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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-02-19 | Missouri State +7 v. Southern Illinois | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Missouri State has won two straight and three of their last five as they travel to Southern Illinois. The Bears have an ugly road record, but they also played at Oregon State, Air Force and Murray State among others. The Bears have a ton of scorers and are led by Tulio Da Silva's 16 ppg on 63.6% shooting from the field. Their problem is on defense where they've allowed 70 or more in 10 of their last 11 contests. Defense has not been a strength for SIU either during this losing streak allowing 79, 73 and 80 points. Leading scorer Armon Fletcher is suspended so that puts more on Sean Lloyd Jr, Eric McGill and Aaron Cook. Missouri State has gone over in seven of their 11 lined games. I think they can go over and potentially cover this one. |
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01-02-19 | Cornell v. Wake Forest OVER 141 | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
Wake Forest is 6-5 while Cornell is 6-7. Both of these teams have their faults with some of them coming on the defensive end. Wake allowed 73 at home to Gardner Webb last time out in a 73-69 loss to them. This team has also lost to Houston Baptist at home as a 16.5 point favorite. The Deacs have gone under in three straight after a brief stretch of three overs in four contests. They have the athletic edge and Brandon Childress should be able to get whatever he wants. Cornell has struggled in their road games against better talent allowing 81 at SMU, 86 at Toledo, 91 at UConn and 73 at NJIT. Matt Morgan and the Boeheim kid aren't terrible offensively. Yes, the Big Red could flop on offense, but I expect them to do their part and this over will hit. |
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01-02-19 | Drake -1 v. Evansville | 77-82 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Drake has been one of my favorite teams to back this season. They have won five straight and have only two losses. In true road games they won at Wisconsin-Milwaukee and UMKC. The team got blown out at Colorado and lost a tough one to Iowa State. The Bulldogs have solid guards and a good forward group. They are also deep as can be with seven guys who average six points per game or more. Evansville has lost three of four and four of their last six. They have a home loss to Jacksonville State and has pretty much fallen to any team that they were underdogs to outside of beating Ball State. I'll be on the Bulldogs often this season. |
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12-31-18 | Albany v. Niagara OVER 144.5 | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
Niagara's got a pretty nice offense and they want to push the pace at home. Albany's defense has struggled on the road but they have a decent offense. I think this one should go over the total. |
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12-30-18 | New Mexico State v. Colorado State OVER 138.5 | 88-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
I'll take a shot here with the over. Colorado State's defense isn't great and I think New Mexico State plays a little faster on the road when they can't set their pace. Give me a shot on the over here. A lot of talent on both sides. |
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12-30-18 | Towson v. William & Mary OVER 142.5 | Top | 61-71 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
It's almost a blind wager now as the over is 22-2 in the last 24 William and Mary home games and 30-11 in their last 41 conference matchups. The scores at home this season for the Tribe are 79-74, 106-89, 87-84, 87-85, 81-72 and 79-69. Nathan Knight and Justin Pierce are a solid duo, but once again, this team just doesn't play defense. BTW, the 106-89 was against lower leveled William Peace. Towson's offense is not spectacular. They've scored less then 70 seven times this season and they want to play a slower game. They've also succumbed pace-wise on the road to Elon (77-60) and UMBC (80-76). Brian Fobbs and Tobias Howard are their best two scorers. I know you are looking for some sort of deep analysis here, but I'm stunned how low this total is. Last year this game was 99-73 in Williamsburg with the game two years ago being 83-79. |
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12-30-18 | Appalachian State +11 v. St. Louis | 55-83 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
The Mountaineers play another tough road game before conference play on Sunday. They are at St. Louis and have already played at Georgetown, South Florida, Alabama and East Carolina. Appy lost by 10 at the Hoyas and by eight at Alabama. The team has been in most of their games because of the likes of Ronshad Shabazz, Justin Forrest and Isaac Johnson. They've got some solid size and depth, but don't play a ton of defense. St. Louis is 2-3 over their last five games. They've covered just four contests overall this season. The Billikens have plenty of talent, but have just four double digit wins. This will be a lower scoring game and once again like previous plays I've made this season, you've get less of an atmosphere. Give me the road team to make things interesting. |
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12-29-18 | San Jose State v. St. Mary's OVER 143 | 45-75 | Loss | -126 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
This is the classic case of hoping the home team goes nuts and the road team does just enough. St. Mary's is averaging 83.1 points per game at home where they are shooting over 54% from the field. They are also holding teams to 67 points per contest there. The Gaels have gone over the total in six of their last nine and nine of their 14 contests overall. The defense hasn't been as great as it has been in the past allowing 70 or more six times this season. San Jose State is not very good although they do have five decent scorers. The Spartans have gone over in three straight, four of five and seven of their last nine. Their defense is pretty awful, but the offense has found a bit of a groove. They scored 80 at Cal and 73 at Stanford. I think this one should go over the total. |
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12-29-18 | Oregon v. Boise State +2 | 62-50 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
Oregon's having massive injury issues with just eight scholarship players. The team had some issues practicing after they lost Kenny Wooten for the next month or so. They are already without Bol Bol so now that means Payton Pritchard and Victor Bailey Jr take on more of the offense. These two squads played back on December 15th in Oregon with the Ducks winning 66-54. Boise was up 28-24 at halftime, but couldn't hold the lead as Oregon shot nearly 50% from the field. It's been a rough year for the Broncos who have just five wins, but the talent is there and the homecourt is a tough place to win at. Boise's got six guys who average seven points per game or more. Roderick Williams should be able to do a little more with all the Oregon issues up front. I think the wrong team is favored here. |
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12-29-18 | Chattanooga +14 v. NC-Greensboro | 72-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
I think this is just a bit too much for this matchup between UNCG and Chattanooga. We had the Mocs a few weeks ago at Georgia State and they hung around in a 7 point loss when the spread was too big once again. This team has six wins and yes three of them have come against Bryan, Hiwassee and Cumberland, but they've also covered five of their last six lined games. That stretch included three road tilts. Kevin Easley, Jerry Johnson Jr. and Donovann Toatley are a solid trio with several others getting into the act. Greensboro has won five straight and 11 of their last 12 contests. They've failed to cover in four of their last six though. This is a team that has a ton of talent with Alonso, Miller and Galloway. We could get a lesser atmosphere in Greensboro and I think Chattanooga is gaining a little confidence. Give me a small bet on the road team.  |
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12-29-18 | Belmont +10 v. Purdue | 62-73 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
The Bruins bring their high flying offense to Mackey Arena on Saturday. Belmont is led by Dylan Windler but has five double digit scorers to go along with several key guys off the bench. They've already won at UCLA, Samford, Lipscomb and Kennesaw State this season. Their only loss came at Wisconsin Green Bay in the only game where they allowed the opponent to shoot 50% or better. This team has tested themselves against a lot of solid mid-majors like Illinois State and Western Kentucky. Purdue has lost four of their last six and have failed to cover in four of their last five. Outside of Carsen Edwards, they aren't as filled with solid scorers. Ryan Cline adds 13.9 points per game and Evan Boudreaux and Matt Haarms are decent, but this isn't a great Purdue squad. As you'll notice in a lot of my plays, I like the road team as the home squad doesn't have the students and may not have much of an atmosphere around the holidays. Give me Belmont. |
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12-29-18 | Princeton +16 v. Arizona State | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
The last time we saw Arizona State, they were storming the court after an 80-76 home win over Kansas. The team is probably still buzzing after that win. Next up they start conference play at home against Utah, but in the middle is a matchup with pesky Princeton. There's no doubting how good ASU is, but with an emptier building and a lesser opponent, there's the chance that they'll start slow and let the Tigers hang around. This team has failed to cover in four of their last five. Princeton has already played at Duke and St. John's this season. They have several tough scorers and have played a little bit better with Jaelin Llewellyn in the lineup. He's played in four games and is averaging 14.5 points per contest. The ATS numbers for the squad out of the Ivy League are ugly, but I'm playing a situation here. ASU wins this one, but maybe it's ugly and low scoring. |
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12-29-18 | Pennsylvania v. Toledo OVER 147.5 | 45-77 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
Two mid-majors very capable of winning a game or two in March play as Toledo hosts Penn. Last year the Rockets won this game in PA 85-72 as they shot 52.6% from the field and over 60% from long range. They have gone over in four of their last five scoring 80 or more eight times already this season. This team does it with balance with six guys who score eight points per game or more. Three of those players shoot 50% or better from the field. Penn puts up almost 80 ppg and have scored at least that five times. They have played four road games already winning at New Mexico, La Salle, Delaware State and George Mason. The Quakers go deep too with six guys who average seven points per game or more. Both teams play with a moderate to quick pace so I fully expect plenty of points in this one. |
