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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-18-20 | Miami-OH v. Ball State UNDER 138 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami (OH)/Ball St UNDER Miami Ohio may have seen 4 straight OVER's, but I believe that they are due for an UNDER here today. Entering this game, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the past 5 meetings between these two teams. The total has also gone UNDER in 12 of Ball State's last 15 games against opponents in the Mid-American Conference. 10 of Ball St's last 15 games this season have gone "UNDER" the total aswell. Expect a highly-contested defensive battle to be played on Saturday. Buckle up for a low scoring game. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 64-61 Ball St |
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01-15-20 | Massachusetts v. St Bonaventure -8.5 | Top | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St Bonaventure The Bonnies come into this matchup as ther much better team. They are a dominant 10-1 SU in their last 11 games this season. St Bonaventure is also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. Even better, they are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games played in January. For UMASS, they are only 3-11 SU in their last 14 games played on a Wednesday. The Minutemen are also 2-14 SU in their last 16 games played in January. Even worse, they are a terrible 0-7 in their last 7 games against the Bonnies. At home, expect a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 72-51 Bonnies |
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01-14-20 | Central Michigan v. Toledo -8.5 | Top | 74-67 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toledo Both of these two teams may have identical records, but I believe that the Rockets are the better team. Toledo comes into this game with a massive 9-1 record in their last 10 games at home. Toledo is also 8-4 ATS off a home non-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite the past three years. Even better, they are 7-3 ATS ehrn against good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. For the Chippewas, they are only 0-8 SU in their last 8 games on the road. Central Michigan is also a terrible 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Toledo. Expect an easy cover for the home team here. Take the Toledo Rockets. T.M. Prediction: 76-49 Toledo |
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01-12-20 | Canisius v. St. Peter's -2.5 | Top | 72-68 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St Peter's Both of these two teams sit with a record below .500. But, even with a 5-7 record, the Saint Peter's Peacocks are still a dominant 9-3 ATS this season. Saint Peter's also come into this game with a 6-3 SU record in their last 9 games against opponents in the Metro Atlantic Conference. On the other hand, Canisius are a terrible 0-6 in their last 6 games this seaaon. The Golden Griffins are also only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the MAC. Even worse, they are a sad 0-5 in their last 5 games played on the road. With St Peter's at home, expect the Peacocks to win with ease on Sunday. Take SPC T.M. Prediction: 69-61 SPC |
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01-11-20 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Green Bay -6 | Top | 87-80 | Loss | -103 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Green Bay On Saturday, both teams will battle to see who's the better team in Wisconsin. Neither team has played too well, but their whole seasons could flip around, with a huge win today, Wisconsin-Milwaukee is only 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games this season. They are also a sad 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Wisconsin-Green Bay. Even worse, they are a terrible 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Saturday. For Green Bay, they are a perfect 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Phoenix are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Take Wis-GB here. T.M. Prediction: 73-60 |
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01-11-20 | Idaho State v. Northern Arizona -8 | 71-67 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Northern Arizona Neither team has has a great start, but I belive that the Lumberjacks are a lot better than this Idaho St team. Northern Arizona comes into this one 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. They are also 4-1 in their last 5 games at home. Even better, they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Saturday. On the other hand, the Bengals are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against opponents in the Big Sky Conference. Idaho St have also lost 5 straight games on the road. It can't get much worse than that. But, they are an awful 0-7 SU in their last 7 games played in January. At home, expect Northern Arizona to kill Idaho St T.M. Prediction: 83-66 NAU |
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01-11-20 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Eastern Kentucky -5 | Top | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Kentucky Neither team has started too well to the 2019-20 campaign. They both enter well under .500 and that has made people think that both cannot make the Big Dance. But, with a win here, I believe that Eastern Kentucky's hopes are still alive. EKU is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Ohio Valley Conference. On the other hand, SIU Edwardsville are only 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Eastern Kentucky. Take EKU at home on Saturday, T.M. Prediction: 77-61 EKU |
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01-11-20 | Delaware v. Towson OVER 136 | Top | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Delaware/Towson OVER Coming into this game, the total has gone OVER in 5 of Towson's last 6 games played in January. Towson has also seen the total go OVER in 4 of their last 5 games at home. On the other hand, the total has gone OVER in 5 of Delaware's last 7 games this season. The total has also gone OVER in 6 of Delaware's last 8 games against opponents in the Colonial Athletic Conference. In the past, in games between these two teams, the total has gone OVER in 12 of the past 16 games. Expect another OVER here. T.M. Prediction: 78-74 Delaware |
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01-11-20 | Alabama v. Kentucky OVER 152.5 | 67-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kentucky/Alabama OVER The total may be high, but I believe that it is not high enough. For Kentucky the total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 games against opponents in the Southeastern Conference. The total has also gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games against opponents in the Southeastern Conference. On the other hand, Alabama has seen five straight OVER's. The total has also gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games on the road. Expect nother OVER here. T.M. Prediction: 87-81 UK |
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01-10-20 | Canisius v. Monmouth UNDER 142 | Top | 65-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canisius/Monmouth-NJ UNDER Coming into this game, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Canisius' last 8 games played in January. They have also seen the total go UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games at home against the Monmouth Hawks. For the Hawks, they saw an easy UNDER in their last game. In the past, the total has also gone UNDER in 4 of the past 6 games between these two teams. Expect another UNDER here. T.M. Prediction: 67-61 Monmouth NJ |
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01-08-20 | California Baptist v. CS Bakersfield OVER 143 | Top | 83-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: CAL Bapitst/CSU Bakerfield OVER Neither of these teams are considered as great basketball schools. But, that doesn't mean that they cannot score. Cal Baptist has only failed to score 70+ points this season in 2 of their 15 games. That includes 10 straight games with over 70 points. On the other hand, the total has gone OVER in 6 of Cal State-Bakersfield's last 8 games played in January. The total has also gone OVER in 4 of Cal State-Bakersfield's last 6 games this season. Expect another OVER here. T.M. Prediction: 81-74 CSU Bakerfield |
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01-08-20 | Arkansas v. LSU -5 | 77-79 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LSU The Razorback may be 12-1, but I believe that LSU is by far the better side. LSU is now 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home. The Tigers are also a dominant 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against opponents in the Southeastern Conference (SEC.) In the past, LSU is 14-3 SU in their last 17 games when playing at home against Arkansas. For the Razorbacks, they are only 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. Even worse, they are a sad 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against opponents in the Southeastern Conference. Expect LSU to destroy Arkansas at home on Wednesday. Take the Tigers T.M. Prediction: 73-51 LSU |
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01-08-20 | Tulsa v. Cincinnati -9 | Top | 44-75 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati The Bearcats may not have the best record, but they still have a very talented team, led by one of the best players in the entire league in Jarron Cumberland. Dating back to last season. Cincinnati is 16-4 SU in their last 20 games against opponents in the American Athletic Conference. The Bearcats are also 18-2 SU in their last 20 games at home. Even better, they are a perfect 5-0 in their last five games against Tulsa. For the Golden Hurricane, they are only 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road. They are also a sad, 5-11 SU in their last 16 games played in January. Expect another dominant performance from Cincinnati tonight, at home. Take the Bearcats. T.M. Prediction: 81-56 Cinci |
