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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-09-20 | Heat +7.5 v. Lakers | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Heat (10* TRADE-MARK). It was an all out war in Game 4 and the Heat only covered by a three-point shot at the buzzer. But now Miami is pushed firmly into the corner here, as it'll need to win outright to keep playing this year. Eric Spolestra has been magnificent with making adjustments and Jimmy Butler is a man on a mission. The Heat will be the aggressive ones here and I expect a battle until the final moment. I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 109-107 Lakers. |
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10-04-20 | Lakers v. Heat +9.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK). The Heat line closed at +10.5 in Game 2 and they managed to cover the spread in that one. Now that Bam Adebayo is back in the line-up for Game 3, I think Miami will at the very least, keep this contest solidly within single digits. Even without Dragic and Abedayo in the line-up, Miami covered in Game 2, but note that LA is still only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. the Eastern Conference. Miami on the other hand is still a sharp 13-4 ATS in its last 17 overall. Miami's Jimmy Butler said that his team would have to play "damn near perfect" to win this series and while that hasn't even come close to happening, it's mainly been because of injury issues. Now that Spolestra has had some time to figure things out, I like Miami to throw its "best shot" at The King and company. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 110-108 LA. |
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09-30-20 | Heat +5 v. Lakers | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -108 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* GOW). Both teams have been great in the bubble, but Miami has consistently been overlooked by its opponents and by the oddsmakers in my opinion and that's the case again tonight. Miami is tough defensively and I think that head coach Eric Spolestra will have a brilliant game-plan to take out his former player LeBron James and company. Miami shoots and defends the ball well. The Lakers are also interestingly just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Eastern Conference, while Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as an underdog in the +4.5 to +6.5 points range. The Lakers are top heavy with LBJ and Anthony Davis and I think that in Game 1, the Heat's depth prevails! T.M. Prediction: 110-107 Miami. |
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09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Heat (10* TRADE-MARK). Miami looked flat in its 121-108 Game 5 loss to Boston. Heat coach Eric Spolestra though has been a genius in the playoffs as his adjustments from game-to-game has kept his opponents guessing most nights. The Heat are getting a considerable amount of points again here and in a contest which I think'll be decided in the final moments, I think the prudent move is to definitely grab the points. If you're watching and wagering on this game, then the story lines and matchups are well known to you. These teams are evenly matched, but I think Miami does finally put the final nail in the coffin here, setting up the showdown with LeBron James and the Lakers. Miami had its worst shooting game of the series in Game 5 and I don't expect that to happen twice. Clearly the outright win is in play here, but in the end let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Miami. |
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09-22-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I think Denver is definitely being undervauled in this spot. The Nuggets have done extremely well in this position throughout the post-season, having already come back from two 3-1 series deficits to win in three games. The Lakers got a "lucky" three-point shot from Anthony Davis in Game 2 to win, but if he'd missed, then Denver had a legitimate shot at winning that game in OT and we'd be looking at Game 3 completely differently. The Lakers are going to be tested here now to see if they truly have that "killer" instinct, as Denver will be giving its "best shot" to try and avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole. Outright victory? Of course that's a very real possibility, but in the end I'm grabbing up all these points! T.M. Prediction: 108-106 Lakers. |
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09-19-20 | Celtics -3 v. Heat | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics (10* TRADE-MARK). Boston is once again favored in Game 3, despite being down 0-2. This is it for the Celtics, do or die, now or never. An 0-3 hole to this Miami Heat team will clearly be too much to climb out of, as Larry Bird isn't going to be walking through that door to save the day. The Celtics though have looked dominant at times in this series, but Miami has a real "mental" thing going against everyone right now. That's not something though that can last forever and I believe Boston finally comes out and gives a full four quarter effort. I expect the Heat to finally stumble here in a big way and that's why I'm laying the points in Game 3! T.M. Prediction: 106-100 Boston. |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets +7 v. Lakers | Top | 114-126 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams have struggled in the first games of their series so far in the playoffs. The Lakers lost the first game vs. the Blazers, before then winning four straight, and then they lost the first to the Rockets, before then posting four wins in a row. The Nuggets have had to come back from two 3-1 deficits to advance and I think they carry over their momentum from their recent epic upset of the Clippers. Denver is getting unbelievable play from big man Nikola Jokic and the Lakers are going to be forced to double him. The Nuggets' bench is producing and Denver has been "lights out" defensively. Also, the Lakers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six when playing on three or more days rest, while the Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last six as an underdog. Outright win?! Of course, but I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 104-102 Nuggets. |
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09-17-20 | Heat +2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Miami rolled to an impressive win in Game 1 and I think the Heat now have the blue-print to dominate in Game 2 as well. Boston jumped out to an early lead in Game 1, but Miami maintained its composure and then got better as the game progressed. I think the tables will be turned here though, as I look for the Heat to get out to the early lead today. Boston gave its best shot in Game 1 after its gruelling seven game series win over the Raptors and I think fatigue will play a major part in this game down the stretch. While clearly I think the outright win is possible, in the end let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 110-100 Miami. |
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09-15-20 | Nuggets +7.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-89 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER). Denver has once again come back from a 3-1 deficit and they're on the brink of eliminating the heavily favored Clippers. Do I think that they have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright?! I do! However, this one definitely has the feel of whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last is going to win. The Nuggets HAVE the blue-print now to beat LA and note that they're 5-0 straight up when facing elimination in 2020 so far. Expect this one to come down to the wire and grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 104-103 Clippers. |
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09-11-20 | Celtics v. Raptors +2.5 | Top | 92-87 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Boston screwed up big time in my estimation in Game 6. The Raptors looked experienced and battle tested in the OT victory and I think the defending champs are going to do it again here in Game 7. "Momentum" is a very real, tangible factor in the playoffs and I think that Toronto now has a clear "mental edge." These teams are evenly matched, but the Raptors experience is their trump card in this scenario. Finally take note that the Celtics are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after allowing 120 points or more in an OT loss in their previous outing. Outright win?! Of course, but in the end let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 104-100 Raptors. |
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09-09-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets +8 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -103 | 30 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: DENVER NUGGETS (10* TRADE-MARK). The Nuggets have looked good in back-to-back games vs. the Clippers and I think they'll once again give the favored side a run for its money today. The Clippers don't really have an answer for the Nuggets big men and I expect Denver to double down in that department today to get Nikola Jokic and company rolling early. The Nuggets have the talent and defensive prowess to hang with LA as well. Additionally note that the Nuggets are a sharp 5-0-1 ATS in their last six after allowing 100 points or more in their previous outing, while the Clippers are still just 1-5 ATS in their last six Conference Semifinal contests. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 111-109 LA. |
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09-08-20 | Lakers v. Rockets +5 | Top | 112-102 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockets (10* MONEY-MAKER). Game 1 was a blowout for the Rockets. Game 2 was a blowout for the Lakers. I think Game 3 is going to be the most competitive contest so far in this series and while I wouldn't be shocked by an outright win by the Rockets here, in a contest which I see coming right down to the wire, I'm going to recommend to grab the points. The strengths and weaknesses are well known for each team, so if you're wagering on this contest, you know all of the key players and story lines. Houston has already won a game outright in this series and note that it's still 5-2 ATS in its last seven playoff games as an underdog (and 17-8 ATS in its last 25 as an underdog overall.) The Lakers interestingly are a poor 3-10 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent scores 100 or more points in its previous outing. I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Lakers. |
