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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-08-21 | Red Sox v. Rays -130 | 14-6 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Red Sox/Rays PRIME TIME Massacre (Rays -130)Â *Analysis Coming*Â |
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10-07-21 | White Sox v. Astros -132 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - White Sox/Astros MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Astros -132) I'll lay it with the Astros in Game 1 of their series against the White Sox. I'm shocked Chicago is going with Lynn as the guy to set the tone for this series. Lynn has had a miserable time pitching well against this Houston team as he's got older. He's given up 4 or more runs in each of his last 5 starts vs the Astros. He faced them once this year and gave up 6 runs on 8 hits in 4 innings. Those stats alone make Houston worthy of a look at this price on their home field. Even more so when you look at the starter on the other side. Astros will give the rock to Lance McCullers. He went 13-5 with a strong 3.16 ERA and 1.220 WHIP. Even more important to me is his track record against Chicago. He's got a 2.17 ERA and 0.884 WHIP in 6 starts against the White Sox. In his 2 outings vs Chicago this year, he gave up 3 runs on 4 hits with 14 K's in 13 innings. Give me the Astros -132! |
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10-06-21 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Cards/Dodgers NL Wild Card MAX UNIT Top Play (Dodgers -1.5, -102) The Dodgers -1.5 (-102) is the play in Wednesday's NL Wild Card game. As much as the public wants to back LA, laying -220 juice is not something they are interested in. I just feel it has a lot of people looking to take a shot here with the Cardinals, especially with how St Louis finished the year on that crazy run. Thing to keep in mind with that Cardinals winning streak to secure the second NL Wild Card spot, is they were so good they clinched that spot early. The Dodgers were the team playing for something right down to the wire, as they were chasing the Giants in the NL West. I love Max Scherzer in this spot. I don't have the same confidence here with Adam Wainwright. He's a guy I made a lot of money on in the second half, but I think we saw some signs of him slowing down to end the year. He gave up 3 HR in his last 2 starts and had just 7 K's in his last 16 innings of work. Give me the Dodgers -1.5 (-102)! |
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10-05-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Yankees/Red Sox AL WILD CARD Top Play (UNDER 8) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Tuesday's AL Wild Card matchup between the Yankees and Red Sox. I think we are getting some value with the number here because of how poor the two starters performed down the stretch. New York's Gerrit Cole has a 7.65 ERA and 1.585 WHIP in his last 3 starts. It wasn't much better for Boston's Nathan Eovaldi in his last 3, as he posted a 6.58 ERA and 1.609 WHIP. I just don't think you can overreact to those numbers. Cole is a guy that has been outstanding in the playoffs since leaving the Pirates. He had a 2.95 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 3 playoff starts last year and a 1.72 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 5 starts with the Astros in 2019. We don't have the same long-term track record with Eovaldi. He's only made 2 postseason starts and both came back in 2018. The stage wasn't too big for him then, as he had 1.61 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 22 1/3 innings in those 2 outings. Eovaldi has a 3.39 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in 19 home starts and 3.33 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 13 career starts vs the Yankees. New York also comes into this game having just scored a mere 5 runs at home in that massive 3-game series at home against the Rays. You also have to factor in this being the playoffs and managers not letting a guy go too deep in the game. Any signs of trouble and he's getting the guy out of there. Weather should also help keep this total low, as it's only going to be in the low 60s for this game with whatever wind there is blowing in from left field. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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09-29-21 | Yankees -109 v. Blue Jays | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Yankees/Blue Jays MAX UNIT Top Play (Yankees -109) I will take my chances with the Yankees as a slim road favorite in Wednesday's huge AL East matchup at Toronto. These two are fighting for the final two Wild Card spots. Yankees have really taken control of the top Wild Card spot thanks to a 7-game win streak that includes last nights' 7-2 win over the Blue Jays. Toronto on the flip side of this is in big trouble. They have 4 of their last 6 and are now 1-game back of Boston for the final spot. They are also a 1/2-game back of the red-hot Mariners. Not only are the Blue Jays not playing well as the pressure gets bigger, they are going up against potentially the AL Cy Young winner in Gerrit Cole. He's trying to stake his claim on the award and it's tough to not like him in this spot. Cole is 10-4 1ith a 3.05 ERA and 1.007 WHIP in 15 road starts this season. He's also 5-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in 8 career starts against the Blue Jays. Give me the Yankees -109! |
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09-28-21 | Brewers -110 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Public Money Massacre PLAY OF THE MONTH (Brewers -110) This line is so far off what you would expect to see, that I feel like you have no choice here but to place a big bet on the Brewers as a shocking road favorite. Now I know it's not uncommon for Milwaukee to be favored on the road with Brandon Woodruff on the mound, but it makes no sense here. As good as Woodruff has been, you could make a pretty good argument that St Louis has just as good a starter going in Adam Wainwright. On top of that, you have a Cardinals team that is riding a 16-game winning streak and are the only team that technically has anything to play for with the Brewers having clinched the NL Central and St Louis trying to clinch up that final Wild Card spot. The oddsmakers are without a doubt staking their stock in Milwaukee, as they are begging the public to take St Louis in this one. Couple things to note aside from the line. This isn't an ideal spot for the Cardinals playing that first game back home after a 8-game road trip and while the latest was a 4-game sweep against the Cubs, that's a pretty big rivalry. Definitely could be a flat spot, especially with St Louis now 5.5-games up for that final Wild Card spot. It's all but locked up. Cardinals would basically have to lose out and either the Reds or Phillies would need to win out. All their focus now is on the Wild Card game next week and it's likely going to be Wainwright that takes on either the Dodgers or Giants. Don't be shocked if they don't pull him a little earlier than you would expect. He also just gave up 5 runs in 4 innings in his last start, which was at Milwaukee. Give me the Brewers -110! |
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09-22-21 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 9 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - AL EAST Total PLAY OF THE MONTH (Over 9) I think we easily see double-digit runs on the board in today's early matchup between the Blue Jays and Rays. This is just not a great pitching matchup. Toronto is going with an Opener in reliever Julian Merryweather, while Tampa Bay sends out Luis Patino. Merryweather might only go 1 inning here, as he just threw in relief on Monday and was also in action last Friday. You never know what you are going to get on a bullpen day. With that said, I'll take my chances the Rays find a way to put up 4+ runs in this one. Toronto should also score 4+ and I think we could more than that. Blue Jays have crushed right handed pitching and Patino comes in with a 6.92 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's got a mere 4.96 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in 14 starts overall. Give me the OVER 9! |
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09-21-21 | Pirates v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Tuesday MAX UNIT Top Play (Reds -1.5, +102) I'll take my chances here with Cincinnati on the -1.5 runs line at even money, as they take on the Pirates Tuesday night. Reds won the series opener 9-5 on Monday and are in a prime position here for another lopsided victory. Reds are going to have Tyler Mahle on the mound. He's coming off two great outings. First he gave up just 2 runs in 6 innings at St Louis and then he held these same Pirates to 6 scoreless in Pittsburgh last week. Mahle has made 3 starts vs the Pirates this year and has given up just 3 ER in 18 1/3 innings. Mitch Keller will take the mound for Pittsburgh. He's been decent of late, but is still just 4-11 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.739 WHIP in 20 starts. He's not had much luck vs Cincinnati this year. Keller has faced them 3 times and has given up 13 ER in 13 1/3 innings. Pittsburgh is 2-20 this season when facing a starter like Mahle, who averages 5 or more K's per start and have lost these games by an average of 3.2 runs/game. Give me the Reds -1.5 (+102)! |
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09-15-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | Top | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
50* (MLB) AL East Total PLAY OF THE MONTH (Under 9) I love the UNDER 9 in tonight's big AL East matchup between the Rays and Blue Jays. There was little to no offense in the series opener last night. Tampa Bay won the game 2-0 and the two teams combined for a mere 9 hits. Toronto had scored 8 or more with at least 11 hits on their own in each of their previous 4 games. It just speaks to how good this Rays pitching staff is. Everything sets up for a similar low-scoring game on Wednesday. Toronto will have Cy Young contender Robbie Ray on the mound. Ray has a 2.69 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 28 starts with 220 K's in 170 1/3 innings. He's also got a great 1.95 ERA in 9 day starts this season. Michael Wacha will get the nod for Tampa Bay. His overall numbers aren't great, but he's really been throwing it well of late. Wacha has a 2.35 ERA and 0.718 WHIP in his last 3 outings. He's just got to give us 5-6 and the Rays pen will do the rest. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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09-14-21 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -129 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Tuesday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Astros -1.5) I will take my chances with the Astors on the -1.5 run line in Tuesday's game at Texas. Houston annihilated the Rangers 15-1 on Monday and are in prime position for another blowout win tonight. Astros will have veteran Zack Greinke on the mound. He's been outstanding away from home this year, going 6-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 0.975 in 13 road starts. He's not going to be overlooking Texas this time around. In his last start, which was also at the Rangers, he got rocked for 6 runs on 9 hits in just 4 innings of a 13-2 Texas win. It was first time he had allowed more than 4 runs vs the Rangers since 2005. He held them to 3 or fewer in 3 previous starts this season. Jordan Lyles will be on the mound for Texas, trying to cool off this Houston lineup that scored 9 runs over the first 3 innings yesterday. I don't think he's going to have much success. Lyles has a 5.74 ERA and 1.493 WHIP in 26 starts, a 6.23 ERA and 1.442 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 5.06 ERA in 5 career starts vs the Astros. Give me the Astros -1.5 (-129)! |
