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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-01-20 | Hartford v. Villanova -26.5 | 53-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Villanova (8* MONEY-MAKER). No upsets here, as I look for the Wildcats to go up early and keep the foot on the gas until the final horn. Villanova will be especially focussed here as well after an 81-73 loss to Virginia Tech last time out. Overall Villanova averages 77.3 PPG and it allows 74. Hartford enters off a 69-57 loss to UConn. Overall Hartford averages 57 PPG and it allows 69. Look for this ticked off Villanova team to comfortably pull away down the stretch! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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11-30-20 | UMKC v. Kansas State UNDER 130.5 | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: K-State/UMKC UNDER (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). It's the Roos vs. the Wildcats from Bramlage Coliseum on Monday and in my opinion, this one is going to fall well under once it's all said and done. The Roos are 2-1. They average 103 points and allow 67.7. However, their early competition has been all sub-division teams and now it faces its first true test of the year. K-State is desperate to break an 0-2 slide to open the year. The Wildcats have averaged 64 points and allowed 78 over those setbacks. That said, note that they've seen the total go under in eight of their last 11 after back-to-back SU/ATS losses. I'm banking on a "chess match," rather than a run and gun "shootout;" this number is a little high! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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11-30-20 | Texas State v. Mississippi State -6 | Top | 51-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mississippi State (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Bobcats have won two double-digit games, but that was against lesser competition. Now they face their stiffest test of the young season and suffice it to say, I expect them to stumble here. Mississippi State won't be taking anything for granted either, as it's lost back-to-back games, falling to both Clemson and Liberty by an identical 11 points. Texas State won't be rolling over, and it's a deep team, but the Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after back-to-back SU/ATS losses. Mississippi State is much bigger and talented and I look for it to take out its frustrations on its Sun Belt opponent tonight; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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11-29-20 | Texas Tech -2.5 v. Houston | 53-64 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Texas Tech (8* BLOWOUT). Houston is coming off a 23-8 season, while Texas Tech finished 18-13 last year. The Red Raiders smashed their first two Southland Conference opponents, led by Mac McClung. Houston is 2-0 as well, most recently scraping by Boise State. The Cougars have some depth, but no answers for McClung in my opinion. Houston has struggled from range in the early going, shooting 40 percent in the opener and 29 percent in the win over Boise State and I expect that trend to carry over here. Lay the short points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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11-29-20 | Houston Baptist v. Arizona State -32.5 | Top | 77-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona State (10* TRADE-MARK). I'm laying the points and expecting an absolute beatdown from start to finish. Houston Baptist enters off a 69-45 loss to TCU. ASU is 1-1, so far averaging 89 PPG and conceding 85.5. Note though that the Huskies are a poor 8-20 ATS in their last 28 following an ATS victory, while the Sun Devils are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference home games as a favorite in the -31 to -35 points range. Expect Arizona State's depth and talent to prove to be too much for Houston Baptist to handle; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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11-28-20 | Eastern Washington v. Washington State -3.5 | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington State (10* TRADE-MARK). The Washington State Cougars enter off a 56-52 win over Texas Southern, shaking off some rust in the victory, but unable to cover the large 11.5 point spread. EWU though had its first game postponed due to Covid and I think that's working against it here. The Eagles won 23 games last year, but they lost Big Sky Player Of The Year in Mason Peatling and that's significant. Washington State is also 3-1 ATS the last four in this series, while EWU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. the Pac 12. The Eagles allowed 72.8 PPG last year, while WSU averaged 74.5 PPG last season. Look for WSU to build off their opening victory and to pull away down the stretch! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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11-28-20 | Tulsa v. TCU -3.5 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: TCU (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). This is the Hall of Fame Classic in Kansas City. Tulsa was on the bubble last year at 21-10 before the season was cancelled. TCU played on Wednesday, smashing Houston Baptist 69-45, but unable to cover the large 30-point spread. Tulsa had a great defense last year, but it only averaged 67.8 PPG. The Golden Hurricane does return several players from last year's team, but I think they're definitely overclassed here vs. the Horned Frogs, who already have a game under their belts. TCU also has a great defense and I trust its offensive chemistry more here, so I'm laying the points. T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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11-27-20 | Texas-Arlington v. Louisiana Tech -6 | Top | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisiana Tech (10* TRADE-MARK). Texas Arlington lost last night to Oklahoma State and I think that it's ripe for the icking here as well vs. Louisiana Tech, which opens its season today. Shahada Wells had 21 points in the Mavericks 75-68 loss last night, but I expect UT Arlington to come out flat here. The Bulldogs finished 22-8 last year, averaging 74.5 PPG and conceding only 63.7. This is the Louisiana Tech Classic and I expect the hosts to run up this score from the opening tip, until the final horn; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Louisiana Tech. |
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11-27-20 | Belmont v. George Mason UNDER 147 | 77-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: George Mason/Belmont UNDER (8* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER). Belmont comes in off a big 95-78 win over Howard, led by 21 points from Jacobi Wood. The Bruins face a much better team this time around though in George Mason, which just narrowly got by Queens NC 66-65. Belmont will look to clean up its defensive play after allowing 78 points to Howard. I think these offenses stall in the second half; this number is high, the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 67-64 Belmont. |
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11-26-20 | SIU-Edwardsville v. LSU -26.5 | 81-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LSU (8* MONEY-MAKER). SIU-Edwardsville was crushed 89-52 by Saint Louis in their opener. Sidney Wilson was a lone bright spot with 14 points. He was the lone SIUE player to score in double-digits. Suffice it to say, they're completely overmatched here. This is LSU's season debut and I expect it to lay the hammer down from start to finish. Three double-digit scorers return for the Tigers and I expect their depth to prove to be too much here. Lay the points, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 90-60 LSU. |
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11-26-20 | Gonzaga -2.5 v. Kansas | Top | 102-90 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Gonzaga (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Gonzaga is No. 1 and Kansas is No. 6 to open the new season. The Bulldogs are loaded and I think they're going to steamroll the Jayhawks. Gonzaga has many key players returning from last year's team which went 31-2 last season, including 15-1 in conference, but it also got some great news in that Andrew Nembhard was granted his waiver to come over from Florida immediately, he averaged 11.2 PPG last year. Kansas was 28-3 last year and 17-1 in conference, but the top two scorers from last year's team are gone. That's some big shoes to fill. Look for Gonzaga to pounce and make a statement on the national stage; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Gonzaga. |
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11-25-20 | Morehead State v. Kentucky -23 | 45-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kentucky (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). When the College hoops season closed down last year due to Covid 19, the Wildcats were ranked sixth at the time. Now Kentucky enters the new season ranked 10th. Kentucky was 25-6 last year and Morehead State was 13-19. This is the first time the Eagles have played against a ranked opponent. Morehead State head coach Preston Spradlin spent five years under John Calipari, before taking his current job. The Eagles though enter the season with only one senior, James Baker Jr. Kentucky always has a lot of turnover ever year. This season Keion Brooks Jr. is top dog, while seven-footer Olivier Sarr from France transferred over from Wake Forest. The Eagles are hopelessly overmatched here and I don't see any upsets. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 91-50 Kentucky. |
