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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-09-19 | Ball State v. Evansville OVER 144 | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Evansville will start their season on Saturday as they host Ball State who already has a game under their belt. The Purple Aces needed overtime in their lone exhibition to pick up a win 71-68. Walter McCarty lamented how disjointed they looked with a slower pace and poor shooting. McCarty wants to run and play faster. Last year the Purple Aces averaged around 70 possessions per game. Ball State played Evansville twice last year winning 82-72 at home, but losing 89-77 in the Ford Center. The Cardinals lone win came over Defiance of division three. KJ Walton, Tahjai Teague and Kyle Mallers led the way as the returnees from last year's squad. There will definitely be some sloppiness from the home team, but I think this one will be a higher scoring game on Saturday. |
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11-09-19 | Valparaiso v. St. Louis OVER 133 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
One of my easiest winners from early on was the over in the Valpo game as they knocked off Toledo 79-77. The Crusaders lost a ton of talent, but brought some intriguing players in and the offense started to come a little more. Ryan Fazekas had 23 points while Javon Freeman-Liberty got a late basket to get the win. Mileek McMillan was able to play 28 mins and was able to make his presence felt. They also allowed the Rockets to shoot nearly 50% from the court and that won't work against St. Louis who won their first game 89-67. The Billikens like to play bully ball and a physical brand of basketball. Hasahn French had 29 points in the victory over Florida Gulf Coast. SLU has the size advantage and the talent advantage, but I think Valpo can throw some offensive punches too. This is a really low total and I think it may be too low. Neither team particularly wants to run, but I think they will if given the chance. Give me the over here. |
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11-09-19 | Texas State v. Air Force -115 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
I think we are getting some good value here on Air Force because of their 89-79 loss to Idaho State at home. If you dip into their box-score, the Falcons still managed to shoot just under 52% from the court while allowing Terik Cool to put up 41 points. You know that they are going to have a rough couple of days of practice after their poor shooting effort from long range. This is a group that returned all of their starters so I expect them to be a lot more focused for game two against Texas State. The Bobcats beat Texas Lutheran 103-45 in their first game. Nijal Pearson looked good and is one of the main threats for the Bobcats. I like the home team here though. I think we get a real focused effort from Air Force. AFA is 16-8 against the spread at home the last three years. |
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11-08-19 | North Texas +16 v. VCU | 56-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
North Texas returns three starters and are led by guard Umoja Gibson and Roosevelt Smart. It's a pretty solid backcourt who can shoot although Smart last year struggled at times. Zachary Simmons is the third returning starter and he's the beef in the paint at 6'10. Deng Geu comes over from North Dakota State along with several other weapons. Thomas Bell scored 16 points in a 79-40 win over Oklahoma Christian. VCU's 1-0 with a 72-58 win over St. Francis on Tuesday night. Marcus Santos-Silva, De'Riante Jenkins and Marcus Evans are their big three scorers. The team is deep and presses the majority of the game which is scary, but this is so many points with a lower total. The Rams haven't been a great home favorite of 12.5 points or more covering just once in this situation over their last three years. Their offense has these stretches where they go cold hence why this total is lower. Give me the Mean Green in this one to make things close. |
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11-08-19 | Coppin State +24 v. Virginia Tech | 42-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Coppin State is playing their second game of the season as they travel to Blacksburg to take on the Hokies. The Eagles lost 91-84 at Rider earlier this week and were able to flash an offense that's not too bad despite losing some talent from last year. CSU played very little defense which is a concern especially since they blew a 7 point halftime lead. They had three double digit scorers and weren't out-rebounded too poorly. Virginia Tech is coming off a big win in Clemson, but there's still a lot of question marks. Other then Landers Nolley, they don't have a ton of consistent scorers. The Hokies are an ACC team in name, but talent levels aren't that high there. We could see a little bit of a hangover after the conference win and also an unfinished product. They need to find a second scorer as Nolley put up 30 of their 67 in Clemson last time out. I think this is just too many points for a team that is still learning about themselves. |
