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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-07-17 | Heat v. Raptors OVER 206.5 | Top | 94-96 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Toronto on Friday night. The Heat have been wildly inconsistent lately, but I look for them to turn in a strong offensive performance in this spot. Note that they've scored 113 and 112 points in splitting their last two contests. The Raptors haven't slowed anyone down lately but the good news is, they got Kyle Lowry back in the lineup on Wednesday night in Detroit, and he helped them to a come-from-behind 105-102 victory. Note that the Raps are giving up over 103 points per game on the road this season while averaging north of 111 points themselves. This has been a fairly low-scoring series this season with each of the previous three meetings staying 'under' the total. That only serves to keep the total in check here, however. Take the over (10*). |
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04-06-17 | Wolves v. Blazers OVER 218.5 | Top | 98-105 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Northwest Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Portland at 10:30 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in the T'Wolves last game on Tuesday night in Oakland and I'll go right back to the well with the same play on Thursday night. Minnesota scored 107 points in a losing effort against the Warriors last time out - a game that would have been much higher scoring were it not for the outcome being virtually decided before the fourth quarter. The T'Wolves have now scored at least 100 points in seven straight games. Note that they are giving up north of 109 points per game on the road this season but do put up 104 points themselves. The Blazers got blasted by the Jazz in Utah on Tuesday, scoring only 87 points in the process. A return home should help their cause, as they've averaged just shy of 111 points per game on this floor. Keep in mind, we saw this same matchup in Minnesota on Monday night, and the result was a 110-109 T'Wolves victory. I'm anticipating an even higher-scoring affair in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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04-05-17 | Warriors v. Suns OVER 219.5 | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Phoenix at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday. We cashed a ticket on the 'over' in Oakland last night, and despite the back-to-back situation, I won't hesitate to go back to the well on Wednesday. Of course, the Warriors will give Andre Iguodala and Draymond Green the night off at the very least. That's why we're dealing with a considerably lower total than we saw in the last matchup between these two teams. Keep in mind, that contest totaled 247 points. I do expect the Suns to push the Warriors here and that should lend itself to a high-scoring affair. Note that Phoenix is giving up over 112 points per game on its home floor. Meanwhile, the Suns have averaged over 109 points per contest here themselves. Take the over (10*). |
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04-04-17 | Wolves v. Warriors OVER 218 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. Make it four straight 'over' results for the T'Wolves following last night's 110-109 win over the Blazers. I'm expecting more of the same on Tuesday night in Oakland. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 3-0 in this matchup so far this season. That helps to keep this total in check. Golden State has gotten back on a roll and it has done so on the strength of a tremendous scoring run. The Warriors are averaging 115 points per game on better than 51% shooting over their last five contests. Meanwhile, the T'Wolves are giving up over 112 points per contest on nearly 52% shooting over that same period. Things obviously won't get any easier here, but I do expect them to hang tough thanks to an offense that averages around 104 ppg on the road. Take the over (10*). |
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04-01-17 | Suns v. Blazers OVER 222 | Top | 117-130 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Portland at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Portland on Saturday night. The Suns are coming off a tough 124-118 loss in Los Angeles (against the Lakers) two nights ago as they continue to have no luck slowing down the opposition on the road. Phoenix checks in giving up a whopping 114 points per game on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Blazers are putting up over 110 points per contest while giving up around 107 per game at home. This has been a competitive series in recent years, with the most recent meeting here in Portland totaling 245 points back in November. Their next matchup reached only 211 points, helping keep this total in a more reasonable range. I'm anticipating a track meet. Take the over (10*). |
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03-19-17 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 208 | Top | 99-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Philadelphia at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. We're starting to see Celtics totals come down thanks to their recent run of 'unders'. We missed the mark with the 'over' in their last game on Friday night in Brooklyn but I won't hesitate to go back to the well as they head to Philadelphia to face the 76ers on Sunday afternoon. Note that the 'over' is a perfect 3-0 in this series this season. The last meeting produced 220 total points. The Celtics are just one game removed from a 117-point performance against Minnesota. They're averaging 106 points per game on the road while the 76ers give up just shy of 106 points per contest on their home floor. Philadelphia has scored 118, 104 and 116 points in its last three games. Take the over (10*). |
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03-17-17 | Celtics v. Nets OVER 219.5 | 98-95 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The first meeting between these two teams totaled just 203 points but that came way back in November. We're actually dealing with a higher posted total than we saw on that night this time around, but ti's warranted in my opinion. The Celtics saw their long run of 'unders' come to an end last time out as they defeated the T'Wolves by a 117-104 score. They'll hit the road here, where they average over 106 points per game but also give up 105. The Nets have been terrible defensively, giving up north of 112 points per game here at home. The good news is they're just a game removed from scoring 120 points in a victory over the Knicks. Expect a wild, high-scoring affair on Friday night. Take the over (10*). |
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03-15-17 | Mavs v. Wizards OVER 208 | 112-107 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Mavs have really struggled offensively over their last two games but I'm confident we'll see them bounce back in that regard, and get involved in a high-scoring affair in Washington on Wednesday night. Keep in mind, the Wizards are giving up over 105 points per game at home this season. That hasn't been much of an issue for the Wiz as they've put up north of 110 points per contest at home themselves. There's little reason to expect the Mavs to offer much resistance in this one. Dallas has seen the 'under' cash in its last three contests but runs into a Wiz squad that has posted a 7-0 o/u mark over their last seven games. Expect the latter to win out in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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03-14-17 | Pistons v. Cavs OVER 215 | 96-128 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Cleveland on Tuesday night. The Pistons haven't slowed many teams down on the road this season, giving up right around 105 points per game. I don't expect them to offer much resistance against what will be a highly-motivated Cavs squad on Tuesday night. Cleveland let one slip away against the Rockets in Houston on Sunday, blowing a halftime lead en route to a wild 117-112 loss. The Cavs should bounce back here at home where they average a whopping 113 points per game this season. On the flip side, the previously defensive-minded Cavs have given up 104 points per contest on their home floor. These two teams played 'under' the total in last week's meeting, but we're dealing with a lower posted total this time around. I'm not sure the move is warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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03-13-17 | Wizards v. Wolves UNDER 214.5 | 104-119 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Monday. We're dealing with a fairly high total in this matchup. Of course, it's not hard to figure out why as the Wizards have seen each of their last six games go 'over' the total. I don't see that streak continuing here, however. In fact, I'm confident we'll see one, if not both of these teams struggle a little bit offensively. For the Wiz, they'll be wrapping up what has already been a successful five-game road trip. How much can they have left in the tank after consecutive overtime games in Sacramento and Portland? Well beneath most bettors' radar, the T'Wolves have seen the 'under' cash in each of their last six contests. The first meeting between these two teams this season went 'over' the total, but we're dealing with a higher number this time around as a result. I don't believe it's warranted. Take the under (10*). |
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03-12-17 | Cavs v. Rockets UNDER 232.5 | 112-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and Houston at 8:05 pm et on Sunday. While this sets up as a track meet on paper, I believe the total will simply prove to be too high. The Cavs were involved in an up and down affair in Orlando last night, ultimately winning 116-104 and I'm not sure they'll be all that interested in a break neck pace here on Sunday. Meanwhile, the Rockets have quietly been trending to the 'under' lately, posting a 3-4-1 o/u mark over their last eight contests. The first meeting between these two teams totaled a whopping 248 points back in November but we're dealing with a much higher posted total this time around. Take the under (10*). |