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12-29-18 | Delaware State v. Ball State OVER 151 | 57-116 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Ball State has a great scoring offense and has been a very good over bet the past few years. Delaware State plays next to no defense, but has a competent enough offense to do their part for this thing. I think it goes over the total. |
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12-29-18 | Morehead State +16 v. Missouri | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Now is the best time to take advantage of some of these big lines with home teams playing at odd times in front of smaller crowds due to the holidays and the students being out. Missouri has won five straight since losing to Kansas State and Temple. The Tigers are feeling really good about themselves after beating their rival Illinois by 16. Missou's offense has been playing well as of late, but I still don't believe in it as a whole. Morehead State comes to town and they are a smaller team, but one who has already played at Marshall, Syracuse, UConn and Wright State this season. They've lost every single road contest by 14 points or less against teams who may be better then the Tigers. The Eagles are led by Jordan Walker, Lamontray Harris and A.J. Hicks. They've got some decent talent and if this is a lower scoring game, they can hang around. I like the road team in this one, but don't go nuts overbetting it. Not my favorite play on the card. |
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12-29-18 | Santa Clara +7.5 v. Washington State | 79-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Santa Clara lost to Washington State almost two years ago by one point and now they come into this one a larger underdog. The Broncos have won four straight including a win over USC by 10 points. They are shooting the ball well right now and playing without KJ Feagin who was one of their better players. Tahj Eaddy, Josip Vrankic, Trey Wertz and Keshawn Justice are four double digit scorers for Santa Clara. They play better defense then their opponent and this game is on a neutral court in Spokane so they won't have to deal with Wazzu's crowd. The Cougars have lost two straight and three of their last five. They really don't have a quality win outside of beating Rider and they haven't left their gym too often this year either. Robert Franks is their best player, but they don't have the depth of their opponent. I think this is a closer game and the underdog is live in this one. |
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12-29-18 | St Bonaventure +11 v. Syracuse | 47-81 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Syracuse is a double digit favorite once again this Saturday as they host the Bonnies. The Orange are 4-7 against the spread as a favorite and 4-5 ATS at home. Plain and simple, they should be a lot better and their offense has been the problem. The defense is doing it's part and yet, they can't win lower scoring games. SBU beat the Orange in New York last year 60-57 in a game that saw both teams shoot dreadfully from the field. This year's Bonnies squad is 4-8, but the team has not been very healthy this year. Courtney Stockard has played just seven games and LaDarien Griffin just two. Stockard is very good with Jalen Poyser, Kyle Lofton and Nelson Kaputo as several other options on offense. St. Bonaventure has covered in five of their last six and until I see more consistency from Cuse, I'll bet against them. |
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12-28-18 | UC-Davis +10 v. Loyola Marymount | 59-77 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
UC Davis has bounced back a bit since starting the year 1-6. They have split their last four with the two losses being by two at Arizona and by nine at Northern Illinois. The team has covered three of their last four lined games and are starting to shoot better on offense. They are led by TJ Shorts II and his 14.8 points per game, but have several other options as well. Loyola Marymount has had six days to stew after losing at UC Riverside 60-53 as a nine point favorite. They have covered just one of their four lined home games this season. They pride themselves on James Batemon and a good defense. The Lions are only 3-4 against the spread as a favorite this year. I think UC Davis can hang tough in this one. |
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12-28-18 | James Madison v. William & Mary OVER 144 | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
William and Mary has gone over in 21 of their last 23 at home and 29 of their last 40 in CAA play. This is a team that scores a ton of points, but doesn't play a lick of defense. The Tribe is shooting 46.6% from the field, but allowing 80.5 points per contest. At home this season there's been scores of 106-89, 87-84, 87-85, 81-72 and 79-69. Nathan Knight is a beast inside and Justin Pierce is a really good scorer too. James Madison has struggled lately losing six of their last nine games. The offense has failed to get on track and the defense isn't stopping too many opponents either. They've been held to under 50 points in each of their last two road contests, but the likes of Stuckey Mosley should be able to get some points in this one. The last three matchups between these two were 89-82, 84-76 and 95-92. I think this one sails over. |
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12-28-18 | Detroit v. Youngstown State OVER 148 | 78-66 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Two of the worst defensive teams in the country play a 2 o clock game as Youngstown State hosts Detroit. YSU allows 81.6 points per contest while the Titans give up 78.2. At home, the Penguins allowed 88 to Western Michigan, 100 to Central Michigan and 83 to Heidelberg. Their offense isn't great, but they don't have to against a Detroit team whose D is bad. Garrett Covington is their only double digit scorer with five others averaging six points per contest or more. Last year these two played games of 94-84 and 93-91. I don't know if we'll see as high score in this one but I do see an over with these two playing in an early afternoon tilt. |
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12-25-18 | Indiana State v. TCU OVER 144 | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
It's round two between Indiana State and TCU but the scene shifts to Hawaii this time. Round one went to the Horned Frogs who won the game 90-70. They shot nearly 50% from the field in the win and held the Sycamores to just 18.8% from long range. TCU has scored 80 or more in four straight and six of their last seven games. Coincidentally they won all of those games as well. TCU has some balance with five double digit scorers and Kevin Samuel who chips in with 8.3 ppg. The Sycamores have won their first two games in Hawaii since that loss to TCU with four of their last six going over the total. The team has looked a little better with Christian Williams back in the lineup as help to Jordan Barnes and Tyreke Key. ISU has gon over in 44 of their last 68 games overall including 14 of their last 20 in December. To me, this one should see plenty of points. |
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12-23-18 | Drake v. San Diego OVER 144 | 110-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
12-22-18 | Cornell v. SMU OVER 140 | 53-81 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
SMU has gone over in nine of their last 11 with a 10th game pushing the total. This offense has shot 50% or better five times already this season and are doing more running then they have in the past. The defense has also struggled a bit especially considering how tight they've been in the past. They allowed 70 or more five times already. Jahmal McMurray leads four double digit scorers with two others putting up seven per contest. Cornell has allowed 86 at Toledo, 77 at Niagara, 91 at UConn and 73 at NJIT. Jimmy Boeheim and Matt Morgan are their two best scorers. They have put up 70 or more in three straight and five of their last seven. I don't expect that to happen in this one, but I think this goes over the lower total. |
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12-22-18 | Drake +7 v. New Mexico State | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Drake has been really good to me so far this season and I think they will continue to be on Saturday against New Mexico State on a neutral court. The Bulldogs are 8-2 with a nine point neutral court loss to Iowa State and a 29 point loss at Colorado. They have two wins as an underdog already this season against North Dakota State (neutral) and Boise State. This team has seven guys who score six points per contest or more and are led by Nick McGlynn and Nick Norton. New Mexico State has losses to Kansas and St. Mary's this season. Other then that, it seems like they've feasted on lesser opponents. The Aggies have a lot of depth themselves, but a younger team then their opponent. I like the underdog in this one. |
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12-22-18 | Wright State v. Mississippi State OVER 141.5 | 63-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Mississippi State has won seven straight since losing to Arizona State. The Bulldogs can come at you in many ways with five double digit scorers led by Quinndary Weatherspoon and Lamar Peters. At home, this team has already scored 98, 70, 90, 88, 79, 77 and 95. They play with a moderate pace and want to get up and down a bit. The defense has struggled though as they allowed Wofford to put up 87 and McNeese State to score 77. Wright State wants a slower game, but they've struggled to keep the pace away from home. They lost 83-76 at Kent State and gave up 73 to Murray State at their place. Wright State is in a good spot offensively right now scoring 70 or more in three straight. Loudon Love is a solid big man with Billy Wampler and Cole Gentry also helping. This one should go over the total. |
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12-22-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. St. Joe's -139 | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
St. Joe's is on the court for the first time in two weeks as they welcome Loyola-Chicago to Philly. The Hawks will have Charlie Brown and Pierfrancesco Oliva back after both missed Villanova. They have the better offense in this game with the likes of Brown, Lamarr Kimble, Jared Bynum and Taylor Funk. The big issue is with their defense. They've had problems stopping a lot of their opponents. The Ramblers still have Krutwig, Custer and Townes, but the rest of the lineup is not as strong. They've lost four of their last seven games and just aren't as strong. People are giving them their best shot. I think the Hawks get up for this one and win. |
