allen is 11-6 with a 2.72 GAA on the year and 6-2 with a 2.45 GAA at home. I’ll point out as well that Edmonton is just 19-39 in its last 58 following a loss by three or more goals, while St. Louis is an amazing 42-12 in its last 54 against clubs with a winning percentage below .400. The Blues are top in the West right now with 31 points and they’re 7-2 at home. They have the better goaltender and much better overall offense. St. Louis is also the more skilled and deeper team. How is this line not a lot larger? We’ll make the books pay, lay the price with confidence on the Blues in this one. Good luck…Larry |
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11-18-17 | Blackhawks v. Penguins -147 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -147 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:05 EST). No need to overthink this one. Chicago annihilated the Penguins 10-1 on October 5th. It was the second game in as many nights for the Pens and it was the Hawks home opener. The night before Pittsburgh won in OT against the Blues in its opener. The Pens come in on top form, winning two in a row and going 3-1-1 in their last five. Since Oct. 29th Pittsburgh has allowed 23 goals over eight games, which works out to just 2.9 per contest. Note that Chicago is just 2-4 (-3.3 units) this year after a win by two goals or more, while Pittsburgh is already 7-2 (+4.8 units) this season against clubs with losing records. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Penguins. Good luck…Larry |
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11-16-17 | Flyers v. Jets -130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Winnipeg Jets (8:05 EST). Philadelphia looks primed for another letdown here in my opinion after dropping a 3-0 decision at Minnesota last time out, while I expect Winnipeg to build off its 4-1 home win over Arizona. After a huge start to the season, the Flyers predictably have come crashing back down to Earth. After leading the league in scoring in the early going, Philadelphia is now ranked 21st by averaging 2.76 GPG. The Flyers have remained solid defensively though, conceding 2.61. Goaltneder Brian Elliot is now 6-6 with a 2.59 GAA. The Jets are ranked tenth in the league in scoring, averaging 3.29 GPG, while ranked 11th on the defensive end in conceding 2.76 per contest. Goaltender Steve Mason has struggled to open the year, but he won’t be lacking in motivation in facing his former team. I’ll point out as well that Philadelphia is just 5-9 (-5.6 units) in non-conference games this season, while Winnipeg is 5-3 (+1.9 units) after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest. Winnipeg has allowed two goals or less in six of its last eight, while Philadelpia has been shutout in three of its last six outings. This is great value, play on the Jets. Good luck…Larry |
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11-15-17 | Bruins v. Ducks -121 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:05 EST). Both teams come in on losing streaks. Boston has lost three straight, including a home and home set with Toronto most recently. After three days off, the Bruins now embark on a tough Western swing, also in LA tomorrow night, followed by contests at San Jose and then back over to the East Coast for a difficult matchup with the Devils. Anaheim has lost five of its last six, most recently a 2-1 setback at home to Tampa Bay. But with three whole nights off after this contest, before a game at home against the Panthers, it’s now or never for the Ducks to get off the schneid. These teams are in fact pretty evenly matched right now. They’re getting inconsistent play across the board. In a situation like this, I always tend to side with the home team. But I’ll point out, Boston is in fact just 21-23 (-8 units) in its last 44 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest, while Anaheim is 23-15 (+4.9 units) in its last 38 after playing three consecutive home games. All things considered, I think this is a great price. Play on the Ducks. Good luck…Larry |
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11-14-17 | Capitals v. Predators -133 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM in the Nashville Predators (8:05 EST). Both teams come in off extra frames victories, as Washignton won 2-1 in a shootout over Edmonton, while Nashville enters off a 5-4 OT victory over Pittsburgh. Washington has won five of its last six games, but is still ranked 19th in scoring by averaging 2.83 GPG. The Capitals have also been below average defensively in conceding 2.94 GPG. Goatlender Braden Holtby is 10-3 with a 2.35 GAA on the year. Nashville averages 2.75 GPG and concdeds 2.81. Goaltender Pekka Rinne is 8-4 with a 2.23 GAA. I’ll point out though that Washington is just 2-4 (-2.6 units) in its last six following a shootout victory in which it held its opponent to one goal or less in the win, while Nashville is already 4-1 (+3.4 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous game. Both teams have been on a roll of late, but I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked in this particular matchup. I also like Rinne to outduel Holtby and for Nashville to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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11-13-17 | Stars +108 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Dallas Stars (7:00 EST). Dallas comes in off a 5-0 home win over the Islanders and I look for it to keep that momentum roling here. Carolina enters off a crushing 4-3 OT loss at home to Chicago and I think it will stumble again. So far Dallas averages 2.94 GPG, while ranked first on the power play by converting 31.2 percent of it chances. The Stars have been decent defensively so far, allowing 2.69 GPG. Ben Bishop is now 7-4 with a 2.48 GAA on the year. Carolina averages 2.67 GPG, while allowing 2.73. Goaltender Scott Darling is 4-7 with a 2.49 GAA on the season (is 2-2 with a 2.93 GAA lifetime against Dallas.) I’ll point out as well that Dallas is 5-1 in its last six road games against a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400, while Carolina is a poor 1-4 in it last five in the third game of a 3-in-4 scenario. After a slow start, the Stars have turned things around, coming into this one having won four of their last six. The Hurricanes are struggling across the board and enter off a disheartening setback. I look for Bishop (who is 8-2 with a 1.89 ERA lifetime against Carolina) to outplay his counterpart and for the Stars to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Good luck…Larry |
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11-12-17 | Lightning -143 v. Ducks | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Tampa Bay Lightning (8:05 EST). The Lightning come in on fire, they’ve won three in a row, most recently a 5-2 win at LA. Anaheim enters off a 4-1 home victory over Vancouver. Tampa opened its Western trip with a victroy at San Jose. So far the Lightning own the No. 1 offense in the league, averaging 4.00 GPG, while ranked sixth on the defensive end in conceding just 2.59. Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskly is 12-2 with a 2.41 GAA, including 5-1 with a 2.35 GAA on the road. The Ducks average only 2.88 GPG, while conceding 2.94. Starting goaltender Ryan Miller was injured in the win over Vanvouver and he’s quesitonable for this one. John Gibson is already out with concussion. If Miller can’t go, it’ll be Reto Berra, who is 2-2 with a 2.00 GAA against Tampa lifetime. I’ll point out though that the Lightning are 8-2 in their last ten against clubs with losing records, while Anaheim is 2-8 in its last ten following a victory. I like Tampa to continue its hot play and to take advantage of Anaheim’s issue in the crease. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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11-11-17 | Jets -123 v. Coyotes | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Winnipeg Jets (10:05 EST). The 8-3-3-0 Winnipeg Jets are in Arizona to takeon the 2-13-2-1 Coyotes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Winnipeg enters off a game against the Vegas Golden Knights on Friday, but has gotten solid play both on the road and at home this seaosn. Coming into Friday the team ranks 10th in scoring with 3.29 GPG, while ranked 11th on the defensive side in conceding just 2.86. The Coyotes return home off a dismal 0-1-2 road trip, ending with a disheartening 3-2 shootout loss to the Blues on Thursday. Arizona goaltender Antti Raanta is 1-3-2 with a 2.87 GAA this year. Jets’ backup Steve Mason is expected to get the start here and he’s sruggled so far this season. He’s also had his hands full with the Coyotes in the past. For arguments sake, I’m going to call the goaltenders a wash. However, Winnipeg’s vastly superior offense is the difference maker here for me. All things considered a great price, play on Winnipeg. Good luck…Larry |
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11-08-17 | Lightning v. Sharks -112 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -112 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the San Jose Sharks (10:35 EST). The 11-4 Tampa Bay Lightning are in San Jose to take on the 8-5 Sharks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Both teams enter off victories, with the Lightning winning 5-4 in a shootout at home over Columbus, while the Sharks won 3-1 at home in a shotout over the Ducks in their latest action. Tampa averages 3.87 GPG and concedes 2.83. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskly is 11-2 with a 2.52 GAA on the year for the Bolts. The Sharks average 2.69 GPG and concede 2.31. Goaltender Martin Jones stopped 25 of 26 shots in his team’s latest victory to move to 7-3 with a 1.98 GAA on the year. I’ll point out that Tampa is just 26-63 in its last 89 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while San Jose is 10-4 in its last 14 against the Eastern Conference. As good as Vasilevskly has been this year, he’s still just 3-6 with a 2.77 GA lifetime against the Pacific. Jones is 2-0 with a 1.50 GAA lifetime against the Lightning. I look for Jones to continues his hot play and I like the Sharks to do just enough offensively to eek out the vicotry here. Good luck…Larry |
