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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-21-19 | Rockets v. 76ers UNDER 234 | Top | 93-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockets/76ers under (10*) Two teams which like to push the pace collide on Monday night, but I think the conditions are finally right for more of a defensive affair. The Rockets come to town “gassed” in my estimation after their 138-134 OT win over the Lakers at home on Saturday. The 76ers come in off a deflating 117-115 loss at home to the Thunder in their previous action. Houston though is just 9-12 on the road. Overall the Rockets average 112.6 PPG, while allowing 110.5. The 76ers average 115.4 PPG and they allow 112.2. Note though that Houston has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 20 as a road underdog of six points or less, while Philadelphia has seen the total dip under the number in both games it’s played in this year off a close home loss of three points or less. This number is a little high. T.M. Prediction: 115-111 Philly. |
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01-20-19 | Suns v. Wolves -10 | Top | 114-116 | Loss | -113 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* ATS BLOOD-BATH) No need to delve too deeply into this one, as I think the Suns will suffer a letdown here after their loss in Charlotte yesterday. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Wolves after they fell 116-113 at home to the Spurs. Note as well that this is a “revenge” game for Minnesota after it fell 107-99 in Phoenix back on December 15th. The Suns average 106 PPG and they allow 114.5. The Wolves average 111.5 PPG and they allow 112. Minnesota though is 14-9 ATS at home and I fully expect it to make the most of this opportunity. Additionally note that the Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last five when playing on one days rest. I’m laying the points with confidence. T.M. Prediction: 127-100 Wolves. |
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01-19-19 | Lakers +7 v. Rockets | Top | 134-138 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Rockets come in off a loss to the lowly Nets and I think the improving Lakers will push the pace and keep this one interesting late. LeBron James remains out of the line-up, but LA has started to figure things out without The King, with four wins out of its last six. LA has won two straight and it comes in averaging 111.9 PPG and allowing 110.8. Houston averages 112 PPG and it allows 110. LA has done well in this spot for bettors of late though, going 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road underdog. Conversely note that the Rockets have struggled by going just 6-9 ATS after a non-conference game this year. Grab the points and don’t be shocked by the outright. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Rockets. |
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01-18-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +6 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Warriors are starting to “hit their stride,” and the Clippers are starting to scuffle. LA enters off a 129-109 defeat at home to Utah, while the Warriors enter off a 147-140 win over New Orleans. The Clippers are the “hungrier” team though and they also play with the added incentive of “revenge” after falling 129-127 to the Warriors in Golden State back on December 23rd. DeMarcus Cousins makes his season debut tonight for the Warriors and it’s reported that he’ll be moved immediately into the starting the line-up. What will this do to the chemistry the defending champs are enjoying right now? Overall I think from a situational stand point that this one sets up fantastically for the home side. Note as well that GS is already just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite of six points or less, while LA is 7-1 ATS vs. the division and 11-5 ATS in its last 16 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 100 point or more in. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 122-120 LA |
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01-17-19 | 76ers v. Pacers -3 | Top | 120-96 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 117-107 Pacers. |
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01-16-19 | Jazz +2 v. Clippers | Top | 129-109 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Jazz enter off a solid 100-94 win at home over Detroit on Monday, while the Clippers look poised for another letdown here in my opinion after their 121-117 loss at home to the Pelicans on Monday. This is the first meeting between the clubs this season. Utah enters having won four straight and they’ll be eager to avoid a letdown here as they hit the road. The Jazz average 107.8 PPG and they allow 105. LA got out to an unpredictably fantastic start to the 2018/19 campaign, but I think clearly it’s now predictably starting to fall apart. The Clippers have lost three straight after the crummy loss to the Pelicans. LA averages 115.3 PPG, but it allows 114.3. Note as well that LA is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 100 points in its previous game, while the Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Jazz. |
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01-15-19 | Warriors -1 v. Nuggets | Top | 142-111 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The 29-14 Warriors are on the road to face the 29-13 Nuggets and I believe that the defending champs will be out to send a message here. Both teams come in hot and on win streaks. Golden State averages 117.4 PPG and it allows 111.7. Denver averages just 110.4 PPG, while allowing only 105.5. Golden State plays with revenge here after losing to the Nuggets earlier in the year though (that was without Steph Curry in the line-up) and note that it’s 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a close loss vs. an opponent of three points or less. Clearly Denver has exceeded all expectations to this point this year, but note that it’s a poor 4-10 ATS in its last 14 off a home no covers where the team won straight up as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Warriors. |
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01-14-19 | Celtics v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* MONEY-MAKER) While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, I’m going to grab the points in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last. The Celtics come off a 105-103 road loss in Orlando and I think it’ll stumble here as well against this vastly improved Nets side. And to say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as Boston has won ten straight in the dries, including a 116-95 home rout in the most recent on January 7th. Boston averages 111.9 PPG and it allows 105.6. Brooklyn averages 110.7 PPG and it allows 111.5. Note though that Boston is already a poor 3-7 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less, while Brooklyn is already 17-10 ATS this season trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Nets. |
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01-13-19 | Cavs +9.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Cavaliers have struggled without LeBron James in their line-up. No big surprise there though. Kevin Love played a few games and he’s been out with injury every since. There’s some talent left on the Cavs and while they won’t have to face James here, the remaining teammates will still want to try and send some sort of feeble message here. The Lakers though have also struggled without James in the line-up for the most part, as The King remains out with injury. The Cavs have struggled to put points on the board this year, but the Lakers have struggled to keep teams from scoring. Cleveland is 3-1 ATS this season off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, while LA is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-107 Lakers. |
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01-12-19 | Grizzlies v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK) I think the Heat will find a way to protect home court and I look for them to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Memphis enters off a highly satisfying 96-86 home win over San Antonio and I think it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here in this difficult non-conference road venue. Miami on the other hand broke a slide with a convincing 115-99 home win over the Celtics and I think the home side keeps the foot on the gas here. Miami beat Memphis 100-97 on the road back in early December, but I’m expecting a much bigger blowout here. The Grizz average only 100.9 PPG, while allowing 102.5. The Heat average 106.5 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Grizz are 0-6 ATS in their last six vs. the East, while Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following an ATS victory. T.M. Prediction: 106-90 Heat. |
