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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-11-16 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -5.5 | Top | 87-83 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
50* CBB Big East Game of the Month (Xavier -5.5) I believe the Musketeers are on a mission to win the Big East Tournament. They got things started with an easy 18-point win over Marquette yesterday and I look for another relatively easy win against Seton Hall. This line would be a lot bigger if it wasn't for the fact that Seton Hall recently beat Xavier 90-81 at home back on 2/28. The thing you can't overlook with that result, is that was an awful spot for the Musketeers, who had just invested everything they had in beating Villanova at home 4 days earlier. On the bright side, that loss will serve as extra motivation here. Xavier is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 off a win by 10 or more, 3-1 ATS this season revenging a loss where they score 75+ points and a perfect 6-0 ATS after leading in their previous game by 15 or more at the half. Give me the Musketeers -5.5! |
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03-11-16 | Wolves +12.5 v. Thunder | 99-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA Dog of the Day (Wolves +12.5) We are getting great value here to fade the Thunder in a really bad scheduling spot. Oklahoma City  is coming off a big win at home against the Clippers, where they were playing with big time revenge from a loss they suffered a week earlier. It won't be easy bouncing back with a max effort here after that game, plus they have another monster game on deck tomorrow at San Antonio. Look for Minnesota to do enough here to keep this game close. The Timberwolves only lost by 3 at home in the previous meeting and are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games when revenging a loss to an opponent where they allowed 100 or more points. Give me Minnesota +12.5! |
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03-10-16 | Creighton v. Seton Hall -3 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Seton Hall -3) The Pirates have saved their best basketball for when it matters the most. Seton Hall closed out the regular season on a 9-2 run, including a 75-65 win at Creighton. The Bluejays have been a surprise this year, but they stumbled down the stretch, losing 4 of their last 5. I'll take my chances with the better team playing the better basketball at this point in the season. Pirates are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games after playing their previous game as a favorite, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 75+ in 2 straight games. Give me Seton Hall -3! |
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03-10-16 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia -9.5 | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
40* CBB Situational ATS Knockout (Virginia -9.5) This is a great spot to fade the Yellow Jackets and jump on the Cavaliers. Teams playing on no rest are at major disadvantage when going up against an opponent who had a bye. It's even more so when the team playing on no rest saw their previous game go into overtime. Georgia Tech isn't going to have the energy to keep up with a Virginia team that has been playing as well as any team in the country down the stretch. The Cavaliers are 11-2 over their last 13 with their two losses coming by a combined 4 points in two road games against Duke and Miami. Out of their last 8 wins, 6 have come by double-digits. Give me Virginia -9.5! |
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03-10-16 | Duke -2.5 v. Notre Dame | 79-84 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No-Doubt Bookie BLOWOUT (Duke -2.5) The Blue Devils will be out for revenge from a 91-95 home loss to Notre Dame earlier this season. That game came back when Duke was struggling and the Irish were playing some of their best basketball of the season. The roles have been reversed for the rematch. Duke has played much better down the stretch, while the Irish had some ugly losses over their final 5 games. Blue Devils are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games away from home against teams with a winning record after 15+ games and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after allowing 80+ points in their last contest. This is a statement game for the Blue Devils and I wouldn't be surprised if they won this going away. Give me Duke -2.5! |
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03-09-16 | Florida State v. Virginia Tech +2.5 | 85-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Virginia Tech +3.5) The Seminoles are getting way too much respect here after yesterday's 22-point blowout win over Boston College, who finished up without a single conference win all season. Virginia Tech closed out the regular season on a 5-game winning streak, including an impressive 15-point win over Miami in their finale. Hokies also defeated the Seminoles by 10-points in the lone meeting this season. Florida State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when playing their 3rd game in a week and Virginia Tech is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Hokies +2.5! |
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03-09-16 | Clippers v. Thunder -5.5 | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Sharp Shooter (Thunder -5.5) Oklahoma City will be out for some serious revenge against the Clippers. Last Wednesday the Thunder built up a 22-point lead, only to give it away and lose 98-103 at Los Angeles. That loss is definitely something Oklahoma City hasn't forgot and I look for them to come out and make a statement against the Clippers at home, where they are 25-8 on the season. Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 7 when playing on 2 days of rest and 27-9-2 ATS in their last 38 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Give me Oklahoma City -5.5! |
