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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-24-22 | Blues v. Flames -135 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* FLAMES (GOW) St. Louis has been playing really well this year. It's won 8 of 10, including 3 straight. But because this is the opener of a home and home set, I really like the Flames to dig deep here and deliver in friendly confines. This is the first matchup of the year between the teams. Calgary though is desperate after dropping 7 of its last 10. It broke a 4 game slide with a 5-1 win over Florida, then 3 nights later fell 5-3 at Edmonton. The Flames will actually play at Columbus before their rematch in St. Louis on the 27th, but regardless Calgary is 5-1 in its last 6 off a road loss in which it allowed 5 or more goals in. I say Calgary digs deep and delivers in this crucial game; so lay this reasonable price! AAA Sports |
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01-23-22 | Blues -153 v. Canucks | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
8* BLUES (EXPRESS) St. Louis is 24-11-5, while Vancouver is 18-18-4. The Blues enter off a relatively simple 5-0 win at Seattle. They've now scored 3 or more goals in 7 of their last 9 games. They rank 7th in goals against as well. The Canucks come in on the other end of the spectrum, losers of 4 of their last 6. They've scored 2 goals or less in 6 of their last 9 games. They rank 10th overall defensively, but their lack of offensive punch is the issue here. Look for the streaking Blues to take advantage; lay the price! AAA Sports |
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01-13-22 | Penguins v. Kings +133 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 133 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
Kings (10* NON-CONF GOM) Pittsburgh has played great this year. It comes to LA with only one loss in its last 12 games. The Penguins concede 2.46 GPG. But the feisty Kings have won 2 in a row and 4 of their last 5. LA has also been fantastic defensively, ranked fourth overall on that end of the ice. Evgeni Malkin is back for Pittsburgh, and that'll help out the Penguins in the second half of the season and in the playoffs. But LA is off a great 3-1 win over a red hot Rangers team and I expect a similar defensive effort here on home ice. I say the Pens get classically caught looking ahead to their final road games at San Jose and Vegas. A great spot bet on the undervalued underdog home side! AAA Sports |
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01-06-22 | Panthers v. Stars +103 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 103 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
10* DALLAS STARS. Florida is 18-3 at home, but only 4-4-1 on the road. Dallas is 4-9 on the road, but 11-3-1 at home. "Home ice" has meant EVERYTHING to these clubs and I expect that trend to continue in a big way here! With a red hot Pittsburgh team coming to town nexts, the Stars can't afford to look past the Panthers today. Dallas enters off B2B home wins, most recently a convincing 7-4 victory over Minnesota (Dallas is 6-2 in its last eight after scoring 6 or more goals in a win in its previous outing as well.) Florida opened its 4-game homestand with 2 straight losses, but it's since won 4 in a row at home, most recently a 6-2 win over Calgary. But with a game at division rival Carolina on Saturday, this does 100% for sure set up as a "look ahead" spot for the visiting side. It's a great set of situtional and stat based evidence that leads to our one and only 10* top underdog play of the year! AAA Sports |
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12-31-21 | Oilers -147 v. Devils | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -147 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* on EDMONTON Heading into 2022, the Oilers aren’t exactly in what we’d call a “great” position (they are 4th in the Pacific), but they are a lot better off than the Devils, one of the worst teams in the league. While the Devils did win on Wednesday, that’s rare. They’d previously lost six in a row before defeating Buffalo 4-3. It’s been 23 days since New Jersey won a home game. They aren’t going to win this one; they face Edmonton, who has Connor McDavid. McDavid is having an all-time great season, leading the league in assists and points. Counting last season’s playoffs, McDavid has 159 points in 2021. That’s the most points by a player in a single calendar year since Jaromir Jagr turned in 164 back in 1999. We look for McDavid to be the difference-maker again for Edmonton this afternoon as they look to bounce back from Wednesday’s loss to the Blues. The Oilers are 18-5 their last 23 games vs. teams from the Metropolitan Division and they are 17-7 their last 24 games as a road favorite. As for New Jersey, they’ve lost each of the previous four times they’ve been off a win. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
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12-20-21 | Wild v. Stars -112 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DAL At the start of December, both of these Central Division teams were playing well. Minnesota had an eight-game win streak that was the third longest in team history. Dallas was on a seven-game run of its own. But then things went south for the Stars as they lost five in a row, their longest losing streak since 2014. That streak is now over following Saturday’s emotional OT win over the Blackhawks where the team overcame a scary injury to Tanner Kero, who had to be stretchered off the ice. While three power play goals were the key to victory for Dallas, they outshot Chicago 39-23 and probably should have won that game in regulation. On the other hand, there was no sugarcoating how poorly Minnesota played in a 3-2 loss to Buffalo on Thursday, even though the game went to a shootout. The Wild allowed 40 shots on goal as they lost for a third straight time. After winning eight in a row, it’s now been 11 days since the Wild won a game as they’ve also dealt with two postponements during that stretch. Tough to get into a rhythm when you’re dealing with unexpected time off. The Stars have had this game circled ever since taking a 7-2 loss in the Twin Cities last month. Look for them to send Minnesota to its fourth straight defeat. Play on DALLAS AAA |
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12-16-21 | Golden Knights -171 v. Devils | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VEGAS Vegas goes for its third win in a row tonight as they pay a visit to New Jersey. While the Golden Knights are in solid shape right now, the Devils are not. The home team has lost seven of eight as well as three in a row. The Devils have given up 10 goals in the last two games while the Golden Knights have scored 10 goals in the last two games. New Jersey has lost 11 of the 15 times they’ve faced a team with a winning record. The Knights are 17-11 with 34 points and now is the time to make a move in the division with the two Alberta teams both struggling. Lots of illness right now with the Devils, COVID and non-COVID, and to add insult to injury they’ve allowed short-handed goals in each of the last two games. Vegas has no problems scoring. They’ve tallied 28 goals in the last six games. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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12-15-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Ducks -147 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ANAHEIM Not many expected to see the Anaheim Ducks leading the Pacific Division, but here we are in mid-December and the team has 37 points, which has them on top. The Ducks are coming off a successful five-game road trip out East. Their only loss in the last four games was 1-0 to Pittsburgh. Now five of the team’s last eight games have gone past regulation. But the 1-0 loss to the Pens is the only time the Ducks have been beaten in regulation during that stretch. It should be an easy two points tonight when the Ducks host the expansion Kraken. As you probably expected, the Kraken have struggled in their maiden season. They are last in the Pacific Division and are allowing the second most goals per game in the league. This is a rare chance to fade Seattle off a win as they played last night and beat San Jose 3-1. Fading this team off a win seems like a sound idea, especially when they’re not rested. This is the first time all season that the Kraken have been in that situation. Seattle has multiple players out with COVID, one of them top line center Yanni Gourde. The Ducks are simply a better team than the Kraken, which they already proved once with a 7-4 win up in Seattle last month. Play on ANAHEIM. AAA |
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12-09-21 | Red Wings v. Blues -162 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 7* on STL The Red Wings are currently in fourth place in the Atlantic Division with 29 points. But there’s a seven-point gap between them and the top three teams in the division (Florida, Toronto, Tampa Bay). Not only do we not expect Detroit to catch those teams, they are quite likely to take a tumble down the standings. Look no further than their -10 goal differential as reason for that line of thinking. The Red Wings have been a pretty lucky team recently. During a five-game win streak, which is now over, they had four one-goal wins and three of those required overtime or a shootout. The win streak ended with a 5-2 loss to Nashville on Tuesday. Expect another loss in St. Louis tonight. The Blues lost in Detroit 4-2 back on November 24th, so they’re out for revenge. After four hard-fought games against Tampa Bay and Florida (played both teams twice), this should be a relatively easy game for the Blues, who are 8-3-1 on home ice so far. Play on ST. LOUIS AAA |
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12-01-21 | Penguins v. Oilers -121 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EDMONTON Edmonton has to be happy with its start to the season. They have a 15-5 overall record and are second in the Pacific Division with 30 points. They are only one point behind first place Calgary. At home, the Oilers are 8-1 and have scored 38 goals. Tonight they host Pittsburgh, a team that is fourth in the Metropolitan Division and ironically enough just lost 2-1 to Calgary. Before that, the Penguins lost 6-3 at home to Montreal. They had won five in a row before the back to back losses. Back to Edmonton, the Oilers have won their last two games - 5-3 at Arizona and 3-2 at Vegas. They should be pretty fired up to be back home Wednesday night as the Oilers are looking for what would be their first regulation win over the Penguins since 2006! They have just four wins in the last 19 meetings with the Penguins. That includes six straight home losses. But we feel tonight is the night they snap that streak. There’s no debate over which team is playing better hockey right now and Edmonton is 38-16 its last 54 games as a favorite. Pittsburgh is playing its fourth game in six days, a situation they’ve lost in four of the last five times. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
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11-28-21 | Maple Leafs -165 v. Ducks | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TORONTO The Maple Leafs look to make it nine wins in their last 10 games as they visit Anaheim tonight. The Leafs only loss since Nov 10 came at home, by a score of 2-0 to Pittsburgh. Since that loss, they have rattled off three consecutive road wins where they outscored the Islanders, Kings and Sharks 13-3. The Leafs are now tied for first place (with Florida) in the Atlantic Division with 31 points. They allow the third fewest number of goals per game in the league. Anaheim was once hot itself, winning eight in a row from October 31st through November 16th. But the Ducks have since dropped three of four, though they did win 4-0 here at home on Friday. But the team they beat (Ottawa) is one of the worst in the league right now. The fact the Ducks are third in the Pacific is something we’d call “surprising.” They’ve been a tough out at home and are also strong on the penalty kill. But Toronto, having claimed six straight road games, is in a different class. The Leafs have allowed just 11 goals their last nine games, making them a VERY difficult team to beat. We like them to get the two points on Sunday. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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11-24-21 | Maple Leafs -155 v. Kings | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TOR The Maple Leafs come into Wednesday firmly entrenched as one the Atlantic’s three top teams. Neither they nor Tampa Bay have been quite as good as Florida, but you could say the same thing for most teams across the league. The Leafs have won 11 out of their last 13 games however, and Sunday’s 3-0 win at the Islanders was their fourth shutout during that stretch. Tonight the Leafs are in LA looking to avenge one of the two defeats they’ve suffered this month. It was back on 11/8 that the Leafs lost to the Kings 5-1 at home. Both teams were on win streaks at the time of that first meeting. Now the Kings are on a four-game losing skid with the last three defeats all coming here at home. The last one was perhaps the most embarrassing as it was against Arizona, who is the worst team in the league. The Kings have already fallen a bit off the pace set by the top teams in the Pacific and we only see that gap widening as the season progresses. Toronto isn’t going to lose twice to this team, so they’ve got our backing tonight. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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11-19-21 | Avalanche -134 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COL Colorado came into the season as one of the Stanley Cup favorites, but got off to a surprisingly slow start. That’s changed recently, as despite not having star Nathan MacKinnon, the Avs have won three in a row. Two wins were over Vancouver and the other against San Jose. They have scored a total of 17 goals during this win streak, which has seen them make up for the absence of MacKinnon by going 6 for 13 on the power play. Tonight the Avalanche go up against a team that is - not surprisingly - near the bottom of the league’s standings. The expansion Kraken have lost five straight while giving up four or more goals every time. We had the Over when they last played - and lost - 4-2 to Chicago. Seattle fell behind 3-0 in that game and had only three shots on goal in the first period. Only one team (Arizona) has fewer points than the Kraken’s 9 as they continue to reside in the basement of the Pacific Division. This shapes up to be another easy two points for the Avalanche. Play on COLORADO AAA |