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01-11-19 | Hornets +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 96-127 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER). After losing six of their last nine, we don’t have to question the resolve or focus of the Hornets tonight. Overall Charlotte is averaging 112.9 PPG and allowing 112.4. Portland comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having won seven of its last ten. The Blazers are averaging 111.5 PPG and they’re allowing 110. Suffice it to say, despite their overall recent form, I think these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. And their season long numbers support that. I’ll also argue that the the Hornets are the much “hungrier” team between the two considering their recent form. Additionally note that Charlotte is already 3-1 ATS this year after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games, while Portland is just 2-3 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. I think the home side leaves the back door open. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-111 Blazers. |
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01-10-19 | Celtics v. Heat +1 | Top | 99-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK) There’s no need to over think this one in my opinion. The Celtics have been playing a lot better, but after a big home win over the Pacers (who were playing the second game of a back to back after a big win in the first), I believe the visitors will suffer a classic “letdown” here. Miami won’t be lacking for motivation here either after a lacklustre 103-99 home loss to the Nuggets. Note that the C’s are just 2-4 in the second game of a back-to-back scenario already this year, averaging just 105 points in those contests. Boston also allows 109.5 PPG in those games (normally they average 111.9 on the season and allow 105.3). Additionally note that Boston is just 3-6 ATS as a road favorite this year, while Miami is 4-2 ATS this season as a home dog of six points or less. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-100 Heat. |
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01-09-19 | Magic v. Jazz OVER 206 | Top | 93-106 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Magic/Jazz over (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER) Orlando won’t be lacking motivation here as it’s lost eight of its last 11. The Magic will be desperate to avoid a four-game slide after a listless 111-95 road loss in Sacramento on Monday. Nikola Vucevic was a stand-out in that one with 18 points, 13 boards and three assists. Utah has gone 6-4 in its last ten, but the Jazz are also looking to bounce back here after falling 114-102 in Milwaukee on Monday. Donovan Mitchell had 26 points in a losing cause for the Jazz. With both teams hungry for a win, I’m expecting a faster pace. Note as well that the Magic have seen the total go over in six of their last eight after three or more consecutive road losses, while Utah’s seen the total soar over in six of its last eight in revving a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 116-108 Jazz. |
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01-08-19 | Hawks +14.5 v. Raptors | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* MONEY-MAKER) I’m not predicting an outright victory, but I think that the hungry visiting side can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. ATL has been playing better of late, snapping a three-game slide with a convincing 106-82 destruction of the Heat. I think the Hawks carry that momentum over here. Toronto comes in off a satisfying 121-105 home win over Indiana on Sunday. Not surprisingly this is a “revenge” game for the Hawks, who have lost five straight in the series, including the first one this year 124-108 on November 21st. Overall ATL averages 109.1 PPG, while allowing 117.6. Toronto though is just 9-11 ATS at home. The Raptors average 113.4 PPG and they allow 108. The Hawks though are already 6-2 ATS this season trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Toronto. |
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01-07-19 | Magic v. Kings -5 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) This is a tough spot for Orlando and I think it’ll predictably stumble here. After falling at Minnesota, the Magic collapsed and lost last night to the Clippers as well. Sacramento on the other hand was competitive in a 127-123 home loss to Golden State on Saturday. If recent history is any precedence, then the Kings have to be loving their chances today as they easily handled the Magic in Orlando 107-99 earlier in the year. Overall the Magic average 103.6 PPG, while allowing 107.2. The Kings are averaging 115.2 PPG, and they’re allowing 117. Sacramento though is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with losing records, while Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road. T.M. Prediction: 117-105 Sacramento. |
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01-06-19 | Nets v. Bulls +2 | Top | 117-100 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bulls (10* TRADE-MARK) The Nets have been better than advertised this year, but I think they stumble here after their satisfying 109-100 road win over memphis. Chicago on the other hand will be out to avenge a 96-93 loss to the Nets here on December 19th, while also looking to build off its quality 119-116 OT home loss to Indiana on Friday. Brooklyn is playing over its head, as it averages 111 PPG, while allowing 111.7. Those are a lot better than Chicago’s numbers, but I think the overall situation favors the improving and revenge minded home side. Note as well that Brooklyn is already just 1-5 ATS this year after two consecutive non-conference contests, while Chicago is already 4-1 ATS this season after a closs home loss by three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 108-100 Bulls. |
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01-05-19 | Hornets +9.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 110-123 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER) Denver has won four in a row. The Hornets come in off perhaps their worst loss ever in a 122-84 setback at home to the Mavs. There’s no question in my mind which of these two teams is the more motivated. Charlotte’s had plenty of success in this matchup as well, having won four of the last five inlacing the first matchup at home 113-107 back on December 7th. Overall thought these teams are evenly matched, as the Hornets average 112.9 PPG, while allowing 111.4, while Denver averages 110.3 PPG, while allowing 105.1. Additionally note that Charlotte is 9-5 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Denver is already just 4-6 ATS this season after having won four out of its last five games. I’m expecting a “nail biter,” so grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Hornets. |
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01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | Top | 111-109 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think home court advantage will prove to be the difference maker in this one. This is the first time these teams have played this season, but last year the Blazers won all four match ups. OKC enters off a 107-100 road win over a LeBron James-less Lakers team. Russell Westbrook and Paul George had big games, but I think they’ll struggle in this difficult road venue vs. this vastly deeper and more skilled opponent. Portland comes in on top form as well, as it enters having won two straight and seven of its last ten overall. Additionally note that OKC is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage above .600, while Portland is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 vs. teams with a win percentage above .600. T.M. Prediction: 115-108 Blazers. |
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01-03-19 | Raptors v. Spurs OVER 216 | Top | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Over Raptors/Spurs (10* O/U BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Kawhi Leonard and the Raptors are out to destroy the Spurs. DeMar DeRozan and San Antonio want to annihilate Toronto off the face of the Earth. With each team pushing the pace from start to finish, I’m expecting this total to blast past the posted number sooner than later. Leonard comes in on top form as well, exploding for 45 points in his team’s 122-116 home win over Utah. DeRozan leads the Spurs in scoring as well this year with 22.9 points and 6.3 assists per game. SA averages 111.5 PPG, while Toronto averages 113.1. Toronto has seen the total go over the number in ten of 14 already this season off a home victory, while SA has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight non-conference contests. This number is low. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Spurs. |