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09-08-21 | Dodgers v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - National League TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Wednesday's game between the Dodgers and Cardinals. This is a huge series for both teams. LA is trying to overtake SF in the NL West and St Louis is just 3.5-games back of the Padres for a Wild Card berth. Some might be hesitant to take the UNDER with how good the Dodgers are offensively and LA not having one of their top guys on the mound. That's where we find the value with this play, as I don't see either being a problem. The Cardinals will have Adam Wainwright on the mound, who is having a remarkable season at the age of 40 (turned 40 on Aug. 30th). He's 14-7 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 27 starts. It's not just his age that makes this improbable, he hasn't had a season with an ERA under 3 since 2015. He's certainly not showing any fatigue down the stretch, as he's got a 0.42 ERA and 0.609 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Dodgers will have Mitch White on the mound. He's made 3 starts and has a pretty poor 5.73 ERA and 1.545 WHIP. The key here is that this is a plus matchup for him against a Cardinals offense that fails to produce more times than not. St Louis has scored a mere 3 runs in the first 2 games of this series and have scored 3 or fewer in 6 of their last 9. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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09-07-21 | Nationals v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Tuesday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Braves -1.5, -113) I'll take my chances with Atlanta on the -1.5 run line at home against the Nationals. Big series for the Braves after going just 2-5 on their 7-game road trip that had them play 3 at the Dodgers and 4 at the Rockies. Luckily for Atlanta they had a much-needed day off Monday to deal with the jetlag from going out west. They should be locked in for this showdown with the struggling Nationals, who are just 3-10 in their last 13 games. The Braves also have a clear-cut edge on the mound in this one, as they send out Max Fried against the Nationals' Paolo Espino. Fried is 6-3 with a 3.25 ERA and 1.115 WHIP in 11 home starts. He's also coming into this start in prime form with a 2.14 ERA and 0.619 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Fried has also been great in his last two starts against Washington, giving up just 2 ER in 12 innings over 2 starts. Give me the Braves -1.5 (-113)! |
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09-03-21 | Rangers v. Angels UNDER 8 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Friday's AL West matchup between the Angels and Rangers. I look for both teams to have a tough time pushing runs across in this one. Not a lot explanation needed for why Texas will struggle to score with LA sending out Shohei Ohtani. The guy is 8-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 19 starts and is 5-0 with a 1.92 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in 10 home starts. The value with the UNDER lies with Rangers' starter Glenn Otto, who Texas acquired in the trade that send Gallo to the Yankees. Otto was sensational in his first big league start last week against the Astros, holding Houston to just 2 hits with 7 K's over 5 scoreless innings. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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09-01-21 | Red Sox v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - AL East PLAY OF THE WEEK (UNDER 8) I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Wednesday's AL East showdown between the Rays and Red Sox. I just think we are getting a great number with 8 given the starting pitching matchup. Boston will send out Chris Sale, who outside of not pitching deep in games, has been really good over his first 3 starts in 2021. Sale has a 2.35 ERA and 1.044 WHIP. He's also got a 2.48 xFIP, so there's nothing fluky about those numbers. Tampa Bay will counter with Drew Rasmussen. He too hasn't made many starts. This will be just the 6th start of the season for Rasmussen. However, he's got a strong 2.50 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in 5 starts. He's also made 4 of those 5 starts on the road (didn't give up a run in his lone home start). Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-31-21 | Astros -150 v. Mariners | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Tuesday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Astros -150) I'll take my chances and lay the juice with the Astros as a -150 road favorite against the Mariners. Houston is hot. After taking the series opener last night at Seattle, the Astros have now won 5 of their last 6 and 8 of their last 11. They are now 33-9 vs the Mariners over the last 3 seasons. All signs point to an easy win tonight. Houston will have a massive edge on the mound with Lance McCullers facing off against Yusei Kikuchi. McCullers is 10-4 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.249 WHIP in 22 starts, but that gets even better when he's not at home. McCullers is 7-1 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.271 WHIP in 10 home starts. Kikuchi has really fallen off in the 2nd half. After posting a 1.90 ERA in 4 June starts, Kikuchi posted a 6.11 ERA in 5 July starts and 5.87 ERA in 5 starts this August. He's also got a 6.35 ERA and 1.566 WHIP in 9 career starts vs Houston. Give me the Astros -150! |
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08-30-21 | Cardinals v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Monday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Reds -1.5, +110) I'm going to take my chances with the Reds on the -1.5 run line at home against the Cardinals. Forget laying the big juice with Cincinnati. If this one goes as planned, there's a very high chance this won't be close. This time of year it's all about fading bad teams and starters. The Cardinals' Jon Lester is one of those guys that I want to bet against. Lester just doesn't have the same stuff or anything close to it. He's 4-6 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.649 WHIP in 21 starts. He's 1-4 with a 6.15 ERA in 8 road starts this season and has a 6.05 ERA in 5 starts since coming to St Louis. The Reds will have Luis Castillo on the mound. Now he's a guy you want to be backing. Castillo is finally starting to look like the ace Cincinnati expected from the start of the season. Castillo has a 2.70 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has given up 3 or fewer ER in all but one start since the end of May. Give me the Reds -1.5 (+110)! |
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08-29-21 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 2-13 | Loss | -133 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Sunday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Astros -1.5, -133) I'll gladly lay the -133 juice and back the Astros on the -1.5 run line in Sunday's series finale against the Rangers. Houston is surging at the right time. The Astros have won 4 straight and 7 of their last 9. While the pitching has been good, the offense has really carried the load during this hot streak. Houston is hitting .287 with a .354 OBP as a team in their last 7 games, scoring 5.6 runs/game in the process. I just don't see the Rangers' Taylor Hearn cooling them off. Hearn has really struggled at home, posting a 5.78 ERA and 1.499 WHIP in 3 home starts. The other big key here is the Astros have veteran Zack Greinke on the mound, so we can expect little to no offense from Texas in this one. Greinke is in prime form right now, as he owns a 1.42 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Greinke has also feasted on division opponents. He's 7-0 with a 2.19 ERA and 0.853 WHIP in 10 starts vs other AL West teams (Houston is perfect 10-0 in these games). Give me the Astros -1.5 (-133)! |
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08-28-21 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Saturday Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Astros -1.5, -145) I'll take my chances with the Astros on the -1.5 run line in Saturday's game at the Rangers. Houston has been hitting the ball well here of late and should have no problem staying hot against Texas starter Kolby Allard, who is 2-10 with a 5.29 ERA in 15 starts and 1-6 with a 5.15 ERA in 8 home starts. Even more important is his history against Houston. Allard is 0-3 with a 6.19 ERA in 3 starts against the Astros. Houston will have Framber Valdez on the mound. He's definitely the type of starter you want when taking a run line. Valdez is 8-4 with a 2.94 ERA in 16 starts and comes into this start in prime form with a 1.83 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Astros -1.5, -145! |
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08-27-21 | Rays -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - AL East PLAY OF THE WEEK (Rays -1.5, -145) I got no problem laying the -145 juice on the -1.5 run line with Tampa Bay in Friday's series opener against the Orioles. Baltimore has won back-to-back games after losing 19 in a row, but that was against an Angels team where their offense feasted on bad pitching. That won't be the case here, as the Rays send out Shane McClanahan. He's got a strong 3.53 ERA and 1.283 WHIP over 19 starts and a 3.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. Even more important is that he's 3-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 3 starts against the Orioles. All of which have come this season. On the flip side Baltimore will send out Matt Harvey, who after a decent stretch has returned to his old ways with a 7.20 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Harvey has faced TB twice this year and given up 11 runs on 12 hits (4 HR) in just 6 1/3 innings of work. He's not the only Oriole to struggle against the Rays. Tampa Bay is 15-1 against Baltimore this season with a perfect 6-0 record at home. Give me the Rays -1.5 (-145)! |
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08-26-21 | White Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Thursday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 8.5) I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday's game between the Blue Jays and White Sox. We cashed this exact same bet last night with these two teams. I just don't see why we would expect anything but another lower scoring game. The first 3 games have all seen 7 or fewer runs. Toronto won 2-1 on Monday and 3-1 yesterday. Chicago won the second game 5-2. Tonight it's Carlos Rodon going for the White Sox and Hyun-Jin Ryu for the Blue Jays. Rodon is 9-5 with a 2.38 ERA and 0.957 WHIP in 19 starts this season. He does have a very mediocre 4.15 ERA in his last 3 starts, but was at his best in his last outing, tossing 5 scoreless innings, giving up just 2 hits and racking up 11 K's. Ryu is 12-6 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in 24 starts. He's got an even more ugly 5.82 ERA in his last 3 starts. However, he too is coming off a great outing. Ryu just pitched 7 scoreless in his last start. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-25-21 | White Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Wednesday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 8.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Wednesday's big AL showdown between the Blue Jays and White Sox. Each of the first two games have been low scoring. Toronto won 2-1 on Monday and Chicago won 5-2 on Tuesday. All signs point to more struggles offensively with the starting pitching matchup on Wednesday. White Sox will have the red-hot Lucas Giolito on the mound, while the Blue Jays counter with one of their best starters in Robbie Ray. Giolito has had his fair share of clunkers this season, but overall it's been pretty good. He's got a 3.77 ERA and 1.101 WHIP in 25 starts. He's got a 2.37 ERA and 0.737 WHIP with 24 K's in 19 innings over his last 3 starts. Ray is 9-4 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in 24 starts. His ERA is even better at 2.64 in 12 home starts and he's got a sensational 1.29 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-24-21 | Tigers v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Tuesday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 8) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Tuesday's interleague matchup that has the Cardinals hosting the Tigers. I think the total here should be 7.5 at the most and even then I would still be looking to back the UNDER. There's no debate on it at 8. This is a really good starting pitching matchup. St Louis will have Jack Flaherty on the mound and he's been incredible in his two starts since coming back from injury. He allowed just 2 hits over 6 scoreless innings at the Royals in his first start and then gave up just 2 runs (both solo HR) in 6 innings at home against the Brewers. He's now 4-0 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.742 WHIP in 5 home starts this season. Detroit counters with Casey Mize, who is a classic case of a guy that just gets overlooked because of how bad his team is. Mize is a very respectable 6-6 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.166 WHIP in 23 starts this season. Definitely helps the Cardinals aren't exactly swinging the bats well, as they have scored 4 or fewer in 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-23-21 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Monday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Astros -1.5, -120) I'll take my chances with the Astros on the -1.5 run line in Monday's series opener against the Royals. I know KC has won 6 of their last 7 and just recently took 3 of 4 at home against Houston, but that actually makes me like the Astros more in this spot. Daniel Lynch pitched really well in his last start against Houston, but that was at home. Lynch has a 4.61 ERA and 1.609 WHIP in 3 road starts. Astros' hitters should have a much better game plan for Lynch having just seen him and they are red-hot at the plate. Houston has racked up 10 or more hits in 5 straight games. Astros will have Zack Greinke on the mound and that's a big plus given his recent performance. Greinke has a 1.89 ERA and 0.737 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He's also got a strong 2.68 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Royals. Give me the Astros -1.5 (-120)! |