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03-08-17 | Pistons v. Pacers OVER 205.5 | Top | 98-115 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Indiana at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in Indiana on Wednesday night. We actually won with the 'under' the last time these two teams met, right here in Indiana back in early February. The Pacers won that game in a blowout. I'm anticipating a more tightly-contested affair on Wednesday, and that lends itself to a higher-scoring contest as well. The Pistons are fresh off back-to-back wins, scoring 136 and 109 points in the process. Note that Detroit is giving up just under 105 points per game on the road this season, which should open the door for a bounce-back performance from the Pacers offense. Indiana averages just shy of 107 points per contest here at home. While the Pacers have been lagging offensively, I look for them to pick up the pace here and set the tone early. We're dealing with a lower posted total than the last meeting, but I don't believe the shift is warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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03-05-17 | Pelicans v. Lakers OVER 214 | 105-97 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New Orleans and Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' at Staples Center on Sunday. The Pelicans have been wildly inconsistent lately, and maybe that's to be expected after bringing DeMarcus Cousins into the fold prior to the trade deadline. I do expect to see New Orleans enjoy plenty of offensive success in this game, however, as the Lakers haven't slowed anyone down, allowing nearly 109 points per game at home this season. The Pelicans haven't been much better in that regard away from home, giving up just shy of 105 points per contest. The oddsmakers have made an adjustment to this total after the last matchup between these two teams yielded only 193 points. However, it's worth noting that their first matchup this season reached 225 points. Take the over (10*). |
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03-03-17 | Celtics v. Lakers OVER 219.5 | 115-95 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Friday. I don't expect to see much defense played in this East-West matchup on Friday night. The Celtics are coming off a hard-fought victory over the Cavs that turned out to be considerably lower-scoring than most expected, including myself. I do look for a return to form here, however, noting that the C's have posted a 31-28-2 o/u mark this season. Note that Boston is allowing around 105 points per game, while averaging north of 106 ppg on the road this season. The Lakers certainly haven't enjoyed much defensive success, allowing over 108 points per contest on their home floor. Offensively, they've been lagging a little bit of late, but I'm confident they can bounce back against a C's squad that is in a letdown spot on Friday. Take the over (10*). |
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03-02-17 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 220 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 27 h 33 m | Show |
NBA on TNT Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Portland at 10:30 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in Portland's last game - a wild 120-113 overtime loss in Detroit on Tuesday. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. The Thunder have seen the 'over' cash in six of their last seven games overall. Their defense has lagged lately and has struggled all season on the road, giving up 108 points per contest. Meanwhile, the Blazers won't shy away from a high-scoring affair as they average 109 ppg themselves while giving up right around 108 ppg here at home. The first two meetings between these two teams this season have cruised 'under' the total. I expect a different story to unfold here. Take the over (10*). |
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03-01-17 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 221.5 | 99-103 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Boston at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The oddsmakers continue to raise this total but I'm not sure they've set it high enough in this, the third matchup between the Cavs and Celtics this season. The 'over' has cashed in three straight meetings in this series going back to last year, and I look for that trend to continue here. The Cavs turned in a stellar defensive effort against the Bucks last time out - that performance coming on the heels of a rough stretch defensively. But it's worth noting that they've allowed over 108 points per game on the road this season. The Celtics were flat at home against the Hawks in their last game, but should bounce back with a strong performance here. Note that they're averaging just shy of 110 points per contest at home this season. After dropping their first two matchups against the Cavs I look for them to give Cleveland a run here, and that lends itself to a high-scoring affair in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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02-28-17 | Blazers v. Pistons OVER 214.5 | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' at the Palace of Auburn Hills on Tuesday night. The Blazers are coming off a spirited but ultimately a losing effort in Toronto on Sunday. Despite their struggles to find the win column, the Blazers have continued to perform well offensively for the most part. Here, they'll face a Pistons squad that couldn't get the stops they needed down the stretch against the Celtics last time out. Detroit is putting up just shy of 104 points per game at home this season while Portland has given up a whopping 111.8 points per contest on the road. The first meeting between these two teams this season came in January - a game the Pistons won by a 125-124 score in overtime in Portland. Take the over (10*). |
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02-27-17 | Wolves v. Kings OVER 211.5 | 102-88 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Sacramento at 10:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Sacramento on Monday night. We missed the mark with the 'over' in the Kings blowout loss to the Hornets at home on Saturday. However, I won't hesitate to go back to the well in this spot. The T'Wolves are coming off a loss to the Rockets that saw a grand total of 272 points scored. They're giving up around 109 points per game on the road this season so that should open the door for the Kings to bust out again offensively. Remember, Sacramento scored 116 points in their first game back after the break - at home against the Nuggets. The Kings aren't doing much to stop anyone at home, giving up just shy of 106 points per contest. Things won't get any easier against the high-flying Wolves. Take the over (10*). |
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02-27-17 | Heat v. Mavs OVER 199.5 | 89-96 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Dallas on Monday night. Despite the fact that the 'under' has cashed in five straight meetings in this series, this total has held steady since a low-scoring affair in their first matchup this season. I'm anticipating a more offensive-minded contest here. The Heat are rolling right now. We won with them in Friday's rout of the Hawks in Atlanta and they followed that up with a big home win over the Pacers. They've scored at least 106 points in 10 straight games. Meanwhile, the Mavs have been involved in a number of slugfests lately but should find some room to operate on Monday against a Heat squad that allows over 102 points per game on the road. Take the over (10*). |
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02-25-17 | Hornets v. Kings OVER 208.5 | 99-85 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Charlotte and Sacramento at 5:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Sacramento on Saturday afternoon. The Hornets saw their five-game under streak come to an end last time out. Of course, that result against the Pistons needed overtime to get 'over' the number. I don't believe we'll need any extra time on Saturday. The Hornets are averaging 104 points per game on the road this season and face a Kings squad that gives up 106 points per contest at home. The Kings played with plenty of jump against the Nuggets on Thursday, thanks in large part to newcomer Buddy Hield. Sacramento has now won five of its last six games overall. The last meeting between these two teams totaled 215 points in January and while we're dealing with a higher total this time around, I believe it's warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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02-16-17 | Celtics v. Bulls OVER 212 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
NBA on TNT Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Chicago at 8 pm et on Thursday. The last time these two teams met they combined to score 207 points. Yet, we're actually dealing with a higher posted total this time around. I do believe it's warranted, however. The Celtics have been one of the best 'over' bets in the NBA this season. They come into this game on a roll having won four games in a row, scoring at least 111 points in each of those contests. I'm confident they'll keep it rolling against a Bulls squad that while known for its defense in recent years, has allowed north of 101 points per game at home this season. The Bulls responded well following a three-game losing streak, posting a 105-94 win over the Raptors on Tuesday. That was a relatively low-scoring result by this year's NBA standards, but it was almost entirely due to an abnormally offensively-challenged first quarter. Add in the fact that the Raps have been sputtering offensively. The Bulls won't be afforded the same breather against the Celtics here. Take the over (10*). |
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02-15-17 | Heat v. Rockets OVER 222 | Top | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Houston at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in Houston on Wednesday night. The Heat are coming off back-to-back high-scoring affairs - both losing efforts against the 76ers and Magic. They continue to light up the scoreboard, having put up at least 106 points in seven straight games. They should have little trouble keeping that up against a Rockets defense that allows over 105 points per game at home and certainly doesn't shy away from track meets. To say that Houston has scored at will at home this season would be an understatement. Here, the Rockets are averaging 116 points per contest. The first meeting between these two teams this season wasn't exactly a barn-burner as the Heat prevailed by a 109-103 score at home. We're dealing with a slightly higher posted total this time around, but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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02-13-17 | Thunder v. Wizards OVER 217 | 98-120 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Washington at 8 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Washington on Monday. The Thunder are coming off an emotionally-charged loss to the Warriors at home on Saturday night and could certainly come out flat in this spot, but I don't see it happening. Despite their poor road record, the Thunder are still scoring over 100 points per game away from home this season. Meanwhile, the Wizards have been one of the league's best 'over' bets, giving up just under 105 points per contest at home, while averaging north of 110 ppg themselves. The first meeting between these two teams this season reached 241 total points, but needed overtime to get there. Note that the last matchup between these two in Washington totaled 226 points last season. Take the over (10*). |