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09-06-20 | Bucks +1 v. Heat | Top | 118-115 | Win | 100 | 22 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucks (10* MONEY-MAKER). I did not foresee the Heat playing as well as they have. Will they ever have a letdown? At some point it's inevitable and I believe that that moment is right now. The eyes of the basketball World are now on the Heat to try and complete this sweep, but I think the Bucks' two-time MVP will "will" his team to a victory here. Miami is interestingly just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 following a four games or longer SU/ATS unbeaten streak. No way the Bucks get swept, I'm all over Milwaukee in Game 4! T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Milwaukee. |
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09-04-20 | Rockets +6 v. Lakers | Top | 112-97 | Win | 100 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockets (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). I think the Lakers would have had a more difficult time vs. Chris Paul and the Thunder than they did with Portland. Houston was up 2-0 early vs. the Thunder, but it needed seven games in the end to advance. Houston is going to try and stretch the Lakers here, as LA is bigger in the paint. But the Rockets' guards are going to be a major mismatch for LA to contend with and at least in Game 1, I think Houston will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Houston. |
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09-03-20 | Raptors v. Celtics | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: RAPTORS (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). It's do or die time for Toronto here. Essentially anyways. Down 0-2, the Raptors' now need a new game-plan to handle the Celtics. This is the most adversity that the Raptors have faced since Round 2 last year when they overcame an 0-2 hole to beat the 76ers in seven games. I don't think the Raptors are going to get swept. They could even come back to win this series. What I am confident in though is that the Raptors are going to make some adjustments here to counter what they've seen so far from the C's. I'll also point out that Boston is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after holding its opponent to 100 points or more in its previous outing. I think Toronto finally finds a way in Game 3! T.M. Prediction: 111-104 Raptors. |
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08-31-20 | Rockets -5.5 v. Thunder | Top | 100-104 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Rockets (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Russell Westbrook is back and the Rockets won't let this golden opportunity go to put away the pesky Thunder for good. Houston annihilated OKC over the first two games, but the Thunder then "eeked out" two victories in Game's 3 and 4. But with Westbrook back in the line-up, the Rockets are just too deep and too talented on the offensive side for OKC to keep up with. Houston looked a lot better defensively last time out as well. The Rockets didn't play their best offensively last time out, but still won by 34 points. Lay the points, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Houston. |
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08-30-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +10.5 | Top | 111-97 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TOMAHAWK!). The deck is stacked against Luca Doncic and the Mavericks here. And that's because Kristaps Porzingis is out, sidelined with injury. Doncic is capable of winning this game on his own, but he'll need his role players to step up and have their biggest contribution thus far. I don't think Doncic is going to pull off another outright miracle here, but the extra time off to heal up his ankle will help and I do expect the desperate Mavs to at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded. Note that the Mavs are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine after allowing 150 points or more in a loss in their last outing. I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 122-118 LA. |
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08-30-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -2 | 112-94 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: RAPTORS (8* MONEY-MAKER). Kyle Lowry has been given the green light to play in this series and I believe the extra few days off in this one is going to highly benefit the defending champs. Boston is filled with great talent, but beating the Ben Simmon-less 76ers is one thing and getting past Toronto is obviously quite another. I think Toronto has the big men to easily slow down Jason Tatum and I like the role players of the Raptors better as well. Expect Toronto to draw first blood in this series and lay the short points! T.M. Prediction: 116-110 Toronto. |
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08-29-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -5 | Top | 80-114 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockets (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Whether Russell Westbrook plays or not for Houston, I like the Rockets to find a way to get the job done here after losing the last two games of this series. Houston annihilated the Thunder in Game's 1 and 2, but OKC has won the next two in two very tight affairs, in OT and then by three points in Game 4. Dennis Schroeder has been key in the Thunder's two wins, but I have a hard time seeing lightning strike a third time. And note that the Rockets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after back-to-back ATS/SU losses. I'm laying the points and expecting a rout! T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Houston. |
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08-25-20 | Mavs +6.5 v. Clippers | 111-154 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (8* SLAM-DUNK). It wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either team. Each is filled with exceptional talent and on any given night, either of these clubs can win. Dallas won in OT on a last second three-pointer from Luca Doncic in Game 4 to even up this series and that was without star teammate Kristaps Porzingis on the floor. And whether Porzingis plays here or not, I do indeed believe that the "momentum" that the Mavericks have created is real and I like Doncic and company to ride that wave of confidence to another victory here. Straight up? Very possibly, but note that the Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 125 points or more in their previous game (note that the Clips are a poor 2-6 ATS in their last eight after scoring 125 points or more in their previous outing.) I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 120-114 Dallas. |
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08-25-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets +3 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK). Honestly, I'm surprised at how well Utah has played against Denver. Donovan Mitchell has been the best player on the floor in this series, but the Nuggets' Jamal Murray has also been fantastic. So far Rudy Gobert has done a great job on guarding Nikola Jokic, but with their backs against the wall, I think that the Nuggets will perform their best thus far on both ends of the court and find a way to extend this series another game. The numbers/trends/stats support that theory as well, as note that the Nuggets are still 5-2 ATS the last seven in this series, while the Jazz are a terrible 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 when playing the role of favorite? Outright victory?! Of course, but why not grab the points as insurance! T.M. Prediction: 114-107 Denver. |
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08-22-20 | Pacers +5 v. Heat | Top | 115-124 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10* MONEY-MAKER). Miami went 3-1 vs. Indiana in the regular season and now it's up 2-0 in this series. The Heat are playing at a very high level right now and a "letdown" is about imminent in my opinion. The Blazers also appeared unbeatable until their eventual letdown in their Game 2 vs. the Lakers and I think an identical situation is going to occur here for the Heat as well. Miami is also a poor 2-5 ATS in its last seven when playing on just one days rest and only 7-20 ATS in its last 27 after an ATS victory, while Indiana is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight following an ATS loss and 12-4 ATS in its last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in its previous outing. Outright win?! Of course! That said, let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Pacers. |
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08-21-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +5 | Top | 130-122 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mavericks (10* PLAYOFF GOY). Dallas has both of its super stars performing at a very high level now, much better than what LA is getting out of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Clippers have injuries. Patrick Beverely is listed as questionable for this one and if he does play, one has to wonder what his form will be? I think it's also interesting to note that the Clippers committed 15 turnovers in Game 2 and they were unable to take advantage of Luca Doncic being hampered with foul trouble and only playing 28 minutes. I think Dallas is the better team right now. T.M. Prediction: 117-113 Mavericks. |
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08-20-20 | Magic v. Bucks -12.5 | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bucks (10*). The Bucks looked flat in Game 1 obviously. I fully expect Giannis Antetokounmpo (who had 31 points and 17 boards in Game 1), to put his team on his back and dominate from start to finish. The Bucks were 12-4 this year off a loss in the regular season and they won 12 of those contests by an average of 14.2 points. Milwaukee is also 11-3 ATS in its last 14 following a SU loss of more than ten points. Lay the points, expect a rout! T.M. Prediction: 127-100 Milwaukee. |