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11-06-17 | Jets v. Stars -138 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -138 | 32 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* NHL GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Dallas Stars (8:30 EST). The 7-3-3 Winnipeg Jets are in Dallas to take the 8-6 Stars and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Winnipeg comes in off a 5-4 OT loss to the Habs on Saturday, while Dallas enters off a big 5-1 win at home over Bufallo. Note that this is an immediate “revenge” game for the home side after it fell 5-2 in Winnipeg just last week. The Jets had their three game win streak snapped last time out and I think they’re going to have a letdown here as well. So far the Jets average 3.2 GPG. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck owns a 7-0-2 record with a 2.24 GAA. Dallas averages just 2.9 GPG, but it looked a lot better in the offensive explosion against the Sabres. Ben Bishop will get the nod for the visitors, so far he owns a solid 2.66 GAA and .913 save percentage over 11 games played. Also note that Dallas has been above average defensively overall this year conceding 2.8 GPG, ranked ninth in the league. Additionally I’ll point out that WInninpeg is interestingly just 1-4 in its last five after its opponent nets five or more goals in its previous contest, while Dallas is 4-1 in its last five when playing on one days rest. This is a great spot to pull the trigger on the revenge-minded and in my opinion, undervalued home side. Play on the Stars. Good luck…Larry |
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10-30-17 | Maple Leafs +100 v. Sharks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Toronto Maple Leafs (10:35 EST). I had a play on the Flyers in their 4-2 upset win in Toronto on Saturday. After a blistering and unsustainable start to the season, the Leafs now look to get back on track and a date on the road away from the spot light in Toronto is just what the doctor ordered in my opinion. San Jose was 3-2 on its Eastern road swing, most recently getting the better of Buffalo 3-2 on Saturday. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well as the Sharks have taken nine straight in the series, including a 3-1 victory in the most recent matchup in San Jose back on February 28th. Despite their recent struggles, the Leafs are still ranked as the No. 1 offense with 4.1 GPG this year. The defense is conceding 3.6 GPG. A big part of the Toronto’s early success has been on special teams, as the Leafs are ranked 6th in the league on the power play, and ninth on the penalty kill. Goaltender Frederik Andersen had 26 saves in the loss to Philadelphia on the weekend. San Jose is ranked 22nd in the league with 2.7 GPG, while ranked seventh on the defensive end in conceding 2.6. The Sharks have also been sharp with special teams play, ranking in the Top 10 on both the power play and the penalty kill. Aaron Dell had 31 saves for San Jose in the win over Buffalo. The Sharks though have struggled in this spot for a whle now, going just 1-6 in their last seven following a victory. Additionally I’ll point out that Toronto is 4-0 its last four against the Western Conference. I think San Jose has a letdown here in its first game back from the road, while Toronto gets back on track with a much more solid defensive effort. All things considered, this is great overall value. Good luck…Larry |
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10-20-17 | Canadiens +109 v. Ducks | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Montreal Canadiens (10:05 EST). Ultimately I believe that Montreal is the “hungrier/more desperate” team tonight. Neither side can be very happy where it sits right now. That said, the panic button has already been pressed in Montreral as it limps into Anaheim with a 1-5-1 record. The Ducks can empathize, as they enter this one at 2-3-1. Montreal most recently fell 5-2 to San Jose on Tuesday, which came after falling 5-1 to the Kings the night before. The Habs enter desperate on the heels of a six-game slide. Goaltender Carey Price is just 1-4-1 with a 3.56 GAA this year. So far the Canadiens average just 1.43 GPG, while allowing 3.86. The Ducks lost their second straight and fourth in their last five in a 3-1 setback to the Sabres on Sunday. Anaheim would go 0 for 4 on the power play. Ryan Getzlaf was injured and didn’t play and he’s not suiting up for this one either (if he does play, he’ll be less than 100% capacity obviously. Also note that Ryan Kesler is out for the Ducks as well.) Goaltender John Gibson is 2-2-1 with a 2.66 GAA thus far. I’ll point out though that Montreal is 11-3 in its last 14 following a loss by three or more goals, while Anaheim is just 1-5 in its last six home games against a team with a road winning percentage below .400. Note that Patrick Eaves is also listed as questionable for the home side tonight. Also note that while these teams rarely meet, this is still a revenge game for the Habs, as they’ve lost five straight in the series. Price hasn’t forgotten how to play and the Canadiens are not really as bad as what they’ve shown over the last couple of weeks. I’m banking on the desperate visiting side to risk life and limb tonight and to take this one down to the wire. Play on Montreal. Good luck…Larry |
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10-19-17 | Islanders v. Rangers -130 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH is on the New York Rangers (7:05 EST). The 2-4 New York Islanders are at the 1-6 New York Rangers on Thursday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Islanders enter off a 3-2 road loss to LA, while the Rangers come in off a 5-4 setback at home in OT to the Penguins. So far the Isles are ranked 21st in the NHL in scoring with 2.50 GPG, while ranked 17th in goals allowed with 2.83. Thomas Greiss is getting the call in net and he’s so far 1-2 with a 3.07 GAA. The Rangers are averaging 2.43 GPG and allowing 2.71. Henrik Lundqvist is back after falling to Pittsburgh and so far he’s 1-4 with a 3.23 GAA on the year (note that he owns a lifetime 2.22 GAA at Madison Square Garden though.) Additionally I’ll point out that the Isles are just 1-5 in tehir last six road games against a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400, while the Rangers are 54-26 in their last 80 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. This is the third game of a six game home stand for the Rangers, so there’s no question that the overall scheduling is in their favor, with the Islanders just finishing transitioning back from the West coast. I think the Rangers are the “hungrier” team here and all things considered, I do indeed believe this to be the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Rangers. Good luck…Larry |
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10-14-17 | Bruins -130 v. Coyotes | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Boston Bruins (9:05 EST). The 1-2 Boston Bruins are in Arizona to take on the 0-3-1 Coyotes on Saturday night. Boston enters off a 6-3 road loss to Colorado, while Arizona fell 4-2 to Detroit in its last outing. Tuukka Rask will get the call in net for Boston and he’ll be looking to reverse his early fortunes, as so far he’s allowed ten goals on the season. Rask is one of the best goaltenders on the planet though and it’s only a matter of time until he returns to form (was 37-20-5 with a 2.23 GAA last season.) Arizona could go with either Antti Raanta or Louis Dominique in net. Both have struggled this season, as Raanta has a 3.33 GAA and Dominique has allowed two goals in eight periods of action. I think it’s interesting to note that Boston is 25-14 (+7.4 units) in its last 39 games played on Saturday, while Arizona is just 18-25 (-2.3 units) in its last 43 in the same position. I like Rask to bounce back and to easily outduel whoever Arizona goes with this evening. And that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in favor of the Bruins today in my opinion. Play on Boston. Good luck…Larry |
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10-12-17 | Wild +130 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-2 | Win | 130 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Minnesota Wild (8:30 EST). The 0-1-0-1 Minnesota Wild will be eager to get off the schneid and score the upset against the 3-0-1-0 Blackhawks on Thursday night. The Wild most recently fell 5-4 at Carolina in a shootout, while the Blackhawks come in off a 3-1 road win over the Habs. This is a revenge scenario for Minnesota as well after dropping three of four meetings last year. Wild goaltender Devan Dubnyk was 40-24 with a 2.25 GAA last season, including 17-13 with a 2.37 GAA. Last year Minnesota was ranked third in scoring with 3.21 GPG, while ranked seventh in goals allowed by conceding 2.51. The Blackhawks were ranked second in the league in scoring last season with 3.25 GPG, while ranked fourth in goals allowed in conceding 1.75. Goaltender Corey Crawford is off to a hot start, he’s 10-10 with a 2.48 GAA lifetime against the Wild. I’ll point out though that Minnesota 32-24 (+2.7 units) in its last 56 after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while Chicago is interestingly just 4-6 (-2.9 units) in its last ten against the division. I think the “hungrier” and clearly underachieving Wild find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Good luck…Larry |
