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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-29-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 94-89 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (8* 76ers) The 76ers got in an early hole in Game 1 and were never able to recover, but I think the visitors will at the very least take this one right down to the wire. The 76ers averaged 122 points in their series win over the Nets, while allowing 110.8. Toronto has been getting the job done defensively so far in the playoffs, allowing only 92.5 PPG. Overall though the Raptors are averaging just 106.7 PPG. The playoffs are all about making adjustments. This has been a matchup problem for Philadelphia, but I think the 76ers’ depth keeps this one competitive late. Note as well that Philly is 8-1 ATS this year off a loss vs. a division rival, while the Raptors are only 21-23 as a home favorite this season. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Raptors. |
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04-28-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 121 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* TRADE-MARK) I think Game 1 is going to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG in their series win over the Pacers, while allowing only 91.8. Kyrie Irving led the Celtics with 22.5 points, 4.5 boards and 7.8 assists per game. Milwaukee averaged 121.8 PPG in its series win over the Pistons, while allowing 98. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the way for the Bucks with 26.3 points, 12 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. Note though that Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last five on the road, while Milwaukee is a poor 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 when playing on three or more days of rest. I think the Celtics’ depth and experience will keep this series and especially Game 1 competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Bucks. |
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04-27-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -5.5 | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 31 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (8* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams did well in the first round. Each lost their respective first games, but then recover to sweep the next four. The 76ers averaged 122.4 points and allowed 111.4 vs. the Nets and they are led by Joel Embiid with 24.8 points and 13.5 boards per game. Embiid is going to have his hands full with veteran Raptors big men Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol. Toronto has to be feeling confident here as well as it took three of four in the regular season series. Toronto averaged 106.4 PPG in the win over the Nets, while allowing only 92. Additionally note that Philadelphia is just 19-24 ATS on the road this year and only 8-16 ATS after a win by ten points or more, while Toronto is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 after a covers as a double digit favorite. This is a bad matchup for Embiid and company. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-107 Raptors. |
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04-23-19 | Nets +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 100-122 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* GAME OF WEEK) I had a play on the Nets in Game 4 and I lost that play, the only NBA play of the four that I released on the weekend that lost. After winning Game 1 the Nets have faltered as the 76ers have taken three straight. However, with its back against the wall, I like Brooklyn to step up here and get the job done. I also don’t think that the outright win is out of the question. Consistency from game to game has plagued the 76ers all year and while they’ve seemingly gotten it together over the last week, I’m not fully convinced quite yet until I do indeed see them finish the deal. The Nets have admittedly disappointed over the last couple of games, but we don’t have to question their drive in this one. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to deliver the goods. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Nets. |
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04-21-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +9 | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 53 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think the Clippers keep this crucial Game 4 competitive. The outright win isn’t out of the question, but I’ll recommend grabbing the points. After rolling to a 132-105 win in Game 3, I think the Warriors come out flat here. The Clippers know they can’t go back to Golden State down 3-1 and expect to win this series, so with the home side laying everything on the line, I do indeed expect a “nail biter” until the end. The Clippers have the offensive firepower to keep pace with Golden State and they won’t be lacking for motivation tonight. Additionally note that Golden State is still a horrible 16-20 ATS as a road favorite this season, while LA is a solid 16-8 ATS in its last 24 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Warriors. |
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04-20-19 | 76ers v. Nets +3 | 112-108 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Nets came out and took Game 1 quite easily, but since then it’s been all Philadelphia, coming off back-to-back blowout victories, including Game 3 in Brooklyn. It’s now time for the Nets to respond in this crucial situation, as 3-1 hole heading back to Philadelphia is clearly not ideal. Brooklyn does have the depth to hang with the 76ers, but the Nets have struggled with consistency at times over the last two games. But I think that changes in Game 4, and the numbers support that, as note that Philadelphia is just 4-10 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less this year and only 1-6 ATS off a road win by ten points or more, while Brooklyn is 15-7 ATS this season revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-115 Nets. |
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04-19-19 | Raptors v. Magic +4.5 | Top | 98-93 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* SHOCKER OF THE YEAR) Orlando dominated the second half of the regular season and it came out and accomplished exactly what it wanted to in Toronto to open this series, earning a “split” by handily taking Game 1. The Raptors bounced back in Game 2, but I smell another slight upset in Game 3 as I look for the home side to ride the wave of emotion. Of course the Magic would have loved to have taken both games from the Raptors, but that’s not realistic. A split was the goal and with that goal having already been accomplished after the first game, the Magic took the foot off the gas in Game 2. It’ll be full speed ahead though in Game 3. These teams are evenly matched, but I think the home floor advantage is significant here. Note as well that Toronto is a terrible 11-14 ATS this season as a road favorite, while Orlando is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a home dog. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Magic. |