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11-08-19 | Illinois-Chicago v. Memphis -18 | 46-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Illinois Chicago needed a three point play late in order to beat NAIA opponent Olivet Nazarene 75-72 last time out. This team returned the bulk of their scoring and minutes from last year, but it clearly didn't help in game one. Their star Tarkus Ferguson was suspended for the game with no word on if it'll be extended. Also, star guard Marcus Ottey is out with a foot injury according to one of their beat reporters. Without those two Godwin Boahen had to take over. I'm guessing Ferguson comes back, but against Memphis that's not going to be enough. The Tigers are going to steamroll bad teams at home this season. They beat South Carolina State 97-64 with James Wiseman leading the way with 28 points and 11 rebounds in 22 minutes. They started all five of their fab freshmen with Precious Achiuwa adding 14 points and eight rebounds. Their balance and depth is going to wear teams down. I think the Tigers roll here especially if Ferguson and/or Ottey are out once again. |
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11-08-19 | Akron +12 v. West Virginia | 84-94 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Akron has a game under their belt with a win over Malone 81-64 already this season. In that game they had five double digit scorers led by Xeyrius Williams who came over from Dayton. He had 17 points and nine rebounds. Also chipping in were Tyler Cheese, Camron Reece and Cristian Jackson. This team had a rough year on the road last year, but there's not a lot to like about West Virginia right now. Last Friday the Mountaineers beat Duquesne 78-70, but after the game Bob Huggins was not thrilled with the offense or his trademark defense. This is a very young squad that lost a lot of talent from last year and will be relying on role players and a really good freshman Oscar Tshiebwe who had a double-double against the Dukes. I think the Zips are a live dog in this one. |
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11-07-19 | Kennesaw State v. Drake OVER 146.5 | 55-86 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Drake has three starters back from a team that went 24-10 last year. The Bulldogs went 9-3 in non-conference play, averaging 78.1 points per game. Granted they are without Nick McGlynn and Brady Ellingson. They want to play with some pace to their offense. This team beat Upper Iowa in an exhibition game 95-88. Drake shot over 50% in that game and was without Tremell Murphy who will be suspended early on in the season. Kennesaw State lost at Creighton on Tuesday 81-55 as the Blue Jays shot over 50% from the court. In one respect, the Owls get a game under their belts so they should play a little bit better. On the other hand, it's a quick turnaround with some travel involved. This team is on their 5th head coach in 10 years. They've got two top scorers in Tyler Hooker and Danny Lewis. I think this one sees some points on Thursday. |
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11-06-19 | McNeese State v. Western Michigan OVER 145 | 65-75 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Western Michigan will be an intriguing team in the MAC this season. They return 61.3% of their scoring from last year which is the second highest percentage in the MAC West. They also get Brandon Johnson and Jason Whitens back who were both sidelined due to injury last season. Bring those guys together with Michael Flowers who had 12 20 point performances last year and you've got the makings of a solid offense. They beat Kalamazoo College 76-56 in their lone exhibition contest. On the other side, it's McNeese State who returns just four players with two of those being starters. The other key contributor is AJ Lawson who sat out after transferring from North Texas. Last year the Cowboys went 2-14 on the road. In non-conference action they allowed 87, 80, 91, 67, 90, 80 and 68. Their offense should be just a bit more improved with Lawson running things. I think this one should go over the total. |
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11-05-19 | Texas-San Antonio +13.5 v. Oklahoma | 67-85 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
The Roadrunners were one of my favorite teams to bet on in college basketball last year and it's because of Jhivvan Jackson and Keaton Wallace who are part of a really silky smooth backcourt. Wallace is a very good shooter while Jackson is the slasher. This year they've got some help in Knox Hellums who comes over from Pepperdine. The forward group isn't the best, but also watch out for Makani Whiteside who is an intriguing freshman. UTSA is 34-22-1 against the spread the last three seasons. Oklahoma will be without Kristian Doolittle who is one of the three starters back. He's out for the opener due to NCAA violations. That puts a little more on Jamal Bieniemy and Brady Manek as well as a host of young talented players. Oklahoma is only 20-20 against the spread the last three seasons as a favorite. You'll be seeing Meep Meep on my card quite a bit I think. |
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11-05-19 | North Dakota State +12 v. Kansas State | 54-67 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
The potential Summit League champs head to Manhattan Kansas to take on Kansas State on Tuesday. North Dakota State returns all five starters from last year's team as they bring a whole lot of shooting as evidenced by a 104-63 win against an NAIA team in an exhibition game. Vinnie Shahid and Tyson Ward are a really good backcourt and are part of a squad that was top 20 for the fewest turnovers and fouls last year. Kansas State is without Barry Brown, Kamau Stokes and Dean Wade who all graduated. That means more on Xavier Sneed and Makol Mawien who are the veterans along with a whole host of freshmen. The Wildcats will be without some depth pieces in James Love III and Nigel Shadd who are injured. Guard Shaun Williams is also suspended for this one. I just think it's a lot of points for a team that is still working the kinks out. KSU is 14-15 against the spread at home the last three seasons. |