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10-11-17 | Bruins -129 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -129 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Boston Bruins (9:35 EST). The 1-1 Boston Bruins invade Colorado to take on the 2-1 Avalanche and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Note that this is the second game of a home and home set, with the Avs taking the first one in Boston by a score of 4-0. The B’s had 29 shots in that game, but weren’t able to get one past Semyon Varlamov. Boston turns to goaltender Tuukka Rask, who gave up three goals on 22 attempts. Rask was 17-14 with a 2.41 GAA on the road last year. He’s only 1-6 against the Avs throughout his career, despite posting a very respectable 2.00 GAA. Last season the Bruins averaged 2.83 GPG, while ranked 9th on the defensive end in conceding 2.55. The Avs averaged just 2.01 GPG last year, while ranked 30th in goals allowed in conceding 3.37. Last season Varlamov was 3-10 with a 3.34 GAA at home. I’ll point out though that Boston is 9-2 in its last 11 against the Western Conference, while Colorado is just 6-21 in its last 27 following a victory. Boston did well on the road last year and plays with revenge. Colorado has started nicely, but was an atrocious home team last season. Revenge is a powerful motivating factor and it’s one which I believe will prove to be the difference maker for the visitors tonight. Play on the Bruins. Good luck…Larry |
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10-10-17 | Blue Jackets +108 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-1 | Win | 108 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL STUNNER on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:00 EST). Columbus won its opener 5-0 over the Islanders and then played in Chicago the following night and got hammered 5-1. CBJ starting goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky will be back between the pipes tonight after getting the game off against the Blackhawks. Last season Bobrovsky was 41-22 with a 2.06 GAA (including 16-13 with a 2.33 GAA on the road.) Note that he’s 8-5 with a 2.21 GAA lifetime against Carolina. Last year the Blue Jackets ranked sixth in the league in scoring with an average of 3.01 GPG, while ranked second defensively in conceding just 2.35 GPG. Carolina comes in off a 5-4 shootout win over the Wild. In net for the home side is Scott Darling, who was 18-20 with a 2.38 GAA with Chicago last season. This is his first career start against Columbus. Last year Carolina was ranked 20th in scoring with 2.59 GPG ,while ranked 18th in goals allowed with 2.80 per contest. I’ll point out that the Blue Jackets are a superb 13-3 in their last 16 when playing on two days rest, while the Hurricanes are just 1-6 in their last seven home games against a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. As good as Darling has been, I’m still giving the nod in net to Bobrovsky. I’ll give the edge to the Blue Jackets offensively as well. All things considered, I think this is great value. Play on Columbus. Good luck…Larry |
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10-07-17 | Kings v. Sharks -122 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -122 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Jose Sharks (10:30 EST). LA beat the Flyers 2-0 on Thursday. The night before Philadelphia was in San Jose beating the Sharks 5-3. San Jose started off slowly in that one and was never able to dig itself out of the early hole, but with a night off to re-focus, I like the Sharks to bounce back. LA was ranked just 25th in the league in scoring last year with 2.43 GPG and it’s hard to judge exactly where the offense is at after the game against the Flyers. The Kings were solid defensively in conceding just 2.45 GPG and the defense will once again be a strength of the team with goaltender Jon Quick between the pipes. The Sharks averaged 2.67 GPG last year, while conceding 2.44 (ranked 5th). Martin Jones looked uncharacteristically shaky in net on Opening night, but there’s no reason not to think that he’ll bounce back in fine fashion himself (note that he is 6-4 with a 2.19 GAA lifetime against LA.) I’ll point out that the Kings are a terrible 6-10 (-7.8 units) in their last 16 after shutting out their opponent in their prevous game, while the Sharks are a superb 28-13 (+13 units) in their last 41 after a loss by two goals or more in their previous game. For all the reasons listed above, play on San Jose. Good luck…Larry |
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10-05-17 | Wild v. Red Wings +122 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 122 | 30 h 30 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Detroit Red Wings (7:30 EST). The Red Wings open their season in their brand new state of the art building, the Little Caesars Arena and I think the home side will ride the wave of emotion to a solid victory. Minnesota went out in the first round in five games to St. Louis last year. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk was 40-19-5 with a 2.25 GAA. He’s 4-2-4 with a 2.68 GAA lifetime against Detroit. The Red Wings missed the playoffs last year, which is a rarity. Jimmy Howard gets the call in net for the home side, he was 10-11-1 with a 2.10 GAA last season. He’s been dominant against the Wild throughout his career going 13-3-3 with a 2.16 GAA. After winning just 17 home games at Joe Louis last year, you can bet that the proud Red Wings will be looking tor a much better performance in their new arena this time around. I’ll point out as well that Minnesota is just 3-7 in its last ten on the road, while Detroit is 20-7 in its last 27 against the Wild at home. All signs point to the slight home dog as the correct call here. Good luck…Larry |
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10-04-17 | Flames v. Oilers -148 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 37 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* OPENING NIGHT PERFECT STORM is on the Edmonton Oilers (10:05 EST). At the start of any season you want to be a little bit cautious as you try to get a firm “read” on the teams. Certainly the NHL is no exception. Like the NFL and NBA, preseason NHL is not a good indicator whatsoever on how a team will perform once the regular season gets underway. For this pick I’m basing it mostly on common sense. With Connor McDavid leading the way, Edmonton has a very legitimate shot at a Stanley Cup run. The Oilers were one of the biggest surprises last year and there are big expectations in the “City Of Champions” this season as well. These teams played four times last season and the Oilers came out on top in each instance, winning 7-4 on October 12th, 5-3 on October 14th, 2-1 on January 14th and 7-3 on January 21st. Home ice advantage clearly can’t be taken for granted on Opening Night. The signing of Jaromir Jagr certainly didn’t make the Flames any younger or faster. All signs point to a rout. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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06-11-17 | Penguins v. Predators -135 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 57 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Nashville Predators (8:00 EST). I had a play on the Penguins in Game 5. So far the home side has won every game in this series and I’m fully expecting that pattern to continue tonight. Pens’ netminder Matt Murray has been great at home and atrocious on the road. The same can be said of Preds’ goalie Pekka Rinne as well though, as he’s been horrible in Pittsburgh, but almost unbeatable in Nashville. These are two teams which feed off the home crowd and there’s no doubt that Nashville is a tough arena to play in. And I’ll point out that this is a spot in which the Penguins have struggled in throughout the postseason, going a poor 6-7 (-1.2 units) when leading in a playoff series, while Nashville is 8-4 (+4 units) in its last 12 when trailing in a playoff series and 14-7 (+6 units) this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Lay the price, play on the Predators. Good luck…Larry |
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06-08-17 | Predators v. Penguins -140 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 54 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (8:00 EST). I had a play on the “under” in Game 4, but for Game 5 I think the home side will find a way to get the job done. It was a cake-walk for the Penguins in Game’s 1 and 2, but the Predators turned the table and took advantage of home ice in Game’s 3 and 4. So far home ice advantage has been the difference in this series and I’m expecting this incredibly strong trend to continue. Let’s face it, neither team has looked great so far in the Finals. Pekka Rinne struggled in net in Pittsburgh, while Pens’ goaltender Matt Murray wasn’t his usual self in Nashville. The offenses have looked awesome at times and really average in others. I’ll also point out though that this is a spot in which the Predators have in fact struggled in mightily for bettors all season, going a poor 13-21 (-11.6 units) after scoring four goals or more in their previous contest, while the Penguins have excelled in this position by going 23-11 (+9.4 units) this year after allowing four goals or more. For all the reasons listed above, play on Pittsburgh. Good luck…Larry |
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06-03-17 | Penguins +119 v. Predators | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 57 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (8:00 EST). I took Nashville in Game 1 and lost. I took the UNDER in Game 2 and won. I think that Pittsburgh offers fantastic value in this spot though as it will look to take a virtual strangle-hold on this series. Pittsburgh is “inside” Predators’ goaltender Pekka Rinne’s head. The Penguins only managed 15 shots in Game 1, but still won 5-3. Rinne had been the best goaltender in the playoffs and the Predators owned the stoutest overall defense, but the Pens have rattled the All-star netminder. And simply put, I don’t expecting anything to change tonight either. I’ll point out as well that Pittsburgh is 29-17 (+5.5 units) after scoring four goals or more in its previous game, while Nashville has struggled against teams from the Eastern Conference all year, going just 14-20 (-11.6 units) in all non-conference games. For all the reasons listed above, play on the the Penguins in Game 3. Godo luck…Larry |
