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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-12-18 | Wolves -3.5 v. Kings | 130-141 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Wolves -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota getting back on track against the Kings. The Wolves are off back-to-back losses, but both came on the road against two of the better teams in the West in the Blazers and Warriors. Minnesota was competitive in both and I just think this is a get right game for them. It just so happens the last game the team played with Jimmy Butler was a 121-110 loss at Sacramento, so there's even more incentive to get a win here. Kings are better than expected and have won 4 of their last 5, but 3 of those 4 wins came against the Cavs, Suns and Bulls and the other was at home against a Pacers team playing without Oladipo. Give me the Wolves -3.5! |
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12-12-18 | Pistons v. Hornets -5.5 | 107-108 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Hornets -5.5) I'll take my chances here with Charlotte covering the number at home against the Pistons. Detroit is in a bit of a free-fall right now. The Pistons have lost 5 straight and a big reason for their struggles is they just aren't healthy. They got 5 key players who are either out or questionable. They also aren't playing any defense. In their last 5 games they are giving up 114.8 ppg and allowing teams to shoot 49% from the field. Charlotte is averaging an impressive 116.6 ppg at home and simply a different team at home compared to on the road. I just don't see Detroit keeping pace here, as the Pistons are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and second straight on the road. Give me the Hornets -5.5! |
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12-12-18 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 218.5 | Top | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
50* NBA CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 218.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with these two Central Division rivals going UNDER the mark set by the books. The UNDER has cashed in 7 straight games involving the Pacers and is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 as well. A big reason for that is both teams are getting it done on the defensive end. Milwaukee is allowing just 104.8 ppg over their last 5 and Indiana is only giving up 97.8 ppg. Both teams are holding opponents under 43% shooting in their last 5. Bucks won by 17 at home way back on Oct. 19, but the UNDER is 10-1 in the Pacers last 11 when revenging a road loss of 10 or more points. Give me the UNDER 218.5! |
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12-11-18 | Blazers v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -6.5) I'll take my chances here with Houston covering what might look like a big number given how they have been playing. This is the definition of a get right game for the Rockets, who couldn't have played much worse in their 3 straight road losses to the Wolves, Jazz and Mavs. They just had stretches in each of those games where the offense was non-existent. I think playing at home will get rid of that problem. It will also help playing against a Blazers defense that is allowing 115.2 ppg away from home on the season. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revving a loss of 10 or more and off back-to-back road losses are an incredible 30-9 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me the Rockets -6.5! |
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12-10-18 | Wolves +10 v. Warriors | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Wolves +10) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota as a double-digit dog against the Warriors. I just think Golden State is way overpriced here after winning 3 straight, including a 10-point win last time out as a dog at Milwaukee. Minnesota has been a different team since they traded away Jimmy Butler and with Embiid not exactly sounding thrilled with how things are going with Butler, maybe he was the problem. Either the Wolves have been way more competitive without him and we can bank on a max effort here from Minnesota against the defending champs. I also love that the Wolves are going to be fresh, as this is just their 2nd game in the last 5 days. Give me Minnesota +10! |
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12-10-18 | Kings v. Bulls +125 | 108-89 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA MONEY LINE KNOCKOUT (Bulls +125) I'll take my chances here with Chicago bouncing back with a win at home against the Kings off that ugly loss to the Celtics. The Bulls' players hashed it out with their head coach after that loss and I expect this team to be 100% locked in for this game. I like this Kings team, but they are playing their 4th straight on the road and 3rd game in the last 4 days. They are headed home after this for much bigger home games against the Wolves (Wed) and Warriors (Fri), so this is one they probably aren't all that invested in. Would be really easy to not take Chicago seriously after watching them lose by 56 points. Give me the Bulls +125! |
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12-08-18 | San Diego State -3 v. California | 83-89 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (San Diego St -3) I know this is going to be a very popular side, but I just can't pass up the value here with the Aztecs at basically pick'em against the Golden Bears. San Diego State is 5-3, but two of those losses were neutral site games against Duke and Iowa State. The other a loss to in-state rival San Diego, which was their last game. I think that will have the Aztecs 100% locked in for this game against a Cal team that simply isn't very good. The Golden Bears have just 2 wins on the season and have lost 4 of their last 5, including a 19-point home loss to San Francisco. Give me San Diego State -3! |
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12-08-18 | Wolves v. Blazers -2 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Blazers -2) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Blazers as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Timberwolves. These two teams have played twice already and the home team has dominated both times. Portland won 111-81 at home on Nov. 4th and Minnesota won 112-96 at home on Nov. 16. I know it's been a tough stretch for the Blazers of late, but they snapped a 3-game skid with a 22-point win at home over the Suns and for as good as the Wolves have been playing, a lot of that success has come at home (10 of last 12 at home). Minnesota is just 2-8 on the road and those 2 wins are against the Nets and Cavs. Give me the Blazers -2! |
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12-08-18 | Celtics v. Bulls +8 | 133-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Bulls +8) I've been on the Bulls in each of their last two games and they covered both. Last night they won 114-112 as a 8.5-point home dog and I wouldn't be shocked if they pulled off another upset win tonight against Boston. I like the energy and focus I've seen from Chicago since they fired Hoiberg and it definitely helps they got back their best player in Lauri Markkanen. They could potentially be getting back to more key pieces tonight in Kris Dunn and Bobby Portis, both of which are listed as questionable. Either way I expect them to keep this close. Give me the Bulls +8! |
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12-08-18 | Arkansas State v. Minnesota -19.5 | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Minnesota -19.5) I'll take my chances here with the Gophers winning here at home by 20+ against Arkansas State. I just don't think this is a big enough spread for the gap in talent here. Minnesota is still flying under the radar. I mean they were just a 4-point home dog to Nebraska (won 85-78). Their only two losses are true road games against BC and Ohio State. The Red Wolves are 3-5 with a 1-5 record on the road, where they have been outscored by 15.3 ppg in their 4 losses. It's not like they have been playing a bunch of Power 5 teams. They lost by 21 at Abilene Christian, 24 at Grand Canyon and 12 at Lehigh. Give me the Gophers -19.5! |
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12-07-18 | Warriors +1 v. Bucks | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Warriors +1) I'll take my chances here with OKC getting some revenge against the Bucks. Milwaukee went into Golden State in early November and laid it on the Warriors 134-111. That's one you don't forget and I think the Warriors will come out with an edge we haven't seen in a lot of their games this season, as the regular-season just doesn't really matter to them anymore. Warriors just routed the Cavs 129-105 and are a dominant 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games after a blowout win by 20 or more points. Give me Golden State +1! |
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12-07-18 | Thunder v. Bulls +9 | Top | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls +9) I'll gladly take my chances here with Chicago as a near double-digit dog at home against OKC. Bulls covered their first game after firing Hoiberg and I expect them to really play hard for a good stretch here. They also just recently got back their best player in Lauri Markkanen. Thunder have won 4 straight, but were lucky to escape with a  114-112 win at Brooklyn (trailed by 23). This is the final game of their road trip before a much-needed 2 day break. I think OKC is flat here and will really struggle to match the intensity of the Bulls. Give me Chicago +9! |
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12-07-18 | Nuggets v. Hornets +1.5 | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets +1.5)Â I like the value here with Charlotte as a home dog against the Nuggets. Hornets are 8-5 at home, outscoring opponents by 7.5 ppg and I'm expecting a big time effort here from Charlotte after losing 3 straight. Denver has won 7 in a row and it's got them overvalued in this one. Nuggets are playing their 4th straight on the road and their 8th road game in their last 10 games overall. They are still without Will Barton and Gary Harris is questionable to play. I just think Charlotte is going to want this one a lot more. Give me the Hornets +1.5Â |
