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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-21-19 | Rockets v. 76ers -3.5 | Top | 93-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (76ers -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the 76ers as a small home favorite against the Rockets. James Harden is playing out of this world and Houston is getting a ton of publicity for it. I think it's definitely playing into their lines and creating value on the other side. Houston has only covered 3 of their lats 8 games and all 3 of those were at home. The other key here is the 76ers are going to be pissed off after suffering a rare home loss last time out to the Thunder. Give me Philadelphia -3.5! |
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01-21-19 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -4 | 82-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (N Carolina -4) I just can't pass up the Tar Heels as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Hokies. Virginia Tech is getting a ton of love from the books due to their impressive start to the season, but they come in having failed to cover 4 straight. They are 4-1 in ACC play, but in their only two conference road games they have lost by 22 at Virginia and snuck out a 3-point win at Georgia Tech as a 7-point favorite. Hokies shot poorly in both road games. As for UNC, I somehow think they are flying under the radar right now. I think Duke is getting so much of the headlines that people are sleeping on this team and I think they make a statement against Virginia Tech. Give me the Tar Heels -4! |
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01-21-19 | Pistons v. Wizards -5.5 | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Wizards -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards covering the 5.5 at home against the Pistons. I think a lot of people have written off Washington, not just because of their poor start to the season, but also the fact they lost All-Star point guard John Wall to a season-ending injury. As good as Wall is, I think there were some serious chemistry issues when he was playing and there's no denying the team has played better without him. Wizards are 7-2 ATS last 9 and have covered 5 straight at home, which includes a stretch of 3 straight home covers against the Raptors (lost by 2), Bucks (won by 7) and 76ers (won by 17). Detroit is not very good, play poorly on the road and are coming off a crushing home loss to the Kings. Give me the Wizards -5.5! |
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01-20-19 | Hornets v. Pacers UNDER 219.5 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 219.5) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 219.5 in this one. Both Charlotte and Indiana will be playing in the second game of a back-to-back set, as the Hornets hosted the Suns on Saturday while the Pacers hosted the Mavs. Both teams won rather easily, so I'm expecting a little more edge defensive than you would typically see in a game with both teams on no rest. UNDER is 35-17 in the Pacers last 52 home games 13-4-1 in their last 18 vs a team with a losing record and 5-1 in their last 6 when playing on 0 days of rest. UNDER is also 22-7 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams in Indiana. Give me the UNDER 219.5! |
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01-19-19 | Lakers +7 v. Rockets | 134-138 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Lakers +7) I'll take my chances with the Lakers covering this thing at Houston. LA just won at OkC as a 10-point dog and the Rockets collapsed in a 142-145 overtime loss to Brooklyn. I've mentioned it a lot lately. I think Houston is running on fumes right now and this ridiculous run Harden is on can only last so long. Lakers have been playing really good defense of late and I think they shoot the ball well here. Give me Los Angeles +7! |
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01-19-19 | Kings -2 v. Pistons | Top | 103-101 | Push | 0 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -2) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a small road favorite against the Pistons. I wasn't surprised at all to see the Kings lay an egg in their last game at Charlotte. Now it's time to jump back on the bandwagon. Detroit comes in having won 3 of 4 and covered all 4 during this stretch. I don't trust the Pistons in the slightest and look for them to struggle here playing in the second game of a back-to-back set. Give me the Kings -2! |
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01-19-19 | Oregon State +4.5 v. Arizona | 71-82 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PRIME-TIME NO-BRAINER (Oregon St +4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Beavers as a small road dog against the Wildcats. I'm just not a fan of Arizona this year, but there's always a premium on the Wildcats, especially at home. I actually like Oregon State to win this game outright. Beavers didn't play their best and still only lost by 3 at Arizona State last time out. Arizona just lost at home to Oregon and we saw them lose at home to Baylor not that long ago. Give me the Beavers +4.5! |
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01-19-19 | Louisville v. Georgia Tech +5 | 79-51 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Ga Tech +5) I'll take my chances here with Georgia Tech as a home dog, as I think the Yellow Jackets are going to win this game outright. Louisville had that big win at UNC and then did the tough thing of not suffering a letdown with a win at home over BC. I think they struggle to bring that same intensity on the road against a Georgia Tech team that has been playing much better of late. Yellow Jackets had covered 3 straight before just missing out on a cover in a 12-point loss as a 9-point dog at Clemson. Give me Georgia Tech +5! |
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01-19-19 | Kentucky v. Auburn -4 | 82-80 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
40* KENTUCKY/AUBURN BIG MONEY MASSACRE (Auburn -4) I'll take my chances here with Auburn covering the small number at home against the Wildcats. The Tigers are a beast at home, where they are 9-0 this season. Auburn is averaging 91.2 ppg and shooting 48% as a team at home this season. Kentucky will struggle to keep pace, as they have not brought the same intensity on defense away from home. Not to mention the atmosphere here will be electric. Give me Auburn -4! |
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01-19-19 | Alabama +14 v. Tennessee | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Alabama +14) I'll take my chances here with Alabama covering this massive spread at Tennessee. The Volunteers are really good, but this is too many points against a quality opponent. It's simply an inflated number because Tennessee has looked so good and come in having covered 5 straight. I don't think Alabama has enough to pull off the upset, but I think it's a lot closer than expected. Give me the Crimson Tide +14! |
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01-19-19 | Arkansas v. Ole Miss -7 | 67-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Ole Miss -7) I'll take my chances here with Ole Miss laying it on the Razorbacks at home. The Rebels have been a surprise team, as no one thought they would be 13-3. However, some of the buzz around this team was lost in their last game, which saw them get handled at home by LSU. It happens. I love what Kermit Davis is doing here and this is not a good Arkansas team. Give me the Rebels -7! |
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01-18-19 | Pelicans v. Blazers -2.5 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Portland as a small home favorite against the Pelicans. Blazers just don't seem to get a lot of love, which has them constantly undervalued, especially at home. Portland is 19-7 SU and 16-10 ATS at home. They have covered 4 of their last 5 and have won 5 straight at home. This is just not a good spot for the Pelicans, who are coming off a crushing 7-point loss at Golden State. A game that saw the two teams combined for a ridiculous 287 points. Give me the Blazers -2.5! |
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01-18-19 | Spurs v. Wolves -1 | 116-113 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Wolves -1) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota at this price all day. No surprise here to see the Wolves undervalued off a 42-point loss against the 76ers, which had to sting a little more with that being where their old teammate, Jimmy Butler, is playing. I expect a very focused and pissed off Minnesota team to take the floor tonight against the Spurs. San Antonio is playing well, but are not the same team on the road. Wolves are 13-4 ATS last 17 home games vs teams who are giving up 106+ ppg and 9-1 ATS last 10 at home vs teams who are shooting 46% or better from the field. Give me Minnesota -1! |
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01-18-19 | Maryland v. Ohio State -3 | 75-61 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB FRIDAY NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Ohio State -3) I'll take my chances here with Ohio State bringing home a win and cover here against the Terps. I think this line is a combination of Maryland being overvalued after their 6-1 start to Big Ten play and the Buckeyes being undervalued right now after losing their last 3. Ohio State is just 2-3 in league play and this is one they have to have. The big thing to keep in mind with the Buckeyes slow start in Big Ten play, they have only had two home games and one of those was against Michigan State. Give me the Buckeyes -3! |