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02-12-17 | Pistons v. Raptors OVER 211 | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Toronto at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Toronto on Sunday. These two teams played 'over' a much lower posted total back in October - we won with the Raptors on that night. So we're dealing with a higher number this time around but I believe it's warranted. The Pistons have been inconsistent at both ends of the floor lately but looking at the entire campaign, they've been pretty miserable defensively, particularly on the road. I don't see them slowing down the Raptors here. Toronto on the other hand has allowed 109 and 112 points over its last two contests, and gives up just under 104 points per game at home this season. Note that Detroit has scored at least 107 points in five of its last seven meetings with Toronto. Take the over (10*). |
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02-11-17 | Celtics v. Jazz OVER 203.5 | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Utah at 10:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in the Celtics last game - a 120-111 win in Portland on Thursday night. Boston was undermanned in that game but persevered. I expect another strong performance from the Celtics on Saturday night, but I'm not convinced they can hold off the Jazz, who will be highly-motivated following a tough overtime loss in Dallas last time out. Utah is in strong form offensively, having scored over 100 points in five straight games. Of course, the Celtics have been high-flying all season, averaging nearly 107 points per game on the road. The problem is, they've also given up right around 106 points per contest away from home. The Jazz are an excellent defensive team but they gave up 115 points in their first meeting with the C's this season. Take the over (10*). |
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02-10-17 | Lakers v. Bucks OVER 219.5 | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Milwaukee at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Milwaukee on Friday night. The Bucks may have lost Jabari Parker, but they should have little trouble scoring at will against a hapless Lakers defense. Los Angeles is giving up a whopping 112.2 points per game on the road this season. Note that Milwaukee is averaging just shy of 109 ppg at home. The problem for the Bucks here is that the Lakers are playing pretty good offensive basketball right now, having scored over 100 points in five straight games. The Bucks are giving up around 106 points per contest at home. These two teams simply haven't played 'over' a total this high in recent years, but we're talking about two different Lakers and Bucks squads right now. I believe the seemingly lofty total is warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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02-09-17 | Celtics v. Blazers OVER 219.5 | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Boston and Portland at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. We won with the ‘over’ the last time these two teams met back in January as the Blazers pulled out a wild 127-123 overtime victory. I’m anticipating another high-scoring affair on Thursday night as the scene shifts to Portland and while we’re dealing with a higher posted total, I believe it’s warranted. The Celtics are coming off an ugly loss in Sacramento last night but let’s not get down on them as it was their first loss in their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Blazers are fresh off a thrilling 114-113 win in Dallas on Tuesday night. Portland did lose Evan Turner to a broken hand in that one and his absence will be felt. I’m just not sure it makes a difference in terms of tonight’s outcome as the Blazers should be able to take advantage of a C’s squad playing the second of back-to-back nights. Expect an up and down affair for four quarters. Take the over (10*). |
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02-07-17 | Nets v. Hornets UNDER 219 | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Brooklyn and Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. Full write-ups will return on Wednesday. Both of these teams are capable of enduring defensive lapses - in fact, it's been the norm this season. But both are preaching tightening things up defensively and I believe the number will be too high on Tuesday night in Charlotte. The Hornets need to play with a sense of urgency on the heels of seven straight losses, and that lends itself to a lower-scoring affair I believe. Take the under (10*). |
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02-04-17 | Pistons v. Pacers OVER 210.5 | 84-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Indiana at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. Let's try this again. We've missed the mark with the 'over' in the Pacers last two games but I'm confident the third time will be a charm so to speak. Detroit isn't stopping anyone right now, but it is playing well offensively, and as a result comes in off back-to-back victories including a win over the T'Wolves just last night. Meanwhile, the Pacers are brimming with confidence off five consecutive wins, fueled by back-to-back strong defensive efforts against the Magic and Nets. I do believe they'll face a tougher test here, however. The last meeting between these two teams came early last month and totaled a whopping 237 points. As a result, we're dealing with a higher posted total this time around, and it's warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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02-03-17 | Pacers v. Nets OVER 221 | 106-97 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Brooklyn on Friday night. We missed the mark with the 'over' in the Pacers most recent game - a 98-88 victory over the Magic on Wednesday night. Indiana slogged its way to a victory in that one, but wasn't all that sharp offensively. Still, the Pacers managed to put up just shy of 100 points, a number they should have little trouble improving on against the Nets, who are giving up nearly 112 points per game at home this season. Of course, Brooklyn will have its opportunities as well, facing a Pacers squad that owns a losing record on the road, giving up 108.6 points per contest. Note that the last meeting between these two teams totaled 230 points back on January 5th. Both teams have leaned to the 'over' this season and that's a trend I see continuing here. Take the over (10*). |
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02-01-17 | Pacers v. Magic OVER 211.5 | 98-88 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Orlando at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in Orlando on Wednesday. The first meeting between these teams totaled 221 points back on New Year's Day, but we've only seen a slight adjustment to the total as a result. The Pacers aren't stopping anyone defensively right now, but for that matter, neither are the Magic. Indiana checks in allowing just shy of 110 points per game on the road. For their part, Orlando is giving up nearly 103 points per contest at home. Interestingly enough, the Magic offense has struggled here at home, averaging just north of 97 ppg. I do anticipate them finding plenty of open looks against a non-existent Pacers defense, however. Take the over (10*). |
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01-31-17 | Hornets v. Blazers OVER 214 | 98-115 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Charlotte and Portland at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Portland on Tuesday night. The Hornets have seen the 'over' cash in their last two games and check in having allowed 106 points per game on the road this season. That should open the door for a Blazers team that averages just shy of 109 points per contest at home, and one that has gotten more efficient with each passing game during its current homestand. Portland fell just short in a 113-111 decision at home against the Warriors last time out. The Blazers are 2-1 since returning home last week, and while the 'under' went 2-1 in those three contests, they've still posted a 28-21 o/u mark this season. The last time these two teams met back on January 18th, the Blazers were essentially a no-show in a 107-85 setback. We're dealing with a lower posted total this time around, but I don't believe the shift is warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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01-29-17 | Rockets v. Pacers OVER 225 | 101-120 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Indiana at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Indiana on Sunday evening. The Rockets are coming off a wild 123-118 win over the 76ers on Friday. That, of course, was nothing out of the ordinary as they've been involved in so many track meets this season. Houston is giving up over 110 points per game on the road this season and should be vulnerable against a Pacers squad that averages over 107 ppg at home. The Pacers have seen the 'under' go 5-2 in their last seven contests but have still posted a 26-20 o/u mark this season. This is the first meeting between these two teams this season and I'm not sure the oddsmakers can set the total high enough. Take the over (10*). |
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01-29-17 | Wizards v. Pelicans OVER 218 | 107-94 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and New Orleans at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in New Orleans on Sunday. The Wizards have posted a lopsided 28-18 o/u mark this season and I look for that trend to continue in this spot. Washington is on fire offensively and shouldn't be slowed by a Pelicans defense that allows just shy of 108 points per game at home this season. On the flip side, the Wiz are giving up just under 107 points per contest on the road. Washington gave up only 86 points in a rout of the Hawks on Friday night, but here I believe it will face a tougher test as the Pelicans are gaining confidence having won five of their last nine contests. Take the over (10*). |