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12-06-18 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 216 | Top | 91-118 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 216) I'll take my chances here with the OVER 216 in tonight's NBA action that has the Rockets visiting the Jazz. Utah is coming off a game where they set a new franchise record with 20 made 3-pointers and shot 61% from the field on their way to putting up a 139 points against the Spurs. Houston's defense has been slipping of late, but the offense has also picked up and I just don't think it's asking a lot for these two to hit at least 220. OVER is 28-15 in Utah's last 43 off a win by 15 or more and 8-1 in their 9 home games this season. Give me the OVER 216! |
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12-06-18 | Iowa State v. Iowa +2.5 | 84-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Iowa +2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a home dog against the Cyclones. Iowa got off to that impressive 6-0 start, but then couldn't buy a basket in back-to-back losses against Wisconsin and Michigan State. This is still the same team that knocked off Oregon and UConn in back-to-back games and I'm willing to bet they find their shot here at home against their in-state rivals, as they are going to be extremely motivated here knowing they aren't the favorite on their home court. Give me the Hawkeyes +2.5! |
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12-05-18 | Mavs v. Pelicans -6 | 106-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Pelicans -6) I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans covering the spread at home against the Mavs. I've really been impressed with Dallas so far this season, but I just think this is a tough spot for them to play well. The Mavs will be on no rest, as they played last night at home against the Blazers It's also their 3rd game in the last 4 days. Pelicans are going to be highly-motivated off a rare home loss to the Clippers, as New Orleans owns a 9-3 home record. Speaking of home/away splits, the Mavs are 10-2 at home compared to 2-8 on the road. Give me the Pelicans -6! |
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12-05-18 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 102-113 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (76ers +6.5) I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a decently priced road dog against the Raptors. I just think Toronto is a bit overvalued right now by the books from their strong start. Raptors have failed to cover each of their last 3 games and just lost at home to Nuggets as a similar priced 7-point favorite. 76ers have been outstanding since acquiring Jimmy Butler and are 8-1 in their last 9 and have covered 3 straight. They will be out for revenge here, as they got embarrassed by 17-points at Toronto way back on Oct. 30th. 76ers are a solid 67-45 ATS in their last 112 when revenging a loss and 23-11 in their last 34 when playing on 2 days of rest. Give me Philadelphia +6.5! |
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12-05-18 | Ohio State -5 v. Illinois | Top | 77-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH (Ohio St -5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Ohio State covering what I think is a really short number against the Fighting Illini. While this is pretty much a home game for Illinois, it's not on their home court, as they will tip this thing off at the United Center. While it will feel like a home game with all the Illinois fans, it's just not the same and the Fighting Illini haven't won a game that's not been on their home court. Ohio State is a perfect 2-0 on the road and playing with a ton of confidence after throttling Minnesota at home 79-59 on Sunday. I just don't think Illinois has the fire-power to keep this close. Give me the Buckeyes -5! |
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12-04-18 | West Virginia v. Florida -2 | Top | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Florida -2) I'll gladly take the Gators here to cover the short spread against West Virginia. I'm way down on the Mountaineers this year, as I think they lost some key pieces and it's a lot harder for them to just reload with their style of play. As for Florida, I think a lot of people see that ugly 21-point loss to Florida State and think this team isn't that good. Maybe they aren't as good as we thought, but they should have zero problem here beating West Virginia on a neutral court. Give me the Gators -2! |
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12-04-18 | Bulls +8.5 v. Pacers | 90-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Bulls +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Chicago as a pretty big dog against the Pacers, who are still without their All-Star in Oladipo. Bulls fired head coach Fred Hoiberg yesterday and we almost always see a big uptick in effort and motivation with teams that undergo a coaching change. On top of that, Chicago is a team that should only get better with the return of Lauri Markkanen to the lineup, who is arguably their best player. Wouldn't be shocked at all if the Bulls won this game outright. Give me Chicago +8.5! |
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12-04-18 | Indiana v. Penn State -2.5 | 64-62 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Penn St -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions to cover the small spread at home against the Hoosiers. I think this line is an early gift from the books, as I think we are getting a great number with an underrated Penn State team taking on an overrated Indiana team. It's really hard to win on the road in the Big Ten and I just don't think the Hoosiers have the makeup of a team that's going to win a lot of road games in conference play. Give me the Nittany Lions -2.5! |
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12-03-18 | Rockets -1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 91-103 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Houston, who I think is a team that will be worth backing going forward, as long as they can stay healthy. The Rockets are as healthy as they have been all season and a lot of people overlook that they have only had Harden and Paul in the lineup together for 14 of their 22 games. They are 10-4 when both play and 1-7 without them. Minnesota has played better than most expected since trading away Jimmy Butler, as they are 7-3 without him. However, I think a lot of that is just them trying harder and that can only last so long. They just lost at home to Boston by 9 and gave up 118 in the process. Rockets are clicking offensively and I just think they are the far superior team. Give me Houston -1.5! |
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12-03-18 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan State | 68-90 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Iowa +11) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a double-digit dog against the Spartans. I really like this Iowa team. While they don't have any real superstars, they are deep and experienced with some quality freshmen added to the mix. They let one get away at home against Wisconsin, but easily could have won despite only shooting 39% from the field. This team has already won big games against Oregon and UConn, beating both without much problem. It's hard to win at Michigan State, but I think this Iowa team is fully capable of pulling off the upset and should have no problem keeping this within the number. Give me Iowa +11! |
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12-01-18 | Pacers v. Kings +1.5 | 110-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings +1.5) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento at basically a pick'em at home against the Pacers. I just think this is a really tough spot for Indiana, who is without Oladipo and may be missing big man Domantas Sabonis. Not to mention it's the last stop on their 4-game west coast trip that started Monday with a game in Utah. Kings are playing their 3rd straight at home and just 3rd game game in the last week. I've liked what I've seen from this Sacramento team and I think they will be the more motivated side in this one. Give me the Kings +1.5! |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern v. Indiana -7 | 66-68 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS ANNIHILATOR (Indiana -7) I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers laying single-digits at home against the Wildcats. I think this is a great spot to jump on Indiana, who has failed to cover 4 straight and fresh off an ugly showing at Duke. I was on the Blue Devils in that win over the Hoosiers and the last time I played on Indiana was their 96-73 win over Marquette at home, which I feel is almost an identical scenario to what we have here. Northwestern is 6-1 but that's more of the schedule being favorable than them being good. This is a team picked by many to finish in the basement of the Big Ten and this will be the first time all season they are a dog. It's also their first true road game and one of the more difficult places to play. Give me the Hoosiers -7! |
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11-30-18 | Mavs +3.5 v. Lakers | 103-114 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Mavs +3.5) The Mavs appear to have hit the jackpot in rookie Luka Donic. He's leading the team in scoring at 19.1 ppg and shooting almost 40% from deep. He's also averaging 6.5 rpg and 4.2 apg. He gives Dallas a sneaky good starting 5 with him Harrison Barnes, Wesley Matthews, Dennis Smith Jr. and DeAndre Jordan. Let's also not forget, they have one of the best head coaches in the league in Rick Carlisle. They have won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8 and are going to bring their 'A' game to LA against LeBron and the Lakers. Speaking of LA, I was on and cashed with the Lakers last night, but now it's time to fade them in the second game of a back-to-back. This will be only the second game in the last six days for Dallas. Give me the Mavs +3.5! |