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01-02-19 | Thunder -5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 107-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma City (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers are without LeBron James tonight and I think that Paul George and Russell Westbrook will take advantage. OKC comes in off a blowout win over the Mavericks, as Westbrook went off for 32 points, 11 boards, 11 assists and four steals. George had 22 points, four boards and four steals. The Lakers come in off a spirited win at home over the Kings, but with the “step up” in competition, I expect a “step back” for the “rudder-less” home side. Note as well that LA is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five when playing on two days rest, while OKC is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 after a SU win of more than ten points. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Thunder. |
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01-01-19 | Jazz v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* GAME OF WEEK) Utah enters off a 129-97 win over the Knicks on Saturday, while the Raptors held on for a 95-89 win at home over the Bulls on Sunday. Note that Toronto has won five of the last six in this series, including a 124-111 road victory in the first meeting this year in early November. The Jazz are great at home, but they’re just 9-11-1 ATS on the road. Overall the Jazz average 107.5 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Raptors are 11-7 ATS at home and they average 112.9 PPG and they allow 107.2. Additionally note that Utah is just 1-5 ATS already this year after covering four or five out of its last six games, while Toronto is a perfect 4-0 ATS already this season after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. Despite Kyle Lowry sitting, I think the Raptors come in as the more motivated team here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-100 Toronto. |
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12-31-18 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 228 | Top | 132-109 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Under Warriors/Suns (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER) These are two teams which normally push the pace on offense and pay little attention on the defensive end, but I think the conditions are finally right for more of a defensive affair. Phoenix won’t want to turn this into a “shootout” with the sharp-shooting Warriors. The Suns have lost two straight. The Warriors have split their last four games. Overall the Warriors average 115.4 PPG and they allow 111.3. Phoenix only averages 105.4 PPG and it allows 113.9. Golden State though has seen the total go under in seven of nine already this year after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 110-100 Warriors. |
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12-29-18 | Celtics v. Grizzlies OVER 199.5 | Top | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Over Celtics/Grizzlies (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER). Two teams which pride themselves on their tough defensive play collide on Saturday night. I still think this number is low and I look for the total to sneak over once it’s all said and done. Boston enters off a terrible 127-113 road loss to Houston, while Memphis comes in off a 95-87 home win over the Cavaliers. Overall the C’s average 111.6 PPG and they allow 105.7, while Memphis averages 101.7 PPG and allows 101.7 as well. Memphis is injured and it’s going to have to match pace. This can still be a lower-scoring defensive battle and go over the number and that’s exactly what I’m expecting to see happen. Additionally note that Boston has seen the total go over in nine of its last 11 off an upset loss as a road favorite, while Memphis has seen the total go over in six of its last nine non-conference contests. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 C’s. |
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12-28-18 | Spurs v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 99-102 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK) This one has blowout written all over it in my opinion. It’s an immediate revenge game for the Nuggets, who fell 111-103 in San Antonio on Wednesday. Previous to that victory though the Spurs came in ranking in the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. With the Warriors loss last night, the Nuggets can take top spot in the West with a revenge victory today. Note that they’re 13-3 on home floor. Additionally note that Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when playing one one days rest, while SA is just 4-13-1 ATS in its last 18 vs. teams with winning home records. T.M. Prediction: 114-100 Denver. |
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12-27-18 | Knicks +14.5 v. Bucks | Top | 96-112 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Knicks came up short at home against the Bucks on X-Mas Day, but with the home side expected to rest some players in this one, I think the visitors will comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. With a shot at evening up the series for the 2018/19 campaign, I think the visitors will risk life and limb to try and pull off the upset. New York is 9-9-1 ATS on the road. The Knicks average 108.2 PPG and they allow 115.7. The Bucks average 116.6 PPG and they allow 108.1. Note though that New York is already 7-3 ATS this year in revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, while Milwaukee is just 1-3 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more and just 1-3 ATS in its last four after a cover as a double digit favorite. No outright, but a tight battle. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Bucks. |
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12-26-18 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10*) Denver enters off a 132-111 road loss to the Clippers on Saturday. The Spurs also come in off a loss, falling 108-101 in Houston in their last contest. Despite their overall success this year, note that Denver is still just 7-8 ATS on the road this year. Denver averages 110 PPG and it allows 104.3. SA averages 111.3 PPG and it allows 109.5. Note though that the Spurs are 12-6 ATS at home this year. Look for the Spurs to defend home floor. T.M. Prediction: 114-100 Spurs. |
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12-25-18 | Thunder +1.5 v. Rockets | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder (10* TRADE-MARK) In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I’m grabbing the points. Houston’s been playing a lot better, but Chris Paul won’t be playing in this one and I think Paul George and Russell Westbrook will take advantage. OKC now sits a half game back of the Nuggets after their loss to the Wolves most recently. OKC averages 112 PPG and it allows 105.6. Houston has won five of six, but it still comes in averaging just 109.2 PPG, while allowing 108.5. Note that the Thunder are not surprisingly already 16-9 ATS this year vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest, while Houston is still only 8-13 ATS in its last 21 revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Play on OKC. T.M. Prediction: 118-103 Thunder. |
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12-23-18 | Grizzlies v. Lakers OVER 207 | Top | 107-99 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Grizzlies/Lakers over (10* O/U MONEY-MAKER) Two teams hungry for a win collide in LA on Sunday night and I think points will be plentiful. The Grizzlies will be desperate to get back into the winners circle, most recently falling 102-99 in Sacramento. The Lakers will be looking to take advantage and to build off their most recent 112-104 home win New Orleans on Friday. Memphis plays with revenge here as well after a listless 111-88 home loss to the Lakers on December 8th. The Grizz are in a funk and they’ll have to get out and match pace with LBJ and company, so there’s no question this sets up as a shootout from a situational stand point in my opinion. But also note that Memphis has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while LA has seen the total go OVER in 12 of its last 20 after scoring 110 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 112-106 Lakers. |