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11-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -124 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 9* on TB After starting the season with three straight losses, Tampa Bay has turned things around. You had to figure they would. After all, this is the team that’s won the last two Stanley Cup Finals. In each of their last seven games, the Lightning have picked up a point. That’s five wins and two overtime losses. Five of their next six games are at home, including this one against the team they beat in last year’s semifinals. It was a seven-game series with the Islanders last summer, but we expect the Lightning to roll tonight. This will be the Islanders’ 12th straight road game to open the year as they wait for their new arena to be ready. The Isles have played a game since Thursday, but you’ve got to figure they are road-weary. Having three days off didn’t help them in Newark on Thursday as they lost to the Devils 4-0. Before that was a 5-2 loss in Minnesota. It’s six straight losses to teams with winning records for the Islanders. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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11-11-21 | Sharks v. Jets -173 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
full analysis to follow |
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11-09-21 | Ducks v. Canucks -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 9* on VANCOUVER Vancouver sits second to last in the Pacific Division as of this writing. The only team below them in the standings is the expansion Kraken. Tonight the Canucks host Anaheim, who is four points ahead. The Ducks have won their last four games, but all of those have come on home ice. The road has not been quite so kind. Four of the Ducks' five away games have ended in defeat. They’ve allowed four or more goals in each of their last four road games and lost them all. Vancouver is wrapping up a seven-game homestand tonight after playing its first six games on the road. They won 6-3 against Dallas on Sunday. We think the home ice advantage is the key determining factor in the outcome of this game. Also, Vancouver is allowing a fewer number of shots per game than Anaheim. The Ducks’ current win streak is their longest in nearly three years. Can it continue? We think not. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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11-05-21 | Blackhawks v. Jets -163 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 9* on WINNIPEG Winnipeg has won five of its last six with the one loss coming in OT. Four of those wins came without leading scorer Mark Scheifele, who returned to the lineup for a 4-3 win over Dallas earlier in the week. The Jets face downtrodden Chicago tonight. The Blackhawks have only one win this season and it came Monday at home vs. Ottawa. They and the Coyotes seem to be in a race to determine not just who finishes last in the division, but in the entire NHL. A sexual abuse scandal (from 10 years ago) has wreaked havoc on the Blackhawks franchise. Things have been no better on the ice. After winning for the first time in 2021, they blew a two goal lead to Carolina on Wednesday and lost 4-3. Who wants any part of this Chicago team right now? Not us. Play on WINNIPEG AAA |
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10-30-21 | Wild v. Avalanche -146 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLORADO The Avalanche, considered one of the odds on favorite to win the Stanley Cup, have gotten off to a very disappointing start. Thursday’s 4-3 triumph over St. Louis was just the third win of the season for the Avs. They’ve needed four goals in each of those three wins. They are 0-4 when failing to score four times in a game. Colorado is 30th in goals allowed per game at 3.71. They’ve got to work on getting that number down. We think they will on Saturday when they host Minnesota in a big early season division clash. After a 4-0 start, the Wild have lost two of three games. This will be their third road game in five days. Thursday saw them lose 4-1 to the expansion Kraken. Colorado’s third win of the season should not be dismissed as they were the first team to defeat St. Louis this year. The Avalanche outshot the Blues 42-18. Given what we all thought of the Avs at the start of the year, there’s no reason not to take them at this low price on home ice. Play on COLORADO AAA |
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10-26-21 | Wild v. Canucks +105 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VANCOUVER The Canucks seek a third straight victory on Tuesday. Only this time they are back on home ice. The previous two wins came in Chicago and Seattle, at the tail end of a six-game road trip. This is actually their first home game of the season! In each of the previous two victories, Vancouver scored four goals. The fact they finished the six-game road trip at 3-2-1 was pretty impressive. The trip took them across all four time zones. Last season, the Canucks were a much more respectable team at home. Minnesota arrives here off its first loss of the young season. They fell behind Nashville 3-0 after one period and could not recover. Penalty killing has been an issue so far for the Wild. They’ve allowed a power play goal in every game thus far. This will be their third game in four nights while the Canucks have had the last two days off. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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10-20-21 | Blues v. Golden Knights -122 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -122 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VEGAS Vegas is banged up heading into Wednesday’s tilt with St. Louis. It’s pretty fortunate then that they’ve had the Blues’ number. Last year, the Golden Knights captured six of the eight head to head matchups. Going back further, they’ve won 8 of 10 over the Blues. We don’t think this one will be any different. The Blues are 2-0 with 12 goals scored. But this is their third road game in five days, a tough situation even at the start of the season. Pavel Buchnevich just got handed a two-game suspension for his hit on Arizona’s Lawson Crouse. He had a goal and two assists in the first two games. The Golden Knights have not played since last Friday when they were beaten 6-2 by the Kings. They are 6-1 the last seven times they have been off a game where they gave up five or more goals. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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10-19-21 | Canucks -155 v. Sabres | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VANCOUVER Buffalo is 2-0 on the young season, but we’d hold off on printing playoff tickets. The Sabres were a last place team a season ago, finishing with only 37 points. At one point, they lost 18 consecutive games. Jack Eichel is injured and still likely to be traded. The team’s second leading scorer from last year, Sam Reinhart, is now skating down in Florida. The two teams that Buffalo has beaten thus far, Montreal and Arizona, are a combined 0-5-1. They needed a shootout to get by the ‘Yotes on Saturday. So Tuesday looks like a probable first loss as Vancouver comes to upstate New York. The Canucks are 1-1-1 thus far with every game coming on the road. After the first two games were decided in shootouts, they lost 3-1 in Detroit on Saturday. But that score was misleading. The Red Wings not only got an empty-net goal in the final minute, but were also outshot by the Canucks 41-21. It was a simple case of Vancouver running into a hot goaltender. We can’t see Sabres’ goaltender Craig Anderson, who is 40 years old, having many more games like the one he had vs. Montreal. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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10-19-21 | Sharks v. Canadiens -150 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MONTREAL The Canadiens are desperate here as they’ve started the season 0-3. That’s the worst record in the league right now. Every loss has come in regulation and the Habs have only managed one goal in each game. With two days off to do some serious “soul-searching,” they should bounce back and finally get into the win column tonight, hosting the Sharks. Even though there’s no Carey Price in goal right now, let us not disregard that the Habs made it all the way to the Stanley Cup Finals in June. It’s not so much Price not being between the pipes, but the lack of offense - and an 0 for 11 power play - that’s the biggest culprit in the team’s first 0-3 start in over a quarter century. The offense should fix itself tonight against a San Jose team that gave up three goals in its opener. The Sharks did win, 4-3 over the Jets, but a team with five rookies in the lineup and no Evander Kane isn’t going to be very good on a nightly basis. San Jose does have a five-game win streak at the Bell Centre, but has not played here since March of 2019. That was a much different (and better) team back then. Play on MONTREAL AAA |
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10-18-21 | Ducks v. Flames -185 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -185 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 7* on CALGARY Calgary should have its way with Anaheim tonight. This is just the second game for the Flames. The first was a 5-2 loss to Edmonton. But 5 v 5, we thought they looked pretty strong against the Oilers. The problem was that they gave up two power play goals. They did outshoot their rival 47-33. Anaheim has already played twice and we went against them Saturday vs. Minnesota. After winning the opener 4-1 over Winnipeg, they lost 2-1 to the Wild (just as we thought). In two games, the Ducks have allowed 77 shots. That’s a lot. Anaheim was a bad team last year as they finished with only 43 points. Like we said in the previous writeup, it’s been awhile since the Ducks weren’t bad. The last three seasons have all seen them finish at/near the bottom of the division. The favorite has won 47 of the last 68 times these teams have played. Play on CALGARY AAA |
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10-16-21 | Stars v. Bruins -160 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BOSTON Heading into Saturday, there are still four teams in the NHL who have yet to play a regular season game. One of them is Boston, who will open things up tonight by hosting by Dallas. The Stars opened their season with a 3-2 overtime win against the Rangers. They were outshot 33-26, although they did open a 2-0 lead early in the second period. The odds of Dallas starting their season with two straight wins seem remote. That’s because they are 8-22 their previous 30 games as an underdog, including 2-6 L8 on the road. They are 6-13 SU their L19 games after a win. Boston figures to be one of the league’s best teams this season, even after moving on from longtime goaltender Tuukka Rask. Linus Ullmark should be more than an adequate replacement for Rask. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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10-15-21 | Wild -155 v. Ducks | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA The Wild opens its 2021-22 season Friday night at The Pond. The Ducks have already played a game and were 4-1 winners here on home ice against Winnipeg. We do not see Anaheim opening with two straight underdog wins. They’ve lost to the Wild seven straight times while getting outscored 24-13. The Ducks haven’t been “good” in some time, having finished at/near the bottom of the division for three straight seasons. In addition to having the Ducks’ number, Minnesota has made the playoffs eight of the last nine years. The Wild were one of the highest scoring teams in the league last year and are a deserved favorite in this one. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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10-14-21 | Penguins v. Panthers -175 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 7* on FLA The Penguins surprised everyone, including us, by going into Tampa Bay and winning 6-2 on Opening Night. We think their chances of starting the season with consecutive wins as big underdogs are rather small. Give Pittsburgh credit for outworking the Lightning in the opener. But the final score was highly misleading. The last three goals all came on an empty net. Remember that the Pens are playing shorthanded. They are without Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. This is going to be Florida’s first game and they should take advantage of all the absences on the Penguins’ bench (more than just Crosby and Malkin). The Panthers finished with the fourth most points in last year’s truncated regular season and were 20-5-3 on home ice. Play on FLORIDA AAA |