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11-05-19 | Tennessee Tech v. Western Kentucky -19 | 64-76 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
The Hilltoppers return 75.2% of their scoring, 64.1% of their rebounding and all four of their leading scorers from last year. Charles Bassey is amazing with Taveion Hollingsworth, Jared Savage and Josh Anderson all double digit returners. They've also added Carson Williams from Northern Kentucky and Camron Justice from IUPUI as well as Kenny Cooper from Lipscomb. There's a lot of talent here on this roster although Cooper is still waiting to hear from the NCAA regarding his waiver. Tennessee Tech is going to be brutal in the OVC. John Pelphrey takes over as head coach and has to fix the worst offense in the conference. This team lost their non-conference road games by 15, 14, 50, 68, 11, 5 and 43. They have seven newcomers and three redshirt freshmen so growing pains are expected. Tech is 12-19 against the spread in their last 31 on the road. WKU is 44-26 against the spread the last three seasons overall. Give me the home team in a rout in this one. |
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11-05-19 | Bradley v. St. Joe's OVER 143 | 81-86 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
Bradley is going to play a lot faster than they did last year. They had 23 fast-break points and 43 points in fewer then 10 seconds in their exhibition win over Millikin 91-52. Last year they averaged 17.9 second possessions according to Ken Pomeroy. Bradley is led by Darrell Brown, Elijah Childs and Nate Kennell who were the top three scorers last year. Ja'Shon Henry is going to be a glue guy attempting to replace the departed guys along with LSU transfer Danya Kingsby. St. Joe's is a really fast team themselves so this one should see plenty of possessions and opportunities. Taylor Funk and Ryan Daly are the building blocks for a Hawks team that lost a lot of talent this offseason. In their exhibition game, they beat Arcadia 100-61. This team is going to struggle at times to score, but their lack of defense will help as well. Give me the over here. |
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11-05-19 | UMass Lowell +6 v. Massachusetts | 64-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
UMass Lowell led the America East conference in scoring last year putting up nearly 77 per contest. They were led by Christian Lutete who put up nearly 20 per game and got help from Obadiah Noel who was another double digit scorer. They need to fix the defense though because they allowed over 75 points per contest. UMass has seven freshmen which is more then the last two seasons combined. Matt McCall is going to have his Minutemen press, but after last week's exhibition, the coaching staff called it "awful" making that the focus of practice. Holloway and Luwane Pipkins are gone from this team which means Carl Pierre and Keon Clergeot have to do more. I just think the road team is the better squad right now and I can't imagine there's much of a homecourt here. |
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11-05-19 | North Florida v. Florida OVER 145.5 | 59-74 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
UNF returns all five starters and are one of a few teams that have an all senior starting lineup. The Ospreys want to bomb away from long range and play a helter skelter type of game. Last year against it's better opponents, UNF lost 78-70 to Dayton, 87-72 to Penn State and 98-66 to these same Gators. Other contests included losses to FSU 95-81 and 95-49 to Auburn. The Gators have put up 90 or more in all but two of the matchups between these two schools. Florida has a lot of expectations with them being ranked sixth in the polls. In their lone exhibition they beat Lynn 89-71 with a bunch of guys putting up double digits. The starting lineup features former Hokie Kerry Blackshear as well as freshman Tre Mann to go with Andrew Nembhard and Noah Locke. It is a concern how well this team played defense at home in non-conference games last year, but that was a more veteran bunch. I think we see a boatload of points and go over the total. |
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10-23-19 | Cavs v. Magic OVER 213.5 | 85-94 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The Cavaliers are going to be one of the worst teams in the league and it's going to show on the defensive side of the ball. This is a team that allowed 109, 118 and 118 in their three preseason games against NBA teams. They did beat San Lorenzo 120-89, but this is a squad that may have a rookie point guard and just doesn't have a ton of talent. There is some hype for the Magic this year as they could be a playoff team. They went 3-3 in the preseason showing a propensity to score at times, but also be terrible on defense. The last three contests they allowed 100, 126 and 107 points. Last year these two played scores of 102-100, 107-93 and 120-91. I think the over hits in this one. |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors -1.5 | 106-105 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