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01-06-20 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Coastal Carolina -7 | Top | 64-93 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Coastal Carolina The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks haven't looked too great as of late, which has resulted in recent struggles. Although they have won their last two games, they are only 2-5 in their last 7 games. The Warhawks are also a sad 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against Coastal Carolina. For the Chanticleers, they have looked very sharp. Entering this game, they are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in January. Even better, Coastal Carolina is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Monday. Expect another easy win for them on Monday. T.M. Predtiction: 77-59 CCAR |
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01-04-20 | Florida State +6.5 v. Louisville | Top | 78-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida St Both of these two teams are crusing right through the start of their seasons. Florida St is 12-2 while Louisville is 11-2. The Seminoles are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games this season. They are also 7-4 after a cover as a double digit favorite. Even better, FSU is a perfect 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played on a Saturday. Louisville is only 7-11 after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread the past three years. I expect the Seminoles to shock the world here on Saturday. T.M. Prediction: 78-77 FSU |
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01-02-20 | Fordham v. VCU OVER 124.5 | Top | 46-64 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCA/Furman OVER VCU is by far the better side, skill wised in this matchup. They come in with a 10-3 record and they have won 20 straight games at home. Virgia Commonwealth averages more than 72 points per game aswell. VCU has seen the toatl go OVER in 5 of their last 6 games played on a Thursday.On the other hand, the total has gone OVER in 10 of Fordham's last 13 games played on a Thursday. Expect this to be an easy winner. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 79-63 VCU |
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12-30-19 | Louisiana Tech -7 v. Southern Miss | Top | 80-49 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisiana Tech There is a gigantic gap of skill between these two schools. Louisiana Tech comes in as the leader in the Conference USA. They are a dominant 5-1 SU in their last 6 games this season. The Bulldogs are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against the Golden Eagles. Even better they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Southern Mississippi. For the Eagles, they come in as the 13th best team in the same conference. They have struggled all season long and that has resulted in a terrible record. Southern Miss is only 3-9 SU in their last 12 games. I expect the Bulldog to destroy these guys on Monday. Take LT. T.M. Prediction: 83-59 LT |
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12-28-19 | Eastern Kentucky v. East Carolina UNDER 151.5 | Top | 74-82 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Kentucky/East Carolina UNDER Eastern Kentucky has started the season 3-9 while the Pirates are 5-7. EKU enters this game off 7 straight losses though. In all games this season, they have seen the total go UNDER in 7 of the 11. They have also averaged about 73 points per game. On the other hand, the total has gone UNDER in 10 of East Carolina's L12 games played in December. I expect both teams two focus a bit more on the defesve side of the ball in a critical game for both teams. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 74-71 EKU |
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12-28-19 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky -7.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Kentucky Wis-Milwaukee enters this game with a 5-7 record. They havce yet to do anything really, and they have lost their last five games. The Panthers are also a terrible 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against Northern Kentucky. For NKU, they are a dominant 18-2 in their L20 games at home. The Norse are also 13-5 in their L18 games dating back to last season. Even better, they are a perfect 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against opponents in the Horizon League Conference. I expect this to be a complete destruction on Saturday Morning. Take NKU. T.M. Prediction: 78-62 NKU |
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12-25-19 | Houston v. Washington OVER 139 | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston/Washington OVER Coming into this huge game, both of these two teams have looked very sharp. They have both averaged more than 74 points per game and they have fantastic records. Houston has seen the total go OVER in 6 of their past 9 games after covering the spread 3 or more consecutive times. Washington, on the other hand, has seen the total go OVER in 5 of 7 games this season, when they are playing against opponents with a winning record. I expect both teams to be on their A-Game on Christmas as they go for atleast 150 points. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 81-79 Washington |
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12-23-19 | San Francisco +1 v. Fresno State | Top | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Fran Coming into this game, San Francisco is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games. The Dons are also 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against Fresno State. Even better, they are a dominant 8-3 in their L11 games played in December. On the other hand, Fresno St comes in with a sad 1-4-1 ATS record in their last 6 games played on a Monday. The Bulldogs are also only 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games. Expect San Fran to take care of business on the road today. Take the Dons. T.M. Prediction: 69-57 SF |
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12-21-19 | Kentucky +4 v. Ohio State | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UK The Wildcats may not have had the best start in the world, but they still are 80% on the year, Kentucky comes in 11-2 SU in their last 13 games played on a Saturday. They are also 6-1 SU in their last 7 games. On the other hand, Ohio St has been pretty good as well. "I know they lost (Wednesday), but at the end of the day, they're going to be one of the better teams in the country," UK Head Coach said after the game on Wednesday. Holtmann expects a completely different Kentucky team here, than the team that everyone saw against Utah. Expect a huge bouce-back win. T.M. Prediction: 85-83 Kentucky |
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12-19-19 | Southern Utah v. Long Beach State OVER 139.5 | Top | 84-63 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Long Beach St/Southern Utah OVER Coming into this game, Long Beach St is 3-8, while Southern Utah is 6-4. Long Beach St has seen the total go OVER in 6 of their last 8 games. It has also gone OVER in 3of their last 4 games. On the other hand Southern Utah has scored a lot this year. They have averaged 76.3 points per game. Expect it to go OVER here. T.M. Prediction: 81-75 Long Beach St |
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12-18-19 | VCU -5 v. College of Charleston | Top | 76-71 | Push | 0 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCU VCU comes into this one 6-0 SU in their last 6 games on the road. They are also 16-4 SU in their last 20 games dating back to last season. Even better, they are a sweet 18-2 SU in their last 20 games against opponents in the Colonial Athletic Conference. On the other hand, College of Charleston are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Wednesday. The Cougars are also a sad 2-4 SU in their last 6 games this season. Expect a beadown here. T.M. Prediction: 78-63 VCU |
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12-17-19 | North Texas v. Dayton -15.5 | Top | 58-71 | Loss | -113 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dayton 14th ranked Dayton comes in 8-1 while North Texas enters with a sad 4-6 record. For Dayton, they are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played in December. The Flyers are also6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games this season. Even better, Dayton is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home. On the other hand, North Texas is 1-4 SU in their L5 games against opponents in the Atlantic 10 Conference. Even worse, the Mean Green are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games dating back to last season. I expect the Dayton Flyers to destroy this weak UNT team. T.M. Prediction: 83-57 Dayton |
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12-16-19 | Eastern Illinois -1.5 v. Western Illinois | Top | 85-47 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Illinois Coming into this game, Eastern Illinois is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games. The Panthers are also 6-2 in their L8 games played in December. Even better, they are a dominant 5-1 in their last 6 games against Western Illinois. On the other hand, Western Illinois is a sad 4-14 SU in their last 18 games. The Leathernecks are also 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against opponents in the Ohio Valley Conference. Expect EIU to win with ease here. T.M. Prediction: 73-60 EIU |