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04-18-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +9 | 132-105 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (9* BANKROLL BUILDER). With DeMarcus Cousins sidelined with injury for the rest of the year and coming off one of the biggest upset losses in NBA playoff history, I think the Warriors are more susceptible than ever right now. Clearly the Clippers have the firepower and heart to hand with Golden State, so the big question is, will LA have a predictable letdown here after that epic win? In my opinion, the answer is no. It was a big victory, but in the end the series is only tied 1-1. Now the Clippers can smell the blood in the water with the injury to Cousins. Outright win? Possible. But in a contest which i see coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-114 Warriors. |
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04-16-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 57 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* GAME OF WEEK) After three straight wins, I think the Spurs have a letdown here. San Antonio scored the major upset in Game 1 and with the “split” accomplished, I think that the Spurs predictably come up short here (just like the Nets did last night in their blowout loss to the 76ers!) It’s an identical situation. The 76ers had a great overall year, yet it would have basically all gone to waste if it didn’t buckle down and take care of business in Game 2. And now that’s exactly the same situation that the Nuggets find themselves in. San Antonio is still just 11-12 ATS as a road dog this year, while Denver is still 23-16 ATS as a home favorite (also 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two days rest.) Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 112-98 Nuggets. |
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04-16-19 | Magic +9.5 v. Raptors | 82-111 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 22 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (8* BLOWOUT) I had a play on Orlando in its Game 1 upset and while I didn’t call for the outright straight win in Game 1, I’m also not calling for an outright win here either. Rather, in a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time tonight, I’m going to grab the ample points as I once again expect another tight battle until the end. Note that Orlando won Game 1 despite star big man Nikola Vucevic going only 3 of 11 from the floor. Note that Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning SU records, while Orlando is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU win. Is there any better scenario for Kawhi Leonard to leave in if the Raptors go out in the first round? Leonard had a great regular season and he won’t have any attachment to this team if a first round exit occurs. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Raptors. |
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04-15-19 | Clippers +14 v. Warriors | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 35 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Clippers (8*) The Warriors pretty much had their way with the Clippers in Game 1. But the playoffs are all about adjustments from game to game and I think the talented Clippers can keep Game 2 much closer than what this spread would suggest. They gave up 121 points in Game 1, but during the regular season they averaged 115.1 PPG themselves. LA has the firepower to match pace today and while the Warriors clearly won’t be taking the foot off the gas either, everything points to a competitive battle in my opinion. LA is 3-1 ATS this season revenging four or more loss vs. an opponent in the last two years. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 120-115 Warriors |
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04-15-19 | Nets +7.5 v. 76ers | 123-145 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: 76ers (8*) I had a play on the “under” in the Nets’ 103-92 Game 1 victory. In Game 2 I like the home side to bounce back with a resounding victory. The main goal of any visiting team in the first round of the playoffs is to simply earn a “split,” so as to gain control of the “home court advantage” moving forward. With that task accomplished, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here from Brooklyn. The Nets are a deep team, but their inconsistency on the road (just 7-8 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range) will be their downfall tonight in my opinion. Philly on the other hand is still 12-7 ATS this year as a home favorite in the same points range. I’m laying the points and expecting a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 118-107 76ers. WRONG TEAM CHOSEN: This is a play on the 76ers..not the Nets. Sorry for the confusion...play entering mistake! |
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04-14-19 | Pistons v. Bucks -12 | Top | 86-121 | Win | 100 | 58 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Bucks (10* BEST OF BEST) I’m expecting a decisive blowout here. Detroit won its final two regular season games to qualify for the eight spot. The Pistons reward? A date vs. Milwaukee, a team it went 0-4 against in the regular season. The Pistons average 107 PPG and they allow 107.3. The Bucks average 118.1 PPG and they allow 109.3. Milwaukee is 12-3 ATS vs. the division this year, while Detroit is just 6-9 ATS in the same position. Like the Warriors did last night, look for the No. 1 seed in the East to deliver a message here as well. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Bucks. |
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04-13-19 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 37 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK) These are two hard-nosed defensive minded clubs, but I believe they’ll engage in an up-tempo “shootout” to open this series. I think these teams are evenly matched. The Spurs averaged 111.7 PPG and they allowed 110, while Denver averaged 110.7 PPG, while allowing 106.7. Note though that the Spurs are a perfect 5-0 ATS this year trying to revenge a road blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more, while Denver is interestingly only 33-34 ATS this season vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Denver. |
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04-09-19 | Hornets v. Cavs +7 | Top | 124-97 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* TRADE-MARK) The Cavaliers are looking to snap a nine-game slide, while also looking to play spoiler here to the Hornets, who are in a dog fight until the end for one of the final spots in the East. Overall the Hornets average 110.5 PPG, while allowing 111.9. The Cavs average 104.6 PPG, while conceding 114. I’ll point out though that the Hornets are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Cleveland is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. Expect the home side to push this one to the brink. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Hornets. |