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01-26-17 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 229 | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Denver at 9:05 pm et on Thursday. This is by far the highest total in this series this season but it's warranted in my opinion. The Suns are coming off a heartbreaking last second loss to the T'Wolves at home on Tuesday. They continue to play some of their best offensive basketball of the season but haven't shown any signs of turning things around defensively. While they're averaging over 106 points per game on the road, they're also giving up a whopping 112.3. Of course, that plays right into the hands of the Nuggets, who average nearly 113 ppg at home while allowing north of 112 as well. They did limit the Jazz to only 93 points last time out but don't count on a repeat performance here. The last meeting between these two teams in late November totaled 234 points. I believe this one has the potential to finish even higher than that. Take the over (10*). |
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01-25-17 | Knicks v. Mavs OVER 204 | 95-103 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New York and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in Dallas on Wednesday night. The Knicks have seen both teams score over 100 points in each of their last six games and that's a trend I see continuing here. Note that New York is giving up over 110 points per game on the road this season. While the Mavs offensive numbers haven't been great this season, they've been playing some of their best basketball in that regard lately, most recently putting up 122 points in a rout of the Lakers here at home. We saw only 170 points in the first meeting between these two teams this season but that came back in November. That result only serves to keep the number in check in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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01-23-17 | Rockets v. Bucks OVER 223 | 114-127 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Milwaukee at 8:05 pm et on Monday. The Rockets are one of the best offensive teams in the league and they're coming off another tremendous effort, scoring 119 points against the Grizzlies last time out. The Bucks haven't played much defense at all lately and I don't see that changing here. However, Milwaukee should stay in this game on the strength of an offense that averages nearly 109 points per game at home. The first meeting between these two teams this season came less than a week ago as the Rockets delivered a lopsided 111-92 home win over the Bucks. We're dealing with a lower posted total this time around but I'm not sure it's warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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01-23-17 | Spurs v. Nets OVER 216 | 112-86 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in Brooklyn on Monday night. The Spurs are coming off a wild overtime win over the Cavs in Cleveland on Saturday night. They're suddenly surging and while a letdown could be in order against the lowly Nets, I don't expect their offense to face much resistance. If anything they could come out a little lax at the defensive end of the floor and open the door for another high-scoring affair. Note that the Nets are giving up nearly 113 points per game at home this season. Brooklyn has held its own offensively though, scoring almost 105 ppg here at home. The first meeting between these two teams this season produced 231 points back on December 10th. Take the over (10*). |
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01-21-17 | Blazers v. Celtics OVER 220 | 127-123 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Boston at 5:05 pm et on Saturday. Quick turnaround for the Blazers here after playing in Philadelphia on Friday night, but I still expect them to show up offensively and for this one to sail 'over' the total. Note that the Blazers are getting torched for around 113 points per game on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Celtics are averaging over 107 points per contest while giving up 105 per game at home. We're talking about two of the better 'over' bets in the league in this matchup, and despite the early start, I don't expect them to disappoint. The last meeting in this series totaled 225 points. Take the over (10*). |
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01-19-17 | Suns v. Cavs OVER 219 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll call the oddsmakers' bluff in this one. When these two teams met in Phoenix last week, they combined to score 236 total points. But we're actually dealing with a slightly lower total this time around. The thinking here is that the Suns won't enjoy the same level of offensive success while the Cavs are banged-up with Kevin Love possibly forced to miss this game on Thursday night. I'm not sure it matters. Keep in mind, the Suns are giving up 113.5 points per game on the road while the Cavs average right around the same number offensively at home. But we haven't really seen the Cavs clamp down defensively at home they way they have in recent years. They're still giving up almost 103 ppg here at the Q. This hasn't been a particularly high-scoring series with the 'under' going 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings. I expect a change of pace here, however. Take the over (10*). |
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01-18-17 | Thunder v. Warriors OVER 227 | Top | 100-121 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. This game will obviously garner a lot of attention and for good reason. Kevin Durant faces his former team and while the first meeting between these two teams this season was a bit of a dud with the Warriors running away and hiding, I'm anticipating a more competitive affair here - and that lends itself to the 'over' as far as I'm concerned. The Thunder were crushed by 22 points against the Clippers in L.A. last time out. I expect them to respond favorably here. They're averaging over 103 points per game on the road this season and will face a Warriors defense that gives up over 105. Golden State won't be short on confidence after crushing the Cavs on Monday night here at Oracle Arena. They're putting up over 121 points per game at home this season and won't face much resistance here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-18-17 | Blazers v. Hornets OVER 215 | 85-107 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in the Hornets' Nest on Wednesday night. We won with the 'over' in the Blazers last game as they fell in blowout fashion in Washington on Monday afternoon. Portland was essentially a no-show in that game. I expect to see it put forth a better effort here, particularly at the offensive end of the floor. The Hornets have dropped five games in a row so they'll certainly be up for this one. They haven't been an offensive juggernaut by any means this season, averaging just north of 105 points per game at home this season, but they should be able to bust out against a Blazers defense that gives up 113 ppg on the road. Take the over (10*). |
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01-17-17 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 228 | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in Los Angeles on Tuesday night. The Nuggets are on quite a run of 'overs' right now, having posted a 7-0 o/u mark over their last seven contests. I don't believe that streak will be in jeopardy on Tuesday. Denver is giving up just shy of 109 points per game on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Lakers are averaging over 108 points per contest at home. However, they haven't scored more than 97 points in any of their last four games. But here they should be afforded the opportunity to do so. They've put up at least 105 points in each of the last four meetings in this series. On the flip side, don't count on the Lakers to offer much defensive resistance here. The Nuggets have routinely approached or eclipsed the 120-point mark in this series over the years and the Lakers certainly haven't gotten any better defensively. We're dealing with a very high total here but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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01-16-17 | Blazers v. Wizards OVER 220 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Washington at 2:05 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'over' in the nation's capital on Monday afternoon. The Blazers aren't stopping, or even slowing down anyone on the road this season, giving up nearly 113 points per game. The good news is, they have held their own offensively, even on the highway, scoring around 107 points per contest. I believe they can make some headway against a vulnerable Wizards defense here. Washington is giving up 104 ppg while scoring 108 ppg at home this season. The Wiz have caught favorable matchups in their last two home games, hosting the Bulls and 76ers. Things get a little tougher against an up-tempo opponent here. The Blazers should be in a foul mood following a 115-109 home loss to the Magic last time out. Take the over (10*). |
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01-15-17 | Rockets v. Nets UNDER 232 | 137-112 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Brooklyn at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in Brooklyn on Sunday evening. I just don't believe that we'll see both offenses 'show up', or at least bust out in this matchup. The Rockets are off surprising back-to-back losses. They're quite simply giving up too many points right now while their offense has faced some sudden resistance following an incredible run. Meanwhile, the Nets have lost nine games in a row, scoring over 100 points only three times over that stretch. They allowed a whoppoing 132 points in their last game in Toronto on Friday night. I don't think they'll be all that interested in another track meet against Houston, knowing full well they won't be able to keep up for four quarters. Take the under (10*). |