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01-17-19 | Oregon State v. Arizona State -4.5 | Top | 67-70 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Arizona State -4.5)Â I'll take my chances here with the Sun Devils winning and covering the small number here at home against Oregon State. There's not a lot of room for error for these Pac-12 teams in terms of making the NCAA Tournament. Even with non-conference wins over Kansas and Mississippi State, a lackluster showing in Pac-12 play will likely keep them out. Coming off an ugly loss at Stanford this feels like a must-win for Bobby Hurley's team and I fully expect them to come through. Give me Arizona State -4.5! |
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01-17-19 | Stanford v. Washington -9.5 | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Washington -9.5) I'll take my chances here with the Huskies winning by at least 10 at home against the Cardinal. Washington is one of the top teams in the Pac-12, which is way down this year. Huskies are a perfect 3-0 in Pac-12 play and 2 of the first 3 have been on the road. They won by 18 in that lone home game against Washington State. They also won by 16 as a mere 2-point favorite at Utah and by 7 as a 2.5-point dog at Colorado. Stanford comes in off a home win over ASU, but the Cardinal are not good. Stanford is just 2-7 in road games. They have played 2 on the road in the Pac-12 and lost by 22 at UCLA and by 11 at USC. Washington is a perfect 8-0 at home and I think there's some big motivation here after getting swept by Stanford in the two games last year. Give me the Huskies -9.5! |
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01-17-19 | Oregon +5 v. Arizona | 59-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Oregon +5) I'll take my chances here with Oregon keeping this closer than expected and cashing in a cover here as a small road dog. I actually think there's a decent chance the Ducks win this outright. A lot of people wrote off Oregon after they lost big man Boi Bol, but there is still a ton of talent on this roster and one guy that is really making a difference right now is 5-star true freshman Louis King, who is just now rounding into form after missing time early with a knee injury. The other thing is the Ducks can get after you defensively and that's what makes them a dangerous road team. Give me Oregon +5! |
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01-17-19 | 76ers v. Pacers UNDER 225 | 120-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in tonight's Eastern Conference showdown between the 76ers and Pacers. Both teams come in playing well, as the Pacers are 9-2 in their last 11, while Philadelphia is 6-2 in their last 8 and off a 149-107 blowout win against Minnesota. I just think the defensive effort is going to be there for both teams and when these two want to, they can be elite defensive teams. Clearly there's offensive talent on both sides, but with the total where it is it's too much value to pass up. Give me the UNDER 225! |
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01-17-19 | Knicks v. Wizards OVER 226.5 | 100-101 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 226.5) First off, for those that don't know, this game is being played in London. That right there has me thinking there will be a lack of defense played. That's even more so when you factor the caliber a teams we have here with the Knicks and Wizards. Washington has been playing decent, surprisingly since John Wall went down. I just think the ball is moving a little more and it's resulted in the ball going in the hoop more frequently. Wizards have scored at least 109 in 8 straight and 121 ppg over their last 7. Knicks are giving up 117 ppg on the road, so 120+ from Washington should be easy. All we need is for New York to hit around 110-115 for this to fly over and the Wizards are giving up 118.7 ppg. Give me the OVER 226.5! |
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01-16-19 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 224.5 | 129-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 224.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER in tonight's NBA action between the Jazz and Clippers. With their top 3 point guards all injured, Utah has really had to rely on their defense of late and they come in having held each of their last 4 opponents to 41.2% or worse from the field. While they have scored 100+ in 4 straight, they have not shot the ball well at all of late. The Jazz are shooting 42.4% from the field in their last 5. Clippers have held their last 5 opponents to 43.2% shooting and I think we get a big effort on that side from LA, as they come in having lost 3 straight and really can't afford to lose here with their upcoming schedule not all that favorable. Give me the UNDER 224.5! |
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01-16-19 | Georgia Tech +9 v. Clemson | 60-72 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Georgia Tech +9) I'll take my chances here with the Yellow Jackets at this price. Not much was expected of Georgia Tech and we can see how undervalued they have been with their 12-4 ATS mark and 5-0 ATS record on the road. Clemson on the other hand was expected to be stronger and they are 4-12 ATS overall with a 2-7 ATS mark at home. I would give the edge to the Tigers in winning the game, but I don't think it's out of the question that the Yellow Jackets pull off the upset. I mean we just saw Georgia Tech win 73-59 at Syracuse. The same Orange team that beat Clemson at home 61-53. GIve me the Yellow Jackets +9! |
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01-16-19 | Nets +5 v. Rockets | 145-142 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets +5) This is just one of those lines that you look at and know the public is going to flock to laying the short number at home with the Rockets. Houston has been trending in the right direction and come in having won 5 straight in the series, including a 119-111 win at Brooklyn back in early November. Not to mention James Harden is playing out of his mind right now. Harden just scored 57 on Monday against the Grizzlies to pass Kobe Bryant and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar with his 17th straight 30-point game.   What I think the books are expecting is for Houston to really struggle to win this game at home. Right before their game on Monday against Memphis, the Rockets learned that Clint Cappella would miss at least a month when they were hoping for a lot less. That’s a huge blow to this team, as they are already without two starters in Chris Paul and Eric Gordon.  I think this team was already running on fumes before Capella went down. While the Rockets get Tuesday off, this will still be their 3rd game in the last 4 days. Houston also hasn’t had more than 1-day off at a time since they were out of action the first two days of this month. This will be their 8th game in 14 days.  The other key here is Brooklyn has quietly been playing very well over the last 5+ weeks. Starting with a 106-106 overtime win against the Raptors on Dec. 7th, the Nets have gone 14-5 in their last 19 games, which is exactly the same record for the Rockets over their last 19. Last time out Brooklyn got the Celtics best shot and held on for a 109-102 win, so the confidence with this team is through the roof right now. I think they will be extremely motivated to not just  keep that momentum going, but they also will be out for revenge and excited to try and put an end to this Harden scoring streak. I’m not sayin I think the Nets are the better team, I just think given the circumstances, Brooklyn simply wants this game a lot more and while it’s hard to see, there’s some value with the line here.The Nets are 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team from the West and a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 trips to Houston. Give me Brooklyn +5! |
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01-16-19 | Raptors v. Celtics -2 | Top | 108-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2) I'll gladly take my chances here with Boston as a small home favorite against the Raptors. The Celtics come in desperate for a win after losing 3 straight and I just think playing a big time opponent like Toronto is just what they need to get on track. Keep in mind that all 3 of their losses during this losing streak were on the road and it started with a game at Miami on no rest. Toronto comes in having won 5 straight, but are really hurting with injuries. Valanciunas and Anunoby are both out, while Miles and VanVleet are both questionable. Celtics are 14-5 ATS as a home favorite this season and 12-3 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3. Give me Boston -2!  |