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03-09-16 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -5 | Top | 71-75 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
50* CBB Big 12 Game of the Month (Kansas State -5) My money is on the Wildcats to make easy work of the Cowboys in tonight's Big 12 opening round action. Neither of these teams were all that great in conference play, but Oklahoma State comes into the tournament a complete mess. The Cowboys have lost 6 straight and 9 of 10 overall. The only win being a 3-point victory at home against Kansas State, where the Wildcats shot a mere 36.7% from the field Kansas State won the previous meeting by 16 at home and are simply the much better team in this one. Oklahoma State didn't win a single road game in Big 12 play and are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 conference road games. Cowboys are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a winning record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 following a double-digit loss at home. Give me Kansas State -5! |
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03-08-16 | Wizards v. Blazers OVER 214 | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Over 214) I don't see either team bringing the defensive intensity in this one. Washington comes in giving up 105.0 ppg on the road. I look for them to come out flat after a 2-day break and having to travel across the country for this matchup. Portland on the other hand will be returning home after a 6-game road trip and have a huge game on deck at Golden State. The Blazers have allowed 100+ in 10 of their last 12, including 116 or more in each of their last 3. OVER is 21-7 in the Wizards last 28 games when playing with 2 days of rest and 11-5 in their last 16 road games against a team with a winning home record. OVER is also 10-4 in the Blazers last 14 after a SU loss, 8-1 in their last 9 home games after a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 214! |
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03-08-16 | Gonzaga -2 v. St. Mary's | Top | 85-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -2) The Bulldogs will be out for double-revenge against St. Mary's, as two of their three conference losses came at the hands of the Gaels. Both of those losses could have easily been wins, as they lost  a combined 8 points. Knowing that they aren't a lock to make the NCAA Tournament as an at-large, the Bulldogs understand they need to win this game to make sure they are a part of the Big Dance. I believe they will. Gonzaga is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 when revenging a home loss as a favorite. Give me the Bulldogs -2! |
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03-07-16 | Pepperdine +7 v. St. Mary's | 66-81 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
40* CBB Vegas Underdog Annihilator (Pepperdine +7) St. Mary's won the West Coast Conference regular season title with a 15-3 record, thanks to a season sweep of Gonzaga, who also finished 15-3 in league play. It just so happens that two of the Gael's three losses came against Pepperdine. Normally this would be a spot where I would look to back the team playing with double-revenge, but I believe the books have over-adjusted this line, creating value with the Waves. Pepperdine matches up extremely well with St. Mary's. They have the ability to score inside and defensively they are holding opponents to just 30.9% from behind the 3-point line. Waves are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 as a dog and I wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. Give me Pepperdine +7! |
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03-07-16 | Clippers -5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clippers -5) This might seem like a big number for the Clippers to be laying on the road against the Mavericks, but this is a horrible spot for Dallas. The Mavericks had to play yesterday in Denver and ended up losing in overtime due to silly turnover in the final seconds. It's hard enough playing on no rest after a game in the thin air of Denver, it's even harder when you have 4 starts log over 35+ minutes. It's also worth mentioning that Dallas is just 5-8 in their last 13 with 4 of those wins coming against the 76ers, Timberwolves, Magic and Kings. Los Angeles lost 97-107 at home to the Hawks in their last game and haven't lost back-to-back games since before Christmas. LA is also 11-2 ATS in their last 13 as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Give me the Clippers -5! |
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03-06-16 | Rockets v. Raptors -7 | 113-107 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Raptors -7) This might seem like a big number to be laying with the Raptors, but I look for Toronto to have no problem securing a win and cover at home against the Rockets. Houston is a team that's been trending in the wrong direction since the season started and are in a bad spot here, playing with no rest in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set. Toronto has wan an impressive 12 straight games on their home floor and have no reason to look ahead with the Nets at home on deck. Houston is just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 against the Eastern Conference and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when playing on 0 days of rest. Give me the Raptors -7! |
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03-06-16 | Illinois v. Penn State -4 | Top | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
