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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-18-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -111 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the San Jose Sharks at 10;00 ET. San Jose opened its series against Vegas with a 5-2 Game 1 win. However, the Sharks have now lost THREE in a row to the Golden Knights, getting outscored 16-6. San Jose's beleaguered goaltender Martin Jones allowed two goals on seven shots in Tuesday's 5-0 setback, before being pulled for the second time in three contests in favor of Aaron Dell. In contrast, Vegas goalie Marc-Andre Fleury has turned aside 87 of 93 shots in his last three games and all 28 he faced on Tuesday, delivering his15th postseason shutout. Fleury improved his career goals-against average in the postseason to 2.58 (it's 2.51 in this series). Clearly, San Jose is facing major goaltending issues, but head coach Peter DeBoer said Jones will start in Game 5.Let's NOT forget that Jones won 36 games this season, his FOURTH in a row with 30 or more victories (37, 35 & 30). During that span, his GAA have ranged from a low of 2.27 to a high of 2.94. Let's also remember that the Sharks rode the second-best home record in the Western Conference (were 25-11-5 at SAP Center during the regular season) to a second-place finish in the Pacific Division, eight points better than the Vegas Golden Knights. Vegas beat San Jose 4-2 in last year's semifinals but the Golden Knights (109 points) were the better team, as the Sharks finished with 100 points. That's not the case this time around. Vegas may oust San Jose again in 2019 but NOT here in Game 5. Good luck...Larry |
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04-16-19 | Lightning -135 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
My NHL 10* Situational Stunner is on the TB Lightning at 7:08 ET. The Tampa Bay Lightning matched an NHL record for wins in a regular season (62) and took a 3-0 lead through the first period of their Game 1 with Columbus. However, since that opening period of this first-round series, the Lightning have been outscored a 12-2 in the last EIGHT periods by the Blue Jackets. Columbus earned a comeback 4-3 win on Wednesday, won Friday's Game 2 by the score of 5-1 and then took Sunday's Game 3 (back in Columbus) by a score of 3-1. What's going on here? We know this for sure, that only FOUR of 190 teams in NHL history have come back to win a best-of-seven playoff series after dropping the first three games. Game 4 is tonight and the Blue Jackets can win their first playoff series in franchise history (after 18 years), when they host the Presidents’ Trophy-winning Tampa Bay Lightning. The Lightning played Game 3 without Nikita Kucherov, who led the league with 128 points in the regular season. Kucherov was suspended one game for a late in the third period of Game 2. Also, Victor Hedman, last year's Norris Trophy winner as the league's top defenseman, missed Sunday's game with an undisclosed injury and is considered doubtful for Tuesday. Clearly, more is needed from the team’s three 40-goal scorers, Kucherov, Steven Stamkos and Brayden Point. So far, the trio has yet to make the scoresheet in the series! We’ve won a lot of hockey games as a team,” Lightning forward Tyler Johnson told reporters after helping set up Sunday's goal. “We can definitely do it. If there’s a group that can, it’s us. We’ve just go to play the right way. Everyone’s got to step up. Everyone’s got to play a solid game, and we’ve got to make it a little bit harder.” “The job’s not done, but at the same time this is fun,” Columbus center Matt Duchene told reporters after scoring for the second straight game in a 3-1 victory Sunday. “This has been unbelievable, and we want to finish the job and leave no doubt. Obviously, we have a great opportunity Tuesday at home in front of our fans. I think these fans deserve that we get the job done here at home.” Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky played a huge part in Columbus’ 7-1-0 finish to the regular season and after allowing three first-period goals in Game 1, has stopped 69 of the 71 shots he faced in the past eight periods (.972 save percentage). The 1942 Toronto Maple Leafs, 1975 New York Islanders, 2010 Philadelphia Flyers and 2014 Los Angeles Kings are the only NHL teams to overcome an 3-0 deficit in a seven-game playoff series. The question here isn't, "Can Tampa Bay join that group?" Rather, it's can the Lightning find a way to win ONE game! Tampa Bay finished the third period of Game 3 with a 17-8 edge in shots, creeping within 2-1 on Ondrej Palat’s goal. Captain Steven Stamkos told reporters: “If anything, maybe we found a recipe to break some of their structure there." In just can't NOT play Tampa Bay in this spot. Remember, there is another goalie in this series, Andrei Vasilevskiy. He led the league with 39 wins this season, (2.40 GAA / .925 SP) and was 6-2-0 with a .948 save percentage against the Blue Jackets coming into the series. See you in Game 5! Good luck...Larry |
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04-15-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -124 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
My NHL 10* Game of the Week is on the Car Hurricanes at 7:00 ET. The Carolina Hurricanes lost Game 1 at Washington 4-2 and then went toe-to-toe with the defending Stanley Cup champs in Game 2, before Caps veteran Brooks Orpik scored 1:48 into overtime Saturday to give Washington a 4-3 victory and a 2-0 lead. I was just Orpik's fourth goal in his 151st playoff game! The Hurricanes have seen a pair of late rallies fall short in the first two games of this first-round series, after losing all FOUR regular-season meetings with Washington. Tonight,playoff hockey returns to Raleigh, NC for the first time since May 26, 2009. Ncklas Backstrom scored twice to highlight the Capitals' three-goal first period in Thursday's 4-2 win and joined T.J. Oshie with first-period goal on Saturday. Alex Ovechkin had an NHL-best 51 goals this season and has a goal plus two assists in the first two games. Capitals goalie Braden Holtby began last year's playoffs on the bench but retutrned to lead the Caps to their first-ever Cup. The former Vezina Trophy recipient has turned aside 196 of 209 shots in his last seven contests (7-0-0), giving him a .938 save percentage. FOUR of those victories have come against Carolina. Carolina's leading goal scorer Sebastian Aho (30 goals and 83 points) scored late in the second period, snapping a 15-game goal drought. "It's not like we're playing bad, but this time of year, you've got to get that extra step and play even better," he said after the game. For teh Hurricanes to get back in the series, goaltender Petr Mrazek has to do a better job than him turning away 43 of 50 shots as he's done in Games 1 & 2 (.860 SP). The key to Game 3 will likely be Carolina getting off to a better start, as Washington holds a 5-1 combined edge in first-period scoring. Let me remind all that Washington was only five points better than Carolina during the regular season, so down 0-2, I see no reason why the Hurricanes can't beat the Caps for the first time in SEVEN tries in this one. That's the bet. Good luck...Larry |
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04-14-19 | Lightning -132 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -132 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* "signature" LEGEND Play is on the TB Lightning at 7:00 ET. The Tampa Bay Lightning matched an NHL record for wins in a regular season (62) but after blowing a 3-0 lead through the first period of their Game 1 with Columbus, the lightning have been outscored a 9-1 in the last five periods by the Blue Jackets. Columbus earned a comeback 4-3 win on Wednesday and then in Friday's Game 2, took a 3-0 first period lead on the way to a 5-1 win. What's going on here? The Presidents’ Trophy-winning haven't aced much adversity this season but it's a "whole new ballgame" tonight going into Game 3 of the Easrtern Conference first-round series against the host Columbus Blue Jackets. Columbus has clogged the neutral zone, holding the lightning to just one goal the last five periods, while NINE players have scored one goal apiece for the Blue Jackets.During that stretch, goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky has stopped 39 of the 40 shots he's faced. What's more, while the Blue Jackets were just 28th in the regular season on the power play, they are 3-for-6 (50.0%) in the series. "We’re in a tough position, but we’re not going to quit,” Tampa Bay captain Steven Stamkos said. “We’ve got to take a page out of their book and go on the road and win a hockey game. We just got to focus on Game 3." Making Tampa Bay's situation even tougher is the fact that they won’t have the league’s leading scorer Nikita Kucherov (128 points), who was suspended one game for an illegal hit. So here's the bottom line. Tampa Bay dominated Columbus in the regular season, outscoring them 17-3. Tampa Bay crushed the competition on the way to a record-tying 62-win season and lost consecutive games just twice, a pair of regulation losses in November and a set of overtime games in February. The Lightning haven't lost three straight all season and went 30-9-2 on the road for the year (no other team won more than 25 road games). The Blue Jackets have NEVER won a playoff series and were also up 2-0 last year in the opening round against the Capitals (won 1st two games in Washington), before the Caps rallied for four consecutive wins on the way to the team's first Stanley Cup. Deja vu? Maybe but "FOR SURE," I'm on Tampa Bay in this one! Good luck...Larry |
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04-13-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -140 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
My NHL 10* Game of the Week is on the Bos Bruins at 8:08 ET. The Toronto Maple Leafs have suffered a pair of demoralizing Game 7 losses in Boston but opened this year's best-of-seven opening round series against the Bruins with an emphatic 4-1 Game 1 win on Thursday in Boston. Mitch Marner scored twice, the first to erase a first-period deficit, and the second to give the Leafs the lead for good after he was brought down from behind by Jake DeBrusk on a short-handed breakaway. "We're a different team. We've got a little more confidence in this room and we're ready to play with it," said the 21-year-old Marner, who scored twice to help Toronto secure its first series-opening victory since 2003. John Tavares, a key free-agent acquisition in the offseason, collected a goal and an assist on Thursday, boosting his playoff point total to 24 (12 goals, 12 assists) in 25 career games. "When you get a power play, you want to get something good out of it and get some momentum. Obviously, that did the opposite. ... That can't happen," said Patrice Bergeron, who scored with the man advantage for Boston's lone goal. However, after Bergeron's goal, the Maple Leafs outskated and outplayed the Bruins the rest of the game. However, the Bruins won their first-round playoff series 4-3 over the Maple Leafs last year and also took the season series 3-1 with the Maple Leafs this regular season. The Boston Bruins must turn over the page instead of turning over the puck Saturday night. Why should we expect anything less? Only Tampa Bay accumulated more points this regular season than Boston's 107 and only the Lightning (32-7-2) had a better home record than the Bruins' 29-90-3 mark. Boston must be well aware that the Lightning's record-tying season is now on 'life-support' after two home losses and Boston surely wants to avoid a similar scenario. Boston has history on its side against Toronto, having beaten the Maple Leafs in each of the last five times the teams have squared off in the playoffs. Boston can't win the series tonight but the Bruins can "get back in it." The Bruins' top line of Bergeron, Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak dominated the Maple Leafs in the playoffs last year. Expect a "repeat scenario" tonight. Good luck...Larry |
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04-12-19 | Blues v. Jets -110 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Win Jets at 9:30 ET. St Louis goaltender Jordan Binnington did not make his first NHL start until Jan 7, 2019. He had played one game for the Blues back in 2015-16 but he would go on to set a franchise record for wins by a rookie, finishing 24-5-1 with a league-leading 1.89 GAA (also had an impressive .927 save percentage). The question going into Wednesday was how Binnington would handle the pressure of the Stanley Cup playoffs. Question answered. Binnington made 24 saves and kept his team in it until St. Louis scored twice in the game’s final 16 minutes, with his biggest save coming with 12.4 seconds remaining, as he slid across his net to deny Mark Scheifele's one-timer. The Jets were a popular Stanley Cup preseason favorite after reaching the conference finals last spring and they led the Western Conference in early January. However, the Jets would go 16-16-3 down the stretch (since Jan 19), losing the Central Division title to Nashville in the final two weeks. Once again, Winnipeg could not hold a 1-0 advantage in the final 20 minutes, allowing Tyler Bozak’s game-winning goal with just 2:05 to play. It's troubling that the Jets lost NINE games in the regular season in which they led after two periods. Patrik Laine gave Winnipeg the lead with a first-period goal but the Jets' high-powered offense was shut down by Binnington the rest of the way. Winnipeg goaltender Connor Hellebuyck made 24 saves but could not hold off the Blues in the final period, losing his FIFTH consecutive playoff start (dating back to four straight losses against Vegas last season). NHL Stanley Cup history tells us teams that teams that win the first game of a best-of-seven series end up closing out a series 68.5 percent of the time. The Jets are hardly facing impossible odds against coming back and the Blues are surely no 'lock' to win, just because of their Game 1 win. That said, the Jets can ill afford to drop the next outing before the series shifts to St Louis for two games. Winnipeg won 25 home games this season and the only Western Conference team to win more was Calgary (26), which led the West with 107 points. It's not a "must-win" scenario but it's pretty close. I had the Blues in Game 1 but it's the Jets in Game 2. Good luck...Larry |
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04-10-19 | Blues +104 v. Jets | Top | 2-1 | Win | 104 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* Stanley Cup Opener is on the StL Blues at 8:00 ET. The St Louis Blues were last in the NHL (15-18-4) back on Dec 31, had fired head coach Mike Yeo six weeks earlier, replacing him with Craig Berube, and seemed destined for a high-chance lottery spot in the NHL Draft. However, the Blues has fashioned one of the best mid-season turnarounds in NHL history. The Blues would go 30-10-5 since Jan. 1 and tied Winnipeg in the standings with 99 points. As for the Jets, a popular Stanley Cup preseason favorite after reaching the conference finals last spring, they led the Western Conference in early January. However, the Jets would go 16-16-3 down the stretch (since Jan 19), losing the Central Division title to Nashville in the final two weeks. The Jets get the home ice advantage due to winning three of four vs the Blues (all four meeting came prior to Jan 1) but as Winnipeg head coach Paul Maurice noted, "You look statistically in the back half, they're an elite team in the NHL. We've never played that team. We played them in 2018 and they were a different team." In fact, the last time these two teams met (way back on Dec 7 at Winnipeg), the Blues won 1-0. St. Louis’ fortunes turned around with the emergence of goaltender Jordan Binnington, who did not make his first NHL start until Jan 7. Binnington had played one game for the Blues in 2015-16, but set a franchise record for wins by a rookie, while finishing 24-5-1 with a league-leading 1.89 GAA (also had an impressive .927 save percentage). 'Hot' goaltenders have been known to carry a team in the Stanley Cup playoffs and my "first bet" of the 2019 playoffs is on St Louis. Good luck...Larry |
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03-16-19 | Oilers v. Coyotes -130 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Arizona Coyotes (10:05 EST). The Oilers have been terrible all season. Edmonton most recently comes in off a 6-3 loss to New Jersey. The Coyotes come in on the other end of the spectrum. Arizona is firmly in line for a wild card spot and it’s surging towards the finish line right now with two straight victories, most recently destroying the Ducks 6-1. Vinnie Hinostroza posted a hat-trick in the victory, while goaltender Darcy Kuemper stopped 36 of 37 shots to improve to 24-16-5 on the year. The Oilers have been consistently inconsistent all year and just when it looked as if they may have turned a corner and had some slim hope of making a run, their last pathetic effort was a stark reminder of how fickle their success has been this season. Arizona though has quietly and legitimately been one of the best teams in the league over the last month and getting it at home at this price is a gift in my opinion. Play on the Coyotes. Good luck..Larry |
