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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-26-17 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
50* NL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 8) I love the pitching matchup in tonight's NL Central showdown between the Cubs and Cardinals. Chicago will send out Jake Arrieta, who has quietly been one of the better starters in the game the last couple of months. Arrienta has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 10 of his last 11 starts and comes in with a 2.85 ERA against the NL Central this season and a 2.30 ERA in his career vs St Louis. The Cardinals will send out Carlos Martinez, who has a strong 3.18 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 14 home starts. He's faced the Cubs twice at home this season and in those starts has allowed just 3 runs on 11 hits with 17 strikeouts in 14 innings of work. Cubs still need 1 more win to lock up the division title and the Cardinals are right there for the Wild Card. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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09-20-17 | Cubs -119 v. Rays | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cubs -119)Â I cashed in on Chicago with my Interleague GOM yesterday and I'm sticking with the red-hot Cubs on Wednesday. Chicago has now won 7 straight and are in full on playoff mode, as they try to hold off the Brewers for the NL Central title. Hard to not like the Cubs in this one, as they send out their ace Jon Lester, who has been much better of late, allowing just 3 runs over his last 12 innings of work. Tampa will send out lefty Blake Snell, who is just 3-6 with a 4.33 in 21 starts overall and 1-3 with a 4.41 ERA in 9 home starts. Plus, Chicago has feasted on left-handed starters this season, as they are hitting .277 and averaging 5.7 runs/game (21-12 record). Give me the Cubs -119! |
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09-19-17 | Cubs +107 v. Rays | Top | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
50* MLB INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH (Cubs +107) The Cubs are peaking at the right time, as they have won 6 straight and continue to try to hold off the Brewers for the NL Central crown. I really like Chicago's offensive approach here of late, as they aren't just trying to hit the ball out of the park. They have 10+ hits in 5 of the 6 games during the winning streak. While they are up against Tampa Bay's ace Chris Archer, they are catching him at the right time. Archer has allowed 13 runs on 17 hits in his last 3 starts, which he's officially only pitched 7 innings. He's also a guy that can struggle with control and the Cubs will make him work. Tampa is just 4-14 in Archer's last 18 starts against a good team that's won 54% to 62% of their games and a mere 4-13 in his last 17 starts as a home favorite of -150 or less. Give me the Cubs +107! |
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09-15-17 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Indians -1.5, -105) I was on the wrong end of a bad beat yesterday, as I had the Royals at +190 and they blew it in the bottom of the 9th. I really felt that was the game that would slip up Cleveland and their winning streak, which is now 22 games. To win that the way they did, I see them riding that wave of momentum here on Friday, as they have a big time edge on the mound with Trevor Bauer facing off against Jason Vargas. Vargas has been on a free fall for quite some time. He faced Cleveland twice in August and was rocked for 8 runs on 12 hits and 5 walks in just 9 2/3 innings of work. Bauer on the other hand hasn't allowed a run in his last 8 innings of work against the Royals. Give me Cleveland -1.5 (-105)! Â |
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09-14-17 | A's v. Red Sox -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
40* EARLY BIRD MLB BOOKIE DESTROYER (Red Sox -1.5, -105) I like Boston in this spot, as the Red Sox were embarrassed on their home field yesterday 3-7 by the A's. Just one day after they rolled Oakland 11-1 in the series opener. I look for Drew Pomeranz and the Red Sox offense to make sure this one is never in doubt. Pmeranz doesn't get near the attention he deserves. The guy is 15-5 with a 3.35 ERA in 28 starts and 8-2 with a 3.24 ERA in 14 starts at Fenway. Not to mention he's 9-1 with a 2.61 ERA in 16 starts since June 16. A's will send out Daniel Gossett, who is 4-8 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in 14 starts. Not a fan of laying anything over -150, so I'll take the run line and call for Boston to win here by 2+ runs. Give me the Red Sox -1.5 (-105). |
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09-13-17 | Mariners v. Rangers UNDER 11 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
50* AL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Mariners/Rangers UNDER 11) The books have set the total too high for this one. The Rangers will send out Martin Perez, who has quietly been one of the hottest pitchers in the game. Perez has gone 7-0 with a 3.15 ERA in his last 7 starts. He's pitched well against the Mariners this season and would expect another strong outing here. Seattle will send out Mike Leake, who has really thrown the ball well since coming over via the Cardinals. Leake has a 2.77 ERA in his first two starts, allowing just 2 runs in each outing. He's also owned the Rangers in his career with a 2.33 ERA in 3 starts. Even if one of these guys underperforms, there's still a great chance this stays under the mark. Give me the UNDER 11! |
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09-12-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -124 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Diamondbacks -124) I'll gladly back Arizona as a short home favorite with the red-hot Taijuan Walker on the mound. Walker has a 0.79 ERA in his last 4 starts, which has seen him strikeout 21 in 22 1/3 innings. That combined with his success against the Rockies makes this an easy play for me. Walker is 2-1 with a 1.90 ERA in 4 starts against Colorado this season. The Rockies will send out Jon Gray, who is just 3-3 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in 10 road starts this season and owns a 5.40 ERA and 1.543 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Diamondbacks. Colorado is also just 2-14 in Gray's last 16 road starts following a win, while Arizona is 10-3 in Walker's 13 starts this season against division opponents. Give me the Diamondbacks -124! |
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09-11-17 | White Sox v. Royals -1.5 | 11-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Royals -1.5, +120) I look for Kansas City to have zero problem winning by at least 2 runs at home over the White Sox. Chicago is a mere 13-39 in their last 52 road games overall, 1-9 in their last 10 when facing an opponent that scored 5+ runs in their last game and 0-4 in their last 4 series openers. Chicago will send out Reynaldo Lopez, who is 0-3 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.343 WHIP in 4 starts and was awful in his one road outing, giving up 6 runs in 4 1/3 innings at Texas. Royals offense comes in averaging 6.4 runs/game and are hitting .340 as a team over their last 7 games. I'll take my chances that they put enough on the board here to win by at least 2 runs. Give me Kansas City -1.5 (+120)! |
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09-08-17 | Angels v. Mariners -123 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
40* MLB LATE NIGHT KNOCKOUT (Mariners -123)Â *Analysis Coming*Â |
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09-08-17 | Pirates v. Cardinals -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 145 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Cardinals -1.5, +145)Â *Analysis Coming*Â |
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09-07-17 | Twins v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
50* AL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (OVER 9.5) I'm expecting plenty of offensive fireworks in the series opener between the Twins and Royals on Thursday. Kansas City comes in off a 13-run outburst in yesterday's 11-run win over the Tigers, while Minnesota scored 10 runs in a win over the Rays. Royals just claimed Sam Gaviglio off waivers to make a start here. In his last two starts he allowed 12 runs on 17 hits and 5 walks. He also gave up 4 runs on 5 hits (3 HRs) in his only start against the Twins this season. Minnesota will send out Kyle Gibson, who has pitched well of late, but owns a 4.60 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in 11 road starts. In his last outing he held these same Royals to just 5 hits over 6 shutout innings. Expect KC to have a better approach having just seen him. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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09-06-17 | Royals -130 v. Tigers | 13-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Royals -130) Kansas City is worth a look here as a short road favorite against the Tigers. Detroit won 13-2 over the Royals on Tuesday and any time a team gets embarrassed like that, they are primed to come out with a chip on their shoulder in their next game. While the Tigers won convincingly, they had to use up their bullpen, as starter Anibal Sanchez was hit by KC's leadoff hitter and had to leave the game after just 5 pitches. I look for the Royal's offense to show up here against Detroit starter Matt Boyd and just keep piling on the runs late to secure a win behind veteran starter Jason Hammel. Give me the Royals -130! |
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09-05-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
50* NL CENTRAL RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Cubs -1.5, -105) My money is on the Cubs to bounce back from yesterday's embarrassing 12-0 loss to the Pirates with a comfortable win in Game 2 of this series. Chicago is an impressive 23-8 in their last 31 games following a loss and have gone 9-3 in their last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Cubs will send out Kyle Hendricks, who has really been throwing the ball well. He's got a 2.75 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in his last 3 starts and hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in a single outing over his last 8 starts. In his last five starts against the Pirates, he's held them to 1 or fewer runs 4 times, with 3 of those not allowing a run at all. Pittsburgh sends out lefty Steven Brault, who has a 5.93 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 6 appearances out of the bullpen and a 5.17 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in 47 innings overall at the big league level. Cubs are averaging 5.7 runs/game and hitting .278 against left-handed starters this season. Give me Chicago -1.5 (-105)! |