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01-12-17 | Mavs v. Suns OVER 201.5 | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Phoenix at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Phoenix on Thursday night. The concern here obviously is that the Mavs may not put up enough offense to help this total along. However, I do expect them to bounce back from a string of poor offensive showings during a three-game slide, noting that the Suns are giving up over 113 points per game at home this season. The oddsmakers have made an adjustment since the first meeting between these two teams, which came less than a week ago in Dallas. I simply feel they've made too much of an adjustment, especially when you consider the Suns are off a wild 120-116 losing effort against the Cavs. The last time these two teams hooked up in Phoenix they combined to score 206 points, with the Mavs contributing 111. I'm confident we'll see a higher-scoring affair than the oddsmakers are calling for here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-11-17 | Grizzlies v. Thunder OVER 204.5 | Top | 95-103 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Memphis and Oklahoma City at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in Oklahoma City on Wednesday night. Memphis is coming off a very low-scoring affair against Utah last time out but I expect a different story to unfold here. Note that while the Grizzlies are averaging over 102 points per game on the road this season, they're also giving up over 104. I believe they'll have a tough time handling the Thunder offense on Wednesday. Oklahoma City has won back-to-back games, scoring 121 and 109 points in the process. The Thunder are putting up over 110 points per game at home this season while giving up over 102 points per contest. OKC was a no show the last time these two teams met in December, scoring just 80 points in a 34-point rout. I certainly expect a better showing from the Thunder here and that lends itself to a high-scoring affair. Take the over (10*). |
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01-10-17 | Celtics v. Raptors OVER 218 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. The Celtics have seen the 'over' cash in 10 straight games and I don't see Toronto being the setting where that streak comes to an end. Raptors head coach Dwane Casey admitted that his team's schedule may be catching up to it a little right now following a poor fourth quarter performance against the Rockets on Sunday. Simply put, the Raptors aren't stopping anyone defensively right now, and will have their hands full with a Celtics team that is rolling along - fresh off four straight wins. Of course, Toronto has been one of the best 'over' bets in the league this season, posting a 24-13 o/u mark. The first meeting between these two teams totaled only 195 points in Boston back in the second week of December. We're dealing with a much higher posted total this time around, but I believe it's warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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01-09-17 | Thunder v. Bulls OVER 207 | 109-94 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Monday. Last year's two meetings in this series went 'under' the total and as a result we're dealing with a fairly reasonable number this time around. Of course, we've been on board with the 'over' in each of the Thunder's last three games - with all three playing 'over' the total. We also cashed with the 'over' in the Bulls last game - a 123-118 win over the Raptors in overtime on Saturday. Both teams are playing with confidence and both are capable of hanging a crooked number on the scoreboard. Note that the Thunder are giving up over 108 points per game on the road this season, so that opens the door for a Bulls squad that is playing some of its best offensive basketball right now. As long as the Thunder have Russell Westbrook in the fold, they'll be pushing the pace. Take the over (10*). |
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01-07-17 | Nuggets v. Thunder OVER 218.5 | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and Oklahoma City at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Oklahoma City on Saturday night. We won with the 'over' in the Thunder's narrow loss in Houston on Thursday night and will go right back to the well here as they return home to host the Nuggets. Denver is quite simply one of the worst defensive teams in the league. The Nuggets will offer little resistance against the Thunder's up-tempo offense. Denver didn't put its best foot forward offensively last time out, scoring just 99 points in a home loss to the Spurs. I'm confident we'll see the Nuggets respond favorably against a weak Thunder defense here. The first meeting between these two teams this season was an overtime barn-burner that reached 261 total points. Expect another wild one on Saturday night. Take the over (10*). |
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01-07-17 | Raptors v. Bulls OVER 207.5 | Top | 118-123 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. The 'over' has cashed in the last seven meetings in this series, and I'm not sure the oddsmakers have made enough of an adjustment to the total here. The Raptors have seen the 'under' cash in their last two games, and six of their last nine overall, in fact. But they've still posted a 22-13 o/u mark this season. They're averaging just shy of 108 points per game while giving up 105 on the road. The Bulls are fresh off back-to-back big offensive performances, scoring 118 and 106 points in consecutive wins. Their home games are averaging just 200 points or so, but I expect them to get drawn into a higher-scoring affair here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-06-17 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 215 | 128-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Memphis and Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Friday. So here we go again. Scoring is up across the league with track meets becoming the norm. Now obviously the Grizzlies aren't a prime candidate to get involved in too many of those type of games, but you wouldn't know it by their recent results. At least one of the two teams has scored at least 112 points in each of their last seven contests. I'm not sure they'll be able to help themselves against the Warriors on Friday, noting that Memphis delivered a stunning 110-89 win as a 13-point underdog at home against Golden State in December. Of course, the Warriors are rolling along right now, winners of four games in a row - all coming at home. They're comfortable here at Oracle Arena, where they average well over 120 points per game. I don't expect the Grizzlies will be able to provide much resistance, even though they are getting healthier. Take the over (10*). |
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01-05-17 | Thunder v. Rockets OVER 225 | 116-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Houston at 8 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in the Thunder's 11-point loss in Charlotte last night and while playing on the second of back-to-back nights isn't ideal for OKC, I do expect it to do enough offensively to help this one along. I'm probably beginning to sound like a broken record but the fact remains, scoring is up in the NBA this season with track meets becoming the norm. I expect nothing different in this showdown of up-tempo offensive squads. The Rockets are coming off a relatively low-scoring victory over the Wizards but we should see a return to 'normal' on Thursday. The last meeting in this series producing just 201 total points on December 9th is helping to keep the total in check. Take the over (10*). |
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01-04-17 | Thunder v. Hornets OVER 209 | Top | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. If you've followed my picks regularly this season, you may be sensing a theme. High-scoring games have been the norm in the NBA, and I'm anticipating another track meet on Wednesday night as the Thunder visit the Hornets. Oklahoma City has struggled in its last couple of road games, but should find some room to operate offensively in this one, noting that Charlotte has given up over 101 points per game at home this season and has seen the 'over' cash in four of its last five contests. The Thunder are giving up over 107 points per contest on the road, but do eclipse the century mark on average themselves. The 'under' cashed in both meetings between these two teams last season but they haven't matched up since. I expect a different story to unfold here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-02-17 | Nuggets v. Warriors OVER 227.5 | 119-127 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Monday. The NBA has been a high-scoring league this season. There's no denying that. And we've made plenty of money backing 'overs' along the way. The same logic applies Monday night in Oakland. The Nuggets are one of the best 'over' bets in the league, having posted a 22-10-1 o/u mark. They're coming off a wild 124-122 loss against the lowly 76ers at home on Friday. I don't see them slowing down the Warriors here. With that being said, I do believe Denver can keep pace much of the way. Despite their dominance, the Warriors are still giving up over 104 points per game at home. The first meeting between these two teams this season totaled 226 points. Expect an even higher-scoring affair on Monday. Take the over (10*). |
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12-30-16 | Pistons v. Hawks OVER 201.5 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Atlanta at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Atlanta on Friday night. The Hawks are coming off a sluggish performance in their first game back home following a long road trip, but they did still prevail by a 102-98 score in overtime against the Knicks. I look for them to break loose offensively as they welcome the Pistons to Philips Arena on Friday. Detroit got lit up for 119 points in a blowout loss at home against Milwaukee last time out. I do expect the Pistons to respond favorably here. Note that these two teams combined to score 206 points in their first meeting this season. We're dealing with a higher posted total this time around, but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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12-29-16 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 215 | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Cleveland at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Cavs put up just 90 points in a losing effort in Detroit on Monday night, but that was without Lebron James in the lineup. I fully expect them to bounce back at home on Thursday against the Celtics, particularly at the offensive end of the floor. Keep in mind, the first meeting in this series this season went 128-122 in favor of the Cavs here in Cleveland. We're dealing with a considerably higher posted total this time around, but it's warranted in my opinion. Boston has seen the 'over' cash in each of its last five contests. While the Celtics have scored at least 109 points in five straight games, they've also allowed 102. Look for another track meet to develop in Cleveland. Take the over (10*). |