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03-14-19 | Ducks v. Coyotes -136 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Arizona Coyotes (10:05 EST). Arizona comes in off a quality 3-1 road win over St. Louis and it sits one game up on Minnesota for the second wild card spot. The Coyotes will be wary to not look past the suddenly red hot Ducks, who enter off an upset 3-2 win over the Predators at home. Anaheim has been playing better of late, but it still averages only 2.27 goals per game, while conceding 3.01 goals. The Coyotes average 2.61 goals and they concede 2.79. Arizona though is third on the penalty kill, having successfully killed off 84.8 percent of their shorthanded situations this year. But Arizona could arguably be the “hottest” team in the league right now. Note that the Coyotes have won nine of their last 11. Also note that the Coyotes are 7-1 in their last eight at home, while Anaheim is just 1-5 in its last six after allowing two goals or less in its previous outing. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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03-12-19 | Capitals +123 v. Penguins | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Washington Capitals (7:05 EST). The Capitals lead the Metro by four points now, but with the Isles and Penguins right behind them, clearly they can ill afford to take the foot off the gas now. Keep your eyes on Washington star Alex Ovechkin, as he’s on fire again with 77 points so far, including 46 goals. Pittsburgh’s been equally as hot of late and it’s firmly entrenched in the third spot. Sidney Crosby is leading the team with 88 points this year, including 57 assists. It wouldn’t be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these teams. With a line like this, clearly Las Vegas would agree with me. Goaltending is pretty much a “wash” on any given night. Experience as well. This one comes down to the numbers for me though, as I’ll point out that the Capitals are 14-7 (+5.3 units) vs. the division this yearend 15-8 (+3.4 units) in its last 23 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent (earlier home loss to Pitt), while the Pens are just 5-7 (-2.1 units) in their last 12 vs. teams with winning records. I’m banking on Ovechkin and the defending champs to continue their hot surge with a late season signature victory over their hated rivals. Great value on Washington. Good luck…Larry |
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03-11-19 | Blue Jackets v. Islanders -112 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the New York Islanders (7:05 EST). After their 4-1 win over Pittsburgh, I think the Blue Jackets suffer a predictable letdown here in this difficult road venue. The Islanders come in as the hungrier side here after they suffered a 5-2 loss to Philadelphia. Both teams sport competent goaltending. The Blue Jackets have Sergei Bobrovsky and he’s 29-21-1, while the Isles have Thomas Greiss, who is 19-11-2. The Blue Jackets though have really struggled in this spot for bettors of late, going just 1-5 in its last six following a win. New York on the other hand is a money-making 14-6 in its last 20 as a home favorite. Home ice really has been a difference for this surprising Islanders team this season and I believe that’ll again be the case today. I think we’re getting a great price on this solid home side. Play on the Isles. Good luck…Larry |
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03-09-19 | Hurricanes v. Predators -150 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Nashville Predators (8:05 EST). Common sense, more than anything else is the basis of this selection. Carolina comes in off a humbling loss at home to the Jets just last night and I think it’ll struggle to find any intensity whatsoever in this difficult road arena. That’s now back-to-back losses for the Canes, who also fell in OT to the Bruins on Tuesday. The Predators are off a confidence building 5-4 win at home over Minnesota and they’re out for revenge here as well after a 6-3 road loss in the only other meeting this year. Considering the major fatigue and revenge factors working in favor of the home side, I think this line could/should easily be much larger. Great value. Play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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03-08-19 | Jets +135 v. Hurricanes | Top | 8-1 | Win | 135 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Winnipeg Jets (7:35 EST). It wouldn’t be hard to write a convincing argument for either team, but the Jets have been playing better of late and I think they catch the Hurricanes flat footed here. Both teams come in off losses. The Jets fell 5-2 at Tampa Bay, while the Hurricanes lost 4-3 in OT in Boston. Winnipeg is in second place in the Central Division, but only one point out of first. Scoring in the setback to Tampa was Blake Wheeler and Jacob Trouba. Winnipeg is expected to send Laurent Brossoit between the pipes and he’s 11-7 with a 2.53 GAA on the year. Overall the Jets are 17-15 on the road. The Hurricanes are back in the playoff picture after having won 13 of their last 17, but I think they’ve run out of gas after their latest tough setback. Carolina is still only two points ahead of the Blue Jackets, who are in ninth place. Curtis McElhinney gets the nod in the net and he’s 1-2 with a 2.92 GAA lifetime vs. Winnipeg. Note that Winnipeg is 11-6 (+2.3 units) this year after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing, while Carolina is still just 12-13 (-2 units) vs. teams with winning records. I’m pulling the trigger on the undervalued underdog. Good luck…Larry |
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03-07-19 | Flames v. Coyotes +117 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 117 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Arizona Coyotes (9:05 EST). The Calgary Flames have been one of the best teams in the league for most of the season, but they’re running out of gas down the stretch. A 6-2 loss to the Leafs on Monday was followed a 2-1 defeat in Vegas just last night. Can anyone say letdown spot here?! The Coyotes had won six straight before falling 3-1 to a desperate Anaheim team. Arizona though plays with “triple revenge” here after dropping all three in the season series thus far to Calgary and in this case, I think the “revenge angle” works. Calgary is clearly struggling with consistency right now and playing the second game of a back to back at this time of year is never easy even when on top form. The Coyotes are just three points back of a playoff spot and with a win tonight, they’ll be right back into the thick of the hunt. It’s a golden opportunity to pull the trigger on an undervalued underdog. Play on the Coyotes. Good luck…Larry |
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03-06-19 | Capitals -117 v. Flyers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Washington Capitals (7:35 EST). I like the defending champs to find a way to get the job done here as they look to keep the foot on the gas in the second half. Overall the Capitals average 3.36 goals per game, while allowing 3.14. Philadelphia averages 3.02 goals and it allows 3.30. These are two teams hungry for wins. Washington’s offense is the difference maker though in my opinion, as Philadelphia’s defense and goaltending is a clear weakness in this matchup. Additionally note that the Captials are 28-14 (+10.8 units) when playing with two days. Great price. Play on Washington. Good luck…Larry |
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03-05-19 | Canadiens -129 v. Kings | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Montreal Canadiens (10:35 EST). The Kings broke a ten-game slide with a win over the Blackhawks this past weekend, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is in store here. The Habs’ two game win streak was snapped in a loss at Pittsburgh over the weekend, but an immediate return to the winners circle is imminent here in this favorable spot. Montreal comes in desperate for a spark as its lost six of its last ten. The Habs are still holding on to the final wild card spot, but they’ll need to take advantage here to keep pace. LA has many issues, but after it finally got the “monkey off its back,” I do indeed expect immediate regression here. Note that the Kings are just 1-4 in their last five t home anyways. The Habs? They’re a money-making 4-0 in their last four when playing with two days of rest. This line could/should be much higher in my opinion. Play on Montreal. Good luck…Larry |
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03-03-19 | Flyers v. Islanders -154 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the New York Islanders (3:05 EST). After smashing the Devils 6-3 in New Jersey in their latest outing to move to three wins in its last four games, I think that Philadelphia finally has a letdown here in this difficult road arena. The Isles now sit behind the Capitals in the standings after their 3-1 home loss to Washington on Friday. New York can’t take anything for granted at this point after losing four of its last six. Note that Philadelphia truly has been a disaster for bettors in this position all year though, going just 4-11 (-7.3 units) after a win by two goals or more. The Isles on the other hand have been “money in the bank” in this spot by going 8-4 (+5.8 units) after scoring one goal or less in their previous outing. I look for the “hungrier” home side to deliver the goods. Lay it. Good luck…Larry |
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03-01-19 | Capitals -104 v. Islanders | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Washington Capitals (7:05 EST). This is an important game with both teams looking to gain ground in the competitive Metropolitan Division. Washington is currently tied with the Isles with 79 points, but it’s played two more games, meaning that a victory is very much needed here to keep pace with the surprising home side. The defense has been an issue for Washington this year, but the offense is ranked fifth with 220 goals scored thus far. The Isles have been getting the job done all season with their tough defensive play, but after last night’s 6-1 win over the Leafs, I think the home side has a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back. Look for Washington come out focused and to deliver the good at the end of the night. Great value on the Capitals. Good luck…Larry |
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02-28-19 | Lightning v. Bruins -115 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* NHL GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Boston Bruins (7:35 EST). Here’s a great situational play. The Lightning are the better team. There’s no denying that. Tampa has a “feel” about it this season. The Bruins though have also been playing exceptionally well of late though and they’re in a dog fight with Toronto for the No. 2 spot (Boston with 83 points and Toronto with 82.) The last time these teams played, the Lightning managed the 3-2 win at home on December 6th, so the home side also plays with revenge here. Boston also catch the Lightning “dog tired” after their tougher than expected 5-4 OT win in The Big Apple just last night. The Bolts have been “money in the bank” all season for bettors, but the situational/motivational factors working in favor of the home side tips the scales for the Bruins in this one. As far as I’m concerned, this is the very definition of “great line value.” I expect the home side to play with some desperation and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on Boston. Good luck…Larry |
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10-22-18 | Avalanche v. Flyers -108 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Philadelphia Flyers (7:05 EST). Colorado comes to town off a satisfying 3-1 road win in Carolina, while Philadelphia enters off a confidence building 5-2 victory over New Jersey. Note that this is an immediate “revenge game,” as Colorado beat Philadelphia at home earlier in the year by a score of 5-2. Colorado is averaging 3.63 GPG and it’s conceding 2.25. Semyon Varlamov is 3-2 with a 1.77 GAA and he’s 4-3 with a 2.86 GAA lifetime against the Flyers. The Flyers are averaging 3.63 GPG and they’re conceding 4.23. Brian Elliot is now 2-3 with a 3.69 GAA and I think he’ll build off the win over the Devils. Note as well that he’s had tremendous success against the Avs throughout his career, going 9-5 with a 2.24 GAA. I’ll point out as well that the Flyers are 5-2 in their last seven at home in this series, while the Avs are just 3-8 in their last 11 following a victory. Colorado is still only 20-53 in its last 73 away from friendly confines. I’m laying this very reasonable price on the home side. Good luck…Larry |
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10-21-18 | Flames -127 v. Rangers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Calgary Flames (7:05 EST). Calgary looks to bounce back off a 5-3 home loss to Nashville. The Rangers return home off a 4-3 OT loss in Washington, a game in which it gave up a big lead late. This is a “double revenge” contests for the Flames, as New York somehow managed to take both meetings last season. Calgary is fifth in the league in scoring with 3.71 GPG. Mike Smith is 3-3 with a 3.38 GAA on the season. New York is ranked 25th in scoring with just 2.43 GPG, while ranked 22nd in goals allowed in conceding 3.43. Clearly this isn’t a recipe for long-term success. Goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is 2-4 with a 2.31 GAA so far. I’ll point out though that Calgary is 48-33 (+6.4 units) against teams with losing records the last two seasons, while New York is just 38-54 (-15.1 units) against clubs with winning records in the same span. I think Calgary is the much better team and I look for it to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night in The Big Apple. Good luck…Larry |
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10-16-18 | Avalanche -124 v. Rangers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -124 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
The third pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Colorado Avalanche (7:05 EST). Colorado comes in off a 3-2 OT loss at home to Calgary, while the Rangers enter off a 2-1 home loss to Edmonton. The Avs took both meetings last year and I think they’re going to find a way to get the job done here as well. Colorado is averaging 3.80 GPG. Goaltender Semyon Varlamov is already 3-1 with a 1.75 GAA and he’s 6-3 with a 3.07 GAA lifetime against the Rangers. New York is just 1-4 and it’s averaging 2.40 GPG, while conceding 3.60. Henrik Lundqvist is 1-3 with a 2.03 GAA. I’ll point out as well that the Rangers are only 5-21 in their last 26 after scoring two goals or less in their previous game, while the Avalanche are 11-5 in their last 16 against the Eastern Conference. I think Varlamov is the difference in this one. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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10-11-18 | Avalanche v. Sabres -115 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Buffalo Sabres (7:00 EST). Colorado comes in off a 5-2 home loss to Columbus, while Buffalo enters off a 4-2 home victory over Las Vegas. After its first loss of the year, I think Colorado takes a step back here. The Avs opened the season 2-0, but they’d go on to lose their first road game of the year against the Blue Jackets. And that’s significant because note that Colorado was 28-13 in front of the home town crowd last season, compared to going just 15-26 on the road. Semyon Varlamov is expected between the pipes and last year he was 24-22 with a 2.68 GAA overall, but only 9-14 with a 3.09 GAA on the road. Buffalo enters 2-1, losing 4-0 at home to Boston on Opening Night, before then beating the Rangers (3-1) and the Knights. The Sabres once again turn to Carter Hutton in net and he stopped 35 of 37 shot that he faced last time out. Overall Hutton is 30-20 with a 2.31 GAA in all home game situations. I’ll point out as well that Buffalo is 8-3 in its last 11 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, while Colorado is just 17-52 in its last 69 on the road overall. I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular match. I look for Colorado’s “road issues” to continue on Thursday night. Play on the Sabres. Good luck…Larry |
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10-03-18 | Flames -120 v. Canucks | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 38 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* PERFECT STORM on the Calgary Flames (10:05 EST). Calgary returns its top four points getters from last year, including Johnny Gaudreau and Sean Monahan, who combined for 55 goals and 93 assists last season. Mike Smith isn’t getting any younger, but the veteran net minder comes in healthy at least. The Flames haven’t won their regular season opener since 2009-10, so they’ll absolutely be out to end that drought here. Calgary struggled last year, but the Canucks were horrible with 31 wins and 73 points under coach Travis Green’s first year. Two of their top three players in terms of points retired over the off-season (the Sedins), so the onus to guid the team falls on players like Brock Boeser and Bo Horvat. Vancouver may have won its opener in four straight years, but that streak is poised to end here as it tries to find its new identity early in the season. The visitors have the veteran experience and superior goaltending and could easily be a bigger favorite in my opinion. Play on the Flames. Good luck…Larry |