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05-23-17 | Penguins -145 v. Senators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -145 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the PIttsburgh Penguins (8:00 EST). I’ve played on Ottawa twice in this series and won big as an underdog in each case. I had the “over” in the Penguin’s 7-0 Game 5 victory. This is the first time I’ve played on Pittsburgh in this series though. At right around the -150 range, I think the defending champs offer great value in this spot. Pittsburgh got some timely goaltending from veteran Marc-Andre Fleury to open the playoffs, but he’d eventually stumble against the Sens, which promoped the move to All Star Matt Murray. The move has paid immediate dividends as the Sens have managed to post just two total goals over their last two games. Ottawa netminder Craig Anderson was a disaster in Game 5, so the big question is will he be able to pull himself together for Game 6? Maybe, but then again, maybe not. Murray has a huge advantage here. Note that he’s now 17-6 with a 1.97 GAA and .927 save percentage lifetime in the postseason. The Senators were outshot 36-25, went 0-for-4 on power play and were not able to kill any of the three man-advantage opportunities by the Penguins in Game 5. PIttsburgh is just too deep and too experienced. With a chance to wrap this one up and punch their ticket to the Stanley Cup Final with a date against the waiting Predators, all signs point to the Penguins as the correct move here. Good luck…Larry |
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05-22-17 | Ducks +130 v. Predators | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Anaheim Ducks (8:00 EST). This has been a rather difficult series to predict. With their backs against the wall though, I think the Ducks can stave off elimination and send this one back to Anaheim for an exciting Game 7 for a winner takes all ticket to the Stanley Cup Final! The Ducks will look to kick start their No. 1 playoff offense after falling 3-1 in Game 5. Anaheim though did get 33 shots on net. But a date on the road is just what the doctor ordered for Anaheim, as it’s 5-2 away from friendly confines in the playoffs thus far. Anaheim will likely start Jonathan Bernier in net, who came in in relief of an injured John Gibson in the first period of Game 5. Gibson is listed as questionable tonight. Bernier is 1-1 with a 2.34 GAA in the postseason in his career. Clearly it won’t be easy, as the Predators have been tough at home and goaltender Pekka Rinne has been unbelievable, now 11-4 with a 1.62 GAA in the postseason. The Ducks though have been “money in the bank” in this situation in the playoffs, now 4-1 (+3.1 units) when trailing in a playoff series and 13-3 (+10 units) this year after a loss by two goals or more in their previous outing. And note that the Predators have struggled in this spot, going just 14-17 (-7.6 units) this season following a victory by two goals or more. For all the reasons listed above, play on Anaheim. Good luck…Larry |
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05-19-17 | Penguins v. Senators +103 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Ottawa Senators (8:00 EST). I took the Sens as a +190 dog in Game 1 and won. I then took the “over” in Game 2 and lost. I then came back with Ottawa in Game 3. With a chance to take a stangle hold on this series, I love the Senators to once again shutdown the Penguins and to take advantage of some shaky goaltending from Pittsburgh starter Marc-Andre Fleury, who now clearly appears to be out of gas. Matt Murray, who hasn’t seen any action in months, came on in relief and made 19 saves after Fleury allowed four goals on nine shots in the setback.. Whoever gets the call in net for the defending champs though, it’s safe to say that their are major issues in this department for Pittsburgh. Meanwhile, Sens’ netminder Craig Anderson appears to be getting stronger as the playoffs progress, he made 25 saves in Game 3 and is now 10-5 with a 2.20 GAA in the postseason. Pittsburgh hasn’t been able to score more than one goal in a game against Ottawa and it’s not going to get any easier tonight. This Sens team is incredibly deep, talented and hungry. Ottawa continues to get little respect from the oddsmakers in my opinion. Play on the Senators. Good luck…Larry |
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05-17-17 | Penguins v. Senators +111 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 111 | 33 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Ottawa Senators (8:00 EST). I played the Senators +190 in Game 1, but came up short with my play on the “over” in Game 2. I look to get back on track here in Game 3 as I think the home side is being severely undervalued in this spot. Pittsburgh has so far looked far from dominant in this series. The Sens took Game 1, 2-1 in OT and then Pittsburgh won Game 2 by a score of 1-0. Ottawa is looking great at this point, it now has home ice advantage and I think it can make the most if in Game 3. Pittsburgh has two significant injuries as well as both Bryan Rust and Justin Schultz got injured in the first period of Game 2. Patric Hornqvist is also a game-time decision. The Senators failed to score for the first time in 36 contests. Suffice it to say, I think the team gets back on track tonight. And I’ll point out that Pittsburgh is just 1-2 (-1.2 units) in its last three after shutting out its opponent, while Ottawa is already a perfect 2-0 (+2.6 units) this year when tied in a playoff series. I think the Senators offer great value at home in this matchup. Good luck…Larry |
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05-13-17 | Senators +190 v. Penguins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 190 | 56 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* TOP PLAY is the Ottawa Senators (7:00 EST). I was 6-1 in Pittsburgh’s seven games series win over Washington. The Penguins looked great at times in that series and really poor in others. Ottawa needed six games to get by Boston and another six to beat New York to get this point. These teams played three times in the regular season and the Senators won two. One player to keep your eyes on for Ottawa is defensman Erik Karlsson, who has 13 points thus far in the postseason. Goaltender Craig Anderson is 8-4 with a 2.49 GAA in the playoffs to go along with a .914 save percentage and one shutout. The Pens’ Marc-Andre Fleury is 8-4 with a 2.55 GAA and .927 save percentage in the poseason. I think the Sens offer a lot more than just a punchers chance in Game 1. I think Pittsburgh comes in a bit complacent and the hungry visitors take advantage. Good luck…Larry |
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05-12-17 | Predators v. Ducks -110 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Anaheim Ducks (9:00 EST). The Predators advanced by beating the Blues 3-1 on Sunday, to take that series 4-2. The Ducks needed seven games to get by the Oilers, most recently a 2-1 win on Wednesday night in Game 7. These teams played three times in the regular season and Anaheim won two, including a 4-3 shootout victory in the last matchup on March 7th. Nashville has looked pretty stout so far in the playoffs, having allowed a total of 14 goals over ten games. Pekka Rinne owns a 1.37 GAA and .951 save percentage in the postseason. The Predators have been the best on the defensive end in the playoffs, conceding just 1.4 GPG. But the Ducks are in the Conference Final for a reason as well, as they enter as the second-highest scoring team in the postseason with an average of 3.2 GPG. Is John Gibson as good as Rinne? Probably not. But he’s been clutch at times in the playoffs already and he’ll surely benefit from playing in front of the home town crowd tonight. I’ll point out as well that Nashville is just 2-6 (-4.9 units) this year when playing with three or more days of rest, while Anaheim is 3-1 (+2.1 units) in its last four after giving up one or less goals in its previous contest. Anaheim took two of three in the regular season and I think it’ll find a way to get the job done in Game 1 too. Play on the Ducks. Good luck…Larry |
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05-10-17 | Penguins v. Capitals -170 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -170 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT 7 CLUB is on the Washington Capitals (7:30 EST). If you’ve followed me for any length of time, you know that I rarely make selections on “money line” games of greater than -150. Occassionaly I do, but almost never. After taking the underdog through the first four games of this series (Pens, Pens, Caps, Pens), then Washington -1.5 +170 on the “puck line” in Game 5 and then once again on the underdog Capitals in Game 6, I have no issues at all in laying this steeper price on the home side in Game 7. This has been a back-and-forth series, but Washington has clearly gained the momentum back. Pittsburgh has up to this point been getting unbelievable goaltending from backup veteran Marc-Andre Fleury, but as I stated in my Game 6 analysis, I thought that Washington’s Braden Holtby would outduel his counterpart. And that was the case. Holtby let in two early goals, but then shut it down the rest of the way. Washington looked very strong in bouncing back in Game 6 and I think Holtby carries that momentum over into Game 7. The Penguins had their shot and blew it at home. Pittsburgh managed to gut out a win in Game 4 with captain Sidney Crosby sidelined in concussion protocol, but it’s stumbled since. Crosby’s health continues to be a major concern for the club and I think is a definite distraction. I’ll point out as well that the road team is still just 4-10 the last 14 games in this series, while Washington is 41-12 in its last 53 when playing one one days rest. Washington has outscored Pittsburgh 9-4 over the last two games and no doubt looks red hot on both ends of the ice. Lay the price with confidence, play on the Capitals. Good luck…Larry |