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09-04-17 | Astros v. Mariners +135 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mariners +135) Most are going to jump on the Astros with their ace Dallas Keuchel on the mound, but I think the value here is clearly with the Mariners. This is not a great spot for Houston, who just played an emotional 3-game against the Mets over the weekend in their first games back at home since the devastation of Hurricane Harvey. I have a hard time believing they are ready to leave their home town and expect them to come out a bit flat tonight. As for Seattle, the Mariners are fresh off a 3-game sweep at home against the A's and will send out Erasmo Ramirez, who is 3-0 with a 2.73 ERA in 6 home starts. It's also worth noting that Keuchel was awful in his last outing, giving up 6 runs in 6 innings and has allowed 5 runs in each of his last 2 starts in Seattle. Give me the Mariners +135! |
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09-03-17 | Indians v. Tigers OVER 9.5 | Top | 11-1 | Win | 105 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 9.5) I'm expecting a lot of offensive fireworks when the Tigers and Indians take the field Sunday afternoon. That's because the wind will be blowing straight out to left field at Comerica Park and this is far from an ideal pitching matchup. Cleveland's Josh Tomlin has had a miserable time against Detroit, posting a 5.12 ERA and 1.323 WHIP in 11 starts. He's also just 2-3 with a 5.02 ERA in 9 road starts. As for the Tigers, they are sending out Chad Bell to make his MLB debut against a red-hot Indians offense that comes in scoring 6.7 runs/game and is hitting .322 as a team over their last 7. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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09-01-17 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -167 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Orioles -167) Baltimore had their 7-game winning streak snapped on Thursday, as Toronto out slugged them in an 11-8 win. The fact that the offense continued to produce is a good sign that the Orioles will get right back on track with a victory at home against the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays had lost 4 straight and are just 3-10 in their last 13 overall. Baltimore also has the edge on the mound in this one, sending out Kevin Gausman against Joe Biagini. Gausman comes in off 7 2/3 shutout innings at Boston and has allowed a mere 5 runs in 4 starts against the Blue Jays this season. Biagini is 2-8 with a 6.02 ERA in 12 starts overall and owns a 9.42 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the Orioles -167! |
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08-30-17 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
50* AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) These two teams continue their series in Tampa Bay, as they had to move it from Houston due to all the flooding. While the two combined for 14 runs yesterday, that was a result of a horrible outing by Houston starter Michael Fiers, who gave up 8 runs in 4 innings. Texas ended up with 12 runs. I don't see them getting anywhere close to that tonight against Astros ace Dallas Keuchel, who is 11-2 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 17 starts. That includes a 5-1 record and 1.51 ERA in 8 home starts. I also don't see Houston doing a lot at the plate here against Rangers starter Andrew Cashner, who has a strong 3.86 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 3.44 ERA in 21 starts overall on the season. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-29-17 | White Sox v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Twins -1.5, +100) Minnesota is worth a look here on the run line against the White Sox. The Twins are in good form having won 8 of their last 12 and are red-hot at the plate with 22 runs on 37 hits in their last 3 games. The offense should continue to roll against Chicago starter James Shields, who has a 5.30 ERA and 1.473 WHIP in 7 road starts. On the flip side of this, Minnesota will send out Ervin Santana, who has a 3.24 ERA and 1.128 WHIP in 26 starts and a 3.00 ERA and 1.278 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Twins -1.5 (+100)! |
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08-28-17 | Tigers v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockies -1.5, +107) Colorado is worth a look on the run line Monday against the Tigers. The Rockies just took the final 2 games of their 3-game set at Atlanta and have won 3 of their last 4, as they head home from a 6-game road trip. They take on a Tigers team that is a mere 5-16 over their last 21 games. Detroit will send out Jordan Zimmermann, who has allowed 7 runs in each of his last 3 starts for a miserable 13.84 ERA and 2.269 WHIP. Colorado will send out Antonio Senatela, who has an 8-2 record in 10 home starts. Give me the Rockies -1.5 (+107)! |
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08-27-17 | Cubs v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
50* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (OVER 9.5) These two teams should have no problem combining for at least 10 runs with the starting pitching matchup. Cubs send out John Lackey, who has a 5.25 ERA and 1.371 WHIP in 13 road starts and is in similar form with a 5.51 ERA in his last 3 starts. Phillies counter with Nick Pivetta, who has a 6.54 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in 19 starts. Cubs had a rough two games at the plate, but exploded for 17 runs on Saturday. Phillies have been hot of late, scoring 7 or more in 4 of their last 6. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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08-26-17 | Astros v. Angels +101 | 6-7 | Win | 101 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
40* ASTROS/ANGELS - MLB LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Angels +101) Public will be all over the Astros at this line, which has me looking the other way and calling for the Angels to snap their 3-game skid behind today's starter Tyler Skaggs. This will be Skaggs 5th start since returning from the DL that had him sidelined in late April. He's shown a lot of positive signs and is facing a Houston offense that has been struggling and could be without their best offensive player in Jose Altuve, who is questionable with a neck injury. I think the Astros play it cautious with their star player and the Angels take this one at home. Give me Los Angeles +101! |
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08-25-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cubs -1.5, -120) Chicago let one slip away on Thursday, but had won their previous 5 games and are an impressive 21-6 this season off a loss. They have won the series opener in each of their 5 previous series and are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less. Cubs starter Jose Quintana has feasted on bad teams this year, going 11-1 with his team winning by an average score of 6.5 to 2.8 (+3.7). Phillies will send out Jerad Eickhoff, who is 3-7 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.479 WHIP. Chicago is 14-3 in their last 17 road games vs a right-handed starter and 21-8 in their last 29 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (-120)! |
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08-24-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
50* NL CENTRAL RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Cubs -1.5, +100) Chicago is rolling right now, as they come in having won 5 straight. A big part of this run has been an offensive that is clicking on all cylinders. Cubs have score 22 runs in the first two games of this series and have scored 6 or more 6 of their last 7 games. I look for the offense to keep it going against Reds' starter Sal Romano, who has a 5.32 ERA in 9 starts overall and is 1-3 with a 6.63 ERA in 4 home starts. Cubs send out Jake Arrieta, who is in one of the grooves right now. Arrieta has given up 2 or fewer runs in 7 straight starts. He's also won 5 straight starts at Cincinnati. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (+100)! |
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08-23-17 | Diamondbacks -154 v. Mets | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Diamondbacks -154) I cashed in on the Diamondbacks yesterday with my Run Line Play of the Month and won with ease. I'm jumping right back on Arizona today, as they have a big time edge on the mound with Zack Godley facing off against Chris Flexen. Godley has a 3.13 ERA and 1.089 WHIP in 18 starts and a sensational 1.93 ERA and 0.929 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Mets. New York is a complete mess right now. They have lost 3 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall. Flexen doesn't look like the guy to get it turned around, as he's got a 6.55 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 5 starts this season. Give me the Diamondbacks -154! |
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08-22-17 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Mets | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
50* MLB RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Dbacks -1.5, -105) Arizona snapped a 3-game skid with a 3-2 win in Monday's series opener against the Mets. New York is now a miserable 1-7 in their last 8 games, as they have thrown in the towel on this season. I look for the Mets struggles to continue. The injuries to the rotation are so bad that they are being forced to turn back to Tom Milone, who has a 7.62 ERA and 1.731 WHIP in 6 starts this season. On the flip side of this, Arizona sends out the red-hot Pat Corbin, who has a 1.27 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has tossed 15 2/3 innings of scoreless baseball in his last two outings (vs the Cubs and Astros). Mets are scoring 3.9 runs/game and hitting .228 as a team over their last 7. Give me the Diamondback -1.5 (-105)! |