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06-07-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights -140 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 66 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Las Vegas Golden Knights (8:05 EST). I played on Las Vegas in its last game and while that play came up short, I do now firmly believe the the Golden Knights will stave off elimination here with their best effort of the Cup Final. Las Vegas won Game 1 by a score of 6-4, but since then it’s been all Braden Holtby, Alexander Ovechkin and the Washington Capitals. Holtby is now 15-7 with a 2.13 GAA in the postseason, while the Knights’ Marc-Andre Fleury is 13-6 with a 2.15 GAA. So far overall this season Washington is 30-23 on the road, averaging 3.08 goals and conceding 3.08 in those contests. TJ Oshie scored his eighth of the playoffs in Game 5, while Brett Connolly posted his sixth. Overall this year Vegas is 36-14 at home, averaging 3.58 goals in those contests and conceding just 2.42. The Knights will be pushing the pace of this one from start to finish, as they have just five goals over their last three games. James Neal was a bright spot in a losing cause last time out with his sixth goals, while Reilly Smith also posted a goal, his sixth of the postseason. From a trend based stand point though, this one definitely favors the home side. As note that Washington is a poor 3-8 in its last 11 after scoring five goals or more in its previous contest, while Vegas is 6-1 in its last seven after allowing five goals or more in its previous game. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Knights. Good luck…Larry |
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06-04-18 | Golden Knights +118 v. Capitals | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* NHL GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Las Vegas Golden Knights (8:05 EST). Las Vegas steamrolled the Capitals 6-4 in Game 1, but since then it’s been all Washington in this series. With their backs against the wall and looking to tie this series up before heading home, I think the Golden Knights will indeed pull off the minor upset in Game 4. Once again it’ll Marc-Andre Fleury in net for the Knights (13-5, 1.95 GAA in the playoffs), vs. Braden Holtby for the Capitals (14-7, 2.13 GAA). Note that Vegas comes into this one averaging 2.89 goals per game in the playoffs, while conceding 2.06. Tomas Nosek was a bright spot in the Game 3 loss and he now has four goals over his last five games. Washington comes into this one averaging 3.45 goals per game in the postseason and conceding 2.55. Alex Ovechkin continues to be a force for the Capitals, as he’d pot his 14th marker of the playoffs in the Game 3 victory. It’s hard to point out to many negatives for the Capitals, as they’ve been super solid across the board all year long and throughout the playoffs. I will point out though that Vegas is 12-3 (+8.7 units) this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing. With the Capitals’ first Stanley Cup home game in 20 years out of the way, I predict a predictable letdown tonight. The Golden Knights know how to win on the road, going 28-22 overall away from friendly confines, including 6-3 in the playoffs. For all the reasons listed above, play on Las Vegas. Good luck…Larry |
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05-30-18 | Capitals +138 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-2 | Win | 138 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Washington Capitals (8:05 EST). I had a play on the “under” in Game 1 and clearly I was off on that prediction. These teams came out fired up and each goaltender looked shaky. Washington had two leads in Game 1, but the Golden Knights were able to quickly even things up and then pulled away in the final moments for the 6-4 victory. The Capitals though will be risking life and limb today to even this series before heading home and I believe their effort will be enough to score the upset on Wednesday. It’ll be Braden Holtby going for the visitors in net and he’s 12-7 with a 2.20 GAA, while the Golden Knights are going with the red hot Marc-Andre Fleury, who is 13-3 with a 1.82 GAA to this point in the playoffs. So far the Capitals are averaging 3.50 goals, while conceding 2.65 in the postseason, while the Golden Knights are averaging 3.06 goals and allowing 1.94. It’s impossible to point out any negative trends for the Knights this year, as they’ve truly re-written the history books with their improbable run to the Cup Final in their very first season. However I will point out that Washington is an unbelievably strong 4-1 (+2.4 units) already when trailing in a playoff series this year, while also 15-9 (+5.4 units) after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. I look for Alexander Ovechkin and company to find a way to tie this series up before heading back to the Nation’s capital. Play on the Capitals. Good luck…Larry |
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05-21-18 | Lightning v. Capitals -120 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Washington Capitals. I played Washington in Game 5 and it came up short. The Capitals’ backs are now against the wall though, as Game 6 becomes their most important contest in franchise history. Washington roared out to a 2-0 series lead, winning both games in Tampa, before the Lightning bounced back by taking the next three. Caps’ goaltender Braden Holtby looked fantastic over the first two games, but the Bolts’ Andrei Vasilevskly has stolen the show over the last three. I said before this series started that I thought whichever team’s goaltender played better would come out on top. While Holtby has struggled over his last three, I think he’s poised to get back on track here in this crucial situation. All of the pressure is on Tampa Bay now to try and close this series and while it did succeed in the Nation’s capital in Game’s 3 and 4, I think the stage is finally set for letdown. I’l point out as well that Tampa is just 2-4 in its last six after three or more victories, while Washington is 5-2 in its last seven after three straight losses. These teams are very evenly matched, but the intensity in which the home side plays with will be the difference. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Washington. Good luck…Larry |
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05-19-18 | Capitals +155 v. Lightning | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Washington Capitals (7:15 EST). So far the visiting team is 4-0 in this series and I fully expect that trend to carry over here. The pressure is now on Washington to respond after wasting its 2-0 series lead with back-to-back losses at home. A date on the road is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked for the Capitals though, as so far they’re 7-1 in the playoffs away from friendly confines. I said before this series started that whichever team’s goaltender plays better would most likely be the difference and so far that’s been the case over the first four games. The Capitals’ Braden Holtby (10-5, 2.24 GAA) looked much better in Game’s 1 and 2, while the Lightning’s Andrei Vasilevskly (10-4, 2.63) looked fantastic in the Nation’s capital in Game’s 3 and 4. Overall Washington comes into this one averaging 3.56 goals in the playoffs, while conceding 2.75. Tampa is averaging 3.36 goals in the postseason and conceding 2.69. Both teams have responded well in this spot for bettors all year long, but the double revenge factor of losing back-to-back games, combined with the other extremely strong trends I’ve listed above, make the Capitals just too good to turn down in this “plus-money” spot. Great value, play on Washington. Good luck…Larry |
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05-18-18 | Jets +107 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Winnipeg Jets (8:05 EST). Winnipeg took Game 1 by a score of 4-2, but the Knights have stormed back to take the next two in the series. Down 2-1 and looking to avoid the dreaded 1-3 hole, I believe Winnipeg comes out and finds a way to get the job done in this crucial Game 4. So far the Jets’ Connor Hellebuyck is 9-6 with a 2.34 GAA in the playoffs, while the Knights Marc-Andre Fleury is 10-3 with a 1.70 GAA. Winnipeg is averaging 3.33 goals in the playoffs and conceding 2.47. Mark Scheifele was a bright spot in the latest setback with both goals and he now has 14 in the postseason, leading all scorers. Las Vegas is averaging 2.92 goals in the playoffs and conceding 1.85. Jonathan Marchessault had two goals in the latest victory. From a trend based stand point, I think this one highly favors the desperate Jets though, as note that Winnipeg is 23-8 in its last 31 after scoring two goals or less in its previous contest. Winnipeg is also 20-7 in its last 27 games overall and during that stretch it hasn’t lost three in a row. I believe this strong trend carries over here. These teams are very evenly matched on paper, but as mentioned off the top, everything points to the “hungrier” side delivering the goods at the end of the night. Great value, play on the Jets. Good luck…Larry |
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05-16-18 | Jets +129 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Winnipeg Jets (9:05 EST). This series is all tied up 1-1. Winnipeg won Game 1 by a score of 4-2, before Las Vegas bounced back with the 3-1 victory in Game 2. For a number of different reasons though, I like the Jets to respond on the road in Game 3. Winnipeg sends Connor Hellebuyck to the net and he’s so far 9-5 with a 2.29 GAA, while Vegas counters with Marc-Andre Fleury, who is 9-3 with a 1.68 GAA thus far. Winnipeg is averaging 3.43 goals in the postseason and conceding 2.36. Las Vegas is averaging 2.83 goals in the playoffs and conceding 1.83. I’ll point out though that Winnipeg is 32-13 (+17.9 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent this season. The Jets have in fact struggled at home of late, but they’ve done extremely well on the road, allowing a total of nine goals over their last five away from friendly confines. Las Vegas continues to struggle with offensive consistency in the postseason and I think that comes back to haunt it here against this revenge-minded Jets side. Great value, play on Winnipeg. Good luck…Larry |
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05-15-18 | Lightning +107 v. Capitals | Top | 4-2 | Win | 107 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Tampa Bay Lightning (8:05 EST). I had a play on the under in Game 1 and then came back with the Lightning in Game 2. So far I’m 0-2 in the Eastern Conference Finals, but I’m expecting to get back into the winners circle tonight with the desperate Lightning. Washington won Game 2 by a score of 6-2. Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskly is now 8-4 with a 2.74 GAA, while the Capitals’ Braden Holtby is 10-3 with a 2.04 GAA. Vasilevskly has struggled against the Capitals in this series, but coming in he was the entire reason why Tampa advanced to this round so quickly. I think he’ll bounce back here though with his strongest effort so far. Tampa’s offense will also looked to get untracked. The Lightning have managed just two goals thus far, but they still enter averaging 3.25 goals per game, while conceding 2.92. Washington is averaging 3.79 goals in the postseason and conceding 2.57. It’s hard to say anything negative about the Capitals obviously, as they’re likely playing the best hockey of the remaining clubs right now. However, I simply feel that this does indeed set up as a classic “letdown” spot finally. And conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Bolts as they look to avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole. Note as well that Tampa is 14-6 (+5.5 units) this year after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest this season. In my opinion, this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Lightning. Good luck…Larry |
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05-14-18 | Golden Knights +135 v. Jets | Top | 3-1 | Win | 135 | 24 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Las Vegas Golden Knights (8:05 EST). I pushed with the “under” in Game 1. Las Vegas got steamrolled in the first period, quickly finding itself down in a 3-0 hole. The Golden Knights would actually control the play of Game 1 after that, but it wasn’t enough in the eventual 4-2 setback. But Las Vegas has been incredibly resilient this year and I think the Golden Knights are going to bounce back in fine fashion tonight. The visitors send back Marc-Andre Fleury between the pipes and he’s 8-3 with a 1.74 GAA in the postseason thus far, while the Jets’ Connor Hellebuyck is 9-4 with a 2.23 GAA. Vegas comes into this one averaging 2.82 goals in the playoffs, while conceding just 1.91. A bounce back is imminent for Fleury and gang tonight in my opinion. The Jets are averaging 3.62 goals in the playoffs and conceding 2.31. I’ll point out though that Las Vegas is 15-5 (+7.4 units) this year in revenging a loss against an opponent, and 16-9 (+4.9 units) after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest. After getting caught off guard in Game 1, I think the Knights bounce back and take command in Game 2. Great value, play on Las Vegas. Good luck…Larry |
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05-10-18 | Jets v. Predators -158 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -158 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Nashville Predators (8:05 EST). Winnipeg is going with Connor Hellebuyck in net in Game 7 and he’s so far 7-4 with a 2.36 GAA in the playoffs, while Nashville turns to Pekka Rinne, who is 7-5 with a 2.94 GAA. Despite any success it’s had in the playoffs, I’ll point out that the achilles heel of Winnipeg has been its play on the road, where it’s a pedestrian 23-23, averaging 2.93 goals in those contests and conceding 2.80. And despite any struggles that it’s occurred in the postseason, note that Nashville is still 31-16 at home overall this year, averaging 3.34 goals and conceding 2.68 in those games. I’ll point out as well that the Jets are a poor 1-5 in their last six following a home loss of three or more goals, while the Predators are interestingly 23-9 in their last 32 when their opponent scores two goals or less in its previous contest. Home ice matters in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals. Lay the price with confidence. Good luck…Larry |
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05-07-18 | Predators +127 v. Jets | Top | 4-0 | Win | 127 | 37 h 33 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Nashville Predators (9:30 EST). It’s do or die for the visitors. Suffice it to say, I think the desperate Predators offer great value in this spot. Nashville was embarrassed 6-2 in Game 5 and I’m expecting this talented club to respond here. The Predators Pekka Rinne is so far 6-5 with a 3.23 GAA in the playoffs, while the Jets’ Connor Hellebyuck is 7-3 with a 2.29 GAA. Nashville is comfortable on the road, so far it’s 28-18 away from friendly confines, averaging 3.04 goals and conceding 2.50 in those contests. Rinne has a long history of dominance over Winnipeg as well, as he’s now 15-5 with a 2.41 GAA lifetime against it. Winnipeg is averaging 3.80 goals in the playoffs and conceding 2.30. Hellebyuck though is still a pedestrian 6-5 with a 3.20 GAA lifetime against the Preds. I’ll point out as well that Nashville is 18-11 (+4.8 units) this year after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest, while Winnipeg is just 1-3 (-2.3 units) in its last four when leading in a playoff series. Desperation breeds motivation. I think this series has Game 7 written all over it. Play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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05-06-18 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -135 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -135 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the San Jose Sharks (3:00 EST). I base my selections on many different things. For this particular play though, I’m using common sense for the most part. This has been a very tight series, but with their backs against the wall and facing elimination, I’m banking on the home side Sharks to buckle down and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Both teams have looked fantastic at times in this series and extremely pedestrian/poor in others. For arguments sake on this one, let’s call the goaltenders a “wash.” As mentioned off the top, I base my picks on many different things, including individual player match ups. But this particular play has nothing at all to do with match ups, but everything to do with the “elimination factor,” the “home ice” factor and note as well that the Sharks are an excellent 21-9 (+12.2 units) this season after allowing four goals or more in their previous outing. For all the reasons listed above, play on San Jose. Good luck…Larry |