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04-07-19 | Clippers +11.5 v. Warriors | Top | 104-131 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* GAME OF THE MONTH) The Clippers are in a dog fight for one of the final spot in the West. They’ll be eager to get back on track here and to try and score the upset win after a 135-103 home loss to Houston and a 122-117 setback to the Lakers. “(If) we lose a couple more, we’ll be in the eight seed,” head coach Doc Rivers admitted, preceding that comment with some sarcasm. “That would be really smart on our part. (The seeding) matters. It absolutely matters. I don’t think anybody wants to go play Golden State. If we have to, we’ll be ready. But my guess is the other seven teams aren’t volunteering. That’s all I’m going to say.” Golden State is on the verge of clinching the Western Conference, but after four straight wins, I think the home side comes in a bit complacent here. Outright upset? Nah! But grab the points and expect a battle until the final moments. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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04-03-19 | Spurs +4.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 85-113 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Spurs (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Spurs are trying desperately to avoid eighth spot in the West, which would almost assuredly mean a matchup with the Warriors. San Antonio handled the Hawks 117-111 at home last night and I think they carry that momentum over into the first game of their final road trip of the year. Denver on the other hand was busy losing 116-102 to the Warriors last night and I think it comes in still collectively caught up on that setback. Note that the Spurs are 32-22 ATS this year vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest, while Denver is just 6-9 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. This one comes down to the wire, so grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Spurs. |
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04-01-19 | Hornets v. Jazz -11.5 | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz (10* MONEY-MAKER) Utah has won four straight over some pretty mediocre competition, but it finds itself in another favorable situation here, facing a Hornets team that comes in off a blowout loss in Golden State just last night. The Hornets would need to sweep the board and get outside help to make the playoffs at this point, while Utah is looking to gain ground. From a situational stand point, this one sets up fantastically for the home side. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Jazz. |
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03-30-19 | Blazers v. Pistons -3 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Blazers come in off a big win on the road over Atlanta just last night. Detroit plays with the immediate revenge factor here after falling 117-112 in Portland just last week. The Pistons are in sixth spot in the East, but only 1.5 games ahead of ninth place Orlando, who they picked up a win over in their last outing. Note that Portland is 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing the second game of a back-to-back, while Detroit is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. Detroit is in a dog fight as it looks to maintain positioning and I expect it to make the most of this situation. T.M. Prediction: 114-103 Detroit. |
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03-29-19 | Wizards +12.5 v. Jazz | Top | 124-128 | Win | 100 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Wizards have essentially been eliminated from the playoffs, s they’d need to sweep their remaining six games, while also getting a lot of outside help. The odds are against Washington tremendously, but after breaking a five-game slide with a win over Phoenix last time out, clearly it hasn’t quite thrown in the towel yet. The Jazz come in on the other end of the spectrum having won four straight. Will they “get caught looking past” their lowly non-conference opponent tonight? I think the answer to that is: “very possibly!” Note that Washington is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while Utah is just 10-16 ATS this season after having won three of its last four games. I’m grabbing all these points. T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Utah. |
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03-26-19 | Magic v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Magic torched the 76ers at home just last night, but I think they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back to back vs. a Heat team fighting for one of the final playoff spots in the East. Also note that Miami plays with “revenge” here after losing two of three in the season series. Note that the Magic are just 5-8 in the second game of back-to-backs this year, averaging 110.8 PPG and allowing 112.2 in those situations. The Heat return home rested after demolishing the Wizards on the road Saturday. Now tied with Orlando for the final spot, clearly the home side will be looking to push the pace from start to finish. Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games. vs. a team with a losing road record, while Orlando is 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road. T.M. Prediction: 110-95 Heat. |
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03-25-19 | Nets +6 v. Blazers | Top | 144-148 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Nets come in with some momentum here after back-to-back wins over the Lakers and Kings. Portland comes in having won three straight vs. Detroit, Dallas and Indiana. Two teams hungry for more wins to bolster their playoff positioning from difference conferences collide and I’m expecting a battle until the end. The Nets just held the Lakers offense to 38.5 percent shooting. The Nets are 61-44 ATS in their last 10 as a road underdog (including a money-making 17-14 this season), while Portland is just 12-21 ATS in its last 33 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range (including only 4-6 this year.) Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Nets. |
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03-24-19 | Nuggets v. Pacers +1.5 | Top | 88-124 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10* BLACK-LABEL) Denver smashed the Knicks 111-93 on the road on Friday, while the Pacers return home to friendly confines off a humbling 0-4 Western Conference road trip, including a 112-89 setback to Golden State on Thursday. Part of their losing road trip included a 102-100 loss in Denver on March 16th. With a chance to avenge that loss and to break the four-game slide, I look for the home side to risk life and limb here as it tries to get back into the playoff hunt. Denver comes in complacent at the end of its trip and note that it’s just 1-3 ATS in its last four after six or more SU wins. Additionally note that the Pacers are already 4-1 ATS this year as a home dog of six points or less. T.M. Prediction: 108-103 Pacers. |
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03-23-19 | Suns +10 v. Kings | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 30 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Kings are desperately trying to post some wins to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Suns won’t be in the playoffs, but they’ll be trying to play spoiler here. The Kings come in off a win over the Mavericks, but after three straight losses, including a blowout setback at home to the Pistons, I think the Suns will give Sacramento everything it can handle tonight. Note that Phoenix is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 after two straight blowout losses of 15 points or more, while Sacramento is still only 6-8 ATS vs. the division. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-114 Kings. |