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08-21-17 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8.5) UNDER is worth a look here in Monday's clash between the Giants and Brewers. San Francisco will send out Chris Stratton, who was sensational in his last start at Washington, allowing just 5 hits with 10 strikeouts in 6 2/3 shutout innings. Milwaukee will send out Zach Davies, who is 7-0 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in 12 road starts this season. This will be the first career start against the opposing team for both starters, giving them an even bigger edge in this one. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-20-17 | Brewers v. Rockies -124 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -124 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockies -124) Milwaukee getting way to much love here from the books and a big part of that is the return of starting pitcher Chase Anderson, who is making his first start since June 28. Anderson owns a strong 2.89 ERA in 16 starts this season. The problem is, this is far from an ideal spot to make that first start back of the DL. Anderson only threw 67 pitches in his final rehab start, so chances are he won't be throwing more than 80 here. Even if he was a full strength, there was a good chance he would have struggled. Anderson owns a 7.84 ERA in just over 20 innings of work in his career at Coors Field. I'll take my chances with Colorado behind Kyle Freeland, who has a strong 3.31 ERA in 12 starts at home this season. Give me the Rockies -124! |
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08-19-17 | White Sox v. Rangers -1.5 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Rangers -1.5, -110) I was on the wrong end of the Rangers loss yesterday, as I backed them on the run line and they lost the game 3-4. That's not scaring me away from making the same play on Texas on Saturday. I just don't trust the White Sox pitching staff, especially with Derek Holland on the mound. Holland has a miserable 7.07 ERA and 1.660 WHIP in 11 road starts this season. He got to face Texas at home earlier this season and that was a struggle to say the least. Holland gave up 5 runs in just 5/13 innings of a 4-10 loss. I see a similar type of score here with Texas sending out the red-hot Martin Perez, who has allowed just 3 runs in 14 innings over his last 2 starts. Give me the Rangers -1.5 (-110)! |
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08-18-17 | White Sox v. Rangers -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
50* AMERICAN LEAGUE RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Rangers -1.5, -110) I'm all over the red-hot Texas Rangers on the run line Friday night at home against the White Sox. Chicago had a recent stretch where they put together 4 straight wins, but have lost 5 straight since, including a heartbreaking 8-9 defeat in the series opener against the Rangers last night. Texas is crushing the ball offensively, scoring 37 runs in their last 4 games and have a huge edge on the mound with Andrew Cashner facing James Shields. Cashner owns a 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 2.25 ERA in 9 home starts this season. Shields has a 5.90 ERA in 13 starts overall, 5.62 ERA on the road and 6.00 ERA over his last 3 outings. Give me the Rangers -1.5 (-110)! |
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08-17-17 | Yankees -1.5 v. Mets | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Yankees -1.5, -110) Yankees are worth a look here on the run line as they go for the sweep in their 4-game home-and-home split against the Mets. Yankees send out Luis Severino, who is coming off a bad outing at home against the Red Sox. I like his chances of rebounding, as he had a 1.36 ERA in his previous 6 starts. He's also facing a struggling Mets offense. While Severino does his thing, the Yankees offense should have no problem putting up a big number here against the struggling Steven Matz, who hasn't completed 6 innigns in a single start since the first week of July (7 straight outings). He's also 0-3 with a 9.33 ERA and 1.909 WHIP in 4 home starts this season. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (-110)! |
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08-16-17 | Reds v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
50* NL CENTRAL RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Cubs -1.5, -110) The Cubs aren't going to be happy about letting one slip away against Cincinnati yesterday. The offense just couldn't get anything going against Reds rookie starter Luis Castillo, who looks to be a bright spot for the future. It came after the Cubs had scored 22 runs in their previous two games. I'll take my chances with Chicago getting that offense back on track here against Homer Bailey, who enters with an ugly 8.31 ERA and 2.035 WHIP in 10 starts this season. Cubs counter with John Lackey, who has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 6 straight starts, all of which the Cubs have won by at least 2 runs. Give me Chicago -1.5 (-110)! |
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08-15-17 | Cardinals v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
50* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 10) I look for an offense explosion in Monday's series opener between the Red Sox and Cardinals that has this one easily eclipsing the total of 10 runs. St Louis will send out Mike Leake, who has completely fallen off from his great start. After posting a 1.35 ERA in April and 3.09 ERA in May, Leake had a 4.30 ERA in June and 4.76 in July. It's not been any better in August, where he has a 5.73 ERA in two starts. As for Red Sox starter Rick Porcello, it's been a disappointing season from start to finish for last year's Cy Young winner, as he's 6-14 with a 4.63 ERA in 24 starts. He's also got a 5.24 ERA in 13 home starts and 5.40 ERA in his last 3 starts. Both of these offenses are potent and the wind will be blowing straight out to left. Give me the OVER 10! |
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08-14-17 | Orioles -115 v. Mariners | Top | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Orioles -115) I know the Orioles are off an ugly 3-9 loss at Oakland on Sunday, but I actually like that here, as Baltimore is going to be locked in to open up their series with Seattle. For me, this all comes down to starting pitching. Mariners starter Yovani Gallardo sits at 4-7 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.547 WHIP in 18 starts. He's somehow even worse than that at home, where he's got a 6.61 ERA. On the flip side, Orioles will give the rock to the red-hot Kevin Gausman, who has a strong 2.14 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in his last 3 starts. It's also worth noting that while Baltimore only managed 3 runs yesterday, they racked up 10 hits, making that 4 straight games with 10 or more (had 20 on 8/12). Give me the Orioles -115! |
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08-13-17 | Angels v. Mariners UNDER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 105 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
50* AL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) I think the books have made a major mistake with the total they have set for this one. I don't see this game getting near double-digits with the starting pitching matchup we have going. Angels are sending out Parker Bridwell, who owns a 2.79 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has a sensational 1.80 ERA in 4 road starts. Mariners counter with Ariel Miranda, who has a strong 3.34 ERA and 0.963 WHIP over 11 home starts this season. Not to mention he's 4-0 with a 2.61 ERA in 4 career starts against the Angels. Take the UNDER! |
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08-12-17 | Cubs -125 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
50* NL MONEY LINE PLAY OF THE YEAR (Cubs -125) Chicago should have no problem taking home a victory Saturday against the Nationals. The Cubs will send out their ace Jon Lester, who has been rolling since the All-Star break. He started in the Cubs 16-4 win over the Dbacks to open August, but it wasn't his best start. He bounced back with a strong start at home against the Nationals and I look for him to be at his best here in this one. On the flip side of this Arizona will send out Pat Corbin, who is struggling right now. Corbin has a 7.20 ERA and 2.067 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also got an ugly 5.73 ERA in 4 career starts against the Cubs. The most recent being against Lester in that 12-run loss. My money is on Chicago's offense to do more than enough here to win this one. Give me the Cubs -125! |
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08-11-17 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
40* AL EAST TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 9.5) I'm expecting a playoff type atmosphere in New York when the Red Sox and Yankees continue their historic rivalry. Boston currently leads NY by 4.5-games in the AL East standings, so this is a massive series for the Yankees. This starting pitching matchup might not look like one that's going to lead to a low scoring game, but Red Sox starter Eduardo Rodriguez has seen the UNDER go 13-2 when his team is listed as a dog and a perfect 11-0 when his team is coming off 3 straight wins. UNDER is also 12-4 in Yankees 16 games against a winning team in the 2nd half of this season. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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08-10-17 | Twins v. Brewers -1.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Brewers -1.5, +135) I believe Milwaukee is primed for an easy win on the diamond tonight. The Brewers have to be a bit embarrassed with yesterday's shutout loss to the Twins with Bartolo Colon on the mound, given how bad he's been this year. That kind of defeat won't sit well and it helps that Milwaukee will give the rock to the red-hot Zach Davies, who has gone 6-1 with a 2.83 ERA in his last 8 starts. Twins on the other hand are sending out Dietrich Enns for his big league debut. Give me the Brewers -1.5 (+135)! |
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08-09-17 | Marlins v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 120 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