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08-22-21 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -126 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Sunday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Blue Jays -1.5, -126) I will gladly take my chances with the Blue Jays on the -1.5 run line in Sunday's home game against the Tigers. It's no secret who the better team is, but more importantly is the edge Toronto has on the mound in this one. Blue Jays will turn to Steven Matz. The overall numbers aren't great for Matz (4.08 ERA and 1.387 WHIP in 21 starts), but he's in great form right now with a 1.15 ERA over his last 3 starts. Baltimore will counter with Drew Hutchison, who just made his first start in almost 3 years last week. It didn't go great. Hutchison recorded just 5 outs before getting pulled and the Orioles went on to lose that game 11-0. Give me the Blue Jays -1.5, -126! |
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08-21-21 | Twins v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Saturday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Yankees -1.5, -112) We had the Yankees -1.5 on Friday and we never had to sweat it, as New York cruised to a 10-2 win. That's now 8 straight wins for the Yankees and the 9th time in their last 11 games they have put up at least 5 runs. There's a good chance they put up at least 5 in this one. Minnesota's Kenta Maeda has really struggled on the road this season. He's got a 5.91 ERA and 1.422 WHIP over 13 road starts and has allowed 14 home runs, while averaging just 4.9 innings pitched per road start. Yankees will have ace Gerrit Cole on the mound. He bounced back in a big way after that ugly start at Tampa bay with a great start at home against the Angels. Cole has a sensational 2.60 ERA and 0.975 WHIP over 11 home starts this season. He's also given up just 2 runs on 6 hits in 13 innings in his 2 career starts vs the Twins. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (-112)! |
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08-20-21 | Twins v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Friday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Yankees -1.5, -118) I'll roll the dice with the Yankees on the -1.5 run line in Friday's home game against the Twins. New York is peaking at the right time. The Yankees bring a 7-game winning streak into this one and I think they are primed to make it 8 in a row with the edge they have on the mound. New York is going to give the ball to Nestor Cortes. Not a name a ton of people know, but he's been really good since getting a chance to start. Cortes has a 2.73 ERA and 1.079 WHIP in 6 starts. On the flip side of this, Charlie Barnes is making his 4th career start. The previous 3 coming this season, where he's posted a respectable 4.61 ERA and 1.244 WHIP. He did give up 5 runs on 7 hits in just 4 innings in his previous road start at the Reds. I got a feeling the nerves will be a little much for him in his first start at Yankee Stadium. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (-118)! |
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08-19-21 | Mariners -152 v. Rangers | Top | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Thursday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Mariners -152) I'll gladly lay the juice with the Mariners on the road in Thursday's game against the Rangers. We cashed the Mariners on the money line in the series opener on Tuesday and nailed the UNDER in Wednesday's matchup (nearly took Seattle again...won 3-1). The Mariners are simply not getting enough respect against a bad Texas team, especially with the edge they have on the mound. Seattle will turn to Chris Flexen, who is 10-5 with a strong 3.78 ERA and 1.274 WHIP in 22 starts. Flexen is also 4-0 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Rangers. Texas will counter with Spencer Howard. He's only made 9 starts, but he's definitely struggled. He's got a 7.15 ERA and 1.677 WHIP in 4 road starts and a 7.00 ERA over his last 3 outings. He's also averaging just 3 1/3 innings pitched per start, so Seattle will get some cracks early at the Rangers bullpen. Give me the Mariners -152! |
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08-18-21 | Mariners v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER Top Play (UNDER 9) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 9 in Wednesday's game between the Rangers and Mariners. Yesterday we played and won with Seattle on the money line. I wanted to fire back with the Mariners, but I don't want to bet against Texas' Mike Foltynewicz. I think with him on the mound, the value has shifted to the UNDER. Foltynewicz is just 2-11 with a 5.66 ERA over 23 starts. Not great. However, he's been really good of late. He has a 3.00 ERA and 0.944 WHIP over his last 3 starts. The most recent coming on the road against these same Mariners, where he held Seattle to just 3 runs over 7 innings. Mariners will have Marco Gonzales on the mound. He too has been lights out down the stretch. Gonzales has a 0.83 ERA and 0.600 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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08-17-21 | Mariners -143 v. Rangers | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - AL West Money Line PLAY OF THE WEEK (Mariners -143) I'll take my chances with the Mariners as a -143 road favorite against the Rangers. While Seattle will likely end up just missing out on a Wild Card spot, this team has easily been one of the biggest surprises of this season. Here we are in the middle of August and they still are showing value. Not only is Seattle the better team and playing the better baseball, they got a sizable edge on the mound in this one. The Mariners will send out Tyler Anderson, who has a 3.45 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Anderson has a 2.55 ERA and 0.963 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Rangers. Texas counters with Taylor Hearn, who has a 4.90 ERA and 1.362 WHIP in 3 starts. This will be Hearn's first start since taking the mound on July 31st. I think there's a good chance he struggles to pitch well here. Give me the Mariners -143! |
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08-16-21 | Cubs v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 5-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Monday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Reds -1.5, -115) I'll take my chances with the Reds on the -1.5 run line in Monday's series opener against the Cubs. Chicago has been a complete mess since they traded away all their star players. Cubs come into this one having lost 11 straight. It doesn't figure to get any better on the road against a good Cincinnati team that has won 3 of 4, where they put up 6 or more runs in each of their 3 wins. Reds should have no problem pulling away if the offense puts anything close to that on the board in this one. Cincinnati's Wade Miley is 6-2 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.290 WHIP in 10 home starts. Give me the Reds -1.5 (-115)! |
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08-15-21 | A's -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -123 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Sunday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (A's -1.5, -123) I got no problem betting the A's on the -1.5 run line against the Rangers. After Texas won Friday's series opener, they returned right back to form and lost 8-3 on Saturday. Rangers are now 2-9 in their last 11 games. A stretch in which they have scored 3 or fewer runs in 9 of the 11 games. I don't see this being one of their games where they click offensively. Oakland will have Sean Manaea on the mound. He's got a 3.02 ERA and 1.123 WHIP in 8 road starts this season and is 7-3 with a solid 3.65 ERA in 14 career starts vs Texas. The Rangers will have Kolby Allard on the mound. He's 1-10 with 5.45 ERA in 13 starts. He's got a 6.00 ERA in his last 3 starts and is 0-5 with a 6.66 ERA in 5 career starts vs Oakland. Give me the A's -1.5 (-123)! |
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08-14-21 | Yankees v. White Sox -124 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -124 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Yankees/White Sox MAX UNIT Vegas Insider (White Sox -125) I will take my chances with the White Sox as a mere -125 home favorite in Saturday's game against the Yankees. I think this is a perfect spot to play against New York. The Yankees really took it on the chin in Thursday's 8-9 loss at the Field of Dreams. They put up 4 in the Top of the 9th to go ahead and then gave up 2 to lose. They are back in Chicago for this one and that's a good thing for the White Sox. Chicago will have Dylan Cease on the mound and he's 5-2 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.092 WHIP in 11 home starts. He's also coming into this game in great form with a 2.65 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the White Sox -125! |
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08-13-21 | Rockies v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Friday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Giants -1.5, +102) I love the Giants on the -1.5 run line in Friday's home game against the Rockies. Colorado is just 13-42 on the road going into Thursday's game, where the Giants are close to a -200 favorite to win. Laying the -1.5 runs isn't all that bad when the Rockies lose by an average of 1.9 runs/game on the road. Not to mention the big edge San Francisco is going to have on the mound in this game. The Giants will turn to Anthony Desclafani, who I feel is a bit undervalued coming into this start. Desclafani has an ugly 7.62 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in his last 3 starts, but two of those starts came against the Dodgers. The Rockies are scoring just 3.1 runs game and hitting .211 as a team on the road this season. Desclafani also has an outstanding 2.76 ERA and 0.975 WHIP in 18 night starts this season. Rockies will counter with Austin Gomber, who is one of the few Colorado guys that pitch better at home (Coors Field) than he does on the road. Gomber has a very poor 5.40 ERA and 1.273 WHIP in 11 road starts. He's also given up 11 runs on 8 hits and 8 walks in 2 starts against the Giants, both coming this season. Give me the Giants -1.5 (+102)! |
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08-12-21 | Padres -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-12 | Loss | -140 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - NL West GAME OF THE MONTH (Padres -1.5, -140) I got no problem laying the -140 juice with the Padres on the -1.5 run line, as they get ready for Thursday's series opener against the Diamondbacks. Padres should be locked in after getting embarrassed in a 7-0 loss to the Marlins on Wednesday to snap their 4-game win streak. San Diego has just the guy on the mound to get them right back on track, as they send out the veteran Yu Darvish. In his last start, against these same Diamondbacks, Darvish was on his game, giving up just 2 runs on 4 hits with 12 K's in 7 innings of a 6-2 win. The opposing pitcher, Taylor Widener will be up against Darvish again. It looks like Widener pitched well in that outing, as he only gave up 2 runs in 5 innings. However, he was lucky to only give up 2 runs, as he gave up 2 solo home runs. Prior to that outing he had allowed 5 runs in each of his previous 3 starts and not once in those outings did he complete 5 innings. This should be an easy win for San Diego. Give me the Padres -1.5 (-140)! |