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05-06-18 | Bruins +140 v. Lightning | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 44 m | Show |
y 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Boston Bruins (3:00 EST). I had a big play on the Bruins last time out and they’d unfortunately come up short in the 4-3 OT setback. With its back against the wall and facing elimination though, I like Boston to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night here. Boston is 24-22 on the road, averaging 2.91 goals and conceding 2.63 in those contests. Goaltender Tuukka Rask is 5-6 with a 2.96 GAA so far in the playoffs and over his career against the Bolts he’s now 16-8 with a 2.49 GAA. Tampa is 33-13 at home, averaging 3.57 goals and conceding 2.91 in those games. Netminder Andrei Vasilevskly is so far 7-2 with a 2.33 GAA in the playoffs and over his career he’s now 1-5 with a 2.51 GAA against the Bruins. Likely there will be many prognosticators laying the larger price and jumping on the Lightning bandwagon to end this series at home, but I think the desperate Bruins still have plenty of fight left in them. Play on Boston. Good luck…Larry |
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05-04-18 | Lightning v. Bruins -145 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 36 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Boston Bruins (7:00 EST). A 3-1 hole heading back to Tampa would almost assuredly be too big for the Bruins to climb out of. With Boston risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes, I look for the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Tampa comes into this one averaging 3.50 goals on the road, while conceding 2.75. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskly is 1-5 with a 2.51 GAA lifetime against the Bruins though. Boston is averaging 3.70 goals at home and conceding just 2.61. Tuukka Rask is 16-8 with a 2.49 GAA lifetime against the Bolts. For arguments sake, let’s call the goaltenders a “wash.” Note though that the Bruins are an amazing 21-6 in their last 27 after scoring two goals or less in their previous contest. Despite the loss last time out, Boston is still 33-8-4 in its last 45 at home against the Lightning. I expect that strong trend to continue in this important game. Lay the price, play on the Bruins. Good luck…Larry |
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05-02-18 | Lightning v. Bruins -130 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 36 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Boston Bruins (7:00 EST). This series is all knotted up at one game apiece as it shifts gears to “Bean Town.” The Lightning were 24-19, but the Bruins were 21-24 at home. For arguments sakes, lets call these goaltenders a “wash.” I base my selections on many different things. Sometimes I base it on strong trends, or scheduling, or revenge. This particular play comes down mainly to some very strong trends which each team has exhibited in this position. The Lightning are a poor 14-17 in their last 31 after playing three consecutive home games. Boston on the other hand is a “lights out” 14-5 (+8.6 units) this season after a loss by two goals or more. On any given night either of these teams could win against the other. It’s that close. But home ice advantage is a crucial factor working in favor of the Bruins this evening and I believe it’ll help turn the tide once the final horn sounds. Play on Boston. Good luck…Larry |
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05-01-18 | Capitals v. Penguins -155 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -155 | 35 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:30 EST). I’ve made a play on the Penguins in each of the first two games of this series and I’m 1-1. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting the defending champs to bounce back here in front of the home town crowd. Washington turns to Braden Holtby in net for this one and he’s 5-2 with a 1.95 GAA, while the Pens’ Matt Murray is 5-3 with a 2.29 GAA. Washington comes in 24-20 on the road this year, averaging 3.02 goals and conceding 3.20 in those contests. Pittsburgh is 31-13 at home, averaging 3.61 goals and conceding 2.70. I’ll point out as well the Washington has had a hell of time whenever it’s played in “Steel Town,” going just 3-8 in its last 11 trips there. The Pens on the other hand have excelled in this spot, going 37-14 in their last 51 following a loss by three or more goals. Pittsburgh accomplished what it wanted in splitting the first two games of this series, but now that it’s home I expect it to return to form. Everything points to a blowout, lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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04-30-18 | Bruins v. Lightning -145 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Tampa Bay Lightning (7:00 EST). I had a play on the Lightning in Game 1 and clearly that didn’t work out at all, as Boston would go on to post a lop-sided 6-2 victory. I have to admit, I was completely wrong with judging the Bruins’ energy levels, as they still had plenty left in the tank after their gruelling seven-game series win over the Leafs in the first round. It was Tampa which suffered from rust after dispatching the Devils in five games. The main goal of any visiting team to start a seven game playoff series is to earn the split over the first two games, so as to re-gain the home ice advantage. With that feat accomplished and with fatigue now finally catching up to Boston, I do indeed absolutely believe that the Bruins suffer a classic letdown here. Conversely, with their backs against the wall and needing a victory in the worst way to avoid the 0-2 hole, I look for the Lightning to risk life and limb tonight getting into shooting and passing lanes to try and secure the win. Note as well that Boston is already 2-3 (-2.3 units) in the Playoffs when leading in a series; also 42-43 (-21 units) in its last 45 after a win by two goals or more, while Tampa is 10-3 (+6 units) this season in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 21-10 (+6.2 units) after allowing four goals or more. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Lightning. Good luck…Larry |
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04-29-18 | Penguins +104 v. Capitals | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (3:05 EST). I had a play on the Penguins in Game 1 (my Round 2 GAME OF THE YEAR!) and I think the defending champs offer great value to steal Game 2 as well. Pittsburgh turns to Matt Murray (5-2, 2.17 GAA), while Washington counters with Braden Holtby (4-2, 2.10). Pittsburgh has knocked Washington off in the playoffs each of the last two years and it’ll be well on its way to doing that this season as well with another victory here. Pittsburgh is ranked as the No. 1 offense in the playoffs with an average of 4.43 GPG, while ranked sixth in goals allowed by conceding 2.43. Washington is averaging 3.71 goals in the playoffs and conceding 3.00. This is simply a horrible matchup for the Capitals, who let a golden opportunity slip through their fingers in the late Game 1 collapse. It’s a mental thing and it’s only going to get worse in Game 2 in my opinion. I like Pittsburgh to keep the pressure on and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night once again. Play on the Penguins. Good luck…Larry |
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04-28-18 | Bruins v. Lightning -140 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Tampa Bay Lightning (3:05 EST). It’s payback time for the Lightning, as the Bruins took three of the four regular season meetings. Boston comes in completely “gassed” here after its seven game opening series victory over the Leafs. Boston is 23-21 on the road this season, averaging 2.86 goals and conceding 2.61 in those contests. Goaltender Tuukka Rask is 4-3 with a 2.94 GAA in the playoffs thus far and vs. the Lightning he’s gone 16-8 with a 2.49 GAA. Tampa advanced by beating New Jersey in five games. The Lightning are 32-12 at home this season, averaging 3.59 goals and conceding 2.86 in those contests. Netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy is 4-1 with a 2.01 GAA in the playoffs and 1-5 with a 2.51 GAA lifetime against Boston (note that he’s 26-9 with a 2.84 GAA at home.) I’ll point out as well that Boston is just 1-5 in its last six after scoring five or more goals in its previous game, while Tampa Bay is 40-18 in its last 58 when playing on three or more days rest. No need to over think this one. Tampa is rested and motivated after losing the season series. Boston is exhausted. All things considered, this is a great price. Play on the Lightning. Good luck…Larry |
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04-27-18 | Jets v. Predators -145 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -145 | 35 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Nashville Predators (8:00 EST). Nashville took three of the four regular season meetings between the clubs and I think that dominance is carried over into Game 1. If Winnipeg has had one clear weakness this season, it’s been its play on the road where it’s just 21-22, averaging 2.81 goals and conceding 2.81 in those contests. Connor Hellebuyck gets the nod in net tonight for the visitors and he’s so far 4-1 with a 1.93 GAA in the playoffs. Overall he’s 6-5 with a 3.20 GAA lifetime against the Predators though. Nashville is 30-14 at home, averaging 3.39 goals and conceding 2.55. Goaltender Pekka Rinne is 4-2 in the playoffs and overall he’s 15-4 with a 2.41 GAA lifetime against the Jets. Nashville has already beaten Winnipeg three out of four times this season and with so much on the line to open this second round series, I absolutely believe that the Predators will find a way to get the job done at the end of the night in Game 1. The clincher though is the matchup in net. Rinne has dominated the Jets throughout his career, while Hellebuyck has struggled whenever he’s faced the Predators. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is a great price. Play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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04-26-18 | Penguins +114 v. Capitals | Top | 3-2 | Win | 114 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* ROUND 2 GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:05 EST). Pittsburgh has knocked off Washington each of the last two years in the Playoffs and I believe the defending champs are going to take Game 1 as well. The Penguins advanced by dispatching the Flyers in six games. In their two losses the Pens totalled just three goals, but in their four victories they posted 25. Sidney Crosby led the way offensively with six goals. Pittsburgh goaltender Matt Murray went 4-2 with a 2.20 GAA in the first round. Murray is now 26-11 with a 1.99 GAA lifetime in the postseason. The Penguins enter ranked as the No. 1 offense so far in the playoffs with 4.67 GPG, while ranked seventh defensively in conceding 2.50. The Capitals advanced by beating the Blue Jackets in six games. Washington lost the first two games of that series, but then proceeded to win four straight. The Capitals are 29-15 at home, averaging 3.34 goals and conceding 2.61. Washington goaltender Braden Holtby is 4-1 with a 1.92 GAA in the Playoffs thus far. It’s hard to say anything negative about either of these teams. The Penguins though have just had the Capitals number over the last five years and I think they’re going to find a way to get the job done here as well. After four straight victories, I think Washington finally suffers a small letdown in the opener of this second round series. Play on the Penguins. Good luck…Larry |
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04-23-18 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets -106 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -106 | 33 h 27 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:30 EST). Washington won Game 5 by a score of 4-3 in OT to snag a 3-2 series lead. Columbus will be risking life and limb to force a Game 7 and in this case, I don’t think that home ice can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor. The Capitals are 23-20 on the road this year and they’ve averaged 2.95 goals and conceded 3.21 in this contests. Goaltender Braden Holtby is now 3-1 with a 1.67 GAA in this series. Holtby hasn’t been on his best on the road this season though, going 12-11 with a 3.90 GAA. The Blue Jackets are 26-17 at home, averaging 2.70 goals and conceding 2.42 in those contests. Netminder Sergei Bobrovsky is 2-3 with a 2.85 GAA in this series. Overall he’d go 20-13 with a 2.18 GAA at home this season though and there’s no reason not to think that he won’t be able to bounce back here. Washington would love nothing more than to close this series out, but Columbus has proven to be an elite team at home all season. I simply can’t see the Capitals getting the job done tonight. Washington has won three straight, but winning can lead to complacency. And desperation leads to motivation for Columbus. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Blue Jackets. Good luck…Larry |
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04-18-18 | Ducks +160 v. Sharks | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* ODDSMAKERS ERROR is on the Anaheim Ducks (10:30 EST). I’ve stayed way from this series until now, but I’m ready to pull the trigger on a big play on the 0-3 Ducks. With its back against the wall, I look for Anaheim to prolong this series at least one more game. Anaheim will be looking to atone for the 8-1 drubbing it endured in Game 3. The Ducks would amazingly post a double-digit advantage in shots on goal in the setback. The Ducks were done in by 26 penalty minutes. Anaheim starting goaltender John Gibson was started all three games so far, but he was pulled early in the rout. Gibson will be back in net with a chip on his shoulder and something to prove this evening. San Jose had ten less shot attempts in Game 3, but it still pulled off the major blowout. I don’t think the Ducks are going to get swept though. Note that Anaheim is 6-2 (+5.3 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses and still 27-16 (+10.6 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while San Jose is just 18-21 (-9.6 units) in its last 39 after a three game unbeaten streak. The Ducks dig deep and take this series back home for at least one more. Play on Anaheim. Good luck…Larry |
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04-17-18 | Golden Knights v. Kings -121 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -121 | 36 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* NHL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH is on the LA Kings (7:35 EST). It’s the most important game of the year for the Kings, who come into Game 4 in a 3-0 hole. Desperation breeds motivation and winning can lead to complacency. Prior to the playoffs starting, the Golden Knights had given up 15 goals over three straight road games. So far Vegas has gotten superb goaltending from Marc-Andre Fleury, but with their backs against the wall, I fully expect the Kings to respond in this do-or-die situation. LA continues to get solid goaltending from Jon Quick, as he had to face 52 shots last time out. Remember, Quick and the Kings were also down 3-0 to San Jose in the first round,before then going on to win the Stanley Cup after posting three Game 7 victories a couple of years ago. I’ll point out as well that LA is 10-4 in its last 14 after scoring two goals or less in its previous contest. There’s no way the Kings are going down without a fight. I look for the desperation in which the home side plays with tonight, to turn out to be the the deciding factor in the end. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Kings. Good luck…Larry |
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04-16-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs -110 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7:05 EST). I played the Leafs in Game 1 and that was an unfortunate loser. Toronto was then also hammered in Game 2. With its back against the wall though, I look for Toronto to finally respond with the shift in venue. Boston was 22-19 on the road, averaging 2.93 goals and conceding 2.61 in those contests. Toronto was 29-12 at home, averaging 3.34 goals and conceding just 2.66. Note that while he struggled on the road, goaltender Frederik Andersen has to be feeling confident he can bounce back here as note that he finished 23-10 with a 2.64 GAA at home. I’ll point out as well that the the Bruins are just 1-4 in their last five after scoring five goals or more in their previous game, while Toronto is 4-1 in its last five when playing on one days rest. It doesn’t get any bigger than this for Toronto, as a 3-0 hole would clearly be too much for it to climb out of. I expect the Leafs to get back into this series with their best effort yet. Play on Toronto. Good luck…Larry |