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08-20-20 | Thunder +2.5 v. Rockets | 98-111 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Thunder (8*). I think the Thunder are the "hungrier" dog in this fight after their 123-108 Game 1 loss to the Rockets. Chris Paul was still a stand out for the Thunder, finishing 20 points and ten boards. But note that the Rockets are just 2-4 ATS in their last six vs. the Northwest Division, while the Thunder are still 5-1 ATS their last six in this series. OKC won two of three in the regular season series and I expect it to bounce back handially here. That said, grab the short points! T.M. Prediction: 115-110 OKC. |
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08-20-20 | Heat v. Pacers +4.5 | 109-100 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pacers (8*). The Heat have gone 4-1 against the Pacers overall this year, including taking Game 1 of this series. Indiana though is 6-0 ATS in its last six following a SU loss, while Miami is a poor 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games following a SU win of more than ten points. Outright? Of course (even sprinkle a little!), but my official play is to grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 120-119 Indiana. |
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08-19-20 | Mavs +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 127-114 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* SITUATIONAL MONEY-MAKER). If your'e wagering on this game, you know the strengths and weaknesses of each team. The Clippers have a couple of key players out(Harrel and Beverely) and now they face this revenge minded Mavericks team, which will definitely be playing with a chip on its shoulder here after the controversial ejecting of star player Kristaps Porzingis near the end of the game. The Mavs had the lead when Porzingis went out, but then stumbled mentally down the stretch. I'm expecting an outright victory for Dallas here, but in the end I'll recommend to grab up as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 117-110 Mavericks. |
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08-18-20 | Heat v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers. Miami took three of four from Indiana in the regular season, but the Pacers looked great over their first eight games. Yes, the Pacers beat the Heat in their final regular season game 109-92 when Miami was resting most of its playres, but I think Indiana will once again be very competitive here. Jimmy Butler is a menace for any team to deal with, but I think the pieces around him are just not experienced enough (Nunn, Herro and Robinson.) Last year Indiana was swept in four games by the Celtics, so it'll feel extra pressure here to get out to a quick start in this series. I like the depth and experience Indiana brings to the table in Game 1. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Indiana. |
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08-17-20 | Mavs +6 v. Clippers | 110-118 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Mavericks (8* MONEY-MAKER). I think the Clippers are great when they're at full strength, but they're not. The Mavericks may be without the services of Seth Curry here, but they have two super stars in Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and a plethora of shooters around them. The injury to Montrezl Harrel is obviously a big detriment to this LA team. Also note that the Clippers are without Patrick Beverley and Landry Shamet as well. The Mavs are HUNGRY. Just as hungry or even hungrier than Kawhi Leonard. I think the outright is VERY possible, but I'm going to grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Dallas. |
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08-17-20 | Nets +9.5 v. Raptors | Top | 110-134 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn (10* TRADE-MARK). Do I think that the Nets are going to win this game and this series? No I do not. However, I do think that the conditions are right in Game 1 for Brooklyn to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting. The Nets won five of eight games in the bubble, losing 134-133 to the Blazers in their finale, getting 37 points from Caris LaVert. Toronto also looked great in its first eight games and it's difficult to say anything negative about it, I simply believe it's going to get caught looking past its opponent in Game 1. Note that the Nets are 8-3 SU in their last 11 overall, while the Raptors are interestingly 0-5 ATS in their last five vs. the Atlantic. T.M. Prediction: 115-112 Raptors. |
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08-15-20 | Grizzlies +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 122-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Grizzlies (10* RIM-RIPPER). I think the Blazers come in a bit dejected here. Damian Lillard and Portland have been one of the hotter teams in the bubble, but all of their hard work over their first eight games has resulted in a weird "play in" series with Memphis. If the Blazers win this game, they earn the eighth seed and play the Lakers. The Grizzlies need to win two games though in this series to advance. Can Ja Morant break out of his funk here and extend this one to a Game 2? I think the Grizz do match up well vs. Lillard and company and I wouldn't at all be shocked by an outright upset, but in the end I'll grab the points and expect this one to come right down to the wire! T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Grizz. |
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08-14-20 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams are locked into their respective playoff spots, so this game is meaningless. So how are you supposed to handicap a contest like this? For me it comes down to the fact that I expect Denver to be working on a few things, especially giving its bench some assignments to work on in prepartion for the upcoming tournament. The Raptors came from behind to knock off the 76ers 124-121 in their last game and they've proven to everyone that they're up to the task of defending their title. I look for Toronto to "go through the motions" this evening. That said, let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Nuggets. |
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08-13-20 | Pelicans v. Magic -4 | Top | 127-133 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* BANKROLL BUILDER!) The Pelicans were picked by many to make the playoffs, but the chemistry they had the regular season vanished and now New Orleans is hoping to leave the bubble without any significant injuries. The Magic haven't done too well either, but they have locked down the eighth spot and while their reward is a date vs. the Bucks, I still believe the team will put the hammer down here as it looks to gain a small amount of momentum befor the playoffs begin. It's a great overall situational play. Both teams are likely to rest a few starters here, but I'll give the upper-hand to the Orlando bench. I look for the playoff bound Magic to pull away down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Magic. |
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08-12-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets +4.5 | Top | 124-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Clippers are now locked into their playoff spot. They're 3-3 in the bubble, looking brilliant at times and pretty pedestrian in others. The Nets just upset them 129-120. Kawhi Leonard was a bright spot with 39 points. The Nuggets are looking ahead to the post-season as well as they come in having split their first six games as well. The Nuggets enter off a 124-121 loss to the Lakers. The Nuggets do match up well against LA though. Denver is in fact 2-5 ATS in its last seven in this series and I believe it will be the "hungrier" dog in this fight. Look for the Nuggets to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and grab the ample points! T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Denver. |
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08-10-20 | Mavs -2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). If the NBA and NHL restarts have taught us anything, it's that to expect the unexpected. The Pandemic really has evened the playing field in both sports, as the lower-seeded teams in each sport seem to be playing at an extremely high level right now. In such a chaotic atmosphere, "situational" capping is critical in my opinion. Dallas is right behind Utah in seventh place. Both come off OT contests, but there's a big a difference in that Dallas won 136-123 over the Bucks in single OT, while the Jazz fell 134-132 in double OT to the Nuggets. I like the Mavs to build off that inspiring win and to take advantage of this tired and dejected Jazz side; lay the short points! T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Mavs. |
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08-09-20 | Spurs v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 122-113 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Orleans Pelicans (10* MONEY-MAKER). This is a pivotal game for both of these bottom feeders in the bubble as each tries to run down a playoff spot. The Suprs are 3-2 in the bubble and the Pels are 2-3. With a loss here, the Pelicans will be eliminated from post-season contention though and with that massive motivating factor working in their favor, I think the more desperate club will indeed play with a sense of urgency from the opening tip until the final horn. I'll point out as well that the Spurs are just 7-13 ATS in their last 20 in this series, while the Pels are interestingly 5-2 ATS in their last seven vs. the Southwest division. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Pelicans. |