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08-11-21 | Rockies v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Wednesday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Astros -1.5, -126) I really like the Astros on the -1.5 run line at -126. The Rockies are simply a team you want to fade on the road. They are 13-41 on the road this season, losing by an average of 1.9 runs/game. Nothing speaks more to how different this Colorado team is at home compared to the road than yesterday's game. The Rockies were shutout and totaled just 5 hits in a 5-0 loss. That's after they just put up 40 runs on 54 hits in their previous 4 games (all at home). Another huge factor here is who is on the mound for these two teams. Colorado is sending out Antonio Senzatela, who has a 6.03 ERA and 1.718 WHIP in 7 road starts. Rockies have lost all 7 of those starts. Framber Valdez goes for Houston and is 7-3 with a 3.22 ERA in 13 starts and has been trending even better with a 3.06 ERA and 1.245 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Astros -1.5 (-126)! |
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08-10-21 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - NL West PLAY OF THE WEEK (Giants -1.5, -105) There's a lot of big favorites on the board, but none that I like more than the Giants at home against the Diamondbacks. Arizona is coming off a 3-game series at San Diego, where they scored just 2 runs in the final two games. They are a laughable 14-43 on the road this season. No one wants to give San Francisco the respect they deserve. They just keep winning and are now a full 4-games ahead in the NL West race. Alex Wood will get the ball for the Giants. He's 6-2 with a 3.82 ERA and a strong 1.141 WHIP in 11 home starts. This is definitely a plus matchup against Arizona at home. The Dbacks will have Zac Gallen on the mound. He's 1-6 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in 13 starts. He's got a 5.100 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 6 road starts and is 0-4 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.719 WHIP in 6 starts vs division opponents. Give me the Giants -1.5, -105! |
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08-09-21 | Reds -1.5 v. Indians | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Money Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Reds -1.5, -110) I like the Reds on the -1.5 run line in Monday's series opener against the Indians. Cincinnati is making quite the playoff push right now. Reds have won 5 straight and are 10-2 over their last 12 games. While they only put up 3 runs in yesterday's win over the Pirates, their offense has been incredible over the last couple weeks. There's a good chance they get back on track against the Indians' Sam Hentges. He's 0-4 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.069 WHIP in 8 starts. In his last 3 outings he's given up 16 runs on 17 hits in just 10 1/3 innings of work. Reds will have the red-hot Luis Castillo on the mound. He's just 6-10 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.386 WHIP in 23 starts this season. However, he's been really good since June hit. He hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 13 starts. He has a 2.37 ERA and 1.263 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Reds -1.5 (-110)! |
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08-08-21 | Mets v. Phillies -160 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
50* (MLB) NL East PLAY OF THE WEEK (Phillies -160) I got no problem laying a little bit of juice with the red-hot Phillies at home in Sunday's series finale against the Mets. Philadelphia has won each of the first two games in this series and are riding a 7-game winning streak overall. It's the exact opposite for the Mets, who have just 2 wins over their last 9 games. The even bigger thing in this game is the starting pitching matchup. Phillies will have one of their best starters going in Zack Wheeler, who has a 2.57 ERA and 1.034 WHIP in 22 starts. Wheeler is even better than that with a 2.22 ERA and 0.876 WHIP in 13 home starts. Taijuan Walker will get the ball for New York and he's in a bad place right now. Walker has given up 20 runs over his last 4 starts, which have only spanned 14 innings. He's also served up a staggering 7 HR in his last 3 starts. Give me the Phillies -160! |
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08-07-21 | Pirates v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
50* (MLB) NL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK (Reds -1.5, +100) I will gladly take my chances with the Reds on the -1.5 run line at even money, as they get ready for game 3 of their 4 game series against the Pirates. Cincinnati won the opener 7-4 on Thursday and cruised to a 10-0 win on Friday. This has been quite the stretch for the Reds offense, who are scoring 5 runs or more basically every game over the last few weeks (13 of their last 14). In their last 7 games, they are averaging 6.0 runs and hitting .284 with a .353 OBP. They will take those hot bats up against the struggling Mitch Keller, who is 3-8 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 13 starts. Reds will have Vladimir Gutierrez on the mound. He's got sub-par numbers with a 4.39 ERA and 1.360 WHIP in 12 starts, but he's been great in his last two outings giving up just 3 ER on 8 hits in 13 1/3 innings. He's also 4-1 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.132 WHIP in 6 starts vs NL Central teams and is facing a bad Pirates offense in this one. Give me the Reds -1.5 (+100)! |
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08-06-21 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -130 | Top | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Big Money Friday MAX UNIT Top Play (Blue Jays -130) I'll gladly lay the -130 with the Blue Jays at home against the Red Sox in Friday's series opener between these two AL East rivals. This is just too good a price to pass up with Toronto at home, especially with a guy like Alek Manoah on the mound. While he's only made 9 starts, he's impressed with a 2.47 ERA and 0.972 WHIP. He's also been even better than that of late, posting a 1.02 ERA and 0.736 WHIP over his last 3 starts. On top of that, he was great against Boston in his only start against them this year, giving up just 1 run in 6 innings. Nathan Eovaldi will go for the Red Sox, he's a got a very respectable 3.63 ERA and 1.179 WHIP in 21 starts, but does have a very mediocre 4.25 ERA in 8 road starts. He's also got a 4.00 ERA in his last 3 outings. Most recently giving up 5 runs in 5 1/3 at Tampa Bay. Give me the Blue Jays -130! |
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08-05-21 | Cubs v. Rockies -150 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Vegas Insider MAX UNIT Top Play (Rockies -150) We played and lost with Colorado in a 2-3 setback on Wednesday, but it's not keeping me from backing the Rockies at basically the same price in Thursday's series finale. While Colorado could only manage 2 runs yesterday, they did pile on 10 hits, giving them 23 over the first two games in this series. They should have no problem staying hot at the plate against the Cubs' Jake Arrieta. He's just 5-10 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.647 WHIP in 18 starts. Arrieta has been awful in his last 3 outings, posting a 14.71 ERA and 3.134. Twice failing to complete 2 innings before getting pulled. Arrieta has also made 3 starts at Coors Field and has given up 22 runs on 28 hits in just 14 2/3 innings of work. Antonio Senzatela will go for the Rockies. He's got a very solid 3.75 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in 10 home starts this season. He's also coming off a couple of strong starts, giving up just 2 runs in 7 innings at home against the Cardinals and 3 runs in 6 innings at the Nationals. Give me the Rockies -150! |
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08-04-21 | Cubs v. Rockies -152 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -152 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Wednesday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Rockies -152) I will gladly lay a little more juice with the Rockies at -152 at home against the Cubs. Chicago is a team I will be fading a lot down the stretch, at least until the books make the proper adjustments. Colorado won the series opener 13-6 on Tuesday and are in an even better spot in Wednesday's matchup. Rockies will have Jon Gray on the mound. He's quietly having a solid season. He's got a 3.14 ERA and 1.046 WHIP in 10 home starts. He's also got a 2.95 ERA over his last 3 outings and those 3 starts came against the Dodgers twice and at the Padres. Cubs will counter with Alec Mills. He's 0-3 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.318 WHIP in 5 road starts. He's also making his first ever start at Coors Field. I just don't see him pitching well at all in this spot. Give me the Rockies -152! |
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08-03-21 | Giants v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
50* (MLB) NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9.5) I love the UNDER 9.5 in Tuesday's NL West showdown between the Giants and Diamondbacks. We got an old school starting pitching matchup, as veterans Johnny Cueto and Madison Bumgarner face off. One big difference is Bumgarner isn't on the mound for San Francisco. This will be just the second time he's faced off against his former team. You know he wants to pitch well. Bumgarner returned after the All-Star break after nearly a month away. He's been on top of his game, posting a 2.00 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in 3 starts. Cueto has also made 3 starts since the All-Star break and he's got a 2.30 ERA and 0.30 WHIP. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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08-02-21 | Giants -154 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Monday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Giants -154) I got no problem laying the -154 with the Giants in Monday's series opener at the Diamondbacks. San Francisco comes into this series with some momentum, as they just took 2 of 3 at home against the Astros. They are red-hot at the plate, having score 5 or more runs in each of their last 4 games. If the offense puts up 5 runs in this one, they should win no problem. That's because the Diamondbacks don't figure to score much against San Francisco starter Anthony Desclafani. He's 10-5 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 21 starts. Even more impressive is his 2.50 ERA and 0.971 WHIP over 13 road starts. Keeping the Giants under 5 runs won't be easy. Arizona has Taylor Widener on the mound. He's got a 4.42 ERA and 1.418 WHIP in 8 starts. Not to mention he has 7.45 ERA and 1.655 WHIP in 2 home starts and a 7.81 ERA and 1.894 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Giants -154! |
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08-01-21 | Red Sox v. Rays -124 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
50* (MLB) AL East PLAY OF THE WEEK (Rays -124) I'll gladly take my chances with the Rays as a slim -124 home favorite against the Red Sox on Sunday. This is just too good a price to pass up with Tampa Bay at home, especially with the starting pitching matchup. Boston's Nick Pivetta has had a terrible time of late. In his last 3 starts he's given up 13 runs on 21 hits with just 11 K's in 15 1/3 innings of work. It's the opposite for Ray's starter Shane McClanahan, who has a strong 3.00 ERA over his last 3 starts giving up just 5 runs with 18 K's in 15 innings. Give me Tampa Bay -124! |
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07-31-21 | Mariners -158 v. Rangers | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -158 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - AL West PLAY OF THE WEEK (Mariners -158) I'll gladly take my chances with Seattle as a big road favorite against the Rangers. Texas is a dumpster fire and it doesn't figure to get any better for the Rangers down the stretch. Seattle won the series opener over Texas 9-5 on Friday. The Rangers are now 1-14 over their last 15 games. Seattle will have newly acquired Tyler Anderson on the mound, who they got from the Pirates. While the overall numbers aren't great for Anderson, he should get a big mental boost pitching for a contender and a team that can actually score some runs. Texas will turn to Taylor Hearn. Who has a 4.41 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 31 appearances (2 starts) this season. Just not a lot to like with Hearn in this matchup. Give me the Mariners -158! |