50* NL EAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Nationals -1.5, +120) I look for the Nationals to bounce back in a big way after an ugly showing in Tuesday's 3-7 loss to the Marlins. That was a tough matchup for Washington with A.J. Cole on the mound. The starting pitching should be a heck of a lot better on Wednesday, as the Nationals send out one of the best starters in 2017 in Gio Gonzalez, who has a 2.66 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 22 starts. Gonzalez has been even better at home, where he has a 2.02 ERA and has owned the Marlins this season. He's made 3 starts against them and allowed just 3 runs. The most recent coming on 7/31, where he took a no hitter into the 9th. I'm not expecting that kind of dominance, but he should be able to do enough to get a win, as the Nationals offense should put up a big number here against Marlins starter Adam Conley (5.03 ERA in 10 starts and has struggles against Washington). Give me the Naitonals -1.5 (+120)Â |
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08-08-17 | Tigers v. Pirates -1.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 115 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pirates -1.5, +115) Pittsburgh comes in having won 4 of 5, while the Tigers have dropped 3 straight. The Pirates took the series opener 3-0 yesterday and I look for them to not only win the second meeting, but to do so by at least 2 runs. Detroit's offense is in a funk, scoring just 5 runs over their last 3 games and could struggle to get up for this one knowing they finally get to head back home after a lengthy 9-game road trip. I also like the pitching matchup here with Pittsburgh's Chad Kuhl going up against Detroit's Matt Boyd. Kuhl is coming off a great start, throwing 7 shutout innings at home against the Reds. Boyd last just 4 1/3 in his last outing at Baltimore and now owns a 5.61 ERA and 1.856 WHIP in 9 road starts. Give me the Pirates -1.5 (+115)! |
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08-07-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Giants | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
50* INTERLEAGUE RUN LINE GAME OF THE YEAR (Cubs -1.5, +100) I not only expect the Cubs to win the series opener at San Francisco, but to do so in convincing fashion. Chicago is going to be all business after letting a 4-1 lead slip away in yesterday's finale agiants the Nationals. They also have a huge edge on the mound with the red-hot Jake Arrieta taking on struggling lefty Matt Moore. Arrieta has a 2.29 ERA and 0.712 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Moore owns a 5.71 ERA and 1.327 WHIP in his last 3 outings. The other big key here is that the Cubs have owned left-handed pitching, averaging 6.4 runs/game with a .282 team average. That's well above their season marks of 4.7 runs/game and .247 team average. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (+100)! |
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08-06-17 | White Sox v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Red Sox -1.5, -110) Boston is worth a look on the run line here, as they look to finish off a 4-game sweep of the White Sox. Chicago is in full on rebuilding mode and have been by far the worst team in the league since the break. The offense struggles to score run and the pitching is atrocious. Decent value here if you ask me to back the Red Sox to win by just 2 runs. White Sox starter Mike Pelfrey has allowed 11 runs on 13 hits and 5 walks in his last 2 starts, while Boston starter Doug Fister is off a great outing at home against the Indians, allowing just 2 runs on 5 hits over 7 2/3 innings. Give me the Red Sox -1.5 (-110)! |
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08-05-17 | Brewers v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 105 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
50* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 8.5) I don't see either offense doing much in this one. Milwaukee will give the rock to Zach Davies, who is a perfect 6-0 with a 2.80 ERA in 11 road starts this season. He's also throwing the best he has all year, posting a 1.25 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Rays will give the ball to Alex Cobb. He's off a bad start, but that was on the road against the Astros. Nothing to get concerned about given how loaded that Houston lineup is. Prior to that he had allowed just 5 runs in his previous 4 starts and it was his first loss since the first week of July. I'll take my chances he bounces back here, as he owns a 2.58 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in 9 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-04-17 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -153 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -153 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Giants -153) Not very often you see a last place team this big of a favorite against a team that's holding on to a playoff spot in early August, but that tells just how much starting pitching matters. The Giants will send out one of the best starters in the game in Madison Bumgarner, who just threw 7 shutout on the road against the Dodgers in his last outing. Arizona counters with Anthony Banda, who has 1 career start and it wasn't great, allowing 4 runs in 5 2/3. Giants have scored 22 runs in their last 3 games, accumulating 10+ hits in 4 of their last 5. Give me the Giants -153! |
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08-04-17 | Mariners v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 8.5) I look for both offenses to struggle to score in this one. This is no where close to the conditions you would expect for early August in KC, as temps are considerably cooler than normal. That makes this pitchers park that much harder to score. Seattle sends out one of the hottest starters in the game in James Paxton, who has a 0.45 ERA in his last 3 starts and has not allowed more than 2 earned run in 6 straight starts. Royals will send out Jason Hammel, who has also turned it on of late, posting a 3.32 ERA and very strong 0.947 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-04-17 | White Sox v. Red Sox -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER RUN LINE KNOCKOUT (Red Sox -1.5, +100) The White Sox are the worst team in baseball by quite a wide margin and are really struggling to keep games competitive. Chicago has lost each of their last 3 games by 4 runs and I expect that trend to continue tonight. The White Sox have zero bullpen, plus an offense that struggles to score runs. It takes a absolute dominant pitching effort just for them to keep it respectable. With Boston having scored 27 runs on 43 hits in their last 3 games, I'll roll the dice on them winning by at least 2 runs in this one. Give me the Red Sox -1.5 (+100)! |
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08-03-17 | Mets v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockies -1.5, +120) The Mets won yesterday 10-5, which I believe makes this an ideal spot to jump on what should be a highly motivated Rockies team, who also happens to have a big edge on the mound. Colorado doesn't lose consecutive games at home often. In large part because of an offense that is hitting .303 and scoring 6.3 runs/game at home. The Rockies should have no problem putting up a big number here against Mets starter Rafael Montero, who is 1-4 with a 5.70 ERA in 7 starts. Colorado will send out German Marquez, who owns a 3.05 ERA and 0.871 WHIP with 28 strikeouts in his last 3 starts. He's 6-2 on the money line at home this season and I'll take my chances here that the Rockies win by at least 2 runs. Give me Colorado -1.5 (+120)! |
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08-02-17 | Cardinals v. Brewers -130 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
50* NL CENTRAL MONEY LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Brewers -130) Milwaukee is worth a look here as short home favorite agaisnt the Cardinals. The Brewers desperately needed to start the series strong and they did just that with a 3-2 win on Tuesday and I look for them to carry over that momentum here, as they have a nice edge on the mound. Milwaukee sends out Brent Suter, who has been sensational in his 6 starts, posting a 2.08 ERA and 1.0328 WHIP. He's got a 1.53 ERA over his last 3 starts and has not allowed a run in 2 home starts. His last start was at home against the Cubs, where he allowed just 4 hits over 7 shutout innings. That's one of only three losses the Cubs have suffered since the break. Give me the Brewers -130! |
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08-01-17 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 4-16 | Win | 135 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
50* NATIONAL LEAGUE RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Cubs -1.5, +135) The Cubs have played like an elite team since returning from the break and a big part of that has been the recent surge of ace Jon Lester, who has a 2.05 ERA and amazing 0.545 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Lester is a guy that seems to always throw his best when it matters in the 2nd half and I expect him to limit Arizona's offense in this one. Dbacks will send out Pat Corbin, who has a respectable 4.44 ERA overall, but is a mere 2-6 with a awful 6.37 ERA and 1.646 WHIP In 9 road starts. I'll take my chances on a big pay day here with Chicago. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (+135)! |
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08-01-17 | Cardinals v. Brewers -115 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* CARDINALS/BREWERS NL CENTRAL KNOCKOUT (Brewers -115) Milwaukee is worth a look here at this price at home. The Brewers will send out one of the more underrated starters in the game in Jimmy Nelson, who owns a 2.39 ERA over 11 home starts (Brewers have won each of his last 4 home starts). On the flip side is Carlos Martinez of the Cardinals, who is a big name, but has been all over the place in 2017. Last time out he gave up 5 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in 6 innings against the Rockies, giving him a 4.26 ERA over his last 3 outings. I'll take my chacnes that Milwaukee comes to life here and secures a win. Give me the Brewers -115! |
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08-01-17 | Indians v. Red Sox -1.5 | 10-12 | Win | 140 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
40* MLB BIG MONEY RUN LINE NO BRAINER (Red Sox -1.5, +140) Sale has been absolutely on fire over the last 30+ days. Since 6/25, Sale has posted a 1.10 ERA. The only person better during that stretch is Kershaw. He comes in having not allowed a run in 3 straight and 4 of his last 5 outings. He's 6-1 with a 2.07 ERA in 9 home starts. Cleveland will send out Carlos Carrasco, who is no push over, but he's got a not so great 4.34 ERA in his last 3 starts and those have come against some weak offenses in the A's, Giants and Angels. I look for Boston's bats to score enough to win here by 2 or more. Give me the Red Sox -1.5 (+140)! |
