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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-24-16 | Patriots -3 v. Broncos | 18-20 | Loss | -101 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
311 New England at Denver |
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01-10-16 | Packers v. Redskins -105 | Top | 35-18 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
108 Green Bay at Washington Something is wrong with Aaron Rodgers as he hasn’t been nearly as effective this year. Part of the reason could be the absence of his top receiver, and another problem has been protection from the offensive line. But while both are factors the truth is Rodgers simply hasn’t played well this season, and we feel an injury may be the problem. He was simply outstanding a year ago and this type of drop off rarely occurs in a still somewhat young player. Washington is simply the better team right now. Cousins has been the biggest reason as his advanced stats have him as one of the top quarterbacks in the league. He played great at home and struggled on the road early. But that hasn’t been the problem down the stretch. He’s turned into a very valuable signal caller that still gets little credit. Take the names off the jerseys in this contest and just go by the stats and the host would be a 3 point favorite. We’ll back the Redskins here on Sunday.PLAY WASHINGTON |
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01-09-16 | Steelers v. Bengals +3 | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
106 Pittsburgh at Cincinnati According to the acclaimed Gold Sheet home underdogs in the playoffs are 13-5-2. These two both won on the oppositions field, the latter game being the contest Pittsburgh knocked Andy Dalton out of the game. Cincinnati is 20-5-1 straight up at home and now has quick turnaround revenge against a team that severely hurt its chances of reaching the Super Bowl by knocking out its quarterback.This is the third straight road game for Pittsburgh and 4th in the last 5 weeks. Big Ben only owns a 24-18 touchdown to interception ratio on the season. Interceptions have been a major problem as of late. The Steelers are likely down to its 3rd and 4th straight running backs in this contest. This line has been over adjusted with AJ McCarron behind center for the Bengals.PLAY CINCINNATI |
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01-03-16 | Vikings v. Packers UNDER 45.5 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
326 Minnesota at Green BayThis game sets up as a low scoring divisional battle, with the winner clinching the division and the loser gaining the wild card. Therefore we expect both squads to play conservatively on offense as turnovers could play a major factor. Green Bay is sure to stack the box and limit the success of Peterson. But the Vikings haven’t shown the ability to throw the ball effectively. And they continue to hand the ball off in poor running situations.Green Bay will be hampered by a banged up offensive line which will put Rodgers in jeopardy. We expect Green Bay to feature the run which will keep pressure off the quarterback. Both these teams know each other very well, so its unlikely we see a margin on either side.PLAY UNDER |
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01-03-16 | Seahawks +6.5 v. Cardinals | 36-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
331 Seattle at ArizonaSeattle lost the previous meeting and is playing with revenge which should be enough motivation against a divisional rival. If the Seahawks lose here, they would enter the playoffs off back to back losses, and need to win out on the playoff road to reach the Super Bowl. Not the type of negative momentum this team wants. Seattle has won and covered 4 of 5 visits to Arizona. So it’s not like this club lacks confidence. The defense has allowed only 3 TD in the last 4 games.Arizona improves its seeding with a win here and a loss by Carolina. The problem is the Panthers are 11 point home favorites over Tampa Bay. Both squads have clinched the playoffs which could mean resting of players. But with an extra week of rest its more important for Seattle to play a complete game here.PLAY SEATTLE |
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01-03-16 | Eagles v. Giants OVER 51 | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
323 Philadelphia at NY Giants With the Eagles firing its coach and the future wide open, we expect to see an exciting brand of football on Sunday. Teams that are out of the playoff hunt have the tendency to play free and easy on offense. A time to pad the stats for the offseason. While its tough to get fired up defensively just playing out the string. The Giants have their own decisions to make regarding the coaching staff. So they too could create some offensive fireworks. Both teams have the talent to put up points, and the defenses haven’t exactly been trustworthy.PLAY OVER |
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12-28-15 | Bengals v. Broncos -3 | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 18 h 57 m | Show | |
132 Cincinnati at Denver The Broncos haven’t scored in the second half of its last three contests, which isn’t as big of concern since the Bengals are without its top signal caller. Brock Osweiler has a shoulder issue but will play. But he’s struggled throwing the ball downfield and this doesn’t help matters. That said he is backed by the best defense in the league. |
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12-27-15 | Rams +12.5 v. Seahawks | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
127 St Louis at SeattleSeattle is the hottest team in the league right now winning and covering five straight. Wilson has a 19-0 TD to INT ratio in those five games. If you treat sports betting like the stock market you want to bet on teams that you can buy cheap, and sell those that have peaked. The Seahawks are peaking right now. Seattle has lost it’s top two running backs after losing Graham at TE. This is a team that is not healthy offensively right now as WR Baldwin is also questionable. |
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12-27-15 | Panthers v. Falcons +7 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
110 Carolina at Atlanta Back to back road games for the Panthers after the total collapse last week against the Giants. Focus has to be a question after beating the Falcons 38-0 just two weeks ago. All the talk last week was that if Carolina wins it’s a cakewalk with Atlanta and Tampa Bay remaining. The Panthers may rest players for the playoffs which gives Atlanta an open back door cover if Carolina has a lead. |
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12-20-15 | Cardinals v. Eagles OVER 51 | Top | 40-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
317 Arizona at Philadelphia The Cardinals love to throw the ball deep and have a nice advantage here against a weak Eagles secondary. The Cards are a good offensive fit against this underperforming defense which has been on the field for more time per game than any other in the league.Bradford has been the only Philly signal caller with any success this season. He’s especially good against the blitz, something the Cardinals do more than just about anyone. Therefore we can see both sides moving the ball well here and putting up plenty of points. PLAY OVER |