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11-25-20 | Western Michigan v. Butler -18.5 | Top | 62-66 | Loss | -117 | 26 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Butler (10* TRADE-MARK). WMU has a new head coach since 2003, as Steve Hawkins is gone and his assistant Clayton Banes has taken over. WMU has already lost the services of top players Brandon Johnson and Michael Flowers for the season, putting added pressure on Titus Wright and Artis WHite to fill the void. Last year the Broncos finished 6-12, as they averaged 67 points per game, while allowing 72.7. The Bulldogs turn to Aaron Thompson this year. This is a difficult matchup for the visiting side, as Butler has many key pieces back and note as well that WMU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road. The skill and talent level is massive here; I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 80-50 Butler. |
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11-25-20 | Drake v. Kansas State -5.5 | 80-70 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 58 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: K-State (8* MONEY-MAKER). Drake was 20-14 last year, includnig 8-10 in Missouri Valley Conference play. Liam Robbins lead the team in scoring and rebounding last year and he's since moved on, so Roman Penn is now the Bulldog's top player (12 points, 5.6 assists per game last season.) Overall Drake averaged 69.4 points per game and it allowed 67.7. The Wildcats are out for redemption this season after finishing 11-21 last year. The year prior they were 25-9. K-State averaged 64.2 points and it allowd 65 last season. The Wildcats have plenty of new faces as well, but there's plenty to build around, including 7-foot forward Davion Bradford. Drake is also just 3-7 ATS in its last ten non-conference road games as an undredog in the +4.5 to +7.5 points range, while K-State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven at home. Look for K-State's size to prove to be too much for teh Bulldogs to keep up with down the stretch and lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 70-60 K-State. |
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03-11-20 | Georgia +2.5 v. Ole Miss | 81-63 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Georgia (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Both teams enter with identical 15-16 records. Clearly with a spread like this, the oddsmakers believe these schools are very evenly matched. And I completely concur. So in a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to grab the points. Ole Miss beat Georgia by ten points in the regular season, which sets this up as a revenge spot as well for Georgia. Anthony Edwards though is easily the best player on the floor today (19.3 PPG for the Bulldogs) and I think he'll ultimately be a difference maker as well. Clearly the outright win is possible, but in the end let's grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Georgia. |
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03-11-20 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -2.5 | Top | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams have some big signature wins this year, but for the most part each was pretty poor. The Hurricanes finished 15-15 and the Tigers ended up 15-15 as well. Clemson does play with revenge here after falling 73-68 in OT to Miami Florida in late December. Miami Florida comes into this game though without the services of leading scorer Chris Lykes, who was injured in a loss to Virginia last Wednesday. The Tigers are still ranked 39th in the entire NCAA on the defensive end as well. Expect the Tigers to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 Clemson. |
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03-10-20 | Maryland-Baltimore County +16 v. Vermont | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UMBC (8* ROUT). Vermont is 25-7 and the No. 1 seed in the Tournament, while UMBC is 16-16 and the No. 4 seed. This is the semi-final of the 2020 Hercules Tire America East Tournament. The Catamounts enter off a bye, while the Retreivers come in "under the radar" in my opinion, having won six out of their last eight regular season contests. UMBC advanced the semis by beating UNH 73-67 in Baltimore. I think the momentum the Retreivers have created is "real," and while I'm not calling for the outright upset here, I do definitely think that UMBC is under-valued in this spot. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 Vermont. |
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03-10-20 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 78-56 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Obviously it's been a horrible season for the Tar Heels, who have endured several long losing streaks this season. UNC has the best player on the floor in this one though in Cole Anthony and I believe the dynamic player will be a difference maker in this one. UNC did lose to Duke in its finale for a second time this season, but it did play much better down the stretch. The Tar Heels play with revenge here too after a 79-77 double OT loss to the Hokies on January 22nd (previous to the loss to Duke, UNC had won four straight). VT lost in its finale to Notre Dame. The Hokies only average 69 PPG and they're a terrible 2-12 ATS in their last 14 overall. UNC averages 72 PPG and it's 4-2 ATS in its last six overall. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout of epic proportions! T.M. Prediction: 80-60 UNC. |
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03-10-20 | Pittsburgh +1 v. Wake Forest | 81-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh (8* MONEY-MAKER). The Demon Deacons won the only game between the schools this year by a score of 69-65 back in early January, which sets this up as a definite "revenge spot" for Pittsburgh in my opinion. Wake closed the season with two straight double-digit losses. The Panthers though enter desperate to break a seven-game slide. Pittsburgh is also 8-2 ATS in its las ten neutral court games, including 2-0 ATS this year. How about Wake Forest? It's just 5-6 ATS this season after playing a road game. I'm banking on the "revenge factor" as being the difference today. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Pittsburgh. |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's v. BYU OVER 145.5 | Top | 51-50 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BYU/Saint Mary's OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). I think this total is a little low. Saint Mary's is 24-7 and BYU is 24-7. Each team was victorious against the other on its home floor. The Cougars won 81-79, while the Gaels prevailed 87-84. Both of those contests would have finished well above tonight's posted total and I aboslutely expect that to happen. The Cougars score 118.1 points per 100 possessions, while the Gaels average 114.9 points per 100 possessions. Both teams are super effecient from the floor and I expect this to once again translate into offensive production. This number is indeed low. T.M. Prediction: 80-75 BYU. |
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03-09-20 | Eastern Michigan +8.5 v. Kent State | Top | 76-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Michigan (10* SUPER-DOG). The Golden Flashes are at home for this one after finishing sixth seed. EMU is the No. 11 seed in the tourmanent. If recent history is any precedence though, then EMU has to be liking its chances for an upset here, as it annihilated Kent State 70-49 at home back on February 18th. EMU has admittedly struggled down the stretch, but now that the conference tournament is here, the Eagles have new hope. The Golden Flashes completely underwhelmed this season as well, finishing with a 9-9 conference record and note that it was favored in seven of those nine games. EMU only allows an average 63.4 PPG, which ranks 31st in the country. No outright, but expect an all out battle until the final moments. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 67-63 Kent State. |
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03-08-20 | Tulsa v. Wichita State -6.5 | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Wichita State (8* MONEY-MAKER). This is the final game of the regular season for both teams and I'm not predicting any sort of upset here. The Shockers enjoy Seniors Night and they'll want to keep the foot on the gas before the Conference Tournament starts. This is a revenge game for the Shockers as well after they fell 54-51 at home earlier in the year. The Hurricane are the top team in the conference, so Wichita State certainly won't be lacking for motivation or focus this evening. I think Wichita State will use the above listed motivational factors as fuel today and I expect it to post a solid SU/ATS win/cover once it's all said and done. T.M. Prediction: 70-58 Shockers. |
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03-08-20 | Lipscomb +12.5 v. Liberty | Top | 57-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lipscomb (10* BLOWOUT). This is the Championship Game in the ASUN Conference and a trip to the NCAA Tournament is on the line. Liberty is likely going to punch its ticket to The Big Dance after the final buzzer sounds, but I definitely think the Bison can keep it interesting until the final moments. Lipscomb has experience on its side here, as this is the Bisons third straight appearance in the Championship Game, which includes a loss to these very Flames last year. These teams split their regular season series, eaching winning on its own floor. The Flames are hosting this one at home, but I think they'll have a battle on their hands from start to finish. Outright upset? Anything's possible, but I'm going to grab the points in the end. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Lipscomb. |