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07-31-17 | Royals -104 v. Orioles | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Royals -104) I'm jumping on the Royals bandwagon after yesterday's late inning rally against the Red Sox. Kansas City has won 10 of their last 11. They are just 2-games back of Cleveland in the AL Central and have a 2.5-game lead for the final Wild Card spot. I'll take my chances with the Royals on Monday given the pitching matchup. Baltimore sends out the struggling Ubaldo Jimenez, who is a mere 4-7 with a 7.46 ERA in 16 starts and 1-2 with a 8.15 ERA in 7 starts at home. KC will send out ace Danny Duffy, who has a strong 3.56 ERA in 16 starts, 2.75 ERA in his last 3 outings and a 2.48 ERA over 6 career starts against the Orioles. Give me the Royals -104! |
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07-30-17 | Royals v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Red Sox -1.5) Boston snapped the Royals 9-game winning streak in dramatic fashion. They scored a run in both the 7th and 9th to tie the game at 8-8 and then won it 9-8 in extras on a ground ball where they tried to turn 2 and the catcher missed the tag at home plate. Teams have a hard time bouncing back from that first loss after a long winning streak and I look for Boston to not only win on Sunday, but to do so in convincing fashion. Red Sox starter Drew Pomeranz is 10-4 with a 3.59 ERA in 20 starts, while KC starter Jason Hammel is 4-8 with a 4.81 ERA in 20 starts. Hammel also owns an ugly 5.03 ERA and 1.652 WHIP in 7 road starts. Give me the Red Sox -1.5 (+125)! |
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07-29-17 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
50* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 8) I easily cashed in on the UNDER in Friday's series opener between the Cardinals and Diamondbacks. I don't see either offense bouncing back with a good showing on Saturday, as we have another oustanding pitching matchup going. St Louis will send out Mike Leake, who after a rough stretch bounced back in a big way in his last outing, cooling off a Rockies offense that was on fire, limiting them to a mere 4 hits (no walks) over 7 shutout innings. Clearly he figured something out and I'll take my chances he carries it over to this outing, which is also at home. On the flip side, Arizona sends out ace Zach Greinke, who is 12-4 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 20 starts this season and owns a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-28-17 | Indians -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
50* MLB AL CENTRAL RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Indians -1.5, -135) I see no reason why not to keep fading the White Sox on the run line. Chicago is clearly in rebuilding mode and want to lose now in hopes of winning in the future. They are doing a good job of it, as they struggle to score runs and the pitching staff is awful. In their last 7 games the White Sox have been outscored by 2.6 runs/game and I think this is going to be a tough spot for them off that big 4-game series against cross-town rival Cubs. Indians only scored 2 yesterday, but got the win and had put up double-digit runs the previous two. I think they explode for a big number here against Chicago's Derek Holland, while Danny Salazar keeps the Sox bats in check. Give me the Indians -1.5 (-135)! |
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07-27-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cubs -1.5, -140) I know this is a big price to pay on the run line with the Cubs, but I think it's the best play on the board Thursday. The Cubs are rolling and I don't see them slowing down. With a 3-game series on deck against the Brewers, this is one they don't want to let slip away, especially with ace Jon Lester on the mound. After a miserable outing prior to the All-Star break, Lester has been sensational in his first two starts back from the break, allowing just 3 runs on 6 hits with 16 strikeouts in 15 innings of work. The White Sox have scored 3 or less in all 3 games in this series against the Cubs and have allowed 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 7. I'll take my chances Chicago's offense does enough to secure a win here by at least 2 runs. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (-140)! |
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07-26-17 | Braves v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 105 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Diamonbacks -1.5) The first two games in this series have been lopsided affairs with each team taking one. Yesterady it was the Braves and my money is on Arizona to get their revenge in a big way today. The Diamonbacks will send out Pat Corbin, who has a 3.15 ERA in 11 home starts, compared to his 4.51 ERA overall. He's also coming in red-hot with a 2.45 ERA in his last 3 starts and the best of those 3 being his last outing at Cincinnati. Braves are countering with Aaron Blair, who is making his first start of 2017. He made 15 starts last year with Atlanta and posted an awful 7.59 ERA and 1.66 WHIP and has 4.68 ERA in Triple-A this season. Give me the Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105) |
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07-25-17 | Red Sox v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8) This game has a pitchers duel written all over it. Seattle will send out veteran ace Felix Hernandez, who has regained his dominant form and owns a 1.00 ERA over his last 3 starts. Last time out, he allowed just 1 run on 3 hits in 7 innings against the Yankees. Boston's offense is struggling, so he should be able to keep them in check. Red Sox counter with Drew Pomeranz, who has a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts and 1.00 ERA in 3 career outings against the Mariners. GIve me the UNDER 8! |
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07-24-17 | Royals v. Tigers -136 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -136 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
50* AL CENTRAL MONEY LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Tigers -136) Detroit should have no problem securing a win here at home and snapping the Royals 5-game winning streak, which was aided by a sweep of the lowly White Sox. These two split a 4-game series in Detroit last week and we have a pitching rematch here with Justin Verlander of Detroit against Jason Hammel of the Royals. Verlander was sharp in defeat, allowing only 2 runs in 7 innings and has a 3.59 ERA in 9 home starts and 2.37 ERA in his last 3 outings, as he continues to audition for contenders. Hammel pitched well, but it was in KC, where he's been at his best. Hammel is just 1-4 with a 5.08 ERA in 6 road starts. Let's also not overlook the Royals are a mere 5-14 in his 19 starts this season. Give me the Tigers -136! |
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07-23-17 | Padres +116 v. Giants | Top | 5-2 | Win | 116 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
50* MLB UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE MONTH (Padres +116) I'm taking the Padres here against the Giants. San Diego will send out Dinelson Lament, who is a lot better than has his 6.40 ERA would lead on. What really stands out is his 62 strikeouts in 45 innings of work. He didn't pitch great in his last two starts, but those were tough spots on the road against the Indians and Rockies. San Francisco doesn't provide much offensively and prior to those two poor outings, Lamet allowed a mere 4 hits over 7 shutout innings against the Braves. With the Padres offense rolling, scoring 21 runs over their last 3 games, I like their chances here. Give me San Diego +116! |
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07-22-17 | Rangers v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Rays -1.5, +110) I'm taking Tampa Bay to not only win on Saturday but to do so by at least 2 runs. The Rays have a much bigger advantage on the mound than most would think given the Rangers' Andrew Cashner has a respectable 3.58 ERA in 15 starts. I don't like what I have seen from Cashner and his 1.409 WHIP is a good indicator that the 3.58 ERA is misleading. Not to mention he's 2-6 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in 9 road starts. While the Rays offense figures to put up a decent number here, I look for Tampa ace Chris Archer to make easy work of a struggling Texas lineup that going into Friday's game is hitting just .245 as a team over their last 7 games. Give me the Rays -1.5 (+110) |
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07-21-17 | Pirates v. Rockies -136 | Top | 13-5 | Loss | -136 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockies -136) Give me the Rockies at home here in a battle of two teams riding much different winning streaks. Pittsburgh has won 5 straight behind timely hitting and quality pitching, while Colorado has been hitting the cover off the baseball. They closed out a series with the Mes in New York with 13 runs. They followed it up by scoring 9, 9 and 18 in their 3-game series with the Padres. Given the Pirates struggles offensively and them sending out a struggling Trevor Williams, I think the value is clearly with the home team. I just don't see Williams slowing down this Rockies lineup and I don't see Pittsburgh out slugging Colorado in their home park. Give me the Rockies -136! |
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07-21-17 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 10.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 10.5) You almost never see a total with the Royals in double-digits, regardless of how bad the starters are. The fact that tonight's total is 10.5 should tell you something. It all comes down the heat index expected to be at 103 when this game starts. The ball flys in these condidtions and pitchers fatigue quickly. We had almost identical conditions yesterday in KC as they combined for 20 runs with the Tigers and that was with arguably both teams starting their best starters in Fulmer and Duffy. Tonight it's James Shields and Ian Kennedy. Easy to see Shields getting exposed and while Kennedy has been solid of late, he is 0-4 with a 4.40 ERA in 8 home start. Give me the OVER 10.5! |