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03-21-19 | Pistons -6.5 v. Suns | Top | 118-98 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Detroit’s been playing a lot better since the All Star break. After back-to-back wins over the Lakers and Raptors, the Pistons will be out to atone for a lacklustre effort vs. the Cavs in their last game. After a three week surge about a month ago, the Suns have predictably come back down to Earth and they enter off a deflating loss at home to the lowly Bulls. Phoenix has struggled in this spot for bettors for quite some time, going just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games vs. teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400, while Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. I’m laying the points and expecting the Pistons to get back on track in this favorable spot. T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Pistons. |
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03-20-19 | Jazz v. Knicks +12 | Top | 137-116 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Outright upset? Probably not. But I think the visitors come in complacent and get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. The Jazz come in off a 116-95 road win over Washington on Monday, while the Knicks were killed 128-92 on the road in Toronto on Monday. Not surprisingly the home side plays with revenge here after falling 129-97 in the first matchup of the season in Utah back on December 29th. Utah’s won four straight, but with a game tomorrow night in Atlanta, it’s not to difficult to see the visitors also getting caught “looking past” their opponent as well. Additionally note that Utah is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while New York is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog in the same points range. Yes the Knicks are just counting down the minutes to the off-season, but this one sets up great from a situational stand point. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 107-105 Utah. |
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03-19-19 | Nets v. Kings -3.5 | Top | 123-121 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Nets have lost three straight on their current road trip and I think they’ll stumble again here in this difficult road venue. Sacramento’s playoff hopes are fading, but it comes in with momentum after breaking a three-game slide by knocking off the Bulls on Sunday. I think the Nets are still mentally caught up on their last loss, giving up a ten point lead in the final minute and losing on a last second three-pointer by one point. The Kings clearly haven’t thrown in the towel yet and I think they keep the momentum rolling tonight. Not as well that Brooklyn is just 1-5 ATS in its last six against teams with a losing SU record, while the Kings are 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 121-110 Kings. |
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03-18-19 | Jazz v. Wizards +4 | Top | 116-95 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (10* MONEY-MAKER) Utah comes in off a satisfying 114-98 home win over the Nets on Saturday, while the Wizards got back on track in the Nation’s capital with a come from behind 135-128 home win over the Grizzlies. The Jazz got things turned around during a four-game home stand, going 3-1, including posting three straight victories. Utah averages 110.1 PPG and it allows 106.4. The Wizards average 114.6 PPG and they allow 116.9. But the Jazz find themselves in a classic “trap” game here. Winning at home is one thing, but Utah’s achilles heel has been its play on the road. The Wizards aren’t going down without a fight in the weak Eastern Conference and I believe they’ll take their complacent opponent down to the wire. Note as well that Utah is just 11-12 ATS this year off a home victory, while Washington is 7-2 ATS as a home underdog. I smell an upset. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Wizards. |
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03-16-19 | Pacers +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10*) The Pacers have won back-to-back games. So have the Nuggets. Both teams will be in the postseason and I don’t expect either to go down without a fight tonight. Indiana comes in off a big come from behind win over OKC at home and I look for it to carry that momentum over here. Indiana is 12-7 ATS this year after playing two straight home games, while Denver is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 vs. good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Pacers. |
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03-16-19 | Grizzlies v. Wizards -2.5 | 128-135 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (8*) The Wizards stumbled on Friday at home to Charlotte, but I think it’ll bounce back here and avenge a 107-95 loss to the Grizzlies that it suffered at the start of the season. Memphis enters off a 132-11 loss at Atlanta on Wednesday. Memphis averages only 101.8 PPG, while allowing 104.1. The Wizards are an impressive 8-4 in the second game of back to backs this season, averaging 115 points and allowing 114.4 in those contests. The Wizards are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. teams with losing SU records, while the Grizz are only 6-15 ATS in their last 21 on the road. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 118-104 Wizards. |
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03-14-19 | Lakers v. Raptors -9.5 | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 27 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (8*) The Lakers have been hit or miss this year. They’ve been terrible against the “better” competition. They’ve struggled against “deep” teams, and that is exactly what Toronto is all about. The Raptors are one game behind the Bucks in the standings now after dropping two of three. I expect the home side to come in very focused and to take advantage here. Note that LA is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven when playing on one days rest, while the Raptors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five after a SU loss of more than ten points. T.M. Prediction: 130-115 Raptors. |
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03-14-19 | Thunder v. Pacers -1 | 106-108 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (8*) A family emergency has me scrambling this morning an unable to do my normal detailed analysis. This pick is based upon the fact that the Thunder played a tough game at home last night vs. the Nets, one which the were forced to play catch up in the entire night. OKC came out on top, but I think it’ll struggle here in the second game of the back-to-back. Note that the Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten at home, while the Thunder are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight when playing the second game of a back-to-back. T.M. Prediction: 114-107 Pacers. |
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03-13-19 | Jazz v. Suns +7 | Top | 114-97 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10:05 EST). The Jazz have been playing terribly of late and the Suns have been playing great. I think those trends continue here. Utah enters off consecutive losses to the Thunder and Grizzlies, while the Suns come in off an epic road win at Golden State. Devin Booker had 37 points, eight boards, 11 assists and two steals in the win over the Warriors. The Suns are healthy and confident. The Jazz are in complete disarray and note that they’re a terrible 5-8 ATS in their last 13 as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Utah. |