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12-19-15 | Jets -3 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-16 | Push | 0 | 26 h 43 m | Show |
303 NY Jets at Dallas The line has surpassed the key number of 3 but we still find plenty of value here with the Jets. Fitzpatrick has been on fire as of late with a 9-0 td to int ratio with quarterback ratings of over 100 three straight weeks. With the Jets secondary getting healthier we find the going tough for the Cowboys passing game which has been feeble without Romo. The Jets defend the run well and should stack the box and make Cassell beat them through the air. Not a likely positive result for the Cowboys offense. Dallas has had a next to nothing home field advantage in the Jerry Dome, and this year has been no exception.PLAY NEW YORK JETS |
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12-13-15 | Steelers v. Bengals OVER 50 | 33-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
105 Pittsburgh at Cincinnati We look for this one to be a shootout. It’s an extremely important game for the Steelers who lost to the Bengals in the earlier meeting this season. While Cincinnati is fighting it out with Denver and New England for playoff positioning, the Steelers need this game to increase wildcard chances. If you break down the games that Big Ben started and finished as opposed to games he didn’t its been night and day as far as the offense is concerned. In games he plays all the way through, the Steelers are twice as efficient offensively. While we can’t guarantee he won’t be hurt again this week, we expect his success to continue.Cincinnati has been terrific all season especially offensively. Andy Dalton could very well be the best QB in the league this season. A lot of that has to do with his excellent receiving corps, and lengthy time in the pocket. No lead is safe here as touchdowns will be plentiful.PLAY OVER |
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12-13-15 | 49ers v. Browns OVER 41 | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
111 San Francisco at ClevelandThe 49ers have played Arizona and traveled to Seattle and Chicago the past three weeks, three quality defensive teams. In those games Blane Gabbert is 65 for 102 for 778 yards with a 3 to 1 TD to INT Ratio. The 49ers are last in the league in scoring and yardage, but have improved under Gabbert and its gone unnoticed by the public.The Browns have permitted 37, 33, 30, 31 and 34 points in the last five games. The last four games have come against divisional rivals who know how to defend them. Non-Conference games are higher scoring that conference tilts, especially divisional games. Bad teams with nothing to play for play free and easy at the end of the season. We saw it last week with Jacksonville and Tennessee. We see it this week with the Niners and Browns.PLAY OVER |
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12-13-15 | Titans +7.5 v. Jets | 8-30 | Loss | -117 | 24 h 51 m | Show | |
123 Tennessee at NY JetsWe’re not buying into the Jets at this inflated number. Sure the game means more to New York as it looks to solidify a wildcard spot. But we just don’t trust these Jets laying points. The spot is a terrible one coming off a late come from behind overtime win over cross-town rival the NY Giants. With Dallas on deck Saturday as well as games with Buffalo and New England on deck, this is a flat spot in the schedule for the Jets.Tennessee has won 2 of the last 3 meetings in the series, and this team is getting better by the week. The Titans were a strong wise guy play in the season over/unders, and now those expectations are shining through. Ryan Fitzpatrick played for Tennessee in 2013 so the Titans know very well his strengths and weaknesses. We expect this one to go down to the wire.PLAY TENNESSEE |
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12-06-15 | 49ers +7 v. Bears | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
351 San Francisco at Chicago Well aware that the Niners have been much better at home than on the road but it’s a small sample size we look to reverse. Chicago DC Vic Fangio was fired by the 49ers after last season so there is a bit of extra motivation from the Chicago coaching staff. Blane Gabbert has played well for the 49ers especially when compared to the previous signal caller. Anquan Bolden returned for San Francisco last week and the team threw the ball well with a go-to receiver.This is the first game the Bears have been favored in all season and its by a large margin. Chicago is 3-1 the last 4 games but beat Green Bay, St Louis and San Diego. Three teams that have really struggled down the stretch. PLAY SAN FRANCISCO |
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12-06-15 | 49ers v. Bears OVER 43 | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
351 San Francisco at ChicagoThe 49er offense is much better under Blane Gabbert as he has moved the ball well against defenses much better than the one he faces here. The team should find the running lanes a little easier than the ones the team faced against the Seahawks and Cardinals the last two weeks. Chicago in kind will find some spots against a 49er defense that has really struggled on the road. Very surprised to see a total this low involving the Bears who don’t have a dominant defense.PLAY OVER |
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11-30-15 | Ravens +4.5 v. Browns | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
275 Baltimore at Cleveland A great deal of movement on this line as its gone through the key numbers of 3 and 4. The question is why? Yes the Ravens are starting Matt Schaub after the injury to Joe Flacco. But in reality Flacco is having a lousy season. He has a 14 to 12 touchdown to interception ratio with a quarterback rating of 83.1. Both well below his career averages. So while we can see a small drop off with Schaub this line has over adjusted. Besides the line makers knew Schaub was starting when it released the opening number. Baltimore is looking to avenge a home loss to the Browns. While the Ravens haven’t posted many victories this team is in every game. The biggest loss margin on the season was by 8 points to the Cardinals. And seven games have been decided by 4 or less points. So with a spread of this size it would be an outlier to how the Ravens have played all season.Cleveland has one win by more than 3 points all season, a 14 point victory over Tennessee. The last four games the Browns have been outscored by a combined margin of 119 to 45. No way should the Browns be this type of favorite in this divisional contest.PLAY BALTIMORE |
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11-29-15 | Patriots v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
274 New England at Denver |