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12-15-19 | Samford v. Hawaii -6 | Top | 73-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawaii Samford has not had the start they were hoping for and now they'll go up against a Hawaii team, who are 6-1 at home so far this season. For the Bulldogs, they have a 1-7 SU record in their last 8 games on the road. On the other hand, Hawaii is 8-3 SU in their L11 games played on a Sunday. Expect Hawaii to dominate from the opening tip-off and for it to be an absolute blowout. T.M. Prediction: 81-64 Hawaii |
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12-14-19 | IUPU Ft Wayne -2.5 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 65-74 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue Fort Wayne IPFW come into this matchup 5-1 SU in their last 6 games. The Mastodons are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in December. They are a just as good 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against opponents in the Horizon League Conference as well. On the other hand, IUPUI is only 1-6 SU in their last 7 games. They are also a sad 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Saturday. Expect Purdue Fort Wayne to dominate these guys here today. Take IPFW. T.M. Prediction: 69-60 IPFW |
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12-13-19 | Nebraska v. Indiana UNDER 149.5 | Top | 90-96 | Loss | -127 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana/Nebraska UNDER In this Big-Ten matchup, the 4-5 Cornhuskers will go up against the 9-1 Hoosiers. In the past, the total has gone UNDER in 8 of the last 9 games when these two teams are up against each other. Indiana is also off a game where they combined for only 111 with their opponent. I expect both defenses to step up big time in this big Conference Matchup for both teams. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 72-65 Indiana |
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12-12-19 | Iowa v. Iowa State -4 | Top | 84-68 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iowa St Both teams in this huge rivalry have started off the season with similar records. Iowa State enters this one with a perfect 5-0 SU record in their last 5 games at home. The Cyclones are also 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played in December. On the other hand, Iowa is only 1-5 ATS in their L6 games on the road. The Hawkeyes are also 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against Iowa State. Expect Iowa St to dominate with a loud, home crowd behind them. Take the Cyclones. T.M. Prediction: 73-61 ISU |
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12-09-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa UNDER 145 | Top | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iowa/Minnesota UNDER Minnesota will travel to Iowa, where they'll play the Hawkeyes on Monday evening. Both of these two teams enter this game having seen the total go UNDER in most of their matches. For the Gophers, the total has gone UNDER in each of their last 9 games on the road. The total has also gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games. On the other hand, Iowa has seen a lot of UNDER's as well. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's L6 games played in December. Expect a low-scoring game in this Big-Ten matchup. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 67-64 Iowa |
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12-08-19 | Central Michigan v. Valparaiso -2.5 | Top | 55-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Valparaiso Central Michigan comes in with a terrible 0-10 SU record in their L10 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. They are also 1-3 ATS in their L4 games (lined games.) On the other hand, Valparaiso is 12-5 SU in their last 17 games against opponents in the Mid-American Conference. The Crusaders are also 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home. Expect Valparaiso to crush this Central Michigan team on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 76-65 Valparaiso |
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12-06-19 | Idaho State v. Pepperdine UNDER 148 | Top | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pepperdine/Idaho St Under Neither team has had the start that they were hoping for. I expect both sides to tighten up their defense here. Off a low scoring game, the total has now gone UNDER in 13 of Idaho State's L16 games played in December. If the Bengals are going to have a chance in this one, they need to out play the Waves on the defensive end. Pepperdine, on the other hand, has seen the total go OVER many times this year. Although they've scored a lot, they have lost 5 straight games. They have also seen the total go UNDER in December though, as the UNDER is 11-3 in the past. Look for lots of defense to be played here, as both teams are desperate for a win. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 71-63 Pepperdine |
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12-05-19 | Furman v. Auburn -12.5 | Top | 78-81 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Auburn Auburn comes in with a perfect 7-0 record while Furman is 7-2. The Tigers are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games played in December. They are also 9-3 ATS in their L12 games played on a Thursday. On the other hand, the Paladins are a sad 0-6 SU in their L6 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference. Furman is also only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. I expect Auburn, the better team, to destroy this weak Furman team. Take Auburn. T.M. Prediction: 87-54 Auburn |
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12-03-19 | Florida State +3 v. Indiana | Top | 64-80 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida St Both teams have had really good starts to the year, and have looked extremely sharp. FSU though, has already beaten 2 ranked opponents. Since their opening day loss, they have yet to lose. Florida State is also 13-1 ATS in their L14 games played on a Tuesday. On the other hand, Indiana is only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference. Expect FSU to dominate against Indiana on Tuesday. Take FSU. T.M. Prediction: 81-72 FSU |
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12-02-19 | South Dakota v. Washington -13 | Top | 55-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Huskies Washington come in with a ridiculous 19-1 SU record in their last 20 games at home. They are also 5-1 in their L6 games. They'll play the South Dakota Coyotes who are only 1-5 ATS in their L6 games played in December. South Dakota is also 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. Washington is by far the better side in this one and I expect them to dominate with their home crowd behind them here. Take the Washington Huskies. T.M. Prediction: 82-61 Huskies |
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12-01-19 | Rhode Island +9 v. West Virginia | Top | 81-86 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: URI Both teams have started their season off on the right foot. URI has been solid, and have looked confident in their first seven games. Now, they'll play the West Virginia Mountaineers who are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. Rhode Island are 12-4 SU in their L16 games played in December. I expect the URI Rams to win this game outright. But I'm glad to take the point as well. Take Rhode Island. T.M. Prediction: 74-71 URI |
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11-30-19 | CS Sacramento v. Colorado UNDER 128.5 | Top | 45-59 | Win | 100 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado/Sacramento St UNDER Both of these teams come in with undefeated records. They have both been playing stellar basketball especially on the defensive end. Coming into this game, neither averages over 57 points allowed. For Sacramento St, the total has gone UNDER in each of their L6 games against an opponent in the Pacific-12 conference. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's L12 games as well. I expect great defense on Saturday Night. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 57-41 Colorado |
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11-29-19 | Tennessee v. Florida State -119 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: FLORIDA STATE Tennessee scored 58 points last game. FSU scored 113. Nearly twice as many! Of course, the Seminoles were playing a bad team. But the Volunteers were also. FSU was a 40 point favorite, UT was a 20 point favorite. The Noles are a perfect 5-0 SU their last five against SEC teams. Venue is Niceville, Florida which favors FSU. They're better than people think and they'll prove it here. T.M. Prediction: 72-64 Noles |
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11-28-19 | Davidson v. Marquette -3 | Top | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marquette On Thanksgiving, the Golden Eagles will play the Wildcats in the first round of the Orlando Invitational. Entering this game, Davidson is 2-3, while the Golden Eagles are 3-1. Davidson is 0-5 SU in their L5 games against an Big East Conference opponent. Marquette is 5-1 ATS in their L6 games vs. an opponent in the Atlantic 10 conference. I expect Marquette to dominate, as they have yet to lose as a favorite this season so far. Take the Golden Eagles. T.M. Prediction: 73-59 Marquette |
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11-26-19 | Wichita State -3 v. South Carolina | Top | 70-47 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
v T.M. Selection: Wichita St On Tuesday evening, the Shockers will play the Gamecocks in the CanCun Challenge. Coming into this game, Wichita St is 5-0 and has looked dominant. They averaged 18.4 more points per game than their opponent. On the other hand, South Carolina has failed to cover the spread in their last two games. I expect the Shockers to be extremely good in the Cancun Challenge Opener. Take Wichita St. T.M. Prediction: 75-67 Wichita St |