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12-22-18 | Murray State v. Auburn OVER 136.5 | 88-93 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
Murray State is 8-1 on the season as they play at Auburn on Saturday. The Racers have played just three true road games winning at SIU 80-52, at Middle Tennessee 64-42 and lost at Alabama 78-72. They play some awesome defense, but have struggled a little bit against the better teams on the schedule. Get to know Ja Morant because he's one of the best scorers in the league. Auburn is going to be a bit angry after their poor performance at NC State in which they had a ton of turnovers. This team has scored 80 or more six times already this season, but they've also allowed 70 or more in three straight. Last year, this was an 81-77 game. I don't expect that, but I do think this one will be played in the 70s. |
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12-22-18 | Wichita State v. VCU -5 | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
The Rams host the Shockers on Saturday afternoon. I'm not a huge fan of Wichita State who is playing in their first true road game. They did take on Oklahoma in that state and lost 80-48 in that one. The Shockers also have fallen to Alabama, Davidson and Louisiana Tech. Other then that, they've feasted on lesser teams at home. Markis McDuffie is playing very well and will be a factor in this one, but can the young kids withstand the press and the hostile crowd. They don't shoot the ball great and that means the Rams pressure could be turned up a lot. VCU has lost two straight and three of their last five. The Rams have one of the worst halfcourt offenses in the country, but if they get turnovers then things will be easier. Marcus Evans is leading the way although he's been in a massive slump as of late. The team has beaten Texas and played UVA tough on the road. Marcus Santos-Silva will be very important as well against the taller Shockers. The Rams are 6-4-1 against the spread this season. If they can crank up the defense, this one should be an easy win. |
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12-22-18 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Western Michigan OVER 140 | 67-66 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Western Michigan has lost four of their last five as they come home to host Milwaukee. The Broncos have gone over the total in seven of their 11 games overall. WMU is pretty good on offense and has struggled with defense at times. They've allowed 70 or more in four straight and all but two contests overall. Michael Flowers, Seth Dugan and Josh Davis are their best players. Milwaukee has gone over in six of their last nine games. They've struggled at times on offense, but should be able to get what they want in this one. The Panthers have a couple of solid scorers themselves. I think this could be closer then the spread and should go over the total. Neither team excels at defense. |
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12-22-18 | St. Louis +8 v. Florida State | 59-81 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
The Billikens hit the road to play Florida State at a neutral court game in Florida. St. Louis has lost to Houston, SIU and Pittsburgh this season, but they did knock off Seton Hall on the road and Butler at home. SLU is led by Javon Bess, Tramaine Isabell and Jordan Goodwin who are their best scorers. Florida State is the deeper team probably, but I'm going to fade Leonard Hamilton whenever I can. The Seminoles have won five straight since losing to Villanova. They beat UConn, Purdue and LSU this season as well as Florida. My problem is that their defense is exploitable with three opponents shooting 50% or better from the court. As I said, I want to fade FSU when I can and going against them recently would make you 6-1 against the spread. |
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12-22-18 | Temple v. Drexel +10 | 82-64 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Drexel and Temple play once again in the Palestra on Saturday. Last year, the Owls beat the Dragons 63-60 at home as a 16 point favorite. Drexel has had an up and down season so far. They've lost tough games at UConn, Rutgers and Eastern Michigan, but have also beaten Loyola, La Salle and Boston among others. The Dragons are dealing with injuries as they have continued to do so the past few years. They have five double digit scorers and have an offense that could worry Temple. The Owls have failed to cover in three straight and seven of their last 10 overall. This team has been a double digit favorite three times this season and has failed to cover in any of those. They have an inconsistent offense led by Alston and Rose and a defense that has struggled at times with teams that shoot well from long range. With this game being at the Palestra, there should be close to equal representation for both teams. I think the underdog can keep things interesting in this one. |
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12-22-18 | Arkansas-Little Rock +13.5 v. Georgetown | 94-102 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
Georgetown is 8-3 on the season, but they've only covered three of those contests. The Hoyas have five wins at home of 10 points or less with them covering only one of those. The Hoyas struggle at defense giving up 70 points or more to everyone but Loyola Marymount and Maryland Eastern Shore. This is a team still working on their rotations as they get closer to conference play. Little Rock has just five wins on the year, but they've already played at Memphis, Tulsa and Nevada. Two of those games they lost by only 10 points. Rayjon Tucker is a really solid scorer along with Kris Bankston who is shooting nearly 85% fro the field. They have six guys who average nine points per game or more. With this being a noon tip-off there won't be much of an atmosphere. Georgetown has covered just 10 of their last 37 home contests and eight of their last 31 as a favorite. I think the dog is worth a look. |
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12-21-18 | Detroit v. Xavier -17 | 55-69 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
The Musketeers have lost two of their last three and had a team meeting as they enter their final non-conference game against Detroit. They should be rather ornery for this one with a bad Titans team coming in. X has 4 double digit home wins this season and should be able to get whatever they want as Detroit doesn't play any defense. Detroit has lost five straight this season. They have lost 101-57 at Toledo, 98-59 at Dayton, 71-59 at Akron, 84-63 at Butler and 83-67 at Temple. Other then Antoine Davis, there's not a ton of scorers on their roster. I think the Musketeers roll in this one. |
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12-21-18 | Illinois State v. UCF OVER 141 | 56-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
12-21-18 | Coastal Carolina v. College of Charleston OVER 142.5 | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
12-21-18 | Cal-Irvine +8.5 v. Butler | 54-71 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
12-21-18 | Kent State +10 v. Oregon State | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
12-21-18 | St Bonaventure +6.5 v. Northeastern | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
12-20-18 | James Madison +4.5 v. Fordham | 48-75 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm a fan of the Dukes so far this year as they've had an up and down season. JMU is 7-5 and has had 13 days off to get ready for this one. The Dukes have lost their last three road games, but also have wins over Charlotte and East Carolina away from home. They've played some good defense this season and have held three straight opponents to less then 70 points. Stuckey Mosley, Matt Lewis and Darius Banks are the big three, but the talk is trying to get others involved. Fordham has a glossy record with only three losses, but their schedule has seen them be an underdog just twice. They have losses to NJIT, Maine and Houston Baptist. They've only covered four games this season and are led by Nick Honor who has hit several buzzer beating and late possession shots of note this season. Fordham has covered just 12 of their last 32 home games. I think the road team is worth a look. |
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12-19-18 | California v. Fresno State OVER 141.5 | 73-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Cal is not an impressive team. They've only won four games so far this year with them coming at home over Cal Poly, San Diego State, Santa Clara and Hampton. The Golden Bears have five guys who can score a little bit, but they don't have a ton of depth. On the road this team lost 84-71 to St. Mary's in their only true road contest. They don't play great defense and have scored 60 points or less four times. Fresno State is playing their fifth straight home contest. They've scored 92, 71, 76 and 81 in those contests. This team has a ton of weapons and should be able to get whatever they want. This total is a little lower because Cal isn't a great team. |
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12-19-18 | Southern Miss +13.5 v. Kansas State | 51-55 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
Kansas State dealing with some injury issues entering this one. Dean Wade has a partial tear in his right foot and is expected to miss some time. Kamau Stokes is also a little banged up, but is expected to play. This is a team that plays very good defense, but has had some issues on the offensive end. They've also failed to cover three straight contests. Southern Miss has played well on the road losing by three at Wichita State and winning at Troy and SMU as an underdog. Much like their opponents, this team plays very good defense with just one opponent cracking 70 points and that was William Carey in an odd loss. This big number in a game with a low total is rather juicy so I'll take a shot with the underdog. |
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12-19-18 | Rider v. Drake -2.5 | 58-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is going to be one of my favorite teams to bet on in the Missouri Valley. The Bulldogs have lost just two games at Colorado and against Iowa State on a neutral court. At home they've taken care of business knocking off Edwardsville, Boise State, Texas State and Buena Vista. This is a deep squad with eight guys who score six points per game or more. They are led by Nick McGlynn and Nick Norton who are doing well so far. Rider has lost three of their last five as they continue this stretch on the road. This team was just in Washington two days ago losing 94-80 to Washington State. The Broncs have lost at Hofstra and West Virginia as well as UCF. The team really only has wins over Robert Morris, Norfolk State, Wagner and Coppin State. I'm not that impressed by that group and think they will get a little outclassed here. Not playing defense will put Rider in a hole in this one. I like Drake who is feeling good about themselves now. |