I think this line movement is ridiculous. The line plunged a few points because Kevin Durant may have practiced behind closed doors? I think that's nuts. Who knows how effective he will be and how much the offense will change with him in there. With Durant in the lineup, the team too often ran isolation plays for him which hurt Curry and Thompson who rely more on passing the ball around to get open. Toronto's in a zone right now and with a crowd ready to celebrate, I think we see the temporary end of the Warriors dynasty. They just don't have enough now even with a 50% KD. |
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04-15-19 | Nets +7.5 v. 76ers | 123-145 | Loss | -103 | 45 h 59 m | Show | |
I don't bet the NBA often, but I don't get this line. Brooklyn is a terrible matchup for the Sixers and Brett Brown is a terrible basketball coach. The Nets spread Philly out and had their way at the rim. Brooklyn has no problem letting Joel Embiid go nuts because they can lock down the others. Ben Simmons was non-existent in game one, but does he have the tools to suddenly change that. The Nets are letting him shoot jumpers which he won't do. Go back to the regular season and you'll remember that the Nets should have beaten the Sixers in Brooklyn if not for a buzzer beating three by Jimmy Butler. Yes, Brooklyn could be happy with one win in game one heading home, but they are the better team here. The longer Brett Brown uses JJ Redick, the more the Nets will expose him on defense. It was a disappointment for him, Tobias Harris and Simmons. I think Harris could play better, but Jimmy Butler may take a step back. Coach Atkinson will have his boys ready for this one. Give me the underdog. |
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04-09-19 | Knicks v. Bulls OVER 216.5 | 96-86 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm going to dip my toes into the NBA as they play their final two days. The Bulls and Knicks are two teams with nothing to play for and would rather the other team win. These two played on April 1st in New York with the Knicks winning 113-105. The halftime score was 64-47. The Bulls have lost six of their last seven and have struggled offensively considering their long list of injuries. They are without Otto Porter, Zach LaVine, Kris Dunn and Lauri Markkanen. Still, there's some decent talent and once again the Knicks have nothing to play for either. New York has allowed 110 points or more in three straight and nine of their last 11. They really are going hard on this not trying thing. To me, I think this one is played with some pace and I think we'll see plenty of points. Mind you, this is my first bet in the NBA, but it's something I saw and thing is worth a look. |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia -1 | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
I've got several UVA to win the title futures tickets and here we are in the title game. The Wahoos have been living a charmed life right now with the win over Auburn because of a foul call with 0.6 seconds left in which Kyle Guy hit all his free throws. They beat Purdue because of a late bucket to send the game into overtime and they got by Oregon in close fashion as well. This team was an actual roller coaster on Saturday night as they locked down defensively and built a big lead only to go into a big shell and cough it up. It's the highs and lows with having one of the slowest paced teams in the nation. Ty Jerome was the leading scorer and went from hero to goat to lucky in the span of 40 minutes. There's no denying the defensive aspect of this team and they don't let you do what you want to do. Auburn shot 29% from long range and couldn't get their fast break game going. The offense struggles at times with trying to get a shot as the shot clock runs down but they still have three options to go to. Texas Tech's defense is on par if not better then UVA's in a lot of areas. They held the Michigan schools to 51 and 44 points apiece in this tournament. Sparty shot 31.9% from the court and couldn't get much done offensively. My question for the Red Raiders is if their offense is good enough to get a lot going against the Cavaliers. They only scored 61 vs. Sparty and 63 vs. Michigan. With the total the way it is, that may be all they need. Jarrett Culver had a horrendous game Saturday and they still won easily. Matt Mooney and Davide Moretti have shot the ball well, but that's something the Cavs can take away. The coaching matchup is a fascinating one here because each side has a little bit of a style that's hard to prepare for in such a short time. They also have a few similarities in how they run their offense and defense. In a game like this though, I have to go with the known commodities and that's Ty Jerome, Kyle Guy and DeAndre Hunter. I have faith that when the Hoos need a bucket, one of them will be able to get it. Texas Tech has had a great season, but is Culver going to get a basket in crunch time. Can they run plays for someone else? Give me the Cavaliers to win this one. |
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04-06-19 | Auburn v. Virginia -5.5 | 62-63 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