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11-30-18 | Oklahoma State v. Minnesota -3.5 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Minnesota -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Gophers, as I absolutely love them at this price on their home court. I've been on Minnesota a lot early on, as I think they are flying under the radar in 2018 after injuries really ruined their season a year ago. They got a good head coach in Richard Pitino and these midwest teams have huge home court advantages. I think Oklahoma St is getting a lot of love for a recent blowout win over LSU, but they shot the lights out of the gym at 59%. If that happens were screwed, but rarely do teams shoot that well in an opposing teams arena and there's no better example of that than their first true road game, which was also their season opener. Cowboys lost outright 66-64 at Charlotte as a 13-point favorite (shot 40%). Give me the Gophers -3.5! |
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11-29-18 | Pacers v. Lakers -4.5 | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
40* PACERS/LAKERS NBA BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Lakers -4.5) I'll gladly back the Lakers at home at this price. I absolutely love this spot for LA, as they come in having lost 2 straight and in the most recent game they got their butts whooped in a 117-85 loss at Denver. Clearly the entire team played bad, but it was easily the worst game for LeBron James since coming to LA and I'm willing to bet the best basketball player on the planet will make sure he doesn't play that poorly in back-to-back games. Pacers are without their star in Oladipo and I just don't see Indiana being able to match the intensity of LA, as this is their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Give me the Lakers -4.5! |
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11-29-18 | Clippers v. Kings +3 | 133-121 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
40* KINGS/CLIPPERS NBA TNT NO-BRAINER (Kings +3) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a small home dog against the Clippers. Taking the points for insurance but I fully expect the Kings to win this one outright. I've really been impressed with the improvements Sacramento has made from last year to this season. They got a nice mix of young guys that not just love basketball but want to win and I think they come out locked and loaded for this prime time showdown on TNT against a Clippers team that is off to a surprising start of their own. I just LAC has to be feeling themselves a bit and this is not an ideal spot playing on no rest after hosting the Suns on Wednesday. While they are on no rest, Sacrament has going to be playing on 3 days rest. Give me the Kings +3! |
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11-28-18 | Purdue v. Florida State -4.5 | 72-73 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (FSU -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Seminoles as a short home favorite against the Boilermakers. Both these teams come into this one at 5-1, but the eye test for me is that FSU is the far superior team and should have no problem here winning by at least 7-points at home. Purdue lost a lot from last year and while they got one of the best players in the Big Ten in Carsen Edwards, he's got to play exceptional for this team to just have a fighting chance. I think it's going to make it really hard for the Boilermakers to be competitive on the road against a top tier team like FSU. Give me the Seminoles -4.5! |
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11-28-18 | Spurs v. Wolves -4.5 | 89-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wolves -4.5)Â I'll take my chances here with Minnesota at home against the Spurs. It doesn't make sense to a lot of people that the T-Wovles can be better after trading away Jimmy Butler, but the results speak for themselves. Minnesota is 6-2 in their last 8 and all 6 wins have come by at least 7 points. The defense has been outstanding. During this 8-game stretch they have only allowed one team to shoot better than 43% from the field. I'm not sure why the Spurs are getting as much love as they are, especially on the road. San Antonio is a mere 4-8 in their last 12 games and just 4-7 on the road this season. Give me the Timberwolves -4.5! |
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11-28-18 | Wizards v. Pelicans -6 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -6) I'll take my chances here with New Orleans winning at home by at least 7 points against the Wizards, as I think the Pelicans easily cash in a victory here by double-digits. This is a big revenge spot for New Orleans as they just lost by double-digits at Washington lat Saturday. Not to mention they are going to be extremely motivated to snap a 4-game losing streak. They are 8-2 on their home floor, where they are scoring 122 ppg. Washington is 2-7 on the road, where they are giving up 122 ppg. I just don't see the Wizards keeping pace. Give me the Pelicans -6! |
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11-27-18 | Indiana v. Duke -14.5 | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Duke -14.5) I know this line here is probably a couple points high, but I'm laying double-digits with Duke hoping they win by 15. I think the Blue Devils are going to make Indiana look bad and win here by 20+ points. I just think Duke is one of the most talented teams we have seen in a while and if healthy will be the national champs at the end of year. I love taking elite teams like this off a loss, especially the first one and that next game at home. Indiana isn't a bad team and will compete in the Big Ten, but the Blue Devils are on a different level. I think the one game they were super locked in for was the opener against Kentucky and they rolled the Wildcats 118-84. The Hoosiers won't be able to withstand the constant haymakers that Duke throws at them. Give me the Blue Devils -14.5! |
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11-27-18 | Raptors v. Grizzlies +5 | 122-114 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Grizzlies +5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a 5-point home dog, as I think we are getting a solid 5-points in value. I actually like the Grizzlies to win this game outright. Memphis is better than you think and come into this game with a  7-2 home record. They are tormenting teams with their defense, as teams are only averaging 99.1 ppg and shooting 42.8% against them on their home floor. Toronto has started better than most expected, but the books are on to them and really inflating their numbers. They just won by 10 at home against Miami, but failed to cover as a 12-point favorite. Give me the Grizzlies +5! |
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11-27-18 | Boise State -4 v. Drake | Top | 74-83 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Boise St -4) I absolutely love this play. Drake comes in at 3-1 and in my only play involving them this year, I cashed easily on Colorado as a 15-point home favorite. Buffaloes won that game 100-71 and shot a ridiculous 59% from the field. I think the fact that Drake has managed to beat some really bad teams (Buena Vista, Texas State and UMKC), they are getting way too much respect on their home floor. It also helps that Boise State has started out slow at 2-3. Coming off a loss the Broncos will be locked in for this one and should win here by double-digits no problem. Give me Boise State -4! |
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11-26-18 | Minnesota +1 v. Boston College | 56-68 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Minnesota +1) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota to pull out a win on the road against the Tigers. I've cashed in a couple times already on this Gopher team, as I thought they were flying well under the radar after injuries ruined last year's season. Richard Pitino is building something in Minneapolis and this team has started out 5-0 and just won the Vancouver Showcase. Boston College is 4-1 and fresh off a nice upset win over Loyola-Chicago. Sure that's a nice win, but Loyola is getting way too much love early on from what they did last year. Eagles are improved, but still have a ways to go, which is evident by their 76-69 home loss to IUPUI as a 16-point favorite. Give me the Gophers +1! |
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11-26-18 | Bucks v. Hornets +5 | Top | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Hornets +5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Charlotte as a decently priced home dog against the Bucks. Milwaukee has made plenty of headlines with their 14-5 start and the books are definitely making their backers pay a premium. Hornets are 9-2 and really not on anyone's radar, which has them way undervalued at home, where they are 6-3 and outscoring opponents by 11 ppg. Speaking of home/away splits, the Bucks have benefited greatly from playing 12 of their first 19 games at home, as they are just 4-3 on the road compared to 10-2 at home. All we need is for Charlotte to keep it close and I think they win outright. Give me the Hornets +5! |
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11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -3.5 | 104-100 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland as a short home favorite against the Clippers. I just think this price is too good to pass up. The Blazers are a big undervalued right now, as they are just 2-4 in their last 6 and have lost their last 2, but all of these came on the road. Portland has won 4 straight and are 7-2 overall at home this year. Clippers are 8-1 at home, but just 4-5 on the road and 3 of those road wins are against the likes of the Magic, Hawks and Nets. Portland is 24-7 ATS last 31 home games and clippers 0-5 ATS last 5 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the Blazers -3.5! |