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01-16-19 | Iowa v. Penn State -1 | 89-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS INSIDER (Penn St -1) I'll take my chances here with Penn State. Iowa is No. 23 and come in having won 3 straight, including home wins over ranked Nebraska and Ohio State teams, as well as a road win at Northwestern. Penn State on the other hand has lost 4 straight and are winless at 0-6 in Big Ten Play. I think the books could have made Iowa a 1-point favorite and they would have still got all kinds of action on the Hawkeyes, but making them a dog is begging the public to take them. That tells me that Penn State is without a doubt the right side in this one. A closer look and you can start to see why. While Iowa won at Northwestern in their last road game, this is a team that has really struggled in true road games of late. That was just the 5th win in a true road game since the start of the 2016-17 season for Iowa. Their only other true road games this season were a 16-point loss at Purdue and a 22-point loss at Michigan State. They were 1-10 in true road games last year. I think you also have to add in just how much this game means to Penn State. While the damage has probably already been done, this has to feel like a must-win for the Nittany Lions. Penn State is also not as bad as their record, especially in conference. 3 of their losses in the Big Ten are by 6 points or less. This is also a team that has had to face Maryland, Alabama, Michigan and Nebraska all on the road. They also have had to host two of the better teams in the league in Wisconsin and Michigan State. This is still that same team that upset Virginia Tech at home in the ACC/Big Ten challenge and that’s the only loss the Hokies have suffered, as they enter Tuesday 14-1 and No. 9 in the country.  Iowa doesn’t just struggle to win on the road, they are a mere 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games overall and the home teams is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Give me Penn State -1 |
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01-15-19 | Warriors -1 v. Nuggets | Top | 142-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Warriors -1) I'll gladly take my chances here with Golden State at basically a pick'em at Denver. The Nuggets have held claim to the No. 1 seed in the West for most of the season, but the Warriors can take over the top spot with a win tonight. It takes a lot for Golden State to really get up for a regular-season game, but this is one they will be ready to go. Keep in mind they already lost at Denver earlier this season, so there's no looking past this team this time around. Warriors have also picked their game up of late, as they have won 6 of 7 and come in having scored 119 or more points in 6 straight. Give me Golden State -1! |
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01-15-19 | LSU v. Ole Miss -4 | 83-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
40* VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ATS MASSACRE (Ole Miss -4) I'll take my chances here with Ole Miss laying a short number at home against LSU. Kermit Davis is doing big things with this Rebels team and I just think they are still being undervalued. All they have done is win on the road at Vandy by 10, put it on Auburn by 15 at home and then go back on the road and take down in-state rival Mississippi State. LSU is a good team, but I think this is a tough spot with it being their second straight on the road and the Rebels a perfect 7-0 at home. Give me Ole Miss -4! |
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01-15-19 | Florida v. Mississippi State -4.5 | 68-71 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Miss St -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs in what has to feel like a must-win after starting out 0-2 in SEC play and the next two coming on the road against Vandy and Kentucky. Gators are simply not as good as we thought they would be and are coming off a tough loss at home to Tennessee, where they couldn't hold on to a lead late. Mississippi State was 9-0 at home before losing to Ole Miss, so chances are they return to form at the Humphrey Coliseum. Give me the Bulldogs -4.5! |
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01-14-19 | Blazers v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Kings laying a short number here at home against the Blazers. I've been on Sacramento a lot, as I really like what I have seen from this young nucleus they have put together. Kings have covered 4 of their last 5 and won 3 straight at home. Portland just played a up-tempo game last night at Denver and are not a great road team to begin with. I think the Blazers struggle to keep this close. Give me the Kings -2.5! |
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01-14-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3 | 73-69 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Oklahoma St -3) I'll take my chances here with Oklahoma State as a small home favorite against Baylor. I think we are seeing some value here with the Cowboys because of the fact that they just recently went on a streak where they failed to cover 8 straight. However, they have covered their last 2, beating Texas at home as a 3.5-point dog and winning as a 7-point dog at West Virginia. I'm way down on Baylor this season and they are lucky they aren't 0-3. Tough spot as well for the Bears off a crushing home loss to Kansas on Saturday. Give me the Cowboys -3! |
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01-14-19 | Grizzlies v. Rockets UNDER 207.5 | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 207.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER in this one. The Rockets are a great offensive team, but are playing short-handed right now and in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, as well as their 3rd game in 4 nights. I just don't see them playing with the same pace offensively and tired legs is bad news for a team that loves to shoot 3-pointers like the Rockets. Add in Memphis desperately needing a win and the Grizzlies being a team that wants to grind games out with a methodical pace and stingy defense. All adds up to a low scoring game. Give me the UNDER 207.5! |
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01-12-19 | Hornets v. Kings -5 | 97-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Kings -5) I really like this Kings team and love them in this spot, as I think they are highly motivated to win and will be catching Charlotte in a really tough spot. The Hornets are in the midst of a lengthy road trip and this will be their 5th straight on the road. They also are on no rest after playing last night in Portland and there's no doubt this west coast trip takes a lot more out of teams from the east. Hornets have failed to cover 5 of their last 6 vs a team from the west are 6-21-1 in their last 28 off a loss by 10 or more and 0-6 ATS last 6 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Kings -5! |
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01-12-19 | Bulls +11.5 v. Jazz | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Bulls +11.5) Chicago comes in off a ugly 146-109 loss at Golden State last night, while Utah won and easily covered in a 113-95 victory at home over LA last night. Who do you think the public is going to take here? The key thing with the Bulls loss is that game was over by the end of the 1st quarter, so Chicago was able to limit players minutes. Utah didn't quite have that luxury and I think they have a hard time going from playing a game on ESPN to trying to get up for this Bulls team. Keep in mind Utah is playing short-handed with their top 3 point guards all out with injuries. Give me Chicago +11.5! |
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01-12-19 | DePaul v. St. John's -9 | Top | 79-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (St. John's -9) I'll gladly lay single digits with the Red Storm at home against DePaul. While St. John's is 14-2 and ranked in the Top 25, I still think they are flying under the radar because of how poor they were a year ago. Sitting at 2-2 in Big East play and off a crushing loss at Villanova, St Johns is going to be locked in and that's all we need for them to cover this number. Red Storm are a perfect 9-0 at home where they outscoring teams by almost 20 points/game. Give me St. John's -9.5! |
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01-12-19 | Duke v. Florida State +8 | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Florida State +8) There's no denying that Duke is a great team and without question the team to beat come March, but winning on the road is not easy, especially against a team as talented as Florida State and we know the Seminoles are going to give the Blue Devils their best shot at home. One thing that gets overlooked with Duke and their schedule to this point is they have not played a true road game outside of their home state. I not only think the Seminoles cover, but they got a shot here to win outright. Give me Florida State +8! |
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01-11-19 | Lakers +8 v. Jazz | 95-113 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Lakers +8)Â I'll take my chances here with Los Angeles covering the near double-digit spread against Utah on Friday. Lakers young guns are playing well right now and I'm confident they will come out with some serious fight in a game that will televised on ESPN. The even bigger thing here is the injury situation for Utah. Starting point guard Ricky Rubio and backup point guards Dante Exum and Raul Neto are all out with injuries. I think the Jazz' depth will be tested and keep in mind that while they come in off a 13-point win over the Magic, they gave up 63 points and trailed by 17 at the half. Neto also played 31 minutes in that game before hurting his groin. Give me the Lakers +8. |