50* CBB Sharp Money Top Play (Penn State -4) The Nittany Lions should have no problem securing a win and cover at home against the Fighting Illini. Penn State has dropped each of their last two, which is playing into this line. After an embarrassing home loss to Northwestern last time out, the Nittany Lions are going to come out with a chip on their shoulder in their final home game of the regular season. Illinois has dropped 3 straight on the road and are just 2-6 away from home in conference play. The only two wins came against the two worst teams in Minnesota and Rutgers and they struggled to win both games. Penn State is a very respectable 10-4 at home and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record. Give me the Nittany Lions -4! |
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03-05-16 | Rockets v. Bulls -1 | 100-108 | Win | 103 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Bulls -1) The Bulls come into this game having lost 4 straight both SU and ATS, which has them way undervalued against the inconsistent Rockets. Chicago's recent slump has them on the outside looking in at the Eastern Conference playoff race, so we can expect a max effort here. The Bulls also get a huge emotional boost in this game, as Jimmy Butler is set to return from injury. Rockets are just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 against the east and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. Give me Chicago -1! |
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03-05-16 | Celtics v. Cavs -7.5 | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA No-Doubt Bookie Slaughter (Cavaliers -7.5) The Cavaliers are a dominant 26-5 at home this season after last night's 108-83 win against the Wizards. One of those 5 home losses came recently against the Celtics 103-104. Cleveland isn't going to take that loss likely and I look for them to come out looking to make a statement against the Celtics. While both teams are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, the Cavaliers have the luxury of playing both at home, while Boston has to travel off a hard fought 105-104 win at home against the Knicks last night. Celtics are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record, while Cleveland is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 when revenging a loss where they allowed 100 or more points. Give me the Cavaliers -7.5! |
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03-05-16 | George Washington v. Davidson -1 | Top | 80-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
50* CBB A-10 GAME OF THE YEAR (Davidson -1) I absolutely love the value here with Davidson laying just 1-point at home against George Washington. The Wildcats lost by 10 on the road against the Colonials, but are a completely different beast at home. Davidson is 14-1 on their home floor and will be highly motivated here. Not only will they be out for revenge, but they will be playing their home finale and are fresh off two blowout road losses. The Wildcats are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off a road loss against a conference opponent. Give me Davidson -1! |
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03-05-16 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -5.5 | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Shooter (Texas Tech -5.5) This is a great spot to jump on the Red Raiders and go against the the Wildcats. Texas Tech will be highly motivated in their home finale and are a dominant 13-3 at home this season. Kansas State is in a prime spot for a letdown after a 25-point win against TCU, as the Wildcats are just 4-9 on the highway and already beat Tech at home earlier this season. Kansas State's last 3 road games against the top teams in the conference have resulted in a 19-point loss to Iowa State, 18-point defeat at Kansas and 15-point loss at West Virginia. Give me Texas Tech -5.5! |
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03-05-16 | West Virginia v. Baylor -2 | 69-58 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
40* CBB Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Baylor -2) This is a great spot to jump on the Bears at home against the Mountaineers. Baylor has gone an impressive 14-4 at home this season and will be laying it all on the line in their home finale. West Virginia comes in having won 3 straight, but two of those came at home and the other on the road against a bad Oklahoma State team. Prior to that they had lost 3 of 4 and I just don't see the intensity being there for the Mountaineers. West Virginia can't win the Big 12 title and already beat Baylor by 11 at home. The Bears only just 38.7% from the field in that game, while the Mountaineers were lights out at 49.1%. I look for a different outcome this time around. Give me Baylor -2! |
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03-04-16 | Jazz +1 v. Grizzlies | Top | 88-94 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
50* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month (Jazz +1) The Jazz are worth a look as a small road dog against the Grizzlies. The books are begging for you to take Memphis at home with this line. It just doesn't make sense from the public's perspective to see the Grizzlies at basically a pick'em against the Jazz, who have lost 4 straight. Memphis has been playing well without Marc Gasol, but all of their wins without him have come against bad teams. Utah is a serious playoff contender and I look for them to pull out the road victory tonight. Utah has covered each of the last 4 meetings in the series and Memphis is just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 when they come in having won 2 straight. Give me Utah +1! |
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03-04-16 | Blazers v. Raptors UNDER 210 | 115-117 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (UNDER 210) Portland scored just 93 points at Boston last time out and I look for the offensive struggles to continue. The Trail Blazers simply don't have any gas left in the tank, which is going to force them to play at a slower tempo than normal. Portland will be playing their 5th road game in the last 7 days. Keep in mind Toronto only gives up 96.6 ppg at home. I look for the intensity defensively to be there for both teams, which should have this going well below the mark. UNDER is 36-16 in the Raptors last 52 home ames with a total of 210 or more and 8-3 in the Blazers last 11 against the Eastern Conference. Give me the UNDER 210! |