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11-23-18 | Baylor v. Ole Miss +130 | 70-78 | Win | 130 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB VEGAS MONEY LINE NO-BRAINER (Ole Miss +130) I'll take my chances here with Ole Miss securing a win against Baylor in the opening round of the Emerald Coast Classic. Baylor has been a solid team under head coach Scott Drew, but this is one season where the Bears don't figure to be all that competitive. Baylor lost a ton from last year's team and a home loss to Texas Southern in the very first game of the season is a very troubling sign for what's to come. I know Ole Miss is also in a bit of a rebuilding mode, but I like the talent and the energy I've seen from this team in the first year under new head coach Kermit Davis, who has a really nice track record. With the spread so low, I'm taking the money line here. Give me the Rebels +130! |
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11-23-18 | Heat v. Bulls UNDER 213.5 | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (UNDER 213.5) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Friday's NBA action that has the Heat visiting the Bulls. This doesn't figure to be a very entertaining game to watch, as we have two offenses that are struggling to score without some key guys on the floor. Miami's offense has gone ice-cold without starting point guard Goran Dragic and even with him they were below-average. Chicago scored 124 on 56.8% shooting last time out, but that was against an awful Suns team. Prior to that the Bulls put up 83 on their home floor against the Raptors and had scored fewer than 100 in 5 of their previous 6. UNDER 8-3 in Bulls last 14 overall and 3-0 in Miami's last 3. BET THE UNDER 213.5! |
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11-22-18 | Auburn v. Arizona UNDER 152 | 73-57 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 152) I just don't think these two teams are going to have enough gas left in the tank to shoot well from the field and play at the tempo needed to eclipse the total here. Auburn played an OT game against Xavier to open the Maui Invitational. Their two studs, Bryce Brown and Jared Harper both played 43 minutes. They then had to lay it all on the line against the talk of college basketball in No. 1 Duke, with Harper and Brown each playing 38 minutes. Arizona had a hard fought win against ISU and then played in a track-meet and lost to Gonzaga 91-74. If both teams were playing on 2-3 days rest I would get this total. Give me the UNDER 152! |
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11-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -2.5 | 104-103 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDS MAKER LINE MISTAKE (Spurs -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Spurs laying this short of a number at home. I get this isn't the same caliber a San Antonio team as previous years, but as long as Popovich is in charge, they are going to be a very difficult team to beat on their home floor. Spurs are 6-2 at home and 2-6 on the road and it's not like they are just beating cupcakes at home. They have home wins over the Warriors, Rockets, Pelicans, Lakers and T-Wolves. Memphis is good and have been playing well, but are getting too much respect here having won and covered 4 straight. Give me the Spurs -2.5! |
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11-21-18 | Nuggets v. Wolves -1 | 103-101 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wolves -1) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota at basically a pick'em at home. It's hard to explain why things didn't work out with the Timberwolves and Jimmy Butler. It feels like their was simply a clash of personalities and the young T-wolves not wanting to turn over the reigns to Butler. Since he's been gone the effort has been outstanding, especially on defense. They did run out of gas last time out in a loss at home to the Grizzlies, but have had two days off to regroup and will be catching a tired and struggling Nuggets team that has lost 6 of 7 and playing their 3rd straight on the road. Give me the Timberwolves -1! |
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11-21-18 | Pistons v. Rockets -9 | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Rockets -9) I'll take my chances here with the surging Rockets at home against what I feel is a pretty overrated Pistons team. It's funny how Houston got rid of the cancer that is Carmelo Anthony and like the flip of a light switch starting playing better. They come in having won and covered 4 straight and those outside shots they weren't hitting early on are falling at a much higher rate. Pistons have won 4 of 5, but 3 of those were against the Magic, Hawks and Cavs. The other a nice road win at Toronto, but they caught the Raptors in a stretch when they weren't playing well. Pistons are the worst shooting team in the league and I'm not buying they can go into Houston and keep this game close with just their defense. Give me the Rockets -9! |
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11-21-18 | Louisville v. Tennessee -8.5 | 81-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Tennessee -8.5) I'll take my chances here with the Volunteers making easy work of the Cardinals. I just think Louisville is such a big name that we are catching value here with Tennessee. It helps that Louisville is 3-0, but wins over Nicholls State, Southern and Vermont are nothing to get excited about. They shot 53% from the field and only beat Vermont by 8-points on their home floor. With all that's gone on, there's a lot of new faces in Louisville and while the future is bright under Chris Mack, there's going to be some growing paints this season. The Volunteers are absolutely loaded and just beat Georgia Tech at home by 13, despite shooting 39.6% from the field. That game was also without Lamonte Turner, who is expected back in the lineup today after missing the previous 3. Give me Tennessee -8.5! |
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11-20-18 | Auburn v. Duke -10 | 72-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Duke -10) I'll take my chances here with the Blue Devils laying just 10-points against the Tigers. I get that Auburn is 4-0 and ranked No. 8 in the country, but I just think this Duke team is a class above the rest. That was a pretty good San Diego State team they just annihilated yesterday and note that while they won comfortably and got to rest some starters, Auburn was playing in an OT game against Xavier, where their two studs, Brown and Harper, each played 43 minutes. I just don't see the Tigers having the energy to keep pace with this Duke attack. Give me the Blue Devils -10! |
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11-20-18 | Raptors v. Magic +7 | 93-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +7) I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a decent priced home dog against the Raptors. I get Toronto is a great team and snapped their 3-game losing streak with a blowout win at the Bulls, but this is still a big number here for them to be laying against a Magic team that has been ballin of late. Orlando has won 7 of their last 9, going 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6. That includes wins at home over the 76ers and Lakers in their last 3. I think they can at least keep this within the number. Give me the Magic +7! |
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11-20-18 | Cornell v. Connecticut -15 | Top | 74-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UConn -15) I'll take my chances here with UConn laying it on Cornell at home tonight. The Huskies laid an egg in the 2nd game of a back-to-back against Iowa after their big win over Syracuse. That's a really good Hawkeyes team that a lot of people don't know about. I think they bounce back here in a big way against a Cornell team that has lost by double-digits at home to the likes of Colgate and Delaware. Should be pretty easy for the Huskies to win here by at least 20. Give me UConn -15! |
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11-19-18 | Clippers v. Hawks +8.5 | 127-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Hawks +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a decently priced home dog against the Clippers. LA comes in having won 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 and are way overvalued because of it. Not to mention Atlanta is getting zero love with them having lost 7 straight and being just 1-11 in their last 12 overall. However, the Hawks have covered 3 of their last 4 and this is the most they will have caught on their home floor. LA is 7-1 at home and just 3-4 on the road. Also Atlanta has had to play 10 of their first 16 on the road, so that's another thing that has them undervalued. Give me the Hawks +8.5! |
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11-19-18 | Nebraska -14 v. Missouri State | Top | 85-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nebraska -14) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cornhuskers to cash in an easy win and cover against the Bears. Missouri State comes in at 3-0, which I think is definitely keeping the number here lower than it should be, but they haven't played anyone. Bears are picked to finish near the basement of the Missouri Valley and have not been less than a 7-point favorite, so that tells you the level of talent they have been playing. Nebraska is 3-0 and while they have a couple of cupcake wins, they also won by 23 as a mere 8-point favorite against Seton Hall. I think everyone calling last year's surprise 4th place finish in the Big Ten a fluke and them getting snubbed on the NCAA Tournament, has this team playing with a big chip on their shoulder this year. Give me Nebraska -14! |
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11-16-18 | Kings +7 v. Grizzlies | 104-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA UNDERDOG ATS MASSACRE (Kings +7) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento at this price. If you haven't had a chance to check out this Kings team, I really suggest doing so. This is not your bottom feeder of the West anymore. Sacramento has stockpiled a lot of young talent and some of their young guys are starting to blossom into stars. There also seems to be a very strong chemistry between the group. Right now they would be the No. 8 seed and for them to be in the conversation 14 games, tells you how good they are playing. Memphis has been playing well also and that's a team a lot of people were high on coming in. I just feel the Grizzlies are getting too much love here against a team they could easily lose to. Give me the Kings +7! |