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11-29-15 | Steelers v. Seahawks OVER 45.5 | 30-39 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
271 Pittsburgh at Seattle |
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11-29-15 | Giants v. Redskins OVER 47 | 14-20 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
259 NY Giants at Washington |
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11-22-15 | 49ers +13.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 13-29 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
San Francisco at Seattle |
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11-22-15 | Rams +3 v. Ravens | 13-16 | Push | 0 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
459 St Louis at Baltimore |
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11-22-15 | Broncos -1 v. Bears | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Denver at Chicago |
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11-15-15 | Panthers v. Titans +6 | 27-10 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
256 Carolina at Tennessee |
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11-15-15 | Lions v. Packers -10.5 | Top | 18-16 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
252 Detroit at Green Bay |
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11-08-15 | Rams +2 v. Vikings | Top | 18-21 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
455 St Louis at Minnesota Now that the ground game has kicked in with Todd Gurley the Rams are a team we will be looking to back. The defense has been outstanding and the head coach has been a terrific underdog in his career.Minnesota has regrouped in fine fashion since the opening night blunder in San Francisco. But we still don’t believe in this team as in our eyes they have been very fortunate. A weak schedule has been the main reason, but the lack of protection from this offensive line is our biggest concern. Huge advantage in the trenches here as the Rams get to the QB often.PLAY ST LOUIS |
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11-01-15 | Jets -3 v. Raiders | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
269 NY Jets at Oakland Despite the loss to the Patriots last week it’s clear the Jets are a very formidable team. The defense is outstanding and the offense has gotten better by leaps and bounds. A big talented receiver, a power back and improvement at the quarterback position all point to a quality team in New York.The Raiders are getting better, but they are not at the Jets level as of yet. Oakland will have a hard time rushing on this stout Jets defense which puts the onus on the young Raiders signal caller. While much improved he isn’t going to have a fun time throwing into this terrific man to man defense. Oakland hasn’t performed well of of wins and this is an important game for the Jets who likely will be fighting for a wild card.PLAY NY JETS |
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10-25-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 13-23 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
455 Pittsburgh at Kansas City In what we expect to be a low scoring game we will side with the Steelers and Landry Jones. While the team waits for Big Ben we get to see if Jones can build on his success last week against the Cardinals. While he's only a backup quarterback he does throw the ball downfield which opens up the Steelers running game. Kansas City already can't throw the ball downfield and now is without its top rusher. The loss of Charles was highly evident a week ago. Keep in mind after this game the Chiefs head to London with their families. Teams are now 1-10 ATS the week before playing in London. PLAY PITTSBURGH |
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10-25-15 | Houston Texans v. Miami Dolphins -4 | 26-44 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
458 Houston at Miami We've had a stready diet of going against the Texans this year. This team was overrated before the season and hasn't shown any reason to back them. Hoyer should have been the QB all along and everyone knew it except the head coach. The defense even with the best player in the league on that side of the ball continues to get pounded. Miami is a talented team that started the year with just a terrible head coach. This team has far better talent than what was shown early in the season. Now off a solid outing and confidence high we look to back the better team here at a cheap number. PLAY MIAMI |
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10-18-15 | Miami Dolphins +2 v. Tennessee Titans | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
265 Miami at Tennessee Willing to back the better personnel here with the Dolphins off a terrible performance in London and two weeks to prepare. Gone are the Head Coach and Defensive Coordinator which should point the Dolphins in a positive direction. This team was expected to contend this year so the changes can’t hurt. Tennessee has taken plenty of money this season and we can’t understand why. Sure this isn’t a two win team any longer but it’s not like the playoffs are on the horizon. Better team gets the win here as Miami starts to put it back together.PLAY MIAMI |
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10-11-15 | Arizona Cardinals -3.5 v. Detroit Lions | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
467 Arizona at Detroit |
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10-11-15 | Buffalo Bills +1 v. Tennessee Titans | 14-13 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
453 Buffalo at Tennessee |
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10-11-15 | Washington Redskins +7.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | 19-25 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
457 Washington at Atlanta |
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10-11-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. Cincinnati Bengals -3 | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
466 Seattle at Cincinnati |
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10-04-15 | NY Giants +6 v. Buffalo Bills | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 2 h 0 m | Show | |
259 NY Giants at Buffalo Giants are a better team than its record. This is a club that could easily be 3-0 with some better decisions. The division is up for grabs and this team needs a win here badly. We feel the line here is a bit inflated based on how well the Bills played against huge rival Miami last week.But as we pointed out a week ago. Teams heading off to London the following week are now 1-7 ATS the week before the trip. So while Miami played really bad it wasn’t unexpected. Buffalo is a team we want in the underdog role, not as a sizable favorite.PLAY NY GIANTS |
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09-27-15 | Atlanta Falcons v. Dallas Cowboys +2 | Top | 39-28 | Loss | -105 | 97 h 31 m | Show |