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12-22-18 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Clippers | Top | 111-132 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK) The Nuggets enter off a 126-118 home win over Dallas on Tuesday, while LA comes in off a 125-121 win over the Mavericks on Thursday. Denver comes in well rested and I think it’ll score the outright upset. Denver took the first meeting between the clubs here 107-987 back on October 17th and I think the Clippers will once again struggle with this difficult matchup. Denver has won four straight and it averages 110 PPG and it allows just 103.4. LA averages 114.7 PG and it allows 114.3. Note as well that the Clippers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five when playing on one days rest, while the Nuggets are 4-0 ATS In their last four vs. teams with winning SU records. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Nuggets. |
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12-21-18 | Pistons v. Hornets -3.5 | Top | 86-98 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK). I think the Pistons have a predictable letdown here after their 129-123 OT road win in Minnesota on Wednesday. The Hornets come in off a 110-99 home win over Cleveland and they’ll be looking to keep the foot on the gas after a poor stretch themselves. So far the Pistons average 109.7 PPG and they allow 110.3. Charlotte averages 113.7 PPG and it allows 111.4. Charlotte won’t be taking anything for granted here after its recent four-game slide. Note that the Hornets are already 8-4 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records, while Detroit is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 after scoring 120 or more points. T.M. Prediction: 116-100 Hornets. |
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12-20-18 | Mavs +3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 121-125 | Loss | -102 | 30 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK) Both teams have played better than what most believed would be the case. I think LA though has farther to fall considering its hotter/quicker start and its lack of overall talent. Dallas has a deeper and more skilled team in my opinion and its major issues early have been chemistry related for the most part. Both teams come in off losses. This is going to be a war to the end and I think that grabbing the points is the savvy call. Note as well that the Clippers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, while Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing more than 125 points in its previous game. The Mavs are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 following an ATS loss. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-109 Mavs. |
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12-19-18 | Cavs v. Hornets UNDER 219 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Under Cavs/Hornets (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The Cavs come in off an improbable low-scoring win over the Pacers in Indiana just last night and if they have any hopes at pulling off another upset, they’re going to have to duplicate the same game-plan, and slow things down whenever possible. Clearly the Cavs are going to be gassed here as well in the second game of the back to back. The Hornets aren’t likely to mess this one up and are almost 100% assured the SU victory, but the home side also doesn’t need to over exert itself to win this one. Instead, I expect the home side to control the pace of this one and dictate the action. Note as well that Cleveland has seen the total go under in 23 of its last 36 when playing the second game of a back-to-back. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 112-100 Hornets. |
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12-18-18 | Lakers v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* TRADE-MARK) The Lakers enter off a 128-110 road loss to Washington. The Nets won their fourth straight in a 144-127 destruction of the Hawks. LA is now just 1-2 on its four-game road trip. It’s just 6-9 ATS on the road overall this year. LA averages 113.4 PPG and it allows 111.6. The Nets average 111 PPG and they allow 111.8. Note though that LA is just 3-7 ATS this year in non-conference games, while Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last eight off a home win by ten points or more. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by the outright upset. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Nets. |
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12-17-18 | Kings +8 v. Wolves | Top | 105-132 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* TRADE-MARK). The young Sacramento Kings could arguably be the biggest surprise this year. They come in off a big 120-113 road win in Dallas last night and while I do normally always take fatigue/scheduling into account, I don’t think it’s going to matter here. It’s still very early in the season and Sacramento’s youthful line-up is firing on all cylinders. Sacramento has already taken both earlier meetings this year as well, including a 141-130 home win just last week. The Wolves are moving in the opposite direction with four straight losses and simply look terrible on both ends of the floor right now. Note that the Kings are now 10-6 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is already 0-2 ATS this season revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as the favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Wolves. |
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12-16-18 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 229 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kings/Mavs under (10* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think this one sets up as a defensive affair. Behind great play from rookie Luka Donic, the Mavericks are 15-12 overall and in the playoff picture. Sacramento is only a 1/2 game back of the eighth spot in the West at 15-13. Sacramento comes in off a 130-125 loss to Golden State and there’s no question that this sets up as a natural “letdown” spt now. The Mavs had been playing very well as well until a collapse against the lowly Suns last time out. With both teams eager to return to the winners circle off a loss, as stated off the top, I’m expecting more of a defensive affair here. Also note that the under is 7-0 in the Kings last seven vs. teams with a winning SU record. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 110-106 Mavs. |
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12-15-18 | Lakers +1 v. Hornets | Top | 128-100 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers opened their current road trip with a disappointing 126-111 setback at Houston on Thursday, but a date against a Hornets team which comes in off a deflating 126-124 OT loss at home to the Knicks just last night is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track for the visitors in my opinion. LA averages 113.1 PPG and it allows 110.9, while Charlotte averages 113.9 PPG, while allowing 110.7. But the numbers also support LA here, as note that the Lakers are 7-2 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records and 7-4 ATS in their last 11 after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, while Charlotte is already just 2-4 ATS in non-conference games. T.M. Prediction: 115-112 Lakers. |
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12-14-18 | Knicks v. Hornets -11 | Top | 126-124 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) New York enters off a 116-106 road loss in Cleveland and I have a hard time seeing it keeping pace with this hungry Charlotte team, which comes in off a momentum building 108-107 home win over Detroit. Last weekend the Hornets crushed the Knicks 119-107 and I’m expecting an even bigger blowout this time around. New York averages 108.3 PPG and it allows 114.9. Charlotte averages 113.9 PPG and it allows 110.7. The Knicks are also just 4-7 ATS this year following a road loss, while the Hornets are already 3-1 ATS this season as a home fav in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The Knicks play with revenge and the Hornets come in off a win, but I’m not predicting any letdowns here. Charlotte can ill afford to take the foot off the gas after a terrible stretch and I expect it to make the most of this opportunity. T.M. Prediction: 123-100 Charlotte. |