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12-28-16 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 225 | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Golden State at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' at Oracle Arena on Wednesday night. The Raptors are coming off back-to-back relatively low-scoring affairs but have still posted a 20-10 o/u record this season. Meanwhile, the Warriors have been on an 'under' tear, but I expect to see a return to normal as they return home. Note that they've scored at least 108 points while giving up at least 101 in each of their last three contests. They should have little trouble putting up points against a vulnerable Raptors defense. On the flip side, I'm not sure we'll see Golden State come out with too much fire defensively in its first game back following a long holiday road trip. Note that the first meeting between these two teams this season totaled 248 points. Take the over (10*). |
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12-26-16 | Suns v. Rockets OVER 228.5 | 115-131 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Houston at 8:05 pm et on Monday. I'm not sure that the oddsmakers can set this total high enough. When these two teams met last week in Phoenix they combined to score 236 points. The 'over' is now 6-1 in the last seven meetings in this series. Neither team has been on the floor since Friday night, but I don't expect any sort of rust to show from the layoff. Both teams will look to get out and run at every opportunity and this one should sail 'over' the high total. Take the over (10*). |
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12-23-16 | Hawks v. Nuggets OVER 221 | 109-108 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Denver at 9:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Denver on Friday night. The Hawks are coming off an ugly showing in a home loss to the T'Wolves. Perhaps they could be forgiven for that poor performance as they were in the midst of a busy stretch and fresh off a big road win in Oklahoma City two nights earlier. I expect to see a much sharper game from the Hawks offense here. The Nuggets had their three-game winning streak stopped in a 119-102 road loss to the Clippers last time out. Note that the 'over' has cashed in their last six contests. Denver can certainly score here at home, where it averages just shy of 113 points per game. Unfortunately (or fortunately for our purposes), they're also giving up 112.9 points per contest at home. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season. While there's not a lot of familiarity between the two, we have seen some high-scoring affairs in recent years. Take the over (10*). |
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12-22-16 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 211 | 109-102 | Push | 0 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Indiana at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Indiana on Wednesday night. The Pacers are coming off back-to-back poor defensive efforts against the Wizards and Knicks but should bounce back following an off day on Tuesday. The Celtics have put up a lot of points over their last two games, but needed overtime to get there on both occasions. In the big picture, Boston hasn't really been performing all that well offensively in recent weeks. Note that the C's have posted an 11-17 o/u record this season. The Pacers last two 'over' results snapped a four-game 'under' streak. The 'under' is a perfect 7-0 in the last seven meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). |
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12-21-16 | Thunder v. Pelicans OVER 207 | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in the Big Easy on Wednesday night. We should be in for an entertaining game between these two up-tempo squads. Oklahoma City has been on an 'under' run to be sure, but last time out we saw the 'over' cash as the Thunder were defeated by a 110-108 score against the Hawks. I do look for OKC to keep it rolling offensively in this one, but I'm not convinced they can hold down the Pelicans offense. New Orleans comes in confident off a 108-93 win over the 76ers on the road. The Pelicans will be happy to be back home following a tough 1-2 road trip that included losses against the Spurs and Rockets. Note that they're averaging right around 107 points per game at home, but also allowing north of 108. A meeting between these two teams earlier this month produced only 193 points. Their last matchup here in New Orleans, however, totaled 242 points. Take the over (10*). |
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12-17-16 | Suns v. Thunder OVER 214 | 101-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Oklahoma City at 5:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Oklahoma City on Saturday afternoon. The Thunder were virtual no shows in their last two games - both on the road. They should bounce back strong back at home, however, where they average nearly 109 points per game. By contrast, the Suns are giving up a whopping 115 ppg on the road. Phoenix can score though. Even on the road, the Suns offense has thrived, putting up nearly 109 points per contest. The most recent meeting between these two teams on this floor totaled 228 points. The Suns have been one of the best 'over' bets in the league this season, posting an 18-8 o/u mark. The Thunder have seen the 'under' cash in eight of their last nine contests but I believe that trend will start to reverse here. Take the over (10*). |
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12-16-16 | Hawks v. Raptors OVER 213.5 | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Toronto on Friday. These two teams met less than two weeks ago as the Raptors routed the Hawks by a 128-84 score. We're dealing with a higher posted total this time around, but I believe it's warranted. Atlanta can't get any stops right now, as evidenced by its 131-120 loss to Orlando last time out. Likewise, the Raptors haven't exactly been defensive stalwarts this season. But they can score. Both teams can score, in fact. While the Hawks have posted a 10-15 o/u record this season, the Raptors have gone 18-7 to the 'over'. I believe we'll see Toronto set the pace at home in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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12-13-16 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 218 | 95-114 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oklahoma City and Portland at 10:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'm certainly not in the minority in calling for a high-scoring affair at the Moda Center on Tuesday night. But that doesn't mean that the 'over' is the wrong play. Simply put, I don't anticipate much hard-nosed defense being played in this one - in fact, we should see none of the sort. The Thunder are coming off a relatively low-scoring win over the Celtics and have now secured victories in seven of their last 10 games overall. Russell Westbrook's triple-double streak came to an end in that most recent contest but he's not about to hang his head as he still poured in 37 points. For the Blazers, this is a key spot as they'll head back out on the road for a tough three-game trip after tonight's game. They're in a back-to-back spot following a tough loss to the Clippers in Los Angeles last night, but I still expect them to come out with plenty of energy. This is a high total, but it could be even higher as far as I'm concerned. Take the over (10*). |
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12-08-16 | Wolves v. Raptors OVER 214 | 110-124 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Toronto on Thursday night. I was actually in attendance the last time these two teams met on this floor, and the result was a 114-105 Raptors victory. I'm expecting a similarly high-scoring result on Thursday. The Wolves were shut down in the second half in a blowout loss to the Spurs last time out. Of course, San Antonio has been lights out on the road this season. I'm confident we'll see Andrew Wiggins, Karl-Anthony Towns and co. bounce back offensively against the Raptors. Toronto is coming off yet another loss to the Cavaliers. Of course, the Raps have been one of the best 'over' bets in the NBA this season, posting a 15-6 o/u record. They've scored at least 105 points in eight straight games and that streak should remain intact in this matchup. This is the highest posted total we've seen in this series since 2011. But we've seen the 'over' cash in each of the last three meetings, and while the Raptors are a better offensive team this season, I also believe they're weaker defensively. Take the over (10*). |
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11-30-16 | Grizzlies v. Raptors UNDER 195.5 | 105-120 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Memphis and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Grizzlies have had a tough enough time scoring at the best of times this season. Now without Mike Conley I expect them to really struggle. Memphis is coming off a tough 104-85 home loss to Charlotte on Monday - the second straight game it allowed over 100 points after holding five straight opponents under that number. I do expect the Grizzlies to bounce back defensively in this one. The Raptors shredded the lowly 76ers on Monday night, scoring 122 points in a 27-point rout. They've been one of the best 'over' bets in the league this season posting a 12-5 o/u mark. I will note that Toronto has held back-to-back opponents to fewer than 100 points and should have little trouble building on those efforts here. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 5-0 in the last five meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). |
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11-29-16 | Magic v. Spurs OVER 196.5 | 95-83 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Orlando and San Antonio at 8:35 pm et on Tuesday. I'll back the 'over' in San Antonio on Tuesday night. The most recent meeting between these two teams totaled only 194 points and as a result we're dealing with a considerably lower total this time around (the last meeting closed at 203). Keep in mind, we've seen 199, 213 and 233 points the last three times these teams have met in San Antonio dating back to 2014. The Spurs are rolling along offensively right now, having scored 119, 109 and 112 points in their last three games. To put it simply, I don't see the Magic standing in their way in this contest. While Orlando has struggled offensively in recent games, the potential is there for a breakout performance as it catches San Antonio back home following a three-game road trip. The 'over' has cashed in the Spurs last six games and I'm not about to stand in the way of that train on Tuesday. Take the over (10*). |