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07-20-17 | Yankees -121 v. Mariners | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Yankees -121) My money is on New York to come into Seattle and take the opener. I know the Mariners are sending out long-time ace Felix Hernandez, but I just haven't been overly impressed with him. He's got a solid 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts, but it's come against weak competition. The stat that stands out to me is the 12 home runs that Hernandez has allowed in just 10 starts. This Yankees offense is due to explode and are certainly built to hit the long ball. I like their chances of putting up a decent number here, while New York's Luis Severino keeps the Mariners' bats in check. Severino was sharp in his last start, allowing just 1 run in 7 innings. He's got a 3.02 ERA in 10 road starts this season, as well as a 2.96 ERA in 13 starts at night (struggled in day games). Give me the Yankees -121! |
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07-19-17 | Brewers v. Pirates -150 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE NO BRAINER (Pirates -150) Pittsburgh has caught fire in July and I'll take my chances of them keeping it rolling with their ace Gerrit Cole on the mound. The Pirates are 4-1 since returning from the break and 9-2 over their last 11 overall. Brewers are startingt to feel the heat of the Cubs and have lost 3 straight. This one all comes down to pitching. Milwaukee is giving the ball to Zach Davies, who has pitched no where close to his 11-4 record. Davies has a 5.08 ERA and 1.490 WHIP, which is stats for a guy that you would expect to be 4-11. Cole has pitched very well in each of his last two starts and will be facing a Brewers offense that is struggling, scoring 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight games. Give me the Pirates -150! |
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07-19-17 | Rays v. A's UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 8) Offense figures to be extremely hard to come by in this one. If you haven't had a chance to watch Tampa Bay rookie Jacob Faria, you are missing out. He's now 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA in 7 starts since being called up on 6/7. He's pitched at least 6 innigns in every outing and allowed 1 run or less in 5 of the 7, giving up 2 and 3 in the other two outings. Oakland has the red-hot Sonny Gray on the mound, who has been lights out of late. Gray has a 1.35 ERA over his last 3 starts, a stretch in which he's allowed a mere 7 hits and 4 walks over 20 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-19-17 | Padres v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 4-18 | Win | 117 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockies -1.5, +117)Â The Rockies have won 3 straight behind an offensive explosion, scoring 9+ runs in each of their last 3 games and I don't see them cooling off at home here against Clayton Richard, who is 5-9 with a 4.75 ERA in 19 starts and has a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 outigns and owns a ugly 7.78 ERA in 7 starts at Coors Field. Rockies will send out Jon Gray, who has been chomping at the bit to get back on the mound after an awful start last time at New York and I expect him to deliver. Gray owns a 2.45 ERA at home this season and a 2.30 ERA in 7 career starts against the Padres. Last time he faced San Diego, he pitched a complete game shutout with 16 strikeouts. Give me the Rockies -1.5 (+117)! |
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07-18-17 | Padres v. Rockies -141 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Rockies -141) Colorado hit a bit of a bump in the road going into the break and lost their first two out of the break, but have responded with two straight wins behind an offensive explosion. After putting up 13 runs on 18 hits in the finale at New York, Colorado returned home and put up a 9 spot in a 3-run win over the Padres. I like their chances of keeping it going, as Padres starter Dinelson Lamet has a 8.00 ERA and 1.611 WHIP in 4 road starts. Colorado will send out Antonio Senzatela, who they are 7-2 when he starts at home. Give me the Rockies -141! |
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07-18-17 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
50* AL RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Astros -1.5 , +110) I'm firing right back with the Astros on the -1.5 run line here against the Mariners. Houston will send out Brad Peacock, who has been a pleasant surprise this season. After pitching great out of the bullpen and is 5-1 with a 3.18 ERA in 9 starts. He's trending well with a 2.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. I mentioned this yesterday, when Houston wins they often do so by a big margin as 21 of their last 22 wins have come by 2 or more runs. Mariners are countering with Sam Gaviglio, whose last start (7/6) was ugly, as he allowed 7 runs on 9 hits and 3 walks in 4 2/3 innings. Give me the Astros -1.5 (+110)! |
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07-17-17 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 9-7 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Astros -1.5, -115) Houston is worth a look here on the run line in Monday's series opener at home against the Mariners. The Astros 62-wins are 10 more than the next best team in the AL and when this team wins they typically do so by at least a couple runs. In fact, 21 of their last 22 wins have come by 2 or more runs. I expect that trend to continue here with today's pitching matchup. Houston sends out Lance McCullers Jr., who is 4-0 with a 2.34 ERA and 1.063 WHIP in 7 home starts (6-1 team record). As good as McCullers is at home, Seattle's Ariel Miranda is that bad on the road, where he owns a 5.49 ERA and 1.453 WHIP in 9 outings on the highway. Give me the Astros -1.5 (-115)! |
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07-16-17 | Mariners -112 v. White Sox | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
50* AMERICAN LEAGUE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Mariners -112) Seattle is right in the thick of things in the AL Wild Card race and have came out of the break strong, taking the first two against the White Sox. Both wins coming via great starting pitching from Paxton and Hernandez. I expect more of the same with Andrew Moore on the mound. Seattle's most prized pitching prospect has looked the part in his first 3 big league starts, posting a 3.86 ERA and 0.905 WHIP. If it wasn't for the 5 HRs he's allowed his numbers would be sick. Chicago is a team that has nothing to play for and will send out the struggling Derek Holland, who has allowed 5 or more run in 5 of his last 7 starts. Give me the Mariners -112! |
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07-15-17 | Rangers v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 9) These two teams combined for 8 runs and finished UNDER the total of 9.5 in yesterday's series opener. I expect an even lower scoring contest in Game 2. Texas will send out Cole Hamels, who really pitched well going into the break, allowing just 2 runs on 5 hits over his final two starts, which spanned an impressive 14 1/3 innings. KC will send out their ace in Danny Duffy, who had some tough luck going into the break, but all of that came on the road. Duffy owns a 2.75 ERA in 5 home starts all of which have finished UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-14-17 | Indians v. A's UNDER 8 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Under 8) I’m not seeing a lot of offense being generated by either team in tonight’s game between the Indians and A’s. Cleveland sends out Carlos Carrasco, who has earned his paycheck with a 7-1 record and 2.38 ERA in 9 road starts this season. He will go up against Oakland ace Sonny Gray, who was dealing before the break with a 1.71 ERA and 0.619 WHIP in his final 3 starts. Offenses tend to be a bit sluggish out of the break and UNDER is 11-1 in Carrasco’s last 12 road starts when Indians are a favorite of -100 to -150. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-14-17 | Mariners -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY GAME OF THE MONTH (Mariners -1.5, -110) The White Sox officially waved the white flag on the season yesterday, trading away veteran ace Jose Quintana to the Cubs. While the future is bright, the rest of the season is not and I expect a tough go of things for the White Sox. It certainly doesn't look good in the first game back from the break, as they have to face Seattle's James Paxton, who returned to his dominant form to start the year in his final 3 outings before the break. Paxton should own this Chicago lineup and the Mariners offense should put up a big number against the inconsistent and struggling James Shield. Give me Seattle -1.5 (-110)! |
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07-14-17 | Dodgers v. Marlins +102 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER MONEY LINE KNOCKOUT (Marlins +102) Los Angeles went into the All-Star break on an absolute tear, as they suffered a mere 4 losses dating back to June 7th. All that success and so many of those Dodgers being a part of the All-Star festivities is going to make it tough to get back to work. I look for a flat LA squad to take the field and a very motivated Marlins team, who has one of hte most underrated starters in the game going in Daniel Straily, who owns a 3.31 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in 18 starts. It's even better at home, where he has a 2.31 ERA and 1.007 WHIP in 9 starts. I look for him to deliver a big time performance and for the Marlins offense to produce more than enough run support to secure a win. Give me Miami +102! |
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07-09-17 | Astros v. Blue Jays -105 | Top | 19-1 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blue Jays -105) Toronto is worth a look here at home against the Astros. Blue Jays won 7-2 on Saturday and have won 2 of the first 3 in the series agianst the Astros. I like Toronto's chances of keeping it rolling into the break with the red-hot J.A. Happ taking the mound. In his last 3 starts Happ has posted a 1.89 ERA and last time out he held a potent Yankees offense to just 1 run on 4 hits in New York. Houston will send out Brad Peacock, who has pitched well in 8 starts, but has a 4.03 ERA in 4 road starts. It's also worth noting that Happ owns a 17-4 record against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. Give me the Blue Jays -105! |