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11-25-19 | Colorado State v. New Mexico State -4 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico State On Monday, the Aggies will play the Rams in the Cayman Islands Classic in-season tournament. Coming into this game, New Mexico St is 8-1 SU in their L9 games vs. opponents in the Mountain West Conference. I expect them to take it to the Rams on Monday Morning. Take New Mex State. T.M. Prediction: 76-63 Aggies |
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11-20-19 | Rider v. Massachusetts -6 | Top | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UMASS The Minutemen have started the new season perfect, with four wins and no losses. They have looked extremely confident coming in to this game. Rider enters with a 2-1 record. In their previous matchup, the Broncs lost by 37 points. Rider is also 4-13-1 ATS in their L18 games. I believe that UMASS will get the job done, with their home fans behind them, on Wednesday Night. Take the Minutemen. T.M. Prediction: 76-56 UMASS |
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11-18-19 | SMU v. Evansville -2 | Top | 59-57 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Evansville Both of these two teams enter this game with a perfect 3-0 record. Although they are 3-0, SMU is only 1-4 ATS in their L5 games (dating back to last season.) On the other hand, Evansville is off one of thier biggest wins in school history. On Tuesday, the Aces upset the #1 team in the nation in Kentucky. I expect them to feel like the best team, play like the best team, and win like the best team in america tonight. Take Evansville. T.M. Prediction: 78-65 Evansville |
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11-12-19 | Oklahoma v. Oregon State +1.5 | 77-69 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oregon St Both undefeated teams clash in the Phil Knight Invitational on Tuesday. The Beavers have looked great, as they have scored 80+ in each of their first two contests. Oregon St will also have the advantage in travel distance for this game. I expect the Beavers to come out strong again on Tuesday Night. Take Oregon State. T.M. Prediction: 78-70 Oregon St |
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11-11-19 | Kent State v. Towson OVER 140 | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Towson/Kent St OVER Both of these two teams are undefeated to start the season. Towson is 2-0 while the Golden Flashes are 1-0. In Kent State's game, they scored 97 points against a weak opponent. That should motivate them to do it again on Monday against the Tigers. Towson scored lots in their last matchup as well. I expect both teams to be scoring buckets all over the place tonight. Take the OVER T.M. Prediction: 81-75 Towson |
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11-08-19 | Illinois -6.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois (First Half) The Fighting Illini come into this game 1-0, and Grand Canyon enters with an 0-1 record. Illinois has one of the best backcourts in all of the Big Ten and Grand Canyon gave up 82 poinyts in their first matchup against a weak Davenport team. I expect the Fighting Illini to come out with lots of confidence as they look to continue their success. Take Illinois. T.M. Prediction: 34-24 (1st Half) |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia OVER 117 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas Tech/Virginia over (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) If you’re wagering on this game, then you almost assuredly already know the story lines for both teams, how they got here, their strengths and weaknesses, their coaches and their star players. Texas Tech finished with the No. 3 defense, while Virginia owns the No. 1. Writing a play on the “under” wouldn’t be too difficult obviously, but for the National Championship Game, I think these teams push the pace offensively from start to finish. Each can play defense, but it’s going to be the team which can execute on the offensive side of the ball that wins the title. With each side putting an added emphasis on that side of the ball in this one, I look for this total to fly over as it comes down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 65-60 Cavaliers. |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia -117 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia (10* GAME OF MONTH) If you’re wagering on this game, then you almost assuredly already know the story lines for both teams, how they got here, their strengths and weaknesses, their coaches and their star players. Texas Tech finished with the No. 3 defense, while Virginia owns the No. 1. Writing a play on the “under” wouldn’t be too difficult obviously, but for the National Championship Game, I think these teams push the pace offensively from start to finish. Each can play defense, but it’s going to be the team which can execute on the offensive side of the ball that wins the title. Virginia’s offensive numbers are slimly better than the Red Raiders. So are its defensive numbers. The Cavaliers also have the experience advantage. While Virginia has yet to put forth a solid cover in this tournament to date, I expect it to finally do so here. These teams are mirror images of each other, but the Cavs’ experience and superior offensive numbers are the difference. T.M. Prediction: 65-60 Cavaliers. |
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04-06-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan State -2.5 | Top | 61-51 | Loss | -109 | 106 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF BEST) With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are very evenly matched. And they are. Both have used smothering defensive play to reach this point, but MSU’s offense is better and in this situation, I think that’ll be enough to put the Spartans over the top. Tom Izzo has an advantage over his counterpart Chris Beard as well. Michigan State’s experience and superior offensive numbers make it the correct call in my opinion. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-60 MSU. |
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04-06-19 | Auburn +5.5 v. Virginia | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 103 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Auburn (9* TRADE-MARK) Both teams come in on top form. The one knock against the Tigers heading into the game vs. No. 2 Kentucky (a game it won 77-71 in OT on Sunday), was that it was playing without key player Chuma Okeke, who was injured in the previous round. But the Tigers’ depth once again proved to be the difference in the upset victory and I like their chances here as well to pull off an outright. Virginia was taken to the brink last time out, needing OT beat Purdue 80-75. Auburn has won 12 straight and I expect it to push this Cavaliers defense to the edge once again. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 66-64 Auburn. |
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04-05-19 | South Florida +2.5 v. DePaul | Top | 77-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (10* WINNER). I had the Bulls in Game 1, the Blue Demons in Game 2 and for Game 3 I’m coming back with USF (each game has been razor sharp, some may have won, pushed or lost depending on when you got down. I was admittedly fortunate both times so far). Game 2 was a 100-96 OT DePaul win, but I think the Game 3 pace, which I predict will be “slow” due to the high-scoring extra-frame shootout on Wednesday, absolutely favors the defensive minded Bulls here. DePaul has not looked like the better team and home court was not really an advantage at all in Game 2. Note that DePaul is still just 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while USF is still 12-3 ATS in its last 15 on the road. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by an outright upset. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bulls. |
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04-04-19 | Lipscomb +1.5 v. Texas | Top | 66-81 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lipscomb (10*) I had Lipscomb in their victory over Wichita State last time out and I think they’re not getting nearly enough respect here as well. The Longhorns looked impressive in their 58-44 win over TCU, but I think they’ll have their hands full with this deep and experienced “Cinderella” side. The Bison average 83.6 PPG and they allow 69.9. Texas averages only 70.8 PPG, while allowing 66.4. The numbers don’t add up to me here. I think the Bison get out to an early lead and I don’t think the offensively challenged Longhorns are going to be able to keep up. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bison. |
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04-03-19 | South Florida v. DePaul -4 | Top | 96-100 | Push | 0 | 33 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: DePaul (10* BLOWOUT) I had a play on USF and it would hold on for the 63-61 home victory in Game 1 of the CBI Tournament Championship on Monday. With a chance to take the title here, the defensive minded Bulls are going to be out to duplicate their performance, holding the Blue Demons to just 38.5 percent from the floor in the victory. In Game 2 though I’m expecting the high-flying Blue Demons to push the pace from start to finish and to ride the wave of emotion in front of the home town crowd to solid SU/ATS victory here. USF is one of the best defensive teams in the nation, but at nearly 79 PPG average offensively for the Blue Demons, I think the Bulls’ unit gets pushed to the brink in Game 2. From a situational stand point I think this one sets up great for DePaul to bounce back in. USF is also just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while DePaul is 5-2 ATS in its last seven off a road loss. T.M. Prediction: 85-67 Blue Demons. |