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11-25-16 | Wolves v. Suns OVER 212.5 | 98-85 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in Phoenix on Friday night. Neither of these teams have impressed this season. That's not unexpected, of course. The T'Wolves ran into a brick wall in New Orleans last time out but I expect them to find a lot more floor space to work with against the Suns on Friday. Coming out of a mini-slump I'm also anticipating a far better performance from Andrew Wiggins in particular. The Suns are just 5-11 on the season but they're feeling good about themselves following a 92-87 win over the Magic on Wednesday. That was a surprisingly low-scoring affair but we should see a much different story to unfold here as the Suns should have little trouble exposing a vulnerable T'Wolves defense. This is a fairly high total but it's warranted in my opinion. In today's NBA totals in this range have become the norm, in fact, and I like this one to sail over. Take the over (10*). |
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11-23-16 | Raptors v. Rockets UNDER 217 | 115-102 | Push | 0 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Houston at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' in Houston on Wednesday night. The Raptors are coming off a wild, high-scoring affair against the Clippers in Los Angeles on Monday. I don't believe they'll have any interest in getting involved in another track meet here. While the Rockets are known for their offense, the fact is the 'under' has gone 9-5 in their 14 games so far this season. They recently welcomed back one of their best defenders in Patrick Beverley and last time out they held the Pistons to just 96 points in a victory that cruised 'under' the total. The last two meetings in this series have been high-scoring but now we're dealing with an even higher total. I simply don't believe the inflated number is warranted. Take the under (10*). |
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11-21-16 | Raptors v. Clippers UNDER 209.5 | 115-123 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Toronto and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' at Staples Center on Monday night. Tough spot for the Raptors here. They're coming off a narrow 102-99 loss in Sacramento last night, coming on a controversial call at the end of the game. Now they have to play on the second of back-to-back nights against a Clippers squad that will be rested and ready. The Clips saw their five-game 'over' streak come to an end last time out, as they defeated the Bulls by a 102-95 score. I look for them to build on that strong defensive performance here. Lost in last night's Raptors defeat was the fact that they performed reasonably well defensively, after getting torched in six straight games. The most recent meeting between these two teams here in Los Angeles totaled only 171 points almost a year ago to the day. We're dealing with a higher posted total this time around, largely due to the combined 17-10 o/u mark the Raps and Clips have posted this season. I don't believe the number is warranted. Take the under (10*). |
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11-16-16 | Rockets v. Thunder OVER 216.5 | 103-105 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Houston and Oklahoma City at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in OKC on Wednesday night. Houston continues to roll along offensively and I don't see the Thunder standing in its way here. The Rockets depend heavily on their three-point shooting and certainly won't stop firing from long range against a vulnerable Thunder defense. I do expect Oklahoma City to keep pace, however, noting that the Thunder have lost four games in a row and find themselves in a big bounce-back spot off a poor showing in Detroit on Monday. In that game, OKC managed only 88 points. That came on the heels of a stretch that saw it score 102 points or more in three consecutive games. This has been a high-scoring series in recent years, although this will be the first meeting of the post-Kevin Durant era in Oklahoma City. I still believe the posted total will prove too low. Take the over (9*). |
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11-15-16 | Bulls v. Blazers UNDER 213.5 | 113-88 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Portland at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Blazers have been one of the best 'over' bets in the league so far this season but that fact hasn't been lost on oddsmakers or bettors alike based on this lofty total. I believe it will prove too high on Tuesday night. Chicago is banged-up right now with Doug McDermott sidelined due to concussion symptoms and both Rajon Rondo and Isaiah Canaan dealing with nagging injuries. This is a team that doesn't have a great deal of depth to begin with so any injuries are key. Portland has been scoring at will lately, but has also faced a rather light schedule, with three of its last four games coming against the Suns, Kings and Nuggets. Things will get a little tougher here. Note that the Bulls have given up 95 points or less in three of their last four contests. We saw two relatively high posted totals in this matchup last year as well, with both games staying 'under' the number, reaching just 181 and 198 points. Expect a similar outcome here. Take the under (10*). |
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11-11-16 | Pistons v. Spurs OVER 193 | 86-96 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and San Antonio at 8:35 pm et on Friday. We won with the 'under' in the Spurs most recent game but I won't hesitate to switch gears in this spot. I fully expect to see the Spurs bounce back tonight, but I also don't envision the Pistons rolling over off back-to-back ugly road losses. Detroit is still winless on the road this season at 0-4 so it will obviously be highly-motivated for this game. Perhaps moreso considering the Spurs swept last year's season series with relative ease. Neither of these teams have been able to play consistently solid defensive basketball this season and I don't see anything changing on Friday as both respond, and this one sails over the total. Take the over (10*). |
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11-10-16 | Lakers v. Kings OVER 208.5 | 101-91 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Sacramento at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Sacramento on Thursday night. The Lakers are off to a far more promising start in their first season of the post-Kobe era. This has been a fun team to watch. With that being said, they're coming off a poor showing against the Mavs at home. I look for a solid bounce-back effort on Thursday. The Kings started their current homestand with a 102-94 win over the Pelicans. We haven't seen the Kings really get in gear offensively yet this season, but if last game was any indication, it's coming. This is as good a spot as any for Sacramento to really get out and run against a weak Lakers defense. The fact that the 'under' has cashed in six of the Kings first nine games this season helps keep this number in check. Keep in mind, the last time these two teams squared off last season we saw a closing total of 219.5. Take the over (10*). |
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11-09-16 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 211 | 101-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘under’ between Houston and San Antonio at 9:30 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockets current road trip has produced a number of high-scoring results but I expect a different story to unfold on Wednesday in San Antonio. If there ever were a spot for the Spurs to tighten things up, this is it, as they’re coming off rare back-to-back home losses at the AT&T Center. Tony Parker is expected to return for the Spurs on Wednesday and while that should provide a boost to the offense, how much of one remains to be seen after he missed the last three games. Meanwhile, while the Rockets are known for their offensive prowess, they’ve played some solid defense for stretches during their current five-game road trip as well. They should benefit from an off night on Tuesday and come into this game relatively fresh. The last time these two teams met they combined to score just 198 points in a 10-point Spurs victory last February. To put it simply, I feel this total is too high. Take the under (10*). |
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11-03-16 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 210 | 122-128 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Cleveland at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Cleveland on Thursday night. Both of these teams have been involved in some high-scoring affairs this season but I look for a different story to unfold as they meet for the first time on Thursday night. The oddsmakers and the betting public alike seem to have a lot of faith in the Celtics retooled squad, particularly at the offensive end of the floor. While I like the team as well, I do believe we'll see some growing pains, particularly in spots like this (back-to-back after last night's home game against Chicago). The Cavs lit up the Q on Tuesday night as they outlasted the Rockets by a 128-120 score. That one obviously sailed over the total but that came on the heels of three consecutive 'under' results to open the season. Only one of three meetings in this series last season eclipsed the total we're dealing with on Thursday. I expect to see the Cavs look to make a statement, and that should be on the shoulders of their defense. Take the under (10*). |
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11-02-16 | Raptors v. Wizards OVER 203 | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Toronto and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' in Washington on Wednesday night. I'm confident we'll see the Raptors treat this as a business trip before returning home to host the Heat on Friday night. With that being said, I believe they'll have their hands full with the Wizards. Toronto has only been held in check by one of three opponents so far this season - that being the Cleveland Cavaliers. I do expect to see the Raptors get loose offensively after a bit of a sluggish, albeit a 105-point effort, on Monday night. The Wizards put up 100 points in regulation time in Memphis last time out, but couldn't hit anything in overtime, ultimately falling by a 112-103 score. The Raptors suffered a letdown of sorts on Monday night at home against Denver, but even on an off night shooting, they still persevered and managed to score 105. I expect to see these two familiar foes trade scores all night long as this total proves too low, thanks in large part to four straight 'under' results in this series. Take the over (10*). |