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10-12-21 | Penguins v. Lightning -175 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -175 | 34 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 7* on TB The big story for the season opener between the Penguins and Lightning is that Sidney Crosby is not expected to be on the ice. The Penguins’ star is still recovering from off-season wrist surgery and probably won’t be back until later this month. It’s a key absence for a Penguins team that is already outgunned in this matchup. In case you’d forgotten, the Lightning repeated as Stanley Cup Champions last June. They bring back the entire foundation of the two championship teams and unlike last year, Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov should be around the entire regular season. They are one of the favorites to win it all again this year, rightfully so, and if they do it they’d pull off the first three-peat since the Islanders won four in a row 40 years ago. Minus Crosby and Evgeni Malkin (also injured), the Penguins have little chance here. They have lost seven of the last nine times they’ve played the Lightning while dropping all five here in Tampa. All but one loss came in regulation time. Even if Crosby miraculously suits up, the Pens won’t win here. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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07-05-21 | Lightning -147 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -147 | 37 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TB The Montreal Canadiens made an improbable run to the Stanley Cup Finals. They have been the underdog in every one of their playoff games, rallied from a 3-1 series deficit to oust Toronto and also defeated heavily favored Vegas along the way. But it would appear as if the Lightning are too much for them. Tampa Bay needs one more win to repeat as champions and we think they’ll make this series a sweep on Monday. The first three games were all decided by two more goals with the Lightning outscoring the Habs 14-5. It was a series-high six goals in Game 3, proving that they don’t need the home ice advantage to win. Tampa Bay has won 14 of its last 16 games against Montreal. They have not even trailed for a single second in this series. The Canadiens had the lowest point percentage of any of the 16 playoff teams and were the only one to post a negative goal differential in the regular season. It really is a bit miraculous that they even made it this far. Goalie Carey Price has seen his save percentage plummet to .835 in this series. The NHL season ends on Monday night. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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06-25-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -161 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TAMPA BAY We’ll lead with the trend that you all know is coming. Over the last two postseasons, Tampa Bay is a perfect 12-0 SU off a loss. We have taken them each of the first two times they’ve been off a loss in this series. The last one resulted in the infamous 8-0 thrashing of the Islanders back in Game 5 here in Tampa. There have been only five losses the entire postseason for the Lightning. They’ve averaged an incredible 5.6 goals/game when off a loss, scoring a total of 28 times. Three of those times they scored six or more goals. They’ve never scored fewer than four. So that’s a “tall hill” to climb for an Islanders team that has scored only 11 goals this entire series. The Lightning have scored 19 goals. Game 7 being in Tampa Bay is obviously big for the Lightning. Not just because of their own 26-10 SU home record. But also due to the fact the Islanders have a losing road record this season. Tampa Bay averages 3.7 goals/game at home. The Islanders average just 2.2 goals/game on the road. The last 80 times that the Lightning have scored two goals or less in a game (they lost Game 6, 3-2), they are 63-17 SU in the next game. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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06-21-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -183 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 7* on TB We’ll lead with the key trend: Over the last two postseasons, the Lightning are 11-0 SU off a loss. We went with the trend in Game 2 and they won there for us. So we’ll do it again for Game 5, also on home ice. The reason the Lightning lost Game 4 is pretty obvious. They gave up three goals in the second period. That put them in a hole that was too big to climb out of. They almost did, scoring twice in the third period. The good news, besides the trend mentioned above, is that other than the second period of Game 5 the Lightning have allowed just five goals in this series. They are 19-5 when seeking to avenge a loss this season. Brayden Point has scored a goal in seven straight games. The Lightning are 62-17 SU the last 79 times they have been off a game where they scored two goals or less. With the series moving back to Tampa Bay, it’s also worth pointing out that the Lightning are 46-19 SU L65 home games. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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06-20-21 | Golden Knights -172 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VEGAS Montreal seems to have proved the doubters wrong once again. They now lead this Stanley Cup semi final two games to one after stunning Vegas in Game 3. That last win saw them get a gift goal near the end of regulation as Marc-Andre Fleury misplayed the puck badly. That tied the game up, then a little more than seven minutes into overtime Josh Anderson scored the game-winner. Since falling behind Toronto three games to one in the first round series, the Habs are 9-1, the only loss being Game 1 of this series. Vegas outshot them 45-27 in Game 3 and clearly should have won the game. They were just two minutes away from being up 2-1 in the series. The Golden Knights have proven themselves to be resilient this postseason, erasing early series deficits in both previous series. This is the third time they’ve dropped two straight in the playoffs. Each of the previous two times saw them come back to win the next time out. This time they’ll have to do it on the road. Considering this is probably the best team in the league, we have little hesitation in betting them in this spot. There has been only one time all season that Vegas dropped three straight games. Montreal is a team no one expected to still be playing, let alone leading this series. Vegas has outshot Montreal in all three games and scored one more goal. They’re simply better. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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06-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -193 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TB After dropping Game 1 at home, you’ve gotta figure Tampa Bay is going to come out flying for Game 2. Certainly we’re not alone in this assessment given how the money line has moved. Totally justifiable though as the Lightning haven’t lost back to back games in the playoffs. They are 7-2 this season when seeking to avenge a home loss and 18-5 seeking to avenge a loss of any kind. Off a game where they scored one goal or less, they have an 8-2 record in 2020-21. So all signs point to TB evening this Stanley Cup semifinal up. The Islanders average just 2.2 goals/game on the road, so you’re not getting any more scoring from them than what we saw in Game 1. Shots were even on Sunday, but NY is still allowing 37.2 per game in the playoffs. That’s a high number. Tampa Bay is a really solid home team and we just can’t see them losing two in a row on home ice. Head Coach Cooper said of the GM1 loss, “Our minds weren’t there.” That’s not going to be the case here. Over the last two postseasons, the Lightning are 10-0 SU off a loss. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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06-13-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -188 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -188 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 7* on TAMPA BAY Just like last year, Tampa Bay will face the Islanders for the right to move on to the Stanley Cup Finals. Last year’s Eastern Conference Final was won by the Lightning in six games as they went on to win the whole thing. That series was played in a bubble. This time TB has the home ice edge, a nice deal for them as they were 21-7 at home in the regular season. While they’ve got a better record on the road than at home in the postseason, don’t think for a second the Lightning didn’t want home ice advantage in this series. The Islanders have a much better record at home than on the road. New York has also fallen behind two games to one in both series thus far. Tampa Bay jumped out to 2-0 series leads against Florida and Carolina. Both teams are averaging just over 3.5 goals/game in the playoffs. But the Islanders average only 2.2 goals per game on the road for the season. They’ve also allowed 37.7 shots/game in these playoffs. Unlike last year’s Conference Finals, Steven Stamkos is healthy for the Lightning. He has 13 points in 11 playoff games. Vasilevskiy (.934 postseason save percentage) is the best goalie in this series. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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06-09-21 | Bruins -132 v. Islanders | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -132 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOSTON The Islanders, thanks to two straight high scoring performances, have taken the lead in this series and are one more win away from advancing to the NHL’s version of the “Final Four.” But what you need to understand about the Game 5 result in Boston is that the Bruins had a colossal 44-19 edge in shots. That they lost 5-4 is shocking. Losing while getting 25 or more shots on goal is something that has happened only four times to the Bruins in the playoffs since 1960. It was only the second time NY won a playoff game when getting outshot by that man. The Islanders also got three power play goals in the win. Bruins coach Bruce Cassidy was highly critical of the way the game was called, so that’s something to keep an eye on here in Game 6. Boston has scored first in four of the five games in the series, yet lost three of them. Tuukka Rask is expected to be fine for Game 6 and should play better between the pipes. The Islanders are a good home team, but we like Boston in this one. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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06-08-21 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche -139 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -139 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLORADO The home team is 4-0 in this series, which is a matchup of arguably the two best teams in the league. Colorado and Vegas tied for the most points in the regular season. They were 1-2 in goal differential. Home ice being such an edge really shouldn’t shock any of us. Colorado is 26-4-2 at home. Vegas is 25-6-3. Now the series goes back to Denver. Guess who we’ll be playing? It is very hard to look past how good the Avalanche had been in the playoffs before dropping the last two games in Sin City. They won the first six games by a combined score of 30-10. They are 20-0-1 the last 21 home games which does include the four playoff wins. They beat Vegas 7-1 in Game 1 before squeaking out a 3-2 overtime victory in Game 2. The Avs top line struggled in Vegas, but had six goals and 24 shots in the first two games. Look for the home team trend to continue. Colorado has had just one three-game losing streak all season. Play on COLORADO AAA |
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06-07-21 | Jets v. Canadiens -144 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MONTREAL If you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em. It’s become very clear that Montreal has become a very different team in the postseason. Since falling behind Toronto three games to one in the first round series, the Habs have stormed back to win six in a row and are now just one win away from the final four and being North Division Champs. At no point during this six game win streak have the Canadiens trailed. That’s impressive. They proved us wrong by smashing Winnipeg 5-1 last night and the 24-hour turnaround does the Jets NO favors. It’s extremely hard to get motivated when down 0-3 in a series, knowing that only four teams in history have ever come back from that deficit. Montreal goalie Price has been out of his mind the last four games with a .958 save percentage. It’s been 376:18 since the Habs last trailed in a game. That’s the fifth longest stretch in the history of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Winnipeg lost 9 of its last 12 regular season games before a surprise sweep of Edmonton in Round 1. Three of the four wins against the Oilers required OT. We were dead wrong about yesterday and will now rectify that. Play on MONTREAL AAA |
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06-07-21 | Islanders v. Bruins -186 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -186 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 7* on BOSTON The Islanders and Bruins are deadlocked at two games apiece in this series as we head to Game 5 in Boston. Furthermore, both teams have scored 11 goals in the four games. Each has a three-goal victory and a one-goal victory. The Islanders won Game 4, 4-1, and we took them. But we also cited their tremendous home record as a reason for doing so. The road has been far less kind to the Isles this year. They were 11-13-4 in the regular season. They are 3-2 in the postseason, but all three wins came in overtime. Boston’s top line was held without a goal in Game 4, something we expect to see change in Game 5. The Bruins are 2-0 off a loss so far in the playoffs and 11-2 their previous 13 home games. This looks to be a classic bounce back position. Things could have gone a lot differently in the last game had David Pastrnak not hit the post on a wide open net when the game was still scoreless. That 4-1 loss was very misleading as the Islanders added two empty-net goals after getting what turned out to be the game-winner with just under seven minutes to go. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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06-06-21 | Jets +124 v. Canadiens | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WINNIPEG We think it’s time for Montreal to stop winning. The only team that made the playoffs with a negative regular season goal differential has come “back from the dead,” winning its last five games. They were down 3-1 in the first round series against Toronto and haven’t lost since! They are now up 2-0 on the Jets after taking both games in Winnipeg. After winning a high-scoring affair in Game 1, 5-3, the Habs got Carey Price’s eighth career playoff shutout in Game 2, 1-0. Price made 30 saves and the only goal in the game came with Montreal actually playing short-handed. Winnipeg has to be kicking itself right now. But all is not lost yet. This is a team that won three overtime games in the first round sweep over Edmonton. Once they came back from a three goal deficit. It would be foolish to write them off. We think they are the better team and, again, can’t see Montreal continue to win. Yes, they are hot. During the five game win streak, they have not trailed. You’d have to go back to 2012 to find the last time a team pulled that off in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Jets are 6-0 their last six as underdogs. This is the first time Montreal has been favored in these playoffs. Play on WINNIPEG AAA |