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12-13-18 | Lakers +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 111-126 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers play with revenge here as Houston won the first meeting of the year 124-115 in LA on October 20. LA was trying to “find” itself then, but since then it’s come a long way, having won two straight and six of seven, most recently a 108-105 home win over the Heat. The Rockets have for the most part been terrible this season, and they looked primed for another letdown here in my opinion after their 111-104 home win over the Blazers. Before that victory the Rockets had lost three straight. LA plays with revenge and it’s 6-1 ATS in its last seven after an ATS loss. Houston has struggled with consistency and it’s only 1-5 ATS in its last six when playing on one days rest. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Rockets. |
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12-12-18 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -3 | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Grizzlies have lost two straight. They’re hungry for a win and the Blazers come to town off an exhausting loss in Houston just last night. It’s a perfect “situation” for Memphis to bounce back in. Also note that Portland is just 18-28 ATS in its last 46 as a road dog of six points or less, while Memphis is already 4-1 ATS this year as a home favorite of six points or less. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-95 Memphis. |
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12-11-18 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 103-111 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) These two teams are moving in opposite directions and I look for those trends to continue here. The Blazers have won two straight and they enter averaging 112.3 PPG and allowing 110.4. Houston has lost seven of nine and three straight, averaging just 108.3 PPG while allowing 109.7. The Blazers are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 off a home win vs. a division rival, while Houston is already just 3-5 ATS this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. I’m expecting this one to come right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Rockets. |
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12-10-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -5 | Top | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma City Thunder (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Thunder have turned things around after a slow start, but their four-game win streak came to an end in a 114-112 setback at the buzzer in Chicago in their final game of their Eastern road swing. With a tough two game road trip in New Orleans and Denver on the horizon, I think the home side lays everything on the line tonight to try and make the most of this opportunity. Utah on the other hand has a tough game in San Antonio on Sunday night and clearly it’s going to be “gassed” here in the second game of a back-to-back. Note that the Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last nine following a non-conference road loss in which it lost by three points or less. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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12-09-18 | Jazz v. Spurs +3 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK). The Spurs are having a difficult time adjusting to their new line-up this year. Some nights they look elite and other night’s they look horrible. They looked pretty good in a 133-120 win at home over the Lakers last time out and I think they’ll bring that same intensity here. SA has lost four of the last five in this series, including a 139-105 setback at home in the first meeting this year. The Jazz enter off a 118-91 win over the Rockets and looked primed for a letdown. Note that Utah is already only 1-5 ATS this year after having won three of its last four ATS. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Spurs. |
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12-08-18 | Nuggets v. Hawks +7.5 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* TRADE-MARK) A great situational play. Denver has been red hot during its road trip, but with a tough game at Charlotte on Friday, I think the team comes out flat in the finale of its extended Eastern swing and with upcoming home games against Memphis, OKC and Toronto. ATL plays with revenge after falling 138-93 at Denver earlier in the year. Atlanta’s been terrible and is just 3-9 ATS at home overall, but the conditions are finally right for ATL to potentially pull off the outright upset here. The Hawks have three nights off before an extended road trip and I expect them to make the most of it. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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12-07-18 | 76ers -2 v. Pistons | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Philadelphia’s four-game win streak was snapped in a loss to the Raptors last time out, but when it faced the Pistons on November 3rd, it easily dispatched Detroit 109-99. This is the opener of a home and home set between the teams and I like Philadelphia to continue its recent dominance in the matchup. Detroit had won seven of eight, but it enters off two straight losses. I think the Pistons continue their slide back to mediocrity and I believe they’ll struggle again in this difficult matchup. Note as well that Detroit is just 2-4 ATS in its last six at home. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-105 76ers. |
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12-06-18 | Suns +14 v. Blazers | Top | 86-108 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* TRADE-MARK) Portland’s big win streak to open the year is over. The Blazers come in having lost six of seven, including three straight. And with upcoming games at home against the surging Wolves, and then against Houston, Memphis and Toronto, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught looking past its lowly opponent today. The Suns have lost six straight and with a game at home tomorrow night against Miami, I think they’ll lay everything on the line here to try and pull off the upset against this floundering Blazers side. Phoenix is already 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Portland is just 1-3 ATS this year already after two or more SU losses. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: Blazers 110-105. |
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12-05-18 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 229 | Top | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 76ers/Raptors under (10* O/U TRADE-MARK) It’s a big early season game from the top two teams in the Atlantic and I’m expecting more of a defensive battle, than a wide-open high-scoring shootout. The first game of the season series was a 129-112 Raptors victory on October 30th, but all signs point to more of a lower-scoring affair here. Philly has been playing a lot better of late, it comes in having won four straight. The 76ers average 114.2 PPG and they allow 111.8. Toronto’s eight game win streak came up short in a loss to the Nuggets last time out. The Raptors average 116.6 PPG and they allow 108.3. Note though that Philadelphia has already seen the total go under in three of four this year when playing with two days rest. This number is a little high. T.M. Prediction: 112-106 Toronto. |
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12-04-18 | Spurs +6 v. Jazz | Top | 105-139 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Spurs come in off a much needed 131-118 home win over the Blazers on Sunday after getting crushed in back-to-back blowout losses. I think SA carries that momentum over here. Utah comes in off a tough 102-100 road loss in Miami as a favorite and I think it’ll have a predictable letdown here in its first game back home. The Spurs average 109.4 PPG and they allow 112.3. The Jazz average 105.7 PPG and they allow 108. Note though that SA is already 3-1 ATS this year after allowing 105 points or more in four straight games, while Utah is just 3-5 ATS at home. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 209-206 Spurs. |
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12-03-18 | Thunder v. Pistons OVER 220 | Top | 110-83 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Thunder/Pistons over (10* O/U BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Thunder come in off a 124-109 home win over ATL on Friday and I think they carry that momentum over here in the opener of their Eastern swing. The Pistons come in off a big 111-102 home win over the Warriors and I also don’t think that there’s any reason not to believe that they won’t carry over that confidence and momentum here as well. These teams may be from different conferences, but each comes in on top form. I believe this consistency on the floor will result in a higher-scoring shootout. Note that OKC has seen the total go over 12 of its last 17 after playing three consecutive home games as well. T.M. Prediction: 117-110 Pistons. |