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01-11-19 | Mavs v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wolves -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota covering what I feel is a really small number at home. I've really liked what I've seen from the Timberwolves under interim head coach Ryan Saunders. You could really see how much the players liked the guy with how they celebrated his first win and players were also praising his in-game coaching. I just don't think it's asking a lot for Minnesota to win here at home against a Mavs team that is simply atrocious on the road. Dallas is 3-18 away from home this season, giving up 113 ppg. T-Wolves are scoring 114 ppg at home. Give me Minnesota -4.5! |
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01-11-19 | Bucks v. Wizards +6 | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +6) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a home dog against the Bucks. There's no denying that Milwaukee is playing great basketball, but I think we are seeing the Bucks overvalued here on the road off their big win over the Rockets. It's one thing to show up on the road against a top tier team like Houston. It's another to face a team like Washington that is a mere 17-25 overall and without one of their best players in John Wall. The thing is the Wizards have been playing very well in Wall's absence and are going to be the more hungry team in this one. Give me Washington +6! |
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01-10-19 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 224 | Top | 147-154 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 224) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Thursday's TNT clash between the Spurs and Thunder. This just feels like way too many points given how well both of these teams are playing on the defensive side of the ball. San Antonio has been playing great defense for over a month now and OKC has held each of their last 5 opponents under 44% from the field. Spurs are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and Thunder are running on fumes as well, which will keep the pace down. While these two haven't played yet this season, 6 of the last 7 meetings have gone UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 224! |
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01-10-19 | Michigan v. Illinois +9.5 | 79-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Illinois +9.5) I'm not about to sit here and tell you Michigan isn't any good and won't win this game at Illinois. I just think the number here is too good to pass up. As good as the Wolverines are, it's not easy winning on the road in conference play, especially in the Big Ten. They barely squeaked out a 62-60 win at Northwestern, which is their only conference road game to date. Illinois is 0-4 in Big Ten play, but none of those were on their home floor. This team has been a lot more competitive than their 4-11 record would suggest and I think it's going to be really easy for Michigan to overlook this team and end up in a bit of a dogfight. Give me the Fighting Illini +9.5! |
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01-10-19 | Cincinnati v. Tulsa +7 | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKER ERROR (Tulsa +7) I'll take my chances here with the Golden Hurricane at worst keeping this thing within the number and I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Tulsa hasn't lost at home yet this year, as they are 9-0 and that includes wins over a couple of quality Big 12 teams in Kansas State and Oklahoma State. Cincinnati just lost as a 17.5-point favorite at East Carolina and shot just 37.3% in their previous true road game at Mississippi State. That's not the kind of performance you would expect from a team laying this kind of number on the road. Give me Tulsa +7! |
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01-09-19 | TCU +6.5 v. Kansas | 68-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (TCU +6.5) I'll take my chances here with TCU keeping it within the number here against the Jayhawks. I think the perception here is that Kansas will bounce back from that ugly 17-point road loss to Iowa State and the books have inflated the line knowing that. I'm not convinced the Jayhawks will bounce back. They are extremely fortunate to be sitting at 12-2, as so many of their wins have come in closely contested games that could have went either way. TCU is a really good team and can light it up on the offensive side of the ball. Give me the Horned Frogs +6.5! |
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01-09-19 | Butler v. Seton Hall -3 | Top | 75-76 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Seton Hall -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pirates as a small home favorite against the Bulldogs. I just think Seton Hall is a lot better than they are getting credit for. I mean we have already seen this team win true road games over the likes of Maryland and Xavier, as well as a neutral site victory against Kentucky. Butler comes in off a blowout win over Creighton at home, but prior to that lost at home to Georgetown and were annihilated at Florida, who they beat early in the season on a neutral court. Bulldogs are just 2-4 SU and ATS on the road and I don't see them improving that mark tonight. Give me the Pirates -3! |
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01-09-19 | Clemson v. Syracuse -3 | 53-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
40* VEGAS ODDSMAKER LINE MISTAKE (Syracuse -3) I'll take my chances here with the Orange as a small home favorite against the Tigers. Syracuse comes in having won 3 straight and I just think they are flying under the radar right now. Clemson on the other hand is fresh off a 21-point loss at Duke and I just haven't been impressed enough with this team to think they can go into the Carrier Dome and get a win. Give me the Orange -3! |
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01-09-19 | Hawks v. Nets -9 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets -9) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn laying it on the Nets at home. Atlanta is a bad team to begin with and have to be running on fumes right now. Hawks will be playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set, as well as their 3rd game in 4 nights. Last night they were at the Raptors, which they showed up for in honor of veteran teammate Vince Carter, as that figures to be the last time he plays in Toronto. While Atlanta is due to not show up, Brooklyn should be all business after getting embarrassed last time out at Boston. Give me the Nets -9! |
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01-09-19 | Pacers +6.5 v. Celtics | 108-135 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL VEGAS INSIDER (Pacers +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers covering the number on the road against the Celtics. I think we are getting a good price on Indiana due to the fact the Pacers will be without Myles Turner. The thing is, Indiana is a deep team and can sustain that loss with the likes of youngster Domantas Sabonis stepping into a bigger role. Boston has won 3 straight, but all at home against teams who struggle on the road. Pacers have 13 road wins and while a win here will be tough, I see this coming down to the wire. Give me Indiana +6.5! |
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01-09-19 | Auburn -3 v. Ole Miss | 67-82 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Auburn -3) I'll take my chances here with Auburn as a small road favorite against the Rebels. I think we are seeing a much smaller line than we would if this was later on in conference play, as Ole Miss is getting a ton of love from their 11-2 start. I also think the Rebels are at a disadvantage here hosting Auburn in the Tigers conference opener, as I might be tempted to take Ole Miss if this was in February and Auburn was coming off a big game, but the Tigers haven't played in 10 days. I expect to see the best Auburn has to offer in this one. Give me the Tigers -3! |
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01-09-19 | Ohio State v. Rutgers +6.5 | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SHOCKER (Rutgers +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights as a decently priced home dog against Ohio State. I think Rutgers is a lot better than they are getting credit for and will be extremely motivated to tray and get that first conference win an avoid the 0-4 start in league play. I think they are catching the Buckeyes at a good time, as Ohio State is coming off a huge game against Michigan State at home, which they lost by 9. I actually wouldn't be shocked if Rutgers won this game outright. Give me the Scarlet Knights +6.5! |
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01-08-19 | Kings v. Suns OVER 230.5 | 111-115 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 230.5) I'll take my chances here with the OVER in tonight's NBA action that has the Kings and Suns going head-to-head. These two teams are ideal for a high-scoring game. Sacramento plays at the second fastest pace in the NBA, so possessions for both teams will be up there. The even bigger key is the lack of defense these two teams play. Both rank in the bottom 10 in the league in defensive efficiency. Kings give up 117.9 ppg on the road and the Suns allow 112.9 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 230.5! |