480 Atlanta at Dallas Now that Tony Romo is hurt again the season is about to come apart for the Cowboys. At least that’s what the press would like you to believe. Because of the injury the Cowboys are now home underdogs in this matchup with the Atlanta Falcons. We always like to back a team the game after a key player is hurt as the squad knows it must be at peak performance to win. While Dallas doesn’t have a normal home field value we will get top efforts from the Cowboys this week. Keep in mind Dallas is 2-0, out gaining the opposition by 280 yards despite a -2 turnover margin. This club is losing the turnover battle and still finding ways to win. Dallas is doing what is does best and that is winning the time of possession by 17:40 per game. The offensive line is what gives the Cowboys a big edge and it’s been reinforced by DeMarco Murray and his major struggles in Philadelphia. PLAY DALLAS |
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09-24-15 | Washington Redskins +4 v. NY Giants | 21-32 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 3 m | Show | |
301 Washington at NY Giants We really like the way the Redskins are playing right now. Out gaining the opposition 722-469 while holding a time of possession edge of over 15 minutes a game. The team is outscoring the opposition by 7 points on the season despite a -2 turnover disadvantage. Washington is running the ball well which keeps the QB from having to make the big play which many times has resulted in turnovers. The Giants on the other hand are +2 in turnover margin and still or being outscored by 5 points on the season. The Giant coaching staff is terrible in close games including 1-7 ATS in games decided by a field goal or less. In a contest in this price range you need to know those numbers. New York is being out gained 838-677 through the first two games while losing the time of possession by over 8 minutes a contest. The yards allowed on the year are second worst in all the league. The Giants just don’t have the defensive ability to get the opposition off the field which is why we side with the underdog here.PLAY WASHINGTON |
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09-20-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. Green Bay Packers -3 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
288 Seattle at Green Bay |
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09-20-15 | Houston Texans +3 v. Carolina Panthers | 17-24 | Loss | -101 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
261 Houston at Carolina |
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09-20-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6 | 18-43 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
266 San Francisco at Pittsburgh |
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09-20-15 | San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals -3 | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
276 San Diego at Cincinnati |
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09-13-15 | Tennessee Titans +3 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
481 Tennessee at Tampa Bay |
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09-13-15 | Cleveland Browns v. NY Jets -3 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 56 m | Show |
468 Cleveland at NY Jets Both teams have solid defenses in which to lean on in the early going as the offenses lag behind. But while the Jets have improved offensively and will only get better, the Browns could be one of the most inept offensive teams in league history. Led by a QB that posted a 1-10 record for Tampa Bay last year as a starter, and a listing of no names at the skill positions. The Browns don’t have a breakaway player anywhere at wide receiver or running back and the line can only do so much to keep the quarterback upright. The Jets have two of the best corners in all of football and they will have a big advantage against these Cleveland wideouts. The Jets bolstered an already solid defense in the offseason and the offense is much better than a year ago. Fitzpatrick has his flaws but with a defense like what he has now he doesn’t need to make plays to keep his team in the game. We were very surprised to see this line open where it has considering the average home field value in the NFL is roughly the same as this line. So the betting public is telling us on a neutral field this teams would be even. But let’s look at the season win numbers for both these squads. The Jets are listed at 7.5 while the Browns are at 6.0. While we do feel Cleveland is in a tougher division, the season win numbers clearly point to the Jets being the better team. We firmly agree which is why we are making the Jets our Best Bet for the opening week of the NFL season.PLAY NEW YORK JETS |
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02-01-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. New England Patriots | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -100 | 195 h 33 m | Show |
102 New England & Seattle |
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01-18-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. New England Patriots -6.5 | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
304 Indianapolis at New England |
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01-10-15 | Baltimore Ravens +7 v. New England Patriots | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 77 h 20 m | Show | |
111 Baltimore at New England In past years we were chomping at the bit to bet against Joe Flacco on the road. His home/road dichotomy was enormous. But that hasn’t been the case this year, especially as of late. Under the coaching of Kubiak, Flacco has become a weapon away from home. He has picked it up in playoff action posting a 13 to 0 TD to INT ratio his last five playoff games. While the Ravens do have some concerns in the defensive backfield, the offense should be able to move the ball well against this Patriot defense. Baltimore is in a familiar position of playing on the road in the playoffs, and the Ravens have excelled in that regard. Especially when playing in New England.The Patriots are where they expected to be before the season, with home field advantage in the playoffs. But New England got to play a weak divisional schedule as every team other than Buffalo was down this season. Miami looked good early but faltered late, and the Jets were just horrible. The Patriots have the edge with the extra week to prepare, and we all know about the coaching staff. But New England hasn’t been a money maker in the playoffs as of late and the Ravens have an excellent sideline mentor of their own.PLAY BALTIMORE |
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01-03-15 | Arizona Cardinals +6.5 v. Carolina Panthers | 16-27 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
105 Arizona at Carolina Nobody is giving Arizona a shot in this game as the line has steadily risen since hitting the board. True, this isn’t the same Cardinals team with a third string quarterback, but we still don’t trust a Carolina squad who ended the season playing patsies. Teams who enter the playoffs having lost its previous two games have been a consistent money maker. And its a given that the Cardinals are the better coached team. While Carolina has played better down the stretch we still can’t see there being much differential between these two clubs. Arizona played the tougher schedule which is a good indicator of success in this round. We are willing to back the Cards here to take this one to the wire with a good chance of an outright victory. PLAY ARIZONA Opinion Baltimore |