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06-04-21 | Canadiens v. Jets -109 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WINNIPEG Winnipeg cannot afford to be down 0-2 when this series heads to Montreal this weekend. So off a poor showing in Game 1 where they lost 5-3, expect the Jets to come out flying tonight in Game 2. One could make the argument that “rust” was an issue for Winnipeg in Game 1. They had not played in more than a week after sweeping the first round series against Edmonton. Montreal had just one day off between series after they won a Game 7 in Toronto. They scored three goals in the first period Wednesday, which is more than they averaged PER GAME in Round 1. The Canadiens have been underdogs in every playoff game so far and were the only playoff team with a negative regular season goal differential. So it’s a surprise that they’re still playing, let alone leading a second round series. After the brutal hit Jake Evans took at the end of Game 1, the Habs have some obvious motivation themselves tonight. But as Winnipeg’s Andrew Copp so “eloquently” put it, “We're not worried about any targets or whatever they're saying in the media. We're worried about going and winning Game 2. It's a big f---ing game for us." Montreal is 17-7 L24 after scoring five or more goals in the previous game. Play on WINNIPEG AAA |
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06-03-21 | Bruins v. Islanders +125 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the ISLANDERS The Islanders earned a split in Boston, which is all they needed to do. Now they have the home ice advantage in this East Division Final. They were big underdogs in Boston for Games 1 and 2. They are still the dog in Game 3 at home and we’re seeing a lot of value with them in that role. The Game 2 win did require overtime. But the Islanders did have a 3-1 lead with 10 minutes to go in regulation. Goalie Semyon Varlamov made 39 saves in Game 2, proving that the Islanders now have two reliable options between the pipes. It is very important to recall how good the Islanders were on home ice in the regular season. They went 21-4-3 at Nassau Coliseum. Only Carolina had a fewer number of home regulation losses. Boston lost all four regular season visits to Uniondale. In the three home games in the first round, NY scored 13 goals. Each one saw them score at least four times. So you can see why we think there’s real value here. Play on NY ISLANDERS AAA |
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06-02-21 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche -176 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLORADO Colorado absolutely ragdolled Vegas in Game 1, winning 7-1. Based on the fact they’ve won their first five playoff games by a cumulative score of 27-8, the Avalanche look like the favorites right now to capture the Stanley Cup. None of the five games have been decided by fewer than three goals. They outshot Vegas 37-25 in Game 1 as their speed was clearly too much for a team coming off a Game 7 victory. That the Avs swept their first round series while the Knights went the full seven games seems to be significant here, though not as significant as the Avs having home ice advantage. These were two of the most dominant home teams in the regular season. But Vegas is just 11-26 its last 37 games as a road underdog. Colorado has not lost a game since May 5th and is 13-1 in its last 14. While we expect to see Marc-Andre Fleury back between the pipes for Vegas, he alone cannot stem the tide. Play on COLORADO AAA |
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06-01-21 | Lightning v. Hurricanes -110 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CAROLINA Of the three second round series that are already underway, Tampa Bay was the lone road team to take Game 1. That puts a lot of pressure on Carolina to win Game 2. We think they will as they should bounce back from their worst offensive performance of the postseason. The ‘Canes scored just one goal in Game 1 after scoring at least three in all six games of the first round series against Nashville. The Lightning were outshot 38-30 in Game 1 as they continue to allow very high shot totals (37.9 per game) in the playoffs. Eventually, that is going to come back to bite them. Game 1 was just the 10th time all year that Carolina was held to one goal or less. They had also won all their home games in the first round. They had just eight home losses the entirety of the regular season and a league-low three in regulation. So we really can’t stress just how atypical the Game 1 showing was for the Central Division champs. Count on them evening this series up at a game apiece. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
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05-29-21 | Maple Leafs -185 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -185 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 7* on TORONTO Toronto failed to close out Montreal on Thursday, losing Game 5 at home in overtime by a score of 4-3. But that followed three wins by a cumulative score 11-2 and there’s no doubt who the better team is in this series. So we expect the Maple Leafs not to let a second chance to end the series pass them by on Saturday. The number of goals scored by the Canadiens in Game 5 (4) matched the number they had in the first four games of the series. It was just their second win since May 3rd! Coming into the playoffs, our opinion was that the Habs were the weakest of the 16 teams. There will be 2,500 fans present at the arena tonight, the first time there have been fans at a NHL game in Canada since the pandemic. But that can only carry an inferior side so far. Toronto is 18-4 playing with revenge and 11-1 if the loss was at home. This Montreal team has just one regulation win in May and only one win streak since the beginning of April. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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05-28-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights -171 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VEGAS It’s come down to a Game 7 between the Wild and Golden Knights. This will be the Knights’ third try at putting away the Wild and they hope the third time's the charm. They get the game at home. While they’ve lost two of the three home games in the series, you’ve got to think they are still happy to be playing in Sin City. The regular season saw them lose just seven times at T-Mobile Arena. In the franchise’s short history, they have established quite the strong home ice advantage. There have been three games in this series where Vegas has had 40 or more shots on goal. Somehow they lost two of them. They lost Game 5 despite a 40-14 edge in shots. Things were tighter (in terms of shots) in Game 6, but the Wild won that one 3-0. The bad news for Minnesota is that they are 3-11 off their previous 14 shutout victories. After being blanked in Game 1, Vegas rallied for a 3-1 win in Game 2. They’ve held Minnesota to an average of 1.8 goals on 25.7 shots per game in this series. Those kinds of numbers usually result in you advancing. The Golden Knights are 9-3 this season after being held to one or zero goals in their last game. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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05-26-21 | Penguins +100 v. Islanders | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PITTSBURGH Pittsburgh finds itself down 3-2 in this best of seven series with the Islanders, so it’s “win or go home” at this point. This has been a closely contested series as four of the five games have been decided by one goal, two of them going past regulation. The Penguins’ problem is that they lost both those OT games. The last game went to double overtime with the Islanders winning 3-2 despite a massive 50-28 edge in shots on goal for the Penguins. It was a game the Pens never trailed in until they lost. If you talk to fans of the team, goalie Tristan Jarry is quickly becoming the “goat” (not to be confused with the G.O.A.T.) as it was his mishandling of the puck that led to the deciding goal in Game 5. But let’s look at what Pittsburgh has done well in this series and that’s average 38.8 shots on goal per game. They are 18-5 in revenge spots this season. Outside of Game 4, they’ve trailed for only 31 seconds in the entire series. One could argue they should be the ones up 3-2 as they’ve arguably looked like the better team most of the way. We believe they will stay alive and force a deciding Game 7. Play on PITTSBURGH AAA |
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05-25-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes -190 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 7* on CAROLINA Carolina has “fooled around” with Nashville too much and now finds this series deadlocked at two games apiece. The “problem” is they’ve run into a hot goaltender in Juuse Saros, who has stopped 171 of the 184 shots he’s faced. Still those 184 shots through four games are the most any goalie has seen in these playoffs. Eventually, the Hurricanes are going to breakthrough and don’t be surprised if it comes via the power play where they’re just 2 for 14 so far in the series. This was a team that was second in the league in converting with the man advantage (25.6%) during the regular season. It was a regular season that saw them win the Central Division with 80 points. After losing both games in Nashville, the series is now back in Raleigh where the ‘Canes have suffered just three regulation losses all season. They won the first two games here - 5-2 and 3-0. Both losses in Nashville were double overtime games. The Predators have lost seven of their last eight games here. All signs point to the favorite taking Game 5. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
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05-24-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights -177 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -177 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 7* on VEGAS Vegas can end this series tonight and set up a second round showdown with Colorado. They’re back home - where they’ve lost only eight times all season. One of those was Game 1 to Minnesota, but the Golden Knights have stormed back by taking three straight, the last two on the road, and they’ve increased the margin of victory in every game. They won 3-1 in Game 2, 5-2 in Game 3 and 4-0 in Game 4. Now we don’t think they’re going to win by five goals tonight. Vegas was a little lucky to win the last game 4-0 seeing as how they only had 18 shots on goal. Improving on that kind of shooting percentage will be difficult, but you can also look for them to get more shots on goal here. They are still averaging more shots per game in the series than the Wild. Goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury seems to be in top form with a .966 save percentage and 0.99 goals against average. Minnesota has scored just four goals in the four games. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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05-22-21 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -181 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TORONTO Maple Leafs fans have not seen their team win a playoff series since 2004. There have been five first round exits since then. So there’s a lot of uneasiness right now after a rather shocking 2-1 loss to Montreal in Game 1. Toronto won the North and was very much the best team in the division. But things can change quickly in the playoffs and John Tavares is out “indefinitely” after being taken off on a stretcher Thursday. Nevertheless, we expect the Leafs will bounce back and win Game 2. One one time this season have the Leafs lost more than three in a row. Having also dropped their final two regular season games, that’s the position they find themselves in tonight. They are 17-4 playing with revenge and 10-1 if at home and playing with revenge. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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05-21-21 | Jets v. Oilers -165 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -165 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* on EDMONTON Edmonton can obviously not afford to fall into an 0-2 hole in the series and we don’t expect them to. The Oilers were actually beaten fairly soundly in Game 1, losing 4-1 to a Jets team they’d beaten in seven of nine regular season matchups. Winnipeg had only 22 shots on goal the entire game, so the fact they got four goals should be considered very fortunate. Winnipeg’s regular season ended with nine losses in the last 12 games and two of the three wins came against Calgary and Vancouver, the North Division’s non-playoff teams. Edmonton dropped its regular season finale, a meaningless affair with Vancouver, so they are now coming off consecutive losses for the first time in quite a while. March was the last time the Oilers lost two straight. Being off two straight losses is a situation that’s treated the Oilers pretty well in 2020-21. They are 4-1 when that’s the case. The team’s only three game losing streak this year came at the start of March when they dropped three straight games to the first place Maple Leafs. Connor McDavid won’t let his team lose a second straight home game. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
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05-19-21 | Jets v. Oilers -155 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -155 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is an 8* on EDMONTON The Winnipeg-Edmonton series FINALLY gets underway on Wednesday and we really like the Oilers to take Game 1 at home. They finished second in the North Division this year with 72 points and Conor McDavid leading the way. McDavid led the NHL in individual points with 105, which is 21 more than teammate Leon Draisaitl, who finished second. Making McDavid’s individual performance all the more impressive is that he played in only 56 regular season games. The Oilers won seven of the nine regular season meetings from the Jets, whose regular season didn’t end until last Friday. Edmonton won six of its final eight regular season games, which is a lot better than Winnipeg, who dropped 9 of 12. Two of those three Jets victories were against Calgary and Vancouver, the two teams from the North that didn’t make the playoffs. The other was the totally meaningless regular season finale with Toronto. A big problem for the Jets continues to be the number of shots they allow. No goaltender has faced more shots over the past three seasons than Connor Hellebuyck. McDavid is the difference here for an Oilers team that’s won 26 of 35 when favored. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