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03-03-16 | Stanford v. Arizona State -2.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
50* CBB Pac-12 Game of the Month (Arizona State -2.5) This is going to seem like the wrong team is favored. The Sun Devils have lost 4 straight, while the Cardinal have won back-to-back games and 4 of 5 overall. However, this is a major letdown spot for Stanford, coming off back-to-back home wins over USC and UCLA. The last being their final home game of the season. The Cardinal do have a 72-56 road win over Washington State during their recent surge, but are just 3-7 away from home overall. As bad as it's been for the Sun Devils, they are a respectable 10-5 at home and will be extremely motivated here. Arizona State nearly upset the Cardinal on the road earlier this season, losing a heartbreaker 73-75. Stanford is just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 conference road games and 0-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6. Give me the Sun Devils -2.5! |
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03-02-16 | Oregon State v. USC -5.5 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (USC -5.5) The books have left the door wide-open on this one. USC is simply way undervalued here after losing 5 of their last 6, including each of their last 3. The Trojans are 15-1 overall and 6-1 inside conference play at home. Oregon State has won 5 of 7, but 4 of those victories came at home. The Beavers are just 1-6 on the road in the Pac-12 and all of those defeats came by more than number here. USC simply can't afford to lose here and I look for them to make a statement in a big revenge game against the Beavers. Oregon State is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after playing 2 straight at home and have lost in this spot by an average of 13.4 ppg. Give me USC -5.5! |
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03-02-16 | Pacers -1.5 v. Bucks | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers -1.5) The Bucks come into this game off a 128-121 win at home against the Rockets as a 3-point dog. Right away that puts us in a great spot to take the Pacers, as Milwaukee is just 4-14 ATS over the last 3 seasons in home games off a home win. Indiana has lost 3 straight, but did cover as a 8-point dog in a 96-100 defeat at Cleveland last time out. That cover puts the Pacers at 10-2 ATS in their last 12 against division opponents. This is a great spot and favorable line to back Indiana. Give me the Pacers -1.5! |
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03-02-16 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +3.5 | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
40* CBB Ultimate Underdog SMASH (Virginia Tech +3.5) Virginia Tech comes into this game riding a 3-game winning streak and I look for the Hokies to carry over that momentum at home against the Panthers. Pittsburgh is in line for a major letdown following their big 76-62 win over Duke on Sunday, which most believe secured their spot in the NCAA Tournament. Virginia Tech is a team that is just 8-8 in league play, but could easily be much better. The Hokies have been on the wrong end of several close games. Most of their success has come at home, where they are 11-5. Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after covering 2 of their last 3 and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 off a conference win. Hokies are 11-4 ATS inside conference play and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games when playing their 2nd game in a week span. Give me Virginia Tech +3.5! |
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03-01-16 | Purdue v. Nebraska +4 | 81-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
40* CBB Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Nebraska +4) The Cornhuskers are worth a look here as a home dog against the Boilermakers. Purdue comes into this game off a huge 83-79 win at home against Maryland, but have alternated wins and losses over their last 7. All of the loss have come on the road, where the Boilermakers are just 3-5 in Big Ten play with two of those wins coming against Minnesota and Rutgers. Nebraska is going to be extremely motivated after dropping their last 3 and will also be locked in for their final home game of the season. Cornhuskers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games off a conference loss by 3 or less and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games after scoring 30 or less in the 1st half of their last two games. Give me Nebraska +4! |
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03-01-16 | Suns v. Hornets -12.5 | 92-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NBA No-Doubt ATS Blowout (Hornets -12.5) This is going to seem like a big number for the Hornets to be laying at home against the Suns, who just knocked off Memphis 111-106 as a 7-point dog last time out. This number will also seem high due to Charlotte having just lost by 11 at Atlanta in their last game. Phoenix had lost 13 straight prior to their win over the Grizzlies and have really struggled on the road. Last time they played on the road they lost by 40 to the Clippers. Overall they have lost 10 straight away from home by double-digits. With the Hornets motivated coming off a loss, this one figures to get ugly in a hurry. Give me Charlotte -12.5! |