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03-11-19 | Hornets +9 v. Rockets | Top | 106-118 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK) Clearly the Rockets are the better team, but I think the home side will lets its guard down enough to allow the hungry Hornets to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Charlotte has no more room for error at this point after losing three of its last four. While the outright upset is likely out of the question, we don’t have to question the visitors resolve and focus this evening. But after winning eight straight, including a tiger than expected win over the Mavericks on Sunday, I think the Rockets do come out flat here vs. their lowly non-conference opponent. Note as well that Charlotte is 6-3 ATS already this season revenging a home loss vs. an opponent, while the Rockets are just 11-14 ATS in non-conference contests. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Rockets. |
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03-10-19 | Suns +17 v. Warriors | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Suns had won four of five before a 127-117 setback in Portland last night. Phoenix won’t be resting anyone tonight though, but Golden State most likely will. After losing badly to Boston, the Warriors bounced back with a big win over the Nuggets in their last outing. The one thing that Golden State though has shown this season (especially in the second half) is inconsistency from game to game and it’s also often played down to the level of its competition. I think the Suns got caught looking ahead to this more high profile contest last night. Outright win? Nope. But closer than expected. Note that Phoenix is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while Golden State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after leading its previous game by 15 or points at the half. T.M. Prediction: 120-114 Warriors. |
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03-08-19 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5.5 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (8* FIST FIGHT) Both teams come in off victories. Utah held on for a 114-104 road win over New Orleans, while the Grizzlies got the better of the Blazers 120-111 at home on Tuesday. Memphis has taken two of three in the season series, but Utah won last time out 96-88 on the road back on November 12th. Utah averages 110.3 PPG and it allows 106.8. The Grizzlies got 40 points from Mike Conley in their latest win as the super star finally starts to round into his own after a significant injury and with the focus of the team shifting now that big man Marc Gasol is gone. Overall the Grizz have averaged 101.5 PPG and allowed just 103.8. Note that Utah is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 105 points or more in five straight games, while Memphis is 9-3 ATS this season when playing with two days of rest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Utah. |
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03-08-19 | Mavs +7 v. Magic | Top | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* GAME OF MONTH) Both teams are on the outside of the playoff picture looking in. Chances are pretty slim for either obviously. Dallas comes in off a 132-123 road loss in the nation’s capital, while Orlando lost 114-106 in Philadelphia on Tuesday. Dallas beat Orlando 101-76 at home in early December and I believe it has a legitimate shot at the outright upset here as well. The Mavericks certainly won’t be lacking for motivation after losing three straight and eight of their last nine. Dallas averages 108.2 PPG and it allows 109.8. But a date against the equally as inept Magic is just what the doctor ordered in my opinion. Orlando has now lost two straight. The Magic average 105.9 PPG and they allow 106.8. Dallas though is still a solid 17-9 ATS in non-conference games, while Orlando is just 2-8 ATS when playing with two days rest and only 12-14 ATS in non-conference games this season. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Orlando. |
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03-06-19 | Celtics v. Kings +1 | Top | 111-109 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Kings have been a nice surprise in the Western Conference, but clearly the Celtics are the better team. Boston has been waffling of late, but after its big blowout win at Golden State just last night, I think the visitors will stumble here in the second game of the back to back. The Kings are desperate for a win, as they’ve gone 2-4 since the All Star break, moving them back into the ninth spot in the West. Note as well that the Kings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home and 7-2 ATS in their last nine vs. a team with a losing road record. Expect the hungry home side to step up and take advantage here. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Kings. |
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03-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 107-95 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10*) It would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these teams. Both come in playing at a very high level. Toronto has won ten of its last 12 and Houston has won five in a row, including a convincing win in Boston last time out. Toronto though plays with revenge here after falling 121-119 in Houston earlier in the season and I think that’ll be the difference this evening. Houston stumbles finally in this difficult road arena and at the end of its lengthy Eastern trip. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 Toronto. |
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03-05-19 | Bulls +8.5 v. Pacers | 96-105 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bulls (8*) The Bulls come in “under the radar” here. Chicago comes in as the highest scoring team in the league over the last ten games. The Bulls are finally healthy, led by Lauri Markanen with 25 points and 12.9 boards during the recent offensive surge. Chicago also plays with “triple in-season revenge” here. The Pacers are heading in the opposite direction now having dropped three of four, most recently an upset loss at home to the lowly Magic. Note as well that Chicago is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points, while Indiana is just 2-3 ATS this year after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-102 Pacers. |
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03-04-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs +1 | Top | 103-104 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK) These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions. The Nuggets come to town having lost two straight, most recently a 120-112 upset at home to New Orleans. San Antonio crushed OKC 116-102 at home on Saturday and it’s now won two straight after a poor road trip. These teams have split a pair of games this year, but I think the momentum that the Spurs have created recently gets carried over. Note as well that Denver is a terrible 2-8 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while San Antonio is 12-2 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Spurs. |