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05-08-17 | Capitals +111 v. Penguins | Top | 5-2 | Win | 111 | 33 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Washignton Capitals (7:30 EST). So far I’m 5-0 in this series, taking the underdog through the first four games (Pens, Pens, Caps, Pens), before then jumping on Washington -1.5 +170 in its 4-2 Game 5 victory. The home team has won ten of the last 13 in this series, but I think the desperate Capitals are going to find a way to get the job done tonight and send this one back to the nation’s capital for a decisive Game 7. For starters, Braden Holtby finally outplayed Pens netminder Marc-Andre Fleury, who in my opinion has been playing over his head to this point. Fleury of course has won Stanley Cups, but he’s now the team’s backup and was forced into service in Game 2 of their opening round series. Pittsburgh was ranked No. 1 in the regular season on the offensive end, while Washington wasn’t far behind in third. The Capitals were the No. 1 defense in the league though, compared to just 17th for the Penguins. Much like in baseball, I’m betting on Holtby in being able to outduel his counterpart today. Washington is a dangerous and motivated team and I think it offers great value in this spot. Good luck…Larry |
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05-05-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -135 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 35 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:30 EST). I played the Ducks in both Game’s 3 and 4 and I think they’re going to find a way to get the job done in Game 5 as well. If you didn’t get a chance to read my winning Game 4 analysis, I’m going to post it again here as for the most part, the line of thinking on that selection also directly applies to tonight’s pick as well: I played the Ducks in Game 3 and I think they’ll find a way to get the job done at the end of the night in Game 4 as well. The Oilers took the first two games of this series, but Anaheim got right back into it with a dominating 6-3 win in Game 3. The Ducks have to be liking their chances tonight as well as they’re now 28-10 in the last 38 games in this series. Anaheim wasn’t great on the road in the regular season, but so far it’s 3-0 away from friendly confines in the playoffs. Keep your eyes on Jakob Silfverberg, who now has six goals in the postseason. I think these goaltenders are a “wash,” as either John Gibson of the Ducks or Cam Talbot of the Oilers has the ability to take over a game on any given night (Talbot is 6-3 with a 2.47 GAA in the playoffs, while Gibson is 4-2 with a 2.80 GAA). I’ll point out that Anaheim is 33-19 (+9.2 units) in its last 52 when playing on two days rest, while Edmonton is just 4-7 (-4.8 units) in the same position this season. I had a feeling that the Ducks would come out poised in Game 3 and that it was the Oilers that had the pressure on them to perform in front of the home town crowd. And I think that line of thinking also applies in this one as well. Expect the Ducks’ veteran leadership to once again get the better of the younger Oilers. “Momentum” is a very real, almost tangible factor in the playoffs and it’s one that I believe the oddsmakers often have a hard time properly quantifying into a line. And that’s the case here in my opinion. All things considered, I do indeed feel we’re getting an excellent price on the surging Ducks. Good luck…Larry |
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05-03-17 | Ducks +107 v. Oilers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 107 | 36 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* ODDSMAKER’S ERROR is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:00 EST). I played the Ducks in Game 3 and I think they’ll find a way to get the job done at the end of the night in Game 4 as well. The Oilers took the first two games of this series, but Anaheim got right back into it with a dominating 6-3 win in Game 3. The Ducks have to be liking their chances tonight as well as they’re now 28-10 in the last 38 games in this series. Anaheim wasn’t great on the road in the regular season, but so far it’s 3-0 away from friendly confines in the playoffs. Keep your eyes on Jakob Silfverberg, who now has six goals in the postseason. I think these goaltenders are a “wash,” as either John Gibson of the Ducks or Cam Talbot of the Oilers has the ability to take over a game on any given night (Talbot is 6-3 with a 2.47 GAA in the playoffs, while Gibson is 4-2 with a 2.80 GAA). I’ll point out that Anaheim is 33-19 (+9.2 units) in its last 52 when playing on two days rest, while Edmonton is just 4-7 (-4.8 units) in the same position this season. I had a feeling that the Ducks would come out poised in Game 3 and that it was the Oilers that had the pressure on them to perform in front of the home town crowd. And I think that line of thinking also applies in this one as well. Expect the Ducks’ veteran leadership to once again get the better of the younger Oilers. Play on Anaheim. Good luck…Larry |
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05-03-17 | Capitals v. Penguins +105 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 34 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:15 EST). I played the Penguins in Game’s 1 and 2 and then came back with the Capitals in Game 3. Sidney Crosby is out, but the Pens are an incredibly deep team and I think they offer great value as a slight dog at home in this situation. The Capitals finished as the Presidents Cup Trophy Winners in the regular season, but despite the Game 3 setback, so far it’s been Pittsburgh which has looked like the better team in this series. The Penguins are stacked from top to bottom with talent and have been getting World class goaltending from veteran Marc-Andre Fleury. Pittsburgh was an OT goal away from having a 3-0 stranglehold on this series, but the Pens still have to be liking their chances tonight, even without their captain in the line-up. I think the goaltenders are a “wash.” Braden Holtby got the win for Washington last time out and he’s now 5-4 with a 2.54 GAA in the postseason. Fleury is 6-2 with a 2.44 GAA so far in the playoffs. Either one of these guys has the capability of taking over a game on any given night. Ultimately I feel that the Pens will step up and rally in this moment after their leader has gone down. The defending champs won’t be going down without a fight and as I stated off the top, I feel they offer tremendous value in this position. Washington has been in this spot many times over the last few years and has consistently choked (still just 6-10, -5.6 units in the second round of the playoffs the L3 years combined). Play on Pittsburgh. Good luck…Larry |
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05-02-17 | Blues +150 v. Predators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* ODDSMAKER’S ERROR is on the St. Louis Blues (9:35 EST). I think the desperate Blues offer great value here to steal Game 4. So far this has been a competitive series, with each team trading victories to this point. Nashville took Game 1, 4-3, while the Blues took Game 2, 3-2. Nashville then won 3-1 in Game 3. Now it’s time for St. Louis to get back on track here and snatch back the home ice advantage. Pekka Rinne has been unbelievable for the Predators, but Jake Allen has been pretty good for St. Louis as well. Allen is 5-3 with a 2.04 GAA and 93.8 save percentage in the postseason, while Rinne is 6-1 with a 1.38 GAA and 95.0 save percentage. Rinne’s numbers are better, but not by that much. Clearly either one of these netminders has the capability to completely take over a game on any given night. So in my opinion, that means that they’re a “wash.” The Blues had scored ten goals in three games previous before Game 3 and I think that offense wakes up again tonight. I’ll point out that St. Louis is 14-10 (+3.3 units) this year after a loss by two goals or more, while Nashville is just 12-17 (-9.6 units) this season following a win by two goals or more. I think that Nashville finally has a letdown here and the hungry Blues find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Good luck…Larry |
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05-01-17 | Capitals +118 v. Penguins | Top | 3-2 | Win | 118 | 33 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Washington Capitals (7:30 EST). I played on Pittsburgh in Game’s 1 and 2 of this series, but for Game 3 I’m backing the now desperate Capitals, which are essentially in a “do-or-die” scenario tonight. Washington lost to the Pens in the second round of the playoffs last year as well. The Capitals were a good road team this season, finishing 25-19 away from friendly confines. Braden Holtby took his second loss in a row, he’s now 26-28 with a 1.98 GAA lifetime in the postseason. The Capitals finished third in scoring offense in the regular season, and No. 1 on the defensive end in conceding just 2.16. Clearly Pittsburgh looks pretty dominant right now, but so too did the Oilers after they grabbed a 2-0 series lead over Anaheim, only to then fall 6-3 at home in Game 3 last night (I had a play on the Ducks in that one.) Marc-Andre Fleury has looked great to this point for Pittsburgh, but one has to wonder when he’ll have his first “hiccup?” The Pens finished with the No. 1 offense in the regular season with 3.39 GPG, while ranked just 17th on the defensive end in conceding 2.79. I’ll point out though that Washington is 27-14 (+7.6 units) in its last 41 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. I think the desperate Capitals offer great value here, play on Washington. Good luck…Larry |