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07-30-21 | Reds v. Mets -133 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Friday MAX UNIT Top Play (Mets -133) We lost with the Mets at a similar price in Thursday's series finale, but it won't stop me from firing back with New York in Friday's series opener against the Reds. Mets racked up 12 hits in yesterday's loss, but could only manage 3 runs. They just didn't get the big hit when they needed it. I like their chances of pushing across runs early and often against the struggling Sonny Gray. In his last 2 starts, Gray has been awful. He's given up 13 runs on 14 hits in just 8 innings of work. On the flip side the Mets will get their first look at veteran Carlos Carrasco, who looked really good in his last rehab start. Give me the Mets -133! |
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07-29-21 | Braves v. Mets -137 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -137 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Early Bird PLAY OF THE WEEK (Mets -137) I think we are getting a great price on the Mets at home, as they are laying just -137 on the money line. This is just too short a price with Taijuan Walker on the mound for New York. Walker has a very modest 3.43 ERA and 1.177 WHIP in 18 starts, but when you look at his home/away splits, you see that he's got a 2.68 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 9 home starts. Not only that, the Mets are 8-1 in those 9 starts. Drew Smyly will get the ball for the Braves and he's just not someone you can trust in this spot. Smyly has a sub-par 4.30 ERA and 1.341 WHIP in 17 starts. There's no bad luck in those numbers. In fact, his 4.90 xFIP suggest he's been a bit fortunate to have the ERA he does. Give me the Mets -137! |
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07-28-21 | Reds +100 v. Cubs | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
50* (MLB) NL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK (Reds +100) I love the Reds at even money in Wednesday's road game at Chicago. Cincinnati's Tyler Mahle has been a moneymaker on the road this year. He's 8-3 with a 2.11 ERA and 1.056 WHIP, which has profited +6.6 units. He has to be happy about going back to Wrigley after tossing 5 shutout innings at Chicago back at the end of May. He's only had one bad outing in 5 career starts at Wrigley Field. I just have a lot more trust in him against this soft-hitting Cubs lineup than I do in Chicago's starter Zach Davies. He's just 6.6 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.490 WHIP in 21 starts. He's also been much worse in night starts than he has in day games. He has a 5.25 ERA in 13 night starts. Give me the Reds +100! |
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07-27-21 | A's v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Late Night NO LIMIT Top Play (Under 8.5) I love the UNDER 8.5 in tonight's interleague showdown between the A's and Padres. While it's going to be extremely hot at several ballparks today, it's going to be pretty mild at Petco Park when this game goes off. Temps are expected to be in the low 70s with the wind blowing in at close to 10 mph from left field. You also have to look at how these two offenses come into this game. The A's are averaging just 3.7 runs/game and hitting .222 as a team over their last 7. The Padres are even worse, averaging just 3.4 runs/game and hitting .193 as a team in their last 7. It's also not a bad pitching matchup. Oakland's James Kaprielian has a 2.65 ERA and 1.117 WHIP in 12 starts. While San Diego's Chris Paddack has a not so great 4.77 ERA and 1.271 WHIP in 18 starts, his xFIP is a mere 3.78, which suggests he's been much better the the numbers show. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-26-21 | Rockies v. Angels -152 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Late Night MAX UNIT Top Play (Angels -152) I'll gladly lay the -152 with the Angels at home against the Rockies in Monday's series opener. Colorado is a horrible road team and are in a bad spot here coming off a 3-game series against division rival Dodgers. The Rockies managed just 2 runs in the final two games of that series against the Dodgers and are averaging 2.9 runs/game on the road for the season. That's a problem, because the Angels have one of the top starters going in Shohei Ohtani, especially when he's at home. Ohtani has a very modest 3.21 ERA in 14 starts, but owns a really good 1.87 ERA and 1.177 WHIP in 8 home starts. Give me the Angels -152! |
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07-25-21 | White Sox v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Sunday Night Baseball VEGAS INSIDER (Under 7.5) I'll take my chance with the UNDER 7.5 in tonight's Sunday Night Baseball showdown between the White Sox and Brewers. Two really good starters take the mound in this one. Chicago will turn to Lance Lynn, while Brandon Woodruff goes for Milwaukee. Lynn is 9-3 with a 1.94 ERA and 1.034 WHIP in 17 starts. He's coming into this game in great form too, as he has a 1.42 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Woodruff is 7-4 with a 2.04 ERA and 0.832 WHIP in 19 starts he's got a 2.14 ERA in 9 home starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-24-21 | Nationals -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK (Nationals -1.5, -120) I'll gladly take my chances with Washington on the -1.5 run line in Saturday's game at Baltimore. I know Max Scherzer hasn't been at his best in his last couple starts, but that almost makes me like him more in this spot. Good chance he bounces back. He's still got a great 2.83 ERA and 0.886 WHIP in 18 starts this season. You also have to look at how the Orioles are sending out. Baltimore will be starting Matt Harvey, who is 4-10 with a 7.13 ERA and 1.683 WHIP in 19 starts. It's also worth noting that Harvey has really struggled at home this season. He's got a 7.89 ERA and 1.811 WHIP in 9 starts, with Baltimore going just 2-7 in those 9 outings. Give me the Nationals -1.5 (-120)! |
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07-23-21 | Pirates v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Vegas Run Line PLAY OF THE WEEK (Giants -1.5, +115) I'll gladly take my chances with the Giants on the -1.5 run line at +115 odds. This is a pretty big mismatch in talent. SF is 61-35 and Pittsburgh is 36-60. The Pirates also come in having lost 4 straight, while the Giants just took 3 of 4 at the Dodgers over the weekend. On top of that, Pittsburgh starter Chad Kuhl has been awful on the road this season. He's got a 6.07 ERA and 1.551 WHIP in 7 road starts. Giants will counter with veteran Johnny Cueto. He's got a 3.21 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 8 home starts and is coming off a great outing at St Louis, where he held the Cards to just 1 run on 2 hits in 5 innings. Give me the Giants -1.5 (+115)! |
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07-22-21 | Braves -129 v. Phillies | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
50* (MLB) NL East PLAY OF THE WEEK (Braves -129) I'll gladly take my chances with Atlanta as a -129 road favorite against the Phillies on Thursday. Braves have a big edge on the mound in this one. Charlie Morton will get the rock for Atlanta. He's 8-3 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in 19 starts. What really stands out to me is how good he's been on the road. Morton has a 2.61 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in 7 road starts. Matt Moore gets the ball for Philadelphia. He's got a 5.65 ERA and 1.710 WHIP in 7 starts and has a 7.84 ERA and 2.227 WHIP in 3 home outings. Moore faced Atlanta once already this year and gave up 5 runs on 9 hits in 5 innings. No surprise, as the Braves are averaging 6.0 runs/game vs lefty starters this season. Give me Atlanta -129! |
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07-21-21 | Indians v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -123 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE WEEK (Astros -1.5, -123) I love the Astros on the -1.5 run line Wednesday. Houston is a massive favorite in this game, listed as high as -240 at some places. We only got to lay -123 on the run line. I just feel that if this games goes as expected, there's a really good probability that the Astros win here by 2 or more runs. Houston simply has a massive edge on the mound. They give the ball to Lance McCullers, while the Indians send out Eli Morgan. McCullers is 7-2 with a 2.80 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 15 starts. Morgan is 1-3 with 7.86 ERA and 1.519 WHIP in 6 starts. Give me the Astros -1.5 (-123)! |
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07-20-21 | Rangers v. Tigers -102 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Tigers -102) I'll roll the dice with Detroit at basically even money at home against the Rangers. The Tigers aren't a great team, but they should be a bigger favorite with how bad Texas is playing right now. Detroit won the series opener yesterday 14-0. It was the Tigers 4th straight win as they were coming off a 3-game sweep at home against the Twins. Rangers have now been shutout in 3 straight games, recording just 10 hits in those 3 games combined. They have scored 3 runs in their last 5 games. This is a plus-plus matchup for Tigers' starter Tarik Skubal, who has a solid 3.78 ERA and 1.260 WHIP in 9 home starts. Speaking of home/away splits, Texas' Dane Dunning is 0-4 with a 6.54 ERA and 1.787 WHIP in 8 road starts this season. Give me Detroit -102! |
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07-20-21 | Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 8.5) I really like the OVER 8.5 in Tuesday's NL Central showdown between the Cubs and Cardinals. These two combined for 11 runs in the series opener Monday, as St Louis won 8-3. I think we could see even more offense in Game 2. Chicago will send out Trevor Williams, who has a poor 5.36 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in 10 starts. Williams also owns a 8.05 ERA and 2.053 WHIP in 5 road starts. St Louis counters with Johan Oviedo. He's 0-5 with a 5.59 ERA and 1.635 WHIP in 11 starts. Williams has a 5.74 ERA and 1.616 WHIP in 13 career starts against the Cardinals, while Oviedo has a 5.79 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 3 starts vs the Cubs. Give me the OVER 8.5! |
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07-19-21 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -126 | Top | 13-4 | Loss | -126 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Monday MAX UNIT Top Play (Blue Jays -126) I will gladly take my chances with the Blue Jays as a slim -126 home favorite against the Red Sox. Toronto swept the Rangers in a 3-game series out of the All-Star break, outscoring Texas 25-2 in the process. Boston just lost 2 of 3 at rival New York, scoring just 6 runs in those 3 contests. Look for the Blue Jays to stay hot at the plate against Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta. In his last 3 starts, Pivetta has a poor 5.87 ERA and 1.370 WHIP. He's also got an ugly 7.06 ERA in 4 career starts against Toronto. In 2 starts against the Blue Jays this season, Pivetta has allowed 11 runs on 13 hits (4 HRs) and 4 walks in 10 innings of work. Give me the Blue Jays -126! |
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07-18-21 | Orioles v. Royals -128 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - American League PLAY OF THE WEEK (Royals -128) I'll gladly take my chances with the Royals as a slim -128 home favorite against the Orioles on Sunday. This is simply a play against Orioles' starter Matt Harvey, who is just 3-10 with a ugly 7.70 ERA and 1.763 WHIP in 18 starts. While KC lost yesterday, they did score another 4 runs on 9 hits, giving them 19 runs on 33 hits in their last 3 games. Look for the Royals offense to carry them to a win in the series finale. Give me Kansas City -128! |