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12-21-14 | Buffalo Bills v. Oakland Raiders +7 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 53 h 50 m | Show | |
126 Buffalo at Oakland |
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12-21-14 | Atlanta Falcons +6 v. New Orleans Saints | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 50 h 37 m | Show | |
113 Atlanta at New Orleans |
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12-21-14 | New England Patriots v. NY Jets +11 | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 50 h 30 m | Show | |
116 New England at NY Jets |
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12-21-14 | Minnesota Vikings +7 v. Miami Dolphins | Top | 35-37 | Win | 100 | 50 h 46 m | Show |
107 Minnesota at Miami |
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12-14-14 | Miami Dolphins v. New England Patriots UNDER 48 | 13-41 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 52 m | Show | |
316 Miami at New England |
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12-14-14 | Houston Texans v. Indianapolis Colts -6.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 66 h 20 m | Show |
312 Houston at Indianapolis |
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12-07-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Philadelphia Eagles -109 | Top | 24-14 | Loss | -109 | 54 h 41 m | Show |
176 Seattle at Philadelphia |
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12-07-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10 v. Detroit Lions | 17-34 | Loss | -109 | 50 h 28 m | Show | |
163 Tampa Bay at Detroit |
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11-30-14 | Arizona Cardinals -1.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 18-29 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
469 Arizona at Atlanta Cheap number to lay here with the far better squad. Arizona finds ways to win while the Falcons find ways to lose. Looking at stats it’s hard to see how the Cardinals have amassed such a strong record. But that’s why we can find value on them at less than a field goal. Arizona doesn’t dazzle. They don’t have a high flying offense like a Green Bay or New England. What this team does do is play quality defense and not turn the ball over. The exact opposite of the Atlanta Falcons.Matt Ryan and company do not take care of the football and the defense has allowed season highs to more than one team this year. Keep in mind that Atlanta is 4-7 on the season, with all four wins coming against divisional opponents. The same division that has co-leaders of the Falcons and Saints at three games under 500. Arizona is 3-2 on the road with the losses coming at the two Super Bowl participants from last year. PLAY ARIZONA |
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11-27-14 | Chicago Bears +7 v. Detroit Lions | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
305 Chicago at Detroit Can’t trust the Lions here laying a full touchdown considering the current state of the team. The defense which was terrific early on is starting to regress. Injuries to key personnel has limited the once mighty pass rush, as was witnessed last week as New England threw the ball with impunity. On offense the Lions have been stagnant for most of the season as the coaching staff has pulled back the reigns on a mistake prone signal caller.Chicago has supreme offensive talent that just hasn’t lived up to the hype. The QB is very mistake prone, but with the Lions inability to get to the quarterback lately should give the Bears offense a spark. Chicago has improved defensively after the back to back 50 point implosions. With Megatron clearly not the same player because of injuries we can’t see the Lions taking advantage. We see this game coming down to one possession which gives us a nice edge with the dog.PLAY CHICAGO |
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11-17-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Tennessee Titans +7 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
476 Pittsburgh at Tennessee The Steelers have been extremely inconsistent this season which is what you would expect from a mediocre football team. The advantage for the Steelers is it plays in a division with other middle of the road squads. The Pittsburgh defense is downright bad but it’s been masked by virtually an entire schedule of weak scoring units. Outside of the division Pittsburgh has played Carolina, Tampa Bay, Jacksonville, Houston and the NY Jets. The only quality offense faced was Indianapolis and the Colts scored 34 points against this Steeler defense. Tennessee doesn’t rate highly offensively either but what they do have is a coach who is well aware of this team. He was passed over when the club hired Mike Tomlin. This is also the Super Bowl game for the Titans, playing on MNF and not playing in the postseason. Home dogs aren’t what they used to be in Monday Night Football games but we feel this one has some serious bite.PLAY TENNESSEE |
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11-16-14 | New England Patriots +3 v. Indianapolis Colts | Top | 42-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
473 New England at IndianapolisIn what is sure to be a high scoring game we will take the veteran signal caller to do what is necessary to gain the victory. The last five games the Patriots are averaging more than 40 points per game, as the return of Gronkowski has taken this offense to another level. The amazing part of the recent offensive success is that it has come at the expense of very good defenses. The Bears are the only weak stop unit New England has faced as of yet and tonights opponent isn’t known for its defense. This is also the first game all season in a dome for New England as all the offensive damage has been done outdoors. Indy will put up points as they always do but when a defensive stop needs to be made we trust the Pats to get it done.PLAY NEW ENGLAND |
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11-09-14 | Miami Dolphins v. Detroit Lions -2.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 43 h 6 m | Show | |
254 Miami at Detroit |
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11-09-14 | Tennessee Titans +10 v. Baltimore Ravens | 7-21 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 1 m | Show | |
259 Tennessee at Baltimore |
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11-03-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. NY Giants +3.5 | 40-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