So I've gone back and forth tremendously on this game as it's a fascinating study of a team that wants to play really slow and someone who wants to play really fast. People will look at UVA's last seven games and see that they've covered three times including one miracle against Purdue and use it against them. The Hoos are a tough team to back at times because of their pace and methodical nature on offense. Possessions get fewer and fewer and if the Cavs aren't hitting their shots, then things get tight. Purdue was winning a lot of the contest because of unreal shooting by Carsen Edwards and really nothing else. Ryan Cline hit two threes in the first six minutes and then was non-existent the rest of the game. The best thing to happen in the last game was Kyle Guy found his stroke and that really helped. Also, they scored 80 points with a disconnected DeAndre Hunter who figures to play better in this one. You look at teams who want to play faster and you just can't do it for the most part against the Hoos. UNC lost 69-61 at home to this team and if you go back farther they beat Marshall 100-64.  On the other side, you've got Auburn who arguably shouldn't have been here with the way New Mexico State played at the end of the Round of 64 game. They then ran through Kansas, UNC and Kentucky. The Kentucky game was interesting because the Wildcats didn't let them run and it was a 60-60 game at the end of regulation. The Tigers also shot very poorly from long range because UK focused in on that. If Chuma Okeke was playing in this one, then my thoughts would be completely different. Without him, I just think Auburn is going to have to decide if they want to let UVA beat them with jumpers or post play inside with the likes of Diakite. Now, Brown and Harper are both very capable of having Edwards-like efforts, but Kihei Clark will probably see a lot of Harper. He's played some underrated defense. The Tigers need more from the likes of Purifoy and Doughty if they hope to win. They can't just have Brown and Harper go nuts and expect to win.  I really just think that UVA gets whatever they want offensively. The Tigers allowed 70 or more to all four of their tourney opponents which probably included some garbage time in the bigger wins. Still, I'm smelling a 71-61 type game I think. Auburn is a great story, but UVA is a better one. The Cavaliers flex their muscles and win this one without much of a sweat.Â
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04-02-19 | Texas v. TCU -1 | 58-44 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas heads to Madison Square Garden to prevent being swept by the Horned Frogs of TCU. The Longhorns have single digit home wins over South Dakota State and Xavier already this tournament which came before a 13 point win over Colorado. The Horned Frogs have convincing double digit wins over Sam Houston State, Nebraska and Creighton in this tournament. The offense has worked and the defense has been just good enough. TCU has two wins over Texas this season. They beat them 65-61 at home back in January in a game that saw both teams shoot poorly with the home team making eight more FTs and pick up six more offensive rebounds. TCU won on the road on March 9th 69-56 in a game that saw them shoot well from the court and out-rebound the Longhorns 35-24. Texas is playing without Jaxson Hayes in the middle. That should help the likes of Kouat Noi and JD Miller as well as Kevin Samuel. Kerwin Roach has been playing well this postseason and will need to get more from Dylan Osetkowski inside. It seems really easy to back the Frogs in this one so I'll bite on the trap and take them. |
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03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky OVER 140.5 | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Kentucky has two wins over Auburn from the regular season 82-80 on the road and 80-53 in Kentucky. The Wildcats shot over 50% in each of the matchups and held Auburn to just 21 three pointers in 57 attempts. They crushed them on the boards and that trend should continue with PJ Washington healthy and Chuma Okeke being out. Okeke was one of the better players on the Tigers team and he's one of their best presences inside. Expect UK to pound it inside time and time again in this one. The Wildcats defense has held Houston, Wofford and Abilene Christian to 60 points or less this tournament. They've had some issues though guarding the long range three at times this season and there's no one doing it right now better then Auburn. The Tigers ran Kansas out of the gym and UNC as well who couldn't keep up with the athleticism. Auburn has gone over in four straight and eight of their last 11. The Tigers have scored 97, 89, 78 and 84 over their last four games against tournament level teams. They've struggled a little on the defensive end too. I think Bruce Pearl will have his guys up after the injury last game. They've also got Wiley and Purifoy who can step in. I think this one is an over. |
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03-30-19 | Purdue v. Virginia -4 | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
I think UVA is playing with fire a bit so far in the tournament as they struggled to beat Oregon last time out. Kyle Guy continues to be in a slump and I'm not exactly ready to trust the likes of Diakite and Clark to pick up the scoring slack consistently. Still, Hunter and Jerome are playing well right now so I'm not worried a ton about their offense. UVA's defense continues to be on point as they held down Oregon the last five minutes of the game. On the opposite side you have a Purdue team who decimated a Tennessee defense to the tune of over 90 points last round. The Boilers beat Villanova by 26 and ODU by 13 so far in the tourney. They go as Carsen Edwards goes and Ryan Cline had a monstrous effort last time out. I just don't think Cline will find that many open looks against this defense and I don't know how effective Matt Haarms will be. UVA is due a blowout and I think it could be here as they make their first Final Four under Tony Bennett. |