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03-03-19 | Blazers v. Hornets +3 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Blazers big post All Star run came to a crashing halt in a 119-117 road loss in Toronto on Friday and I think they’re ripe for the picking here as their marathon road trip comes to an end. The Hornets also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 127-96 on the road in the first meeting on January 11th. The Hornets broke a three-game slide with a quality road win in Brooklyn in their last game and they still hold the final spot in the Eastern Conference playoff race. It’s a golden opportunity for the home side here and I expect it to make the most of it. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Hornets. |
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03-02-19 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -13 | Top | 120-112 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER) No need to overthink this one. The Pelicans’ big man Anthony Davis is sitting out after New Orleans’ 130-116 win over Phoenix, so we can expect the home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish in the thin mountain air. Denver comes in off a loss to the Jazz, but previous to that it had won five straight. Denver is also 8-2 ATS in its last ten at home,. while New Orleans is just 2-7 ATS in its lats nine in the second game of a back-to-back after winning the first by ten or more points. This one has blowout written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 128-108 Denver. |
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03-01-19 | Hornets +3.5 v. Nets | Top | 123-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK) Both teams come in off losses. The Hornets fell 118-113 at home to the Rockets, while the Nets were upended 125-116 at home to Washington. The Hornets play with revenge here though after falling 117-115 at home to the Nets on February 23rd. Both teams need victories and clearly they’re very evenly matched (as evidenced by their game last week and by tonight’s spread.) The Hornets though are 5-1 ATS in their last six revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Sometimes, not always, the “revenge” angle “works.” That’s the case here. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-113 Hornets. |
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02-28-19 | Warriors -6 v. Magic | Top | 96-103 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (7:05 EST). Orlando comes in off a deflating 108-103 road loss to the Knicks. The Warriors come to town off a 126-125 loss in Miami just last night. Golden State let the Heat back into the game late and an improbable last second 3-point shot by Dwayne Wade sealed the defending champs fate. A loss like that can be devastating for some teams, even in the middle of the regular season, but for the defending champs, it’s just another day at the office. The Warriors’ veterans quickly turn the page in my opinion and bounce back with a big effort in this favorable spot. Note that the Warriors are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after playing two consecutive road games, while the Magic are just 6-7 ATS as a home underdog of six points or less. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 120-106 Warriors. |
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02-27-19 | Clippers +9.5 v. Jazz | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 10* play on the LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams come in off wins over the Mavericks. Neither side has been playing particularly well since the All Star break though. But LA has many ATS advantages working in its favor today and I think that’ll be the difference. Note that the Clippers are 5-1 ATS revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, while Utah is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a home win by ten points or more. I’m banking on the hungry visiting side taking this one down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Jazz. |
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02-26-19 | Thunder +3.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-121 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder (10* GAME OF HTE WEEK) It’s a big divisional game, but the Thunder play with double revenge here after dropping both previous meetings. Both teams have been playing well over the last two months, but I think that OKC has made bigger strides in that time. The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the league since the start, but its early wins over OKC are skewed. That was then and this is now. Note that the Thunder are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent. And note that the Nuggets are just 1-2 ATS this season after two straight wins by ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 120-117 Thunder. |
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02-24-19 | Spurs v. Knicks +8.5 | Top | 118-130 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* MONEY-MAKER) San Antonio has looked great at time this year. It’s also looked downright atrocious. Injuries have once again been an issue for Greg Popovich this season, but after their 120-117 road loss in Toronto last time out, I think that the Spurs have a mental letdown here. The Knicks have been a “work in progress” all year and that’s the case again tonight after their most recent 115-104 home loss to the Wolves. But San Antonio has been at its worst on the road and I think the hungry home side has a very real shot at an outright upset. The Spurs are just 1-5 during their current road trip. San Antonio is also only 4-6 ATS this year as a road favorite. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 San Antonio. |
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02-22-19 | Nuggets v. Mavs +4 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -113 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK) I think the time off does the Mavs good and I believe the break came at a bad time for the Nuggets. Denver scored the 120-118 home win over the Kings in its final game before the All Star festivities. Dallas lost 112-101 at home to the Heat last Wednesday. Dallas plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well after falling 126-118 in Denver back on December 18th in the first meeting between the clubs. I believe the extra time off throws a monkey wrench into the Nuggets chemistry. The Mavs though can’t take anything for granted here after losing three of their last four. Note as well that Denver is just 1-4 ATS this year when playing with three or more days rest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Mavericks. |
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02-21-19 | Heat +6.5 v. 76ers | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think Miami comes in under the radar here and takes advantage of a Philadelphia team which will be without the services of big man Joel Embiid. Miami enters off a 112-101 road win over Dallas on Wednesday, while the 76ers knocked off the Knicks 126-111 in their final game before the break. This is a revenge game though for the visitors after Embiid and company took care of business in Miami 124-114 back on November 12th. Miami comes in motivated as its locked in a tie for the eighth spot in the East currently. The Heat come in rested as well and note that they’re a money-making 12-7 ATS as a road underdog already this season. The 76ers come in undermanned and note that they’re a money-burning 5-9 ATS already this year after a blowout win by 15 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Philadelphia. |