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12-02-18 | Pelicans v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 119-109 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK) The Pelicans come in off a 106-101 road loss to the Heat as the favorite and I think they’ll stumble here in this difficult road venue as the slight dog. The Hornets won’t be taking anything for granted here after they fell 119-111 at home to the Jazz, another non-conference opponents. This is a revenge game as well as the Pelicans have taken four straight in the series. The Hornets have lost four of their last five and they’re just 4-8 ATS on the road. Charlotte is 7-5 SU at home but 8-4 ATS. The Pelicans are also a terrible 1-3 ATS already this year after playing two consecutive non-conference games. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 125-110 Charlotte. |
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12-01-18 | Bucks v. Knicks UNDER 231 | Top | 134-136 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Knicks under (10* O/U TRADE-MARK) These two teams like to get out and push the pace whenever possible and defense is mostly an afterthought on most nights, but I think this one sets up as more of a defensive affair this evening. The Bucks come in off a tougher than expected 116-113 home win over Chicago, while the Knicks were destroyed 117-91 in Philadelphia on Wednesday. Milwaukee has taken six straight in the series, including a higher-scoring 124-113 home win in the first match-up this season. The Bucks average 120.8 PPG and they allow 110.1. The Knicks average 107.8 PPG and they allow 113.7. Take it for what you will as well, but New York has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last ten road game following a loss in which it scored 95 points or less in. T.M. Prediction: 115-108 Bucks. |
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11-29-18 | Clippers v. Kings +3 | Top | 133-121 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Clippers have been playing great, but they hit a dangerous part of their schedule, with a game at home against Phoenix on Wednesday, followed by this game in Sacramento on Thursday. And with games at Dallas on Saturday, followed by at New Orleans and Memphis, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking past their lowly opponent today. The Kings have lost two straight, but they’ve been competitive and I think the stars and the planets have indeed lined up for them here. Note as well that LA is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road fav in the -1.5 to -4.5 points range in the second game of the back-to-back. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 120-115 Kings. |
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11-28-18 | Suns +12 v. Clippers | Top | 99-115 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Off back-to-back losing games, I think the Suns offer great value to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this speed would suggest. The Clippers on the other hand look poised for a letdown after back to back victories over Portland and Memphis. LA has been a complete surprise to this point in leading the division, but note that the Clippers are poor 2-7 ATS as a home favorite of ten points or more and on the heels of a two games or more unbeaten streak. Also note that Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last seven following a two games unbeaten streak. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-113 Clippers. |
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11-27-18 | Raptors -4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER) Toronto enters off a 125-115 home win over Miami on Sunday and I think they’ll carry that momentum over into the opener of this Western swing. The Grizz on the other hand look ripe for the picking after a humbling 103-98 loss to New York. The Raptors have won five straight and they enter averaging 116.8 PPG and allowing 107.8. The Grizz have in fact lost two in a row and they come in averaging 103 PPG and allowing 100.9. Note though that Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning SU records, while Memphis is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following two straight SU/ATS setbacks. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 103-102 Toronto. |
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11-26-18 | Bucks v. Hornets UNDER 234 | Top | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 25 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Hornets under (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Hornets come in off an exhausting and high-scoring loss in Atlanta just last night. I think the home side comes in predictably tired here. Milwaukee bounced back from a loss to Phoenix to score a come from behind win at home over the Spurs in its latest action, but I think the Bucks comes into this one “gassed” as well. It’s a great situational play. Note as well that Charlotte has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last nine home games when playing the second game of a back to back and losing the first and giving up over 110 points in the process. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: 112-108 Bucks. |
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11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -4 | Top | 104-100 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Off back-to-back road losses, I think the Blazers bounce back at home. LA is 12-6 overall, but just 4-5 on the road. Portland is 12-7 overall and 7-2 at home. Additionally note that LA is just 3-6 ATS as an underdog this season, while Portland is 7-2 ATS at home and 6-3 ATS in its last nine vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 119-108 Blazers. |
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11-24-18 | Celtics v. Mavs UNDER 213.5 | Top | 104-113 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics/Mavericks under (10* TRADE-MARK) Boston’s going to be in a “track meet” with the Hawks on Friday night and I think it’ll come in with “heavy legs” to this one. Dallas will look to take advantage, but note that the Mavs have seen the total go under in seven of their last nine home non conference contests as an underdog in the +1 to +5 points range. This one has defensive battle written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Boston. |
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11-23-18 | Heat v. Bulls +2.5 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bulls (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Neither team can be very happy where it sits at the moment. Miami though is ripe for the picking in my opinion as it comes in having lost six of seven. Miami is averaging 108.3 PPG and it’s allowing 110.2. All Star guard Goran Dragic is injured. Chicago has lost five of seven. The Bulls average 104.2 PPG and they allow 113.6. Zach LaVine averages 25.5 PPG. Note though that the Heat are just 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. the East, while Chicago is already 6-4 ATS at home and 6-2 ATS after allowing 115 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Bulls. |
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11-21-18 | Nuggets +2 v. Wolves | Top | 103-101 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER) Denver is 10-7 and the Wolves are 7-10. Derek Rose and the Wolves have looked great of late, winning three of their last four since the Jimmy Butler trade, but I think the home side will come up short here. Denver is the “hungrier” team, as it’s lost two straight and six of its last eight. The Nuggets come in averaging 111.0 points per 100 possessions, while allowing only 105.2 per 100 possessions. Minnesota actually enters off a 100-87 loss at home to Memphis. Rose had 18 points. Minnesota is scoring just 106.3 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 111.1. Note that Denver is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 against the division, while Minnesota is just 17-18 ATS in its last 35 against divisional opponents. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Nuggets. |