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01-08-19 | Alabama v. LSU -6 | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (LSU -6) I'll take my chances here with LSU at home against the Crimson Tide. Alabama is primed for a huge letdown after upsetting Kentucky on their home court and the Tigers are a perfect 8-0 at home and out for some serious revenge against the Crimson Tide. Both teams are 10-3, but the losses for Alabama came against Northeastern, UCF and Georgia St. LSU's 3 losses are against FSU, Houston and Oklahoma St. Tigers should win here by double-digits. Give me LSU -6! |
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01-08-19 | Wolves +8 v. Thunder | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK (Wolves +8) I'll take my chances here with the Wolves as a near double-digit dog at OKC. I'm expecting a big effort here from Minnesota after the recent firing of head coach Tom Thibodeau. It's also not like the Wolves weren't playing well leading up to the firing, as they had just won back-to-back games by double-digits at home against the Magic and Lakers. OKC just lost at home by 18 to the Wizards and I just think the Thunder are running on fumes right now. This will be just the 7th home game for OKC since Dec. 3rd. Give me Minnesota +8! |
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01-08-19 | Maryland v. Minnesota -1.5 | 82-67 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Minnesota -1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Golden Gophers at just a pick'em at home against the Terps. I've been really high on Minnesota this year and they haven't disappointed. The Gophers are 12-2 on the season and fresh off a win at Wisconsin as a 9-point dog. They have won 6 straight and this will be the toughest true road game for this young Maryland team so far this season. Give me the Gophers -1.5! |
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01-08-19 | Tennessee v. Missouri +8 | Top | 87-63 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Missouri +8) I'll gladly take my chances here with Missouri as a near double-digit home dog against the Volunteers. Tennessee is a really good team, but they are way overvalued here on the road off that ridiculous 46-point win at home against Georgia. Tigers are 7-1 at home and this is only the second true road game of the season for the Vols. The other was at Memphis where they were also an 8-point favorite. Missouri is way better than Memphis and are playing their best basketball right now with a 6-game winning streak that includes wins over UCF, Xavier and Illinois. Give me the Tigers +8!  |
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01-07-19 | Magic v. Kings -5.5 | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Kings -5.5) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a 5.5-point home favorite against Orlando. This is the ideal spot to fade the Magic. Orlando is playing 5th straight on the road, as they continue on their 6-game road trip. They just played yesterday in LA against the Clippers, so they will be on no rest. This is also their 3rd game in 4 nights, so there's not a lot left in the tank. Kings have lost 4 straight, but have played well in defeat and are primed for a bounce back at home against an inferior opponent. Give me the Kings -5.5! |
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01-07-19 | Spurs -3 v. Pistons | 119-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Spurs -3) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio laying a mere 3-points on the road against the Pistons. I get the Spurs aren't the best of road teams, but they are 12-3 over their last 15 games. I think this team has really figured some things out and are a lot better than they get credit for. There's people still talking about whether this is a playoff team or not. That's just more fuel for the fire and it's not like Detroit is playing well. The Pistons are 4-13 in their last 17 games. Give me the Spurs -3! |
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01-06-19 | Wizards +10 v. Thunder | 116-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wizards +10) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a double-digit dog. The Wizards are getting zero love right now. Washington wasn't playing great basketball to begin with and then lost John Wall to a season-ending injury. Whenever a team loses a key guy to injury, there always seems to be an immediate stretch where they play extra hard to show they are more than the guy who got hurt. Wizards have covered 3 straight and I expect them to play hard here. OKC is a really good team, but are back-to-back prime time road wins over the Lakers and Blazers. Big letdown spot here. Give me the Wizards +10! |
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01-06-19 | Nebraska v. Iowa +3.5 | 84-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Iowa +3.5) Give me the Hawkeyes as a home dog all day long. As bad as Iowa can look on the road, they can look just as good at home. I'm not the least bit concerned with the Hawkeyes coming off a bad road loss to Purdue. If anything, it's created exceptional value on this line, as I don't see Nebraska as the kind of team that should be laying points on the road in conference play. Especially against a quality team like Iowa, who has beat a number of good teams this year. This one also means more to the Hawks, who desperately want to avoid an 0-4 start in league play. Give me Iowa +3.5! |
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01-05-19 | Pelicans -8 v. Cavs | 133-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pelicans -8) We cashed in on Utah last night as a 8-point road favorite against the Cavs and will make the same play here with the Pelicans. Cleveland is the worst team in the league and their struggles are only being compounded by all the guys they have out of the lineup. They shot just 39% in a 26-point home loss to the Jazz last night, which was their 8 straight loss overall, none of which have been close. Give me the Pelicans -8! |
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01-05-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -7 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
50* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Arizona State -7) I'll take my chances here with the Sun Devils bouncing back with a dominating performance here at home against a pretty sub-par Colorado team. Arizona State comes in off back-to-back hard fought losses at home to Princeton and Utah, which came right after their big upset win over Kansas. I think this team maybe got a big head after beating the Jayhawks and after being humbled in their last two will be 100% locked in for this one. Give me the Sun Devils -7! |
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01-05-19 | Maryland v. Rutgers +3.5 | 77-63 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Rutgers +3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights as a home dog against the Terps. I think Rutgers is going to be a very profitable team to back at home in Big Ten play. This team is a lot better than they get credit for. Maryland surprised some people early, but are a young team that figures to struggle on the road. I also think this is a bit of a letdown for the Terps off that big home win over Nebraska and the Scarlet Knights are well-rested with 6 days off. Give me Rutgers +3.5! |
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01-05-19 | Michigan State v. Ohio State UNDER 147 | 86-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 147) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Saturday's huge Big Ten clash between No. 14 Ohio State and No. 8 Michigan State. I actually think the line is pretty spot on, but I see a ton of value with the UNDER. These are two really good defensive teams. Michigan State is holding opponents nearly 9 points below their season average and Ohio State is holding opponents nearly 14 points under their average. I just think the fact that both teams come in off high-scoring games is playing into this inflated total. UNDER is 13-4 in the Buckeyes last 17 after scoring 80 or more and 9-2 in the Spartans last 11 after 2 straight blowout wins by 20+ points. Give me the UNDER 147! |
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01-04-19 | Wizards +7 v. Heat | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +7) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a big dog against the Heat. Wizards just recently lost John Wall to a season-ending injury and that has everyone picking up their game and giving a little extra to try to help make up for the loss. It's great for the short-term, which is why I like Washington here. Miami is also playing well and off a 25-point blowout win at Cleveland. Heat have historically came out flat in this spot, as they are just 5-15 ATS last 20 off a double-digit win. Give me the Wizards +7! |
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01-04-19 | Mavs +5 v. Celtics | 93-114 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MAVS/CELTICS ESPN ATS NO-BRAINER (Mavs +5) I'll take my chances here going against the Celtics at home without Kyrie Irving, as I've really been impressed with I have seen from this Mavericks team. Dallas is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 and while they are just 3-6 in their last 9 they have suffered some heartbreaking losses. They lost by 6 at Denver, by 4 at LAC, by 4 at Golden State, by 3 at Portland and by 2 at New Orleans during this stretch. No reason not to expect more of the same and a good chance they win this one outright. Give me the Mavs +5! |