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03-07-20 | North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke | Top | 76-89 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* BEST OF THE BEST). UNC lost this game at home 98-96 and I expect another all out war between these rivals. Duke has plenty to play for here as it's currently tied with UVA for the third place in the ACC. UNC though enters not only trying to play spoiler, not only trying to avenge the earlier loss, but also playing its best ball of the entire season in having won three in a row (note that UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games after a three-games or longer SU unbeaten streak.) I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-75 Duke. |
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03-07-20 | Louisville v. Virginia | Top | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia (8* MONEY-MAKER). I think the defending champs grinding defensive play will once again be the difference maker for UVA tonight. Louisville won by seven at home in the reverse fixture, which sets this up as a revenge spot for the home side side as well. Note that it was the Cardinals first win out of the last ten in this series. Louisville's weakness this year has been its play on the road and on Seniors Night, I'm banking on the Cavs unrelenting defensive pressure to once again "win the day" here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 60-54 UVA. |
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03-07-20 | Seton Hall v. Creighton OVER 151.5 | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seton Hall/Creighton OVER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). I expect each team to play at a frenetic pace in this huge game. The top seed in the Big East is on the line tonight. Note that Creighton won this game at Seton Hall 87-82 on February 12 and in my opinion, all signs once again point to a high-scoring shootout. Seton Hall comes in hungry here to avenge that setback, but also because they fell 79-77 at home on Seniors Night to Villanova on Wednesday. Seton Hall averages 75.2 PPG and it allows 67.9, while Creighton averages 78.4 PPG, while allowing 70.1. The Blue Jays hammered Georgetown 91-76 on Wednesday and clearly it'll be keeping the foot on the gas here. This one has "shootout" written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 83-80 Creighton. |
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03-07-20 | Kentucky +3 v. Florida | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kentucky (10* TRADE-MARK). Kentucky has already earned the SEC regular-season title, but the last thing it'll want to do is to enter the tournament off a loss. Yes, Florida has a lot to play for here, but I simply don't see any sort of letdown here from Kentucky on the National stage. The Wildcats earned the hard-fought 65-59 win over the Gators in mid February and I expect a simialr result here as well. In fact, Kentucky is coming off a hugely disappointing loss at home to Tennessee, falling 81-73 on seniors night. Clearly the Wildcats will be eager to atone for that mess here (Kentucky is also 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Gators on the other hand are just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 at home. T.M. Prediction: 73-64 Kentucky. |
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03-06-20 | Missouri State v. Indiana State +1.5 | Top | 78-51 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* TORTURER). I like Indiana State to pull of the slight upset here. This is the quarterfinals of the Missouri State Conference Tournament. The Sycamores finished 11-7 in league play, while the Bears were 9-9. Missouri State may have hammered Southern Illinois 84-59 on Seniors Night, but I expect it to get overwhelmed in this matchup. Indiana State is the deeper and more consistent team and it enters the Tournament having won four straight. Indiana State is also 3-0-1 ATS in its last four overall, while Missouri State is only 3-13 ATS in its last 16 as an underdog. I'm banking on a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 Indiana State. |
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03-06-20 | Southern Illinois v. Bradley -5.5 | 59-64 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bradley (8* MONEY-MAKER). I think the Bradley Braves are going to lay a beating on the Southern Illinois Saluki's in the quarter finals of the MVC Tournament. Bradley won both games already this year in this series, getting the better of SIU 67-48 and 69-67. The Salukis enter the tournament off three straight losses. Bradley lost 67-66 to second place Loyola in its final game but note that the Braves are 7-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games. SIU on the other hand is only 1-4 ATS in its last five following at ATS loss. These teams may be ranked four and five, but I think the divide in talent is much bigger. Lay the points, expect a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 75-50 Bradley. |
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03-05-20 | Illinois State v. Drake -2.5 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Drake (8* ROUT) This is the start of the Missouri Valley Conference tournament and I can't understate how important I feel that home court advantage will be in this particular matchup. Drake was 18-13 overall this year and 8-10 in MVC action, while Illinois State was 10-20 and 5-13. Both teams are poor, but one of these sides is downright horrible. Drake beat Illinois State 57-53 on its own floor this year as a 1.5 points favorite and I expect an even bigger beatdown this time around. Illinois State posted a very satisfying win over Evansville in its regular season finale, which sets it up perfectly here for a massive letdown. Drake on the other hand enters as the more motivated team after three straight losses to end the regular season (note that the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss of 20 or more points, while the Redbirds are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS victory). I'm banking on a rout from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Drake. |
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03-05-20 | Nebraska +17.5 v. Michigan | Top | 58-82 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10* MONEY-MAKER). I believe that in some small way the Wolverines are going to get caught "looking past" their lowly 7-22 opponent today to the upcoming Conference Tournament and that's going to be more than enough for the hungry Huskers to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Huskers are the worst team in the Big Ten, but they'll be eager to try and reverse their fortunes vs. a Wolverines team which has dropped two in a row. Note that they've given up an average of 79 PPG over their last two losses (Wisconsin and Ohio State). With a game at conference leading Maryland to end the regular season, this also sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the home side. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Michigan. |
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03-04-20 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State -6 | 63-69 | Push | 0 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma State (8* MONEY-MAKER). All these teams can do with a victory today is improve their positioning in the upcoming conference tournament. K-State has lost nine straight and its failed to score more than 67 points in that stretch. OKlahoma State earned the 64-59 win over the Wildcats on their own floor earlier in the season, but I expect a much bigger beatdown here. The Cowboys only allow 63 PPG to their opposition, while averaging 68 of their own. I have a hard time seeing this struggling Wildcats offense mustering much of an attack here on the road and after nine straight losses. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 OKS. |
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03-04-20 | Morehead State v. Tennessee State -1.5 | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee State (9* BANKROLL BUILDER). This is the first round of the OVC Tournament and I expect Tennessee State to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Tennessee State is ranked fifth, and Morehead State is ranked eighth. Note that when Big Blue is rated higher than its opponent in the conference tournament, it's 7-3 the last ten in those matchups. TSU annihilated Morehead State 64-48 at home, but the Eagles bounced back with a tight 66-63 win over TSU in the rematch on Seniors night. I think Tennessee State is the bigger, more athletic team and I LOVE for it to bounce back and avenge the most recent setback in this series. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Tennessee State. |
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03-04-20 | St. Louis -2 v. George Mason | Top | 69-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saint Louis (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Saint Louis enters the final regular season game off a big win over Rhode Island and it won't want to take the foot off the gas now that it's so close to the finish line. With that victory the Billikens are now in the talk for an NCAA Tournament spot (as long as they can now run the table throughout the conference tournament). George Mason started 11-1, but it then went 4-13. Most recently it comes in off a heart-breaking 81-78 setback to Duquesne. These teams met at Saint Louis earlier in the year and the Billikens posted the 81-71 victory. Expect a similar (or even larger!) victory for the visiting side tonight. T.M. Prediction: 72-60 Billikens. |