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04-15-18 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals -148 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -148 | 35 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Washington Capitals (7:30 EST). Columbus stole Game 1, 4-3 in OT. Suffice it to say, it’s payback time for the home side. It’s essentially a “do-or-die” scenario for the Capitals, who would be in tough in this series down 0-2 heading to Columbus for three straight. The Blue Jackets though are poised for a classic letdown here in my estimation. The goal of the visiting team to open a series is to score the split so as to gain home ice advantage moving forward. With that goal accomplished, I do indeed expect the visitors to come in a tiny bit complacent. Columbus averages 2.9 GPG and it concedes 2.8. Clearly the margin for error isn’t very big. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 30 shits in Game 1 to move him to 37-22-6 with a 2.42 GAA. The Capitals average 3.1 GPG and they concede 2.9. Philipp Grubauer got the start over Braden Holtby in Game 1, but Holtby is expected back in net tonight. Holtby comes in off perhaps his worst campaign of his career, but experience and home ice advantage is going to prove to be the difference today in my opinion. And as mentioned off the top, this is essentially a must-win game for the Capitals. Bobrovsky scored the victory in Game 1, but he still owns a horrible 3.57 GAA and .888 save percentage to go along with a 4-10 lifetime record in the postseason. I’m expecting the home side to go up early and I look for it to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn blares. Lay the price, play on Washington. Good luck…Larry |
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04-12-18 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -150 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Boston Bruins (7:00 EST). Game 1 of the best of 7 series and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. It’s payback time for Boston, as Toronto took three of four in the regular season. The Leafs send Frederik Andersen to the net and he finished 38-26 with a 2.81 GAA. Toronto’s achilles heel all season though has been its play on the road, where it’s just 20-21, averaging 3.24 goals and conceding 2.95 in those contests. Andersen has had considerable success against the Bruins throughout his career, going 10-1 with a 2.09 GAA, but I think that run ends this evening. The Bruins counter with Tuukka Rask, who is 34-19 with a 2.36 GAA this season. Boston went 28-13 at home and averaged 3.59 goals, while conceding 3.54 in those contests. Rask is 16-9 with a 2.14 GAA lifetime against the Leafs. I’ll point out as well that Toronto is just 16-42 in its last 48 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Boston is 4-1 (+3 units) in its last five when playing on three days rest. I’m banking on the “home ice” and “revenge” factors being the difference in the opener of this series. Lay the price, play on the Bruins. Good luck…Larry |
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04-07-18 | Islanders v. Red Wings -131 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -131 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Detroit Red Wings (7:00 EST). New York comes in off the 2-1 home win over the Rangers, while Detroit enters off a 4-3 home loss to the Habs. The Isles are 15-25 on the road this year, averaging 2.95 goals and conceding 3.45 in those contests. Goaltender Jaroslav Halak is 20-32 with a 3.19 GAA, including just 8-16 with a 3.17 GAA on the road. The Wings are 16-24 at home, averaging 2.48 goals and conceding 2.83 in those contests. Netminder Jimmy Howard is 22-36 with a 2.85 GAA on the year, including 15-19 with a 2.64 GAA at home. The Islanders have been horrible on the road and they come in off a satisfying victory over their main rival the Rangers. There’s no doubt that this sets up as a letdown spot for the visitors in this meaningless contest. Detroit comes in off a loss and would love nothing more than to give the home town fans a victory to end the season. I’m banking on the Red Wings being the much “hungrier” team tonight. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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04-06-18 | Blues -152 v. Blackhawks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the St. Louis Blues (8:30 EST). This is the second game of a home and home set and Chicago took the first one 4-3. Suffice it to say, I think it’s payback time for the Blues tonight. St. Louis has lost four in a row and it sits one game out of eighth spot in the Western Conference. This is a big game for the Blues. St. Louis averages 2.71 GPG and it concedes 2.70. Goaltender Jake Allen is 27-27 with a 2.74 GAA on the year, including 13-13 with a 2.83 GAA on the road. Chicago averages 2.88 GPG and it concedes 3.08. Netminder Jean-Francois Berube is 3-6 with a 3.84 GAA overall and 2-3 with a 3.10 GAA at home. I’ll point out as well that St. Louis is still 41-18 in its last 59 road games against a team with a losing home record, while Chicago is just 3-13 in its last 16 following a victory. While Chicago would love to play “spoiler,” I simply don’t think that’ll be enough motivation for the home side today. This is a “do or die” game for the Blues and I expect them to play like it. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion. Play on St. Louis. Good luck…Larry |
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04-05-18 | Penguins v. Blue Jackets -125 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:00 EST). Pittsburgh enters off a 3-1 home loss to Washington, while Columbus comes in off a 5-4 OT win at home over Detroit. These teams are in a fight for second place in the division, each coming in with 96 points. Clearly this is a big game for both teams, but I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real factor in this one. The Penguins have a “cream puff” at home against the Senators up next, so it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way also getting caught “looking ahead” to that one. Pittsburgh’s achilles heel all year has been its play on the road anyways, going just 16-24 away from friendly confines, allowing 2.9 goals and conceding 3.35 in those contests. Pens’ net minder Matt Murray is 26-19 with a 2.90 GAA on the year. Columbus is 26-14 at home, averaging 2.73 goals and conceding 2.3 in those contests. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is 37-27 with a 2.38 GAA this season. I’ll point out that Pittsburgh is just 13-14 (-5.1 units) this year after a divisional contest, while Columbus is 16-9 (+5.1 units) after allowing four goals or more. The Blue Jackets enter the final few games on top form, winners in 13 out of their last 15 and I look for them to ride that momentum to another solid victory against the Penguins at home. Great value, play on Columbus. Good luck…Larry |
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04-04-18 | Senators +111 v. Sabres | Top | 4-2 | Win | 111 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Ottawa Senators (7:30 EST). A couple of cellar dwellers go head-to-head in this one and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Senators. Ottawa is off a 6-5 home loss to Winnipeg, while Buffalo fell 5-2 at Toronto in its latest action. Ottawa averages 2.70 GPG and it concedes 3.46. Netminder Mike Condon is just 5-22 with a 3.25 GAA, including 3-15 with a 2.96 GAA on the road this season. Buffalo averages 2.38 GPG and it concedes 3.33. Goaltender Chad Johnson is 10-17 with a 3.41 GAA on the year, including just 4-10 with a 3.98 GAA at home. Both teams have just been downright horrible this year, which is why I’ll point out that Ottawa is 7-2 (+6.8 units) in its last nine after a loss in which it scored five goals or more in, while Buffalo is 13-25 (-10.4 units) this season against clubs with losing records. Play on Ottawa. Good luck…Larry |
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04-03-18 | Predators -125 v. Panthers | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Nashville Predators (7:30 EST). Nashville enters off a 4-1 road win over Tampa Bay, while Florida comes in off a tough and highly satisfying 3-2 win over Carolina just last night. Fatigue is a major issue at this time of the season and I think it will be the deciding factor in this matchup. Nashville comes in with a ton of momentum as well after hammering the Lightning 4-1 in Tampa Bay on Sunday. The Predators are road warriors, 24-15 away from friendly confines and averaging 3.03 goals and conceding 2.44 in those contests. Predators’ goaltender Pekka Rinne is 17-8 with a 2.07 GAA on the road. Florida is 23-14 at home, averaging 3.30 GPG and conceding 2.92 in those contests. Goaltender Roberto Luongo is 20-20 with a 3.00 GAA, including 11-6 with a 2.77 GAA at home. Note though that Nashville is 14-5 in its last 19 against teams with winning records and 18-6 in its last 24 when playing on one days rest, while Florida is a poor 5-16 in its last 21 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Nashville is playing for the President’s Cup right now, while the Panthers are on the cusp of being eliminated. As mentioned off the top, I think the home side comes in “flat” after last night’s victorious battle. Lay the price, play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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04-02-18 | Capitals v. Blues -140 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the St. Louis Blues (8:05 EST). I base my picks on many different things and for this one I’m basing it on scheduling. Washington will be putting its full focus onto the ice on Sunday night as it’s in Pittsburgh to take its top rival. St. Louis on the other hand will be looking to atone for an ugly 6-0 road loss at Arizona. Washington enters Sunday having gone 19-20 on the road, averaging 2.90 goals and conceding 3.38 in those contests. St. Louis though is 24-15 at home, averaging 2.77 goals and conceding 2.46. Braden Holtby is just 11-11 with a 4.00 GAA on the road this year for Washington, while Jake Allen is 14-10 with a 2.58 GAA at home for the St. Louis. St. Louis is in a dog fight for a playoff spot and I think the situational factors working in its favor tonight indeed make the Blues well worth the price of admission in this position. Play on St. Louis. Good luck…Larry |
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03-31-18 | Wild v. Stars +101 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 101 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Dallas Stars (8:00 EST). Minnesota posted a 4-2 home win over Dallas on Thursday. Suffice it to say, it’s payback time for the desperate Stars tonight. So for the Wild lead the season-series 2-1. The Wild broke a two-game slide with that victory, as Matt Dumba posted a goal and three assists. So far Minnesota averages 3.1 GPG, while conceding 2.8. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is 33-14-7 with a 2.56 GAA and a .917 save percentage. Dallas averages 2.8 GPG and it concedes 2.7. Kari Lehtonen is 13-14-3 with a 2.59 GAA. Tyler Seguin has been a bright spot offensively of late with five points in his last five games (and note that Seguin has six points in three games vs. the Wild.) Dallas is the more desperate team here, having lost nine of its last ten and I ultimately believe that’s going to be the difference maker here. Throw in the immediate “revenge factor” and the home ice advantage and in my opinion, this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Dallas. Good luck…Larry |
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03-30-18 | Blues v. Golden Knights -150 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Las Vegas Golden Knights (10:30 EST). The 48-22-4 Vegas Golden Knights are at St. Louis to take on the 43-28-5 Blues on Friday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one highly favors the home side. Vegas is coming off a 3-2 loss to Arizona, while the Blues enter off a highly satisfying 3-2 OT win over the Sharks. St. Louis has won six straight and looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion. I’ll point out as well that the Blues are a poor 1-5 in their last six road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Vegas is 4-1 in its last five after scoring two goals or less in its previous contest. I like Vegas to bounce back in this spot after its latest loss and all things considered, I do indeed feel this is a very fair price. Play on the Golden Knights. Good luck…Larry |
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03-27-18 | Flyers v. Stars -130 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Dallas Stars (8:30 EST). The 38-25-13 Philadelphia Flyers are in Dallas to take on the 38-30-8 Stars on Tuesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. It’s do or die time for Dallas, which comes in looking to snap an eight-game losing streak. Most recently the Stars fell 4-1 to Vancouver as a -200 favorite (I had the Canucks on the puck-line in that one.) Note that Philadelphia has earned points in five straight despite going just 2-3. With a tough game at Columbus tomorrow night (the team sitting a single game ahead of them in the Metropolitan standings), I absolutely believe that the visitors get caught “looking ahead” here. Clearly Dallas does not have that luxury. The Stars are enduring their worst losing streak ever since moving to Dallas and I expect the team to play with an extreme sense of desperation. I’ll point out as well that Philadelphia is a poor 12-15 (-4.4 units) this year after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest, while Dallas is 11-6 (+2.8 units) this season after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing. Note that the Stars also play with the added motivation of “revenge” tonight after falling 2-1 in OT in Philadelphia in mid December. All things considered, I feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Stars. Good luck…Larry |
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03-26-18 | Red Wings v. Canadiens -150 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Montreal Canadiens (7:30 EST). Detroit comes to town off a 4-3 road loss in Toronto, while Montreal enters off a 6-4 home setback to Washington. Two veterans square off in net tonight, with Jimmy Howard going for the Wings and Carey Price going for the Habs. Detroit is 13-25 on the road, averaging 2.56 goals and conceding 3.29 in those contests. Howard gave up four goals on 29 shots in the loss to the Leafs to fall to 19-35 with a 2.88 GAA this year, including going just 6-20 with a 3.05 GAA on the road. Montreal is 17-21 at home, averaging 2.79 goals and conceding 2.74 in those games. Price gave up six goals on 30 shots last time out to fall to 15-30 with a 3.10 GAA. Note that he’s 11-13 with a 2.80 GAA at home thus far. I’ll point out as well that Detroit is just 4-7 (-3.2 units) in its last 11 against teams with losing records, while Montreal is 6-4 (+2 units) in its last ten in the same position. These are two horrible teams, but the Canadiens are playing much better than the Wings right now and I expect Price to get the better of Howard with the home ice advantage. All things considered, I do indeed feel that Montreal is well worth the price of admission in this spot. Good luck…Larry |
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03-24-18 | Blackhawks v. Islanders -125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the New York Islanders (7:00 EST). Chicago comes to Long Island off a disheartening 5-2 home loss to Vancouver, while New York is off a 7-6 home setback to Tampa Bay. The Blackhawks come into this one having gone just 13-24 on the road, averaging 2.76 GPG and conceding 3.51 in those contests. Forsberg is expected to get the start in net tonight and he’s 9-19 with a 3.06 GAA on the year, including only 5-11 with a 3.63 GAA on the road. The Isles are 17-19 at home, averaging 3.53 GPG and conceding 3.78 in those games. Jaroslav Halak will get the call here and he’s 18-35 with a 3.27 GAA, including 11-15 with a 3.35 GAA at home. I’ll point out though that Chicago is just 5-10 (-5.4 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses, while New York is a solid 4-1 (+3.7 units) this season after playing three consecutive home games. Both teams have been horrible this year, but the Blackhawks have been an unmitigated disaster on the road. All things considered, I do definitely feel this is a fair price. Play on New York. Good luck…Larry |
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03-23-18 | Canadiens v. Sabres +101 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Buffalo Sabres (7:00 EST). The Habs enter off a 5-3 loss to the Pens on the road, while the Sabres come in off a 4-1 home loss to Arizona. Montreal starts Carey Price and Buffalo counters with either Chad Johnson or Linus Ullmark. Note that Montreal is just 9-28 on the road, averaging 2.19 goals and conceding 3.59 in those contests. Price gave up five goals last time out and he’s now 15-29 with a 3.03 GAA on the year, including only 4-17 with a 3.45 GAA on the road. Buffalo is 11-27 at home, averaging 2.26 goals and conceding 3.26 in those contests. Johnson is 8-15 with a 3.30 GAA, while Uilmark is 1-1 with a 2.40 GAA. I think home ice is the difference here between these two cellar dwellers. Ultimately I expect Price’s road struggles to continue and I look for whoever gets the start in Buffalo to do just enough to help secure the victory. Great price, play on the Sabres. Good luck…Larry |