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03-29-19 | Auburn v. North Carolina OVER 164.5 | 97-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
North Carolina is averaging 86 points per game this season and is absolutely steamrolling teams at a pretty absurd pace as of late. The Tar Heels beat Washington 81-59 after running through Iona 88-73. The Heels have scored 80 or more 22 times already this season and have an offense that comes at you in waves. Even after a made basket, they are fastbreaking in your direction. Auburn has gone over in three straight and five of their last seven. They have scored 80 or more 19 times this season including putting up 89 on Kansas last time out. Their defense has given up 75 to those Jayhawks and 77 to New Mexico State so I wonder if they'll be able to slow down the Heels. We'll know early if this hits considering Auburn's propensity to shoot a ton of three pointers. To me, even if Auburn isn't hitting, the pace will be very conducive to a ton of points. |
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03-29-19 | CS Bakersfield v. Green Bay -6 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Dropping down a few levels in March Madness we have Bakersfield and Green Bay. The Roadrunners have road wins at Southern Utah and Fullerton so far this tournament and have not played a true home game since February 23rd when they hosted California Baptist. This is a team that prides itself on slowing the game down and trying to clamp down defensively. Their offense is pretty bad as a unit shooting less then 40% in four of their last five contests. Jarkel Joiner is the leading scorer but he's had a few rough games as of late as he's just not getting a ton of help. Green Bay has a road win at ETSU and then they steamrolled FIU 98-68 last time out. This team is in great form especially at home where they've scored 98, 82, 82 and 82 in their last four contests. This team's defense leaves a lot to be desired, but the offense is going to be tough to stop of slow down. Sandy Cohen III and JayQuan McCloud are going to be a handful along with Kameron Hankerson in this one. I think the home team is definitely worth a look in this one. |
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03-28-19 | Texas Tech +2 v. Michigan | 63-44 | Win | 100 | 37 h 50 m | Show | |
These are two of the best defenses in the country so every possession will be at a premium. The Wolverines last three losses all came to Michigan State after blowing leads in all three. They've been very impressive against Florida and Montana so far in this tournament and have done it with defense and an offense that has just done enough. I'm not a huge fan of the Michigan offense which has struggled at times with consistency. The Red Raiders have the size to keep up with the likes of Jon Teske. Texas Tech had one of the most impressive wins beating a very good Buffalo team 78-58 last time out. Their last loss came to West Virginia with one of the others being at Kansas. The key is Jarrett Culver has to stay out of foul trouble. I think some people will lean to Michigan considering how good the Big 10 is doing but I don't. I think the underdog is worth a look in this one. |
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03-28-19 | Florida State +7.5 v. Gonzaga | 58-72 | Loss | -102 | 34 h 60 m | Show | |
The Seminoles see Gonzaga once again in the tournament. FSU dispatched a favored Gonzaga last year 75-60 in a game that saw FSU hold the Zags to just 33.9% shooting and just five three's in 20 attempts. In some ways these two teams are pretty much the same again this year. The Seminoles come at you in waves with athletes, size and talent. Their best player comes off the bench and takes care of business when they need to. They needed a half to figure out Vermont before destroying Murray State 90-62 in the round of 32. FSU's losses have come to Duke and UNC the last two months which there is no shame in. My problem is that the long range shooting could get sketchy, but if someone is cold, they can bring someone else in. Gonzaga is usually able to come in and overwhelm teams with their depth and talent which won't be the case here. They lost to St. Mary's in the WCC title game and have wins over Fairleigh Dickinson and Baylor in the NCAA Tourney. This team tested itself in the non-conference with Tennessee, Washington and UNC back-to-back and also played Duke as well. Gonzaga's defense has been very hot and cold, but a lot of their numbers came against the lesser WCC opponents. I just think the over and the Seminoles are worth a look here. |
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03-28-19 | Florida State v. Gonzaga OVER 146.5 | 58-72 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 59 m | Show | |