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08-08-20 | Bucks v. Mavs +5.5 | Top | 132-136 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). The Bucks have earned top spot in the East after starting 2-2 in the Bubble. Milwaukee would have seen Toronto take the foot off the gas last night as well, so with nothing to play for here, I believe the Bucks will indeed simply "go through the motions" this afternoon. The Mavericks will also be in the playoffs, but they so far haven't played up to expectations and I think they are the much more motivated dog in this fight. Dallas is just 1-3 so far in the bubble, but it can still improve its positioning with a few more wins. I'm grabbing the points, but wouldn't be shocked by an outright! T.M. Prediction: 116-114 Mavs. |
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08-07-20 | Jazz v. Spurs -1.5 | Top | 111-119 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* MONEY-MAKER). Here's a great situational play. The Spurs desperately need some victories, while the Jazz are already assured a playoff spot. This line opened as the Jazz as -2.5 point favorites, but that line has since swung the other way because of the news that Utah is expected to sit many of its starters today. Whether you got down early, or later, I love the Spurs to take advantage of this spot and to easily pull way for a comfortable cover. It's do or die for San Antonio here as it looks to avoid a third straight defeat, most recently coming off a close 132-126 setback to the Nuggets on Wednesday. This one has ATS "BLOWOUT" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Spurs. |
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08-06-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 126-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* U OF THE U). The Clippers are 1-2 in the Bubble, most recently coming off a last second loss to the Suns. LA lost a key piece in the setback as well as Patrick Beverely injured his leg. Also note that Montrezl Harrell remains out as well with a family issue. The Mavericks have been struggling somewhat as well since the return, but they come off a come from behind 114-110 win over the Kings on Tuesday and I believe Luca Doncic and company will keep the momentum rolling here. The Clippers have struggled defensively and with Beverely out, I have a hard time seeing them contain this explosive Mavs offense. Outright win is obviously possible, but let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 118-114 Dallas. |
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08-04-20 | Rockets v. Blazers +4.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blazers (10* TRADE-MARK). This game without question "means more" to the Blazers and while clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can. The Blazers are 1-1 in the NBA re-set and they went 2-1 vs. the Rockets in the regular season. Portland had time to heal up some injuries, especially to its big men, which I think will play a big part in this particular matchup. The Rockets are always going to put up a fight with James Harden and Russell Westbrook in the line-up, but I like Portland's size and determination to neutralize them this evening. I'm grabbing the points, but as mentioned off the top, I wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset! T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Houston. |
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08-03-20 | Lakers -6 v. Jazz | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lakers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). After a 107-92 loss to Toronto, I believe LA will come out and easily handle the Jazz. The Raptors were on a mission in their first game, while the Lakers were coming off an emotional Opening Night win over rival Clippers. The Jazz barely held on to beat the Pelicans, before then stumbling 110-94 to the Thunder on Saturday. The Lakers have the better and more skilled players and they're also deeper. Look for these two key factors to be the difference maker once the final horn blares! T.M. Prediction: 118-108 Lakers. |
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08-02-20 | Kings +2.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-132 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kings (10* NON-CONF ELITE OF THE ELITE). The Kings come in as the more motivated club here in my opinion after falling 129-120 to the Spurs in their opening game. The Magic on the other hand look poised for a predictable letdown after their 128-118 win over the short-handed Nets in their first game back. De'Aaron Fox had 42 points for the Kings and I think he'll be a difference maker here as well. The Kings are 3.5 games back of the Grizzlies, who also lost their opener. That make this a crucial spot for Sacramento, basically "do or die." The Magic are locked into seventh spot, as they sit eight games back of the sixth spot with no chance of moving up. I'm expecting the hungrier side to deliver here! T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Kings. |
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07-30-20 | Clippers v. Lakers -1 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 727 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). Both teams are still vying for top spot in the Western Conference, but the Lakers only need to go 1-7 to secure their position. Clearly the Lakers though won't want to lose to the Clippers, who are their next closest competitor in that race. All teams will be looking to hit the ground running and to keep that momentum rolling through the tournament, so I don't anticipate the Lakers to "roll over" and be satisfied over the first eight games. It wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for either side and clearly the oddsmakers agree with that sentiment. Let's be straight, the playoffs have essentially begun and I think Anthony Davis will prove to be a big matchup issue for teams early. I'm banking on a blowout, so play the Lakers! T.M. Prediction: (Coming shortly) |
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03-09-20 | Hornets v. Hawks -4 | Top | 138-143 | Win | 100 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* MONEY-MAKER). Atlanta destroyed the Hornets 122-107 in Charlotte back in December and I think a similar final result is on deck here in this one as well. The Hornets have been playing better of late, but after finishing a four-game homestand with an upset win over the Rockets, can anyone say "letdown spot" here?! Atlanta returns home on a three-game losing streak and I expect it to get the job done here. Charlotte has struggled in this spot for bettors as well, interestingly going just 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games vs. the Southeast Division. Atlanta on the other hand is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. teams with losing road records. After three straight losses, look for the Hawks to push the pace from the opening tip, until the final horn. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-108 Atlanta. |
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03-08-20 | Heat -4.5 v. Wizards | Top | 100-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK). The Heat had won four in a row before their most recent loss to the Pelicans last time out. Miami is still 40-23 though and it's led by Jimmy Butler, who averages 26 PPG. Atlanta is coming off a 118-112 win over Washington, but a return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. Washington was able to exploit Atlanta's week defense, but I think it'll have a much more difficult time here. The Wizards however are the worst defensive club in the NBA, allowing 120 PPG. After the loss to New Orleans last time out, look for Miami to come in focused on the task at hand this evening. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Miami. |
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03-07-20 | 76ers v. Warriors +2.5 | Top | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER). I think this is a perfect spot for the Warriors to steal a game. The 76ers come to town without stars Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid, who were also both out for their team's big win over the Kings on the road last time out. The Warriors welcomed back Stephen Curry to the line-up in their last game and while they fell to Toronto at home, Golden State is healthier than its been all season and I think it can take advantage here. Note as well that Philly is also just 4-9 ATS this year as a road favorite, while the Warriors are 10-5 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Clearly I like the outright win, but in the end I'm going to grab the handful of points. T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Golden State. |
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03-06-20 | Bucks v. Lakers +1 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* SHOWDOWN). Is this a possible preview of the NBA Championships? The Bucks are favored to come out of the East and while the Lakers still have the best record in the West, they'll have their hands full with the Clippers once it's all said and done. Honestly, it wouldn't be too hard to write a convincing argument for either team to win this game. And with a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers agree. The Lakers opened as an underdog and the line continues to go back and forth ever since. So why do I think the Lake Show will pull off a big win here? Because the Bucks are just 1-5 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival, while the Lakers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. I think the Lakers' big men shut down Bucks' star Giannis Antetokounmpo this time around. T.M. Prediction: 119-109 Lakers. |
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03-05-20 | Clippers v. Rockets -1 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
Selection: Houston Rockets (10* TRADE MARK). Off a double-digit road win over OKC, I think the Clippers are going to stumble in this difficult road venue. Houston comes in as the "hungrier" team, as it stumbled badly in a loss to the lowly Knicks in its final game of a long Eastern swing. With a couple of days off to digest the stench of that failure, I look for the Rockets to come out and play with a chip on their shoulder tonight. Las is also just 3-6 ATS this year as a road dog, while Houston is 7-3 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. This one has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 125-115 Houston. |