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01-04-19 | Jazz -8 v. Cavs | Top | 117-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Jazz -8) I'll gladly take my chances here with Utah going into Cleveland and beating the Cavs by double-digits. Cleveland is hands down the worst team in the league. The Cavs come in having lost 7 straight and only one of those was decided by fewer than the number here and that was against another bad team in the Hawks. Utah lost at Toronto in the first of 4 straight on the road. Knowing that they have to go to Detroit tomorrow night, I think they come out with a sense of urgency here to get a win. That should be all it takes for them to win and cover this number. Give me the Jazz -8! |
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01-03-19 | Raptors v. Spurs -2.5 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Spurs -2.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio at basically a pick'em at home. The Spurs aren't getting a lot of media press, but after Monday's 120-111 win at home over the Celtics, San Antonio is now 10-3 in their last 13 games and are now 15-5 at home. Toronto is a good team, but they are way overvalued right now. Raptors just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17. Toronto is also without two key pieces here in Kyle Lowry and Jonas Valanciunas. Give me the Spurs -2.5! |
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01-03-19 | NC State -1.5 v. Miami-FL | 87-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (NC State -1.5) I'll take my chances here with NC State at basically a pick'em on the road against the Hurricanes. Miami comes in having won 3 straight, but they were all cupcake non-conference games (favored by at least 14 in all 3). The Hurricane are 6-1 at home and they typically are a tough team to beat on the road in the ACC. However, this year's team is way down and that lone home loss was to Rutgers of all teams. Wolfpack have looked better than expected and I think they are still flying under the radar. Give me NC State -1.5! |
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01-03-19 | Iowa +10 v. Purdue | Top | 70-86 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iowa +10) I'll take my chances here with Iowa as a double-digit dog against Purdue. This is just too many points for the Boilermakers to be laying. I mean Michigan State was only a 11-point favorite against Iowa back in December. Purdue is no where close to the Spartans level. Iowa ended up losing by 22, but were right there with Michigan State for a good chunk of that game. Hawkeyes also lost at home to Wisconsin and at 0-2 in Big Ten play they are going to do everything they can to avoid going 0-3. Win or lose, that effort should be more than enough to cover this spread. Give me the Hawkeyes +10! |
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01-02-19 | Texas v. Kansas State -2 | Top | 67-47 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Kansas State -2) I'll gladly take my chances here with Kansas State at basically a pick'em at home against the Longhorns. Wildcats are 10-2 overall and a perfect 7-0 at home this season. Texas is just getting too much respect. The Longhorns are a good team, but have gone just 3-4 in their last 7 and 3 of those losses were at home to Radford, VCU and Providence. I don't see this team being all that great on the road in Big 12 play. K-State's only two losses were true road games at Marquette and Tulsa and they could have won both of those. Give me the Wildcats -2! |
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01-02-19 | Wolves v. Celtics -6.5 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Celtics -6.5) ' I'll take my chances here with Boston laying it on the Timberwolves. Minnesota is just 4-8 in their last 12 and will be playing shorthanded in this one. Starting point guard Jeff Teague and backup Derrick Rose are both expected to not play. Minnesota is also likely without Robert Covington. Celtics could be without Kyrie Irving, but with or without him they should have no problem winning this game via a blowout. Boston is off a loss at San Antonio and I'm confident they bounce back here with a big effort. Give me the Celtics -6.5!  |
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01-02-19 | Nebraska v. Maryland UNDER 138 | 72-74 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 138) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in tonight's Big Ten clash between Nebraska and Maryland. Both of these teams are playing outstanding defense. The Cornhuskers are allowing just 57.8 ppg and holding teams to 37.4% from the field. The Terps are only giving up 65.2 ppg, while holding opponents to 40.3% shooting. Both teams went 1-1 in their 2 early conference games and both are going to be highly motivated to make sure they get to 2-1 and not 1-2. UNDER is 8-1 in Nebraska's last 9 with a line of +3 to -3 and 12-3 in Maryland's last 15 conference games. Give me the UNDER 138! |
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01-01-19 | Jazz v. Raptors -3 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Raptors -3) I'll take my chances here with the Raptors laying a short number at home. This is just to good a price to pass up on Toronto at Scotiabank Arena, even with Kyle Lowry sidelined. Raptors are 14-4 at home this season and had no problem winning at Utah 124-111 back in early November. Jazz are a mediocre road team at best. Utah might keep it close, but all signs point to a Toronto victory. Give me the Raptors -3! |
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12-31-18 | Grizzlies +5 v. Rockets | 101-113 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Grizzlies +5)Â I'll take my chances here with Memphis cashing in as a decently priced road dog given the circumstances. Houston has already been playing short-handed with Chris Paul out of action with a hamstring injury. Now they will be without another key piece in guard Eric Gordon. Paul and Gordon both average right around 15.5 ppg and that leaves Harden and Capela as their only double-digit scores in the lineup. Memphis needs a big win to get back on track and this feels like a big flat spot for the Rockets having won 4 straight and 9 of 10 overall. Give me Grizzlies +5! |
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12-29-18 | Nuggets v. Suns +4.5 | 122-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns +4.5) I'll take my chances here with Phoenix covering here as a small home dog against the Nuggets. The line says it all here. The books like the Suns to not just cover the small number, but win the game outright. I do too. I think this is a huge flat spot for Denver off last night's hard fought 102-99 win against the Spurs. Jamal Murray hurt his ankle late in that game and I doubt he plays in this one. Keep in mind the Nuggets are already playing short-handed with a bunch of guys out. As for Phoenix, the Suns are playing great basketball right now. While they lost and failed to cover last night against OKC, they are still 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS last 8. Give me the Suns +4.5! |
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12-28-18 | Nets v. Hornets -4.5 | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Hornets covering this relatively small spread at home against the Nets. This is all about the situation that presents itself and these two having just played a game against each other in Brooklyn two days ago. Revenge is best served in the NBA when there's a short turnaround between meetings. Charlotte simply will want this more and they have been a very strong team on their home floor. Give me the Hornets -4.5! |
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12-27-18 | 76ers v. Jazz -5 | 114-97 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -5) I'll take my chances here with Utah to cover at home against the 76ers. I just think this is a really tough spot for Philadelphia. Utah is not an easy place to play and the 76ers have to be a bit fatigued after their overtime game against the Celtics on Christmas Day, especially with all the family time and travel that they have had to cram in the last few days. Philadelphia is also not the same team on the road as they are at home and Utah will be out for revenge from an earlier loss at the 76ers. Give me the Jazz -5! |
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12-27-18 | Lakers v. Kings OVER 231 | 116-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 231) I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Thursday's NBA action that has the Kings hosting the Lakers. I'm expecting zero defense to be played here. The Lakers are coming off that huge win on the road over the Warriors Christmas Day. They are primed for a letdown off that huge win, especially given they won't have LeBron or Rondo for this contest. Kings love to push the pace and I the young Lakers will gladly play that style here and both teams should eclipse 120. Bet the OVER 231! |