474 Indianapolis at NY Giants Must win game for the Giants who entered the bye week off back to back losses to division foes Dallas & Philadelphia. The extra week of preparation should do wonders as Manning and company continue to master this new offense. In the Coughlin era the Giants are 3-0 on Monday Night Football winning by an average margin of 15 points per game. With Seattle, San Francisco and Dallas on deck, the Giants cannot afford to drop this home game if New York has any intention of postseason play.Indy on the other hand has an extremely easy slate of games to end the season. After a bye next week the Colts have the likes of Jacksonville, Houston, Cleveland, Washington and Tennessee on tap. With New England and Dallas likely being the toughest games remaining, the Colts don’t have the same urgency as the host. PLAY NY GIANTS |
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11-02-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 v. Cleveland Browns | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
455 Tampa Bat at Cleveland |
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10-30-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers +3 | 28-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
302 New Orleans at Carolina |
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10-26-14 | Oakland Raiders +7 v. Cleveland Browns | 13-23 | Loss | -120 | 41 h 5 m | Show | |
273 Oakland at Cleveland |
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10-26-14 | Houston Texans v. Tennessee Titans +3 | 30-16 | Loss | -100 | 38 h 53 m | Show | |
266 Houston at Tennessee |
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10-26-14 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cincinnati Bengals +2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 38 h 51 m | Show | |
268 Baltimore at Cincinnati |
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10-26-14 | Detroit Lions -3.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | 22-21 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 25 m | Show | |
251 Detroit & Atlanta in London |
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10-19-14 | Seattle Seahawks -6.5 v. St. Louis Rams | Top | 26-28 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
459 Seattle at St Louis |
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10-12-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 | 37-37 | Loss | -101 | 48 h 34 m | Show | |
264 Carolina at Cincinnati |
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10-12-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Miami Dolphins +3.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 48 h 31 m | Show | |
260 Green Bay at Miami |
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10-12-14 | New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills +3 | 37-22 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 30 m | Show | |
266 New England at Buffalo |
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10-05-14 | NY Jets v. San Diego Chargers -6.5 | Top | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 69 h 40 m | Show |
474 NY Jets at San Diego The Jets have a solid defensive front but the secondary has major problems. That’s not a good sign considering the Chargers don't rely on running the football. San Diego throws downfield and uses the short passing game to make up for a lack of a running attack. That bodes well in this one by taking away the best part of this Jets team.Huge edge in coaching and quarterbacks here and the Jets coast to coast travel adds to the New York problems. The Jets continue to find ways to lose games while the Chargers are looking like a real contender here. Very surprised this game is lined less than a touchdown.PLAY SAN DIEGO |
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09-28-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 16 m | Show | |
263 Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh NFL handicapping 101 says to play on a team after a terrible performance and fade a squad off a great game. That’s even magnified when one of the teams played on national television. Tampa Bay gave up 56 points last week to the Falcons after allowing just 20 and 19 the first two games of the season. The quarterback injury isn’t a huge concern as Glennon has started many times in this backfield. Pittsburgh put up 37 on Carolina who had no offensive answer with major injuries to the running attack. Those RB & QB injuries made the Panthers one dimensional which played into the Steelers hands. Pittsburgh suffered some major defensive injuries in that game and Pittsburgh’s defense hasn’t been overly successful when healthy in the early going. PLAY TAMPA BAY |
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09-21-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Carolina Panthers -3 | 37-19 | Loss | -113 | 34 h 56 m | Show | |
478 Pittsburgh at Carolina |
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09-21-14 | Houston Texans -119 v. NY Giants | Top | 17-30 | Loss | -119 | 48 h 34 m | Show |
457 Houston at NY Giants The Texans are not in the best travel situation by playing an early game on the east coast after being in Oakland last week. But that’s not a huge concern for a team that had the kind of season Houston had last year. The Texans started 2-0 and the wheels came out from under them. Now they once again sit at 2-0 so this game should bring a larger than average focus.The Giants just stink right now. The new offense hasn’t been picked up well by Manning and the team looks to be going through the motions. Arizona played the late Monday Night Football game and had to travel to the east coast for an early start last week. An hour before game time the starting quarterback was ruled out. Yet the Cardinals still won. That tells you how bad this New York team is right now. The Giants went 4-0 in the preseason but it was the deep backups who won the games in the second half. The starters struggled just as they have in this regular season.PLAY HOUSTON |
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09-14-14 | Jacksonville Jaguars +6 v. Washington Redskins | 10-41 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
255 Jacksonville at Washington Over the last ten regular season games played between these two squads it’s clear that the wrong team is favored here. Not only do the Jaguars have a much better record, but the future is clearly higher for the Florida squad. Jacksonville even in times in which the team lacked competitive talent, always gave a full effort. The same cannot be said of the team from the nation’s capital. The Jaguars have a large edge in special teams here that isn’t being factored into the line. The kicker and the special teams as a whole have the ability to decide this game that likely comes down to the wire. Washington has one of the weakest home field edges in the league while Jacksonville is better on the road than at home. PLAY JACKSONVILLE |
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09-14-14 | New England Patriots v. Minnesota Vikings +6 | 30-7 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
262 New England at Minnesota |
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09-14-14 | Arizona Cardinals +1 v. NY Giants | Top | 25-14 | Win | 100 | 120 h 25 m | Show |