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07-08-17 | Royals +185 v. Dodgers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* MLB UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK (Royals +185) I played KC in a losing effort as my free pick yesterday at a very similar price and I again feel there is simply too much value on the Royals to pass up. Kansas City has been playing their best baseball over the last month and there's going to be a little extra incentive here to win today, as they know Kershaw is looming on Sunday and if they don't win here it's likely going to end up in a sweep goin going into the break. Royals can certainly get to today's starter in Brandon McCarthy. At the same time, they send out the red-hot Ian Kennedy, who has a 2.45 ERA and sensational 0.981 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Royals +185! |
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07-08-17 | Pirates v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
50* PRE ALL-STAR (NL) RUN LINE GAME OF THE YEAR (Cubs -1.5, +110) Chicago has got their offense going here of late, scoring 5+ runs in 4 of their last 5, including 6 in yesterday's 6-3 win in the opener over the Pirates. Kris Bryant is fresh off a monster day at the plate and when he gets going this team is hard to keep off the scoreboard. I like their chances of putting up a decent number here against Pittsburgh's Ivan Nova, who has been struggling of late with a 5.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Cubs will send out Jake Arrieta, who is coming off arguably his best start of the season, allowing just 1 hit over 7 shutout innings at Cincinnati. I like his chances of building off that outing with another dominant performance. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (+110)! |
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07-07-17 | Marlins -110 v. Giants | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Marlins -110) Miami is worth a strong look here as a short road favorite against the Giants. Miami will bring a red-hot offense to San Francisco, as they are scoring 5.6 runs/game and hitting .307 as a team over their last 7 games and figure to be able to keep it rolling here against the Giants Matt Moore. He's 3-8 with a 5.78 ERA and 1.621 WHIP in 17 starts and most of his trouble has come at night, as he's 1-5 with a 8.02 ERA and 1.913 WHIP in 9 starts at night. Miami will send out Dan Straily who is one of the more underrated starters in the big leagues. He's got a respectable 3.51 ERA in 17 starts, but his 1.095 WHIP suggests he's been even better and he's got a 3.18 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Marlins -110! |
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07-07-17 | Red Sox -135 v. Rays | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Red Sox -135) Tampa Bay was able to defeat Boston on Thursday with ace Chris Sale on the mound for the REd Sox. That's a big win, but I think it has the Rays a little overvalued here in Game 2 of the series. Rays had talented rookied Jacob Faria on the mound to oppose sale. Faria is 4-0 with a 2.11 ERA in his first 6 big league starts. This time around Boston sends out another strong lefty in Drew Pomeranz, who has been lights out of late with a 1.56 ERA in his last 3 starts. Tampa Bay counters with Jake Odorizzi who has a 5.19 ERA in his last 3 starts and has allowed at least 1 home run in 12 straight starts. Boston's lineup should feast here against Odorizzi. Give me the Red Sox -135! |
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07-07-17 | Brewers v. Yankees -1.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE NO BRAINER (Yankees -1.5, -110) Really tough spot for Milwaukee, who have had to travel quite a bit in the last 3 days. Shoartly after their game on Wednesday at home against the Orioles they had to travel for an early game at Chicago on Thursday and after that had to get on a plane for New York. That was also a huge game against the Cubs and I could see them struggling to get up for Friday's opener against the Yankees. On top of that, pitching matchup here heavily favors New York. Yankees give the ball to Jordan Montgomery, who is 4-0 with a 2.95 ERA over the last month and opposing teams are hitting a mere .171 against him during this stretch. Milwaukee will send out the struggling Junior Guerra, who has a 6.19 ERA in 3 road starts and 9.64 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (-110)! |
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07-06-17 | Braves v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
50* NL RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Nationals -1.5, +129) I think the fact that Atlanta's Mike Foltynewicz is coming off a near no hitter has created some value here on Washington and I'm not just calling for them to win, but to do so in blowout fashion. Even with that strong outing, Foltynewicz owns a average 3.71 ERA and sub par 1.341 ERA in 15 starts. It's one thing to limit a weak A's offense, compared to shutting down this loaded Washington lineup. Foltynewicz knows that well, as he recently faced the Nationals in Washington on 6/22 and was rocked for 8 runs on 11 hits in just 3 1/3 innings of work. Washington counters with Gio Gonzalez, who is quietly having a fantastic season. He's 7-3 with a 2.77 ERA in 17 starts and owns a sensational 1.64 ERA in 8 starts at home. He's also in great form right now, posting a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the Nationals -1.5 (+129)! |
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07-05-17 | Marlins v. Cardinals -134 | Top | 9-6 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cardinals -134) St Louis is worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Marlins. The Cardinals will send out one of the more underrated starters in the NL in Mike Leake, who has a 2.97 ERA and 1.085 WHIP in 16 starts. Both his ERA and WHIP rank 5th among qualifying NL starters. St Louis has won each of his last 3 starts, outscoring opponents 24-6 in those outings. The Cardinals as a team are 7-3 in their last 10. Even with yesterday's win the Marlins are a mere 2-5 in their last 7 and will be sending out Edinson Volquez, who has made 8 road starts and the Marlins have won just 1 of them. Give me the Cardinals -134! |
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07-04-17 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 9.5) Â I was on the UNDER in yesterday's game and suffered a bad break and ended up pushing on the total of 9. The game was 2-1 going into the bottom of the 8th before the Yankees scored 4 to take a 6-1 lead. Still in good shape, the Yankees allowed the Blue Jays to score 2 runs in the top of the 9th. I like the value again here with the total and the UNDER in Tuesday's afternoon slate that has two more quality starters in great form going. Toronto sends out J.A. Happ who has a 2.75 ERA in his last 3 starts and New York counters with C.C. Sabathia, who has a 0.49 ERA and .764 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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07-03-17 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
50* AL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) The books have set the mark too high here for Monday's series opener between the Yankees and Blue Jays. Toronto is sending out their most consistent starter in Marcus Stroman, who is coming off a great start against the Orioles, allowing just 5 hits over 7 2/3 shutout innings. Stroman owns a 2.91 ERA in 10 career starts against the Yankees and a 2.73 ERA in 10 starts in night games. Yankees will send out their ace Masahiro Tanaka, who has pitched very well in his last two starts, giving up just 2 runs on 9 hits with 14 strikeouts in 14 innings of work. I like his chances of keeping it going against a Toronto team in which he owns a 2.65 ERA in 11 starts against. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-02-17 | Nationals v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 7.5) I don't see much offense taking place in this one. Two of the best starters in the game will sqaure off on Sunday Night Baseball, as the Cardinals Carlos Martinez takes on the Nationals Max Scherzer. Martinez has a 2.88 ERA on the season with a sensational 1.85 ERA in 8 home starts. Scherzer has a 2.06 ERA on the season, a 1.62 ERA in 9 road starts and 0.82 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-01-17 | Rays v. Orioles -122 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -122 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Orioles -122) I'll gladly back Dylan Bundy and the Orioles at home at this price. Baltimore has been a great team to back at home, as they are 9-games over .500 at home. Bundy got back on track in his last start and the Orioles are 7-3 in his last 10 starts after securing a Quality Start in his last outing. They are also 4-1 in his last 5 during game 2 of a series and 6-2 in his last 8 against division opponents. Rays send out Jake Odorizzi, who is a prime fade candidate with a 4.81 ERA in 6 road starts and 5.40 in his last 3 outings. Tampa Bay is just 2-8 in his last 10 division starts and he owns an ugly 5.52 ERA in 14 career starts against Baltimore. Give me the Orioles -122! |
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06-30-17 | Phillies v. Mets -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -121 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
50* NL EAST RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Mets -1.5) I'll gladly back the Mets at home to win by 2+ runs with one of the hottest pitchers in the game going in Jacob deGrom. In his last 3 starts, deGrom has a 0.72 ERA and 0.760 WHIP. All 3 of which he's pitched at least 8 innigns and all 3 resulted in wins by 3 or more runs. The Mets are a perfect 8-0 in his 8 career starts agains the Phillies, where he's posted a 2.49 ERA. Given how bad this Phillies offense is, I think he has no problem shutting them down. Philly counters with Ben Lively, who is coming off a poor start and figures to struggle here agianst a Mets offense that is built on hitting homers with the wind blowing straight out to left at close to 15 mph (fly ball pitcher). Give me the Mets -1.5 (-121)! |