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11-16-18 | The Citadel v. Texas OVER 164.5 | 69-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 164.5) I'll take my chances with the OVER in this non-conference clash. The Citadel are averaging 42 3-point attempts per game and have hit 40.5% of them. They played a game against Clemson earlier that saw 180 points and I think that's where we are headed here. I certainly think they get to 170. Texas is going to flirt with the century mark in this one and after a couple of tough nights offensively, I think they will be excited for the opportunity. Sure a game against UNC is on deck, but that's not until next week. Note that Clemson score 100 on the Citadel and allowed the Bulldogs to score 80. The Tigers won their next two games 71-51 and 74-59. I think those two games show you just how different a pace and style The Citadel play with. Give me the OVER 164.5! |
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11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics -2 | Top | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2) I'll take my chances here with Boston at basically a pick'em at home. I just think it's too good a price to pass up. Maybe the Warriors are the only team I wouldn't be overly confident with the Celtics in this spot. The only potential guy they won't have is Marcus Morris (questionable) and that's not a big loss with the depth this team has. We are also getting a refreshed Boston team that's playing just their 2nd game in the last 5 days. Definitely one they will be excited for, given they lost at Toronto earlier this year. Raptors have lost back-to-back since that strong start, both at home and both as 9.5-point favorites. I think this is a great time to fade them, especially on the road. Give me the Celtics -2! |
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11-15-18 | Oregon v. Iowa OVER 149 | 69-77 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 149) I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER here. Iowa pretty much brought back their entire nucleus from last year and this was a team that didn't shy away from high scoring games. Iowa was 3rd in the Big 10 and 48th nationally at 79.7 ppg. They were also dead last in the Big 10 and 317th nationally, giving up 78.7 ppg. They have put up 85 ppg over their first 2 and will be playing an Oregon team that has scored 80+ in each of their first 2. Get ready for a  track meet in New York on the hardwood. Give me the OVER 149! |
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11-14-18 | Blazers +3 v. Lakers | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
50* NBA LATE NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH (Blazers +3)Â I'll gladly take my chances here with Portland as a dog against LeBron James and the Lakers. The Blazers are simply the better team and should not be a dog in this fight. LA is and will continue to be a huge public play with James and are definitely going to be with them having won 3 straight and 5 of 6. The thing is, most of these wins have come against bad teams and 4 of the 5 have come by 4-points or less, which means this could easily be a completely different story. Portland is 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS on the road, where they are outscoring teams by 8.5 ppg. Lakers are 4-3 SU and 1-6 ATS at home where they are getting outscored by 1.6 ppg. Give me the Blazers +3! |
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11-14-18 | Knicks +9 v. Thunder | 103-128 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA UNDERDOG ATS SHOCKER (Knicks +9) I'll take my chances here with New York as a near double-digit dog against the Thunder. I just think this is a good spot to go against OKC with Westbrook not available. While they won at home over the Suns last time out, they lost by 15 the previous game at Dallas. New York isn't a good team, but there not horrible and I like them to give the Thunder a scare tonight. OKC just 2-5 ATS last 7 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and NY 4-1 ATS last 5 after a double-digit loss at home. Give me the Knicks +9! |
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11-14-18 | Michigan v. Villanova UNDER 138 | 73-46 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 138) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in tonight's rematch of last year's championship game. These two only combined for 141 points in the title game last year and both suffered some pretty massive losses on the offensive side. Villanova parted ways with Brunson (18.9 ppg), Bridges (17.7 ppg), DiVincenzo (13.4 ppg) and Spellman (10.9 ppg), while Michigan lost Wagner (14.6 ppg), Abdur-Rahkman (12.9 ppg and Robinson (9.2 ppg). Don't get me wrong both teams reloaded and will be a force this season, but I expect defense to be the deciding factor in this one. Give me the UNDER 138! |
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11-13-18 | Rockets v. Nuggets -4 | Top | 109-99 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Nuggets -4) I'll gladly take my chances here with Denver as a short home favorite. The Nuggets have lost 3 straight since their impressive 9-1 start and failed to cover in all 3, including a 7-point loss at home to Milwaukee last time out. The other two were two-point losses in tough spots to Memphis and Brooklyn. I think this is a get right game for Denver and I've got to see more than one double-digit win at home over the Pacers to believe the Rockets are back to what they had been. I just think Houston is getting way too much respect here. Give me the Nuggets -4! |
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11-13-18 | Drake v. Colorado -14.5 | 71-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Colorado -14.5) I'll take my chances here with the Buffaloes at home against Drake, a I think Colorado wins this thing by 20+ rather easily. Drake made a surprising turnaround last year under first-year head coach Niko Medved, but he bolted for Colorado State. Not only did they lose the guy that made them respectable, but that team was built around 5 seniors. There's only two guys back from last year's team that scored for Drake in any game. Buffaloes got a ton of talent a rising star in the Pac-12 in sophomore McKinley Wright. Give me Colorado -14.5! |
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11-12-18 | Utah v. Minnesota -8 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Minnesota -8) I'll take my chances here with the Gophers to win at home by at least double-digits against the Utes. I cashed in on Minnesota -14.5 in their season opening 104-76 victory against Nebraska-Omaha. I mentioned in that writeup how underrated this Gophers team is because of all the injuries that derailed the 2nd half of their season last year. This team is way better than people think. As for Utah, they lost three double-digit scorers and 4 of their top six scorers from last season. They went more than 9 minutes without scoring in the 2nd half of their mere 14-point win over Maine. The same Maine team that lost by 43 to San Francisco. Give me the Gophers -8! |
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11-12-18 | Mavs v. Bulls -1 | 103-98 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Bulls -1) I'll take my chances here with Chicago at basically a pick'em at home against the Mavs. The Bulls don't get a lot of publicity, but they are a team I think you have to keep an eye on, especially once they get back some of these key guys from injury. Right now they are riding the play of Zach LaVIne, who has scored 20 or more in every game. He's getting plenty of help from Jabari Parker and rookie Wendall Carter Jr. and most recently Ryan Arcidiacono, who had 15 points in in his 1st career start and just plays with an infectious style. Mavs won't have second leading scorer Wesley Matthews and start rookie Luka Donic is questionable to play. Dallas comes in off a nice home win over the Thunder, but have not won a game on the road this season and I don't see that changing tonight. Give me the Bulls -1! |
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11-09-18 | Wizards -3 v. Magic | 108-117 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards -3) I'll take my chances here with Washington deciding to act like it's no longer the preseason and get a much-needed win over a bad Magic team. Wizards have done this before. Couple years ago they started 2-8 and ended up with a Division title and 49 wins. It's not so much that they don't have the talent, but the effort just hasn't been there. They get a big win over the Knicks at home and come out flat the next game in an eventual 19 point loss at Dallas. Who knows what Orlando is doing, the bench had to be called out for not caring and I could see those same immature kids looking ahead to their flight to the Big Apple, as they play the Knicks in NY on Sunday. Wizards defense hasn't been good, but I expect a big effort and it helps the Magic are one of the worst offensive teams in the league. Give me Washington -3! |
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11-09-18 | Arkansas v. Texas -6 | 71-73 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Texas -6) I'll take my chances here with the Longhorns laying what I feel is a favorable number against the Razorbacks. Texas might not have the NBA big guy to lean on like they have the last two seasons with Jarrett Allen and Mo Bamba, but I think the roster as a whole is the best of the Shaka Smart era. I think they are very talented an, have a couple of senior leaders who are starters and depth across the board. Arkansas is coming off a 23-12 season, but are likely in rebuilding mode after losing 4 starters, including the dynamic duo of Jaylen Barford and Daryl Macon (34.7 ppg -combined). I also like the edge Texas has here having already played a game, while this is the season opener for the Razorbacks. Give me the Longhorns -6! |