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03-21-18 | Coyotes v. Sabres -120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* Situational Stunner on the Buffalo Sabres (7:00 EST). The Coyotes look poised for a letdown here after a 5-2 home win over the Flames, while the Sabres will be hungry for a victory after a humbling 4-0 home defeat to the Predators. Arizona averages just 2.40 GPG and it concedes 3.13. The Coyotes are only 9-24 on the road and have averaged only 2.39 goals in those contests, while conceding 3.42. Netminder Antti Raanta is 16-22 on the year with a 2.41 GAA, including 6-8 with a 2.70 GAA on the road. Buffalo averages 2.38 GPG and it concedes 3.25. The Sabres are just 11-26 at home, averaging 2.30 goals and conceding 3.24 in those contests. Goaltender Chad Johnson is 8-14 with a 3.27 GAA. I’ll point out though that the Coyotes are a terrible 13-38 in their last 51 after allowing two goals or less in their previous contest, while the Sabres are 6-0 in their last six following a loss by three or more goals. This is a tough road trip for the Coyotes. Both teams have been playing a bit better of late, but I think the conditions favor the home side. And there’s no question that the price is right as well. Play on Buffalo. Good luck…Larry |
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03-20-18 | Stars v. Capitals -144 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Washington Capitals (7:00 EST). Dallas comes to the nation’s capital off a 4-2 road loss in Winnipeg, while Washington most recently fell 6-3 in Philadelphia. Dallas is 14-22 on the road, averaging 2.50 goals and conceding 2.92 in those contests. Kari Lehtonen gave up three goals on 20 shots in the latest loss and he’s now 12-13 with a 2.46 GAA. Washington is 25-11 at home, averaging 3.33 goals and conceding 2.42 in those contests. Braden Holtby had the last game off, but he’s back in net here and looking to improve upon his 30-19, 3.03 GAA season record, including a solid 19-8, 2.36 GAA mark at home. I’ll point out that Dallas is just 8-20 in its last 28 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Washington is 16-5 in its last 21 after allowing five goals or more in its previous outing. The Stars have struggled on the road this year and now they face perhaps the best home team in the entire league, one which has its No. 1 goaltender back in net and which is also out to atone for a lacklustre performance in its previous outing. All things considered, I feel this price could in fact be a lot larger, swinging the value onto the home side. Lay the price, play on the Capitals. Good luck…Larry |
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03-19-18 | Panthers -140 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Florida Panthers (7:30 EST). Florida comes to town angry off a 4-2 home loss to Edmonton, while Montreal enters off another humbling 4-0 defeat to Toronto. The Panthers have been better at home than on the road, but I think they’ll bounce back after their latest defeat. Overall Florida averages 3.00 GPG and it concedes 3.09. Goaltender Roberto Luongo is 14-11 with a 2.63 GAA, including 4-6 with a 2.52 GAA on the road. Now five points out of the eighth spot in the East, clearly Florida can ill afford to “look past” this golden opportunity this evening. Montreal averages 2.50 GPG and it concedes 3.11. Netminder Antti Niemi is just 5-11 with a 3.26 GAA this year and only 1-5 with a 3.03 GAA lifetime against Florida. I’ll point out as well that the Panthers are 14-3 in their last 17 against teams with losing records (also 9-2 in their last 11 against Eastern Conference opponents), while Montreal is just 20-45 in its last 65 against clubs with winning records (and only 6-21 in its last 27 against the Eastern Conference.) Montreal has nothing to play for and I don’t think the motivation of “spoiler” comes into play here whatsoever. Florida however is desperate and I expect it to play like that tonight. All things considered I do indeed feel this is a great price. Play on the Panthers. Good luck…Larry |
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03-18-18 | Hurricanes v. Islanders -109 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the New York Islanders (5:00 EST). Carolina is off a disheartening 4-2 loss at home to Philadelphia just last night and suffice it to say, I’m expecting another letdown here as well. The Isles return home off a 6-3 road loss in the nation’s capital. Carolina is a terrible 14-21 on the road, averaging 2.74 goals in those games and conceding 3.29. Goaltender Scott Darling is 11-24 with a 3.08 GAA this year, including only 5-15 with a 3.16 GAA on the road. Note that over their last 13 games the Canes have allowed an average of 3.76 goals. New York is 16-17 at home, averaging 3.45 goals and conceding 3.76 in those contests. Jaroslav Halak is 18-29 with a 3.26 GAA, including 11-13 with a 3.34 GAA at home. I’ll point out that Carolina has done terribly in this spot all year for bettors by going just 15-23 (-10.1 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while New York has done decently in this position by going 13-9 (+5.2 units) this season following a divisional contest. The Isles will look to take advantage of a struggling and tired Carolina team. This one has blowout written all over it and in my professional opinion, it represents the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Islanders. Good luck…Larry |
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03-17-18 | Devils v. Kings -148 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -148 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* NHL Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the LA Kings (4:05 EST). New Jersey comes in off a highly satisfying 8-3 road win at Las Vegas, while LA enters off a 4-1 home victory over Detroit. The Devils are expected to send Keith Kinkaid to the net, while the home side will counter with Jonathan Quick. New Jersey is 18-17 on the road, averaging 3.06 GPG and conceding 3.09 in those contests. Kinkaid is 18-11 with a 2.95 GAA overall and 11-8 with a 3.15 GAA on the road. LA is 19-16 at home, averaging 2.89 goals and conceding 2.43 in those games. Quick stopped 20 of 21 shots in the win over the Wings to improve to 28-27 with a 2.41 GAA overall this season, including 14-14 with a 2.27 GAA at home. I’ll point out though that New Jersey is just 24-31 (-5.6 units) in its last 55 after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while LA is 19-14 (+6.3 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 14-9 (+3.7 units) after scoring four goals or more in its previous game. I think the Devils come out flat here after they avenged an earlier loss to Vegas, while LA builds off its latest home victory and finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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03-16-18 | Stars -138 v. Senators | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -138 | 24 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* NHL Las Vegas Insider is on the Dallas Stars (7:35 EST). Dallas comes in off a 6-5 shootout loss to Toronto on the road, while the Sens enter off a 7-4 road win over Tampa Bay (its second straight road victory.) Suffice it to say, I think this sets up as a classic letdown spot for Ottawa as it returns home. The Stars average 2.83 GPG and they concede 2.63. Goaltender Kari Lehtonen gave up five goals on 33 shots to the Leafs to fall to 12-12 with a 2.42 GAA this season, including 8-9 with a 2.13 GAA on the road. Dallas has been struggling offensively of late, so despite giving up five goals and losing in the shootout, the five goals it posted in defeat was still significant. Ottawa averages 2.77 GPG and it concedes 3.38. Craig Anderson gets the call in net and he’s 20-26 with a 3.24 GAA this year, including just 12-15 with a 3.34 GAA at home. I’m not reading too much into a couple of victories in a row for the Senators. Ottawa is a horrible team, especially at home. The Stars come in having lost three straight and they’ll be desperate to break the slide. Note that Dallas is already 3-0 (+3 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses. And that’s bad new for the Senators, who are just 7-15 (-6.4 units) this year after scoring four or more goals in their previous contest. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Stars. Good luck…Larry |
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03-15-18 | Blue Jackets v. Flyers -115 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Philadelphia Flyers (7:00 EST). Columbus comes in off a 5-2 home victory over Montreal, while Philadelphia will be eager to return to form after a 3-2 loss at home to Vegas. The Blue Jackets are just 14-20 on the road this year, averaging 2.65 goals in those contests and conceding 3.12. Sergei Bobrovsky earned the win over Montreal for Columbus and he’s now 30-26 with a 2.42 GAA overall and 13-15 with a 2.69 GAA on the road. The Flyers are 17-18 at home, averaging 2.83 goals in those games and allowing 2.86. Petr Mrazek took the fall against the Golden Knights to move to 12-15 with a 2.88 GAA overall and 3-7 with a 2.98 GAA at home. I’ll point out though that Columbus is already just 7-9 (-2.8 units) this season after a win by two goals or more, while Philadelphia is still 17-15 (+3.5 units) against teams with winning records. Desperation breeds motivation (the Flyers are just 1-6 in their last seven), while winning leads to complacency (the Blue Jackets have won five straight.) I’m banking on the Flyers finding a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Good luck…Larry |
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03-12-18 | Hurricanes -140 v. Rangers | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Carolina Hurricanes (7:05 EST). Carolina comes to town off a momentum building 3-2 road win in Chicago, while the Rangers enter off another deflating 4-3 shootout loss in Florida. Carolina averages 2.62 GPG and it concedes 2.99. Goaltender Cam Ward is 19-15 with a 2.70 GAA and while he’s just 13-20 against the Rangers lifetime, he does own a solid 2.59 GAA in those contests. The Rangers average 2.78 GPG and they concede 3.13. Goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is only 25-28 with a 2.92 GAA this year. I’ll point out though that Carolina has done well in this spot for bettors all year by going 14-9 (+1.7 units) against clubs with losing records, while New York is a poor 5-7 (-1.9 units) this season after three or more consecutive losses. I’m calling the goaltenders a wash, but Carolina’s momentum from its latest victory propels it to another solid victory in my opinion. New York’s spiral down the proverbial crapper continues and all things considered, this is indeed a very fair price. Play on Carolina. Good luck…Larry |
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03-11-18 | Stars v. Penguins -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (6:30 EST). Dallas held on for a 2-1 home win over the Ducks in its most recent action, while Pittsburgh enters off a 5-2 road loss in Toronto just last night. Dallas has gone 14-17 on the road this year and it’s averaged 2.52 goals in those contests, while conceding 2.77. Goaltender Kari Lehtnonen stopped 26 of 27 in the Stars’ most recent victory. Note that he’s 8-6 with a 1.81 GAA on the road thus far. Pittsburgh is 25-9 at home, averaging 3.63 goals in those contests, while conceding 2.74. Casey DeSmith will get the call in net tonight and he’s 3-4 with a 2.73 GAA in his rookie year, including going 2-2 with a solid 2.22 GAA at home. I’ll point out as well that Dallas is a sub-par 6-7 (-3.9 units) in its last 13 against teams with winning records, while Pittsburgh is 11-2 (+9 units) already this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. Yes the Penguins are playing on no rest, but I think they’re going to bounce back on home ice. Pittsburgh went down early last night and it seemed to “check out” early in anticipation of tonight’s game. I think it’ll bounce back here though and and come in focused on the task at hand. When you add it all up, it makes Pittsburgh well worth the price of admission in this matchup. Good luck…Larry |
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03-10-18 | Blues v. Kings -150 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -150 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Kings (4:00 EST). The 35-37-5 St. Louis Blues are in LA to take on the 37-25-5 Kings on Saturday and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the home side. St. Louis enters off a 2-0 loss in San Jose on Thursday night, while LA posted a 3-1 victory over the Capitals in its latest action. So far these teams have split a pair of meetings this year. The Blues average only 2.6 GPG, while conceding 2.7. Jake Allen has a 19-20-2, 2.79 GAA, while Carter Hutton owns a 2.02 GAA. The Kings average 2.9 GPG and they concede just 2.5. Goaltender Jon Quick is 26-24-2 with a 2.44 GAA. I’ll point out as well that St. Louis is 0-9 in its last nine against clubs with winning records, while LA is 4-0 in its last four against teams with losing records. The Blues have in fact lost nine of their last ten, averaging only 1.4 goals in that span. And that spells doom facing the defensive minded Kings in my opinion, as they’ve been particularly stingy of late by conceding two goals or fewer in four of their last five games. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion. Great value, play on LA. Good luck…Larry |
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03-09-18 | Flames -150 v. Senators | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Calgary Flames (7:35 EST). Calgary comes in off a 5-1 road win over the Sabres, while Ottawa comes in off a 4-3 shootout loss to the Bufflao just last night. The Flames’ most recent victory snapped a three-game slide and it has the team trending in the correct direction again. Calgary has in fact been better on the road than at home this year, going 19-16 and averaging 2.91 goals, while conceding 2.69 in those contests. The Flames are splitting time in goal right now between David Rittich and Jon Gillies. The Sens average 3.16 GPG at home, but unfortunately they concede 3.50 in those contests. Mike Condon gets the call in net for the home side tonight. I’ll point out that Calgary has performed very well in this spot for bettors for quite some time by going 11-3 in its last 14 road games against a team with a losing home record, while Ottawa is just 5-13 in its last 18 against the Western Conference. I like a rested and focused Calgary team to take advantage of this tired and downtrodden Ottawa side. Lay the price with confidence. Good luck…Larry |
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03-08-18 | Islanders v. Oilers -141 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Edmonton Oilers (9:05 EST). The 29-29-9 New York Islanders are in Edmonton to take on the 28-34-4 Oilers on Thursday and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the hungry home side. The Isles come in completely discombobulated after losing seven straight, most recently falling in Vancouver. The Oilers could care less about New York’s issues though, as they have plenty of their own. They won’t be taking anything for granted here either after breaking a three-game skid with an OT win over Arizona on Monday. The Islanders have to be feeling extra dejected after letting a two-goal lead evaporate in the 4-3 OT loss at Vancouver on Monday. Let’s face it, neither team has lived up to expectations whatsoever this year though. Each has more questions than answers right now as well. But from a scheduling stand point, this one highly favors Edmonton. The Oilers have a tough one against the Wild up next on Saturday night, while this is the third game of a four-game road trip for the Isles, who have two nights off before their finale in Calgary on Sunday. In my opinion, all of the situational factors listed above make the Oilers well worth the price of admission in this matchup. Good luck…Larry |
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03-07-18 | Penguins v. Flyers +101 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Philadelphia Flyers (8:00 EST). The 38-25-2-2 Pittsburgh Penguins are in Philadelphia to take on the desperate 34-21-5-6 Flyers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Pittsburgh comes in content and tired after back-to-back OT victories, most recently scoring the 4-3 win over Calgary on Monday. The Penguins average 3.24 GPG and they concede 3.00. Goaltender Tristan Jarry is 12-5-2 with a 2.69 GAA. Philadelphia sits just one game behind the Penguins after three straight losses. Goaltender Petr Mrazek is 11-9-4 with a 2.90 GAA. The Flyers come into this one averaging 2.95 GPG and conceding 2.83. Pittsburgh has two nights off before a prime time matchup on Saturday night in Toronto and I think it not only gets caught a little “flat footed” here after the back to back OT wins, but that it also gets caught looking ahead. I’m banking on the home side risking life and limb today getting into shooting and passing lanes as it finally gets back into the winners circle. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Good luck…Larry |