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04-30-17 | Ducks +117 v. Oilers | Top | 6-3 | Win | 117 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Anaheim Ducks (7:00 EST I played the Ducks in Game’s 1 and 2 and I’m obviously 0-2 at this point. But with its back against the wall, I think Anaheim finds a way to get the job done in Game 3. I will admit, I’m obviously surprised at how well the younger Oilers have played to this point. Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor at times in sports (especially in the playoffs) and Edmonton would seemingly have it on its side. But I’m not writing off Anaheim quite yet. The Ducks steamrolled the Flames in four straight games, but have been caught a little flat-footed against the speedy Oilers. Now that the series has shifted North of the border, I think we’re going to see a much more aggressive attack from this veteran laden Anaheim team. So far Cam Talbot has gotten the better of John Gibson in net, but I still firmly believe that the goaltenders are completely even in this series. The trends also support us here, as note that the Ducks are 10-5 (+5.6 units) this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while the Oilers are just 7-8 (-2 units) this year after playing three consecutive road games and only 7-9 (-4 units) after a three game unbeaten streak. Anaheim outshot Edmonton 40-23 in Game 3 and it’s now outshot the Oilers in both games. Something has to give tonight and as this is essentially a “do-or-die” game for the Ducks, I think the correct call is on the visitors tonight. Play on Anaheim. Good luck…Larry |
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04-29-17 | Penguins +128 v. Capitals | Top | 6-2 | Win | 128 | 31 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* ODDSMAKER’S ERROR is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (8:00 EST). I played on the Penguins in Game 1 and I think they’re going to roll in Game 2 as well. These teams are very familiar with each other and for the most part, they’re pretty much even across the board. Goaltending is a “wash” in my opinion. The Pens have a bit more depth on the offensive side of the ice though, which I think will once again prove to be too much for Washington to overcome. The numbers/trends also heavily favor Pittsburgh in this one, as note that the Pens are 10-6 (+2.1 units) in their last 16 when leading in a playoff series, while the Capitals are only 5-9 (-4.9 units) in their last 14 in the second round of the playoffs. The value is simply too good to turn down, play on Pittsburgh. Good luck…Larry |
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04-28-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -135 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -135 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:30 EST). As the playoffs wear on, the stakes continue to rise. This is now essentially the Ducks’ most important game of the entire season. A 2-0 hole heading back to Edmonton would likely be just too much for Anaheim to dig out of. It’s “do-or-die” for the Ducks and I expect them to answer the challenge. Anaheim has to be feeling pretty confident too, as despite dropping Game 1, it’s still won nine of the last 12 home games in this series. I think the goaltenders are a “wash” in this series, as Edmonton’s Cam Talbot and Anaheim’s John Gibson are very evenly matched numbers wise, both in the regular season and in the playoffs. During the regular season, the Oilers were a bit better offensively than the Ducks, but Anaheim was better on the defensive end. As I said, these teams are clearly very evenly matched. Experience is one department which favors the Ducks though. It didn’t matter in Game 1, but I do think it’ll have an impact in Game 2. The senior members of Anaheim have been in this spot before and know what it takes to prevail. Certainly the Ducks won’t be panicking. Conversely, it’s not too hard to imagine the younger Oilers coming in a tiny bit complacent here after their upset win, just happy to earn the split they wanted and looking ahead to the comforts of home. For all the reasons listed above, play on Anaheim. Good luck…Larry |
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04-27-17 | Penguins +125 v. Capitals | Top | 3-2 | Win | 125 | 32 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:30 EST). I think the defending champs offer great value to take Game 1 tonight. Pittsburgh smashed the Blue Jackets in five games in the first round, while Washington needed six to dispatch the Leafs. Note that these teams split a pair of games in the regular season. The Pens have to be feeling pretty confident though as they’d bounce the Capitals in six games in the second round last year. Pittsburgh comes in with a ton of momentum as well, as it would score 21 goals in the five game series win over Columbus. Evgeni Malkin was huge with two goals and nine assists. Marc Andre Fleury was strong in Round 1, finishing the series with a 2.52 GAA. TJ Oshie was a standout for Washington in the series win over Toronto with three goals and four assists. Braden Holtby looked kind of average against the Leafs, but still finished with a 2.36 GAA. The numbers support Pittsburgh tonight, as the Pens are 20-7-1 in their last 28 after scoring more than five goals in their previous outing, while the Capitals are just 1-7 in their last eight when playing on three or more days rest. If the Capitals thought they had their hands full with Toronto, they’re going to be in for a big surprise this evening. This Penguins team is firing on all cylinders offensively and I have a hard time seeing Washington keeping up. Play on Pittsburgh. Good luck…Larry |
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04-26-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -128 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -128 | 35 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:30 EST). Edmonton needed six games to get by San Jose, while Anaheim steam-rolled Calgary in four straight. The Oilers were led by Connor McDavid, who had 40 goals in the regular season and two in the series victory over the Sharks. The visitors turn to Cam Talbot between the pipes and he was 4-2 with a 2.03 GAA against San Jose. Edmonton finished the season averaging 2.96 GPG and conceding 2.52. The Oilers are 24-20 on the road this year, which is one of the big reasons why the team is back in the playoffs. The Ducks were 31-12 at the Honda Center though. Ryan Getzlaf had three goals in four games against the Flames. John Gibson gets the call in net for the home side, he’d finish 3-0 with a 2.60 GAA against Calgary (note that he’s 4-3 with a 1.84 GAA lifetime against Edmonton). Anaheim averages 2.68 GPG and concedes 2.40. I’ll point out as well that Edmonton is just 17-40 in its last 57 road games when playing on three or more days rest, while Anaheim is 13-3 in its last 16 following a victory. The Oilers are just 2-9 in their last 11 at the Honda Center. The Ducks have had a few extra days rest. When you add it all up, I think the value is clearly on the home side in Game 1. Play on Anaheim. Good luck…Larry |
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04-23-17 | Capitals v. Maple Leafs +135 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7:05 EST). I played on Toronto as a +195 underdog in Game 5. Washington would go to win 2-1 in OT. It’s the biggest game of the year for both teams, but I think home ice will prove to be a difference maker tonight. I look for the explosive Leafs to find a way to get the job done and push this one back to the nation’s capital for a decisive Game 7. Note that the home team has won 13 of the last 18 between these teams. The Capitals simply have no discernible advantage over the Leafs whatsoever. Except experience. There’s no doubt that experience counts in these types of situations, but I still think that the home ice advantage trumps that factor. Otherwise, these teams are very even. Washington had the better defense in the regular season, but the Leafs haven’t had any issues scoring. The goaltending is also a “wash.” I’ll point out though that Washignton is just 4-8 (-8.4 units) in its last 12 when leading in a playoff series. The value is too good to turn down, play on Toronto. Good luck…Larry |
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04-21-17 | Maple Leafs +181 v. Capitals | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7:35 EST). This has been an incredibly competitive series, one which has featured a ton of offense. It’s the best of three now and while it would seem that the Capitals would have the upperhand, I think that the Leafs offer tremendous value in this spot. Toronto has already won in Washington and with a chance to go home with a 3-2 lead, I think the Leafs find a way to get the job done tonight. Goaltending so far in this series hasn’t been great, so I’m going to call Frederick Andersen and Braden Holtby a “wash.” The Capitals featured the stronger overall defense in the regular season, but that’s not been a factor whatsoever in this series. The Leafs’ possess an offense capable of scoring with the best of them and it hasn’t been slowed down whatsoever. I’ll point out that Toronto is 16-9 (+6.6 units) after allowing four goals or more, while Washington is interestingly, 8-9 (-7 units) after allowing four goals or more. In my estimation, the Capitals do not have a big advantage in this game. And that means that the value swings to the hungry dog. Play on Toronto. Good luck…Larry |
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04-20-17 | Sharks +118 v. Oilers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 3 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Jose Sharks (10:35 EST). This series is all tied up at two. San Jose smashed the Oilers 7-0 in Game 4 though and I think the Oilers come in flat-footed and “shell shocked” after that humbling beatdown. Conversely, I’m expecting San Jose to build off its latest confidence building victory and to find a way to get the job done tonight as well. Martin Jones stopped all 23 shots last time out and he’s now 2-2 with a 1.24 GAA in the postseason. He’s also now 16-12 with a 1.97 GAA lifetime in the playoffs. Cam Talbot took the loss for Edmonton, he’s now 2-2 with a 2.22 GAA in this series and 2-3 with a 2.29 GAA lifetime in the postseason. I’ll point out though that San Jose is 6-3 (+3.8 units) in its last nine in the first round of the playoffs, while Edmonton is just 19-20 (-4.8 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. I think experience counts at this point of a series. The line value is simply too good to turn down here, play on San Jose. Good luck…Larry |