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11-20-18 | Nets v. Heat UNDER 215.5 | Top | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nets/Heat under (10* O/U TRADE-MARK) Both teams are injured and each enters this one off a loss. I believe the overall situation lends itself to more of a lower-scoring defensive affair this evening. The Nets lost 127-119 at home to LA on Saturday, while Miami fell 113-97 to the Lakers most recently. Brooklyn plays with revenge here as well after falling at home to the Heat last Wednesday. Note that the Nets have seen the total go “under” in seven of their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Miami has seen the total go under in six of its last nine after falling to score 98 points in its previous outing. T.M. Prediction: 106-103 Miami. |
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11-19-18 | Nuggets +5 v. Bucks | Top | 98-104 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Bucks started the year as the hottest team in the league, but they’ve since come back down to Earth, trading wins and losses. Denver fans can empathize, as the Nuggets were equally as dominant over the first month, but coming into this one having lost five of their last six. Overall Denver is averaging 111.8 PPG and allowing 105.3. Milwaukee is averaging 115.3 PPG and it’s allowing 104.4. Note though that the Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference road games as an underdog in the +4.5 to +7.5 points range. Grab the points and expect a competitive battle. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Denver. |
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11-18-18 | Lakers +2 v. Heat | Top | 113-97 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Lakers enter off a loss just last night in Orlando, but I think LBJ and company bounce back in the second game of the back to back as “The King” was caught looking ahead to this match-up in South Beach. Miami is just 6-9 and the Lakers offense is firing on all cylinders, averaging 117 PPG. Miami is averaging only 110.1 points. The Heat are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five against teams with a winning SU record. I look for James to lay the hammer down against his former team. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Lakers. |
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11-17-18 | Warriors v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Warriors are ripe for the picking after losing three of their last five. They’re also fighting with each other off the court (Durant and Green). Most recently the Warriors were destroyed 107-86 by the Rockets. The Mavs are surging in the other direction though with three straight victories, most recently destroying Utah 118-68. Note that Golden State is just 2-5 ATS on the road this year, while Dallas is 5-2 ATS at home. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Mavs. |
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11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics -1.5 | Top | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Toronto enters off a deflating 106-104 home loss to Detroit on Wednesday, while Boston comes in off a confidence building 111-82 beatdown of the Bulls. Note that this is an “in-season revenge game” after the Raptors won 113-103 at home back on October 19th. The Raptors started the season 12-1, but after back-to-back losses, the “wheels are coming off the buss” now for Toronto. Boston looks to take advantage. Note that it’s 46-25 ATS the last two seasons trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 114-100 Boston. |
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11-14-18 | Cavs v. Wizards -11.5 | Top | 95-119 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (10* TRADE-MARK) Based entirely on the fact the the Wizards have looked a lot better of late after a terrible start and because the Cavaliers are on in action on Tuesday night. Cleveland has struggled with offensive consistency and the second game of a back to back against a focused and hungry Wizards side is not what the doctor ordered to get untracked. Note that Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games against an Eastern Conference foe as a favorite in the -10 to -15 points range. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 Washington. |
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11-12-18 | Spurs v. Kings +3.5 | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Spurs enter off a satisfying 96-89 home win over Houston, while Sacramento came up short at home in a 101-86 setback to the Lakers. This is a revenge game for the Kings, as SA took all four games in the series last year. SA is averaging 109.5 PPG and it’s allowing 107.9. The Kings are averaging 115.3 PPG and they’re allowing 116.8. Sacramento can score with the best of them, its issues are on the defensive end of the floor. But SA prefers to run half-court sets and I think the Kings bounce back and take this one down to the wire with their up-tempo/improved offensive play. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Kings. |
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11-11-18 | Celtics +2.5 v. Blazers | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Celtics have lost four of their last five. One night off an epic come from behind OT win in Phoenix, Boston had a predicable letdown in a 123-115 setback at Utah. Kyrie Irving returns to the line-up for Boston though and with their “floor genera” in the line-up, I think the Celtics end their road trip with a signature West Coast victory. Portland comes in off three straight wins, but with two nights off before a lengthy road trip, I think the home side comes out flat tonight. Note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games after allowing 122 points or more in its previous contest. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Boston. |
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11-10-18 | Knicks +14 v. Raptors | Top | 112-128 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* TRADE-MARK) The Raptors just swept their difficult West Coast road swing and they didn’t even have their best player in the line-up. Toronto is 11-1 and rolling across the board right now, but I think the home side will finally come in a tiny bit complacent here, leaving the back door open just enough for New York to sneak in through the down the stretch. With Anthony Davis and New Orleans coming to town next, this sets up as a “look-ahead” spot as well. New York comes in off a 112-107 win over the Hawks and it’ll look to build off that win with another strong effort here. No outright, but closer than expected. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Raptors. |
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11-09-18 | Nets +9.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* HAMMER-TIME!) I think the Nuggets are primed for another letdown here after suffering a loss last time out. Brooklyn comes in off back-to-back victories and with a game tomorrow night in Golden State, clearly the Nets will be leaving everything they have on the floor tonight in trying to earn an upset in this more “winnable” matchup. With Milwaukee and Houston coming to town next, clearly the Nuggets could easily be caught “looking ahead” here as well. Note that the Nets are 9-0 ATS in their last nine after allowing 90 points or less and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 following a win by ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Denver. |
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11-08-18 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 214.5 | Top | 80-98 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection:Rockets/Thunder under (10* O/U BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Thunder star Russell Westbrook is dealing with an injury and is uncertain for this one. That leaves the back door open for the hungry Rockets to take advantage. After a slow start, Houston will try to take advantage. The Thunder can ill afford to turn this one into a “track meet.” Note that the Rockets have seen the total go “under” in four of its last six against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Houston. |
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11-07-18 | Pistons -1 v. Magic | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* TRADE-MARK) The Pistons are desperate, they’ve lost six straight, but with a game tonight against the Magic and then at Atlanta on Friday, Detroit will look to close its road trip on a high note. Orlando beat the Spurs on the road, before then returning home to come from behind for a 102-100 win over the Cavs. Can anyone say letdown spot here?! Note as well that the Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine on a four games or more unbeaten streak. T.M. Prediction: 110-100 Pistons |