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03-06-18 | Jets -145 v. Rangers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Winnipeg Jets (7:00 EST). Winnipeg comes in off a gritty 3-2 road win over Carolina, while the Rangers enter off a 3-2 road victory over Edmonton. The Jets are 15-17 on the road, averaging 2.84 goals and conceding 2.78 in those contests. Overall Winnipeg averages 3.35 GPG and it allows 2.66. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 34-18 with a 2.40 GAA, including 11-11 with a 2.48 GAA on the road. The Rangers average 2.97 goals and allow 2.81 at home this season. Overall New York averages 2.82 GPG and it concedes 3.11. Goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is 16-11 with a 2.83 GAA on the year. I’ll point out though that the Jets are 8-2 in their last ten against teams with losing records and 30-14 in their last 44 when playing on one days rest, while the Rangers are just 12-19 (-5.5 units) this year against clubs with winning records. After three straight road wins, all signs point to a classic letdown for the overachieving Rangers. Winnipeg is fighting for playoff positioning and I expect it to take advantage in The Big Apple. Lay the price, play on the Jets. Good luck…Larry |
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03-04-18 | Blue Jackets v. Sharks -150 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -150 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the San Jose Sharks (9:00 EST). The 32-28-5 Columbus Blue Jackets are in San Jose to take on the 35-21-9 Sharks on Sunday and for a number of different reasons, I absolutely believe that the home side is worth the price of admission in this spot. Columbus enters off a 4-2 road loss to the Ducks, while San Jose cruised to a 7-2 win against Chicago in its latest action. And if recent history is any precedence, then the home side has to be loving its chances here as it would take the first meeting of the season between the clubs 3-1. The Blue Jackets’ achilles heel is on the offensive side of the puck, averaging just 2.6 GPG, ranked 29th in the league. Columbus is stout defensively by conceding 2.8 GPG, as goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is 27-21-5 with a 2.45 GAA. San Jose averages 2.9 GPG and it concedes 2.7. Netminder Martin Jones is 21-16-6 with a 2.50 GAA thus far. Note that Columbus is just 1-4 in its last five on the road, while San Jose is a perfect 4-0 in its last four in front of the home town crowd. The Sharks have been particularly potent offensively of late, averaging 4.2 GPG over their last ten home games. Columbus comes in concluding its Western swing, playing for a third time in four nights. This line could easily be a lot higher in my opinion, great value on the Sharks. Good luck…Larry |
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03-03-18 | Senators v. Coyotes -130 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Arizona Coyotes (8:00 EST). I base my picks on many different things and plain old “common sense” is one of them. No need to go into great detail for this one. Ottawa is a horrible team, which has done tremendously poor on the road. The Senators though come in off a 5-4 win at Las Vegas just last night and suffice it to say, there’s no question that this one sets up as a classic “letdown” spot for the visitors this evening. Arizona has also been a complete disaster overall this year, but the Coyotes come in playing their best hockey of the entire season with seven wins in their last ten outings, including a 5-3 victory over Minnesota in their most recent. And with an extended road trip through Canada starting on Monday, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side as well. All things considered, I feel this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Arizona. Good luck…Larry |
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03-02-18 | Canadiens v. Islanders -134 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -134 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the New York Islanders (7:05 EST). This is the second game of a home and home set between the clubs. The Habs took Game 1 at home 3-1 on Wednesday (I actually had Montreal in that one.) But with the shift in venue, I like the struggling Islanders to get some immediate payback tonight. Note that Montreal is 8-21 on the road, averaging 2.17 goals and conceding 3.48 in those contests. Goaltender Antti Niemi is now 4-8 with a 3.53 GAA on the year, including just 1-6 with a 4.43 GAA on the road. New York is 16-15 at home, averaging 3.48 GPG and conceding 3.58 in those games. Netminder Jaroslav Halak is 18-26 with a 3.18 GAA, including 11-12 with a 3.29 GAA at home. Christopher Gibson could be in net for the home side, and he was 18-11-1 with a 2.31 GAA with the Bridgeport Sound Tigers this year. I’ll point out though that Montreal is just 5-12 in its last 17 when playing one days worth of rest, while New York is 35-16 in its last 51 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. I think New York is the much “hungrier” team in this matchup and I look for it to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Good luck…Larry |
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03-01-18 | Penguins v. Bruins -128 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Boston Bruins (7:00 EST). Pittsburgh comes to town off a 3-2 home loss to New Jersey, while Boston enters off a 4-3 OT victory at home over Carolina. Pittsburgh’s achilles heel this year has clearly been its play on the road (just 13-19 away from friendly confines), where it’s averaged 2.81 GPG and conceded 3.13. Matt Murray is out with a concussion, meaning we’re going to see either Casey DeSmith, who gave up three goals on 38 shots in the Penguins setback to the Devils (note that he’s 1-2 with a 2.48 GAA on the road), or Tristan Jarry, who is 4-4 with a 2.35 GAA on the road. Boston’s strength this season has been its play at home where it’s gone 20-11 while averaging 3.26 GPG and conceding just 2.39 (No. 1 in the league.) Netminder Tuukka Rask is 24-15 with a 2.23 GAA overall on the year, including 16-7 with a 1.99 GAA at home. I think it’s significant to note as well that Pittsburgh is 0-4 in its last four trips to Boston, while the Bruins are 13-3 in their last 16 when playing on one days rest. The Penguins have struggled on the road all year and they’re without their No. 1 goaltender for this one. After winning six straight, Pittsburgh has now dropped two in a row and I predict that slide to continue for at least one more game. In my professional opinion, this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Boston. Good luck…Larry |
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02-28-18 | Islanders v. Canadiens -107 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Montreal Canadiens (7:00 EST). This is the first game of a home and home set and as such, I’m expecting the struggling home side to risk life and limb to secure a much-needed victory. New York comes to town off a 2-1 loss to New Jersey, while the Habs fell 1-0 at home in a shootout to Philadelphia in their most recent action. The Isles are 13-19 on the road, averaging 3.00 GPG and conceding 3.50 in those contests. Jaroslav Halak is 18-25 with a 3.18 GAA, including just 7-13 with a 3.06 GAA on the road. The Canadiens are 15-18 at home, averaging 2.79 goals and conceding 2.67 in those contests. Goaltender Antti Niemi is 3-8 with a 3.76 GAA this year. Note though that he’s 2-2 with a 2.88 GAA in front of the home town crowd. I’ll also point out that New York is just 1-3 (-2 units) in its last four after three or more consecutive losses, while Montreal is 4-1 in its last five home games against teams with a losing road record. The Habs are competing right now, with back-to-back extra time losses and I believe that hard work will finally translate into a win for the home side. Great price, play on Montreal. Good luck…Larry |
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02-27-18 | Predators v. Jets -119 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -119 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT is on the Winnipeg Jets (8:00 EST). Nashville looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its 4-0 home win over St. Louis. Winnipeg returns home looking to build off its 5-3 road win over Dallas. The Predators enter averaging 3.13 GPG and conceding 2.46. Goaltender Pekka Rinne is 32-13 with a 2.27 GAA overall this season. The Jets average 3.28 GPG and they concede 2.65. Connor Hellebuyck is 32-17 with a 2.32 GAA this year and he’s 22-6 with a 2.18 GAA at home. I’ll point out though that Nashville is a poor 3-5 (-3.1 units) this season after shutting out its opponent in its previous game, while Winnipeg is 8-4 (+2.4 units) in its last 12 against clubs with winning records. The Jets have been better at home than on the road this year, averaging a whopping 3.82 GPG in Winnipeg. I’m going to call the goaltenders a “wash” in this one, but I think the value swings to the Jets at home here. Good luck…Larry |
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02-26-18 | Flyers -119 v. Canadiens | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Philadelphia Flyers (7:35 EST). Philadelphia enters off a 5-3 road win over Ottawa and it’s now won five in a row and nine of its last ten. Montreal has struggled this season and it enters off a disheartening 4-3 home shootout loss to Tampa Bay. The Flyers come into this one averaging 3.02 GPG, while conceding 2.79. Goaltender Petr Mrazek, who stopped 25 of 28 in the win over the Senators, is now 10-10 with a 2.81 GAA, including 8-6 with a 2.71 GAA on the road. Philadelphia is in a dog fight with Pittsburgh and Washington for top spot in the East, with just a single game separating the teams. The Habs average 2.54 GPG and they concede 3.10. Goaltender Antti Niemi fell to 3-8 with a 3.76 GAA. Montreal is arguably the worst team in the league right now and after throwing everything it had against the Lightning in its latest setback, I think a predictable letdown is on deck here as well. Philadelphia though won’t be taking anything for granted as it tries to make up ground among the leaders in the East. All things considered, I feel this is a great price. Good luck…Larry |
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02-25-18 | Sharks v. Wild -145 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Minnesota Wild (8:05 EST). San Jose enters off a 3-1 road loss in Chicago, while Minnesota comes in off a 4-1 road win at New York. So far the Sharks average just 2.55 GPG, while allowing 2.62 on the road this season (just a 16-17 record away from friendly confines.) Goaltender Martin Jones is 19-21 with a 2.52 GAA this year, including 8-13 with a 2.56 GAA on the road. Note that he’s 2-5 with a 2.49 GAA lifetime against Minnesota. The Wild have gone 20-11 at home and have averaged 3.13 GPG there, while conceding just 2.16. Netminder Devan Dubnyk is 25-16 with a 2.57 GAA overall this year, including 15-8 with a 2.17 GAA at home. Additionally I’ll point out that San Jose is just 2-10 in its last 12 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Minnesota is 8-3 in its last 11 against a team with a winning record. The Sharks offense has stalled of late, scoring just two goals over its last two games. And that doesn’t bode well in my opinion facing a Wild team which has conceded just 2.16 GPG at home this season. Also note that the home team is 20-8 the last 28 in this series. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion. Great value, play on the Wild. Good luck…Larry |
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02-24-18 | Ducks -145 v. Coyotes | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -145 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* WEST-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Anaheim Ducks (8:00 EST). The 31-20 Anaheim Ducks are at Arizona to take on the 17-33 Coyotes on Saturday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visiting side. Anaheim comes in on top form as it’s won four straight, most recently getting the better of Dallas 2-0 on Wednesday. Goaltender Ryan Miller stopped 41 shots in the impressive performance: “We recognize where the season is at,” Miller assessed. “Our game has been pretty good. We had a couple tough outings on the road and then we kind of got it together. It’s been consistent for the last two weeks.” After winning four straight, the Coyotes came back down to Earth in a 5-2 setback to Calgary on Thursday. Derek Stepan was a bright in the losing cause with his 11th goal of the year. I’ll point out though that Anaheim is 11-5 in its last 16 against teams with losing records, while Arizona is only 9-22 at home this season and just 11-27 in its last 38 against the Pacific division. The Ducks come in firing on all cylinders across the board right now (note that they’ve killed off 19 of their last 20 penalties) and they’ve taken eight of the last nine in this series. No letdown here, as I fully expect Anaheim to take advantage of this favorable matchup. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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02-23-18 | Sharks v. Blackhawks -123 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Chicago Blackhawks (8:35 EST). I base my picks on many different things and “scheduling” and “common sense” are two factors which I always take into account. No need to overthink this one in my opinion, as I believe the Sharks come in “gassed” here after their humbling 7-1 defeat in Nashville last night. Struggling Chicago will look to take advantage of this opportunity and to build off its 3-2 shootout win at home over the Senators. So far the Sharks average 2.90 GPG, while conceding 2.67. Martin Jones is expected between the pipes tonight and he’s so far 19-20 with a 2.53 GAA this season. Chicago averages 2.82 GPG and it concedes 2.85. Netminder Anton Forsberg stopped 32 of 34 shots in the win over Ottawa to improve to 7-15 with a 2.90 GAA this year. The Blackhawks have in fact won two of their last three and I don’t think we have to question their focus or motivation levels this evening. Last night’s loss for San Jose snapped a three-game slide and in my opinion, this sets up as a classic let-down/trap for the visitors. Great value, play on Chicago. Good luck…Larry |
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02-22-18 | Blue Jackets +106 v. Flyers | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:00 EST). Columbus enters off a 2-1 road win over New Jersey, while the Flyers scored in the final minute of third period against the Habs to force the OT frame and they’d then go on to score the 3-2 victory in their latest action. Columbus averages 2.55 GPG and it concedes 2.73. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 31 shots in this team’s latest win, to improve to 25-24 with a 2.46 GAA on the year. Note that Bobrovsky has routinely been at his best as well whenever he’s faced the Flyers throughout his career, going 9-3 with a 1.81 GAA. Philadelphia averages 3.00 GPG and it concedes 2.82. Alex Lyon was in net for the latest victory, stopping 25 of 27 shots to move to 2-1 with a 2.88 GAA. Petr Mrazek could get the start in net tonight though and he’s gone 1-4 with a 2.79 GAA against the Blue Jackets lifetime. I give Bobrovsky the big nod in net in this matchup and for me, that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in favor of the underdogs tonight. Great value, play on Columbus. Good luck…Larry |
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02-20-18 | Blue Jackets -101 v. Devils | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (7:00 EST). The 29-25-1-4 Columbus Blue Jackets are in New Jersey to take on the 31-20-4-4 Devils on Tuesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Columbus comes in motivated after dropping its third straight, most recently a listless 5-2 setback at home to the Penguins on Sunday. Columbus actually outshot Pittsburgh 37-23, but goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky was uncharacteristically shaky in that one, making 18 saves in the sub-par performance. Bobrovsky is now 24-19-5 with a 2.49 GAA (note that he’s 12-5-1 lifetime against the Devils as well.) The Blue Jackets average 2.56 GPG and allow 2.80. The Devils average 2.98 GPG and they concede 3.00. Goaltender Keith Kinkaid had 40 saves in his team’s most recent win over the Hurricanes. Note that Kincaid is 0-2-0 with a 4.27 GAA against Columbus though, while Eddie Lack is 2-3-0 on the year with a 3.24 GAA, while going 1-3-0 with a 3.68 GAA for his career against the Blue Jackets. Additionally I’ll point out that Columbus is 13-6 (+4.9 units) already this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing, while New Jersey is already a poor 3-5 (-2.7 units) this year after a three-game unbeaten streak. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the Blue Jackets. Good luck…Larry (MLB 2018 REMINDER: After more than 30 years as a professional handicapper, Larry has finished among the “World’s best” in every major North American sport several times. Major League Baseball has been no exception. In fact, over the last three years Ness is ranked as the No. 1 MLB handicapper in the entire World! Note that Larry has banked $35,083 in profits over the last three regular seasons combined (know anyone that’s done better?!) 2017 saw Larry post over +$10,000 units in the regular season and then he’d also go on to go a spectacular 18-8-1 +$8,530 in the playoffs, for a total of $18,538! And now 2018 has the potential to be the BIGGEST season of them all!) |