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03-03-20 | Purdue +5.5 v. Iowa | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10* TRADE-MARK). Iowa is 20-9 overall, but Purdue annihilated it 104-68 at home last month. Clearly that's not going to happen again here and while I do believe the outright upset is in the cards tonight as well, in the end I'll be recommending for everyone to grab the ample points. Purdue also has wins over VCU, Virginia and Michigan State. The Boilersmakers have gone just 1-3 in their last four though and they'll need a few miracles to make it back into the NCAA Tournament at this point. And a victory here would certainly go a long away in helping their cause. The Hawkeyes have looked better of late, but note that they're just 2-5 ATS in their last seven in trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent of 30 points or more. In the end, let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 73-72 Iowa. |
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03-02-20 | Idaho State v. Weber State -6.5 | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Weber State (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Idaho State is 6-20, while Weber State is 11-17. Idaho State comes in with zero momentum, as it's lost 12 straight and failed to cover in three straight as well. Weber State fans can empathize though, as the Wildcats enter hungry here after having lost three of their last four. The Bengals are horrible in every offensive and defensive category, but particularly in the rebounding department, pulling only 32.8 per game. And if recent history is any precedence, then the Wildcats have to be loving their chances today, as they already beat the Bengals 76-68 on the road. This is a big opportunity for the Wildcats after a scuffling stretch and with just a couple of games remaining in the regular season. The stage is set for an explosive home victory here. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Weber State. |
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03-01-20 | Western Kentucky v. North Texas -7 | 72-78 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: North Texas (8* MONEY-MAKER). A lot is riding on this game. WKU is 19-9 and UNT is 19-10. Top seeding in the conference tournament is up for grabs, as well as implications for the NCAA Tourney. UNT though has the major situational revenge factor working in its favor today after it fell by nine points at WKU earlier in the year. The Hilltoppers used home court to their advantage in that matchup, and everything definitely points to that being the same for The Mean Green this afternoon. UNT is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference home games trying to revenge a conference road loss vs. an opponent of seven points or more, while WKU is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine conference road games as an underdog in the -5.5 to -7.5 points range. Lay the points, expect a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 78-62 UNT. |
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03-01-20 | St. Louis v. Rhode Island -6 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rhode Island (10* TRADE-MARK). Saint Louis is 20-7 and Rhode Island is 20-8. Overall the Billikens average 71.8 PPG and they allow 66.1. Saint Louis though is just 4-4 in true road games this year. Rhode Island won't be taking anything for granted here after a slim road win over Fordham last time out. The Rams average 74.7 PPG and they allow 68.4. Rhode Island is also 4-0 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss, while Saint Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a SU victory. I'm laying the points as all signs point to a big time home victory in the A-10 reg. season finale. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Rhode Island. |
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03-01-20 | Cincinnati v. Houston OVER 135.5 | Top | 55-68 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincy/Houston OVER. The Bearcats are in a race for first place with three games remaining. Clearly the visitors will have to try and push the pace and keep up with the home side. Cincinnati beat Wichita State last time out by a score of 67-64, but the Bearcats are definitely going to have their hands full here with a Memphis team also looking to lock down top spot in the conference and which enters off a tough 60-59 loss to Memphis in its last outing. Finally note that the Bearcats average 73.5 PPG and the Cougars average 72.8. Considering all of the above factors, I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. T.M. Prediction: 77-70 Houston. |
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02-29-20 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Cal-Irvine UNDER 137.5 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 10* UNDER Santa Barbara/UC Irvine. I think this will be a battle from start to finish vs. the 19-9 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. the 20-10 UC Irvine Anteaters. The Gauchos come to town red hot, winners of five of their last six. Their only loss came to UC Davis recently. UC Irvine is No. 1 in the Big West and it won't want to falter here so close to the finish line. UC Irvine though plays with revenge here as well after stumbling at Santa Barbara eariler in the year (the teams combined for just 124 points in that one.) Look for a similarily hard-fought affair and for this total to stay well under once the final horn blares. T.M. Prediction: 68-65 UC Irvine. |
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02-29-20 | Michigan State +2.5 v. Maryland | Top | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* TRADE-MARK). This is a big game, with big conference tournament implications and I'm calling for the minor upset. Michigan State comes to town off two straight wins. Maryland has won ten of 11, but I think it'll have difficulty here vs. this MSU team which plays with revenge after falling at home to Maryland a couple of weeks ago. Both teams have excellent defenses, but the overall experience that Michigan State brings to the table can't be underestimated as big factor working in its favor here. Michigan State has found its groove again and I believe the "revenge factor" DOES matter in this one (that said, let's grab the points!) T.M. Prediction: 71-69 Michigan State. |
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02-28-20 | Davidson v. Dayton OVER 140.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Davidson/Dayton OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). In my opinion, this one sets up as a shootout, not a defensive battle. The Flyers have won 17 straight and with just a hand full of games left to go before the Tournaments start, I have a hard time seeing Dayton taking the foot off the gas at this point. Especially at home. Davidson though would love nothing more than to play spoiler and it enters having won four of its last five. Both teams average over 70 PPG on the season and with what I expect to be a frantic pace from start to finish, we can expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Dayton. |
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02-28-20 | Kent State +1.5 v. Ohio | Top | 69-76 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kent State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Yes 14-14 Ohio is going to be "hungry" here, but I don't think that's going to matter vs. the vastly superior Kent State Flashes. These teams met two weeks ago and the Golden Flashes pulled away for a relatively simple 87-72 victory. Ken State is averaging 76 PPG and it's allowing 69.3, while Ohio is averaging 71.1 PPG and allowing 68.5. Kent State though is 5-0 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less, while Ohios is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. I'm grabbing the points, but expecting an outright. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Kent State. |
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02-27-20 | San Diego +26.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 59-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego (10*). San Diego is a putrid 9-20 overall and 2-12 in WCC action. Gonzaga though is going to get classically caught "looking past" its lowly opponent in my opinion though. The Bulldogs are 27-2 and 13-1 overall and they have their sights set on a National title right now, not on the lowly Toreros. SD also catches Gonzaga off a disappointing loss to BYU and I think it's collectively still caught up on that monster letdown. I definitely think that the conditions are correct for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. So grab the points! T.M. Prediction: (80-70 Gonzaga). |
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02-27-20 | Towson v. Hofstra UNDER 141 | 76-65 | Push | 0 | 26 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Towson/Hofstra UNDER (10*). Towson is 17-12 overall and it's 4-1 in its last five. Hofstra though is 22-7 this season and the Pride enter on an eigh-game win streak. These are two of the hottest teams in the conference and I'm expecting an all out war, where every possession is contested. In what I believe will be a slower than normal pace for each side tonight, tempo will indeed contribute to this one staying well below the posted number in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: (70-63 Hofstra). |
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02-27-20 | Delaware v. College of Charleston -4 | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Charleston (8*). This is a big game and I think that the home floor advantage will turn out to be the difference for COC. Delaware is ranked fourth in the CAA, while the Cougars are right behind in fifth. And if recent history is any precedence, then COC has to be loving its chances tonight, as it already beat the Blue Hens on the road by erasing a 6-point deficit to win by 13. COC has won five straight at home over Delaware as well, most recently a 13 point victory of January of last year. This one has home side "blowout" written all over it. T.M. Prediction: (75-65 COC). |