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05-18-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights -160 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VEGAS Vegas suffered a 1-0 loss (in overtime) in Game 1, but seems to be a safe bet to bounce back in Game 2 due to its strong home ice advantage and overall prowess. While the Golden Knights may rue not finishing first in the division, they did have the second most points in the entire league and they did have the top goal differential. They also outshot Minnesota 42-30 in Game 1. The Wild are 6-1-2 this season vs. Vegas, but the Golden Knights are 21-5-3 at home. It is obviously critical that Vegas doesn’t fall into an 0-2 hole heading back to Minnesota as they have never won a game in regulation in the Twin Cities. The Knights have won six straight times after being held to two goals or fewer in the previous game. This is a team that scored five or more goals 20 times in the regular season. They are 3-0 all-time in Game 2’s if they dropped Game 1. We expect them to “break out” offensively in this one. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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05-17-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes -179 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 7* on CAROLINA The NHL Playoffs have not been short on drama thus far with the first five games all being decided by one goal and four of them going into overtime. The Nashville-Carolina first round series gets underway on Monday and the favorites (Carolina) are hoping for a better result than the four home teams had Sunday (0-4). We think the Hurricanes WILL protect their home ice advantage tonight as they look to have a decided edge in this series with the Preds. The ‘Canes won the Central Division this year thanks to 80 points and their +43 goal differential was third best in the entire league. Nashville is somewhat of a “fringe” playoff team as they were one of the last to get in the tournament and only outscored opponents this season by two goals. Carolina won the season series, 6-2. Those two losses came in the final two games of the regular season - when the ‘Canes had nothing left to play for - and the Preds were trying to lock down the Central’s final playoff berth. Both games were also played in Music City. Nashville scored only five goals in the four games here in Raleigh. Carolina has NEVER lost four in a row this season. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
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05-16-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights -151 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -151 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VEGAS While Vegas missed out on the Presidents Trophy and home ice advantage throughout the playoffs, we don’t anticipate them having much difficulty defeating Minnesota in Game 1 of this best of seven series. They still have the home ice edge in this series, which is huge as they are 21-5-2 in Sin City this season. Having given up the second fewest number of goals while scoring the third most, the Golden Knights finished the regular season with the top goal differential in the NHL. Minnesota did give them some trouble this year as eight meetings resulted in 24 goals per side. But now that it’s playoff time we expect Vegas’ superiority to take hold. Riding goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury seems like a good idea as his regular season save percentage was .928. The Wild didn’t finish the regular season well as they gave up 11 goals in a pair of losses at St. Louis. Vegas won their last game 6-0 over San Jose and is 15-3 their last 18 overall. Almost a no brainer to take them on home ice. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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05-14-21 | Maple Leafs -150 v. Jets | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TORONTO Before each team embarks on their 1st round playoff series, they must complete the 56-game regular season. Toronto won the North Division with a 35-13-7 record and 77 points. They will face 4th place Montreal in the first round, a series that won’t begin until next Thursday. Winnipeg was third in the North (29-23-3, 61 points) and they have a far tougher 1st round draw against Edmonton, a series that will begin on Wednesday. This regular season finale is all about pride, but we like the Maple Leafs as they are 6-0 in their previous six visits to Manitoba. In this particular Canadian rivalry, the road team always seems to find success. Whether the game is in Toronto or Winnipeg, the road team has won seven of nine this year including six straight. It’s been a crash landing for the Jets at the end of the regular season as they’ve won just twice in their last 10 games. One of those was Tuesday against a Vancouver team that didn’t look the least bit interested. It’s been a month since the Jets last won back to back games. Toronto is simply the better team and will be looking to bounce back from a 4-3 overtime loss to Ottawa. The Maple Leafs have gone nine games without a loss in regulation (7-0-2). Before the 5-0 win against Vancouver, the Jets had scored only 17 goals in 10 games. They face goalie Jack Campbell, who has a 17-2-2 record this season. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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05-13-21 | Canucks v. Flames -149 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 7* on CALGARY Though neither team is going to playoffs, Vancouver and Calgary still have four games against one another. The reason for all the remaining games is the Canucks’ COVID-19 outbreak back in March. Vancouver looked lifeless in a 5-0 loss at Winnipeg Tuesday and we see no reason why they’ll look any better here. Flames coach Darryl Sutter is saying all the right things, talking about “player evaluation” these final four games. Calgary is off a 6-1 win over Ottawa and has had three days off to prepare for tonight’s game. Vancouver has just two wins in its last 10 games and is 1-10 SU this season when coming off three or more straight games on the road. This is a team with only nine road wins, which is tied for second fewest in the league. Play on CALGARY AAA |
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05-12-21 | Wild -114 v. Blues | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA In the final days of the NHL regular season, all the drama seems to rest with who is going to win the West Division (and the President’s Trophy). That race is a two-team one, between Vegas and Colorado. But Minnesota still lurks in the shadows and can steal home ice advantage away from the Avs for the first round of the playoffs. That’s if the Wild can win the final two games and the Avs fail to pick up a point from their final two. An unlikely scenario, but expect Minnesota to play well tonight when their hopes for home ice advantage are still alive. St. Louis, on the other hand, has nothing to play for in these last two regular season games. They are locked into fourth place in the West and will face whoever wins the division - Vegas or Colorado. The Wild’s last seven games have all been decided by one goal, with four going to overtime, but they are 4-0-1 the last five. St. Louis has dropped three of four, it's only win coming Monday in OT against the non-contending Kings. Minnesota is 4-0 its last four times as a road favorite. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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05-11-21 | Canucks +159 v. Jets | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 9* on VANCOUVER The entire 16-team playoff field is set, but there are still a few more regular season games left, many of which will impact the seeding for the postseason. Here in the all-Canadian North Division, Winnipeg is in the playoffs and trying to be the three seed. That would mean a first round date with Edmonton, as opposed to Toronto if they were to finish fourth. Vancouver has been eliminated from playoff contention, so they’re relegated to the role of spoiler at this point. While a play on the Jets might sound logical today, they are not playing well at all as of late. Losers of nine of their last 10 overall and seven straight at home, this is not a team you want to be backing. They were just beaten by the Canucks 3-1 last night here on home ice. The road team has won all but one of the eight head to head matchups this year. Over the past 10 games, the Jets have scored just 17 goals and the power play is 2 for its last 27. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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05-10-21 | Islanders v. Bruins -159 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BOSTON Of the NHL’s four divisions, the East was the first to have all four playoff spots gobbled up. We now know that Pittsburgh will be the 1-seed and Washington will be the 2-seed. Boston and the Islanders are battling out for the 3-seed. Whoever finishes third will play Washington and whoever finishes fourth will play Pittsburgh, neither having home ice advantage. No matter what happens tonight, the Islanders have already won the season series from Boston as they are 5-2 head to head. But the Bruins have won the last two and are currently one point ahead in the standings. They can clinch third place with a win tonight. We think they will. Boston is off a 5-4 loss to the Rangers while the Islanders are off a 5-1 win over New Jersey. Both those games were played on Saturday. Though off a loss, the Bruins are 9-5 this season after scoring four or more goals and 7-1 L8 home games. The Islanders are 2-7 their last nine road games. Before beating the Devils on Saturday, the Isles lost twice in Buffalo and at home to New Jersey. Those are the bottom two in the division. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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05-09-21 | Stars -149 v. Blackhawks | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -149 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DALLAS With Nashville’s win yesterday, Dallas was officially eliminated from playoff contention. COVID-19 really derailed the Stars season from the start and it’s a shame they won’t be competing for Lord Stanley’s Cup as we feel they are a better team than the Predators. They’ll have to take their frustrations out on the Blackhawks Sunday and we see this one going well for the road team. The Stars ended a five-game losing streak with a 5-2 win at Tampa Bay Friday. Chicago ended a six-game losing streak Thursday with a 2-1 win at Carolina. So you’ve got both teams off wins, but not exactly playing well. A reason to still speak highly of the Stars is their goal differential, which is +5 on the year. If they can maintain that, they’ll be one of only two teams with a positive goal differential not in the postseason. A worthless consolation prize, but it still speaks to the fact the Stars are a lot better than the Blackhawks. Chicago is 9-31 SU the last 40 times it has taken on a team that scored five or more goals its previous game. Play on DALLAS AAA |
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05-07-21 | Blues v. Golden Knights -163 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VEGAS Only three playoff spots are still up for grabs in the NHL with fourth place still to be decided in the Central, North and West Divisions. Here in the West, St. Louis could lock down the fourth spot with a win and a Kings loss (LA is playing Colorado), but the first part of that equation isn’t too likely to happen in our estimation. That’s because they go to Sin City to take on the Knights, who have lost at home only six times this year. Vegas seems likely to win the division, so a first round playoff matchup with the Blues is a possibility. The Knights, who have dropped only two games since April 7th, are off a 3-2 overtime win at Minnesota. They have the best goal differential in the league. St. Louis, even if they do get into the playoffs (and it’s likely they will) have a negative goal differential and would make for an easy first round opponent. Might as well take Vegas now before the price gets inflated come playoff time. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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05-05-21 | Jets +109 v. Flames | Top | 4-0 | Win | 109 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WINNIPEG While Winnipeg will likely make the playoffs and Calgary likely will not, it’s the Jets that have more questions than answers heading into this Wednesday night matchup in the North Division. They’ve lost seven in a row and scored only 10 goals during the losing streak. Six of those goals came in two games, meaning they’ve scored just four in the last five. The most embarrassing of the seven straight losses occurred Monday when they fell 2-1 to the last place Senators. Calgary, who has had three days off, not only needs to win all of their remaining games but also has to have either Winnipeg or Montreal lose out. That won’t happen. Desperate for a win, look for the Jets to get the two points tonight and clinch a playoff spot. They outshot Ottawa 29-18 only to give up the game winner with 1:13 left in regulation. The last four times the Jets have been priced as a road underdog, they are 4-0. Play on WINNIPEG |
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05-03-21 | Predators -179 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 7* on NASHVILLE Nashville is 4-1-1 its last six games, but no win was bigger than Saturday’s 1-0 triumph over Dallas. That overtime win gave the Predators a three-point lead over the Stars in the battle for the Central Division’s final playoff spot. Look for the Preds to continue riding the hot goaltending of Juuse Saros as they play Columbus Monday night. The Blue Jackets have won only one of their last 11 games with seven of the losses coming in regulation. They’ve lost five of the previous six meetings with Nashville this season. Columbus was eliminated from playoff contention long ago, so they’ve got absolutely nothing to play for here. In last place in the Central, the Jackets’ 16 wins this season are the second fewest in the league (Buffalo has 13). Their only win in the last 11 games was 1-0 against Detroit and that required OT. In fact, the Jackets’ last three games all went to OT, so they may very well have little left in the tank for tonight. Their struggles against Nashville are not confined to this season. The Predators have won 65 of the last 93 meetings. Play on NASHVILLE AAA |