259 Arizona at NY Giants Short week for both these squads but the Cardinals new offense showed some signs in the second half against the Chargers. The same cannot be said of the Giants. New York was facing a very young secondary and yet could not exploit the Lions by throwing downfield. Without that ability it’s hard to see Eli Manning and company having any success here. The Giants refuse to open the field and that running game won’t have success against this Arizona front seven. We expect the visitor to go off the favorite in this game so we are releasing this one early.PLAY ARIZONA |
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09-11-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Baltimore Ravens -2.5 | Top | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 79 h 21 m | Show |
102 Pittsburgh at Baltimore Nice setup here for the Ravens who are already 0-1 in the division trailing both rivals Cincinnati and Pittsburgh. While it’s hard to imagine a must win situation in the second week, this is about as close as it gets for the Ravens. Whenever any of the three AFC North contenders play it’s important to not lay over three if possible, as many times these games come down to a field goal. In fact, the last five games between these two have been decided by exactly three points. With the short week of preperation the home teams have a major edge, especially if it played the prior week at home. That’s the situation we have here with Baltimore off a home loss and the Steelers off a tough home victory. The Ravens are fully focused off a bad performance while the Steelers are happy to escape the Browns with a last second victory. Now with less time to prepare because of travel we can see the Steelers coming up on the short end of the scoreboard here.PLAY BALTIMORE |
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09-07-14 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
474 Cincinnati at Baltimore |
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09-04-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 46 | 16-36 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
461 Green Bay at Seattle |
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02-02-14 | Seattle Seahawks +3 v. Denver Broncos | Top | 43-8 | Win | 100 | 78 h 17 m | Show |
101 Seattle & Denver in New Jersey
Keeping this analysis concise as the real money to be made in this game is in the props. Defense wins Super Bowls and we have the best defense in the league at an underdog price. Seattle played the much tougher schedule by beating San Francisco twice, New Orleans twice and Carolina. This is a team that has gone nine straight games without allowing more than 20 points to any opponent. Only once all season has an opponent surpassed 24 points against the Seahawks. Denver has had a terrific season and this offense has been outstanding but this team is overrated coming into the big game. The public likes offense and personalities and the Broncos have two of the best. But keep in mind that the only teams Denver played that made the playoffs that they didn |
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01-19-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 38.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 55 h 0 m | Show | |
303 San Francisco at Seattle
The first two times these clubs met the scoring was very low at 32 and 36 points. But those games were played in the regular season when teams with a lead tend to sit on that lead by running the football and taking time off the clock. We don |
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01-12-14 | San Diego Chargers +8.5 v. Denver Broncos | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
117 San Diego at Denver
Against Top 10 power rated teams this year San Diego has gone 2-1 straight up winning against Indianapolis while splitting against these Broncos. Denver on the other hand is just 1-3 straight up splitting against San Diego and losing to both Indianapolis and New England. San Diego has lost just one road game by more than today |
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01-11-14 | Indianapolis Colts +7 v. New England Patriots | 22-43 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 33 m | Show | |
113 Indianapolis at New England
The Colts are 5-2 against teams that made the playoffs, the Patriots just 2-2. We |
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01-05-14 | San Francisco 49ers -2.5 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
107 San Francisco at Green Bay
Here we have two teams on the complete opposites when being compared by strength of schedule. The 49ers had one of the strongest slates in the league while Green Bay faced one of the easiest. The Packers toughest game of the year was the opener against these 49ers. After that they played just two other teams that made the playoffs, Cincinnati and Philadelphia. Green Bay lost all three of those games by a combined margin of 24 points. Despite the easy slate of games the Packers could only out gain the opposition 6.0 to 5.9 yards per play. We are well aware of the Aaron Rodgers injury situation but those numbers are hard to ignore, yet I haven |
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01-04-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 46 | 44-45 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
101 Kansas City at Indianapolis
These two teams played just a few weeks ago and the Colts won 23-7 in Kansas City. But Kansas City didn |
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12-29-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Dallas Cowboys +7 | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show | |
316 Philadelphia at Dallas
This line was Dallas -2 1/2 before the news of Tony Romo not playing hit the airways. Now the line has moved 9 1/2 points with Kyle Orton behind center. There is no way the drop off is anywhere near that number, and we have always been Tony Romo supporters. Orton has plenty of NFL starts on his resume so the difference between him and Romo is just a fraction of the number we are seeing here. In fact, in some ways the Cowboys could be at an advantage. Dallas has been able to run the ball well most of the season but they tend to get away from the ground game. Now with Orton behind center we can see Dallas sticking with their bread and butter for longer stretches. That means less time on the field for the Dallas defense which is their biggest trouble spot by far. The Eagles are coming off a blowout nationally televised victory over the Bears. Their stock couldn |
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12-29-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars +11 v. Indianapolis Colts | 10-30 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
313 Jacksonville at Indianapolis