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04-02-19 | Hampton +5.5 v. Marshall | Top | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hampton (10* BLACK-LABEL) This is one of the semi-finals of the CIT. The Hampton Pirates have won eight of their last nine games. Overall the Pirates average 81.4 PPG, while allowing 76.1. The Thundering Herd have won eight of nine as well. Overall Marshall averages 80.2 PPG, while allowing 80.9. These number don’t matchup. Hampton has experience as well. Additionally note that the Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road, while the Herd are only 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games and just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. I think the outright upset is very possible obviously, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 88-86 Hampton. |
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04-01-19 | DePaul v. South Florida -1 | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: USF (10* CBB GAME OF WEEK) This is Game 1 of the best of three for the CBI title. DePaul enters off win over CMU, Longwood, Coastal Carolina, while USF beat Stony Brook, Utah Valley and Loyola Marymount. DePaul has looked good so far in this tournament having scored at least 90 points in all three victories, but note that it’s still just 3-8 on the road this year. Overall the Blue Demons average 78.6 PPG, while allowing 76.2. USF has gotten this far because of its unreal defense and I believe it’ll be the difference maker in Game 1 as well (most recently beating Loyola Marymount 56-47 at home.) USF is 17-5 on its home floor and it averages 71.9 PPG, while allowing 66.5. I’m banking on home floor mattering here. T.M. Prediction: 80-71 Bulls. |
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03-31-19 | Michigan State v. Duke -1.5 | Top | 68-67 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Duke (10* TRADE-MARK) After back-to-back near upsets, I look for the Blue Devils to come out and play their finest game to this point of the Tournament. These are two of the most storied College Basketball schools in history, so a re-cap of their Hall of Fame coaches or the programs themselves is unnecessary obviously. What doesn’t break you, makes you stronger. The Blue Devils have survived and I believe they’ll come in confident here vs. a Spartans team which has rolled through its competition to this point. But now MSU is in for a fight and I think it’s one that it’s not matched up well for. I like the big stars (Barrett, Williamson) of Duke to be the difference once again. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 80-68 Blue Devils. |
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03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky OVER 142 | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Auburn/Kentucky over (9* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) A couple of conference rivals collide in this one and I’m expecting some offensive fireworks. Auburn can’t be taken lightly here as it’s won eight in a row, including claiming the SEC Tournament. Most recently the Tigers steamrolled Kansas 89-75. To get past this next powerhouse, clearly Auburn will have to duplicate the same game-plan here as well. Kentucky will look to take advantage of its size down low and the fact that Tigers’ starter Chuma Okeke got injured late in the last game. Auburn plays with double revenge here as well after losing both regular season contests. I think this one sets up as more of a faster-paced shootout than a lower-scoring “chess match.” Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Wildcats. |
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03-30-19 | Purdue +4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 75-80 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10*) Virginia has an unrelenting defense. The Cavs are the No. 1 defense in the country, but Purdue comes in on top form and I believe the Boilermakers will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Purdue had a 14 point lead over the Vols in the Sweet 16, but eventually the Boilermakers pulled away for the 99-94 OT victory. Virginia got the better of Oregon 53-49. As stated off the top, clearly the Cavs are a power-house on the defense side. However, clearly their lack of offensive consistency has been their weak point as well and it’s one which I think the Boilermakers can exploit today as they look to pull off another SU upset. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Purdue. |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech v. Gonzaga OVER 137 | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 32 h 37 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Texas Tech/Gonzaga over (8*) Texas Tech has the Nation’s No. 3 ranked defense and it comes in off a commanding 63-44 win over Michigan on Thursday. Gonzaga is one of the highest scoring teams in the nation. averaging 88.2 PPG. The Bulldogs will be out to push the pace from the outset in this one and not let TT dictate the action. Note that the Red Raiders have seen the total go over the number in ten of their last 14 after allowing 65 points or less in two straight games. Also note that Gonzaga has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of 11 this season when playing with one or less days rest. T.M. Prediction: 77-70 Gonzaga. |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech v. Gonzaga -4 | 75-69 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 37 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Gonzaga (8*) Texas Tech has the Nation’s No. 3 ranked defense and it comes in off a commanding 63-44 win over Michigan on Thursday. Gonzaga is one of the highest scoring teams in the nation. averaging 88.2 PPG. The Bulldogs will be out to push the pace from the outset in this one and not let TT dictate the action. Gonzaga was upset in the conference tournament game to Saint Mary’s but the Bulldogs enter having won three straight quite easily and after dispatching the Seminoles in such grand fashion, I expect another beatdown here as well. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-70 Gonzaga. |
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03-29-19 | Auburn v. North Carolina UNDER 165.5 | Top | 97-80 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Under Auburn/UNC (10* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL) I’m expecting an all out war between these two evenly matched teams. Both teams easily beat their first two opponents to get to this point, but clearly the competition for each goes up considerably here. Auburn continues to get disrespected here though after winning the SEC. Auburn averages 79.8 PPG and it allows 68.5. The Tar Heels average 86 PPG and they allow 72.5. Note though that the Tigers have seen the total go under the number in nine of their last 12 after scoring 75 points or more over two straight games, while UNC has seen the total go under in its last seven neutral court games in which the total in the contest is set between 160 to 169.5. This number is a little high. T.M. Prediction: 80-75 Tar Heels. |
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03-29-19 | LSU +6 v. Michigan State | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -109 | 128 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* MONEY-MAKER) LSU has had its difficulties over the last month and a half. The Tigers faded down the stretch of the regular season and then faltered in the SEC Tournament. LSU has gotten past Yale and Maryland though and I think it won’t go down without a fight here either vs. Michigan State, which has beaten Bradley and Minnesota. LSU averages 80.9 PPG and it allows 72.9. MSU averages 78.5 PPG and it ranks third in the country in field goal percentage defense. These numbers are comparable. I look for this one to come right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-74 MSU. |
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03-28-19 | Oregon +8.5 v. Virginia | 49-53 | Win | 100 | 61 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oregon (8* MONEY-MAKER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 61-59 Cavs. |
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03-28-19 | Florida State v. Gonzaga -6.5 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 104 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Gonzaga (10* SWEET 16 BEST OF THE BEST) It’s a big time revenge game for the Bulldogs as Florida State laid a 75-60 beatdown on them in the Sweet 16 last year. Both teams have advanced relatively easily to this point. The Noles average only 44.4 percent form the floor, including 33.7 percent from range, making up for it on the other end by conceding only 67 PPG. Gonzaga comes in on top form as well though, most recently destroying Baylor 83-71 on Saturday. “They’re a really good team,” Gonzaga forward Corey Kispert said of the ‘Noles. “They’re going to demand our best. But it’s exactly what we wanted. We wouldn’t want it any other way.” Note that the Bulldogs have been even better on the defensive side this year, allowing just 64.8 PPG. I think the revenge angle works and is the difference. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 80-68 Zags. |
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03-26-19 | Creighton v. TCU UNDER 151.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Creighton/TCU under (8* SUPER TOTAL) Creighton advanced to the quarterfinals of the NIT by beating Memphis 79-67, while TCU downed Nebraska 88-72. The Blue Jays average 78.5 PPG and they allow 73.2 (note thought that the Blue Jays have struggled from the foul line this year, converting just 68.3 percent of their chances as a team.) TCU averages 74.3 PPG and it allows only 70.2. These are two under-rated defenses in my opinion, and in this pressure packed situation, I believe they’ll be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 TCU. |