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05-01-21 | Rangers v. Islanders -130 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the ISLANDERS Unlike all the other divisions, there’s going to be a “good” team left out of the playoffs in the East Division. Five teams in the East have goal differentials that are +23 or better. No other division has more than three. The team that looks to be the “odd one out” is the fifth place Rangers, who are looking at a six point deficit with only five games left. A 4-0 loss to the Islanders on Thursday definitely didn’t help. That was their third time getting blanked by the Isles at Madison Square Garden this season, a new record. The Islanders have won five of the season’s seven prior matchups. A win here gets the Islanders into the playoffs for a third straight year, something that has not happened since 2002-04. Remember they were a Conference Finalist last year. The Islanders are 19-3-3 on home ice. That’s tied for the fewest number of regulation losses in the whole league. Goalie Semyon Varlamov clearly has the Rangers’ number, not to mention a lot of other teams as the Islanders have given up the fewest number of goals in the division and second fewest in the league. Play on NY ISLANDERS AAA |
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04-30-21 | Jets +102 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WINNIPEG Winnipeg has lost five straight times, all to Toronto and Edmonton, who are the top two teams in the North. All five losses were at home and four of them saw the Jets score 1 or 0 goals. They are still in third place in the division mind you, only three back of second place Edmonton, but a win would obviously be nice. Tonight the Jets will head out on the road to face Montreal, the fourth place team in the division, who is just trying to make it to the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Canadiens have a four-point lead over Calgary. Winnipeg has won six of the previous eight meetings with Montreal this season, including 5-0 the last time they paid a visit here. The Habs are just 1-6 their last 7 when facing an opponent that scored two goals or less in their last game. Play on WINNIPEG AAA |
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04-28-21 | Coyotes v. Sharks -105 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN JOSE While the top three spots in the Pacific Division have all been clinched, the fourth and final playoff entrant is very much in doubt. Virtually everyone, save for last place Anaheim, is still alive. San Jose enters Wednesday just five points back of fourth place St. Louis. They are also four points behind tonight’s opponent, Arizona. This is a game the Sharks must win and we think that they will. While the Coyotes have taken three of the season’s first five meetings, only one of those was here in San Jose and that was a 6-4 Sharks win. That game was Monday and saw San Jose race out to a four-goal lead. The win snapped the Sharks’ eight-game losing streak. But you can play with confidence here, knowing that the ‘Yotes have now lost six of their previous seven road games. This is a really solid value on San Jose. Arizona averages only 26.8 shots on goal in road games this season. Play on San Jose AAA |
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04-27-21 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets -136 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLUMBUS Two teams in the Central Division have been eliminated from playoff contention and they meet Tuesday as Columbus hosts Detroit. The Blue Jackets have lost nine straight to fall below the Red Wings in the standings, a position they would have deemed unfathomable just a couple of months ago. One more loss and the Jackets would set a new single season record for most consecutive losses. They were close to ending the streak on Sunday, but twice blew a one-goal lead and lost in overtime to Tampa Bay. Detroit is also coming off an OT loss, although they were outshot 52-17 by Dallas, so they should be ecstatic to have escaped with a point. We think this is the spot for Columbus to end its losing streak as they are finally back home after playing their last six games all on the road. Their record in the first home game back following a road trip of seven or more days is 5-1. Detroit has won just 9 of its last 56 road games, which is beyond comprehension. Play on COLUMBUS AAA |
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04-26-21 | Canucks -117 v. Senators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VANCOUVER Gonna go with the Canucks again tonight as they play their third straight game against the Senators, only this one is in Ottawa. We played Vancouver each of the last two games, which were at home. They went 1-1, losing the first try 3-0 and winning the second 4-2. The second game snapped a very rare three-game winning streak for the Senators, just their second this entire season. Because of injuries, the Sens’ goaltending situation looks quite dire right now and the Canucks should be able to take advantage of that. Vancouver is 6-1 vs. Ottawa so far this season and if they want to make the playoffs, it’s a must win tonight. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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04-24-21 | Senators v. Canucks -133 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VANCOUVER The Canucks get a second crack at the Senators after losing to them 3-0 on Thursday. That result gave Ottawa just its second three-game win streak of the season. All three have been on the road (Montreal, Calgary and here), which is a season first. The Sens have struggled all year, even more so than Vancouver has. Before Thursday, the Canucks were 5-0 against the Senators this year and 8-1 the last nine head to head meetings. They had their season paused recently and came back with a couple wins over first place Toronto. The idea that they would lose two in a row at home to Ottawa seems highly unlikely. The Senators have never won four in a row in 2021. Thursday was just their second shutout of the season. They are 2-6 coming off a win by two or more goals. The last time the team from the capital city won four in a row was March of 2017. The last time they won four straight on the road was 2016. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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04-23-21 | Wild -158 v. Kings | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 9* on MINNESOTA The top two teams in the West Division (Vegas, Colorado) have already clinched. Not far behind them is Minnesota, who has 61 points and is in third place. There’s a huge gap between the Wild and fourth place, so they are going to be a playoff team this year. This gap is something previously discussed when we correctly selected the Wild on Wednesday. They beat Arizona 4-1 for their fifth straight win overall. This five-game win streak has seen them score 22 goals and give up only nine. Now it’s a quick one-game stop in LA to face a Kings team that is second to last in the division. The Kings traded away one of their top goal scorers (Jeff Carter) at the deadline and the only reason they are still in playoff contention is because the West is so weak beyond the top three. Minnesota is 5-2 vs. Los Angeles this season. The Kings have just three wins all month. They did win the last one, but that came against last place Anaheim. The last time the Kings won two straight was back in February. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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04-22-21 | Flyers v. Rangers -165 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -165 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NY RANGERS Two teams have already been eliminated from the playoff race in the East Division (Sabres and Devils), leaving six to battle for the four available playoff spots. The fifth place Rangers have to feel like they deserve one of them as they’ve got the best goal differential in the division (+28) and are 6-2-2 the L10 games. But not only are they still six points back of Boston, the Bruins also have two games in hand. That all makes tonight a must-win. Thankfully, they are facing Philadelphia, the one team still in this division race that we think DOESN’T have a shot at making the playoffs. The Flyers have a -34 goal differential, which is closer to the two eliminated teams than the five they are competing with for a postseason spot. That awful goal differential is largely due to how the Rangers have treated them. Who could forget the infamous 9-0 beating NY gave them back on St. Patrick’s Day? The Rangers also won 8-3 in Philly eight days after that. The season series is actually 3-3, but the Rangers really are so much better and we expect them to assert themselves tonight after suffering their worst loss of the season (6-1 to the Islanders) on Tuesday. The Flyers may again be without goalie Carter Hart. Play on NY RANGERS AAA |
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04-21-21 | Wild -141 v. Coyotes | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA Minnesota is in a pretty comfortable spot right as they are third in the West Division with a 14-point cushion between them and fourth place Arizona. Four teams from every division make the playoffs this year and while the Coyotes are currently fourth, their spot is a lot more precarious as St. Louis is just one point back and two other teams are within five. In fact, the gap between the ‘Yotes and last place is narrower than the gap between them and the third place Wild. So the Wild are significantly better, which is why they are favored on the road here. Add in that Arizona has lost six of seven games, the last one 5-2 to the Wild, and that Minnesota has won its last four games. The Wild are 6-1 vs. the Coyotes this season. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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04-19-21 | Blackhawks v. Predators -134 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NASHVILLE Nashville is in fourth place in the Central, which is where you need to be if you want to make the playoffs. But two teams are within three points of them and on Monday they’ll host one of them. Chicago is the invader here and coming off a 4-0 win in Detroit. But the Red Wings are bad (last place) and so are the Blue Jackets, whom the Blackhawks swept a couple games from the previous series. Chicago’s last six games have all been against the three teams below them in the division, so a 4-2 record isn’t all that surprising. The Predators are coming off two losses at Carolina, which isn’t good. But they’ve won six of eight at home with one of those being a 3-0 blanking of Chicago on April 3rd. The Preds last home game was a 7-2 win against Tampa Bay and that’s very impressive. Even more impressive is their 19-4 record this year against teams with losing records. The Blackhawks are 21-19-5, a losing record, and 0-3 this season when they’re off a shutout win. They are also 2-8 after a win by two or more goals. So it’s a bad spot for them against a team they are already 0-5 against in 2021. Play on NASHVILLE AAA |
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04-17-21 | Blue Jackets v. Stars -180 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 7* on DALLAS Dallas needs to start moving up the standings now. They are five points behind fourth place Nashville in the Central Division. The key is the Stars have three games in hand compared to the Predators and two in hand compared to the fifth place Blackhawks. So making up the necessary ground seems quite doable. Based on goal differential, you’d think the Stars are capable as well. They have a +9 goal differential whereas Nashville is -7 and Chicago is -16. So really, Dallas has been a better team than those two this year. They fell behind due to early season problems with COVID. Now is the time to start moving up and we like their shot at getting two points tonight as they host one of the two teams below them in the division, Columbus. The Stars just beat the Blue Jackets 4-1 on Thursday. C-bus has lost four in a row, seven of eight and 11 of the last 13. Play on DALLAS AAA |
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04-15-21 | Blackhawks -158 v. Red Wings | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -158 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CHICAGO The top four teams in every division make the playoffs this season. Chicago is currently fifth in the Central Division, four points back of Nashville. They will play the Predators three times next week. But first they’ve got two games against last place Detroit and winning these are equally important. The Red Wings are very bad and way off the playoff pace. That they just took two in Carolina makes us think they are quite vulnerable to defeat tonight. This is only the fourth time all season the Red Wings have won two straight games. They have yet to win three in a row. Coming off the three previous instances of winning back to back games, the Red Wings have been outscored 14-3 and lost by at least three goals every time. Chicago has won five of the six head to head meetings this season and one of those was when Detroit was off two straight wins. That was a 7-2 win. Coming off a pair of 4-3 wins in Columbus, the Blackhawks cannot afford to slip up here. They won’t. Play on CHICAGO AAA |
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04-14-21 | Jets -172 v. Senators | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 7* on WINNIPEG Winnipeg is looking for a measure of revenge here after losing 4-2 in the Canadian capital on Monday. Losing to the Senators is not acceptable if you’re the Jets (or really anyone else for that matter) as the hosts are the last place team in the all-Canadian North Division and probably the worst team in the league outside of Buffalo. The good news is that Ottawa has posted back to back wins just one time since the end of February and only three times all season. So this one sets up well for the visitors, who are locked into a tight battle with Edmonton for second place in the North. The Jets had won three in a row before Monday’s loss, one of those coming against Ottawa. They’d scored four or more goals in all three of those wins while the Sens had surrendered a total of 17 goals during a four-game losing streak that ended with Monday’s win. The Jets are 5-2 vs. the Senators this season and did have a 2-0 lead just nine minutes into the last game. It was certainly surprising to see them blow that kind of advantage. Play on WINNIPEG AAA |