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12-19-18 | Western Michigan +13 v. Dayton | 72-85 | Push | 0 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
Dayton comes home and has lost five of their last six games. The common theme is that the offense struggled and the defense had problems slowing down their opponent. They are coming off a 72-67 loss to Tulsa on a neutral court and have also lost to Mississippi State at home. The Flyers have covered just once at home against Coppin State who they beat by 30. Western Michigan has spent a lot of their season on the road and have wins at Youngstown State and Oakland. They lost by only eight at Michigan last time out, but were outclassed at Cincy and Ole Miss. I wouldn't put Dayton in that mix. The Broncos aren't deep, but they are led by Seth Dugan who averages nearly a double-double as well as Michael Flowers and Josh Davis. They've covered 18 of their last 29 road games. Dayton is only 17-17 against the spread at home the last three seasons. I think the road team is worth a look in this one. |
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12-19-18 | North Carolina A&T v. Virginia Tech OVER 141.5 | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
NC A&T plays in another buy game as they travel to Blacksburg to take on Virginia Tech. Already this season they have lost 90-78 at Wake, 82-59 at Maryland, 92-72 at Hofstra and 95-71 at Marshall. This team has scored 70 points or more in all but two games so they could hold up a little bit of their end to this total. Harris and Copeland are the team's two leading scorers. At home this year, Virginia Tech has won games 87-59, 75-37, 94-40, 89-68 and 81-44. I think NC A&T's offense is a little bit better then theirs. My only concern is that Tech's defense wasn't great at times vs. Washington so there might be a little more focus on that end. I just think we'll see the Hokies at around 80-90 points and then NC AT will add their part. |
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12-18-18 | North Texas v. New Mexico -2.5 | 74-65 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
North Texas is 10-1 on the season and it's because of a coldly efficient offense and a really good defense holding teams to under 40% shooting from the field. The Mean Green have lost their only game against a team they were an underdog against falling by 16 at Oklahoma. For the most part this team has beaten up on bad opponents with four games where they were favored by double digits to go with three other contests against lower level opponents. Now they face New Mexico in the Pit where they are very tough to beat usually. This season they've lost twice at home, but now Carlton Bragg is in the mix. The Kansas transfer had 16 points and seven rebounds in 23 minutes for the Lobos. Now they've got five double digit scorers and a ton of depth and size. I think the home team is worth a real look in this one |
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12-18-18 | South Florida v. Florida International -130 | 82-73 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This play is more about a fade of USF then anything. The Bulls have a glossy 7-2 record this season, but they've beaten up on a lot of bad teams to get there and have played all home games or neutral contests. They lost to The Citadel and Georgetown in games where the defense couldn't make stops. FIU is 8-2 and will push the pace and score a ton of points. This team has put up 100 or more five times and have some decent wins. I really like the balance this team has led by Brian Beard Jr and Devon Andrews as well as Trejon Jacob and Willy Nunez Jr. South Florida has been a road underdog of three points or less just once the last three seasons and lost the game outright. FIU won this game on the road 65-53 last year. I think they win again this year too. |
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12-18-18 | Oakland v. Georgia OVER 153 | 69-81 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Oakland is playing their fifth straight on the road on Tuesday as they travel to Georgia. This team has plenty of scoring options and a lack of interest in defense. Case in point, the Golden Grizzlies have scored 82, 83 and 87 over their last three games allowing 87, 92 and 86 to those opponents. Oakland has gone over in six of their last seven and eight of their 10 lined games overall. Xavier Hill-Mais and Jaevin Cumberland average nearly 40 points per game combined. Georgia is coming off a tough loss where they blew a huge lead and fell at home to Arizona State. The Bulldogs have scored 74, 92 and 84 their last three contests at home. They've alternated unders and overs the last few weeks and have struggled on defense. UGA does it with more balance with five guys who score seven points per game or more. Two years ago Georgia lost at Oakland 86-79 in a high scoring tilt. I think we could see a ton of points once again. |
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12-17-18 | Pepperdine +14 v. Oregon State | 67-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Both of these teams are hard to figure out. The Waves have lost three of their last four entering this one. Pepperdine has some talent led by Colbey Ross and Eric Cooper Jr. The team has a bunch of talent and wants to get up and down the court. Oregon State has lost two straight games after a solid start to the year. They've failed to cover in four of their last six and rely on just a trio of solid scorers. To me, this is a lot of points for them to cover. They did blow out Wyoming and Missouri State at home, but I think Pepperdine is better then them. Give me the road team. |
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12-17-18 | Western Illinois v. Northern Illinois OVER 143.5 | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois comes home to host Western Illinois on Monday. NIU is coming off a 95-68 loss at Butler and they are 3-1 at home. The Huskies have scored 70 or more in every game except for the Butler loss, but they've had their issues slowing teams down defensively. Eugene German and Levi Bradley are a good duo averaging nearly 39 points per game. Western Illinois has lost three straight and is playing their eighth true road game of the season. They've allowed 70 or more in four of those games. I like Kobe Webster as a scorer and Brandon Gilbeck is an enforcer in the paint. NIU's gone over in all five games when the total is in the 140s. I think this one should see some scoring. |
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12-17-18 | Davidson v. Wake Forest OVER 145 | 63-67 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
The Demon Deacons are 5-3 on the season although the losses have come to St. Joe's, Houston Baptist and Richmond. Wake has scored 70 or more in their last four games. They've also allowed 70 or more four times as well. Brandon Childress leads four double digit scorers, but this team has a little bit of depth although it is young depth. Davidson was nearly able to pull off the victory in Atlantic City on Saturday without leading scorer Kellan Grady. The Wildcats got some really good efforts from Luke Frampton and Carter Collins on Saturday and their shooting will help them again in this one. Wake has gone over in 20 of their last 34 as an underdog. I think this one should see a boatload of points. |
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12-16-18 | Quinnipiac v. Drexel +2 | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The Dragons are 5-5 on the season, but have put up some good numbers offensively. This is a team that has shot 50% or better from the field four times and has eclipsed the 80 point mark five times as well. The Dragons are led by Alihan Demir who is one of five double digit scorers for the team. There's a chance that Kurk Lee plays although he's only been in three contests so far this year. Quinnipiac is the opposite as they have one double digit scorer in Cameron Young and a bunch of guys who have middling stats. They are 4-4 on the year with wins over Lafayette, Dartmouth, Maine and New Hampshire. This is a team that has shot over 40% from the field just twice so that's a concern especially on a neutral court. Drexel has won the last two meetings between the schools. I think they have a good chance to make it three on Sunday. |
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12-16-18 | CS-Fullerton v. San Francisco OVER 142 | 54-68 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
San Francisco has been steamrolling teams this season and has gone over in five of their last nine contests. They have shot 49% or better in five straight and six of their last seven games. The Dons come at you with balance and six guys who average seven points per game or more. They are really good defensively so that is a bit of an issue in terms of the total, but I think they can provide a lot offensively because Fullerton sucks at defense. Fullerton has played four true road games this year allowing 81, 87, 80 and 102. They've got a really good backcourt with Allman and Ahmad, but are looking for help elsewhere. This is a team that wants to play with a quicker pace and because of that they allow more points since they aren't committed as much to the defensive side of the ball. I think this one is an over. |
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12-16-18 | Troy State v. Western Kentucky OVER 142 | 87-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky is back home after two straight on the road. The Hilltoppers are experiencing some changes on the roster with DeSean Murray not playing because he wants to go pro but Lamonte Bearden coming back after serving his suspension. WKU has gone over in five of their nine games and it's because of an offense that has scored 75 or more in three straight and five contests overall. They have also had their problems on the defensive end allowing 70 or more in all but two contests. They have three double digit scorers along with Bearden who has been good for them in the past. Troy has gone over in five of their seven lined games. They've got the same thing as their opponent in that their defense has been shoddy at times but the offense spectacular. Jordon Varnado leads four double digit scorers for the Trojans. Both teams average about 68 positions a game according to kenpom so this may struggle to get to the over, but if you look at the stats, both teams have leaky defenses. I think this over is worth a look. |