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11-01-16 | Magic v. 76ers OVER 197.5 | 103-101 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Orlando and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I think the fact that both of these teams enter this game sporting winless records helps to keep the total in check. Keep in mind, the last two meetings in this series produced a whopping 239 and 246 total points. While I'm not anticipating that type of track meet here, I do believe both offenses will produce enough to push the final score 'over' the total. Orlando hasn't faced an easy schedule so far, opening with a home date against the Heat before hitting the road to face the Pistons and Cavs. Here, the Magic will take a step down in class to be certain and I look for them to build off of a 99-point performance against the Cavs. The 76ers put up 97 points in their home opener against the Thunder but couldn't get anything going in a 104-72 loss to the Hawks last time out. I do look for them to respond in this spot. Take the over (10*). |
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10-31-16 | Bulls v. Nets UNDER 212 | 118-88 | Win | 100 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Monday. Both the Bulls and Nets have been involved in some high-scoring affairs so far this season, so we're dealing with a fairly steep total in this matchup. I don't believe it's warranted. Don't count on a peak offensive performance from the Bulls following Saturday's strong showing, in which they put up 118 points in a blowout win over the Pacers at home. Simply put, I'm not sure that this team is quite as good offensively as it has shown through two games. The Nets have seen some high posted totals so far this season and they've recorded a 2-1 o/u mark. Like the Bulls, I'm not expecting a strong offensive performance in this, perhaps their toughest matchup to date. Note that Brooklyn's lone previous home game totaled only 197 points against the Pacers. The 'over' went a perfect 3-0 in this series last season, obviously contributing to the high total in this spot. Take the under (10*). |
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03-19-13 | Denver Nuggets v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 215.5 | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Despite taking two of three meetings so far this season, the Nuggets have yet to figure out the Thunder offense, allowing over 100 points in all three contests. I don't believe Denver will have an answer defensively tonight either, not after a hard-fought overtime win in Chicago last night. With that being said, I do think the Nuggets can trade blows with Oklahoma City all night lone. There's a good chance we'll see this one evolve into a track meet. Denver has really struggled defensively away from home this season, allowing north of 104 points per game. Playing on no rest, the Nuggets have posted a 12-2 o/u record, with those games averaging right around 214 points. They won't find a much tougher challenge than going up against a rolling Thunder squad on the second of back-to-back nights, following an OT game no less. Oklahoma City has won three games in a row, scoring 110, 117, and 107 points over the course of that streak. The Thunder have been an offensive juggernaut at home this season, averaging just shy of 110 ppg. When playing on one day of rest, they've recorded a 25-20 o/u mark. There's no question, this is a steep total to work with, but I believe there's a good chance the losing team eclipses the 105-point mark in this contest, putting us in excellent position to cash this ticket. Take the over (10*). |
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03-17-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 188.5 | 105-93 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
The first meeting between these two teams this season produced 204 points, but since then we've seen their most recent two matchups reach only 183 and 173 points. I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair on Sunday evening. The Hawks are coming off a 107-point outburst on Friday night, but keep in mind, that came against a weak defensive squad in the Phoenix Suns. They'll take a step up in class on Sunday, as the Nets are allowing just under 95 points per game at home this season. Prior to Friday's strong showing, the Hawks had been held to 96 points or less in regulation time in four straight games. Brooklyn also enjoyed a nice night offensively in its most recent contest, that coming back on Tuesday against New Orleans - a game in which the Nets put up 108 points. Keep in mind, Brooklyn is only averaging 95.2 ppg on the season, so that high-scoring result has to be considered a bit of an anomaly. Much like the Hawks, the Nets will also be stepping up in class, noting that Atlanta gives up just a shade over 96 ppg on the road, and has held six straight opponents to 98 points or less in regulation time. The Nets continue to be one of the best 'under' bets in the league, sporting a 28-36-1 o/u mark on the season. I expect them to set the tone once again on Sunday, as they keep the Hawks in check for a third straight time. Take the under (8*). |
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03-15-13 | Chicago Bulls v. Golden State Warriors OVER 190 | 113-95 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
The Bulls have scored fewer than 90 points in four straight games. They've been held to 81 and 79 points in the first two games of their current road trip. I don't expect their slump to last, however, and this looks like an ideal spot for them to bounce back offensively against a Warriors squad that allows just shy of 97 points per game at home, and just gave up exactly 97 points to the lowly Pistons two nights ago.
Meanwhile, the Warriors should turn in another strong offensive effort after scoring more than 100 points for the first time in five games on Wednesday. They average over 101 points per game at home this season, and have had plenty of success against the Bulls here in Oakland, scoring 108, 110, 114, 101, and 99 points in their last five meetings at Oracle Arena. The first meeting in this series this season produced 190 points, but I believe we'll see a higher-scoring result on Friday, as the Bulls open things up a little at the tail-end of what has been a fruitless road trip so far. Take the over (8*). |
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03-15-13 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Houston Rockets UNDER 209.5 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
Both of these teams have been trending toward the 'under' lately, and that's the way I see Friday's game playing out as well. To put it simply, I don't think Minnesota will be able to score enough to help this one up and over the lofty number. The T'Wolves showed a brief flash of brilliance at home against an undermanned Spurs squad earlier this week, but went right back into their doldrums in a 107-91 loss to the Pacers the very next night. Things won't get any easier in Houston, as the Rockets are in a comfortable position in the second installment of a seven-game homestand. Houston hasn't been absolutely going off from an offensive standpoint the way it was earlier this season - at least not with the same level of consistency. The Rockets have scored fewer than 109 points in six of their last nine games overall, and that works just fine for our purposes in this spot, as I don't see the T'Wolves breaking the century mark. This has been an extremely low-scoring series so far this season, with two previous meetings totaling exactly 171 total points. That isn't playing a big role in this total, as we're seeing a number set in the middle of those two previous lines. The Rockets might approach the 110 point mark, but I think we'll see the T'Wolves settle out in the 90s, leaving this one well below the posted total. Take the under (10*). |
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03-15-13 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Indiana Pacers OVER 190 | 99-93 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
This total represents a clear knee-jerk reaction to the Kobe Bryant injury. The last time these two teams met we saw a closing total of 196 points (we won with the 'under' on that night). Los Angeles has seen totals set north of 200 points in 14 of its last 16 games overall. Note that the Lakers are allowing over 104 points per game on the road this season. The Pacers are certainly no slouches offensively here at home, where they average 98 ppg. I expect to see the Pacers offense go off in this game, but with that being said, I'm not convinced that they won't let their guard down defensively in the absence of Kobe. That's what's keeping me off Indiana, and putting me squarely on the 'over' in this spot. The 'over' is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in this series, and I suspect it will be Indiana setting the tone on its home floor on Friday, and that's key, as the Pacers have seen each of their last three games play 'over' the number. Look for the Lakers bench in particular to step up its offensive production without Kobe in the lineup, while the Pacers expose an even weaker than usual L.A. defense. This one finds its way into the 190s at least. Take the over (8*). |
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03-14-13 | Dallas Mavericks v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 206 | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
The Spurs appear to be a little out of sorts right now, having dropped two of their last three games, and I don't believe they'll be interested in a track meet against the Mavs on Thursday. Note that San Antonio has been getting the job done defensively here at home, allowing just a shade over 93 points per game on the season. Needless to say, last Friday's 136-106 setback against the Blazers didn't sit well (we won with the 'over' in that game). Nor did Tuesday's ugly 107-83 loss to the T'Wolves (we lost with the 'over'). Here, I look for the Spurs to turn in a strong defensive effort against a Mavs squad that is in line for some offensive regression. Yes, Dallas has scored at least 100 points in five straight games, but you have to consider the opposition it has faced over that stretch - Houston (twice), Detroit, Minnesota, and Milwaukee - all below average defensive teams. Dallas is averaging under 99 ppg on the road this season, and I expect it to finish up even lower than that on Thursday. We can expect the Mavs to show some fight defensively after allowing the Spurs to score 129, 111, and 113 points in their previous three meetings this season. San Antonio 102 Dallas 94 Take the under (10*). |
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