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04-13-21 | Lightning -170 v. Predators | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -170 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TAMPA BAY This is the second time in four days that the Lightning and Predators will face off. We took Tampa Bay on Saturday and that ended up being a rather easy 3-0 win. The Lightning have been off ever since. That’s not the case for Nashville, who won a game against Dallas 3-2 on Sunday. Even though it was a win, the Preds having a game in between two matchups with Tampa Bay puts them at a disadvantage. Especially since Sunday’s game went to a shootout. Tonight is already a less than ideal matchup for them. They are 1-6 this season against the ‘Ning. We mentioned the following in Saturday’s writeup, but it bears repeating. Since getting “hot” in late March, Nashville has zero wins against the top three teams in the division. They are 2-11 L13 vs. teams with a win percentage of greater than .600 and 1-10 L11 as home underdogs. Tampa Bay’s +40 goal differential is second best in the entire league. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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04-12-21 | Jets -190 v. Senators | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -190 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 7* on WINNIPEG Big mismatch here. Winnipeg has won three in a row. The last two wins were in Montreal, 4-2 and 5-0. The first was 4-3 against the team they’ll play again tonight, Ottawa. The last place Senators are on a four-game losing streak. Since losing at Winnipeg on April 5th, they’ve lost twice to Edmonton (at home) and then 6-5 at Toronto on Saturday. There is a big dividing line between the top four and bottom three in the all-Canadian North Division. Really, the playoff field is already set. It’s just a matter of determining the order of finish for the top four. The Jets are in second place, six points back of the Leafs. They are 5-1 against Ottawa this season and have scored four or more goals in all five wins. The Senators have the single worst goal differential in the league. Yes, even worse than Buffalo, even though they have four more points than the Senators. Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck has allowed only 13 goals in his last nine starts. Ottawa did score five goals last time out, but they are 1-8 this season after scoring four or more in the last game. Play on WINNIPEG AAA |
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04-11-21 | Penguins -178 v. Devils | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 7* on PITTSBURGH The Penguins not only look to put some more space between them and fourth place in the East Division, but also possibly move into a first place tie with the Islanders and Capitals. To do so, all they need is a win tonight in New Jersey, which should be just as easy as it sounds.Two night ago, the Pens won here by a score of 6-4. That was the fifth straight game they scored four or more goals. In their last nine games, Pittsburgh has won a total of seven times and there have been six times they scored four or more goals. That seems like too much firepower for the Devils to handle. It was 5-2 midway through the third period on Friday. New Jersey’s 34 points are fourth fewest in the NHL with only three last place teams below them. That’s 20 points less than what Pittsburgh has coming into tonight. The Penguins have scored the second most goals in the league. Play on PITTSBURGH AAA |
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04-10-21 | Lightning -175 v. Predators | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TAMPA BAY Tampa Bay is in Nashville tonight knowing there’s a chance that two points would allow them to overtake Florida for the top spot in the Central Division (that’s if Florida were to lose tonight in Dallas). The reigning Stanley Cup Champions look good to us as they beat Columbus 6-4 on Thursday. While they’ve won just three times in the last eight games, which would qualify as a “swoon” by their standards, they are 5-1 this season vs. the Predators. While Steven Stamkos is questionable and the Preds have been hot (9-1 L10), the Lightning are still favorites for a reason. They are simply the better side. It should be pointed out that four of Nashville’s recent wins came against last place Detroit. None of the nine wins have been against any of the top three in the Central Division. The Preds are 2-10 L12 vs. teams with a win percentage of .600 or greater and 1-9 L10 as home underdogs. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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04-07-21 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO There’s still roughly 30 percent of the NHL regular season left to be played, but it’s a fair statement to say we pretty much know who the four playoff teams will be from the all-Canadian North Division. An eight-point gap exists between 4th and 5th place and looking at the goal differentials of the top four vs. the bottom three, that gap is likely to get even wider. Toronto leads the division with 55 points, six more than any other team. Montreal is 4th with 43 points, but they actually have four games in hand compared to the top three teas. The Habs are in Toronto tonight, looking to close the distance, but we don’t see that happening. Brendan Gallagher, one of their top goal scorers is out with a fractured thumb, and also injured is goalie Carey Price. Those are significant absences for a key game such as this. Given Gallagher left in the first period and Price was clearly hobbled, it was somewhat of a miracle that the Canadiens were able to rally back from a 2-0 deficit to defeat Edmonton in overtime Monday. But they won’t be as lucky here as Toronto is 7-0-1 its last eight games and coming off a 4-0 road trip. The Leafs are 3-1 against Montreal this season. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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04-06-21 | Lightning -197 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -197 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 6* on TAMPA BAY Despite being a huge -395 favorite on the money line, Tampa Bay lost 5-1 to Detroit on Sunday. It was the Lightning’s fourth loss in the last six games and the second as a big favorite. This slide coincides with a surge from Florida (who is on a 6-game win streak) and the Lightning now find themselves in second place in the division (two points back). We mentioned earlier that Sunday was the second loss as a big favorite for the ‘Ning in recent times. The other was March 30th, at home vs. Columbus. They immediately bounced back from that defeat by beating the Blue Jackets 3-2 the next game. Tonight they are in Columbus where the Jackets are reeling. That upset win on March 30th marks the only time C-bus has gotten the two points in their last eight games. Six of the last seven losses have been in regulation with three of those coming by three goals. They were blanked 3-0 by Florida on Sunday, which was their third loss in a row in the Sunshine State. That was the 4th time they’ve been shut out in the past 20 games. The Jackets are now just as close to last place as they are 4th place. They don’t have the necessary firepower to beat Tampa again. The Lightning are one of the top three scoring teams in the league. They’re 52-11 SU after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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04-04-21 | Capitals -162 v. Devils | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
This is an 8* on WASHINGTON Currently in a three-way battle for first place in the East Division, the Capitals go for a two-game sweep in New Jersey on Sunday. They won 2-1 in overtime here on Friday, ending a two-game losing streak. The Islanders also won yesterday (and we had them!) so the Caps & Isles are tied with 52 points. Pittsburgh is right behind with 50. So this is a game Washington really can’t afford to lose. Good thing then that they haven’t lost to the Devils this season. Friday’s win gives them a perfect 7-0 record against their division rival and today is the final meeting of the season. They allowed only 23 shots in the last game, which is a positive sign after they allowed eight goals to the Islanders in the previous game. That was the most goals allowed by the Caps in any game in over two years. New Jersey has scored 1 or 0 goals in three of the last four games. So they’re not much of a threat offensively. In the seven losses to Washington this season, NJ has allowed four or more goals five times. It’s not just this season that has seen the Capitals dominate the Devils. They have won 25 of the previous 30 meetings. Against all opponents, they are on a 14-2 run when favored. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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04-03-21 | Flyers v. Islanders -171 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 7* on the ISLANDERS Not sure what’s more embarrassing for the Flyers. That 9-0 loss to the Rangers on St. Patrick’s Day or the fact they just became the first team to lose to the Sabres since Feb 23. The 6-1 loss in Buffalo on Wednesday was truly humiliating as the Sabres had lost 18 straight games before that, the NHL’s longest losing streak in 17 years. Even though the Flyers are technically still in playoff contention (three points out of fourth place), it’s probably time to sell on them “for good.” March was an unmitigated disaster as they gave up 75 goals, the most for any month in franchise history. There were four games that they lost by at least five goals. Now they face the Islanders, who are coming off an 8-goal game of their own. Could things possibly get WORSE for the Flyers? Probably as the Isles are involved in a three-team race for first in the East and aren’t about to let a golden opportunity for two points slip through the cracks. New York is among the league leaders in fewest goals allowed, so they have a huge edge. They are 11-2 L13 games vs. teams that have a losing record and beat the Flyers the last two times they’ve faced them - 6-1 and 2-1. Play on NY ISLANDERS AAA |
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04-01-21 | Hurricanes -158 v. Blackhawks | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 9* on CAROLINA There is a significant gap after the top three in the NHL’s Central Division. Tampa Bay, Florida and Carolina have a major cushion over the rest of the field and we don’t see that shrinking any time soon. Of course, someone will have to be the 4th playoff team. That could be Chicago, who is currently tied for fourth with 39 points, 10 fewer than the Hurricanes. But they won’t be cutting into that deficit here. The ‘Canes weren’t happy with Tuesday’s 2-1 loss in the Windy City and are now out for revenge. They are 9-4 in all revenge situations in the 2020-21 season. The Blackhawks won back to back games only one time in March. Even though they won Tuesday, they were outshot 2:1 (32-16) and also outnumber 41-23 on faceoffs. Carolina is 8-1 the last nine times they’ve been off a game where they allowed two or fewer goals. Should be an easy bounce back game. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
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03-31-21 | Wild -154 v. Sharks | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -154 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA Minnesota lost in a shootout, 4-3, here in San Jose on Monday. After tonight, they head to Vegas for two games, which will be a challenge. So they better be focused on gaining some revenge tonight. To be clear, all is not lost in the Twin Cities. The Wild currently sit in third place in the West and there’s a fairly comfortable gap between them and fourth place St. Louis. Do we think they are as good as the top two teams in the division, Vegas and Colorado? No. But they are better than the Sharks. The Wild did win two of this season’s first three meetings with San Jose. One was by a score of 6-2 here in San Jose. Before losing Monday, the Wild had won three straight times. San Jose had lost six of eight and was coming off a shutout loss in Arizona. Yes, we took the Sharks Monday. But as noted in that writeup, the Wild hadn’t played in four days and were also off a very fortunate win. They’ll be determined to show their superiority tonight and we are confident they get the two points. San Jose is just 3-11 off a win. Minnesota is 16-5 the last 21 games as a favorite. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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03-29-21 | Wild v. Sharks +140 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 140 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
This is an 8* on SAN JOSE San Jose is coming off back to back road losses in Arizona, the second of which saw them shut out 4-0. They’ll return home to face a Minnesota team that beat them 6-2 on February 22nd and has won three in a row overall. The Wild were shutout winners on Thursday thanks to 37 saves from goalie Cam Talbot. They scored twice despite only 11 shots on goal, which is a minor miracle. When a team is winning, they don’t want time off, so look for the three days of rest to work against the Wild in this one. They lost 4-0 the only other time this season they played with this much rest. It was a very fortunate win on Thursday. San Jose is now back home for their next nine games and should be really motivated for this one. They won their last two home games, both against the Kings last week. Minnesota has not won a road game in 24 days. Play on SAN JOSE AAA |
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03-29-21 | Oilers v. Maple Leafs -152 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -152 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO Two of the top teams in the all-Canadian North Division face off Monday as first place Toronto hosts Edmonton. The Maple Leafs have won their last three games, the last of which was against these same Oilers. That 4-3 victory was not easy as they overcame a 3-1 deficit in the final eight minutes of regulation. The game winner was scored 54 seconds into overtime. That kind of loss can really break a team’s spirit and thus we’re not buying into the revenge angle for Edmonton today. Rather, look for them to come out flat. The Toronto power play is 0 for its last 18. Don’t expect that to continue as they are sixth for the year at converting when having the man advantage. The Oilers have lost the four times they’ve played Toronto and while they were on the verge of winning Saturday, the previous three games saw them get outscored 13-1. When you go back further, you’ll find the Oilers are 6-21 their L27 vs. the Leafs and 2-9 their L11 in Toronto. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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03-26-21 | Sharks +104 v. Coyotes | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN JOSE Earlier in the week, we saw the Coyotes do something that no one else has been able to do recently and that’s beat the Avalanche. The 5-4 win did require a shootout, but beating the Avs in any fashion right now is pretty darn impressive. The ‘Yotes get to stay at home this weekend as San Jose comes to town. The Sharks just took two from the Kings and they are sitting in second to last place in the division right now. They are three points behind Arizona, but have a slightly better goal differential (-17 vs. -18). Arizona deserves credit for beating Colorado, but they’d lost six of seven before that win and the other win was against Anaheim. One regulation win in eight games is pretty bad and with depth concern between the pipes, we see this team being in trouble. San Jose goalie Martin Jones is coming off two straight 40+ save efforts. The Sharks have won five of their last six against teams that have losing records. Play on SAN JOSE AAA |