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12-27-18 | Knicks +14.5 v. Bucks | Top | 96-112 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Knicks +14.5) I'll take my chances here with New York as a massive underdog against the Bucks. This is a rematch from Christmas Day, which Milwaukee won and covered 109-95 as a 10-point favorite. It has the Bucks way overvalued, as I think it will be really hard for Milwaukee to take this game seriously. There's something special about playing on Christmas Day, so they gave max effort against the Knicks on Tuesday. I just don't see them being motivated for the rematch. On the other hand, I think New York will play hard and it's really not asking much for them to keep this within the number. Give me the Knicks +14.5! |
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12-26-18 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5 | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio as a small home favorite against just about any team in the league right now. The Spurs got off to a shaky start, but are 7-2 over their last 9 games. They did lose at Houston last time out, but shot 48% from the field, while holding the Rockets to 39% from the field. San Antonio's efficiency levels on both sides of the ball are off the charts during this recent run. The only reason this line isn't more, is the Nuggets have the best record in the West. However, Denver has a bunch of key guys out and might have a hard time matching the Spurs intensity knowing they get to host San Antonio in a quick rematch this Friday. Give me the Spurs -3.5! |
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12-26-18 | Pelicans v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
50* NBA SOUTHWEST GAME OF THE MONTH (Mavs -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Mavs as a slim 2.5-point home favorite. I just think this line isn't enough for how good Dallas is playing at home. While the Mavs own a losing record at 15-17 overall, they are a dominant 13-3 at home this year. That's tied with the 76ers, Bucks and Nuggets for the fewest losses at home on the season. On top of that the Pelicans have not been playing great basketball and are just 4-14 on the road this year. New Orleans lost 122-117 at Sacramento last time out and are a mere 2-11 ATS off a road loss. Mavs are 12-4 ATS at home this season, including a perfect 7-0 ATS mark when listed anywhere from +3 to -3. Give me Dallas -2.5! |
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12-25-18 | Lakers +9 v. Warriors | 127-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Lakers +9) I'll take my chances here with the Lakers at worst keeping this game to single digits. It won't be easy beating the Warriors on their home court, but I don't think it's asking a lot for LeBron James to keep LA within the number. Warriors have really struggled in this price range, as they are a mere 2-10 ATS last 12 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Give me the Lakers +9! |
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12-25-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 222.5 | Top | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 222.5) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER. There's always a ton of value with the UNDER in these Christmas Day games, as this isn't just another regular-season game. Players consider it an honor to play on Christmas and more times than not we see playoff-like intensity. There's no doubt we get that level of intensity from these two division rivals. I think we could see both teams struggle to simply get to 100 points. Give me the UNDER 222.5! |
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12-25-18 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 221.5 | 109-113 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 221.5) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER. There's always a ton of value with the UNDER in these Christmas Day games, as this isn't just another regular-season game. Players consider it an honor to play on Christmas and more times than not we see playoff-like intensity. I see a ton of value here in this particular matchup. OKC is one of those teams that can be an elite defensive team when they want to and they know they will have to bring it on the road against James Harden and the Rockets. Key here is Houston is without Chris Paul and they just aren't the same offensive team without him on the floor. Give me the UNDER 221.5! |
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12-22-18 | Kansas v. Arizona State +3.5 | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Arizona St +3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Sun Devils as a home dog. My numbers suggest that Arizona State should be favored, but no surprise that the line is shaded big time in favor of Kansas, who is a perfect 10-0 and comes in ranked No. 1 in the country. Not to take anything away from the Jayhawks, who are a really good team, but they aren't going to go undefeated and this Sun Devils team is arguably the best the Pac-12 has to offer. Not only is this Kansas' first true road game of 2018, but it's also a long way from home. I also think Jayhawks are a little lucky to be 10-0. They got 5 wins by single digits. Give me Arizona State +3.5! |
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12-22-18 | Spurs +5.5 v. Rockets | 101-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs +5.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio. The Spurs have come alive in December. They are 8-3 in the month and have won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall. They have been just doing as they please offensively and locking down on the defensive side of the ball. In their last 8 games the Spurs have shot better than 50% from the field in 6 games. On the flip side of this, they have held 7 straight opponents under 44% from the field and fewer than 100 points. Houston had something going, but lost Chris Paul to injury and simply aren't the same team without him on the floor. Give me San Antonio +5.5! |
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12-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Kings -2 | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Kings -2) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a small home favorite against Memphis. The Grizzlies have fallen on hard times. While they have a winning record at 16-15, they are a mere 4-10 in their last 14. These two teams have already played twice this year and the home team has won and covered each time. I don't see any reason to expect a different outcome here. I believe the difference will be the Grizzlies inability to keep pace offensively. Memphis averages a mere 101.9 ppg and haven't reached the 100-point mark in 7 straight. Sacramento on the other hand is averaging 115.3 ppg. Give me the Kings -2! |
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12-21-18 | Oklahoma v. Northwestern -1.5 | 76-69 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Northwestern -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Northwestern at basically a pick'em at home against the Sooners. Oklahoma comes into this game at 10-1 and are getting way too much respect on the road against a quality Big Ten team The Wildcats recently almost beat Michigan on their home floor, losing 62-60 as a 5-point dog. Sooners only loss was a neutral site game to Wisconsin, where the Badgers held them to just 58 points. I think we see Northwestern's defense give them the same kind of trouble, as they are only giving up 61 ppg on the season and 56.3 ppg at home. Give me the Wildcats -1.5! |
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12-21-18 | Wolves v. Spurs -4 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
50* NBA REVENGE GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs -4) I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio laying a short number at home against the Timberwolves. Minnesota played really well right after they traded Jimmy Butler to the 76ers, but are just 1-5 in their last 6 and have been absolutely atrocious on the road with a 2-12 record. While the Wolves are slipping, San Antonio is making it's move, as they are 6-1 in their last 7. It's also no secret these last couple of years the Spurs are a different team at home compared to on the road. This one also means a little more to San Antonio, as they got annihilated 128-89 in a late November trip to Minnesota. They get their revenge tonight. Give me the Spurs -4! |
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12-20-18 | Mavs v. Clippers -3 | Top | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clippers -3) I'll take my chances here with the Clippers covering this small number at home against the Mavs. I just think LAC is showing value here due to the fact that they come in having lost 4 straight and are a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. It's not like they are losing to bad teams. They lost at home to the Raptors and Blazers and on the road against the Spurs and Thunder. THey have shot 50% from the field in each of their last 2 games and it's not like Dallas is playing great. The Mavs have lost 3 in a row and are a dismal 2-11 SU on the road this season. Give me the Clippers -3! |