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11-08-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -5 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -5) I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small home favorite against the Clippers tonight. The Blazers are one of those teams that despite how well they are playing, they never seem to get that much love. They had the 3rd best record in the West last year and yet were not really talked about in the offseason. They have started out 8-3 and this is more than a fair price to back them at home against a Clippers team that just lost a key piece in Avery Bradley. Last time out the Blazers won by 15 at home against the Bucks, which came just two days after they won by 30 at home over the Timberwolves. Give me Portland -5! |
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11-08-18 | Morehead State v. Connecticut -11 | 70-80 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (UConn -11) I'll take my chances here with the Huskies at this price against a team like Morehead State on their home floor. I get that Morehead State returns all 5 starters and UConn is coming off a bad season and just made a big coaching change. It doesn't change the fact that the Huskies are the far superior team and should win here by 20-plus points. I think UConn made a massive upgrade at head coach bringing in Dan Hurley to replace Kevin Ollie. He takes over at team that might have the best player in the AAC in Jalen Adams. While I like teams with experience early, Morehead State lost by 52 to Xavier, 33 to Virginia Tech and 16 to Butler. They will be improved, but more of that will come inside conference play. Give me UConn -11! |
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11-07-18 | Wolves v. Lakers -5 | Top | 110-114 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA LATE NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH (Lakers -5) I'll take my chances here with the Lakers as a short home favorite. You got to pick your spots backing LA, as the books are going to make you pay a hefty price with all the public action on them. I think this is one of those spots. At 3-7 the Lakers can't afford to lose these kind of games at home. The west is too good to dig yourself out of a big hole. I just don't see LeBron letting his team lose in this spot and we know they can hang with the T-Wolves (lost by just 4 in Minnesota). Give the Lakers -5! |
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11-07-18 | 76ers v. Pacers -2.5 | 100-94 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS MASSACRE (Pacers -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a small home favorite. Not many times I won't be willing to lay a short number with Indiana at home. There's just some teams that play drastically better at home than they do on the road and I think the Pacers are definitely one of them. I know they are just 3-2 at home, but they lost to two really good teams in Portland and Houston. The game against Portland was sandwiched around 5 road games and the loss to the Rockets came 2 days after they upset Boston at home on a game-winner. I expect them to beat the 76ers here and wouldn't be shocked if they won going away, as the 76ers are 0-5 and getting outscored by 15 ppg on the road. Give me the Pacers -2.5! |
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11-06-18 | Nets v. Suns +1 | Top | 104-82 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Suns +1) I'll take my chances here with Phoenix to simply win the game at home against the Nets. It's been a tough start to the season for the Suns, who are just 2-7, but it's important to note that their best player, Devin Booker missed 3 games and they lost all 3. The 4 losses with Booker have come against the Raptors, Lakers, Warriors and Nuggets. I just think this team is better than they are getting credit for and simply shouldn't be a home dog to Brooklyn, who is a bottom feeder in the east and just 1-4 in their 5 road games this season. Give me Phoenix +1! |
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11-06-18 | Wizards v. Mavs OVER 225.5 | 100-119 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 225.5)Â I'll take my chances here with the OVER 225.5 in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Mavericks hosting the Wizards. Washington comes in off a much-needed 108-95 win over the Knicks and based on the score it looks like the defense played great, but I just feel it was more of New York's lack of offense and a bad night shooting. Wizards are still giving up 120.7 ppg on the season, including a ridiculous 125.4 ppg on the road. Dallas is a very similar team to Washington. They are a capable offensive team at 110.8 ppg (116.2 ppg at home) and not very good on defense. Mavs are allowing 116.8 ppg and opposing teams are shooting 50% from the field. Give me the OVER 225.5! |
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11-06-18 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Minnesota -14.5 | 76-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OPENING NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Minnesota -14.5)Â I'll take my chances here with Minnesota coming out in their season-opener and laying it on the Mavericks. The Gophers ended up finishing last season at 15-17 and I think it has them way undervalued here to start the new season. This team actually started out the year 13-3 before injuries and suspensions resulted in 4 of their top 6 players unavailable. They got a bunch of guys coming back and keep an eye on true freshman Daneil Oturu. As for Omaha, they got 3 starters back from a team that went 9-22 last year and were awful on the defensive side of the ball. I just don't see them keeping this within 20 points on the road. Give me the Gophers -14.5! Â |
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11-05-18 | Celtics v. Nuggets -2 | Top | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -2) I'll take my chances here with the Nuggets laying a short number at home against the Celtics. Boston is a big public team and the public will have a hard time not taking them at what is essentially a pick'em. Denver is 8-1 and a perfect 5-0 record at home. They enter having won 4 straight and have already knocked off the Warriors, Pelicans and Jazz on their home floor. They aren't going to be the least bit intimidated by Boston. If anything, they will have them completely locked in. Celtics lost on a last-second 3-pointer at Indiana because Irving missed a layup that would have sealed it. Tough one to bounce back from. Give me the Nuggets -2! |
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11-05-18 | Cavs v. Magic -4.5 | 100-102 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT  (Magic -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Orlando laying a short number at home against the Cavs. This Cleveland team is a complete mess right now and J.R. Smith was quoted saying "Team is in a very weird place right now." That's not the sign of a team you want to be backing as a small road dog. I know Orlando has struggled, but the schedule hasn't been kind and they are fresh off a big 117-110 road win over the Spurs yesterday. I think they build off that performance and take out Cleveland without much problem. Take the Magic -4.5! |
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11-02-18 | Knicks v. Mavs -6 | 118-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Mavs -6) I'll take my chances here with Dallas winning at home in convincing fashion over the Knicks. While these two teams come in with identical 2-6 records, I've been way more impressed with what I've seen from the Mavs than I have New York. The Knicks two wins, both came at home (0-3 away from home) against the Nets and Hawks. Last time they played outside of Madison Square Garden was over a week ago (10/24) at Miami and they lost 110-87 as a 8-point dog. Both of the Mavs wins have come at home and I don't see the Knicks being able to keep pace offensively. Give me Dallas -6! |
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11-02-18 | Clippers v. Magic +3 | 120-95 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS SHOCKER (Magic +3) I think this is a great spot here to jump on Orlando and this line definitely suggests the books believe the Magic are going to win this game. No way the public is taking Orlando at anything close to a pick'em against a team like the Clippers. The Magic are just 2-5 overall and have lost 3 straight, including a 8-point loss to the Kings at home last time out. Thing is, we are going to get a big effort here from Orlando and they are catching Los Angeles at the right time. The Clippers are coming off two huge road games against the Thunder (Tuesday) and 76ers (last night). This is their 5th road game in the last 6 overall. I think they are more interested in getting on the plane to head back home than to play this game. Give me the Magic +3! |
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11-01-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -3 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Celtics -3) I'll take my chances here with Boston as a short home favorite against the Bucks. I just think this is too good a price to pass up on the Celtics at home, against maybe any team outside of Golden State. Even then, I would probably still take them. Just feels like the Bucks are getting a little too much love from their perfect 7-0 start to the season. Ending their winning streak will be some nice added incentive for Boston. Give me the Celtics -3! |
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10-31-18 | Pistons v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 119-120 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Nets -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn at basically a pick'em at home against the Pistons. Tough spot here for Detroit coming off a hard fought loss at Boston last night, a game they really wanted after losing at home to the Celtics the previous time out. I just think they will struggle to find the energy to keep pace with what figures to be a very hungry Nets team that will be looking to snap a 3-game skid and get revenge from a 3-point loss at Detroit to start the season. Brooklyn is just 2-5, but could easily by 5-2, as they have 3 losses by 6-points or less. Pistons are only 5-19 ATS in their last 24 road games with a line of +3 to -3 and underdogs off a close road loss by 3 points or less who won between 45-55% of their games the previous season are just 4-25 (14%) ATS since 1996. Give me the Nets -2.5! |