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03-25-21 | Rangers v. Flyers +107 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHILLY Everyone remembers what happened to the Flyers the last time they played the Rangers. They were humiliated 9-0 in one of the worst defeats in franchise history. Few probably remember that Philly went out and won their next game (4-3 over the Islanders) as since then, it’s been three more losses. So now the Flyers are sitting fifth in the East Division, but they are actually two points ahead of the Rangers. Take away that one 9-0 game last week and the respective goal differentials look a lot similar. Just two points back of Boston for the fourth playoff spot, there is no reason for the Flyers to hang their heads now. We think they are going to come out with quite the inspired effort Thursday. While the Rangers did score five goals in their last game, that win came against the terrible Sabres and they are 1-6 after the previous seven times they scored five or more times in a game. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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03-24-21 | Flames -170 v. Senators | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -170 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CALGARY Monday’s 2-1 loss here in Ottawa should be considered unforgivable from the Flames’ perspective. The Senators were without their top three goaltenders, yet held Calgary to just one goal. Ottawa is by far the worst defensive side in the league as they’ve allowed 131 goals on the season, which is 20 more than the next worst team. Equally unforgivable as the loss Monday is the fact the Flames have now lost four of the six meetings with the Senators this season. For Ottawa, those four wins account for more than one-third of their total wins this season. It’s just not acceptable to have a losing head to head record against the team with the worst goal differential in the sport. But the silver lining from Monday is that the Flames did have 36 shots on goal plus 33 more that were either blocked or wide of the net. Given Ottawa’s dire goaltending situation at the moment, a second crack HAS to yield in more goal scoring for Calgary tonight. They’d scored 14 times in four games before getting held to just one goal in the last two. The Senators have just two win streaks all season, one was two games and the other three. It’s been nearly a month since they won back to back games as they’re 0-3 off a win since. An easy call on the Flames tonight. Play on CALGARY AAA |
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03-23-21 | Lightning -161 v. Stars | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TAMPA BAY It seems like Tampa Bay is once again the team to beat in the NHL. The defending Stanley Cup Champions have the most points (48) and best goal differential (+42) in the league right now as they have won four in a row. They’ve scored four or more goals in all four wins. They’ve scored at least four goals in eight of the last nine games as well. The current four-game run began right here in Dallas with a 4-3 victory over the Stars. While it’s a little misleading that Dallas is in second to last place in the Central Division (they’ve played the fewest games of anyone in the league), they have lost six of their last nine games. The latest loss was in a shootout against Nashville on Sunday. They are getting thin at the forward position due to mounting injuries. They are just not in the same class as Tampa Bay, a point further driven home by the fact they are 0-3 head to head with the Lightning in 2020-21, two of those losses coming in shutout fashion. Dallas is 0-4 their last four games as a home underdog. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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03-23-21 | Panthers -148 v. Blackhawks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FLORIDA Looking at the Central Division, you clearly have three good teams. One is obviously Tampa Bay. The other two are Carolina and Florida. Chicago is in 4th place, but when you look at the goal differential column there is a massive discrepancy between those top three teams and the Blackhawks. Chicago has been outscored by 11 goals this season. Florida is +17 in GD. The Panthers are also hotter right now (7-3 L10) than the Blackhawks (3-6-1 L10). Florida is off a 5-3, but that was to Tampa Bay. Chicago is off four straight losses, not just two to Tampa Bay but also two to the Panthers! Those games, both of which were played in Miami, saw the Panthers win by scores of 4-2 and 6-3. After the losses to the Lightning, the Blackhawks have surrendered a total of 18 goals during the four-game losing skid. Over the past seven games, they’ve allowed at least four goals six different times. That’s really bad. Florida averages 3.9 goals/game when on the road, where they are 10-3-1 this season. They are averaging 38.6 shot attempts per game the last five while giving up just 26.6. They even outshot the Lightning 32-24. Play on FLORIDA AAA |
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03-22-21 | Flames -164 v. Senators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -164 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
This is an 8* on CALGARY Ottawa is a clear cut contender to be considered the worst team in the league. If not for Buffalo and it’s current 13-game losing streak, the Senators would probably be the unanimous call as the worst. They’ve allowed 130 goals, which is 20 more than the next worst team. Right now, the goaltending situation is very bleak. Their top three goalies are all hurt, which leaves them with the option of Filip Gustavsson or Anton Forsberg. Gustavsson has just one period of NHL experience while Forsberg was a recent waiver pick up. No matter who starts between the pipes here for the Sens, look for it to be a long night. Calgary had scored 14 goals in four games before getting blanked by Toronto 2-0 on Saturday. Ottawa has just one win in its last six games. We’re not going to pretend the Flames are great, but this should be an easy two points. Play on CALGARY AAA |
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03-21-21 | Golden Knights -170 v. Kings | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 7* on VEGAS Vegas, despite winning five straight, can feel Colorado breathing down its neck as the Avalanche are on a six-game win streak and just three points back in the West Division. The Golden Knights could really use the two points here and we think they grab them as Los Angeles simply isn’t in their class. Vegas won the first game here at Staples Center, 4-2 on Friday. The Kings have just three victories in their last 11 games. They’ve played the Golden Knights three times so far and all three times they have gone down in defeat. The Golden Knights are 8-1 their last 9 as road favorites. This would be their eighth sweep of a back to back already, if they were to win tonight. During the five game win streak, they have scored a total of 21 goals. LA has just 12 goals in its last five contests. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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03-20-21 | Jets v. Oilers -128 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EDMONTON Edmonton is now tied with Toronto atop the all-Canadian North Division. The Oilers have 40 points and won two in a row, beating Calgary 7-3 and Winnipeg 2-1. We took them in that blowout rival of Alberta rival Calgary. Now they face Winnipeg again. Connor McDavid scored both goals in the last game. He has 58 points (20 goals, 38 assists) to lead the league. While Winnipeg is 8-0-1 following a regulation loss this season, we wonder how they’re going to perform on this long road trip, which just got started and won’t end until 3/29 in Calgary. The Jets have just two fewer points than the Oilers right now, but we believe the true gap in talent between these clubs is far greater. The Oilers have won five straight home games and the favorite has been victorious 7 of the last 10 times these teams have played. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
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03-18-21 | Wild v. Avalanche -143 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MINNESOTA Three teams look to be the class of the West Division. Two of them face off Thursday night as Colorado hosts Minnesota (Vegas is the other, for the record). Both teams here are on win streaks and have looked dominant. For Minnesota, it’s five straight wins which includes three shutouts. Colorado has won four in a row and scored eight goals in the last game. Something will have to give Thursday in Denver. We see the Avs getting the two points in what will be the first of two matchups this weekend between the clubs. (They also play Saturday). Something that is very impressive with the Avs team is that they have gone 17 consecutive games without allowing 30 shots on goal. Four times they haven’t allowed 20 shots. That’s how you win games. The Wild aren’t going to have defenseman Carson Soucy or forward Marcus Folingo on the ice tonight and those are two key absences. The entirety of their five-game win streak has been at home. Play on COLORADO AAA |
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03-17-21 | Oilers +106 v. Flames | Top | 7-3 | Win | 106 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 9* on EDMONTON The league’s two Alberta rivals renew pleasantries tonight with the Flames hosting the Oilers. In our view, the NHL’s all-Canadian team North Division has a pretty stark “dividing line” between the top four and bottom three. The top four all have goal differentials of +11 or higher while the bottom three teams have all been outscored this season. Edmonton is the top four, despite losing here in Calgary (4-3) Monday night. They’d previously beaten the Flames three straight times. Calgary is in the bottom three in the North, even though Monday was their third straight win overall. Their penalty kill is perfect since the coaching change, but that won’t last forever. With 1st place Toronto struggling, now is the time Edmonton must make its move toward the top of the division. They are 15-7 L22 overall and 9-2 L11 vs. losing teams. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
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03-17-21 | Flyers -126 v. Rangers | Top | 0-9 | Loss | -126 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHILADELPHIA Second meeting in three days between these teams. The Flyers won the first, by a score of 5-4, back on Monday. That win stretched their advantage over the Rangers to five points in the East Division. Philly needed the win after losing two games to Washington. The Rangers have just one win in their last five after a three-game win streak at the start of March. Those three wins were all against the bottom two in the division, however. Monday’s game did go to overtime, but only after the Flyers squandered an early two-goal advantage. Outside of a seven minute stretch where they found the back of the net three times, NY didn’t play very well. They were without defenseman Adam Fox and right winger Pavel Buchnevich and both remain on the COVID list. That’s a problem considering Fox leads the team in ice time while Buchnevich is tied for the team-high in points with 22. Philly is on a 40-15 run in games where they are favored. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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03-16-21 | Sabres v. Devils -157 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 9* on NEW JERSEY These are the bottom two teams in the East Division and going back to February 27th, they have just one win between them. That one win belongs to the Devils and it was on March 7th against Boston by a score of 1-0. They are 1-7-2 their L10 games and just dropped all three games vs. the Islanders, the last one going to a shootout. That’s actually better than Buffalo, who last won a game on February 23rd against … the Devils. Actually, their last two wins have both been against the Devils as they also beat them on Feb 20th. But an overtime loss to them (NJ) on Feb 25th began what is now an 11-game losing skid coming into tonight. Nine of those 11 Sabres’ losses have come in regulation as they’ve been outscored 47-17. They have been shutout each of the last two games, 3-0 by Pittsburgh on Sunday and 6-0 by Washington last night. You can’t do anything but fade Buffalo at this point, even if New Jersey doesn’t seem all that appealing in its own right. The Devils have lost 11 in a row on home ice, a franchise record, so you have to figure they’ll be super motivated to end that slide here against favorable opposition. Play on NEW JERSEY AAA |
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03-15-21 | Canucks -171 v. Senators | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 7* on VANCOUVER Ottawa is one of the worst teams in the league. In last place in the all-Canadian North Division, they have the NHL’s worst goal differential at -41. A few teams have less points on the season, but nobody has given up more goals and quite frankly it is not even close. The 124 allowed are 24 more than the next worst team! The fact they held on to defeat Toronto 4-3 last night with a goalie making his first career start is a minor miracle. We don’t expect them to win again tonight though. First off, they are 0-6 when playing on back-to-back days. Secondly, they are 1-6 after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. Thirdly, at no point this season have they won two straight games in regulation. With the exception of a 5-2 stretch in February where they won two in a row and then three in a row, the Sens have no win streaks all year. Vancouver, who has won four of its last five games, had Sunday off. They should easily take this game as they have beaten Ottawa in six of the last seven head to head matchups. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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