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02-26-20 | Furman v. NC-Greensboro -4.5 | Top | 81-67 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNC Greensboro (10* TRADE-MARK). This is a big game for both 23-6 teams. Both teams enter off victories as well. The bottom line is though is that I can't stress how important I feel that the home court advantage will be in this particular matchup. The Furman Paladins got destroyed by the Spartans 86-73 at home back January 11th and I expect an even bigger lop-sided blowout here. Sometimes the revenge angle works and other times it's completely overrated. I believe the latter is definitely the case in this one. Lay the points, but expect a big blowout! T.M. Prediction: (75-60 UNC Greensboro). |
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02-25-20 | Drake v. Loyola-Chicago -7 | 60-64 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Loyola Chicago (8* MONEY-MAKER). This is a big game for both teams, but it's a revenge game for Loyola Chicago after it feel 65-62 at Drake back in early January. Drake comes in on terrible form as well, most recently falling 57-53 to lowly Illinois State. The Ramblers has won four in a row before a 72-64 loss to Missouri State in their latest action. Loyola Chicago has played well over the last month though and it sits with an 11-5 record in MVC play (compared to 8-8 for Drake.) The Ramblers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven at home, while the Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four following an ATS loss. The conditions all point to a home side blowout. T.M. Prediction: 75-53 Ramblers. |
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02-25-20 | Missouri State v. Valparaiso -2 | Top | 74-89 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Valparaiso (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Missouri State is 14-15 and Valparaiso is 15-14. Both teams though come in having won three of their last four. Missouri State's only loss in that time though came against Bradley on the road, 83-79. The Crusaders though most recently come in off a win at home over Bradley, cruising to a 90-78 win. The Bears score 69.4 PPG and they allow 67.2, while the Crusaders average 72.3 PPG and allow 71.3. Valparaiso though is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS this year vs. teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and I expect that strong to get carried over here in this difficult road building. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Valpo. |
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02-24-20 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas OVER 134.5 | 58-83 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kansas/Oklahoma State OVER (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). This is a dangerous spot for Kansas in my estimation. The Jayhawks come in off a huge win over No. 1 Baylor on the road last time out and it'll have to be extremely careful here to not look past their lowly opponent today. Oklahoma State will be out to pull off an upset of its own here, albeit a much bigger one. The Cowboys though will be feeling confident here after their latest 83-66 blowout win over rival Oklahoma in their last outing. I think the stage is set for a faster paced "shootout," not a lower-scoring "chess match." Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 KU. |
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02-24-20 | Louisville v. Florida State -2.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida State. These are two of the top teams in the country, but bottom line is that I don't think we can overlook the home floor advantage as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Louisville comes in off a 72-55 win over UNC, but FSU is an entirely different animal, especially at home. And especially on the defensive side of the ball. FSU already smashed Louisville on its home court the last time these teams played and I expect a similar result here as well. This one has double-digit destruction written all over it in my professional opinion. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 FSU. |
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02-23-20 | Indiana State -3.5 v. Evansville | Top | 64-62 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* MONEY-MAKER). Indiana State ended a three-game slide with a big 67-64 win over Northern Iowa last time out, getting 18 points and seven boards form Jake Laravia. Evansville though is a complete disaster and I expect it to continue to struggle here, most recently coming off a listless 70-53 loss to Southern Illinois, its 15th setback in a row. The Sycamores need to keep the foot on the gas here and after beating the No. 1 team in the league, I don't think there's any reason not believe that they can't in fact do that. Evansville is just 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 at home and I look for that record to get even worst after tonight. No trap here, look for Indiana State to instead take advantage! T.M. Prediction: (76-60 Sycamores). |
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02-22-20 | North Carolina +9.5 v. Louisville | 55-72 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (8* MONEY-MAKER). I simply feel that the home side is going to get caught looking past the putrid Tar Heels today. UNC won't be rolling over today though after starting February 0-6. The Tar Heels are always in contention with Cole Anthony in the line-up and now that he's had a couple games to get back up to speed, there's no reason not to think that the dynamic player can't lead his team to an outright upset here. Louisville snapped a rare two-game slide with a win over Syracuse in its latest action. UNC though is 4-0 ATS in its last four as a road dog and I expect it to fight tooth and nail until the final horn. As such, I'll ultimately recommend to grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 73-72 Louisville. |
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02-22-20 | Florida State -1 v. NC State | Top | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). North Carolina State admittedly comes in off an impressive 88-66 win over Duke last time out, but I think it's poised for a classic letdown here. FSU is 12-3 in ACC play after its 82-67 win over Pittsburgh. The Wolfpack are just 8-7 in league play. NC State lost to Boston College previous to this big upset last time out, so I'm not reading too much into this most recent result. FSU's size and depth will prove to be too much for the home side to keep pace with down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 76-70 FSU. |
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02-22-20 | Tennessee v. Auburn OVER 135 | Top | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee/Auburn OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). This is a big game. These two teams will also meet in their regular season finales in Knoxville. The Vols have four players averaging in double-figures. Overall Tennessee averages 66.8 PPG, while allow 62.1. Auburn comes home eager to shake off consecutive road losses. Expect the home side to push the pace from start to finish. Tennessee averages 79 PPG and it allows 70.9. Auburn has scored 80 or more points in six of its last seven conference home games and Tennessee is going to have to match pace. This total is low. T.M. Prediction: 77-73 Auburn. |
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02-21-20 | Princeton v. Harvard -7.5 | Top | 60-61 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Harvard (10* IVY-LEAGUE). The bottom line on this one is, I don't think you can overlooked the "home court advantage" as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Harvard won't be taking anything for granted here after the Tigers snuck by the Crimson 70-69 in Princeton on February 1st. Both teams come in off less that impressive wins, but in this big contest, where the winner will take over the No. 1 spot, I think the revenge minded home side gets the job done vs. a Tigers team which just gave up 88 points to Yale. Lay the points here. T.M. Prediction: 80-62 Harvard. |
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02-20-20 | Maryland-Baltimore County +5 v. Albany | 69-50 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UMBC UMBC may come in with a worse record. They may be on the road. But, this team has the talent to upset this Albany team here today. Just like they did against Virginia. Take the Retrievers. T.M. Prediction: 69-67 UMBC |
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02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers -2.5 | Top | 60-52 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rutgers The Wolverines have owned this matchup, winning all 12 games. That changes tonight. Wolverines are 1-5 ATS as road underdogs. Rutgers is 6-1 ATSÂ When The Total Is 130 To 139.5. Knights are also a perfect 5-0 ATSÂ As A Home Favorite Of 6 Points Or Less Or Pick. Knights haven't lost here all season. They'll stay perfect at home! T.M. Prediction: 69-63 Rutgers |
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02-18-20 | Ole Miss v. Missouri -1.5 | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Missouri. These two teams are in the middle of the pack in the conference, but Missouri comes in off a bit 85-73 win over Auburn last time out and all signs point to this confidence and momentum carrying over into this one in front of the home town crowd. The Rebels on the other enter off a deflating 67-62 loss to Kentucky and I believe they have another letdown here as well. And that numbers/trends support my theory, as note that Ole Miss is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a road underdog or pick, while Missouri is a sharp 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less. In this particular case, "home floor" means EVERYTHING! Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-64 Missouri.