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12-15-18 | Cal Poly +10.5 v. California | 66-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Neither of these teams are very good, but I think Cal Poly can hang around in this one. The Mustangs have three wins over Bethune Cookman, USC Upstate and Menlo College. They lost by 9 at Fresno, by 5 at Portland and by 21 at Arizona covering all three of those tilts. Donovan Fields, Mark Crowe and Marcellus Garrick are their top three scorers. California has already lost at home to San Francisco and has dropped games to St. Mary's, Yale and Temple. Their wins came over San Diego State, Santa Clara and Hampton. Cal's defense has been very porous allowing four of their last six opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. Cal has covered just 12 of their last 35 lined non-conference games. I think this one could be close. Â
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12-15-18 | Georgia State +12.5 v. Kansas State | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Kansas State returns home after losing at Marquette and Tulsa in two different type games. The Wildcats lost 47-46 at Tulsa and 83-71 at Marquette. Ideally KSU wants to play a lower scoring game as their offense can be shaky. They are a veteran team who had won their first six contests this season. They didn't cover early on with big numbers at home against Denver and Kennesaw State. Georgia State has already played four true road games winning at Alabama and Tulane. GSU is led by D'Marcus Simonds and his 22 points per game. They've got some other solid scorers and won't be intimidated by playing in Manhattan. KSU is just 12-15 at home against the spread the last three seasons. I think the road team is a live dog. |
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12-15-18 | Auburn v. UAB OVER 142.5 | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
It's a big time rivalry as UAB hosts Auburn. The Blazers have taken a few steps back in terms of talent and it shows on the court. Their two biggest tests were losses 94-76 at Memphis and 81-63 on a neutral court to Florida State. The Blazers offense started out hot at home, but has cooled off a bit although they did score over 70 in their last two contests. UAB has a little bit of balanced scoring with six players scoring 7 points per contest or more. Auburn has six guys who score 8 points per game or more and they'll be adding Danjel Purifoy to the mix as well. The Tigers are a scoring machine putting up 80 or more six times this season. They have not played a true road game yet this year so maybe that helps out a little bit. To me, this total seems a little bit low. I'll take the over. |
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12-15-18 | Washington v. Virginia Tech OVER 140.5 | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
Tech faces their third power five school on Saturday in Atlantic City. The Hokies offense has been steaming hot with three straight efforts of 80 or more. They've done that six times this season including an 89-83 win over Purdue. I really like Justin Robinson and think that he'll be busy against the 2-3 zone along with NAW and Ahmed Hill. They've got the long range shooters and the experience from facing Syracuse to help them in this one. Washington has already faced two top 15 teams losing 88-66 to Auburn and 81-79 at Gonzaga. Washington has plenty of scorers and a lot more size then Tech does. I think this one will be played with some pace and it will go over the total. |
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12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee v. Toledo -14 | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
The Rockets have won seven straight entering this one against Middle Tennessee. At home, Toledo has wins of 44, 13, 21 and 41 already this season. They've had just three single digit wins all season long so that means that they are rocking bad squads. Toledo has shot 50% or better six times already and has five double digit scorers. On the opposite side you have Middle Tennessee who is led by Antonio Green with his 18.5 points per game. The next highest scorer is at 8.9. During this current losing streak, MTSU has lost by 22, 28, 10, 13, 31 and 22. They've scored less then 60 points in five of their last six as the offense has dried up. To me, this seems like another chance for the Rockets to blast off to an easy win. |
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12-15-18 | Davidson v. Temple OVER 140.5 | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Davidson has gone over in four straight and five of their nine games. They've got a very potent offense that has scored 70 or more in five straight and seven of nine overall. Jon Axel Gudmundsson and Kellan Grady are fantastic as well as Luke Brajkovic. Their problem is that they aren't that deep of a team and defense is optional sometimes. Temple's defense has come and gone from time to time. They held Villanova to 69 and UMass to 63 the last two games. St. Joe's Missouri and Georgia all have had success. Temple's also going to go how Rose and Alston go. They've gone over three times this season, but a lot of that is because of higher totals. This one is within range. I think this game is close and it's played above the total. |
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12-15-18 | Kent State +13.5 v. Louisville | 70-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Louisville has won four of their last five and are approaching the big one against Kentucky coming up. The Cardinals are coming off a 72-68 win over Lipscomb. They've been a little inconsistent on offense as of late scoring 72 points or less in three of their last four. The defense has also been up and down during this period as well. Kent State has three true road wins already with one of those coming at Vanderbilt as an 11 point underdog. Their only loss came at home just about a month ago at home against Liberty 77-70. Jaylin Walker is a gamechanger scorer and he's got three others who average at least 10 per ballgame. Kent State has covered 24 of their last 45 against teams with a winning record. I think they can keep things close. |
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12-15-18 | Ohio v. Detroit OVER 152 | 63-61 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
I love betting on the overs in Detroit games because they've shown a true lack of interest in defense. On consecutive nights (yes back-to-back) they allowed 101 to Toledo and 98 to Dayton on the road. This is a team that has shown some offensive punch in their three home games against Kent State, Bowling Green and Loyola Maryland. Still, outside of Antoine Davis, they lack a ton of talent and that's why they struggle to stop opponents. Ohio is another team that wants to get up and down. They've scored over 80 points five times already this season including 101 at home vs. Marshall. This is just their second true road game having already lost at Xavier 82-61. The Bobcats are led by Jason Carter and Teyvion Kirk who put up 35 points per contest combined. This one should see a boatload of points. |
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12-15-18 | Villanova v. Kansas OVER 144 | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
It's a Final Four rematch in Kansas as the Jayhawks host the Wildcats. Villanova's team is different then the squad who won the title last year. They are coming off a 78-75 loss at Penn snapping a six game win streak. The Cats want to grind it out a bit and beat you in an ugly contest. They are led by Phil Booth, Eric Paschall and Collin Gillespie who are the three double digit scorers. Some of the teams to crack the 70 point mark on them include Morgan State, Furman and Michigan which gives me hope that Kansas can do so as well. The Jayhawks are without their big man Azubuike once again for this one. They've had some high scoring games with five of their first six going over the total. Kansas can beat you in a multitude of ways with Dedric Lawson leading the way. They've got a ton of talent and don't mind getting into a quicker paced game. They are also going to be looking for revenge after getting steamrolled in the tournament. Kansas has gone over in 21 of their last 33 at home including three of four this season. Fire up the over in this one. |
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12-15-18 | Iona v. Princeton -3.5 | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
It's one of four games at Atlantic City as Princeton takes on Iona. The Tigers are coming off two straight losses to St. John's and St. Joe's but this is a step down in competition. They unveiled Jaelin Llewellyn last game and he had 17 points and four assists in the loss. He'll pair up nicely with Devin Cannady and Myles Stephens. This team should be able to do whatever they want as the Gaels are allowing opponents to shoot 46% or more from the field. Iona has not covered a single game this season and is coming off a loss to Columbia. EJ Crawford and Rickey McGill are two of their bigger threats. I think Princeton is the better team so give me them in this one. |
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12-14-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Arkansas State OVER 151 | 71-75 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Arkansas State is playing just their third home game of the season so far. The Red Wolves have an 89-54 win over Missouri Baptist and 87-77 victory over Evansville there. This team's main problem has come on the defensive side of the ball where they've allowed 70 or more in all but two games with one of those being against the lower level team. This squad goes as Ty Cockfield goes as he's averaging 21.3 points per game and the next highest is Marquis Eaton at 9.3 ppg. The Owls are quite the opposite with four double digit scorers although Xavian Stapleton is questionable for the game. FAU has played just two true road games losing at Bethune Cookman by 2 and winning at UCF by one. Their offense has been very impressive as a whole and both of these teams play with some modest pace so scoring shouldn't be an issue. This one should be an over with a real chance the road team could win. |
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12-12-18 | Chattanooga v. Georgia State OVER 142 | 88-95 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
This is Georgia State's third home game of the season after a crazy stretch of contests. The Panthers have played the likes of Alabama, Georgia and Creighton away from home and have wins over two of them. Their problem has been defense allowing 70 or more in three straight and four of their last five. D'Marcus Simonds is averaging nearly 22 points per game with three others also scoring 10 points per game or more. The over has hit in four of their last five. Chattanooga has won three straight after a four game losing streak. They've allowed 83 at Michigan, 73 at South Alabama and 69 at Charlotte. Kevin Easley leads the team and is a solid scorer with four others putting up eight points per game or more. To me, this one seems like a good chance for the Panthers to score a lot and for this one to be an over. |