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06-29-17 | Mets v. Marlins -126 | 6-3 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Marlins -126) Miami is worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Mets. The Marlins will send out one of the more underrated starters right now in Jose Urena. He's 6-2 with a 3.60 ERA in 10 starts, but owns a 3.00 ERA at home and is only getting better with a 1.50 ERA and 0.944 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's only been in the rotation since early May and simply isn't getting the respect he deserves here. Mets won easily yesterday 8-0, but I look for the offense to struggle to get anything going, while the Marlins offense does enough here to get the win against New York starter Seth Lugo, who has allowed 7 runs on 14 hits and 5 walks in his last 2 starts. Give me the Marlins -126! |
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06-29-17 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 9.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 9.5) UNDER here is worth a look, especially given it's almost 10 runs. The Marlins will send out one of the more underrated starters right now in Jose Urena. He's 6-2 with a 3.60 ERA in 10 starts, but owns a 3.00 ERA at home and is only getting better with a 1.50 ERA and 0.944 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Mets counter with Seth Lugo, who while he has struggled of late, owns a respectable 3.72 ERA and this Miami offense isn't one to put up a big number. THe Marlins are only scoring 4.4 runs/game at home. UNDER is also a perfect 9-0 in the Marlins last 9 home games when revenging a loss of 6 runs or more. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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06-28-17 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
50* NL OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 9.5) I expect runs to come early and often here when the Diamondbacks host the Cardinals. St. Louis will give the ball to Adam Wainright, who has an atrocious 9.48 ERA and 1.914 WHIP in 7 road starts. In his last 2 road starts, he's allowed 9 earned runs in each. I just don't see him keeping this Arizona offense in check. The Dbacks are averaging 6.3 runs/game at home and have scored 12 runs on 20 hits over their last 2 games. St Louis is also on fire at the plate, as they have scored at least 5 runs (21 total) in each of their last 3 games. The ball flies out of Chase Field and these two should easily reach double-digits. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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06-28-17 | Cubs v. Nationals -1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 125 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Nationals -1.5, +125) I'll gladly back the Nationals on the -1.5 run line at home with Stephen Strasburg going up against John Lackey. The Cubs struggles on the road have been well documented. I know Lackey has pitched well of late, but I just don't see him keeping this high-powered Washington lineup in check. Lackey owns a 4.40 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 8 road starts. Strasburg has strugggledsome of late, but is poised for a great outing here, as he owns a 1.95 ERA in 4 career starts against the Cubs. Give me the Nationals -1.5 (+125)! |
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06-27-17 | Royals v. Tigers -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 120 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Tigers -1.5, +120) My money is on Detroit to win by 2 or more runs on Tuesday. The Tigers give the rock to veteran ace Justin Verlander, who has been lights out at home with a 2.19 ERA in 6 starts. Verlander also owns a strong 3.18 ERA over 42 career starts against the Royals, having pitched at least 7 innings and given up 3 or fewer earned runs in each o fhis last 3 starts against them, including one back in May at KC. Royals are countering with Matt Strahm, who is making just his 3rd career start and after pitching well against Nolasco and the Angels, he was awful in his most recent start opposite Red Sox ace Chris Sale. Give me the Tigers -1.5 (+120)! |
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06-26-17 | Twins v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* AL OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) Books have set the bar way too high on the total for Monday's clash between the Red Sox and Twins. Boston will send out Chris Sale, who has a 2.85 ERA and 0.904 WHIP in 15 starts, as well as a 2.45 ERA and 0.838 WHIP in 7 home starts. Minnesota will give the rock to Jose Berrios, who has been equally as effective as Sale, but just isn't the known commodity. Berrios is 7-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.907 WHIP in 8 starts. He's got a 2.84 ERA in 4 road outings and 2.53 ERA in his last 3. On top of the strong pitching matchup, both offenses are struggling right now. Red Sox are hitting just .252 over their last 7 games and Minnesota is even in their last 7 at .239. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-25-17 | Blue Jays v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 9) I think we are getting a ton of value here on the UNDER at 9. The numbers don't look great on paper for today's starters, but both are trending in the right direction. Toronto's Francisco Liriano wasn't great in his last start, but it was on the road against a good Texas lineup. Liriano had been throwing it well prior to that in his 3 starts since returning from the DL. I like his chances of rebounding here against an average Royals lineup. On the flip side, KC sends out the surging Jason Hammel, who after a rough start has found his form. Hammel has a 1.74 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I like his chances of keeping it rolling. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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06-24-17 | Astros -160 v. Mariners | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
40* MLB LATE NIGHT BOOKIE ANNIHILATOR (Astros -160) Big price to back the Astros against a Mariners team that has now won 6 straight, but I really like Houston in this spot. I was on Seattle behind King Felix last night and they cruised to a 13-3 win. The Astros aren't going to take to kindly to getting embarrassed by 10 runs and will be 100% locked in against their division rival. Houston will send out Lance McCullers, who has quietly gone 6-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 13 starts (11-2 team record). I know Gaviglio has pitched well for Seattle, but this Houston offense is no joke and come in averaging a ridiculous 6.6 runs/game on the road this season. Give me the Astros -160! |
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06-24-17 | Mets +103 v. Giants | 5-2 | Win | 103 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
40* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY NO BRAINER (Mets +103) New York cruised to a 11-4 win last night behind a 20-hit outburst from the offense and I look for the Mets to build on that here. Today's game features deGrom against Cueto. Two guys who haven't been up to their standards early. However, deGrom has been the much better of the two and enters here off his best two starts of the season, as he's allowed a mere 1 earned run on 8 hits in his last 2 starts, which he's went an impressive 17 innings. Cueto has a 4.58 ERA in his last 3 outings and let's also not overlook how bad the Giants are playing right now (1-10 last 11). Give me the Mets +103! |
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06-24-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
50* NL RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Cubs -1.5 ,-102) Chicago failed to score a single run in yesterday's 0-2 loss, which came just 1-day after they put up 11 runs on 16 hits in a 10-run win. I look for the Cubs to bounce back in a big way here behind their ace Jon Lester and secure a win by at least 2 runs. The key here is Chicago's offense should be able to get going against Miami's Justin Nicolino, who has a 7.20 ERA in his last 3 starts. Chicago is 5-0 in their last 5 after a loss and 10-2 in Lester's last 12 road starts against a team with a losing record. Miami on the other hand is just 1-7 in Nicolino's last 8 starts against a team with a winning record. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (-102)! |
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06-23-17 | Astros v. Mariners -115 | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
40* LATE NIGHT MLB BAILOUT (Mariners -115) King Felix makes his return to the mound for the Mariners tonight, as he hasn't started since late April. He wasn't right to start the year and the time off could have only helped. He looked fantastic in his most recent rehab start and all signs point to him coming right out of the gate here and pitching like the ace he has been for so many years. The fact that this is his first start back and Houston owning the best record in baseball has created what I feel is great value given the two starters taking the mound in this one. Even if Hernandez struggles to some degree, he figures to be better than Houston's Joe Musgrove. Give me the Mariners -115! |
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06-23-17 | Twins +165 v. Indians | 5-0 | Win | 165 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
40* MLB BIG MONEY UNDERDOG KNOCKOUT (Twins +165) I just feel we are getting too much value to pass up on the Twins here. Minnesota is going to be extremely motivated after they were just swept at home in a 4-game set by the Indians two series ago. Not to metion the Twins own one of baseball's best road records at 20-9 and Cleveland actually has a losing record at home. I also think the pitching matchup here is pretty even with Mejia facing off against Bauer and would probably give a slight edge to Mejia. Give me the Twins +165! |
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06-23-17 | Cubs -121 v. Marlins | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -121 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cubs -121) Chicago's offense exploded for 11 runs on 16 hits in their 10-run win to open up their series against the Marlins. The Cubs are starting to heat up and a great sign in yesterday's game was a good day at the plate for reigning MVP Kris Bryant. John Lackey was sharp in his last outing and given the offensive support he figures to get, I'll gladly back the Cubs as my strongest play on the board tonight. Not to mention this is an excellent price to back Chicago. Give me the Cubs -121! |
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