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02-17-20 | Idaho v. Portland State -10.5 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland State 10* Portland State. Analysis to come. T.M. Prediction: 82-65 Portland State |
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02-17-20 | North Carolina +4 v. Notre Dame | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UNC The Tar Heels are better than their record. They also dominate the Irish every time the teams meet. UNC has won 7 straight meetings between the clubs. Heels haven't hit well as favorites but are 6-2 ATS as underdogs. Irish are 6-17 ATS last 23 after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread. Will grab points but I've got the Heels winning this thing outright. T.M. Prediction: 74-71 UNC |
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02-16-20 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +11 | Top | 70-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: EAST CAROLINA Cincinnati was -17 here last season and East Carolina won the game. Did you know that Bearcats are 1-6Â when the total is 140 to 149.5. Thats both SU and ATS. Pirates 8-3 ATS last 11Â as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points. This game will be close. Grab points. T.M. Prediction: 75-71 Cincinnati |
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02-15-20 | Gonzaga -15 v. Pepperdine | 89-77 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: GONZAGA Bulldogs get underestimated nearly every year but they always turn out to be good. This year's team is a lot better than people realize and they will hammer the outclassed Waves. Gonzaga has been home team in last 4 meetings. Last time Pepperdine was home team, Gonzaga won by 30. The time before that, they won by 47! T.M. Prediction: 91-70 Gonzaga |
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02-15-20 | Eastern Kentucky v. Austin Peay UNDER 156 | 85-93 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Kentucky/Austin Peay UNDER This total is too high. Austin Peay last 5 games had 140, 132, 138, 134 and 139. Eastern Kentucky last three games had 127, 158 and 149. I have them getting 148 here. T.M. Prediction: Austin Peay 78-70 |
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02-15-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia State -8 | 80-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: GEORGIA STATE I have Georgia State pulling away and winning this thing by nearly 20. Coastal Carolina last 4 losses all came by double-digits. Losses of 10, 37, 17 and 20. Blowout time. T.M. Prediction: 88-70 GEORGIA STATE |
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02-15-20 | Oklahoma +11.5 v. Kansas | 70-87 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: OKLAHOMA Jayhawks are tough but the Sooners will keep this one closer than people and the oddsmakers think. Since previous meeting, OU has 5 wins and 3 losses. All 3 losses were by 8 or less. Take the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 Kansas |
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02-14-20 | Yale -3.5 v. Princeton | Top | 88-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: YALE The Bulldogs are the better team here but just because they're playing on the road we get them at a value price. This is been a great role for Yale. Bulldogs are 3-0 ATS as road favorites of 6 or less and 10-2 ATS last 12. Princeton 0-2 ATS as home underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points. Yale won here 81-59 last visit and that was expected to be a close game. Thats 4 straight in the series all the wins coming by at least 4. Go with the Bulldogs to take down the Tigers again tonight. T.M. Prediction: 74-65 YALE |
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02-13-20 | Old Dominion v. Rice | Top | 73-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: RICE OK. This isn't the most exciting Thursday game. Doesn't matter to me. I just want winners! For this one, we essentially have no pointspread. ODU is 7-13 last 20 games and 1-8 SU its last nine on the road. Monarchs score 59.6 points per road game. The Owls score 81.6 points per game at home. Rice is starting to roll and is off 3 straight wins. They keep rolling for another day! T.M. Prediction: 74-66 RICE |
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02-13-20 | Delaware -155 v. Elon | 81-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: DELAWARE ML The Fightin' Blue Hens are the call in this one. Delaware is 4-1 ATS its last 5 games and 6-0 SU its last six. Delaware also 4-1 SU last five against Elon. The Blue Hens are 18-7. The Phoenix are 9-17. Some times, too much is made of homecourt. This is one of those times as the superior team finishes on top. T.M. Prediction: Delaware 75-70 |
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02-12-20 | Michigan -5.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 79-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MICHIGAN Wildcats may have homecourt advantage but the Wolverines have too many other advantages. Michigan is 16-1 SU its last 17 against a team with a losing record and that includes a 4-0 SU + ATS record last 4. Wildcats are in freefall and this is not the team to get better against. Last meeting? A 20-point win for the Wolverines. Sorry NW fans, this one will also turn ugly! T.M. Prediction: 75-62 MICHIGAN |
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02-12-20 | Mercer v. Wofford -7.5 | 70-68 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: WOFFORD I have the Terriers winning this one by 15. Wofford won by 9 last meeting and that was at Mercer. Mercer lost its last 2 games by 13 and 22 points. Wofford is 3-0 (SU and ATS) off a loss against a conference rival. This one will be a wipeout! T.M. Prediction: 75-61 WOFFORD |
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02-11-20 | Air Force v. Boise State -12 | Top | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boise State This is a huge mis-match, in everyones opinion. Air Force is a terrible 0-6 SU/ATS in their last 6 games this season. The Falcons are also a sad 0-5 in their last 5 games on the road. Even worse, they are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference (MVC.) For the Broncos, they have been dominant. Although they may have lost their previous match, they still bring in an underated 16-9 record. Not only that, but they have done an excellent job in covering the spread as well. Entering this game, Boise State is a perfect 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Mountain West Conference. Enough said. Take the Broncos. T.M. Prediction: 81-57 BSU |
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02-11-20 | Fordham v. Davidson OVER 120.5 | Top | 49-79 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Fordham/Davidson OVER Fordham has played some very low scoring games this season, as their season average is only 57.95 points per game. But, I believe that even if they manage to score that many, the total will still go OVER. In the last meeting between these two teams, they reached 136 points which was an easy win for the OVER. The Wildcats have seen some very high scoring games, on the other hand. They average 71+ points per game and I expect them to reach 70 with ease today. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Davidson's last 7 games played in February as well. The number is very low. Take the OVER and expect a winner with room to spare. T.M. Prediction: 76-59 Davidson |
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02-10-20 | Florida State +8.5 v. Duke | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida State Both of these two teams have been excellent in the 2019-20 season. They are both at 20-3 and they are expected to do extremely well in March Madness. Florida State enters with a sweet 9-1 record in their last 10 games this season. The Seminoles are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in February. Even better, they are 13-1 in their last 14 games played. For Duke, they are only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The Blue Devils are also a sad 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played in February. The line is too large. Take Florida St and expect an easy cover. T.M. Prediction: 86-83 FSU |
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02-09-20 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin OVER 123.5 | Top | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio St/Wisconsin OVER With the total be quite low, I believe that these two teams will have no trouble reaching that mark. Coming into today's game, the total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games against Ohio State. Take the OVER and expect an easy winner. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Wisconsin |