Week 17 handicapping in our eyes is all about value. Teams that are in must win situations are going to be overpriced. Teams with nothing to play for are going to be undervalued. Unlike college football where many teams throw in the towel late in the season, these are professionals who are playing for a paycheck. Therefore we are able to take advantage of line value going against the grain in the final week. The Colts can clinch a first round buy with a win here coupled with a New England loss and a Cincinnati loss or tie. Both the Patriots and Bengals are roughly 7 point favorites so for both of those teams to lose is a long shot. Yet the lookahead line on this game a week ago was roughly 5 to 6 points less than the current number as of this writing. Chances are Indy wins this game but to expect them to win by a margin may be too much to ask. The Jaguars have played much better ball the second half of the season and this team doesn |
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12-29-13 | Detroit Lions v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 51 | 13-14 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
319 Detroit at Minnesota
Both teams will be missing their best offensive weapon here as the Lions will be without Megatron and the Vikings will be missing Adrian Peterson. So why then are we playing this game over? This is a game being played inside in December with two quality scoring units. It |
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12-22-13 | New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers -3 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 140 h 47 m | Show |
104 New Orleans at Carolina
Getting this play out now because we feel this line will rise. Quick revenge game here for the Panthers who lost at New Orleans in a prime time affair 31-13 just two weeks ago. That loss broke an eight game Carolina winning streak and is the lone loss for the Panthers in the last ten games. That 31 points allowed by Carolina in that game is a full touchdown more than this team has yielded in any other game this season. The Panthers are 6-1 straight up at home this year with every victory coming by 4 points or more. The lone loss was all the way back in the opening week when Seattle won 12-7. The Saints are 3-4 on the road this year but wins at Tampa Bay and Atlanta have been less than impressive. Earlier New Orleans won at Chicago and lost in dramatic fashion at New England, but it |
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12-15-13 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 81 h 6 m | Show | |
332 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Three of the last five meetings in Pittsburgh have been losses by margins of 28, 16 and 17 points for the Bengals. In 2009 Cincinnati beat Pittsburgh here 18-12 and the Steelers swept Cincinnati the following year, outscoring them 50-28. Last year Cincinnati pulled off the upset once again with a 13-10 victory. As good as this Bengals team has been at home this year they are nothing special away from Paul Brown Stadium. The Bengals are 3-4 SU on the road but only one victory was larger than a field goal. Now that the Steelers will be sitting on the playoff sideline for the second straight year, many will feel this team will throw in the towel for the remainder of the season. Those with that thought obviously haven |
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12-15-13 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Oakland Raiders +5.5 | Top | 56-31 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 41 m | Show |
328 Kansas City at Oakland
The Chiefs have averaged 16.8 points per game the last five meetings in Oakland with one of those contests going into overtime. Last year Kansas City was shut out here 15-0. Until a 24-7 victory earlier this year in Arrowhead the Chiefs had failed to cover 5 of the 6 previous overall meetings. After facing divisional rivals Denver twice and San Diego the Chiefs took advantage early against Washington last week and looked very impressive. But keep in mind that Andy Reid knows the Redskins very well from many years at Philadelphia, the Chiefs had a big advantage in that game. Because of the blowout win the game has been adjusted 1 1/2 points from the look ahead lines two weeks ago. Kansas City |
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12-15-13 | Washington Redskins +7 v. Atlanta Falcons | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 74 h 33 m | Show | |
305 Washington at Atlanta
The Falcons are back home after playing 5 of 7 games away from Atlanta. This is a team that has lost 9 of 11 games in straight up fashion. The two victories coming in overtime against Buffalo and against winless at the time Tampa Bay. Going back to preseason the Falcons are 3-14 SU but are laying a full touchdown here. A team that was the number one seed in the NFC Playoffs a season ago. A team that has a 0.1 yards per play advantage in this game. With a less than enthusiastic home crowd how can this line be a full touchdown? Washington is playing lousy football and there is turmoil in the locker room. But the same thing was said about the Dolphins over a month ago and look how that has turned out. The switch at quarterback moved this line a full 1 1/2 points away from the Redskins. Why is the quarterback change a negative? Under RGIII the Skins have scored an average of 12.3 points per game the last four contests. The change at QB isn |
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12-09-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. Chicago Bears OVER 47.5 | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
159 Dallas at Chicago
A lot of money came in on the unders yesterday based on the cold weather forecasts along with snow flurries. While the weather obviously played a major part in Philadelphia with the snow accumulation, overall it wasn |
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12-08-13 | Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints -3 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 77 h 35 m | Show | |
142 Carolina at New Orleans
The Saints own the yards per play advantage 0.6 to 0.2 while the Panthers have the points per play edge .15 to .07. Carolina defends the run well but that |
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12-08-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers -2.5 | 17-19 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 32 m | Show | |
156 Seattle at San Francisco
Stop the season now and put the Seahawks in the Super Bowl. That |
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12-08-13 | Detroit Lions v. Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 54.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 69 h 7 m | Show | |
144 Detroit at Philadelphia
The Eagles offensive strength this season has been the running game, but that |
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12-08-13 | Detroit Lions v. Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 69 h 6 m | Show | |
144 Detroit at Philadelphia
Not the greatest of situations here for a domed team playing in what is expected to be 30 degree weather with rainstorms. Detroit has long struggled on the divisional road in cold cities like Green Bay and Chicago. In fact, the Lions are 1-11 straight up the last six years in those spots. Philadelphia weather isn |
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