The Seminoles see Gonzaga once again in the tournament. FSU dispatched a favored Gonzaga last year 75-60 in a game that saw FSU hold the Zags to just 33.9% shooting and just five three's in 20 attempts. In some ways these two teams are pretty much the same again this year. The Seminoles come at you in waves with athletes, size and talent. Their best player comes off the bench and takes care of business when they need to. They needed a half to figure out Vermont before destroying Murray State 90-62 in the round of 32. FSU's losses have come to Duke and UNC the last two months which there is no shame in. My problem is that the long range shooting could get sketchy, but if someone is cold, they can bring someone else in. Gonzaga is usually able to come in and overwhelm teams with their depth and talent which won't be the case here. They lost to St. Mary's in the WCC title game and have wins over Fairleigh Dickinson and Baylor in the NCAA Tourney. This team tested itself in the non-conference with Tennessee, Washington and UNC back-to-back and also played Duke as well. Gonzaga's defense has been very hot and cold, but a lot of their numbers came against the lesser WCC opponents. I just think the over and the Seminoles are worth a look here. |
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03-24-19 | Cal-Irvine +5 v. Oregon | 54-73 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
UC Irvine is 31-5 and is coming off a 70-64 win over Kansas State in round one. The Anteaters defense has been on point for a lot of this season and they've got a deep offense that has a boatload of players who average six points per game or more. Irvine won't be intimidated by playing Oregon either. This is going to be a lower scoring game so getting 2-3 possessions sounds pretty good to me. Oregon is also playing good defense, but part of me still doesn't necessarily believe in them. They picked up a solid win over Wisconsin 72-54 last time out. I'm going with the underdog in this one as I just think the Anteaters might be the better team. |
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03-23-19 | Murray State v. Florida State OVER 144 | 62-90 | Win | 100 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
Murray State announced their presence in this tourney on Thursday when they throttled Marquette 83-64. They shot 53.6% from the court in the win and shut down a good Marquette offense. That makes their streak of scoring 75 or more to four straight and seven of their last eight. This team's defense has played well but I think they'll struggle a bit with the more athletic Florida State. The Seminoles beat Vermont 76-69 last time out as they struggled to stop the Catamounts long range attack. At times this season, that has been an issue. Their offense has hit a but of a lull, but I think both teams will be able to score. Give me the over in this one. |
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03-23-19 | Florida +6.5 v. Michigan | 49-64 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
Michigan is coming off a 74-55 win over Montana last time out. The Wolverines and Gators are going to play a lower scoring game considering the total. Their defense has held four straight opponents to under 70 points. Florida has won three of their last four and have an offense that you'll have to hold your nose with. They have the requisite size to keep things interesting and once again with a low total, I don't mind getting a team plus 2-3 possessions. I think this is just a bit too high even though the Big 10 is smoking hot in the tourney. |
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03-23-19 | Wofford v. Kentucky OVER 138.5 | 56-62 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Kentucky is coming off a 79-44 pasting of Abilene Christian and take a step up in competition. The Wildcats offense is coming together as they have scored 70 or more in three straight and four of their last five. UK's defense has been susceptible to teams who can shoot well from long range. They got torched from long range by Tennessee in the SEC tourney. Wofford beat Seton Hall 84-68 in their first game and have gone over in four of their last five. The Terriers have a coldly efficient offense that gets a lot of what they want. I think their defense could struggle though. Give me the over in this one. |
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03-21-19 | Old Dominion +13 v. Purdue | 48-61 | Push | 0 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
The Monarchs are a great story after winning the C-USA in such close fashion multiple times. This team goes as Ahmad Caver and BJ Stith goes as they are the bulk of their offense. They have several big guys to throw in the middle at Matt Haarms so that'll be a help on the boards. Plus, this team plays pretty good defense so with a total this low, I like getting 5 or 6 possessions potentially. Purdue went only 16-15 against the spread this season and they go as Carsen Edwards goes although they have more complementary pieces then ODU. These two played back in 2015 in Connecticut with the Boilers winning 61-39. As a favorite, this year's team has covered just 14 of their 27 contests. I think this is a bit too many points. |
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03-21-19 | Seton Hall v. Wofford OVER 144 | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
Seton Hall has won four of their last five and was really on display in the Big East tournament playing three games in three days. The Pirates have had some issues on defense giving up 70 or more to eight of their lst 10 opponents. Myles Powell is one of the best scorers in the country and he's smoking hot right now. He's been the team's leading scorer in seven straight. I really wonder if this team loses a little steam after the run in the tournament. Sometimes you see the squads who make runs slow down a bit. I think if that does happen, it'll be on the defensive side. Wofford is a slower paced team yet they've scored 70 or more in 14 straight games. Fletcher Magee is one of the best shooters in the country and he's got a lot of help from Nathan Hoover who also can shoot from long range. This team's defense has been very hot and cold and hasn't seen a player like Powell in awhile. I think this is a close game which means maybe free throw shooting comes into play. Give me the over in this one. |