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03-01-16 | Virginia v. Clemson +5 | Top | 64-57 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money ACC Game of the Month (Clemson +5) The Tigers come into this game off back to back road losses at NC State and Georgia Tech and are just 2-4 in their last 6 overall. Virginia on the other hand is 9-2 over their last 11 and are fresh off a huge 79-74 win at home against North Carolina on Saturday. This is a huge letdown spot for the Cavaliers off that big win over the Tar Heels just 3 days ago. Most of Clemson's struggles of late have come on the road. They are 13-3 overall and 7-1 inside ACC play at home with wins over the likes of Louisville, Miami, Duke and Pittsburgh. Tigers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games off a conference loss and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after playing their previous game as a road dog. Give me Clemson +5! |
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02-29-16 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Nuggets | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Grizzlies -2.5) This is a great spot to jump on the Grizzlies and go against the Nuggets. Memphis is going to be extremely motivated to come out strong after losing on the road to Suns 106-11 as a 7-point favorite. Prior to that the Grizzlies had won 4 of 5 and the loss can be blamed on them simply not showing up against a bad team. I don't see that happening in back-to-back games. Denver had been playing well, but are just 1-4 in their last 5 and suffered a big setback in their last game when leading scorer Danilo Gallinari suffered a ankle injury that has him out indefinitely. Memphis is 22-11 ATS in their last 33 off a road loss and 11-3 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 105 or more. Denver is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games after playing 2 or more consecutive games on the road. Give me the Grizzlies -2.5! |
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02-29-16 | Kansas -2 v. Texas | Top | 86-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kansas -2) I believe the fact that Texas just knocked off Oklahoma at home 76-63 as a 2.5-point dog on Saturday has created some decent value here on the Jayhawks as a small road favorite. Kansas has won 9 straight since an ugly 72-85 loss at Iowa State. With their win over Texas Tech on Saturday, they have secured at least a share of the Big 12 title and can win it outright with a victory tonight against the Longhorns. Kansas won the first meeting at home 76-67, despite shooting just 40.3% from the field, while Texas hit 48.2% of their shots. Keep in mind the Jayhawks were a 12-point favorite in that game and I'm not buying a 10-point swing just because they are on the road this time. Kansas is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a winning record, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the Jayhawks -2! |
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02-28-16 | USC v. California -7 | 65-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* CBB Late Night BAILOUT (California -7) These two teams are heading in opposite directions. Cal comes in having won 7 straight and are a perfect 17-0 at home. USC has lost 4 of 5 and are just 4-8 on the road. The Golden Bears have been destroying teams at home in Pac-12 play, including a 12-point home win over UCLA last time out. USC's 4 losses during their recent poor stretch have all come by 7 or more. Cal is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off a conference win by 10 or more and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games after playing their previous game at home. Give me the Golden Bears -7! |
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02-28-16 | Blazers v. Pacers -4.5 | 111-102 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational Bookie KNOCKOUT (Pacers -4.5) Portland is getting way too much respect here in a tough scheduling spot. The Blazers opened up their 6-game road trip with a 103-95 win over the Bulls, but that's not all that impressive given the injuries Chicago is dealing with. Overall the Blazers have won 12 of their last 14, but 11 of those 14 games came at home. Indiana is a respectable 18-10 at home and are going to be extremely motivated to bounce back from a heartbreaking 95-96 home loss to the Hornets. Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU loss and 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games played on Sunday. Portland is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 when playing on no rest and 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the Pacers -4.5! |
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02-28-16 | Duke v. Pittsburgh -1 | Top | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pittsburgh -1) This is a great spot to back the Panthers at home against the Blue Devils. Duke has been playing well of late, but are getting a little too much respect here off a 15-point blowout win at home against Florida State. The books are begging for you to take the Blue Devils in this spot, but Pittsburgh is prime for one of their best performances of the season. The Panthers are 14-4 at home and will be highly motivated off an ugly 60-67 loss at home to Louisville. Pitt is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after a game in which they failed to cover the spread and I fully expect them to deliver a SU win in their home finale. Give me the Panthers -1! |
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02-27-16 | Pistons v. Bucks -1.5 | 102-91 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Sharp Shooter (Bucks -1.5) Milwaukee is worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against he Pistons. The Bucks had won 4 of 5 prior to a hard fought 107-112 loss at Boston last time out. I look for Milwaukee to continue their strong play of late with a win at home against Detroit. The Pistons are getting a lot of respect here after a win at Cleveland and blowout win at home agains the 76ers, but are still just 2-5 over their last 7. Bucks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. Give me Milwaukee -1.5! |