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07-17-21 | Astros v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 1-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Saturday's AL showdown between the Astros and White Sox. I just don't see these two teams getting to 9 runs with the talent these two teams will have on the mound. Chicago will send out ace Lucas Giolito. While he hasn't been as dominant as he was in 2020, he's pitched much better than his 4.15 ERA and there's proof in that with his strong 1.173 WHIP. Giolito also owns a 3.47 ERA and 1.070 WHIP in 9 home starts. Jake Odorizzi will get the ball for Houston. He's got a 2.84 ERA and 0.790 WHIP in 5 road starts and posted a sensational 1.59 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in his last 3 starts before the All-Star break. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-16-21 | Rays v. Braves -124 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -124 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Friday MAX UNIT Top Play (Braves -124) I really like the Braves as a slim -124 home favorite against the Rays on Friday. I just feel like Atlanta should be a much bigger favorite in this spot. Charlie Morton will start for the Braves and he's 8-3 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 18 starts. Atlanta has won 7 of his 11 home starts and  he owns a strong 3.23 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Rays. Michael Wacha will take the mound for TB and he's got a solid 3.35 ERA in 10 starts. However, he's got a 4.68 ERA and 1.439 WHIP in 6 road starts. Wacha also has an ugly 5.19 ERA and 1.577 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Braves. Give me Atlanta -124! |
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07-10-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Saturday MAX UNIT Top Play (White Sox -1.5, -130) I got no problem laying the -130 juice on the -1.5 run line with the White Sox on the road against the Orioles Saturday. Chicago won the series opener 12-1 on Friday and have won 3 straight with 15 hits in each of their last 2 games. They should have had way more than 12 runs yesterday, as they left a staggering 13 guys on base. All signs point to another big day at the plate for Chicago, as Baltimore starter, Tom Eshelman has not been good. He's got a 7.16 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in 4 starts. He's also not been going deep in games, so look for the White Sox to keep scoring against a bad Orioles bullpen. Chicago will give the ball to Lucas Giolito. I know he's coming off a bad start at Detroit, but he's the type a guy I want to back after a bad start like that. He'll be motivated to pitch well and that's exactly what he did in his previous start against the Orioles this year. Giolito held Baltimore to just 1 run on 3 hits with 12 Ks in 7 innings. Give me the White Sox -1.5 (-130)! |
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07-09-21 | A's -130 v. Rangers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - A's/Rangers AL West PLAY OF THE WEEK (A's -130) I love the value we are getting with Oakland as a mere -130 road favorite against the Orioles on Friday. The A's should be a much bigger favorite in this one. Oakland will send out Cole Irvin, who has really pitched well this year. Irvin has a 3.56 ERA and 1.208 WHIP in 17 starts. He's been at his best on the road, where he has a 2.55 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 7 starts. He also has a strong 2.25 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Baltimore will counter with Jordan Lyles. He's pitched well in his last two outings, but that was at home against the Royals and on the road against the Mariners. Not exactly two tough offenses to tame. He's 4-5 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.482 WHIP in 16 starts on the year with a 5.50 ERA and 1.694 WHIP in 7 home starts. Give me the A's -130! |
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07-08-21 | Nationals v. Padres UNDER 7 | 8-9 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 7) This almost feels to obvious, but I just can't help myself. I'm taking the UNDER 7 in Thursday's game between the Padres and Nationals. Two of the best the MLB has to offer will be starting in this game. Washington will have Max Scherzer going. I think we expect so much out of Scherzer, that his 2.10 ERA and 0.848 WHIP doesn't get viewed like we would with some others He's been even better than that of late with a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 starts. Yu Darvish gets the ball for San Diego. He's 7-3 with a 2.65 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in 17 starts. He's also got a 2.12 ERA and 0.897 WHIP in 11 home starts. Give me the UNDER 7! |
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07-08-21 | Reds +101 v. Brewers | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 35 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Reds +101) I'll take my chances with the Reds at basically even money in Thursday's road game at Milwaukee. The Brewers have cooled off a bit after their long winning streak. Milwaukee is just 1-3 in their last 4 and that offense that carried them is reverting back to it's struggling ways. I like Cincinnati's Tyler Mahle to pitch well here. Reds have won 8 of his 10 road starts this season, as he's 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA and 1.025 WHIP. You also have a struggling Adrian Houser on the mound for Milwaukee. He's got a 4.07 ERA and 1.345 WHIP in 15 starts. A slightly worse 4.28 ERA in 7 home starts and a 5.09 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Reds +101! |
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07-07-21 | Yankees v. Mariners +106 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - American League PLAY OF THE WEEK (Mariners +106) I love the value we are getting with Seattle at basically even money at home against the Yankees on Wednesday. New York is always overpriced and are definitely getting too much respect after yesterday's 12-1 blowout win. There's just no way Seattle should be a home dog in this one. Mariners get treated like they are this bad team, but they are 4-games over .500 and have won 26 of 44 at home this season. Not only that, they got a really good starter on the mound in Yusei Kikuchi. Guy has gone 6-3 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in 15 starts. He's been even better than that of late, with a 1.37 ERA and 0.966 WHIP in his last 3 starts (vs Rays, @ White Sox, @ Blue Jays). Give me the Mariners +106! |
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07-06-21 | Red Sox v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Red Sox/Angels MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 8.5) I love the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's showdown between the Red Sox and Angles. Two of the AL's top starters will be on the mound in this one. Boston will send out Nathan Eovaldi, who is 9-4 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 17 starts. He's been lights out of late, posting a 1.93 ERA in his last 3 starts. In just his last two outings, he's given up a mere 1 ER in 14 2/3 innings. LA will counter with Shohei Ohtani, who is 3-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.266 WHIP in 12 starts. Ohtani has been at his best at home this season, where he owns a sensational 1.73 ERA and 1.266 WHIP in 7 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-06-21 | A's v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 6-9 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's action between the Astros and A's. These two AL West rivals figure to have a hard time scoring runs with the top tier talent they are sending out to the mound. Oakland will turn to Chris Bassitt, who is 9-2 with a 3.04 ERA in 17 starts. Bassitt is 5-0 with a 3.52 ERA in 9 road starts and has a 1.35 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Houston will send out Framber Valdez, who is 5-1 with a 2.18 ERA in 7 starts. Valdez has an even better 2.00 ERA in 3 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-05-21 | White Sox -110 v. Twins | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Monday MAX UNIT Top Play (White Sox -110) I'll take my chances with the White Sox as a slim -110 road favorites against the Twins. This will be a rematch in starters from last week's series between these two teams in Chicago. Dylan Cease goes for the White Sox and Bailey Ober is starting for Minnesota. Cease and Chicago won 13-3 in that game, as he gave up just 2 runs in 6 innings, while Ober allowed 5 in just 3 1/3. White Sox as a team have had the Twins number, winning 8 of the last 9 in the series. Chicago has also gone 23-11 when priced as a favorite of -150 or less, winning by 2 runs/game in this spot. Give me Chicago -110! |
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07-04-21 | Cardinals v. Rockies -152 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Sunday MAX UNIT Top Play (Rockies -152) I will gladly take my chances with the Rockies as a -152 home favorite against the Cardinals on Sunday. Really an easy play on Colorado when you look at who these two teams are sending to the mound. Rockies will send out German Marquez, who is one of the few who seemed to have figured out how to pitch well at Coors Field. Marquez is 6-1 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.129 WHIP in 11 home starts (Rockies are 9-2). Cardinals will give the rock to Carlos Martinez, who is 4-9 with a 6.15 ERA and 1.392 WHIP in 15 starts. Martinez owns a poor 7.08 ERA and 1.377 WHIP in 8 road starts (Cards are 2-6) and a 9.00 ERA and 2.143 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Rockies -152! |
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07-03-21 | Padres v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I think we are getting some big time value with the UNDER at 8 in Saturday's game between the Phillies and the Padres. I like both starters quite a bit in this spot. Hard to not like Yu Darvish. Guy has a 2.44 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in 16 starts this season. In his last 2 starts he's given up just 2 ER in 12 innings with 18 K's to just 2 BB's. Darvish also owns a 1.42 ERA and 0.869 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Phillies. Zach Eflin is where it gets tricky and where I think the value is. Eflin is just 2-6 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 15 starts and has an ugly 5.62 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in his last 3 outings. All 3 of those were on the road. Eflin has been a different guy at home. He's got a 2.13 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 6 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-03-21 | White Sox -128 v. Tigers | 5-11 | Loss | -128 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (White Sox -128) I'm shocked the White Sox are only -128 on the money line Saturday at Detroit. I will gladly take my chances with Chicago in this one. Not only are the White Sox the better team, they are hot right now. They are on their way to a fifth straight win (lead 3-1 in bottom 8th). Dallas Keuchel will be on the mound for Chicago. He's pitched really well this year with a 3.87 ERA and 1.328 WHIP in 15 starts. He's got an even stronger 2.87 ERA over his last 3 outings and has a 3.48 ERA in 9 career starts vs the Tigers (his team is 7-2 in those 9 games). Tarik Skubal will go for Detroit. He's flashed some decent stuff in his 14 starts this year, but does own a very mediocre 4.12 ERA and 1.333 WHIP. What's really the problem for Skubal, is he's left handed. White Sox are 18-7 this season when facing a left-handed starter and are scoring 6.0 runs/game with a .275 team average (4.9 and .253 on the season). No surprise he's got a not so great 5.54 ERA and 1.923 WHIP in 3 career starts vs the White Sox. Give me Chicago -128! |
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07-02-21 | Padres v. Phillies -123 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - National League PLAY OF THE WEEK (Phillies -123) I'll take my chances with the Phillies as a slim -123 home favorite against the Padres. Really a great price here with Philadelphia given who is starting for each team. Zack Wheeler will go for the Phillies and he's got a 2.20 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in 16 starts. He's been even better than that of late with a 1.69 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Chris Paddack gets the ball for the Padres. He's just 4-5 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.273 WHIP in 14 starts. Paddack has been even worse than that of late with a 6.08 ERA and 1.725 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Phillies -123! |