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12-20-18 | Utah State v. Houston -4 | 50-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Houston -4) I'll take my chances here with the Cougars staying undefeated and covering the short spread at home against the Aggies in the process. Houston is 10-0 with a perfect 8-0 record on their home floor, where they are outscoring opponents by just over 15 ppg. Utah State is a good team and will be one of the better clubs in the MWC, but we saw them get crushed by 15 at BYU in their toughest road game to date and they went off as a pick'em in that game. This 10-0 start for Houston is no joke. They have wins over LSU, Oklahoma State and Oregon. They also won by 14 on the road against that same BYU team that rolled Utah State. Give me the Cougars -4! |
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12-19-18 | Georgia Tech v. Arkansas -8.5 | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Arkansas -8.5) I think a lot of people are sleeping on this Arkansas team with all the good teams in the SEC and the fact that the Razorbacks lost so much from last year's team that they just weren't expected to be a serious threat this year. Mike Anderson is vastly underrated as a head coach. Guy has a 351-184 record in 16 years. We knew Daniel Gafford was going to be good and he leads the team in scoring at 17.9 ppg. What we didn't know is all the new pieces that would play big roles. Freshman Isaiah Joe is second in scoring at 16.9 ppg, sophomore transfer, Mason Jones is averaging 13.4 ppg 5.3 rpg and 2.9 apg. New Mexico transfer Jalen Harris is putting in 9.3 ppg and 7.6 apg. Joe and Jones have already made 59 3's and are both shooting better than 42% from deep. Georgia Tech has two guys in double figures and have 54 made 3's as a team. Give me the Razorbacks -8.5! |
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12-19-18 | Nets v. Bulls +2 | 96-93 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Bulls +2) I'll take my chances here with the Bulls. I think the books want you to take Brooklyn by making them a slim favorite (basically a pick'em). Nets have won 6 straight and just took down LeBron James and the Lakers last night. That win is exactly why I'm fading Brooklyn. Beating James is not just another game. Brookyln put everything they had into that game and I just don't see them being the least bit interested in playing the Bulls, especially given that this is random 1-game road trip, as their next 3 are all at home. Give me Chicago +2! |
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12-19-18 | Pistons v. Wolves -5 | Top | 129-123 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wolves -5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Minnesota as a small 5-point home favorite against the Pistons. This might appear to be a matchup of two struggling teams, as the Pistons have lost 7 of 8 and the Wolves have dropped 4 of 5. The thing is all 4 of Minnesota's losses came on the road, where they are 2-12 this season. The Wolves returned home after those 4 losses and crushed the Kings 132-105 to improve to 12-4 at home. Pistons are 4-7 on the road and given how poorly they have been playing, I don't see them taking down the Timberwolves with how well Minnesota is playing at home. Give me the Wolves -5! |
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12-19-18 | Pacers +7.5 v. Raptors | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers +7.5) I'll take my chances here on Indiana covering what I think way too many points in their matchup at Toronto. The Pacers just lost 92-91 at home to the Cavs as a 12.5-point favorite last night. It looks bad, but I expected it, as my top play yesterday was Cleveland. That was the definition of a trap game, as Indiana was feeling good about themselves, playing an inferior opponent and had a massive game on deck the next day. Prior to losing to the Cavs this team was playing lights out and this a measuring stick kind of game, as Toronto has looked like the class of the Eastern Conference early on. I like this Raptors team a lot, but they are really banged up right now. Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, Fred VanVleet, Pascal Siakam and Jonas Valanciunas are all dealing with injuries. Some are going to play less than 100%. I think that's more than enough for Indiana to make a game of it. Give me the Pacers +7.5! |
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12-18-18 | Cavs +12.5 v. Pacers | Top | 92-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
50* NBA CENTRAL DIV GAME OF THE MONTH (Cavs +12.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavaliers as a big double-digit road dog against the Pacers. Indiana comes in having won 7 straight games. They have to be feeling themselves a little bit and I think they will have a really hard time taking Cleveland seriously. Not only because the Cavs are one of the worst teams, but the fact that they have a much bigger game on deck tomorrow at Toronto, who they are just 2-games back of for the top spot in the East. They will find a way to win this game, but it will be closer than expected. Give me the Cavs +12.5! |
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12-18-18 | Drexel v. Connecticut -15.5 | 65-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (UConn -15.5) I'll take my chances here with UConn covering this big spread at home against Drexel. I just don't this is near enough points for the Dragons. The only Power 5 team that Drexel has played is Rutgers and the Scarlet Knights annihilated them 94-66. Drexel plays zero defense and two games ago let Maryland-Baltimore County shoot 60.3% for the game. They have allowed 80+ in 3 straight. UConn has scored 90 or more points in 5 games already this season and all 4 times they won by at least 17 points. Give me the Huskies -15.5!  |
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12-17-18 | Blazers v. Clippers -2 | 131-127 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Clippers -2) I'll take my chances here with Los Angeles as a small home favorite against the Blazers. I know the Clippers come in having lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall, but 3 of the 5 losses were on the road. LA is 9-3 on their home court, outscoring teams by 3.2 ppg. The Blazers are 5-9 on the road (4-10 ATS) and are getting outscored by 6.2 ppg. This is simply too good a price to pass up given the home/away splits for these two teams. Not to mention the Clippers split their two meetings at Portland earlier this season. Give me the Clippers -2! |
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12-17-18 | Jazz v. Rockets -5 | 97-102 | Push | 0 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Rockets -5) I'll take my chances here with Houston as small home favorite. The Rockets will not be taking the Jazz lightly at all. These two teams have played twice already this season and Utah has won both by double-digits. Not only do we have clear motivation with double-revenge, but Houstons' James Harden is playing out of his mind right now. He's recorded a triple-double in each of their last 2 games and put up 50 last time out against the Lakers. You also have to factor in Utah is not playing great right now. They have lost 3 of 4 and could come out a little flat on just 1-day of rest after playing in Mexico City on Saturday. Give me the Rockets -5! |
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12-15-18 | Cincinnati v. Mississippi State -4 | 59-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Miss St -4)Â *Analysis Coming*Â |
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12-14-18 | Thunder -1 v. Nuggets | Top | 98-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -1) I'll gladly take my chances here with OKC as a small road favorite. The fact that the Nuggets have the best record in the West and are a dog on their home floor, tells you everything you need to know. Denver is beat up right now. They are down 3 starters in Gary Harris, Will Barton and Paul Milsap and Jamal Murray is playing with a banged up shin. Thunder won't take it easy on them, as they are playing with revenge from a loss in late November and have been outstanding off a loss. OKC hasn't lost back-to-back games since they started out 0-4. Give me the Thunder -1! |
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12-14-18 | Heat v. Grizzlies UNDER 199 | 100-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 199) It shouldn't take a whole lot of explanation to why I like the UNDER in a game involving the Grizzlies. While everyone else in the NBA is trying to spread the floor, push the pace and jack up a bunch of 3's, Memphis is grinding games out with a methodical approach that has an old school feel to it. Miami's still without starting point guard Dragic and last time out scored just 88 at Utah. Both teams rank in the bottom 7 in offensive efficiency and Top 11 in defensive efficiency. Give me the UNDER 199! |
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12-14-18 | Pacers +4.5 v. 76ers | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +4.5) I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a small dog against the 76ers. The Pacers come into this game as healthy as they have been all season and are playing some of their best basketball. Last time out they rolled Milwaukee 113-97 at home for their 5th straight win and 4th straight cover. Their bench has been outstanding and that's arguably the biggest weakness of the 76ers after the Butler trade. Speaking of Butler, he's questionable to play with a groin injury. This is also a big revenge game for the Pacers, who lost at home to the 76ers in early November. Give me Indiana +4.5! |
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