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02-27-16 | Oklahoma v. Texas | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
40* CBB Blockbuster Bookie KNOCKOUT (Texas Pick'em) Texas has been better than anyone has expected under first year head coach Shaka Smart and I really like the value we are getting here with the Longhorns at a pick'em at home. Texas is 13-2 on their home floor and are going to be extremely motivated not only because they are playing an elite opponent in Oklahoma, but due to the fact they were embarrassed in their last home game by Baylor. Texas nearly beat the Sooners in Norman, falling 60-63. That's important to note as the Longhorns are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when revenging a road loss. Give me Texas at a Pick'em! |
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02-27-16 | NC State v. Syracuse -5 | Top | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
50* CBB ACC Game of the Year (Syracuse -5) This is not only a great spot to jump on the Orange, but a prime spot to fade the Wolfpack. NC State has been a major disappointment and are just playing out the season at this point. I look for the Wolfpack to struggle to bounce back on the road after giving it all they had in a home game against in-state rival UNC. Syracuse on the other hand is primed for a big game, as they are going to be extremely motivated off back-to-back double-digit losses to Louisville and Pittsburgh. Prior to these last two defeats, the Orange had won 5 straight and 8 of 9 overall. It's also worth noting that Syracuse is 12-4 at home, while the Wolfpack are just 4-7 on the road. Orange are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games after 15+ games when facing a team that averages 12 or fewer assists/game. Give me Syracuse -5! |
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02-26-16 | Nuggets v. Mavs -5 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational Bookie KNOCKOUT (Mavs -5) This is a great price to back the Mavericks at home against the Nuggets. Dallas is going to be extremely motivated to get a win on their home floor, as they come in having lost 6 of their last 8. A big part of their struggles has been a tough schedule, but it gets easier tonight. Denver is prime for the picking, as the Nuggets are in line for a letdown after a surprising road win over the Clippers. Dallas has won 3 straight in the series at home with all 3 wins coming by at least 8 points, which is what I believe this line should be. Mavericks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against a team like the Nuggets who have lost more than 40% of their games. Give me Dallas -5! |
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02-26-16 | Hornets v. Pacers UNDER 204 | Top | 96-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month (UNDER 204) These two teams just played on 2/10, which the Hornets won 117-95 to send the game over the posted total of 201.5. Keep in mind that was the final game before the All-Star break for both teams and defense wasn't a priority with the long layoff on deck. Prior to giving up 114 in a loss to the Cavaliers last time out, Charlotte was allowing just 94.8 ppg over their previous 8 games. Indiana is a more than capable team defensively when they want to be and I'm confident the Pacers bring the intensity in this one. The average combined score in the Pacers last 93 games when revenging a home loss of 10 or more is 190.6. Give me the UNDER 204! |
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02-25-16 | Nets v. Suns OVER 208 | 116-106 | Win | 103 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total CRUSHER (Nets/Suns OVER 208) Both the Nets and Suns are simply playing out the season at this point, as the two combined have an overall record of 29-85. There's ZERO motivation here for either team to exert themselves on the defensive end and that should have this game flying over the total. Brooklyn comes in allowing 103.6 ppg and the Suns are even worse, giving up 107.4 ppg. Key here is both offenses are playing well at the moment. Nets are averaging 100.8 ppg over their last 5 and Phoenix is averaging 101.0 ppg over their last 5. Give me the OVER 208! |
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02-25-16 | Florida State v. Duke -9 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
40* CBB FSU/Duke ESPN BLOODBATH (Duke -9) The Blue Devils fell 64-71 at Louisville in their last game, but that's nothing to be ashamed about. Prior to that, Duke had won 5 straight and I look for them to return to form in a big bounce back spot at home. Florida State was once an NCAA Tournament team, but are on the outside looking in after dropping 4 straight. The Seminoles are a young team and I look for them to be overwhelmed by Cameron Indoor Stadium. Blue Devils are 8-2 ATS int their last 10 after winning 4 of their last 5, while Florida State is just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 after 15+ games against a team that's outscoring opponents by 8+ points/game. Give me Duke -9! |
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02-25-16 | SMU -4.5 v. Memphis | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (SMU -4.5) The Mustangs defeated Memphis 80-68 at home back on Jan. 30 and I'm expecting a very similar type of outcome on the road. SMU has gone 8-3 away from home and these last few games mean everything to this team. While the Mustangs are not eligible for postseason play, they are in the running for the American Athletic title, something they desperately want. Memphis doesn't have much to play for at this point and are struggling at the moment. The Tigers are just 3-7 in their last 10 and just lost at USF by 9-points as a 9-point favorite. Give me the Mustangs -4.5! |
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