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07-01-21 | Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Brewers -1.5, -141) I got no problem laying the -141 on the -1.5 run line with Milwaukee. Brewers are on fire right now. Milwaukee comes in having won 8 straight and 10 of 11 overall. They are locked in at the plate, averaging 7.7 runs/game and hitting .276 as a team in their last 7 games. They should have no problem staying hot with Pittsburgh sending out William Crowe for his 11th start. Crowe has a 6.40 ERA and 1.578 WHIP in 10 starts. Brewers will have Corbin Burners on the mound. He's been one of the NL's best with a 2.41 ERA and 0.911 WHIP in 13 starts. Give me the Brewers -1.5 (-141)! |
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07-01-21 | Mariners v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Early Bird Total NO-BRAINER (Under 9.5) I'm going to take the UNDER 9.5 between the Blue Jays and Mariners. I know these two just combined for 16 runs yesterday and Toronto has been hitting the cover off the ball, but 9.5 is just too high a number for the talent these two teams are sending to the mound. Blue Jays will send out Hyun-Jin Ryu, who has a respectable 3.41 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 15 starts. Seattle will counter with Yusei Kikuchi, who has a 3.23 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 15 starts overall, 2.70 ERA in 8 road starts and a 0.92 ERA over his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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06-30-21 | Mariners v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 9-7 | Loss | -124 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Blue Jays -1.5, -124) We have gone 4-1 on the Blue Jays -1.5 run in their last 5 games and really should have cashed all 5, as they were up 5-1 in the 8th in the one they lost. Winning by 2 or more runs just isn't asking a lot of Toronto right now, as they are scoring runs in bunches. Blue Jays have put up 5 or more in 5 straight games and are averaging more than 10 hits per game in their last 9. All signs point to another big offensive day for Toronto, as Seattle will send out the struggling Justus Sheffield. He's 5-7 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.647 WHIP in 13 starts. It hasn't been getting any better of late, as Sheffield owns a 8.78 ERA and 1.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I know Steven Matz hasn't been great, be he is coming off a strong outing at Boston against the Red Sox and this is a plus matchup against a bad Seattle offense. Give me the Blue Jays -1.5 (-124)! |
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06-30-21 | Pirates v. Rockies -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 115 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Rockies -1.5, +115) We cashed the Rockies on the -1.5 run line Tuesday and will fire right back with Colorado on the -1.5 run line Wednesday. It's one thing to get shutout at Coors Field, it's really something to get shutout in back-to-back games at Coors Field. It just doesn't happen. That speaks volumes to how much this Pittsburgh offense is struggling right now. I don't see it getting any better today. Rockies will have Jon Gray on the mound and he's got a strong 3.25 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 8 home starts. Chad Kuhl goes for the Pirates and he's 1-3 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 6 road starts. Give me the Rockies -1.5 (+115)! |
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06-29-21 | Pirates v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 102 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Tuesday MAX UNIT Top Play (Rockies -1.5, +102) I really like the Rockies on the -1.5 run line in Tuesday's game with Pittsburgh. Colorado's home/away splits are hard to make sense of. Rockies are 26-16 at home and just 6-31 on the road. One of the big reasons Colorado is so good at home, is they score a lot of runs at Coors Field. Rockies are scoring 5.7 runs/game and hitting .281 as a team at home. Pirates are 13-27 away from home, scoring 3.1 runs/game and hitting .229 as a team. Nothing is more telling of how bad the Pirates offense is, than the fact that they were shutout at Coors Field on Monday. I don't see Pittsburgh doing much in this one either. Colorado's German Marquez has been great in his last 2 starts, giving up just 1 ER on 3 hits in 14 innings of work. Give me the Rockies -1.5 (+102)! |
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06-29-21 | Royals v. Red Sox -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Red Sox -1.5, -109) I'll take my chances with the Red Sox on the -1.5 run line in Tuesday's home game against the Royals. Easy play here on Boston. KC is in another one of their funks. Royals have lost 6 straight and been outscored by 25 runs in those 6 losses (4.2 runs/game). Boston has won 4 straight and have scored 24 runs in those 4 wins. Look for the Red Sox to stay hot at the plate against Royals starter Brad Keller, who has an awful 6.40 ERA and 1.803 WHIP in 16 starts. In his last 3 starts, Keller has given up 16 runs on 22 hits in 15 innings of work. Nick Pivetta goes for Boston. He's been up and down with a modest 4.00 ERA and 1.259 WHIP in 15 starts. Red Sox have won 6 of his 8 home starts and he's coming in off a great outing at Tampa Bay, where he didn't give up a hit or a run in 6 2/3 innings. Give me the Red Sox -1.5 (-109)! |
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06-28-21 | Phillies v. Reds -152 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Reds -152) I'll take my chances with Cincinnati as a big home favorite in Monday's make-up game with the Phillies. Tough spot for Philadelphia, who just finished up a 4-game set against division rival New York on Sunday and have to go to Cincinnati for this 1 game before returning home to play the Marlins tomorrow. Reds on the other hand aren't going to be phased by this game, as they are in the midst of a 11-game home stand. Cincinnati also has the edge on the mound in this game. Reds will send out Wade Miley, who is 6-4 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 13 starts. He's not let the tough pitching conditions of Great American Park get to him, as he owns a 2.67 ERA and 1.129 WHIP in 6 home starts. Spencer Howard will go for the Phillies and he's got a 4.05 ERA in 4 starts and is averaging a mere 3 1/3 innings per start. Give me the Reds -152! |
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06-27-21 | Indians v. Twins OVER 9.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 9.5) I'm expecting a ton of offense in Sunday's game between the Indians and Twins, as I got these two teams easily surpassing the total of 9.5. Minnesota's offense is in a groove right now. Twins have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games, including 3 of their last 4. They will be up against Sam Hentges, who has an ugly 6.27 ERA and 1.821 WHIP in 5 starts. He did throw 5 scoreless innings in his last start, but that was against a bad Pirates offense, so don't read into that. I don't see him sticking around long in this one. J.A. Happ will start for Minnesota. He hasn't been much better with a 6.09 ERA and 1.492 WHIP in 13 starts. It's not been getting any better for Happ, who has a 7.90 ERA and 2.121 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Play the OVER 9.5! |
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06-27-21 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Blue Jays -1.5, -129) I've played the Blue Jays on the -1.5 run in each of their first 3 games of this 4 game series with Baltimore. Toronto has cashed in 2 of the 3 and really should have won all 3 on the run line, as they were up 5-1 in the 8th in the game they didn't. Either way, I'm taking Toronto on the -1.5 run line again on Sunday. With the way the Blue Jays are swinging the bat and the way the Orioles are struggling to score, it's really not asking a lot here for Toronto to win by 2 or more runs. Blue Jays are scoring 6.9 runs/game and hitting .286 as a team in their last 7. Orioles are scoring 2.4 runs/game and hitting .181 as a team in their last 7. Play the Blue Jays -1.5 (-129)! |
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06-26-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox -117 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Yankees/Red Sox Rivalry NO-BRAINER (Red Sox -117) I'll take my chances with the Red Sox as a small home favorite against the Yankees. Boston won the series opener on Friday 5-3 and I think their offense is poised to carry them to a win on Saturday. Yankees have won 11 of Jordan Montgomery's 14 starts, but not because he's dominated. He's got a mere 4.03 ERA in those 14 outings. He's also really struggled on the road with a 5.71 ERA and 1.413 WHIP in 7 starts. Big concern I have with Montgomery in this one is the wind is blowing out to left field at close to 15 mph and he's a 60% fly ball pitcher. Red Sox's Nathan Eovaldi has a stellar 0.33 HR/9 this season (Montgomery has a 1.01 HR/9). He's also got a 2.83 ERA in 8 career starts vs New York. Give me the Red Sox -117! |
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06-26-21 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Blue Jays -1.5, -145) We had a bad beat with Toronto on the -1.5 run line Friday, as they had a 5-1 lead going into the 8th and wound up losing 5-6. That's not going to deter me from taking the Blue Jays on the -1.5 run line Saturday. I thought Toronto had a huge edge in starting pitching yesterday and that was definitely the case. I see an even bigger edge on Saturday with the Blue Jays sending out Hyun-Jin Ryu and the Orioles countering with Keegan Akin. Ryu has a strong 3.25 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in 14 starts. He's also owned the Orioles over the last two seasons, giving up just 4 ER in 3 starts, 19 innings, of work. Akin has a 6.56 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in 5 starts overall, 7.53 ERA and 1.813 WHIP in 3 road starts and a 10.53 ERA and 2.121 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Blue Jays -1.5 (-145)! |
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06-25-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Total ANNIHILATOR (Over 8.5) I know it's hard to take the OVER with how the Cardinals are struggling to score runs right now, but 8.5 is just too low a number for today's game. With the heat index approaching 100-degrees and the wind blowing out to left, the ball should be flying out of the park today. Not to mention that kind of heat can really wear down a pitcher. You also got to think that Pittsburgh's William Crowe is the guy to be facing for St Louis to snap out of their offensive funk. Crowe has made 9 starts for the Pirates and is 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.525 WHIP. If we can just get a little from the Cardinals in this one, we should easily get to 9 runs in this game. Give me the OVER 8.5! |
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06-25-21 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -127 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Blue Jays -1.5, -127) The money line for this game is close to Toronto -250. You can lay that if you want, but I think the real value here is with the Blue Jays on the -1.5 run line at just -127. Good chance that if this one follows script, Toronto not only wins, but wins big. Alek Manoah will start for the Blue Jays. The hype around this guy has quieted after that great first start and he just gave up 5 runs in 3 1/3 inning at Baltimore in his last start, but I still like what I have seen out of him from a whole. Orioles are only scoring 3.5 runs/game on the road this year and only 3.0 runs/game over their last 7. On the flip side, we got Matt Harvey on the mound for Baltimore. Harvey wouldn't even be in the rotation on most teams. Guy is 3-9 with a 7.80 ERA and 1.781 WHIP in 15 starts. He's got a 8.51 ERA in 7 road starts and 13.51 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me Toronto -1.5 (-127)!  |