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04-19-17 | Capitals v. Maple Leafs +130 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7:05 EST). With a chance to take a 3-1 stranglehold on this series, I think the upstart Leafs find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Washington barely won Game 1, 3-2 in OT. Toronto then bounced back with a 4-3 win in OT in Game 2 and a 4-3 double OT win in Game 3. Washington was supposed to have the advantage between the pipes in this series, but Toronto’s Frederik Andersen has arguably been better than the Capitals’ Braden Holtby. Hotlby has so far allowed ten goals over the first three games. Andersen has conceded nine. Keep your eyes on Leafs player Tyler Bozak, who would deliver the OT winner on the power play for the winner in Game 3 (his first of the series). I’ll point out that Washington is a horrible 7-9 (-8 units) this season after allowing four goals or more, while Toronto is 2-1 (+1 unit) in its last three after allowing three or more goals. Does this one mean more to Washington that it does to Toronto? Of course not. So far the Capitals have been a big disappointment and I think they’re ripe for the picking here as well. The line value is simply too good to turn down here, play on the Leafs. Good luck…Larry |
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04-17-17 | Ducks v. Flames -120 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Calgary Flames (10:05 EST). Calgary is down 0-2 and will be risking life and limb to try and avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole. The Flames were extremely competitive against the Ducks in the first two games, but simply couldn’t get the job done. I’ll point out though that the home team is 52-15 in the last 67 between these clubs. John Gibson gets the nod in net for the visitors and he’s 4-4 with a 2.61 GAA in the postseason. That doesn’t bode well in my opinion, as the Ducks were just 17-24 on the road this year. Brian Elliot gets the nod for the home side and he went 15-8 with a 2.25 GAA in Calgary this season. Also note that the Flames are 21-7 in their last 28 after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. I think the shift in venue has a big impact in this series and look for the Flames to come away with a convincing victory in Game 3. Good luck…Larry |
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04-16-17 | Canadiens v. Rangers -125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the New York Rangers (7:05 EST). I’ve played on New York in the first two games. The Rangers took Game 1, 2-0, while the Habs managed a 4-3 OT victory in Game 2. Habs’ netminder Carey Price is 24-28 with a 2.58 GAA in the postseason. The Canadiens are ranked 15th in the league in scoring with just 2.72 GPG, while ranked fourth in goals allowed with just 2.41. Rangers’ goalie Henrik Lundqvist is now 56-60 with a 2.27 GAA in his playoff career. New York is ranked fourth in the league in scoring with 3.09 GPG and 12th in goals allowed with 2.61. I’ll point out though that Montreal is just 12-14 (-6.2 units) this year after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while New York is 14-9 (+2.8 units) after allowing four goals or more. I like the Rangers to bounce back and defend home ice here. Lay the very reasonable price. Good luck…Larry |
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04-14-17 | Sharks v. Oilers -146 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Edmonton Oilers (10:35 EST). It’s do-or-die for the Oilers essentially tonight as a 2-0 hole heading back to San Jose for Game 3 would likely be too much for them to overcome. I actually had a play on San Jose in its Game 1 victory (the 10* play in my Opening Night Superstar Triple Play), but I think the value is definitely on the home side in Game 2 and can’t understand how this line isn’t a lot higher. The Sharks stole Game 1 after being down 2-0 and scoring the winner in OT. The Oilers also commited six penalties in Game 1, one of which led to a Sharks goal: “We’ve got to stay out of the box,” Oilers’ forward Jordan Eberle lamented afterwards. “You lose momentum by doing that. The guys who kill (the penalties) are wasting a lot of energy and the guys who aren’t are sitting on the bench. We had a tough time generating some momentum after that.” I don’t think there is anything to worry about if you’re an Oilers fan. Edmonton has all the pieces in place here for an immediate and confident bounce back, note that the Oilers finished eighth in the league in scoring this year with an average of 3.00 GPG. I’ll also point out that despite earning the Game 1 victory, San Jose is still just 2-6 in its last eight on the road, while Edmonton is 9-1 in its last ten in front of the home town crowd. All signs point to a bounce back for Edmonton. Good luck…Larry |
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04-13-17 | Maple Leafs +188 v. Capitals | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 77 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG OPENING ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7:00 EST). Can the Leafs score the big upset against the mighty Capitals? Just ask the Sharks and the Bruins what they think about upsetting in Game 1 of the NHL Playoffs! I cashed with both Boston and San Jose last night and I think Toronto has all the pieces in place to do the same thing in the nation’s capital this evening. Toronto lost three of its final four to the year, but don’t read too much into that as the Leafs had already clinched and were trying to simply get through the remainder of the regular season without too many injuries. Washington could come in complacent here as well after winning ten of its last 12 and earning its second President’s Cup trophy in a row. Frederick Andersen gets the nod for the visitors, he was 33-30 with a 2.67 GAA on the year and 16-13 with a 2.74 GAA on the road. Note that he’s been particularly sharp whenever facing the Capitals, going 2-1 with a 2.67 GAA. The Leafs average 3.05 GPG and concede 2.83. Washington averages 3.18 GPG and concedes 2.16. Braden Holtby gets the nod in net, he’s 42-19 with a 2.07 GAA on the year. I’ll point out though that Toronto is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in its last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent (lost two of three to the Capitals this year), while Washington is already 0-6 (-9.8 units) this season when playing with three or more days rest. I like the Leafs to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on Toronto. Good luck…Larry |
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04-12-17 | Sharks +119 v. Oilers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 119 | 57 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Jose Sharks (10:05 EST). I think this is a good spot to pull the trigger on the slight, but well experienced dog this evening. The Sharks were just 4-9-2 down the stretch, thanks in part to injuries to star players Joe Thornton and Logan Couture. Both have been out since late March. Both are cleared and are ready to go tonight though. San Jose goaltender Martin Jones would finish the regular season with a highly respectable 2.40 GAA and .912 save percentage. The Oilers finished the season on an 8-1 run and a three-game win streak to make the postseason for the first time in over a decade. All it took was about nine No. 1 picks in a row and a few years to re-tool and now finally the team has made the playoffs. It absolutely looks like a classic “letdown” spot for the young Oilers in my professinal opinion. The regular season stats and numbers all favor Edmonton, but I think the conditions are right for San Jose to spring the upset. At least in Game 1. Good luck…Larry |
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04-08-17 | Wild -155 v. Coyotes | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* Las Vegas Insider on the Minnesota Wild (9:05 EST). The 48-25-6-2 Minnesota Wild are in Arizona to take on the 30-41-8-1 Coyotes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Arizona looks poised for a letdown here after winning three of its last four. Minnesota looks to go into the playoffs on a high-note and it comes into this one on fire, having won three straight. Devan Dubnyk had 30 saves for his career high 40th win in a victory over the Avs on Thursday. He’s 40-19-5 on the year with a 2.25 GAA. The Wild average 3.21 GPG and concede just 2.53. The Coyotes average 2.35 GPG and concede 3.15. Mike Smith is 19-25-9 on the year with a 2.92 GAA. I’ll point out that the Wild care 12-4 in their last 16 against the Pacific division, while the Coyotes are 3-8 in their last 11 following a victory. The Wild haven’t lost to the Coyotes in regulation since 2013 and I don’t see them taking the foot off the gas at this point of the season. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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04-04-17 | Oilers v. Kings -117 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 31 h 48 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the LA Kings (10:30 EST). The 44-25-9 Edmonton Oilers are in LA to take on the 37-34-7 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. I believe the Oilers will finally have a letdown here after winning five games in a row, most recently defeating Anaheim in OT this past Saturday. LA looks to get back on track, it had won two straight before an embarrasing loss to Arizona this past Sunday which officially eliminated the team from postseason contention. The Kings play with revenge here though after falling to the Oilers 2-1 last Tuesday. LA will be looking to take out its frustrations on someone after a disappointing season: “With the amount of power plays we had in the third period, we should have finished them,” Kings’ captain Anze Kopitar lamented after the loss to the Coyotes. “It’s not good enough to score one goal at home, but that’s been the story of the whole season. It’s a very empty feeling and a very sour taste.” Edmonton will be looking to escape without any significant injuries as it has its sights set on the playoffs now. Play on the Kings. Good luck…Larry |