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03-25-19 | Brown v. Loyola Marymount -4 | Top | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Loyola Marymount (10* BLACK-LABEL) This is the quarterfinals of the CBI Tournament. Brown posted an 83-78 win over UAB to advance to face the Lions. Overall the Bears averaged 73.9 PPG, while allowing 68.5. Loyola Marymount lost to Pepperdine in the WCC Tournament, but it bounced back with a victory over California Baptist to reach this point. The Lions averaged only 67.2 PPG, but they made up for it on the end of the court by allowing only 62.7. Note that Brown is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a road underdog of 3.5 to six points, while Loyola Marymount is 9-4 ATS this season after failing to cover in two of its last three vs. the spread. I think the Lions aggressive defensive play proves to be too much for the Bears tonight. T.M. Prediction: 74-63 Loyola Marymount. |
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03-24-19 | Ohio State +6 v. Houston | Top | 59-74 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (10* TRADE-MARK) Ohio State enters off a 62-59 win over Iowa State, while Houston rolled to an 84-55 win over Georgia State to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Buckeyes had a poor shooting game last time out, but their tough defensive play was the difference. Ohio State also collected 38 boards, compared to just 31 for Iowa State. Houston rolled to victory in Round 1, but I think the Cougars, who only average 75.6 PPG, will have a much more difficult time today vs. the buzz saw of an Ohio State defense right now. Additionally note that Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last five neutral site affairs. Outright is possible, but I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 67-65 Houston. |
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03-24-19 | Oklahoma v. Virginia -11 | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 29 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Virginia (9* BANKROLL BUILDER) Oklahoma backed its way into the NCAA Tournament with two straight losses, but it came out in the first round and rebounded with an upset win over Ole Miss. The Sooners would go on to post a season high 95 points in the victory. However, I think a predictable letdown here is imminent facing the nation’s No. 1 defense. Overall Oklahoma averages 71.2 PPG, while allowing 68.2. The Cavs average only 71.8 PPG, but as mentioned above, they enter with the No. 1 defense in the country, conceding just 55.1 PPG. Oklahoma is only 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU/ATS win, while Virginia is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 following an ATS loss. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 75-53 UVA. |
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03-24-19 | UCF v. Duke -12.5 | 76-77 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Duke (8* MONEY-MAKER) After upsetting VCU, I think that the Knights take a step back here vs. the No. 1 seed. UCF averages 72.1 PPG an fit allows 64.3. The Golden Knights held the Rams to 58 points, but I believe they’ll have their hands full with the Blue Devils, who average 83.5 PPG. Duke is also stout at the other end of the floor, conceding only 67.6 PPG. UCF is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. the ACC, while Duke is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss and 6-2 ATS in its last eight following a SU win of more than 20 points. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-63 Blue Devils. |
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03-23-19 | Villanova +4 v. Purdue | 61-87 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Villanova (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 69-68 Villanova. |
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03-23-19 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -9.5 | Top | 50-70 | Win | 100 | 31 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10*) These teams are familiar with each other, both hailing from the Big Ten. This is a matchup which does not bode well for the Gophers. These teams played once this season and the Spartans administered a severe 79-5 beatdown on February 9th. Richard Pitino got some sort of mild revenge for his father in yesterday’s upset win over Louisville, but MSU is an entirely different animal. Minnesota is just 1-3 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while Michigan State is 3-0 ATS in the same position. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-62 MSU. |
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03-23-19 | Murray State v. Florida State -4.5 | 62-90 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida State (8*) Ja Morant and Murray State rolled to an 83-64 win over Marquette on Thursday, but I think they’ll have their hands full today with FSU, who advanced with a 76-69 victory over Vermont. Morant had 17 points and 16 assists in the Racers win on Thursday. Murray State averages 83.3 PPG and it allow 67.7. FSU is a huge team though, with players like Chris Koumadje, who is 7-4, 270 lbs. FSU averages only 74.9 PPG, but it allows only 67.2. Murray State though is just 1-2 ATS off an upset win by 15 points or more as an underdog, while FSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games. I think FSU’s size does play a difference here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-66 FSU. |
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03-22-19 | UCF v. VCU -1 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -105 | 109 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCU (10* GAME OF WEEK) UCF is back in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2005. The Knights lost their final two games of the year. UCF averages only 72.1 PPG, but makes up for it on the other end by allowing only 64.3. VCU returns after a one-year absence. The Rams had a 12 game win streak snapped by Rhode Island in the A-10 Tournament. The Rams average only 71.4 PPG, but like their counterparts today, they make up for it on the other end by conceding only 61.6 PPG. Note as well that VCU is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 tournament games and 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while UCF is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 67-60 Rams. |
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03-22-19 | Gardner-Webb +23.5 v. Virginia | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 102 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Gardner Webb (8*) Gardner Webb beat Big South regular-season Champion Radford in the Big South tournament title game and it comes into this one on top form having won five straight. Gardner Webb averages 78.3 PPG and it allows just 70.5 (led by David Efianayi with 18.4 points and 3.7 boards per game.) Virginia was upset by FSU in the ACC tournament, snapping a nine-game win streak. The Cavs average only 71.8 PPG, while holding the opposition to just 55.1. Note though that Gardner Webb is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as an underdog, while Virginia is 0-2 ATS already this season when playing with five or six days rest. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 69-62 Cavs. |
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03-22-19 | Oklahoma +2 v. Ole Miss | 95-72 | Win | 100 | 99 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma (8*) The Sooners stumbled down the stretch, going just 2-3 in their final five games, but I think they’ll bounce back here after going 12-2 during the non-conference portion of their schedule. Oklahoma averages 71.2 PPG, while allowing 68.2. The Rebels are just 1-4 in their last five. Ole Miss averages 75.4 PPG and it allows 70.4. Note that Oklahoma was also 11-1 ATS this year in non-conference action, while Ole Miss is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-68 Sooners. |
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03-22-19 | Iowa +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 79-72 | Win | 100 | 99 h 2 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Iowa (8*) Iowa stumbled down the stretch of the regular season and it would eventually fall to Michigan in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals. The Hawkeyes play in the tougher Conference and clearly they’ll have their hands full with Cincinnati, which just won the AAC Conference Tournament. These teams are very evenly matched though, as Iowa averages 78.3 PPG. The Bearcats have the advantage on the defensive end, but I think the unit will be stretched here by this Iowa team with something to prove here. Iowa is still 4-1 ATS in neutral court games this year and 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Cincinnati is just 5-7 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less in its previous contest. T.M. Prediction: 70-67 Iowa. |
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03-21-19 | Montana +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 55-74 | Loss | -106 | 85 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Montana (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’ll stop short in calling for the outright victory, but with nothing to lose, I think that the hungry Montana Grizzlies can keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. I think that Michigan is still “shell shocked” after losing to rival MSU in the Big Ten Championship Game. Montana won’t be going down without a fight. It’s filled with experienced players as it just captured its second straight Big Sky tournament title. This is a revenge game of sorts as well after Montana fell to Michigan in a 3 vs. 14 matchup last year, 61-47 in Wichita. No outright, but the table is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. T.M. Prediction: 69-62 Michigan. |