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03-02-20 | Blazers +7 v. Magic | Top | 130-107 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BLAZERS (10* TRADE-MARK). The panic button has been hit in Portland. It's basically "do or die" for the visitors now, who enter off three straight losses, including a humbling double-digit setback to the Hawks on the road. The Magic have been playing a bit better lately. They also need as many victories as they can get. Orlando's offense has been a lot better, but it's strong defensive play which has defined the team for most of the season has taken a back seat during that stretch. Off a loss to San Antonio, I think the Magic will have their hands full with this now desperate Portland team. Outright is possible, but let's grab these points! T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Orlando. |
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03-01-20 | 76ers v. Clippers -12.5 | Top | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10*) GAME OF THE WEEK. I think the Clippers come in angry and even with Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid in the line-up, I believe LA would have had a chance at covering this large spread anyways. But neither Simmons or Embiid will be playing tonight and because of that, I expect the home side to take full advantage and to win big once the final horn blares. The Clippers faced a fully prepared Nuggets team at home last time out and they annihilated them 132-103. Seven LA players scored in double figures in that one, including 43 points from Paul George. I expect a similar final outcome here as well, so lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 LA. |
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02-29-20 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +8.5 | Top | 88-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER). Yes LA has won seven straight and covered in five of those contests, but I believe that Memphis is going to find a way to get the job done here. The Grizz are WITHOUT QUESTION the "hungrier" team here after four-straight losses on the road. This is also a BIG TIME "revenge" spot for the Grizz, who have lost all three SU and two of the three ATS in this season series thus far. And would anyone fault LA for "looking ahead" here with a game at red hot New Orleans tomorrow night? Memphis is off a disappointing loss at home to Sacramento just last night, but I believe that's going to just add "fuel to the fire" for the home side here as it looks to snap the five-game losing streak. Outright win? Very possible! However, let's grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Lakers. |
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02-28-20 | Wolves +7.5 v. Magic | Top | 125-136 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wolves (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Wolves are in full rebuild mode, but they enter off an impressive win over the Heat in Miami, led by D'Angelo Russell, who continues to play with a chip on his shoulder and who has averaged 24.4 points and eight assists in five game since being aquired by Minnesota. The Magic have won four of five and they're coming off a big win over the Hawks, but with a tough road game in San Antonio tomorrow night, I think the stage is set for them to finally have a bit of a letdown here. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but all the pieces are in place for a much more competitive affair (in my opinion), than what this spread would suggest. T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Orlando. |
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02-27-20 | Blazers +10 v. Pacers | Top | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER). Portland comes in "hungry" after losing four of its last five games. The Pacers were blown out badly in Toronto, and then they bounced back big with a lop-sided win over Charlotte at home in their most recent tilt. However when these teams met in the Pacific Northwest earlier in the season, it was the Blazers that posted the 139-129 victory. Suffice it to say, I think the "on again, off again" Pacers are going to once again struggle with consistency here vs. this unbelievably determined Blazers side, which is currently in ninth place in the Western Conference. An unreal situation sets us up nicely for this 10* pick. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Indiana. |
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02-26-20 | Grizzlies +11 v. Rockets | Top | 112-140 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER). Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: (Coming shortly) |
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02-22-20 | 76ers +8.5 v. Bucks | Top | 98-119 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* MONEY-MAKER). There's no way that the 76ers are going to roll over here. Does Milwaukee have the motivaion to try and blow out its opponent today? I don't think so. This one has "battle" written all over it. 76ers' big man Joel Embiid had 39 points in a 112-104 win over the Nets last time out and I think he carries that momentum over. While the Bucks come in off a relatively simple 126-106 win over the Pistons in their latest outing, note that they're just 2-7 ATS this year off a win by ten points or more vs. a division rival. Let's grab up the points, but also not be shocked if the outright occurs either. T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Bucks. |
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02-21-20 | Grizzlies +11 v. Lakers | 105-117 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (8*). Memphis lost 129-125 in Sacramento last night, but I think it can bounce back here and keep this one competitive. Mainly because I think the Lakers are going to come out slow after the All Star Break. LeBron James was kept busy throughout the festiviites and with the Celtics and Pelicans coming to town up next, I think the home side will classically get caught "looking ahead" as well. It all sets up nicely for a comfortable cover for the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 117-114 Lakers. |
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02-21-20 | Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers 10* MONEY-MAKER. The Knicks looked decent for about two weeks prior to the All Star break, but perhaps predictably they then fell apart in the final two games, lowing to the Hawks and the Wizards. Indiana won its final game over Milwaukee before the break. These teams have split two games this year, but New York won the most recent one. That sets this up as a revenge game for Victor Oladipo and the home side. The Knicks have failed to score 100 points in three of the last five in this head-to-head matchup and I think the home side once again strugglest. T.M. Prediction: 111-100 Indiana. |
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02-13-20 | Thunder v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 123-118 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NEW ORLEANS OKC has won all 3 meetings this season. Those games were all B.Z. though. That's "before Zion." Williamson is now here and he's just getting better by the game. Wednesday he got 31 points, 9 boards and 5 assists. New Orleans smoked Portland 138-117. Thats 3 wins in a row. Off two losses in a row, the Thunders are going the other way. Pelicans 16-9-1 against the number their last 26, when off a home win. Revenge will be theirs. T.M. Prediction: 117-108 New Orleans |
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02-08-20 | Nets +6 v. Raptors | Top | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets The Raptors just keep winning and winning. It ends today. You heard it right here. The Nets don;t have Kyrie or KD but they've got a big scheduling advantage. Toronto is 3-5 against the spread, 4 losses outright, In A Home Game Where The Total Is Greater Than Or Equal To 220. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Nets |
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01-31-20 | Blazers +13 v. Lakers | Top | 127-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers In their first game back since the tragic accident, its hard for anyone to know exactly how the Lakers will respond to the devastating loss of Kobe Bryant. We do know how the Trail Blazers have reacted though. By playing their best basketball of the season! They're off back to back big wins against the Pacers and Rockets. Dame is doing it all and dropped a triple-double on Houston, after going over 50 in his previous three. Did you know that Portand is a PERFECT 7-0 against the pointspread, with one push, the last 3 years, when coming off 2 Consecutive Home Wins By 10 Points Or More. T.M. Prediction: 119-117 Lakers |
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01-26-20 | Nets +1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 97-110 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets Sure, the Nets went to OT yesterday. They're still the better team though and we're getting them as an underdog. The Knicks are 1-10 in division games. The Knicks are also 1-8 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6. The Nets already won here earlier and consider MSG a home away from home. They'll make it their home today. T.M. Prediction: 113-102 Nets |
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01-14-20 | Jazz v. Nets +3 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets With Kyrie Irving back and healthy, the Brooklyn Nets will be tough to play against, especially at home. Coming into this game Brooklyn is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games at home. The Nets are also off back-to-back wins which could help provide a confidence boost here tonight. Now, there isn't much bad to say about the Jazz. Even though they have won nine straight games, 1-4 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. Utah is also only 0-4 ATS off 9 consecutive wins the past three seasons. Expect a hard fought game, but for Brooklyn to pull away late. Take the Nets. T.M. Prediction: 117-112 Nets |