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12-12-18 | Massachusetts +9 v. Temple | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
Temple is back on the court a week after losing 69-59 at Villanova. They wrapped up a three game road trip with two wins over St. Joe's and Missouri. The Owls go as Shizz Alston and Quinton Rose go it seems although several other scorers have stepped up from time to time. My issue is with consistency and who else can be that option. This team played four home games to start out the year and went 0-3-1 against the spread. They don't have much of a homecourt advantage. UMass is a hard team to figure out. They are coming off a one point win at Providence last time out. They've lost to Holy Cross, Nevada, Howard and Harvard this season, but also have a potent offense. Luwane Pipkins is one of the best scorers in the A-10 and he's got help in Curtis Cobb, Jonathan Laurent and Carl Pierre as well as Rashaan Holloway who is a load inside. UMass has covered 32 of their last 44 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Temple is 11-17-3 ATS in their last 31 at home. I think this one is closer then the experts think. |
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12-10-18 | CS-Fullerton v. St. Mary's OVER 143.5 | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Fullerton has lost five of their last seven as they enter this one against St. Mary's. Fullerton has allowed 80 in Hofstra, 87 in Sacramento State and 102 in Arizona State. Their offense has laid a few eggs, but Khalil Ahmad and Kyle Allman Jr are a really solid duo on offense. Traditionally St. Mary's has been good defensively, but not so much this year. They've allowed 70 or more four times, but their offense has been spectacular. The last three wins have seen them score 85, 93 and 84. This Gaels squad has a balanced unit offensively. They've gone over in all of their home games and I think that trend continues on Monday. |
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12-09-18 | Oregon State v. St. Louis -3 | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Oregon State is 6-1 on the season and making their second road trip of the season to St. Louis on Sunday. The Beavers beat Long Beach State at their place by 3 in the other trip. This team has a gaudy record, but has pretty much won the games they were supposed to. Tres Tinkle and Stephen Thompson Jr are a potent duo averaging nearly 38 points per game combined. St. Louis does it a lot more with balance with six guys averaging six points per game or more. A lot was expected from the Billikens who are 6-2 themselves with the losses coming to SIU and Pittsburgh. St. Louis has been very tough at home this season already knocking off Butler there. I'm going to keep riding St. Louis who has covered 27 of their last 41 games when the total is in the 130s. That means low scoring and ugly and this team doesn't mind that. Gimme the home team. |
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12-09-18 | Coastal Carolina v. Wofford OVER 143 | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Wofford has gone over in 17 of their last 27 as a favorite and 17 of their last 26 at home. The Terriers have a potent trio in Fletcher Magee, Cameron Jackson and Nathan Hoover. Wofford is putting up 91.3 points per game at home where they shoot over 50% from the field. Coastal is 2-4 on the road, but they are averaging over 80 points per game over their last five contests. Coastal goes as Zac Cuthbertson goes as he's the team's leading scorer by far. They do have five other guys who average between 7 and 10 points per game. The last two meetings between these two have gone 87-81 and 75-74. I think this one is an over as well. |
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12-09-18 | Princeton +12.5 v. St. John's | 74-89 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Princeton travels to New York to play St. John's. The Tigers are 4-3 on the season with wins over GW, Maine, Monmouth and DeSales. They lost by 10 to St. Joe, by 11 to Fairleigh Dickinson and by 15 to Lehigh. Princeton is a pretty veteran bunch led by Devin Cannady and Myles Stephens. The team is their usual efficient selves on offense, but they've had problems on defense from time to time. St. John's is 8-0, but has covered just one game this year. Their best wins were against Georgia Tech and Rutgers whom they were around three point favorites against. This team has issues on defense and I think the Tigers can exploit that if they stay out of foul trouble. St. John's has covered just 12 of their last 34 games as a favorite. I think the underdog is worth a look. |
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12-09-18 | VMI v. Chattanooga OVER 140 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Chattanooga has won two straight after a four game losing streak. They've scored 71, 95, 92 and 78 at home already this season. The Mocs have had some issues with defense at times giving up 83, 74, 73 and 81 already this season. They play at a moderate pace and are led by Kevin Easley, Jerry Johnson Jr and Donovann Toatley. VMI has lost three straight entering this one and you can point to their defense as an issue allowing 80 or more four times already this season with almost all of those coming on the road. Bubba Parham is the conference's leading scorer and this is a team that can get really hot from long range. This series hasn't produced a lot of overs, but I think that trend could change on Sunday. |
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12-08-18 | Dayton v. Auburn OVER 138 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Auburn has the offense to compete with almost anyone in the country. They host Dayton on Saturday. This Tigers squad has seven players who average seven points per game or more. They've scored less then 70 just once and that was last time against UNC Asheville. At home, they've put up over 100 twice and 99 the other time. The defense has been very good so that's a bit of a concern in this one. Dayton also plays good defense, but this is their first true road game. The most potent teams on their schedule Fort Wayne (80 points) and Virginia (66 points) were able to move it on their defense. Once again, we're seeing some movement to the under. I think it's almost moved too much. Auburn has gone over in 18 of their last 30 at home. Give me the over. |
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12-08-18 | Ole Miss v. Illinois State +6 | 81-74 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Ole Miss comes to Illinois State on Saturday. ISU has hosted BYU and San Diego State the past few weeks and was able to beat the Cougars. I really like the Redbirds with Milik Yarbrough, Phil Fayne and Josh Jefferson leading the way. Keyshawn Evans is only averaging seven points per game but I think he's capable of so much more. Ole Miss has a potent trio of their own and is 5-2 on the season. My problem is that outside of a win over Baylor, they really haven't beaten anyone of substance. The losses came to Butler and Cincinnati with them beating the other teams they were supposed to. ISU got the win on the road in this series last year. I think they can keep things interesting here too. |
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12-08-18 | Florida State v. Connecticut +8 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Plain and simple, I'll fade Leonard Hamilton whenever I can and I think I can here. UConn is 7-2 and with Dan Hurley they have the coaching advantage. The Huskies are a lot tougher deep and have some solid pieces to throw at the deeper Seminoles. Jalen Adams and Christian Vital are the two leading scorers. They are also playing some solid defense as well holding teams to less then 30% shooting from long range. Florida State is 7-1 but 3-5 against the spread. There's no doubt they are the more talented team in this one and Phil Cofer is returning as well. Still, this team has had problems against better teams covering the spread. They've done so against UAB, Canisius and Florida. It's a neutral court game so that gives me another edge as it won't be filled with Florida State fans. Give me the underdog in this one. |
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12-08-18 | Northern Illinois v. Butler OVER 142 | 68-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Eugene German and NIU head to Butler to take on the Bulldogs. German is averaging nearly 22 points per contest. The Huskies have scored 71 or more in every game this season so offense hasn't been the issue. Their problem is on the defensive end where they allow 71.4 points per contest. Green Bay was able to put up 85 at home on NIU while Oakland scored 72. Butler's offense has had an up and down season. They've scored 70 or less in three straight and four of their last five. They are capable of so much more and Kamar Baldwin has struggled mightily. They have been fantastic on defense and that's a concern for my over. Next up is a game vs. Indiana so one eye could be on their next game. Butler has gone over in 21 of their last 34 at home. The Huskies have gone over in five of their six lined games. This one should do that as well. |
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12-08-18 | Oakland v. Northeastern OVER 145.5 | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Northeastern is playing just their third true home game of the season. They've got a 77-74 loss to Boston back on Opening Night and a 81-67 win over EMU at Matthews Arena. This team has scored 70 or more in four contests this season. Their bigger issue is on defense where three opponents have shot 50% or better with seven opponents scoring 70 points or more. Oakland will make you pay on offense and is coming off an 87-86 win at Fairfield in which they shot nearly 60% from the field. They have scored 70 or more in every game except for two while allowing that much in all but three contests. This team allowed NIU to shoot 66% from the field. Northeastern has gone over in all three games as a favorite this season. I think these two should find some offensive success. |
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12-08-18 | Buffalo v. St Bonaventure +7 | 80-62 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