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10-30-18 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 112-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the 76ers catching 6.5-points against a Raptors team that is coming off their first loss of the season, as they fell 124-109 at Milwaukee last night. While Toronto was in a dogfight against the Greek Freak and company, Philadelphia was making easy work of the Hawks at home. So while both teams are playing on no rest, the 76ers should be the fresher of the two. Toronto could also be without two key players here, as Anunoby and VanVleet are both listed as questionable. Give me the 76ers +6.5! |
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10-30-18 | Heat +4 v. Hornets | 113-125 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat +4) I'll take my chances here with Miami as a dog in a rematch against the Hornets. These two teams played 10 days ago in Miami, which the Hornets won 113-112 thanks to a questionable call in the last second of regulation. No way have the Heat forgot about that loss and I think they are going to come out with a chip on their shoulder in this one. Miami has gotten some guys back from injury they didn't have out of the gates and I'm not all that concerned with them playing on no rest this early in the season, especially given how pissed off they are going to be having just lost by double-digits at home to the Kings. Give me the Heat +4! |
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10-29-18 | Hawks v. 76ers OVER 230 | 92-113 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 230) I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Monday's NBA action between the 76ers and Hawks. Atlanta leads the NBA early on in pace of play and Philadelphia isn't too far behind, as they have the 8th fastest pace of play. I think the 76ers will enjoy the up-tempo game and I don't see them being all that interested in locking down defensively against an Atlanta team that simply isn't very good, especially with a big road game at Toronto on deck tomorrow. OVER is a perfect 3-0 in the Hawks 3 road games and the averaging score in those games has been 241.7. All we need is for them to get to 231. Give me the OVER 230! |
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10-29-18 | Blazers v. Pacers -3.5 | Top | 103-93 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pacers laying a short number at home against the Blazers. Indiana is a really tough team to beat on their home floor and they have started out the new season 2-0 at home with convincing wins in both. They won 111-83 as a 7.5-point favorite against Grizzlies and 132-112 as a 8-point favorite against the Nets. Portland is a good team, but they are playing their 3rd straight on the road and have a much bigger game on deck tomorrow against a Western Conference rival in Houston. Give me the Pacers -3.5! |
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10-26-18 | Nets v. Pelicans -9.5 | Top | 115-117 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -9.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans to win at home by at least double-digits against the Nets. New Orleans has come out of the gates playing exceptional basketball and even a bad night shooting couldn't slow them down. After shooting 53% at Houston in their opener and 59% at home against the Kings, the Pelicans shot just 43% at home agains the Clippers. They still managed to score 116 points and covered as a 5.5-point favorite. Brooklyn's defense has been decent to start the new season, but a lot of that is the schedule. They gave up 132 points and 55.4% shooting at Indiana a couple games back and I just don't see them being able to slow down this Pelicans attack on the road. Give me New Orleans -9.5! |
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10-24-18 | Grizzlies v. Kings OVER 219 | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 219) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Kings and Grizzlies combining for at least 220 points. I think we are getting value here with Memphis coming off a dreadfully low-scoring game in their 92-84 win at Utah. Kings have combined for at least 238 points in all 4 games and have shot at least 50% from the field in every game. They are playing in the 2nd of a back-to-back, but this is a very young team and it's really early in the season, so I don't think it will effect their play at all. Opposing teams are shooting 51.5% against Sacramento, so Memphis will have no trouble getting their offense going. Give me the OVER 219! |
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10-24-18 | Wolves +8 v. Raptors | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wolves +8) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota keeping this within the number. Toronto is getting way too much respect here due to the fact that they have started out 4-0 and covered 3 straight. This Timberwolves team is fresh off an impressive 10-point win at home over a good Pacers team and the defense finally showed up, holding Indiana to just 91 points and 39.6% shooting. I think they are more than capable of winning this game outright, making them an easy play as a near double-digit dog. Give me the Timberwolves +8! |
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10-24-18 | Mavs v. Hawks OVER 233.5 | 104-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 233.5) I'll take my chances here with the Mavs and Hawks eclipsing this high total of 233.5. These two teams are both awful defensively. Dallas comes in giving up 122 ppg and the Hawks are allowing 122.7 ppg. Atlanta has also made a point of trying to play as fast as they can. They are doing a good job of it, as they lead the league in pace of play. Dallas will have no problem playing up-tempo against this team, as they are well equipped to outscore them. Look for this one to get into the 240s. Give me the OVER 233.5! |
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10-23-18 | Kings v. Nuggets OVER 227.5 | Top | 112-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 227.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 227.5 in Tuesday's NBA action between the Kings and Nuggets. Denver has held each of their first 3 opponents under 100 points, which I believe is keeping this total much lower than it should be. I don't see the defensive effort being there for the Nuggets in a big time sandwich game. Denver is off a home win against the Warriors and have LeBron and the Lakers on deck Thursday night on TNT. Not to mention the Kings are the perfect team to back for the OVER. Sacramento is playing at the fastest pace in the league and are one of the worst in the league in defensive efficiency. Give me the OVER 227.5! |
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10-23-18 | Clippers v. Pelicans -6.5 | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pelicans -6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans laying a relatively short number at home against the Clippers. I've really been impressed with what I've seen from New Orleans early on and think this could be the surprise team of the league this year. The Pelicans have been the most efficient offensive team in the league, averaging 127.7 points/100 possessions and it's not even close. The next best team is the Spurs at 117.6. The Clippers rank 22nd at 104.6 and I just don't think LA has the offensive fire-power to keep this thing within single-digits, especially on the road and coming off that big upset win at home over the Rockets. Give me the Pelicans -6.5! |
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10-22-18 | Bulls v. Mavs OVER 229 | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 229) Scoring is way up this season in the NBA. Last year the average score for an NBA game was 112.4. While it's really early, this year the average combined score is 226.6. Books are trying to increase the number on these totals, but they are struggling to adjust them enough. I don't think the scoring is going anywhere, as teams are putting a major emphasis on pace and 3-point shooting and I'll continue to look to play the OVER with certain teams. Both these teams fall into that category. The average score in Bulls' games this season is 239 points and for Dallas it's 148.5. Chicago is giving up 122.5 ppg and Mavs are allowing 128.5 ppg. Give me the OVER 229! |
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10-22-18 | Pacers v. Wolves OVER 226 | 91-101 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 226) Scoring is way up this season in the NBA. Last year the average score for an NBA game was 112.4. While it's really early, this year the average combined score is 226.6. Books are trying to increase the number on these totals, but they are struggling to adjust them enough. I don't think the scoring is going anywhere, as teams are putting a major emphasis on pace and 3-point shooting and I'll continue to look to play the OVER with certain teams. Minnesota is definitely one of them. The average score in Timberwolves' games this season is 250 points, as they are averaging and giving up 125 ppg. Indiana comes in averaging 115 ppg and are giving up 118 ppg on the road. Give me the OVER 226! |
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10-19-18 | Kings v. Pelicans OVER 232 | 129-149 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 232) I'll take my chances here with the OVER 232 in Friday's NBA showdown between the Kings and Pelicans. Sacramento is expected to be one of the worst teams in the league, but I like the offensive talent they got and with Fox at the point they are going to play up-tempo. I believe that's going to lead to an offensive onslaught tonight. The Pelicans were fantastic offensively in their opener at Houston and if they can do that to the Rockets, I see no reason not to expect more of the same here in their home opener. New Orleans might just be the best team in the west no one is talking about, but that won't last for long. I think they could hit 130 points again tonight, but even if they hit just 120, that should be enough to eclipse this mark. Give me the OVER 232! |