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02-08-20 | Grand Canyon v. California Baptist -6.5 | Top | 103-98 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cal Baptist Cal Baptist over Grand Canyon? You might be thinking to yourself, what kind of GOTM play is that Tim? They can't all be Duke against Kansas though. If you can bet on it, I'm looking at it. The fact is, this one's a clear cut mismatch. This is Cal Baptist's second season in the Div 1. so they aren't eligible for the Tournament. Thats lucky for the other teams. Led by Milan Acquaah's 17.3 points-per-game, the Lancers have flat out been getting it done. They already beat the Antelopes at Phoenix and they complete the series sweep tonight! T.M. Prediction: 78-61 Cal Baptist |
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02-08-20 | Virginia v. Louisville OVER 114 | Top | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia/Louisville OVER Everyone knows about Virginia's defensive tendencies. This is such a low number though. Too low! Louisville is a top tier team and isn't going to go down without scoring. Cardnals averaging 79.4 points L5 games. The last meeting? A 73-68 final. Game had a total of 125. This one goes way over too. T.M. Prediction: 66-63 Louisville |
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02-08-20 | DePaul v. Georgetown -4 | Top | 72-76 | Push | 0 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Georgetown The Georgetown Hoyas may not be doing so well as of late, but they can still win at home. Coming into today's game against DePaul, the Hoyas are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games at home. Georgetown is also 7-3 in their last ten meetings against the Blue Demons. On the other hand, DePaul is a terrible 0-5 SU in their last 5 games. DePaul is also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in February. Even worse, they are 1-9 in their last 10 games this season. At home, expect an easy Georgetown win. T.M. Prediction: 76-64 Georgetown |
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02-07-20 | Iona v. Quinnipiac -5 | Top | 73-52 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Quinnipiac Quinnipiac is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home. They are also a dominant 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played on a Friday. On the other hand, Iona is a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road. Iona is also only 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Expect a crushing performance by the home team in this one. Take Quinnipiac. T.M. Prediction: 78-51 Quinnipiac |
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02-05-20 | East Tennessee State -5 v. Chattanooga | Top | 80-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Tennessee St Coming into this game, East Tennessee State has been red hot. They ae now e 6-1 in their last 7 games after last games' blowout. East Tennessee State is also a perfect 9-0 (7-2 ATS) in their last 9 games against Chattanooga. For the Mocs, they are off a tough loss last time out, against Western Carolina. That makes them only 2-3 in their last 5 games this season. The Buccaneers may be on the road, but expect them to be the much better team in this one. Take ETSU. T.M. Prediction: 78-61 ETSU |
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02-01-20 | Bradley v. Loyola-Chicago -5.5 | Top | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Loyola Chicago These two teams may not look too different, but I see a huge skill gap between each other. Loyola Chicago is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Ramblers are also 11-4 in their last 15 games. For Bradley, they are a sad 2-7 SU in their last 9 games on the road. Even worse, the Braves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Loyola-Chicago. At home, expect an easy Ramblers win. T.M. Prediction: 76-51 Ramblers |
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02-01-20 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin UNDER 131 | Top | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan St/Wisconsin UNDER Both of these two teams have seen more under's than over's this year, and they have both played stellar defense. Entering this game, The total has gone UNDER in all 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games this season. The Spartans have also seen the total go UNDER in each of their last 6 games against opponents in the Big Ten Conference. On the other hand, the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 10 games played on a Saturday. In their last five meetings against each other, all of 'em have stayed UNDER. Expect that again. T.M. Prediction: 68-59 MSU |
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02-01-20 | Xavier +8.5 v. Seton Hall | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Xavier When a team is on the road against a ranked opponent, most would think a destruction. Not this time. Xavier is holding opponents to only 67.9 ppg while giving up a less than 30% three ball. That's great defense! Now, they might not win outright, but expect a very close game. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Seton Hall |
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01-31-20 | Columbia v. Yale -14 | 62-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Yale This is an obvious mismatch. I have the Bulldogs winning by 24. Yale is 14-4. Columbia is 6-12. The Lions upset the Bulldogs last March. It won't happen again! Lay the number and relax. T.M. Prediction: 79-55 Yale |
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01-31-20 | VCU v. Rhode Island UNDER 141.5 | Top | 75-87 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCU|Rhode Island Under These teams met 20 days ago. Together they scored 121 points. VCU is perhaps the best defense in the Atlantic 10. Rhode Island only allows 62.6 points per game in Conference play though. Under 3-0 In A Home Game Where The Total Is 140 To 144.5. D-E-F-E-N-S-E! D-E-F-E-N-S-E! T.M. Prediction: 67-63 Rhode Island |
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01-29-20 | San Jose State v. Boise State -15.5 | Top | 71-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boise State If you don't think that the Broncos can beat this team by more than 15, you should probably study up on your history books. Last year, Boise State won 87-64 at San Jose and 105-57 here at Boise! Thats a 48 point destruction in a game they were favored by 19! The year before the Broncos won by 23 here. Simply put, SJ State stinks. Last time Spartans were on the road they lost by 27, an 86-59 beatdown. As Boise has been dominant at home, you can expect to see a similar score tonight T.M. PREDICTIONÂ 89-65 Boise State |
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01-28-20 | Auburn -5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 83-82 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Auburn I have the Tigers winning this one by a dozen which makes a line of -5 look awful good. Ya, the Rebels have homecourt advantage. That just keeps the line down though. There's a big talent difference here. The Tigers are 17-2 though and Ole Miss is 10-9. The Tigers remember getting swept by this team last year and that included an upset at Auburn. Tonight they turn the tables. T.M. PREDICTION 77-65 Auburn |
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01-26-20 | Stanford v. California +8.5 | Top | 50-52 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: California Golden Bears The Golden Bears are 6-3 vs. the number L2 years when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. The Cardinal are 2-4 vs. the number when playing with 7 or more day's rest. Recent games between these teams here in Berkeley have been very close. Cal has won 2 of L4 meetings here and lost the other 2 by 3 and 4 points. This one comes down to the final buzzer. T.M. Prediction: 77-76 Cal |
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01-26-20 | Missouri State v. Drake -4.5 | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Drake Entering this game, Missouri State is only 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Drake (0-6 ATS.) They are also a sad 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Drake. For the Bulldogs, they are a perfect 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. Drake is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in January. Take Drake on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 74-63 Drake |