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02-13-19 | Rockets v. Wolves +3 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* TRADE-MARK) Houston is 4-1 in its last five, but it comes in off a loss to Dallas and I think it’ll stumble here against the hungry home side, which broke a four-game slide with a win over the Clippers in its most recent action. The Rockets have been playing fantastically overall of late, but one has to wonder how long James Harden can play at such a high level? If the diminutive shooter takes the foot off the gas for even a moment, then the Rockets are in trouble. The Wolves won the first matchup between the clubs 103-91 on December 3rd and clearly they also have a legitimate shot at taking this one outright as well. Houston is only 6-11 ATS as a road favorite this year, while Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog. T.M. Prediction: 117-113 Wolves. |
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02-12-19 | Lakers -5 v. Hawks | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The Lakers hit a buzzer beater to sink the C’s in Boston, but they came out flat in the second half of their last game vs. the 76ers and got blown away in the end. With this much more “winnable” contest up next, I fully expect “The King” to bring his A game tonight and to take full advantage. The Hawks enter off a 124-108 home loss to Orlando. The Lakers won’t be taking anything for granted here either as when these teams met in LA back on November 11th, they barely escaped with the 107-106 victory. So far LA averages 112.2 PPG, while allowing 113.4. The Hawks average 110.9 PPG and they allow 118.5. I’ll point out though that the Lakers are still 5-2 ATS in their last seven on the road and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss, while Atlanta is interestingly only 7-20 ATS in its last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 126-110 Lakers. |
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02-10-19 | Heat +14.5 v. Warriors | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* BLOOD-BATH) Miami upset the Blazers in Portland, but they’d run out of gas in a loss in Sacramento in its last outing. The Heat though come in “hungry” as they cling to the eighth spot in the East. The Warriors are off a 117-107 win at Phoenix, but I think they’ll suffer a bit of a letdown here vs. their lowly non-conference opponent today. The Warriors have big upcoming games against Western conference opponents Utah, Portland, Sacramento and Houston up next, so I think the home side also gets caught “looking ahead.” I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I do absolutely feel that the stage is set for a very competitive battle. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Warriors. |
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02-09-19 | Clippers +12 v. Celtics | Top | 123-112 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) LA came out flat in a 116-92 road loss in Indiana, but I believe this talented visiting side will bounce back with a much better effort here vs. a Celtics team which enters off a deflating 125-124 home loss the Lakers. And it was the way in which the C’s lost to the Lakers, as ex-Boston star Rajon Rondo would hit the game winning jumper with time winding off the clock. I absolutely believe that Boston will be still hung up on that game mentally. LA on the other hand comes in razor focused after losing four of its last six. Note as well that LA already 9-4 ATS this year off a road loss, while Boston is a terrible 8-12 ATS in non-conference games. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-110 Boston. |
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02-08-19 | Heat v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* TRADE-MARK) The Heat come in off a big road win over the Blazers and I think they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here vs. the up-tempo and hungry Kings, who are looking to bounce back after a loss to Houston in their most recent action. The Heat average 105.2 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Kings average 113.5 PPG and they allow 115.1. From a situational stand point, this one sets up great for the Kings in my opinion. Also note that Miami is 0-4 ATS in its last four after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game, while Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss and 13-3 ATS in its last 16 vs. a team with a losing record. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Kings. |
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02-07-19 | Raptors v. Hawks +9 | Top | 119-101 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: ATL Hawks (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely believe that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. The Raptors look poised for a letdown here after their big 119-107 win at Philadelphia on Tuesday. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well, as Toronto has taken six straight in the series, including both this year. However, the Hawks are playing some of their best ball of the season right now and I believe they carry that momentum over here (just beat Washington 137-129 on the road!) Note that Toronto is just 2-6 ATS this year following a divisional contest, while the Hawks are 6-4 ATS in the same position and 4-1 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Raptors. |
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02-06-19 | Spurs +11 v. Warriors | Top | 102-141 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK) I got down on this one early and the line has since gone up after the news that the Spurs will be resting both DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge. I’m stuck with the pick obviously, but I do think that the undermanned Spurs can keep this one interesting, against a Warriors team who will also be looking to get its starters a lot of rest after securing a lead. San Antonio had won five straight before a 127-112 loss at Sacramento, but I think it comes in “under the radar” here. The Warriors get caught looking past their opponent, complacent after winning ten of their last 11. San Antonio is still 15-8 ATS as an underdog this year, while GS is only 10-14 ATS as a home favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-115 Warriors. |
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02-05-19 | Lakers -3 v. Pacers | Top | 94-136 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Despite all of the turmoil that some of the players have had with head coach Luke Walton and putting aside all of the supposed trade rumours for Anthony Davis, I think that LeBron James and company will find a way to get the job done on the road here against a Pacers team which continues to soldier on without its best player, Victor Oladipo, who was lost to injury. LA comes in focused after a 115-101 road loss to the Warriors, while the Pacers come in complacent after their big road in New Orleans just last night. Note that the Lakers beat the Pacers 104-96 back on November 29th and I think an even bigger blowout is in store this evening. Additionally note that the Pacers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. teams with winning SU records, while LA is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 LA. |