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01-10-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies | Top | 121-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies Memphis comes into this game with a 4-1 SU % ATS record in their last 5 games this season. Memphis is also a dominant 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against opponents in the Western Conference. On the other hand, San Antonio is only 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against opponents in the Western Conference. The Spurs are also only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against Memphis. At home, I expect the Grizzlies to get the job done here. T.M. Prediction: 117-109 Memphis |
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01-01-20 | Blazers -4 v. Knicks | Top | 93-117 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers Portland may be having an "off season" so far, but in my opinion, they still have an excellent team that will be in the playoff hunt come time. The Trail Blazers are 6-1 in their last 7 games when they are playing on the road against New York. They are also a dominant 10-4 SU in their last 14 games against opponents in the Atlantic Division. For the Knicks, they are only 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games played on a Wednesday. NY is also a terrible 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against opponents in the Northwest Division. I mean c'mon. This is one of the worst teams in the NBA. To be only favored by 3.5. That's awful. Blazers win big on New Year's, to prove the haters wrong. T.M. Prediction: 111-86 Trail Blazers |
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12-30-19 | Pistons +9.5 v. Jazz | Top | 81-104 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons The Pistons haven't had the start they were hoping for, but I believe they have the team to compete come playoff time. Coming into this game against the Jazz, Detroit are 4-2 off a blowout loss of 15 points or more this season. For Utah, they are 5-10 after playing on the road in their previous game ytd. The Jazz are also a terrible 0-5 off a win by 10+ points this season. With Andre Drummond and Blake Griffin leading the way, I expect the Pistons to keep it close here. Take Detroit. T.M. Prediction: 111-108 Jazz |
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12-28-19 | Pistons v. Spurs -4.5 | Top | 109-136 | Win | 100 | 30 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs Neither team has started this season with a great record, but there is still time to improve. Detroit comes off a huge win over the Wizards on Wednesday. Even though they won that game, they are still only 1-5 SU/ATS in their last 6 games. The Pistons are also only 2-8 in their last 10 games against San Antonio. For the Spurs, they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games this season. Demar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge lead the way for them. In a big gaem, I trust the better team to get the job done. Take the Spurs. T.M. Prediction: 114-103 Spurs |
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12-27-19 | Bucks v. Hawks +12 | Top | 112-86 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks Atlanta may be bad, I mean really bad, but I expect them to cover with ease here. Trae Young has had an unbelievable season even with his team losing. He has now scored at least 30 points in each of their last five games. Trae also has PF John Collins to pair with him. That man kills weak defense. For Milwaukee, they'll be without Giannis Antetokounmpo and Eric Bledsoe. They may have the best record in the entire league, but without those guys, 12 points is a lot to win by. Off 8 straight losses, Atlanta is due for a big performance here against a Bucks team full with injuries. Expect a close game on Friday Night. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Bucks |
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12-25-19 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -9.5 | 112-100 | Loss | -104 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets New Orleans had the first pick in the NBA Draft this year. They decided to go with future star Zion Williamson. He has yet to start or play a single game, due to injury, and that has resulted in a terrible record. The Pelicans are a sad 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games played in December. They are also an awful 2-14 SU in their last 16 games this season. For Denver, Jamal Murray has been dominant, Nikola Jokic has been either getting a double-double or a triple-double almost every single game, and the rest of the team has been just as good. The Nuggets have won each of their last 7 games with ease. They are also 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home. In the past, Denver has won 4 of the past 5 games between these two teams. With, Zion out, and the rest of the team struggling, I expect them to have problems against this tough Nuggets team. Expect a beatdown on Christmas Night. Take Denver. T.M. Prediction: 113-96 Nuggets |
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12-25-19 | Clippers +2 v. Lakers | Top | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clippers Christmas always delivers. Here, it's the battle for L.A. and both of these teams are almost identical in skill. The Clippers come into this game 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against opponents in the Pacific Division. They are also 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against opponents in the Western Conference. On the other hand, the Lakers have lost 3 games in a row. They started the season as the best team in the NBA, but now they have slipped off a little bit. In the past, the Clippers are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers. The Clippers have also won 16 of their last 20 meetings against each other. Expect a similar outcome here. T.M. Prediction: 123-119 Clippers |
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12-23-19 | Hawks +2 v. Cavs | Top | 118-121 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks Neither team has looked sharp to enter the 2019-20 season. Trae Young, Hawks point guard, has been playing phenomenal basketball. Although his team has been losing, he has scored at least 30 points in each of their last four games. Cleveland comes into this one with a terrible 0-7 ATS record in their last 7 games against opponents from the Eastern Conference. The Cavs are also 3-13 SU in their last 16 games played in December. Off 7 straight loses, expect the Hawks to bounce back in a big way tonight. Take Atlanta. T.M. Prediction: 113-104 Hawks |
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12-19-19 | Rockets +5 v. Clippers | Top | 122-117 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Rockets Boh teams have beenm excellent, as expected, to start the 2019-20 season. Houston comes into this one with a 5-2 SU record in their last 7 games. They just beat San Antonio in a great matchup on Tuesday. LA is off a win against the Suns, but they lost to the Bulls in the match previous to that. With James Harden and Russell Westbrook leading the way, I like the Rockets to not only cover, but to win this close, exciting game. Take Houston. T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Rockets |
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12-16-19 | Mavs +11 v. Bucks | Top | 120-116 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavs Both of these two teams have had insane starts to the season, and both will want to continue that here. Dallas enters this one with a perfect 5-0 SU record in their L5 games against an opponent in the Central division. The Mavs are also 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. Milwaukee. The Bucks, are 4-5 in their last 9 games when playing against a team against an opponent with a winning record. The Mavericks may be without star Luka Doncic, but they've got the talent to keep up with this Bucks team. Expect Kristaps Porzingis to lead the charge on Monday Night. Take Dallas. T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Bucks |
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12-09-19 | Thunder +8.5 v. Jazz | Top | 104-90 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Neither team has had the greatest start, but both are still hoping for a decent season. Entering this game, OKC is 13-8 ATS this season. Utah is only 9-14. The Thunder have also won 3 of their last 4 as well as 4 of their last 6 games this year. The Jazz are only 2-5 their last 7 games. Expect the Thunder to cover easily, if not win this game. Take OKC. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Utah |
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12-01-19 | Mavs +6 v. Lakers | Top | 114-100 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks Both of these two teams have had excellent starts to this season. In Dallas' last 7 games, they've won ATS in 6 of em. They are also 5-1 ATS in their L6 games against an opponent in the Western Conference. On the other hand, the Lakers haven't done so well against opponents in the same conference as them. They are only 1-5 their L6 when playing teams from the West. I like the Mavericks to get it done on the road, with Luka leading the way. Take Dallas. T.M. Prediction: 121-120 Mavs |
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11-23-19 | Blazers -4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 104-110 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers Neither teams has had a great start to this season so far. Although they haven't gotten fully going yet, Portland still has superstar Damian Lillard as well as CJ McCullum. On the other hand, the Cavs haven't been good at all. They have lost 6 games in a row and 5 straight ATS. I expect the Trail Blazers to destroy these guys. Take Portland. T.M. Prediction: 116-107 Trail Blazers |
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11-11-19 | Jazz v. Warriors +10 | Top | 122-108 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: GSW The Warriors will return from a 3-game road trip on Monday where they'll face the Utah Jazz. Utah has started decently, but they have yet to cover the spread on the road (0-4.) Now, they'll play a Warriors team that is expecting the return of Draymond Green, who could provide the spark the team needed here. With DLo hot and the line so big, I like the Warriors a lot here. They might even win this one. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 GSW |