The Bonnies are a big underdog as Buffalo comes to town. St. Bonaventure has looked like a completely different team with Courtney Stockard healthy. They'll be uber talented once LaDarien Griffin returns as well. Even without Griffin, they've got some balance with four other double digit scorers. The Reilly Center is a very tough place to play and the game will be a sellout so you know it'll be a hostile atmosphere. Buffalo is 8-0 and is steamrolling opponents. They have road wins at West Virginia and Southern Illinois already this season. With CJ Massinburg and Nick Perkins on the court, they've got some potent scorers to go with Jeremy Harris and Jayvon Graves. Buffalo has struggled a little bit in this series and lost last year 73-62 as a one point favorite. Two years ago they fell in Olean 90-84 so you know they'll be focused here. Still, I like the Bonnies to keep it close and potentially get the upset. |
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12-08-18 | Wright State v. Kent State OVER 140 | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Wright State is 4-5 on the year having lost four of their last five. They have struggled to score as of late and are not getting the stops when it matters. This is a team that has played two true road games losing at Indiana State 69-63 and Murray State 73-54. They want to play a slower game despite having some very solid talent. Kent State is quite the opposite as they've scored 70 or more in every game this season. Jaylin Walker has been an impact player as expected averaging almost 25 points per game over his first three. Now they have four double digit scorers. I think this is a very good team who already has a win at Vanderbilt. The money in this one is on the under and I think we're getting a good value on the over now. Wright State has gone over in 10 of their last 14 games when the total is in the low 140s on the road. KSU will play with their pace and this one goes over. |
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12-08-18 | Tulane v. South Alabama -1.5 | 60-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
The Jaguars have lost four of their last six, but they are home where they are 4-1 on the season. I think this Jaguars team is sneaky good with the duo of Rodrick Sikes and Josh Ajayi leading the way. I'd love this play a little more if transfer Kory Holden was available. He's averaged 20 points per game in his two contests, but he was out last game due to injury. Tulane is playing their first true road game of the season and their wins were against Tennessee-Martin, South Dakota State and Coastal Carolina. They lost to SE Louisiana at home as a 10.5 point favorite. Tulane has covered just seven of their last 25 as a road underdog of three points or less. They have won just five road games outright so pardon me if I don't believe in them in this one. The Jaguars are 25-12 in their last 37 home games. I like them in this situation. |
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12-07-18 | James Madison v. George Mason OVER 143 | 53-66 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
It's a state rivalry as George Mason hosts JMU. These two have played a lot of overs in their history including six of their last seven in Fairfax. Last year Mason won 76-72 in Harrisonburg and beat the Dukes 80-77 at home two years ago. James Madison has gone over in eight of their 10 games as they play with a moderate pace and struggle on defense. They've scored 70 or more seven times and have allowed at least that much six times. Stuckey Mosley leads a trio of scorers who put up 10 points per game or more. George Mason is 4-6 and has been a massive disappointment on the year. They have the scorers and the talent to make a run in the conference, but they've got to play more defense. The Pats have scored 80 or more three times and have allowed 70 or more in five straight and eight of 10 overall. It would really help if Jaire Grayer was going to play. No word yet on his availability. I think though this one will be close and higher scoring. |
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12-07-18 | NC-Greensboro v. Elon OVER 145 | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
Elon has won just three games this season with wins over Manhattan, Milligan and Central Penn College. They've struggled with defense especially against the better teams on their slate. Furman just put up 98 on them and UNC scored 116. The Phoenix have a decent offense although they've only topped 70 points three times. Steve Santa Ana and Tyler Seibring put up over 14 per game. Greensboro is one of my favorite mid-majors. The Spartans have Francis Alonso and Isaiah Miller. They've cracked 80 points or more six times this season and have shot 50% or better in all but two contests. Their defense could be better although they've done well against their lesser opponents. I think this one is a higher scoring game. |
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12-06-18 | Charlotte +11.5 v. Wake Forest | 56-80 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Wake Forest has been largely unimpressive so far this season. They are 4-3 with the losses coming to Richmond, Houston Baptist and St. Joseph's. Their wins were by seven over Western Carolina and Fullerton, by six over Valpo and by 12 over North Carolina A&T. This team has uber amounts of talent, but they are really young and don't play a ton of defense either. Charlotte does play defense and is learning the pack line under new coach Ron Sanchez. The 49ers have played just two road games with one being a 20 point loss to Davidson and an eight point one at Charleston. Charlotte's not going to be confused for an offensive juggernaut, but the defense has kept them in ballgames. Jon Davis is averaging over 20 points per game to go along with Malik Martin. I think they can frustrate the Deacons and hang around in this one. Give me the underdog. |
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12-05-18 | Ball State v. Loyola-Chicago OVER 144 | 75-69 | Push | 0 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Ball State has been an over machine this season and in the past. They've hit in four straight and six of their seven lined games. The Cardinals have a potent offense scoring 80 or more in four straight and five of their eight games this season. The defense has been a little bit of an issue too giving up 75 to IUPUI at their place last time out. I really like the trio of Tayler Persons, KJ Walton and Tahjai Teague. There's some interior work along with some solid guard play there. The Ramblers are a little more methodical, but they've still been able to score some buckets when they need to. The team has scored 70 or more five times this season. They've also struggled with their defense with a period where three straight opponents shot 50% or better from the field. I like the over and think Ball State could get an upset in this one. |
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12-05-18 | South Carolina v. Wyoming +5.5 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
South Carolina hits the road for the first time this season for a true road game at Wyoming?! Yes the Gamecocks are playing the Cowboys because of Allen Edwards and Frank Martin's relationship. USC has alternated wins and losses and has covered just one game this season against the awful George Washington. South Carolina has bigger games against Michigan, Virginia and Clemson coming up so pardon me if they struggle for focus in one of the toughest places to play. This doesn't happen often for Wyoming who has just two wins on the season. They've lost four of their games by 10 points or less so they are close to putting it together. Justin James is a near double double machine averaging 24.9 ppg and 9.8 rpg. He's got some support in Hunter Maldonado and Jake Hendricks. Their defense isn't the greatest so that's a concern. Still, this is a really random road trip and I think the home team can take advantage. |
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12-05-18 | Brown v. Butler OVER 142 | 55-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Brown has won six of their last seven as they embark to Butler. The Bears have dried up a bit offensively on the road, but they had a stretch of six of their first seven where they scored 80 or more. This team has had a little bit of an issue at times with defense giving up 71 to Rhode Island on the road and 83 at Long Island. Desmond Cambridge, Brandon Anderson and Tamenang Choh are the team's three best scorers. Butler is coming off a rough loss at St. Louis 64-52. They've played just three home games with the Bulldogs scoring 83, 84 and 90 as they've got a really good offense. Butler has gone over in 21 of their last 33 home games. I think this one goes over too. |
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12-05-18 | VMI v. Virginia Tech OVER 143 | 68-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Keydets have been a hot and cold team this season on the road. We tried to fade them at Kentucky and VMI shot 50% from long range in a 92-82 loss to the Wildcats. They won at Stetson 87-79 and have also put up over 90 points against two other lower level opponents. The team has struggled big time on defense allowing 94 at Pittsburgh to go along with the other two scores. Virginia Tech has been fantastic at home scoring 94, 75 and 87 against lesser teams, playing good defense in the process. The Hokies don't really have any reason to lookahead, but this one could get really ugly. Back in November of 2016, this was an 88-72 game. I don't expect as much, but we should see the over hit. |
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12-05-18 | Monmouth v. Hofstra -14 | 73-75 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
It's been a horrific year so far for Monmouth who has scored over 70 points just once and that came in a 13 point loss at Colgate. The Hawks have lost by 22, 46, 15, 13, 24, 11 and 18 in games outside of their own gym. They've struggled to score all year and have just two guys who average eight points per game or more. Hofstra is led by the potent duo of Justin Wright-Foreman and Eli Pemberton who account for 44 points per game. The Pride has a 26 point win over Kennesaw State on their resume with two other blowout wins at home over North Carolina A&T and Mount St. Mary's. They've covered in all but one contest as well and have no lookahead factor here. Expect another blowout. |
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12-04-18 | Northeastern +11 v. Syracuse | 49-72 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
Northeastern is 4-4 on the season and travels to Syracuse to face an inconsistent Orange team. The Huskies have road wins at Bucknell and Harvard and a nine point loss at Davidson on their resume. This is a team without Shawn Occeus, Maxime Boursiquot and Vasa Pusica but still have a lot. Jordan Roland, Donnell Gresham Jr and Tomas Murphy are three other scorers with Bolden Brace being a decent option from long range. Syracuse beat Ohio State by 10 at their place and laid an egg afterwards in a 63-55 win at home against Cornell as 21.5 point favorites. Tyus Battle and Oshae Brissett are the leaders with Frank Howard running point. This team's offense has been pretty tough to watch for the most part. There's also the small caveat that Georgetown is the next game so focus could be a little bit of an issue. I think this one is closer then the spread says. |