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02-19-18 | Wild -111 v. Islanders | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Minnesota Wild (1:05 EST). Minnesota enters off a 3-2 shootout loss at home to Anaheim, while New York is off a 3-0 road win over Carolina. The Wild come into this one averaging 2.91 GPG, while conceding 2.83. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is 23-15 with a 2.62 GAA this season. The Islanders average 3.28 GPG and they concede 3.55. Netminder Jaroslav Halak is 18-33 with a 3.17 GAA so far this year. The Isles come in off consecutive 3-0 shutout wins over the Rangers and Carolina, but with two nights off before an extended road trip, I believe that the home side suffers a classic letdown in this trap situation. Minnesota though won’t be leaving anything to chance after closing a five game home stand by going 2-3, including dropping the final two. This is the opener of a tough three-game Eastern swing and I believe the Wild catch the Isles at the right place and the right time. I like Dubnyk to get the better of Halak and all things considered, I do indeed feel this is a very fair price. Play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
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02-18-18 | Stars v. Sharks -105 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE YEAR is on the San Jose Sharks (8:05 EST). The 34-20-4 Dallas Stars are in San Jose to take on the 31-19-8 Sharks on Sunday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Dallas looks poised for a letdown here as it’s won six of its last seven, most recently getting the better of St. Louis on Friday. San Jose also comes in on a streak having won three of its last four, most recently beating the Canucks on Thursday. After getting smashed 6-0 by Vancouver, the Stars would hold on for dear life in the 2-1 victory over the Blues. Dallas has 173 goals so far on the year and it’s allowed 150 thus far. Goaltenders Kari Lehtonen and Ben Bishop have both played well so far this year. Martin Jones made 43 saves for the Sharks in their 4-1 win over Vancouver. So far San Jose has posted 166 goals and allowed 156. I think it’s important to note that San Jose is fourth on the power-play this year (22.9 percent) and it’s No. 1 on the penalty kill with an 84.5 percent success rate. This is a revenge game for the Sharks, who fell 6-0 to the Stars on December 31st. In fact, Dallas has won four of the last five meetings overall. However note that the home team has won the last four meetings between the clubs. This is an important game of San Jose, which embarks on a tough five game road swing on Tuesday. Dallas has played three straight at home and gone 2-1 in that span, but with tough games upcoming in Anaheim and LA, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way getting caught looking ahead to those difficult contests on the horizon. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on San Jose. Good luck…Larry |
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02-15-18 | Hurricanes v. Devils -100 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* NHL GAME OF THE WEEK is on the New Jersey Devils (7:05 EST). Carolina comes in off a very satisfying 7-3 home win over LA, while the Devils also enter off a victory, managing a tough 5-4 shootout result on the road over Philadelphia. The Hurricanes average 2.72 GPG and they concedes 2.91. Goaltender Cam Ward stopped 27 of 30 shots in Carolina’s latest win and he’s now 17-10 with a 2.60 GAA. New Jersey averages 2.93 GPG and it concedes 3.04. Netminder Keith Kinkaid stopped 31 of 35 shots in the victory over the Flyers to move him to 11-9 with a 3.31 GAA (note that Kinkaid is 4-2 with a 2.80 GAA at home.) Additionally I’ll point out that this is a spot in which Carolina has been terrible in for a long time, going 14-38 in its last 52 road games against a team with a winning home record, while New Jersey has excelled in this spot for bettors by going 7-3 in its last 11 home games against a team with a losing road record and 7-3 in its last ten following a victory. Note as well that Ward is 12-19 with a 2.60 GAA lifetime against New Jersey, while Kinkaid is 4-1 with a 1.55 GAA in his career against Carolina. I think we’re getting fantastic value on the hungry home side in this matchup. Good luck…Larry (MLB REMINDER: After more than 30 years as a professional handicapper, Larry has finished among the “World’s best” in every major North American sport several times. Major League Baseball has been no exception. In fact, over the last three years Ness is ranked as the No. 1 MLB handicapper in the entire World! Note that Larry has banked $35,083 in profits over the last three regular seasons combined (know anyone that’s done better?!) 2017 saw Larry post over +$10,000 units in the regular season and then he’d also go on to go a spectacular 18-8-1 +$8,530 in the playoffs, for a total of $18,538! And now 2018 has the potential to be the BIGGEST season of them all!) |
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02-13-18 | Blues v. Predators -150 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* LEGEND is on the Nashville Predators (8:00 EST). Both teams come into this one having split their last four games. St. Louis comes to town off a 4-1 loss to Pittsburgh. Backup goaltender Carter Hutton is expected in net tonight for the visitors. He’s 15-5-1 overall and he’s won five of his last six coming in. It’s true that the Predators had to play to OT in all four of their contests during their recent road swing, but I think they’ll build off their latest 3-2 shootout win over the Habs. Pekka Rinne will get the nod in net for the home side. Rinne had a sizeable win streak snapped in Toronto, before he then got back into the win column in Montreal. I have been a professional handicapper for over 34 years now and I use many different techniques and/or systems when making my selections. Neither team has an advantage from a “scheduling” stand point in my opinion, but there’s no question that this one favors the Preds as far as the “trends” are concerned. As note that St. Louis is 0-7 in its last seven in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation, while Nashville is a near perfect 5-1 (+3.5 units) this year after playing three or more consecutive road games. St. Louis is also 0-6 in its last six trips to Nashville. I give the nod to the Predators in net as well. All of these factors combine to make this a price in which I have no issues at all in laying. Play on Nashville. Good luck…Larry |
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02-11-18 | Flames v. Islanders +102 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on the New York Islanders (7:05 EST). The 28-19-9 Calgary Flames are in Long Island to take on the 27-23-6 Islanders on Sunday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Calgary comes in off a 4-3 loss to the Rangers, while New York enters off a 7-6 OT win over Detroit on Friday. The Flames have been “road warriors” all season long, but they looked “gassed” in the third period against the Rangers. Entering that frame with a 3-2 lead they’d end up giving up two goals and eventually succumbed 4-3 in the end. Mike Smith is expected between the pipes tonight and he’s 22-16-6 with a 2.54 GAA thus far. Calgary enters averaging 2.8 GPG and conceding 2.8 as well. New York averages 3.4 GPG, while conceding 3.7. Jaroslav Halak is 17-16-4 with a 3.23 GAA thus far. Of note, rookie Mathew Barzal had five assists in the Isles most recent victory. Additionally I’ll point out that the Flames are already a poor 2-4 (-2.4 units) this season after playing three consecutive home games, while the Islanders are 42-35 (+8.6 units) in their last 77 after allowing four goals or more in their previous contest. This is Calgary’s third game in four nights on the road and suffice it to say, I think this absolutely sets up as a letdown spot after its disappointing setback to the Rangers. Conversely, the struggling Isles won’t be taking anything for granted after their recent stretch of shoddy play. That said, they’ll be encouraged after their latest victory. All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Islanders. Good luck…Larry |
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02-10-18 | Avalanche v. Hurricanes -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Carolina Hurricanes (8:00 EST). The 29-20 Colorado Avalanche are in Carolina to take on the Hurricanes on Saturday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Carolina comes in off a 2-1 OT loss to Philadelphia on Tuesday, while Colorado was smashed 6-1 by St. Louis in its latest action. The Avs average 3.2 GPG and concede 2.9. Goaltender Semyon Varlamov owns a 2.89 GAA, while Jon Bernier owns a 2.69 GAA. Carolina plays with revenge here after falling 5-3 to Colorado earlier in the year. The Avs haven’t been playing very well lately though, dropping five of their last seven, still playing without leading scorer Nathan MacKinnon. Carolina averages 2.6 GPG and it concedes 3.00. Carolina is in action against Vancouver on Friday night, but regardless of the outcome in that one, I think the home side is going to find a way to get the job done against this very inconsistent Avs team. Additionally I’ll point out that Colorado is interestingly just 3-10 in its last 13 road games against a team with a losing home record, while Carolina is 5-0 in its last five against a team with a road winning percentage below .400. Colorado has managed only 2.0 GPG over its last seven games without McKinnon in the line-up, which clearly doesn’t bode well facing this Hurricanes team which going into Friday night has given up just ten goals over its last five games. All things considered, a great price, play on Carolina. Good luck…Larry |
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02-09-18 | Penguins v. Stars -105 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Dallas Stars (8:30 EST). The 30-22 Pittsburgh Penguins are in Dallas to take on the 31-19 Stars and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Pittsburgh rallied for a 5-4 win over Vegas on Tuesday, while Dallas comes in off a 4-2 win at Chicago last night. The Penguins enter this one averaging 3.00 GPG and conceding 3.00 GPG as well. Matt Murray owns an 18-12-1 record to go along with a 2.97 GAA. Phil Kessel had a goal and an assist in his teams victory over Vegas. Dallas averages 3.00 GPG and it concedes 2.6. Whoever the Stars decide to go with tonight, I’m giving the home side the big nod in net. Note that Kari Lehtonen owns a 2.22 GAA this year, while Ben Bishop has a 2.44 GAA. Additionally I’ll point out that Pittsburgh is just 7-15 in its last 22 on the road, wile Dallas is 19-8 in its last 27 at home. Dallas is averaging 3.4 GPG over its last ten, which doesn’t bode well for a Pittsburgh team which has allowed 11 goals over its last three. Finally note that the Stars have been particularly sharp on the defensive side of late, allowing only five goals over their last four games. Great price, play on Dallas. Good luck…Larry |
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02-08-18 | Canadiens v. Flyers -140 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Philadelphia Flyers (7:00 EST). The Habs come into this one off a 4-1 home win over Ottawa, while the Flyers enter off a 2-1 road victory in Carolina. Montreal comes into this one averaging 2.58 GPG, while conceding 3.06. Goaltender Carey Price stopped 25 of 26 shots in the victory over the Senators. Price is 15-23 with a 2.92 GAA this season, including just 4-12 with a 3.23 GAA on the road. Philadelphia averages 2.87 GPG and it concedes 2.85. Netminder Brian Elliot stopped 27 of 28 shots in the win over Carolina to move to 20-18 with a 2.71 GAA this year. Note that Elliot is 6-4 with a 2.89 GAA lifetime against the Canadiens as well. Montreal has struggled in many facets of the game this year, but note that it’s had a hell of a time whenever it’s played in Philadelphia the last few seasons, going just 5-16 in its last 21 trips there. The Flyers look to take advantage of that lop-sided trend and to also improve upon their 10-4 record over their last 14 games when playing on just one days rest. Philadelphia remains in a dog-fight for the seventh seed in the East and it absolutely won’t be taking anything for granted here. I’m banking on Elliot outplaying Price as well and all things considered, I do indeed feel this is a very fair price. Play on the Flyers. Good luck…Larry |
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02-07-18 | Oilers v. Kings -123 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Kings (10:30 EST). Edmonton looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its 6-2 home win over Tampa Bay. LA will look to take advantage and to build off its 6-0 home victory over the lowly Coyotes. Edmonton averages 2.78 GPG and it concedes 3.18. Cam Talbot is 19-19 with a 3.18 GAA, including 7-9 with a 3.06 GAA on the road. Note that he’s just 4-7 with a 3.00 GAA lifetime against the Kings as well. LA averages 2.81 GPG and it concedes 2.42. Goaltender Jon Quick is 20-20 with a 2.51 GAA, including 9-10 with a 2.36 GAA at home. Note that Quick is 21-8 with a 1.77 GAA lifetime against the Oilers. Additionally I’ll point out that the Oilers are just 7-17 in their last 24 following a victory, while LA is 7-3 in its last ten home against against a team with a losing road record. The Kings are the No. 2 defensive team in the league and they’ve been particularly tough at home. Edmonton is playing better, but its Achilles Heel all year has been its play on the road. All things considered, I believe this line could in fact be a lot larger. Great value, play on LA. Good luck…Larry |
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02-06-18 | Wild v. Blues -143 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -143 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the St. Louis Blues (8:00 EST). The 28-19-5 Minnesota Wild are in St. Louis to take on the 32-19-3 Blues and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Minnesota enters off a 6-1 loss to Dallas on Saturday, while St. Louis comes in off a 1-0 victory over Buffalo in its most recent action. So far these teams have split a pair of games this year, with the Wild winning the most recent, 2-1 in OT. The Wild average 2.9 GPG and they concede 2.9 as well. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is 20-10-3 with a 2.66 GAA. Despite the blowout loss in its last outing, Minnesota has been playing better of late by going 6-2-2 in its last ten. But I still don’t think it’ll be enough here against the Blues at home. St. Louis averages 2.8 GPG and it concedes 2.5. Carter Allen has been fantastic in net, going 14-4-1 with a 1.61 GAA this season, while Jake Allen is 18-15-2 with a 2.72 GAA. I’ll point out as well that Minnesota is just 33-71 in its last 104 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Blues are 5-1 in their last six after scoring two or fewer goals in their previous outing. St. Louis has been particularly tough on the defensive end of the ice of late, allowing just 12 goals over its last eight games. And that doesn’t bode well for Minnesota, which has conceded 16 goals over its last four. Finally note that the Wild are just 10-15 on the road this year, while the Blues have won five of the last six in this series in front of the home town crowd. This line could easily be a lot larger in my professional opinion. Great value, play on St. Louis. Good luck…Larry |
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02-05-18 | Lightning -135 v. Oilers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -135 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Tampa Bay Lightning (9:00 EST). Tampa comes in off a 4-2 road win over Vancouver and it’ll look to close out its eight-game road trip with one last victory. Edmonton comes into this one off a 4-3 home loss to Colorado in OT and I think it’ll struggle against this determined Lighting team. The Lightning have won five of their last six and are now 19-11 on the road. Tampa averages 3.56 GPG and it concedes 2.54. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskly is 15-7 with a 1.96 GAA on the road. Edmonton averages 2.72 GPG and it concedes 3.20. Cam Talbot is 18-19 with a 3.14 GAA on the year, including only 11-10 with a 3.19 GAA at home. So far the Oilers are just 11-15 in Edmonton, averaging 2.65 goals and allowing 3.54 in those contests. Additionally I’ll point out that Tampa is 23-7 in its last 30 when playing on one days rest, while the Oilers are just 20-45 in their last 65 when playing on three or more days rest. For all the reasons listed above, play on Tampa Bay. Good luck…Larry |
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