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06-24-21 | Indians v. Twins -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Twins -1.5, +115) I will take my chances with the Twins on the -1.5 run line at home against the Indians on Thursday. Minnesota lost last time out, but had won 5 straight prior to the setback. They also stayed hot offensively in defeat, scoring 7 runs. The 4th time in their last 6 they hit the 7 mark. This is also a huge fade of Cleveland starter Jean Carlos Mejia. The guy has made 4 starts and has a 8.52 ERA and 1.500 WHIP. His only halfway decent outing came at home, as he's given up 10 runs over just 8 2/3 innings in 3 road starts. Minnesota will have Jose Berrios on the mound and he's quietly having a strong season. Berrios is 7-2 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.092 WHIP in 14 starts. He's been really strong in his last two outings, giving up just 2 runs in 7 innings at home to the Astros and 3 runs in 6 innings at Texas. Give me the Twins -1.5 (+115)! |
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06-24-21 | Astros -1.5 v. Tigers | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Astros -1.5, -125) I'll take my chances with the Astros on the -1.5 run line (-125) in Thursday's road game against the Tigers. All signs point to Houston not just winning the game, but winning going away. Houston has a massive edge on the mound in this one with Luis Garcia going up against Jose Urena. Garcia is just 5-3, but has a sensational 2.80 ERA and 1.073 WHIP with 73 K's in 64 1/3 innings of work. Last time out, Garcia gave up just 1 run in 7 innings with 8 K's in a win over the White Sox. He should own the Tigers in his first ever start against Detroit. As for Urena, guy has been awful. He's got a 5.79 ERA and 1.592 WHIP in 13 starts. It's only been getting worse. In his last two starts, he's given up 14 ER on 12 hits (4 HR) and 6 walks in just 6 innings of work. With the way Houston is swinging the bat, they should put up a big number. Give me the Astros -1.5 (-125)! |
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06-23-21 | Dodgers +100 v. Padres | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Late Night NL West PLAY OF THE WEEK (Dodgers +100) I played and won on the Padres in their 3-2 win on Tuesday, but will flip sides and back the Dodgers at even money on Wednesday. This looks like another great pitching matchup with Trevor Bauer going up against Joe Musgrove, but I think Bauer has a bigger edge than some might think. Musgrove has been great with a 2.55 ERA in 13 starts this season, but he's 0-3 with a 6.41 ERA and 1.525 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Dodgers. Bauer has been equally impressive on the season with a 2.45 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in 15 starts, but he's faced the Padres twice already this year and allowed just 3 ER on 8 hits with 16 Ks in 12 innings. Give me San Diego +100! |
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06-23-21 | A's -135 v. Rangers | 3-5 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (A's -135) I'll take my chances with Oakland laying a mere -135 on the road against the struggling Rangers. A's snapped a 3-game skid (had won 7 in a row prior to the skid) with a 13-6 win on Tuesday at Texas. For the Rangers it was their 7th loss in their last 8 games. James Kaprielian will start for the A's and he's been impressive so far. Kaprielian has a 2.84 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 7 starts. He's got a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 outings and two of those starts were at Colorado and at Yankees. Mike Foltynewicz will go for the Rangers. He's made 14 starts this season and Texas has lost 10 of them. He's got a 5.59 ERA and 1.432 WHIP in 14 starts. He's got a 12.70 ERA in his last 3 outings and a 6.92 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in 8 night starts. Give me the A's -135! |
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06-22-21 | Indians v. Cubs -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 102 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Cubs -1.5, +102) I'll take my chances with the Cubs on the -1.5 run line in Tuesday's home game against the Indians. I'm putting my faith in this struggling Chicago offense to snap out of their funk today. A big reason for that is the guy on the mound for Cleveland. The Indians will send out struggling 25-year-old rookie Eli Morgan, who has been overmatched in his first two starts. Morgan gave up 6 runs on 8 hits (1 HR) in his first start at home against the Blue Jays. He then allowed 3 runs on 5 hits (2 HR) in 3 2/3 innings in his second outing. That's 9 runs, 13 hits (3 HR) in a mere 6 innings of work. On the flip side, Cubs will send out Kyle Hendricks, who is starting to look more like the Hendricks we expected to see at the beginning of the year. Hendricks, who is 9-4 with a very modest 4.13 ERA and 1.302 WHIP in 14 starts, has a 2.45 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (+102)! |
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06-22-21 | Astros -170 v. Orioles | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Astros -170) I'll roll the dice and lay the big -170 juice with the red-hot Astros against the struggling Orioles. Houston extended their winning streak to 8 with a 10-2 win over Baltimore in the series opener on Monday. Astros are now 17-4 over their last 21 games, which all the sudden has them sitting with the best record in the AL at 44-28. Baltimore is a mere 1-11 over their last 12. Orioles are just 6-30 over their last 36 and that includes a stretch where they won 5 of 6. You also got to look at how hot a bat the Astros are swinging and the edge they have on the mound. Houston is averaging 7.3 runs/game and hitting a crazy .305 as a team in their last 7 games. They got veteran ace Zack Greinke on the mound, who is 7-2 with a 3.74 ERA in 15 starts and 4-0 with a 2.20 ERA in 7 road starts. Give me the Astros -170! |
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06-21-21 | Reds -114 v. Twins | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Monday MAX UNIT Top Play (Reds -114) I'll gladly take my chances with the Reds as a mere -114 favorite on the road against the Twins. Minnesota comes in off a 3-game sweep of Texas and have won 4 in a row overall. Reds were just swept in a 4-game series at San Diego. I think that's definitely playing into the value here with Cincinnati, who I feel has a massive edge on the mound in this one. Reds will send out Tyler Mahle, who is 7-2 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.090 WHIP in 14 starts. Mahle has really been good away from home, posting a 1.45 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in 9 road starts. Minnesota is sending out J.A. Happ, who just hasn't had it in 2021. Happ has a 6.12 ERA and 1.442 WHIP in 12 starts with a 9.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Adding to his struggles, is the fact that the Reds are 8-3, scoring 5.4 runs/game when up against a left-handed starter this season. Give me Cincinnati -114! |
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06-20-21 | Brewers v. Rockies +120 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Money Line MASSACRE (Rockies +120) I have made quite a bit of money on the Rockies at home this season. I've played them in every game in this series and will not hesitate to back them in the finale on Sunday. Colorado is the hotter team offensively, having scored 5 or more runs in 5 straight games, and I give them the edge on the mound in this one. Milwaukee will send out Eric Lauer, who is 1-3 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.542 WHIP in 5 starts. Brewres haven't won with him on the mound since late April when they snuck out a 2-1 win against the Dodgers. In his last two outings, Lauer has struggled, giving up 11 runs on 12 hits (3 HR) and 6 walks in just 7 innings of work. Coors Field is the last place you want to start when things aren't going well. As for Rockies' starter Chi Chi Gonzalez, he's made 3 starts at Coors Field and has posted a very strong 2.50 ERA and 1.056 WHIP. If he pitches anything close to that, Colorado should win here going away. Give me the Rockies +120! |
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06-19-21 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Orioles | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Blue Jays -1.5, -115) Even after losing on the -1.5 run line with Toronto on Friday, I will fire right back with the Blue Jays -1.5 at Baltimore on Saturday. Toronto has an even bigger edge on the mound in this one than they did yesterday. Blue Jays will send out Alek Manoah, who in his first 4 starts, has posted a sensational 2.66 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. In his last two starts @ BOS and @ CHW, he gave up just 2 ER in 11 innings of work. As for the Orioles, they will send out Dean Kremer. He's 0-6 with a 6.65 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 10 starts. He's got a 8.41 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in 5 home starts and a 8.76 ERA and 1.784 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)! |
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06-18-21 | White Sox v. Astros UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (UNDER 8) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Friday's matchup between the Astros and White Sox. I just think 8 is a pretty big number with the talent these two teams are sending out on the mound. Chicago will have Carlos Rodon on the mound and he's been spectacular in 2021. Rodon is 6-2 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.840 WHIP in 11 starts. It hasn't mattered where he's pitched, as he's got a 1.80 ERA and 0.943 WHIP in 6 road starts. Houston counters with Luis Garcia, who is also having a great year. Garcia has a 2.98 ERA and 1.047 WHIP in 11 starts. He's been even better at home with a 1.91 ERA and 0.918 WHIP in 5 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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06-18-21 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Orioles | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Blue Jays -1.5, +100) I'll take my chances with the Blue Jays on the -1.5 run line in Friday's road game against the Orioles. Both teams come in struggling. Toronto was just swept at home by the Yankees and have lost 4 in a row. Baltimore enters on a 8-game losing streak. I just trust the Blue Jays more to get a win in this spot. Not only does Toronto have the better starter on the mound with Robbie Ray going up against Bruce Zimmermann, but the Blue Jays have been at least producing offensively. Toronto is scoring 6.0 runs/game in their last 7, where the Orioles are only scoring 3.0 runs/game in their last 7. Give me the Blue Jays -1.5 (+100)! |
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06-17-21 | Rays v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) I absolutely love the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday's late night action that has the Rays visiting the Mariners. There's a lot to like with both starters going in this one. Tampa Bay's Rich Hill has a strong 3.37 ERA in 13 stats, but has been even better than that of late with a 2.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. It's also worth pointing out that in Hill's last 4 road starts he's given up a whopping 1 run on 9 hits in 22 innings of work. Justin Dunn will counter for Seattle and he's quietly having a strong season. Dunn has a 3.91 ERA in 10 starts. He's also been lights out at home with a 2.95 ERA and 1.265 WHIP in 4 home starts. Not only is Dunn throwing well, but TB's hitters may be a bit off here with the travel from Chicago all the way out west to Seattle. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-16-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +147 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Blue Jays +147) I think the price is just too good to pass up with the Blue Jays as a big +147 home dog against the Yankees on Wednesday. I played and won with New York as my free pick on Tuesday, but Yankees' starter Gerrit Cole is a guy that I want to fade right now, as I think he's someone that was using those illegal substances while pitching to the fullest. He did give up just 2 runs in 6 innings in his last start at Minnesota, but was lucky to only give up 2, as he served up two solo home runs. Start before he gave up 5 runs in 5 innings to the Rays. It's not like this Toronto offense is a pushover, Blue Jays have scored 5 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games. As for Toronto starter Ross Stripling, he does have a very unimpressive 5.75 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in 9 starts, but he's trending in the right direction with a 3.45 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Blue Jays +147! |
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