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11-08-19 | Raptors -2 v. Pelicans | Top | 122-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors On opening night, the Raptors beat the Pelicans by eight in a big OT game. Now they'll meet again in a spot where the Pelicans can't afford to keep losing. Pascal Siakam, Kyle Lowry, and Fred VanVleet have all stepped up their game and the Toronto Raptors are now comfortably sitting in tied for forth at 5-2. J.J. Reddick, a strong perimeter threat for New Orleans, is listed as questionable for this one. Without Zion and him, Toronto should be able to capitalize on the normally bench players who'll replace them. Raps by 12. T.M. Prediction: 111-99 Raps |
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11-04-19 | Rockets -5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 107-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: ROCKETS Houston played last night and now will be without Westbrook. That has brought the line down. Yesterday's game was a destruction though and will make them mad tonight. Remember, the Rockets were just fine before they got Westbrook. Facing a bad Memphis team, they will be fine again tonight. Harden will run the point and he will be ready to welcome Ja Morant to the league. This should be good! T.M. Prediction: 124-110 Houston |
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11-01-19 | Spurs -6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 127-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection SAN ANTONIO We played against the Spurs at LA last night. Tonight they play a Warrior team decimated by injuries and player departures. The Warriors are flat out bad right now. They were never even close against Phoenix in their last game. The Spurs are 16-5 ATS on Fridays last few seasons. T.M. Prediction: 113-101 Spurs. |
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10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers -5 | Top | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers Let's face it, the L.A. Clippers are by far the better team in this matchup. Kawhi has proven to be one of the best players in the league, if not the best. I expect him to go off again tonight. Enough said. Take the Clippers with ease. T.M. Prediction: 109-97 Clippers |
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10-28-19 | Magic v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors The Defending Champs will return home on Monday as they will face the Orlando Magic. The Raps have looked strong offensively and defensively so far with Siakam, Lowry, and Fred VanVleet leading the way. Orlando is off to a 1-1 start with a win over the Cavs, and a loss to the Hawks. I expect Toronto to get it done in front of their home fans in this one. Take the Raptors. T.M. Prediction: 107-93 Raptors |
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10-25-19 | Bulls +1 v. Grizzlies | Top | 110-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show |
T.M Selection: Chicago Bulls Both of these teams will enter this game with an 0-1 record. In the past, the Grizzlies are 10-20 off a road loss by 10+ points. They are also 18-28 as a favorite their L46. I expect the Chicago Bulls to march right through this small Memphis team. Play on the Bulls with ease, T.M. Prediction: 105-97 Bulls |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -105 | 63 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER). Toronto had its chance to put this series away and after taking the first two games of this series in Golden State, I think there’s zero chance that Kawhi Leonard and company can take all three there. Kevin Durant went down with injury and is out for the rest of the series, but Golden State is still loaded with talent and experience and I believe it’s these two things which will “win the day” in Game 6. Leonard is likely going to win MVP if the Raptors win, but Stephen Curry now has the same opportunity if he can pull off the impossible as well. And while sweeping two games in a row is a tall task, I absolutely expect Curry and company to defend home floor at all costs in Game 6. With the comforting knowledge that they can return to the friendly confines of Jurassic Park, I look for the Raptors to have a letdown here. T.M. Prediction: 109-102 Warriors. |
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06-10-19 | Warriors +4 v. Raptors | Top | 106-105 | Win | 100 | 62 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* BLOOD-BATH). I had a play on the “under” in Game 4, but for Game 5 I’m going to concentrate on the side. Possibly again without their best player in Kevin Durant on the floor, I believe the Warriors are still going to find a way to get the job done here and send this one back to Oakland. Serge Ibaka had a big game for the Raptors in Game 4, but it’s hard to imagine the big man duplicating that performance in back-to-back contests. I think this one has outright “upset” written all over it (that said though, grab the points!) T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Warriors. |
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06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 123-109 | Loss | -106 | 62 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State (10* GAME OF WEEK) Golden State looked dominant in the second half of Game 2, especially on the defensive end and with this series now shifting to the West Coast, I’m expecting the veteran laden defending champions to keep the foot on the gas in front of the home town crowd. The biggest difference though between Game’s 1 and 2? Golden State’s role players stepped up big in Game 2 and outplayed their counterparts. It’s not going to get any easier for Toronto’s bench either in this hostile environment. The pressure is now definitely on the Raptors, who I believe are now in over their heads an in unchartered territory. Additionally note that Toronto is only 3-11 ATS in its last 14 at Golden State, while the Warriors are a sharp 7-2 ATS in their last nine when playing on two or more days rest. T.M. Prediction: 108-99 Warriors. |
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06-02-19 | Warriors +2 v. Raptors | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* GAME OF MONTH) If you’re watching this game, then the story lines are well known for each team. The Warriors are trying to three-peat and they’re playing without Kevin Durant. The Raptors have been on a role all season long and have been riding the fantastic play of Kawhi Leonard. With or without Durant though, I think the Warriors are going to find a way to win Game 2 outright. The playoffs, much like handicapping, is all about making adjustments and the Warriors are filled with so much talent and experience, that I look for them to do just that. I expect Klay Thompson and Stephen Curry to once again have big games, but I also expect the Warriors bench and role players to finally “show up.” Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-105 Golden State. |
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05-30-19 | Warriors +1.5 v. Raptors | 109-118 | Loss | -113 | 85 h 26 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Warriors (8*) For all the same reasons that I like the Warriors in the FIRST HALF, I also like them for the entire game. Clearly the outright win isn’t out of the question, but I’ll grab the points. Note as well that Golden State is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road dog and 7-3 ATS in its last then when playing with three or more days rest, while the Raptors are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine in the same position. Also note that the favorite is 0-4 ATS the last four in this series. Toronto may have taken both regular season meetings, but now that “the real thing,” is here, expect the champs to deliver. T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Warriors. |
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05-23-19 | Raptors +7 v. Bucks | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (8*) Kawhi Leonard got the Raptors to the ECF’s for the first time in franchise history and if he’s going to take them to the Finals, he’s going to have to figure out a way to win on the road in Milwaukee. So far “home floor” has meant everything in this series, but I think that trend is about to end tonight. The difference between Game’s 1 and 2 and Game 5? The Raptors’ bench. Toronto’s bench players were a “no show” in Milwaukee in the first two games, but the entire unit came back to life in Toronto and I think they’re going to now carry that momentum/confidence over here. Toronto big man Marc Gasol has also looked a lot better and that’s opened things up for Leonard to operate offensively, as well as dominate Bucks’ star Giannis defensively. I’m not buying into the “home floor” advantage this time around. Look for Leonard to continue to redefine Raptors basketball with a signature road victory. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Raptors. |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2.5 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER). Toronto has looked decent in the first half of both games so far in the ECF’s, but the second half it’s been non-existent. The Raptors are better at home than on the road though, as they enjoy one of the league’s “best” home court advantages. It’s difficult to play North of the border and I believe the surging Bucks finally have a letdown here. Milwaukee has been playing at an extremely high level with only one loss so far in the playoffs, but it’s about to have its hands full in this difficult venue in my opinion. The Raptors are fantastic defensively on their own floor and I believe that trend carries over here. The numbers/trends support our theory as well, as note that the Bucks are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while Toronto is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home games revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-112 Raptors. |