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12-04-18 | Bradley v. Arkansas-Little Rock +4 | 68-62 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Little Rock hosts Bradley on Tuesday night. UALR has won their three home contests beating Sam Houston State, Howard and SE Oklahoma State. The squad's fourth win came over Tennessee State. They've had some issues on defense this season which is something you can't say for Bradley. Still, the Trojans are led by Rayjon Tucker who has been fantastic all-around. They really need Markquis Nowell and Deondre Burns who have been out the past few games. Bradley has lost two straight and has fallen in their two true road games at IUPUI and Illinois-Chicago. They've got more talent on their roster right now, but the defense has been very leaky as of late. Bradley has covered just eight of their last 27 road games. UALR was embarrassed at Bradley last year. Payback could be had. |
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12-04-18 | Detroit v. Dayton OVER 144 | 59-98 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
Detroit has covered seven straight since their opener. The Titans have struggled on the defensive end allowing 70 points in three straight and six of their eight contests overall. Antoine Davis is a very impressive player on this bad squad as he's been able to score with not a lot of help around him. The team has put up 70 or more in four of their last five and five contests overall. Dayton's offense has been atrocious as of late scoring less then 60 in their last three games against solid opponents. We had the over in Dayton's game against Fort Wayne and it went over easily. This team is capable of a lot more. They did hit the gates fast with easy blowouts over North Florida and Coppin State. Detroit has gone over in 42 of their last 66 games when the total is in the 140s. Dayton has gone over in 11 of their last 16 games against teams with a losing record. I think this one is an over. |
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12-03-18 | Troy State v. Florida State OVER 144 | 67-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Troy has lost four of their last six games. They've got a lot of talent for a Sun Belt team and an offense that has scored 75 or more four times this season. Jordon Varnado is one of four double digit scorers along with Alex Hicks and Javan Johnson. Florida State is 6-1 and has their typically deep team. Terence Mann and Mfiondu Kabengele are the two double digit scorers, but four others average seven per game or more. The Seminoles have a nice little sandwich with a trip to UConn next and a nice win over Purdue last time out. Florida State has faced LSU, Villanova and Purdue all in a row so pardon them if they aren't the most focused for this game. FSU has gone over in 20 of their last 32 home games. I think this one is an over. |
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12-02-18 | Oral Roberts v. SMU OVER 144 | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
SMU's offense is hot right now with three straight performances shooting 50% from the field or better. They have scored 70 or more in five of their last six contests. Jahmal McMurray, Ethan Chargois and Jimmy Whitt Jr are the team's pick three with several other guys contributing. It does concern me that they are one of the slowest teams in the country, but Oral Roberts shouldn't put up much resistance defensively. The Golden Eagles have allowed less then 70 points just twice all season. In true road games they've played games of 87-76, 85-65, 79-62 and 84-50 which were all losses. There's some decent talent here, but this one seems to be an over as I think SMU has a chance to hit 90. |
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12-01-18 | James Madison +11 v. Old Dominion | 42-67 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Old Dominion is a rather large favorite in this one despite being only 4-3 and averaging just 62.7 points per game. The Monarchs are feeling good after a huge comeback win over VCU, but the problems on the offensive end were still there for the first half. ODU's wins have come over the Rams, Navy, Kennesaw State and Northern Iowa. James Madison has been impressive this season especially on the offensive side. They already have wins at Charlotte and East Carolina to go with an eight point loss at Oakland. The Monarchs embarrassed them at their place last year so you know they'll be thinking about that. JMU is led by Stuckey Mosley, Darius Banks and Matt Lewis with several others chipping in on this somewhat deep team. ODU is only 3-3 against the spread the last three years as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. I think this is just a bit too many points |
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12-01-18 | North Dakota State v. Drake +1.5 | 88-95 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
Drake is 4-1 right now and they are in really good form entering this contest against North Dakota State in Minnesota's football stadium. The Bulldogs are coming off an 83-74 win over Boise State. The Bulldogs have great balance with six players averaging eight points per game or more. North Dakota State is 2-5 on the year with the wins coming over UCSB and Towson this season. When they lose though, they get crushed with four of the five losses being by double digits. The Bison don't really have one player they rely on, but are led by Tyson Ward. I like the balance of the MVC team to come out on top. |
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12-01-18 | Temple v. St. Joe's -2.5 | 77-70 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
This series has seen plenty of points the last two years with Temple winning 81-78 in 2017 and 78-72 in 2016. Temple's defense concerns me a little bit considering they allowed 77 at Missouri against a Tigers team that is woeful offensively. They also gave up 77 to Georgia, 67 to Detroit and Loyola Maryland. The offense could struggle a little bit with Rose and Alston having to carry the load. St. Joe's have a ton of offense scoring 78 or more in every game other then the UCF contest in which they scored 57. The Hawks don't play any defense either allowing 70 or more in their last four contests. I think the Hawks have some matchup issues for the road team in this one and are the way to go here. |
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12-01-18 | Butler v. St. Louis +3.5 | 52-64 | Win | 100 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
The Billikens are 5-1 to start the season as they host Butler on Saturday. St. Louis' best win is probably over Seton Hall. They are pretty strong on the defensive end and are led by Javon Bess, Tramaine Isabell and Jordan Goodwin. The team actually has some solid depth behind those guys as well. This will be Butler's first true road game of the season. They are 5-1 and have the potent duo of Kamar Baldwin and Paul Jorgensen. The team has wins over Ole Miss, Florida and Middle Tennessee already this season, but lost to Dayton. Butler has covered just eight of their last 21 road games. I think St. Louis is a very live dog at home. |
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12-01-18 | Tulsa v. Utah -6 | 64-69 | Loss | -123 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Tulsa has lost two of their last three entering this one against Utah on the road. The Golden Hurricane really have no wins over anyone of substance with them being double digit favorites in the majority of their contests. The two losses came to Nevada and Southern Illinois who were their two toughest opponents. The Golden Hurricane have some decent players, but I really don't think this is that good of a team overall. Utah is 3-3 on the season with their wins coming over Maine, Mississippi Valley State and Grand Canyon. We're getting the Utes at a lower price but their losses were to Minnesota, Hawaii and Northwestern. Sedrick Barefield and Donnie Tillman are the team's two best scorers, but they've also got six other guys who average between seven and nine points per game. Utah has been a good cover at home while Tulsa has struggled on the road. Give me the home team in this one. |
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12-01-18 | Texas State v. Texas-San Antonio OVER 139.5 | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
Texas State is 6-1 with wins over Air Force, Cal Poly and Portland. The Bobcats are one of the slower teams in the country, but they've struggled to set that pace away from home in two of their three road games. They played a 54-42 game against Cal Poly who is also methodical. The team lost 75-69 at Drake, but won 91-68 at Portland. The Bobcats are led by Nijal Pearson and Tre'Larenz Nottingham. UTSA has won two straight and is starting to play better with Jhivvan Jackson in the lineup. He makes a difference with Keaton Wallace and Nick Allen. The Roadrunners play with some pace as a team scoring 75 or more in three straight. The problem is on the defensive end where they've allowed 80 or more four times. Last year, this was a 79-78 game when the total was 129 in Texas State. I think this one goes over the lower total as Texas State won't be able to play as slow away from home. |
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12-01-18 | Western Carolina v. Furman -17 | 88-90 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
It's been quite the season so far for Furman as they have wins over Villanova and Loyola Chicago. The Paladins are beating up on the bad teams at home with wins by 52, 40 and 17 already against lower level competition. Their big three is Jordan Lyons, Matt Rafferty and Clay Mounce. The Catamounts are not a good team with losses by 23 at Wright State, 33 at SMU and by 31 at Jacksonville State. The wins have come at home over Hiwassee and Jacksonville. Furman has won the last three meetings by 24, 23 and 34. I think this one is a blowout too. |
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12-01-18 | Colorado State v. Colorado OVER 152 | 80-86 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
Colorado is smoking hot right now offensively scoring 93 in their last two victories over Air Force and Portland. The Buffaloes put up 100 in their victory over Drake. McKinley Wright IV, Lucas Siewert and Namon Wright are the team's top three scorers and each of them are shooting 50% or better from the field. Colorado State has lost three of their last four games because of a porous defense. They allowed 91 points to Lafayette, 82 to Southern Illinois and 78 to South Dakota State. The Rams have six players who score 10 points per game or more and aren't as deep as they'd like. CSU has gone over in 24 of their last 37 as an underdog. I think this rivalry game goes over too. |
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