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10-19-18 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -7.5 | Top | 117-131 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -7.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Grizzlies laying single digits at home against the Hawks. I just think the price and the spot is too good to pass up with Memphis. The Grizzlies are coming off a lost season, where injuries really kept them from reaching their full potential. I fully expect this to be one of the most improved teams in the league. I know they didn't look like it in their opener at Indiana, but that's a good Pacers team and everything went Indiana's way, as they shot 57% from the field and Memphis couldn't buy a basket. Atlanta is not good and are going to end up with one of the worst records in the league. I certainly don't see them winning many games on the road and after losing by 19 on the road to the Knicks without Porzingis, Memphis should win here by double-digits easy. Give me the Grizzlies -7.5! |
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10-18-18 | Heat v. Wizards -5 | 113-112 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wizards -5) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards laying a short number at home against the Heat. This is a really tough spot for Miami, who opened up their season last night in Orlando. The Heat rallied from a double-digit deficit late, but ended up losing 101-104. Miami is short-handed right now, as James Johnson, Wayne Ellington, Justice Winslow and Dion Waiters are all out with injuries. Players don't quite have their legs under them this early in the season and I just think they are going to have a tough time hanging with Washington in the second game of a back-to-back set on the road, especially with the way John Wall can push the pace offensively for the Wizards. Give me Washington -5! |
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10-17-18 | Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 226 | 107-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 226) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 226 in tonight's Western Conference clash between the Clippers and Nuggets. This is a massive total and I just don't see them getting to it. Los Angeles is a team that everyone is writing off now that their trio of Griffin Paul and Jordan are all gone. They still have a great head coach in Doc Rivers and are going to play hard. They also have the best defensive backcourt in the league with Patrick Beverly and Avery Bradley. For Los Angeles to be competitive early, they are going to have to go all out defensively, as the offense figures to struggle to get going with no go-to guy. That duo of Beverly and Bradley will really make things tough on the Nuggets, as they will lock down Denver's dynamic young backcourt of Gary Harris and Jamal Murray. Give me the UNDER 226! |
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10-17-18 | Bucks v. Hornets OVER 219 | 113-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 219) I'll take my chances here with the Bucks and Hornets going OVER the mark of 219. I've really liked what I seen from the Hornets offense in the preseason. They really have put an emphasis on the 3-point shot. They hit 19 of them in their preseason finale against the Mavs and I expect a much more free-flowing offense without Dwight Howard on the roster. This is also one of the more deeper teams in the league and should easily eclipse the 108.2 ppg they averaged last year. Milwaukee is another team that I think is going to take a big step forward offensively, as I loved the hire of Mike Budenholzer, who did some great things with the Hawks. Bucks are going to space things out a lot more and they too figure to shoot a lot more 3-pointers. We saw them connect on 25 from deep in their preseason finale against the Timberwolves with all 5 starters making at least 2. Give me the OVER 219! |
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10-17-18 | Nets v. Pistons -5.5 | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pistons -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Detroit coming away with a win and cover at home against the Bucks. I think this Pistons team is flying under the radar. They have a healthy Reggie Jackson at the point and have had a full offseason to incorporate Blake Griffin fully into the lineup. I fully expect them to win here by double-digits against a rebuilding Nets team that while should be improved, still has a long way to go to compete with the upper half of the league on the road. Give me the Pistons -5.5! |
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10-16-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -4.5 | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA Opening Night ATS KNOCKOUT (Celtics -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Boston laying a relatively small number at home against the 76ers. I just don't see the Celtics losing in their home opener and I just don't think it's asking a lot for them to win by 5. Boston got to the Eastern Conference Finals without arguably their two best players in Gordon Hayward and Kyrie Irving. Both are back healthy and the Celtics now have one of the deepest and most talented rosters in the league. Not to mention one of the best coaches in the NBA in Brad Stevens. Knowing that the 76ers are one of their top challengers in the east, I think Boston is out to make a statement and I just don't think Philadelphia has the depth or outside shooting to keep this within the number. Give me the Celtics -4.5! |
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06-08-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +5 | 108-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
40* WARRIORS/CAVS GAME 4 ATS ANNIHILATOR (Cavs +5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a home dog in Game 4. The Cavs know they have little to no chance of winning this series down 3-0, but I fully expect them to treat this like a Game 7 and lay it all on the line to avoid getting swept on their home floor. There's also a distinct possibility that this will be the last game LeBron James ever plays in Cleveland as a member of the Cavs, as just about everyone expects him to leave town. The fans know this and I expect an electric atmosphere despite how lopsided the series has gotten. Give me the Cavs +5! |
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06-06-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +4.5 | 110-102 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
40* WARRIORS/CAVS GAME 3 ATS NO BRAINER (Cavs +4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Cavs to cover the spread in Game 3. Cleveland is getting 4.5-points, which I'll gladly take, but I full expect them to win this game outright. The Cavs have been a different team on their home floor this postseason and a big reason for that is the role players have been much better, taking some of the pressure off of James to score 50. Let's also not forget that while Cleveland lost each of the first two games in Golden State, they should have won Game 1 and were within striking distance for most of Game 2. LeBron won't let this team fall behind 3-0. Give me the Cavs +4.5! |
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06-03-18 | Cavs +11.5 v. Warriors | Top | 103-122 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs +11.5) I'll take my chances with LeBron James and the Cavs as a huge road dog in Game 2 of the NBA Finals. James is playing out of his mind right now and while his 50-point effort in Game 1 wasn't enough for the win, I think he's going to come right back with another monster performance here. I also don't think there was any of the Warriors overlooking Cleveland in Game 1. There's been so much negative talk about J.R. Smith and all the things that didn't go the Cavs way that I think they come out here and give the Warriors all they can handle and potentially tie this thing up at 1-1. Give me Cleveland +11.5! |
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05-31-18 | Cavs v. Warriors -12.5 | 114-124 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
40* CAVS/WARRIORS GAME 1 ATS NO BRAINER (Warriors -12.5) I'll take my chances here with Golden State not just winning Game 1 at home, but doing so in blowout fashion. I know both teams are coming off grueling 7-game series in the Conference Finals, but while the Warriors could spread the pressure amongst their 4 superstars, LeBron James basically shouldered the load for Cleveland the entire series against Boston. With or without Kevin Love, this is a horrible matchup for the Cavs, who simply don't have the fire-power to compete with the Warriors, especially on the road. Cleveland didn't score more than 94 points in any of the 4-games played at Boston in the previous round and the Warriors held Houston's dynamic offense to 98 or fewer in the final 5 games of their series. Give me Golden State -12.5! |
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05-28-18 | Warriors v. Rockets +6.5 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Rockets as a big home dog in Game 7. Houston could be without Chris Paul again for this one, which is giving us great value here, especially after how Game 6 ended.  Even if Paul doesn't play I still like the Rockets chances of not just covering the spread, but winning the game outright. Golden State went off in the 2nd half of Game 6, but for the most part the offense hasn't looked good without Iguodala and he's doubtful to play. I think home court will be the difference for Houston, as the Warriors likely don't shoot it as well, while the Rockets' role players should help Harden out more than they did in Game 6. Give me Houston +6.5! |
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