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05-17-19 | Raptors +7 v. Bucks | Top | 103-125 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER) Toronto controlled Game 1 up until about mid-way through the fourth quarter. That’s when the Bucks were finally able to get over the hump, pulling away for a very tight cover in the closing moments. But I’m expecting the Raptors to come back even harder here. There’s no reason at all not to expect another battle here, as these two evenly matched sides aren’t going to give an inch. Note that Toronto is already 2-0 ATS this year when trailing in a playoff series and 20-12 ATS in its last 22 after failing to cover five or six of its last seven ATS, while Milwaukee is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after five or more consecutive victories. While I do believe the outright is a possibility, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Toronto. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Raptors. |
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05-16-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 35 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland (10* MONEY-MAKER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Golden State. |
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05-14-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | Top | 94-116 | Loss | -108 | 39 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers (10* GAME OF WEEK) Golden State got by the Rockets in Game 6 without the services of All Star Kevin Durant, but I think the defending champs will struggle in Game 1 of the WCF. These teams split four regular season meetings and in my opinion, everything points to another competitive affair here. Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum are going to be a matchup issue for the undermanned Warriors, and while I’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, I think the conditions are definitely right for a war until the end. And the numbers/trends support that theory, as note that Portland is 50-32 ATS in its last 82 vs. teams which allow 106 plus points or more, while Golden State is just 18-27 ATS as a home favorite this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Warriors. |
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05-10-19 | Warriors +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 35 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* GAME OF WEEK) I had a play on the Rockets in their tight Game 5 loss, but for Game 6 I’m going the other way as I expect the defending champs, despite playing without the services of Kevin Durant, to battle tight and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. If ever there was a time for Klay Thompson to step up and show the basketball World that he’s worth a max contract, now is the time. With Durant available for the next round, the Warriors don’t need to panic at this point. If Golden State gets a decent game out of Curry and a good one from Thompson, they have a legitimate shot at taking this game outright. So far home court advantage has meant everything in this series, but the veteran leadership which the Warriors bring to the table in this instance is the difference maker in my opinion. Note as well that Golden State is 17-11 ATS in its last 28 when trying to close out a playoff series, while Houston is 0-2 ATS in its last two when facing elimination in a playoff series. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Rockets. |
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05-08-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Rockets (10*) So far home floor advantage has meant everything in this series. But other than Kevin Durant, the Warriors have looked very “off” over the last two games and I think that Houston has a legitimate shot at stealing Game 5 outright. The Clippers won two games at Oracle Arena remember in the opening series. The Rockets made the necessary defensive adjustments and both Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson are struggling with consistency right now. James Harden and company though have definitely improved dramatically on both ends of the court and I see no reason that that momentum won’t be carried over here. Consider as well that Houston is 4-0 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Golden State is only 9-18 ATS this year as a home favorite in the same points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Warriors. |
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05-08-19 | Celtics +9.5 v. Bucks | 91-116 | Loss | -104 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (8*) I played on the Bucks and the under in Game 4, but in Game 5 I’m back on the hungry underdog Celtics. Milwaukee has played with better chemistry all season and it’s bench has severely outplayed Boston’s so far. The Celtics have gotten an atrocious shooting performance from guard Kyrie Irving over the last three games, but I have a very hard time seeing the All Star being held down for a fourth straight contest. The Celtics are loaded with talent and experience and I simply can’t see them going down without a fight here. The Bucks are in unchartered territory and it’s yet to be seen if they can step up in a situation like this and deliver a decisive knock out blow. I think the stage is now set for a very competitive battle. Note as well that Boston is 4-1 ATS this year still as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while the Bucks are just 6-11 ATS in their last 17 after two or more straight road victories. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Bucks. |
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05-07-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 89-125 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) This has been a very competitive series and I expect nothing different in Game 5. Toronto earned the 101-96 win last time out behind 39 points from Kawhi Leonard. In Game 3 Philadelphia star Joel Embiid had 30 points, ten boards and five blocks in the 76ers 116-95 victory. Leonard has been incredible so far, but one has to wonder how much gas he has left in the tank? The rest of the Raptors have been poor and it’s the opening that Philadelphia needs to once again take control of this series. Philadelphia’s role players have also struggled at times, but I still think that Philadelphia features the deeper and more skilled scoring talent. Additionally note that Philadelphia already 4-1 ATS this year off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, while Toronto is only 20-22 ATS this season after a game where it covered the spread. Grab the points, expect a nail-biter. T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Raptors. |
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05-06-19 | Bucks +1.5 v. Celtics | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bucks (8*) Milwaukee came out flat in Game 1, but since then it’s made the necessary adjustments and now it’s the Celtics who are on the ropes. Boston is having difficulty with offensive consistency and think the Bucks can smell the blood in the water. With a chance to take a strangle hold on this series before heading back home for Game 5, I think the visitors lay everything on the line here. Note as we’ll that Milwaukee is 7-2 ATS this year as a road underdog of six points or less, while Boston is 8-11 ATS this year in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-105 Bucks. |
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05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | 101-96 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (8*) I got down early on this one, before the Raptors got the news about the Pascal Sikiam injury, but regardless, I think Philadelphia will look to deliver the (near) knock out blow here. Despite losing Game 1, the 76ers have been dominant defensively in this series, holding the Raptors to just 98 PPG. Toronto was the sixth highest scoring team in the league in the regular season, but it’s had difficulties with consistency on the offensive end of the floor since the playoffs started. Philadelphia is healthy, its firing on all cylinders on both ends and it has the home floor advantage. Perhaps Kawhi Leonard is the best player on the floor, but Toronto’s lack of talent is clear in this series. I’m banking on a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 119-113 Philadelphia |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* GAME OF MONTH) After getting blown out in Game 1 the under 76ers earned the split with a dominant performance in Game 2 and I believe they’ll carry that confidence and momentum over into another small upset in Game 3 in friendly confines. Toronto shot only 36.3 percent from the floor and 27 percent from range in Monday’s loss. Philadelphia is deep and it earned the Game 2 win despite big man Joel Embiid pretty much being ineffective. With the shift in venue, I think Embiid has his biggest performance yet. Note that Toronto is just 4-8 ATS as a road favorite of six points or less and just 7-8 ATS when playing with two days rest, while Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS this year off a road win vs. a division rival. T.M. Prediction: 108-106 76ers. |
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04-30-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 102-123 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I had a play on Boston in Game 1 and I think it has a legitimate shot at pulling off the outright upset in Game 2 as well. If you didn’t get a chance to read my Game 1 analysis, do so now as the logic behind that play for the most part also directly applies to this one: I think Game 1 is going to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG in their series win over the Pacers, while allowing only 91.8. Kyrie Irving led the Celtics with 22.5 points, 4.5 boards and 7.8 assists per game. Milwaukee averaged 121.8 PPG in its series win over the Pistons, while allowing 98. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the way for the Bucks with 26.3 points, 12 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. Note though that Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last five on the road, while Milwaukee is a poor 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 when playing on three or more days of rest. I think the Celtics’ depth and experience will keep this series and especially Game 1 competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-113 Boston. |
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