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04-01-17 | Maple Leafs -136 v. Red Wings | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7:05 EST). The 37-24-7-8 Toronto Maple Leafs are in Detroit to take on the 31-34-12-0 Wings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The Wings are toast, their season is done and they’ll miss the playoffs for the first time since the early 90’s. Toronto is surging, it’s headed to the postseason and comes in off a 3-1 win over the Predators, its fifth victory in its last six outings. The Leafs scored twice on the power play in the win over Nashville and they own the second best PP in the league at 23.9 percent. Frederik Andersen is 9-2-1 in his last ten and 4-0-0 with a tiny 1.97 GAA against Detroit. Detroit is “gassed.” Its 5-3 loss at Tampa on Thursday was ifs fourth game in the last five days and fifth in the past seven. Note that the Wings are 28th on the power play this year, with a 14.4 percent success rate. I’ll point out that the Leafs are 5-1 in their last six against the Eastern Conference, while the Wings are just 3-9 in their last 12 when playing on one days rest. I think Toronto could easily be favored by more here, play on the Leafs. Good luck…Larry |
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03-30-17 | Sharks v. Oilers -128 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Edmonton Oilers (9:05 EST). The Sharks got off the schneid with a 5-4 OT win over the Rangers on Tuesday, breaking a string of six straight losses. Despite its recent slide, San Jose is not in any trouble of missing the postseason, currently sitting in fourth. The Oilers come in having won three straight, currently sitting in fifth. Clearly Edmonton would love to leap-frog the Sharks for fourth spot so as to ensure home ice in the first round of the playoffs. And with a game tomorrow night in Calgary, it’s definitely not to difficult to imagine San Jose getting caught “looking ahead” here as well. It’s a perfect set of situational circumstances working in favor of the surging home side, but also note that San Jose is in fact just 1-2 (-1.2 units) in its last three after scoring five goals or more, while Edmonton is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in its last three after a three games or longer unbeaten streak. All things considered, I think we’re getting a very fair price in this one, play on the Oilers. Good luck…Larry |
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03-28-17 | Rangers v. Sharks -117 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Jose Sharks (10:30 EST). The 46-26-3-1 New York Rangers are in San Jose to take on the 42-26-6-1 Sharks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. There’s no need to overthink this one in my opinion, as the Sharks will be desperate today after six straight defeats. New York owns the leagues best road record, but I think it’ll have its hands full with this desperate and hungry Sharks side. The Rangers conclude a difficult West coast road trip tonight, two nights after completing a back-to-back in which they won 3-0 at LA and lost 6-3 in Anaheim the following night. The Sharks are coming off back-to-back humbling defeats, losing 6-1 in Dallas on Friday and then 7-2 by the Predators just 24 hours later. It would be easy to make a case for the underdog Rangers here when looking at recent stats, but I think the situation definitely favors the home side. And note, New York is in fact just 5-7 (-1.8 units) in its last 12 against teams with winning records, while San Jose is 8-4 (+2.8 units) this season following a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. I think the Blue Shirts run out of gas at the end of their road trip and expect the Sharks to risk life and limb today in trying to get off the schneid. Play on San Jose. Good luck…Larry |
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03-27-17 | Predators v. Islanders -113 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -113 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the New York Islanders (7:00 EST). The 38-25-7-4 Nashville Predators are in New York to take on the 35-27-8-4 Islanders and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Nashville comes to town off a 7-2 home win over the Sharks and it’s now won six of its last seven. Suffice it to say, I think this one sets up as a classic letdown spot/trap game for the visitors tonight. Conversely, the Isles will be eager to get back into the winners circle after a tough 2-1 home loss to the Bruins in their last outing. New York has now dropped three of its last five and sits 1.5 games back for eighth spot in the Eastern Playoff race. Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne is just 10-15 with a pedestrian 2.67 GAA on the road this year, while against the Isles he’s only 4-4 with a 2.63 GAA lifetime. Islanders’ goaltender Thomas Greiss is 12-9 with a 2.64 GAA at home, but Jaroslav Halak is expected between the pipes, note that he’s 12-7 with a 1.84 GAA lifetime against Nashville. I think this one means a lot more to New York and I expect it to risk life and limb today in trying to notch the victory. All things considered, this is a great price on the desperate home side in my opinion. Play on the Islanders. Good luck…Larry |
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03-26-17 | Rangers v. Ducks -140 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* Las Vegas Insider on the Anaheim Ducks (9:05 EST). The 45-25-1-3 New York Rangers are in Anaheim to take on the 40-23-8-3 Ducks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. No need to overthink this one in my opinion. It’s true that the Rangers average the fourth most goals in the league (3.14) and concede the 11th least (2.59), but New York played and won 3-0 in LA just last night. Suffice it to say, despite Henrik Lundqvist getting the start tonight after getting rest in last night’s victory, I believe the Blue Shirts come in “flat footed” in the second game of the back-to-back. Anaheim is surging towards the finish line, it’s now won seven of its last nine after getting the better of Winnipeg 3-1 on Friday. The Ducks are in the middle of the pack on both ends of the ice, but note that Anaheim has excelled in this spot for bettors, going 21-14 (+4.4 units) in revenging a loss against an opponent, while New York has struggled by going just 1-2 (-1.2 units) in its last three in the second game of the back-to-back. Anaheim goaltender Jonahtan Bernier has allowed an average of just 1.28 GPG over his last seven starts. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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03-25-17 | Rangers v. Kings -125 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the LA Kings (10:30 EST). The 42-25-1-3 New York Rangers are in LA to take on the 35-31-3-4 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. New York comes to the West Coast on a two-game slide. In fact, the Rangers hae dropped four of their past five, most recently a 3-2 OT setback to the Devils. Antti Raanta is 15-8-2 with a 2.35 GAA this year. LA comes in off a 5-2 win over the Jets on Thursday. Goaltender Ben Bishop is 1-2-2 with a 2.48 GAA since coming over from the Lightning, while Jon Quick is 4-2-0 with a 2.48 GAA against New York lifetime. I’ll point out that New York is just 1-4 in its last five in this series, while LA is 17-8 in its last 25 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. The Kings have won six of nine at home and are in desperation mode as the season comes down the stretch. I’m laying the price. Good luck…Larry |
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03-23-17 | Jets v. Kings -147 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the LA Kings (10:35 EST). The 33-33-6-1 Winnipeg Jets are in LA to take on the 34-31-3-4 Kings and for a number of different reaons, I think this one favors the home side. I think the Jets come in complacent after three straight victories. Conversely, it’s all hands on deck for the Kings who have dropped four of their last five. Winnipeg averages 2.99 GPG and concedes 3.16. Connor Hellebuyck owns a poor 2.90 GAA on the year. LA averages 2.40 GPG and concedes 2.46. Jon Quick is 5-2-1 on the year with a 2.21 GAA, while Ben Bishop is 3-1-1 with a 1.97 GAA lifetime against the Jets. I’ll point out though that this is a spot in which Winnipeg has already struggled in mightily for bettors this season, going just 11-17 (-6.1 units) after a non-conference contest and only 18-20 (-2.5 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. And note, this is a position in which the Kings have done fairly well in, going 7-4 (+2.2 units) this year when playing with two days of rest and 11-8 (+1.2 units) after a loss by two goals or more in their previous contest. For all of the reasons listed above, I think LA offers great value in this spot. Play the Kings. Good luck…Larry |
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03-21-17 | Sharks v. Wild -137 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Minnesota Wild (8:35 EST). The 42-22-6-1 San Jose Sharks are in Minnesota to take on the 43-22-4-2 WIld and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the home side. The Wild will be risking life and limb today as they look to snap a five-game losing streak. San Jose comes off a game in Dallas on Monday and win or lose that one, will clearly be “gassed” on Tuesday. If recent history is any precedence, then Minnesota has to be liking its chances to get back into the winners circle today as it’s already taken both meetings with the Sharks this year, 5-4 and 3-1 respectively. These teams are very evenly matched, getting balanced scoring up and down the lines, while also being a couple of the top defensive clubs, with each also receiving world class goaltending. But the motivation behind the extended losing streak, combined with the second game of the back-to-back for the Sharks heavily favors the Wild from a situational stand point. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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