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01-26-20 | Maryland v. Indiana UNDER 133.5 | Top | 77-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Hoosiers/Maryland Terrapins UNDER Analysis to come. 10* play T.M. Prediction: 63-61 Maryland |
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01-25-20 | George Mason v. Davidson -7 | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Davidson George Mason may have the better record, but I believe that Davidson is by far the more superior side here. George Mason is only 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against opponents in the Atlantic 10 Conference. They are also a sad 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Davidson. For the Wilcats, they are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home. Davidson is also 10-4 in their last 14 games played in the month of January. Davidson is at home, and I believe that, that will help big time here. Take the favorite. T.M. Prediction: 82-67 Davidson |
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01-25-20 | Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M +2.5 | Top | 73-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M Aggies Texas A&M may come in as the underdog, but I believe that they will find a way to crush the Cowboys here on Saturday. Coming into this game, Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Big 12 Conference. The Aggies are also a dominant 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State. For the Cowboys, they are only 0-5 ATS (0-5 SU as well) in their last 5 games this season. At home, give me Texas A&M all day. T.M. Prediction: 81-67 Aggies |
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01-25-20 | Delaware v. Northeastern OVER 143.5 | Top | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northeastern/Delaware OVER Delaware enters Saturday's match with a 14-7 record, while the Huskies come in with a solid 11-9. Although their season record looks better, the Fightin' Blue Hens haven't really been too consistent throughout this season. Coming into this game, the total has gone OVER in 8 of Delaware's last 12 games against opponents in the Colonial Athletic Conference. Delaware has also seen the total go OVER in each of their last 5 games while playing on the road against Northeastern. For the Huskies, they have also seen many OVER's. The total has now gone OVER in 7 of Northeastern's last 9 games played in January. The score has also gone above the total in 5 of their last 7 games this season. Whovever wins this game, they'll gain a huge confidence boost going into the stretch. Expect a high-scoring, close affair on Saturday. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 78-75 Northeastern |
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01-24-20 | Marquette v. Butler OVER 137 | Top | 85-89 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marquette/Butler OVER Butler comes into this game with a 15-4 record, while Marquette is 14-5. The Bulldogs are at home in this matchup, so they come in as the favorite. Butler may have an excellent record so far, but they come in off 3 straight losses. Including each of those 3 games, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler's last 6 games this season. The Bulldogs have also seen the total go OVER in 4 of their last 5 games against opponents from the Big East Conference. On the other hand, Marquette has won each of their last 3 games, each against fairly good teams. Leading the way, is PG Markus Howard who is avereging 28.4 points per game this season. Last year, we saw him drop 50 in one game! Entering this game, the Golden Eagles have seen the total go OVER in 9 of their last 11 games. Marquette has also seen the total go OVER in 5 of their last 7 games played against this Butler team. Whoever wins this game will gain a huge confidence boost, so I believe that it will be a back-and-forward, high-scoring game on Friday. Expect lots of points and take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 78-75 Marquette |
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01-24-20 | Kent State v. Buffalo -4 | Top | 70-66 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo Bulls The Buffalo Bulls and the Kent State Golden Flashes both come in with identical 13-6 records. Although their records may look the same, I believe that Buffalo is by far the more superior side in this one. Entering this game, the Bulls are a dominant 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home. Buffalo is also 4-1 in their last 5 games. Even better, they are a sweet 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Kent State. For the Golden Flashes, they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on the road (2-5 ATS L7.) Kent St is also a sad 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against Buffalo. At home, I expect the Buffalo Bulls to dominate this Kent St team with ease on Friday. T.M. Prediction: 83-73 Buffalo |
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01-23-20 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. South Dakota -7.5 | Top | 60-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Dakota Entering this game, South Dakota is a dominant 12-3 in their last 15 games played on a Thursday. The Coyotes are also a sweet 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against IPFW. For the Mastodons, they are only 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road. IPFW is also a sad 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games this season. At home, expect an easy win for the Coyotes. T.M. Prediction: 79-61 SDAK |
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01-21-20 | Miami-FL +17.5 v. Duke | Top | 59-89 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Fl Duke may be the better team, but if you're going to give me 17.5 to a team that almost beat a top 10 opponent last time out, I'm jumping all over that. Duke is only 14-20 after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games the past 3 years. On the other hand, the Hurricanes are 3-1 off a loss against a conference rival. Miami FL is also a perfect 2-0 this season after 2 or more consecutive losses. Expect an easy cover on Tuesday. T.M. Prediction: 79-75 Duke |
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01-19-20 | Loyola-Chicago -3.5 v. Illinois State | Top | 62-50 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Loyola-Chicago I recently won with Loyola-Chicago on Thursday against Southern Illinois. Now, I like them even better as they play another weak team in Illinois State. The Ramblers come into this game 9-2 SU in their last 11 games. LOYCH is also 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games played in January. Even better, they are a dominant 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Illinois State. For the Redbirds, they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games (1-7 L8.) They are also a terrible and when I say terrible, I mean absolutely terrible 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. Expect another huge win for the Ramblers on Sunday Afternoon. T.M. Prediction: 76-54 Ramblers |
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01-18-20 | Middle Tennessee v. Florida International -7.5 | Top | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida International I believe that their is a huge gap between the skill of these two teams. Florida International is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games. The Panthers also are a dominant 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Middle Tennessee. Even better, FIU has won 10 straight games when playing at home. For the Blue Raiders, they are only 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. They are also a terrible 0-6 SU in their last 6 games on the road and they are 0-9 in their last 9 games. I smell blowout in this one as FIU wins by 23. T.M. Prediction: 83-60 FIU |
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01-18-20 | Houston v. Wichita State OVER 137 | 65-54 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Houston/Wichita St OVER Entering this game, Houston hasn't really seen the total go OVER this season. That doesn't mean that they haven't scored a lot. The Cougars are averaging 75.94 points per game. On the other hand, the total has gone OVER in 5 of Wichita State's last 6 games against opponents in the American Athletic Conference. The Shockers have also seen the total go OVER in 10 of their last 15 games at home. They are averaging 76.12 ppg (78.25 at home.) Expect anm easy OVER on Saturday. T.M. Prediction: 75-74 Wichita St |
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