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02-04-19 | Nuggets v. Pistons +4 | Top | 103-129 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* GAME OF WEEK) Denver’s won six straight, but I think it’ll have its hands full vs. the desperate Pistons team which enters off a poor setback at home to the Clippers. Detroit fell 111-101, but had the lead in that game for most of it. The Pistons now sit three games back for the eighth spot in the East. With much more “high profile” games upcoming against the Nets and Philadelphia during this Eastern swing, I also believe that this sets up as a look ahead spot for the visitors. Note as well that Denver is still only 5-8 ATS this year as a road favorite, while Detroit is 3-1 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 109-100 Pistons. |
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02-03-19 | Thunder v. Celtics -3 | Top | 129-134 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think the correct call here is on the home side. After seven straight victories, I believe the Thunder finally have a letdown in this difficult road arena. OKC comes in off a 118-102 road win over Miami, while Boston rolled to a 113-99 win over the Knicks on the road in their most recent action. Boston posted a 101-95 road victory in the first matchup this year and I think an even bigger blowout is in the cards here. The Thunder have difficulty against the better defensive clubs, and the C’s have been strong at the end of the floor, allowing just 105.5 PPG (ranked fifth). The numbers support us here as well, as note that OKC is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while Boston is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 vs. teams with a winning road record. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-110 C’s. |
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02-02-19 | 76ers v. Kings +3.5 | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The 76ers are just 13-13 on the road. Note that Philadelphia is resting both Wilson Chandler and JJ Reddick in this contest, two of the team’s best shooters. Off a huge road win over the defending champs, can anyone say “letdown spot” here?! The Kings have been better than expected this season and they’ve been at their best at home (15-10). In fact Sacramento has won five straight at home, winning by at least seven points each time. Note as well that the Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last six at home, while Philly is just 2-5 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less. Clearly I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 125-110 Kings. |
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02-01-19 | Grizzlies v. Hornets -4.5 | Top | 92-100 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* GAME OF MONTH) The Grizzlies enter off a deflating 99-97 OT road loss in Minnesota on Friday and think they’ll have their hands full here against a Hornets team also coming off a terrible road loss, falling 126-94 in Boston on Wednesday. But if recent history is any precedence, then for sure Charlotte has to be feeling confident here, because the first time these teams met in Memphis on January 23rd, the Hornets left with a convincing 118-107 road victory. The Grizz are just 10-16 ATS on the road overall this year. Memphis averages only 100.5 PPG, while allowing 103.8. Charlotte is 14-10 ATS at home and it averages 111.5 PPG, while allowing 111.4. Note as well that the Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. the West, while Memphis is just 2-10 ATS in its last 12 vs. the East. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 108-98 Hornets. |
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01-31-19 | Pacers v. Magic -2 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* TRADE MARK) No need to over think this one. The Magic have lost four straight, but they were competitive in a loss to the Thunder last time out. Orlando plays with revenge here though and it catches a Pacers team which was demolished in Washington just last night and which has lost three in a row itself. Indiana is tired and it’s playing out the rest of its season without its superstar Victor Oladipo, who was lost to injury. This one sets up beautifully for the home side, note as well that it’s 7-4 ATS in its last 11 in revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 111-100 Magic. |
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01-30-19 | Nuggets -8 v. Pelicans | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Pelicans posted an improbable 121-116 road victory in Houston last night without Anthony Davis in the line-up and I believe they’ll suffer a letdown here vs. the deep and talented Nuggets. Davis announced he won’t resign with New Orleans, but the Pelicans still managed to gut out a victory on the road in a difficult road venue. Can anyone say letdown spot?! Denver is tough on both ends of the floor and just held Memphis to 92 points in its most recent victory. After their big offensive outburst last night, I do indeed expect the Pelicans to take a predictable step back this evening. Note as well that Denver is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Everything points to a lop-sided destruction, so lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 Nuggets. |
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01-29-19 | Wizards v. Cavs +6.5 | Top | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Wizards look ripe for a letdown here in my estimation after their 132-119 loss in San Antonio on Sunday. Cleveland on the other hand looks poised to build off its confidence building 104-101 road win in Chicago over the weekend. These clubs have split two meetings and the Cavs won at home, 116-101 back on December 8th. The Wizards are a poor 7-18 ATS on the road. The Cavs are only 9-15 ATS at home, but note that they’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight after a division game and 2-0 ATS in its last two off a road victory, while Washington is a disastrous 4-13 ATS this year after a non-conference contest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Cavs. |
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01-28-19 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +5 | Top | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Nuggets have emerged as one of the best teams in the league. When healthy the Nuggets are going to be able to compete with any team. They come into this one having won five of their last six. Denver averages 112 PPG and it allows 106.2. The Grizzlies broke an eight-game slide vs. the Pacers last time out and I think they’ll build off that effort with another decent performance here. Memphis has struggled offensively this year averaging only 100.8 PPG, but it’s been sharp defensively in allowing only 104. Note that Denver is still just 9-13 ATS on the road this season (and only 2-7 ATS vs. the Southwest division), while Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing four consecutive home games. I’m banking on a competitive affair, so grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 105-104 Grizzlies. |
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