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11-06-18 | Nets v. Suns +1 | Top | 104-82 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Both teams come in off rare victories. The Nets smashed the 76ers 122-97 at home on Sunday, while the Suns got the better of the Grizzlies 102-100 that same night. I don’t think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup though. The Nets achilles heel has been their play on the road and I think that’ll again be the base tonight as well. The Suns don’t have the luxury to dwell on their most recent win after such a poor start and I like them to push the pace and find a way to get the job done in this favorable match-up. T.M. Prediction: 115-105 Suns. |
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11-05-18 | Cavs +3.5 v. Magic | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* GAME OF WEEK) No need to overthink this one. The Magic go into their game against the Spurs having lost three straight on Sunday night. Cleveland can empathize as it’s 1-8 overall, most recently coming off back-to-back losses, including a 126-94 setback in Charlotte Saturday. But Orlando on the second game of a back to back offers the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Note that Cleveland is still 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a two games or more SU unbeaten streak. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Cavs. |
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11-04-18 | Magic +8 v. Spurs | Top | 117-110 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR) I think the Magic bounce back here on the road after three straight losses. The Spurs on the other hand look poised for a classic letdown here after their convincing 109-95 win last night at home over New Orleans. Note that the Magic are 25-18 ATS the last two years after three or more consecutive SU losses, while SA is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight non-conference games. T.M. Prediction: 205-203 Spurs. |
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11-03-18 | Lakers +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Lakers have looked great at times this year and really bad in others. That’s going to be the case all year long until the team develops some really chemistry, but I believe the visitors can keep this one competitive and do in fact have a real shot at taking this one outright. LA enters off a 114-113 home win over Dallas, with James posting 29 points, five boards and six assists. The Blazers come in on the other end of the spectrum, having won three straight, most recently a 132-119 rout of New Orleans. Can anyone say letdown spot? Note that LA 10-6 ATS in its last 16 when playing with two days rest, while Portland is still just 20-23 ATS in its last 43 after allowing 115 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 115-110 Lakers. |
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11-02-18 | Knicks v. Mavs -6 | Top | 118-106 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Mavericks are desperate, they’re just 2-6 overall and they’ve lost five straight. It goes without saying that Dallas will be leaving everything it has on the floor tonight as it looks to get back into the winners circle. The good news is that’s it’s playing at home, where the Mavericks are a respectable 2-1 SU/ATS thus far. They also benefit in facing the Knicks, who are just 2-6 overall as well, including 0-3 on the road. Additionally note that Dallas is 7-2 ATSin its last nine following a four games or more unbeaten streak. T.M. Prediction: 113-100 Mavs. |
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11-01-18 | Nuggets v. Cavs +6 | Top | 110-91 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* UNDERDOG GAME OF MONTH) Kevin Love is out, but the Cavs finally got off the schneid with a convincing victory at home over the Hawks last time out and I fully expect this veteran team to carry that momentum over here. Denver is the perfect opponent as well, because the Nuggets are in Chicago on Wednesday night. While I do in fact believe that the outright win isn’t out of the question here, I will in the end recommend grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Nuggets. |
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10-31-18 | Jazz v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 125-128 | Win | 100 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota T-Wolves (10* TRADE-MARK) Utah enters off a 113-104 road win at Dallas, while Minnesota got back on track with a big 124-120 win over the Lakers on Monday. The Jazz are averaging 112.5 PPG and they’re allowing 106.2. The T-Wolves are averaging 114.3 PPG and they’re allowing 117.6. Clearly that’s not a recipe for success in the long-term, but I think Minnesota will build off its latest performance, while I expect a step back from Utah in this difficult road venue. Additionally note that Utah is just 10-15 ATS in its last 25 after playing three consecutive road games, while Minnesota is already 3-1 ATS this season against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 115-108 Minnesota. |
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10-30-18 | Heat v. Hornets -4 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* GAME OF WEEK) After a great start the Heat come in off a blowout loss at home to the Kings just last night and I think they’ll stumble again here in the second game of the back-to-back. Charlotte on the other hand will be risking life and limb to get back on track here after dropping three of its last four. The Hornets actually beat the Heat 113-112 back on October 20th, but this time around I’m expecting a much bigger victory. So far the Heat are averaging 111.2 PPG and allowing 105.4. The Hornets are averaging 114.1 PPG and they’re allowing 109. Note that Charlotte is 6-2 ATS in its last eight against the East, while Miami is just 2-5 ATS in the same position. This is in fact Miami’s third game in four nights. Lay the points as this one has “blowout” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Charlotte. |
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10-29-18 | Mavs +6 v. Spurs | Top | 108-113 | Win | 100 | 31 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK) The Mavericks have no time to dwell on a 113-104 loss at home to Utah last night. Normally I wouldn’t play on a team in the second game of a back to back, but the beginning of the season nullifies the fatigue factor in my opinion. After three straight losses and with a tough game against the Lakers on Wednesday, the Mavs will obviously be desperate for a victory here. The Spurs come in off a solid win over the Lakers on Saturday, but with a game against the lowly the Suns on Halloween, the home side could easily be caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. Note as well that the Spurs are just 16-27 ATS the last two years against the division, while the Mavs are 19-13 ATS against divisional foes in the same span. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Spurs. |
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10-27-18 | Blazers v. Heat -1 | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Blazers are 3-1 to open the year and they come in off a road win in Orlando, but with upcoming contests and Indianapolis and Houston, before a home game against the Lakers, I think the visitors are going to get caught “looking past” their non-conference opponent tonight. Miami’s had two nights off to re-focus after a convincing 110-87 win over the Knicks and with two nights off again after this before a home game against the lowly Kings, the home side can indeed put their full attention onto the task at hand. Note as well that Portland is still only 34-36 ATS in its last 70 as an underdog, while Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine against poor defensive clubs which allow 106 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Heat. |
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10-26-18 | Warriors -12 v. Knicks | Top | 128-100 | Win | 100 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER) No upsets in the Big Apple, as I expect the two-time defending champs to come in focused on the task at hand. Golden State most recently destroyed Washington 144-122 on Wednesday, while New York returns home off a humbling 110-87 setback in Miami. Golden State is averaging 119.4 PPG and it’s allowing 109.6. New York is averaging 106.4 PPG and it’s allowing 110.2. Note as well that the Knicks are just 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, while GS is 5-1 ATS in its last six against teams with losing SU records. Lay the points and expect a blowout from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 125-105 Warriors. |
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