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03-21-19 | Vermont v. Florida State -10 | 69-76 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida State (8*) Vermont beat UMBC 66-49 in the America East tournament title game to advance here, while FSU lost 73-63 to Duke in the ACC Tournament title game this past weekend. The Catamounts closed the year with six straight wins, but I think the “step up” in competition will prove to be just too much for Vermont to overcome today. No upsets here as the Seminoles look to take out their frustrations on Vermont after the letdown in the title game. Vermont averages 73.9 PPG and it allows 62.6. The Seminoles average 74.9 PPG and they allow 67.1. FSU is 8-2-2 ATS in its last 12 neutral site games, while Vermont is just 13-27-2 ATS in its last 42 vs. teams with winning SU records. T.M. Prediction: 80-54 FSU. |
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03-21-19 | Yale v. LSU -7 | 74-79 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LSU (8*) Yale won the Ivy League Tournament and while the Bulldogs won’t be going down without a fight, I think the “step up” in competition will prove to be too much for the 14th seed to overcome in the end. Yale defeated Harvard 95-87 in the title game. Yale averages 81.1 PPG and it allows 73.2. LSU averages 81.4 PPG and it allows 73.0. The Bulldogs though are a poor 1-4 ATS as an underdog this year, while LSU is 7-1 ATS in its last eight when playing with five or six days rest. Lay the points and expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 90-70 LSU. |
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03-21-19 | Minnesota v. Louisville -4.5 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (8*) Richard Pitino coaches the Golden Gophers. The Louisville Cardinals will look to bury Minnesota here as it looks to exact revenge against the family that did them wrong. Note that the Gophers played one ACC opponent this year and lost 68-56 to Boston College in November. Louisville is now led by first year coach Chris Mack, who is out to make a new legacy for a storied school program. The Cardinals signature victory came over North Carolina on the road, handing Roy Williams his worst home loss in conference play since he came to the school. Louisville split two games vs. Big Ten schools, beating Michigan State in OT at home and losing at Indiana. Note that Louisville is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as a favorite in the -0.5 to -6.5 points range, while Minnesota is a poor 9-23 ATS in its last 32 as an underdog in the same points range. T.M. Prediction: 76-60 Louisville. |
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03-20-19 | Arizona State v. St. John's +1.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -115 | 61 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. John’s (10* TRADE-MARK) These teams are evenly matched. Both teams looked great at times this year and each struggled down the stretch of the season. Hence the reason they find themselves in The First Four. St. John’s plays with “revenge” here though after falling to the Sun Devils 82-70 in Los Angeles last year. Chris Mullin entered his fourth year as head coach of St. John’s this season and for the first time since taking over, he’d finish with a winning regular season record. Winning has come slower than expected for Mullin, but at the end of the day, he has gotten his team to this point: “The fact of the matter is it does not matter,” Mullin said about the fact the selection committee confirmed the Red Storm was the last at-large team in the field. “So it’s kind of quite factual. And so it’s a true new beginning. No. 1, No. 16, 12, there’s no advantage. You gotta go out and play good basketball. You play good basketball, you move on; if you don’t, your season’s over. “I was part of the team that was the last team in the NBA playoffs on the last day of the season. And we upset the No. 1 team with the most wins in the NBA. So it truly does not matter. You don’t have to make that up. That’s not something you have to tell stories about; that’s the fact.” Ultimately I think that ASU’s issues down the stretch can’t be ignored. Look for St. John’s to finally live up to expectations. At least for one night. T.M. Prediction: 77-75 Red Storm. |
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03-19-19 | Belmont v. Temple UNDER 155.5 | Top | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 38 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Belmont/Temple under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The victor moves on to face Maryland in the first round. Belmont is a very high-scoring team (averages 87.4 PPG), but it’s defense is underrated, allowing 73.9. The Bruins are going to have their hands full with this seasoned AAC defense though. The Owls average just 74.8 PPG, but they allow only 71.2. Belmont lost in the title game of the OVC, while Temple fell in the quarterfinals of the AAC. I’m expecting full court pressure from start to finish and for this one to fall under once it’s all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 73-70 Belmont. |
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03-17-19 | Michigan v. Michigan State +1 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* MONEY MAKER) Michigan finished 15-5 in Big Ten lay, while MSU was 16-4. This is simply a bad matchup for Michigan though. These teams met twice in the regular season, and the Spartans won each time (by 12 at home on March 9th and by 7 on the road on February 24th.) It’s difficult to beat any team three times in one season. But MSU is a pretty good team. And sometimes certain “match ups” give teams issues. I had a play on Old Dominion last night and it had beaten WKU twice in the regular season (by a combined seven points.) I stated in that write-up the exact same thing, that certain “match ups” are just difficult for some teams, and that’s definitely the case here in my opinion as well. I think the Spartans’ depth on both ends of the court once again proves to be too much for the Wolverines to overcome. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 MSU. |
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03-16-19 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -1 | Top | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Old Dominion (NCAA TOURNEY GAME OF YEAR) Clearly these teams are very evenly matched as evidenced by this spread. These teams have played twice this year and ODU came out on top both times. The games were decided by a total of seven points. Both teams come in on top form, but this is a matchup which has confounded WKU this season. I think that’ll again be the case here. ODU is the top seed in the tournament for a reason. Also note that WKU is 0-4 ATS in its last four off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, while ODU is 3-0 ATS in its last three after two straight close wins by three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 70-53 ODU. |
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03-15-19 | Florida v. LSU -1.5 | Top | 76-73 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think LSU lays the hammer down here. Florida played well in its 66-50 win over Arkansas on Thursday, but I believe the Gators come in tired here. Florida went just 1-8 vs. AP Top 25 teams, the lone victory coming against LSU. Now the rested Tigers, who won five straight to end the regular season, come in rested and ready to avenge that setback. LSU is 3-1 ATS in neutral court games this year and 7-3 ATS in its last ten when playing with five or six days rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-60 LSU. |
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03-15-19 | Ohio State +11 v. Michigan State | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (9* BANKROLL BUILDER) I had a play on Ohio State in its 55-52 win over Indiana on Thursday. The Hoosiers entered the Conference tournament as one of the hottest teams in the nation, but the Buckeyes jumped out to an early lead, clamped down defensively and never let up. Ohio State would hold IU to just 39.6 percent shooting and 6 of 20 from range. MSU has dealt with adversity this year (lost Joshua Langford to injury in December), but it closed the regular season winning seven of eight. Note though that MSU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight neutral site games. I like the desperate Buckeyes to keep this one competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 MSU. |
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03-15-19 | Connecticut +10 v. Houston | 45-84 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UConn (8* MONEY-MAKER) The Huskies advanced with a convincing 80-73 win over South Florida yesterday afternoon and I think they’ll give the 29-2 Cougars everything they can handle here. Not surprisingly, this is a “revenge” game for UConn after it dropped the lone regular season game between the teams. Houston averaged 76.4 PPG and it allowed 61, while the Huskies averaged 74.5 points, while allowing 69.9. I think the Cougars come in flat footed after the extra time off and I look for the Huskies to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-67 Houston. |
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03-14-19 | Penn State v. Minnesota OVER 135.5 | Top | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penn State/Minnesota OVER (10* TOTAL OF YEAR). I’m expecting a wide open affair in this one. The Nittany Lions finished 7-13 in Big Ten play so they’ll need to win the title for a chance at The Big Dance. Minnesota finished 9-11 in conference play and it’ll have to make the finals for its opportunity to go dancing. These teams fought to a 65-64 contest at Minnesota, a low-scoring game that the Gophers came out on top of. This time around I’m expecting a much more wide-open affair. And the numbers support that, as note that Penn State has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine trying to revenge a close road loss vs. a conference opponent of three points or less, while Minnesota has seen the total fly over in eight of its last 11 conference tournament agates as an underdog in the +2.5 to +3.5 points range. T.M. Prediction: 75-73 Minnesota. |
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03-14-19 | Indiana v. Ohio State +1.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (10* TRADE-MARK) The Buckeyes beat the Hoosiers 55-52 on February 10th and I expect a similar hard-fought, but final score here as well. Ohio State lost four of five down the stretch, including a 73-67 OT loss to Wisconsin at home in its finale. Ohio State is out to play spoiler here, as a loss and Indiana is clearly out of contention for The Big Dance. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Ohio State. |
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03-13-19 | Washington State +10.5 v. Oregon | 51-84 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington State (8*) The Ducks have won four straight. The Cougars have lost five straight. WSU plays with “double revenge” here though and I think that’s the difference maker in this one. I’m not calling for the outright victory or anything, but let’s be realistic. It’s difficult to beat a team three times in one season, despite how horrible it is. The Ducks aren’t even an elite team this season. Note as well that Washington State is 6-3 ATS in its last nine revenging two straight losses vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while Oregon is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a neutral four favorite in the 9.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 Ducks. |
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03-13-19 | DePaul v. St. John's -5.5 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: St. John’s (8*) DePaul finished 15-14 this season, while St. John’s was 20-11. DePaul beat St. John’s in both regular season meetings this year and the “double revenge” factor is what I’m pretty much basing this particular selection on. The Blue Demons finished last in the Big East standings but they’d inexplicably get the better of the Red Storm in both games this year. Revenge is a dish best served cold and I look for the deeper and more talented Red Storm to avenge those two setbacks with a convincing victory here today. Note that DePaul is just 3-8 ATS this year after covering two of its last three ATS, while St. John’s is 18-10 ATS in its last 28 revenging a loss where the opponent score 75 points or more in. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 Red Storm. |
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03-13-19 | Butler -1.5 v. Providence | 57-80 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Butler (8*) Both teams finished with identical 7-11 records in conference play. The Bulldogs though play with “double in-season revenge” after dropping both games to the Friars. This is the entire basis of this selection. it’s not easy to beat a team three times in a single season. These teams are evenly matched on paper, but the Bulldogs have the overwhelming motivational factors working in their favor. Note as well that Butler is still 5-1 ATS in its last six revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while Providence is just 6-8 ATS as an underdog this season. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 Butler. |
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03-13-19 | California +10 v. Colorado | 51-56 | Win | 100 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: California (8*) The Golden Bears finished with the worst record in the Pac 12, but they ended the season on a high note by winning their last three games. I think Cal can carry that confidence and momentum over here as it looks to avenge a regular season loss to the Buffs. Colorado comes in with considerable momentum, but this is a different looking Bears team than the one it played previously. Cal is also 9-4 ATS in its last 13 revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, while Colorado is only 1-3 ATS in its last four as a neutral four favorite. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-66 Buffs. |
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03-13-19 | Arizona -2 v. USC | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arizona (8*) Both teams have struggled down the stretch. USC has lost four straight. Arizona lost ten of 18 conference games, but it plays with revenge here after a blowout loss to the Trojans earlier in the year. Overall Arizona averages 71.1 PPG and it allows 71.1 as well. USC averages 76.3 PPG and it allows 73.1. During their recent slide though the Trojans are allowing 80.2 points. Note as well that USC is just 1-5 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss and 0-4 ATS in its last four vs. a team with a winning SU record, while USC is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 vs. teams with losing SU records. I like the Wildcats to bounce back and avenge the earlier loss to this atrocious USC team. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 72-66 Arizona. |
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03-12-19 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College UNDER 134.5 | 80-70 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pitt/BC UNDER (8* Top Total) BC comes in with zero momentum, backing its way into the tournament after three straight losses. The Panthers are just 3-15 in league play, but they halted a 13-game losing skid with a win over Notre Dame this past weekend. These are two teams which struggle to put points on the board at the best of times and in this case, I believe those trends will continue. It’s a big game, as a win means an advancement to the next round for one of these two bottom feeders. I’m expecting a very hard-fought defensive battle, rather than a high-scoring shootout. Note as well that Pitt has seen the total go under in eight of its last 12 neutral court games. T.M. Prediction: 65-64 Panthers. |
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03-12-19 | Notre Dame -2.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Notre Dame (10* TRADE-MARK) The Irish have lost seven straight and GT may have won three of its final five, but I think the Irish have more than enough talent to get past the first round this year. ND finished 13-18 and GT ended up 14-17. These teams split a pair of games this season. The Irish put up a good fight vs. Pittsburgh last time out, eventually succumbing 56-53. The Yellow Jackets upset NC State 63-61 on the road on Wednesday, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent here. I’ll point out as well that GT is just 1-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog, while ND is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 after allowing 60 points or less. Despite the losing streak and the current form of each, I think ND matches up well here. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 67-60 Irish. |
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03-11-19 | San Diego v. St. Mary's -5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 31 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Saint Mary’s (8*) Both teams come in hot. The Gaels took both regular season meetings over the Toreros and I think that the third time will be a charm as well. San Diego has won three straight to get to the semifinal of the WCC. The Toreros average 72.6 PPG and they allow 68, while the Gaels average 73.5 PPG, while allowing 65. Over their last four games though the Gaels have allowed just 48.7 PPG average. San Diego is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine off a win vs. a conference rival, while Saint Mary’s is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive outings. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-63 Gaels. |
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03-11-19 | Oakland +5.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oakland (8*) This is the semi’s of the Horizon League conference tourney. The Grizzlies advanced by beating Youngstown State 88-84, while Northern Kentucky beat Detroit 99-88. These teams are very familiar with each other and they’d go on to split a pair of games this year. The Grizzlies come in on top form having won five straight. Oakland averages 77.2 PPG and and it allows 76.6. The Norse average 79.7 PPG and they allow 69. The Grizzlies though are 5-1 ATS this year off a home win after scoring 85 points or more, while NKU is only 3-6 ATS this season off a win by ten points or more over a conference rival. Grab the points and expect an exciting game. T.M. Prediction: 75-77 Grizzlies. |
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03-11-19 | Pepperdine +23.5 v. Gonzaga | 74-100 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pepperdine (8*) I think the 29-2 Gonzaga Bulldogs let the 16-17 Pepperdine Waves hang around late. Gonzaga comes in confident with a 20 game win streak in tact. The Waves had a poor overall season, finishing seventh in the WCC, but they come in “under the radar,” having won three straight and five of their last six, getting past some difficult opponents to get to this point. Gonzaga is a power house and I’n not in any predicting an outright upset. I simply feel that the Waves can catch the Bulldogs off guard and I expect them to carry their recent momentum over here. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 82-75 Gonzaga. |
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