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03-21-19 | Belmont +3.5 v. Maryland | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
I said I wanted to fade Maryland in the tourney and I feel very happy to get Belmont to do that. Belmont is one of the most efficient offenses in the country and they have some decent size inside to frustrate Bruno Fernando. Dylan Windler didn't do much against Temple, but the Bruins still managed to get a lot done. Maryland has lost three of four and four of their last seven because their offense is not very good. This is a young team in certain spots and I think they'll struggle with a more veteran Belmont team. Belmont's got some tourney experience under their belt and I think they can win this one outright. |
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03-21-19 | New Mexico State v. Auburn OVER 145.5 | 77-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Auburn enters this one having won eight in a row because of their offense which is humming right now. The Tigers want to play fast and to make things chaotic for their opponents. They've even started to play a little defense as well although two of those efforts came against Florida and South Carolina. New Mexico State's offense has been very good although against lesser competition. They've scored 70 or more in eight straight and nine of their last 10. They probably won't do that again, but this means they can keep up a bit with Auburn. These guys nearly beat Kansas on a neutral court back in December and struggled at home against St. Mary's. This is a bit of a concern, but things have gotten a lot better for them. Give me the over. |
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03-20-19 | Harvard v. Georgetown OVER 152 | 71-68 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
Harvard has to get over losing in the title game to Yale last week as they travel to Georgetown to take on the Hoyas. This is a Crimson team that has gone over in seven of their last eight road contests. They've struggled defensively allowing 81 at Columbia, 86 at Yale, 88 at Brown and 81 at Dartmouth. These offenses aren't as good as Georgetown who regularly scores. Bryce Aiken is really good scoring 22.6 points per game and he's got help in Noah Kirkwood and Chris Lewis. The Hoyas have a lot to learn on the defensive side of the ball. Case in point, they allowed 84 at Marquette and 101 at DePaul in their final two regular season games. This is a team that regularly puts up 80 or more because of their pace and their varied stars. Jesse Govan patrols the middle with Akinjo being among the guards that help around the outside. I think these teams will enjoy playing with the new rules that I think will bring about a little more scoring. Give me the over in this one. |
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03-20-19 | Stony Brook +6.5 v. South Florida | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Stony Brook hits the road to take on South Florida in one of the lesser tournaments. The Seawolves enter this one having won seven of their last ten and they already have road wins out of conference at GW, South Carolina, Norfolk State and Rhode Island. Akwasi Yeboah is the leading scorer at 16.6 points per contest with four other guys chipping in at least nine points per contest. South Florida has been leaking oil for quite awhile losing seven of their last eight with three of those coming at home against SMU, UCF and Temple. They are a very young team with a bright future, but I think they could be tiring. This won't be much of a homecourt advantage as they don't get great attendance. I think the road team is definitely worth a look. |
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03-20-19 | Green Bay v. East Tennessee State OVER 155.5 | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
This is the type of game that should be an over in a meaningless postseason tourney. ETSU has gone over in 10 of 12 lined home games this season and 27 of their last 37 at home overall. They are 13-2 at home and are averaging nearly 86 points per game at home. This team has a lot of offensive weapons and plays decent defense from time to time as well. Green Bay is averaging 80.4 points per game total and allow almost 84 points per contest on the road. I think this one is played at a nice plays and if the new rules apply here, then I see plenty of points in this contest. |
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03-19-19 | South Dakota State +9.5 v. Texas | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Texas has lost three straight and five of their last six. Their offense was dreadful down the stretch and their defense just wasn't good enough either. This team scored 57 vs. Kansas, 56 vs. TCU and 51 at Texas Tech. They will be without Jaxson Hayes who patrols the middle due to a knee injury. Hayes was a presence on both sides of the court. I'm not quite sure how motivated this team will be to play in the NIT. Shaka Smart is trying to get them hype, but it's easier said then done. South Dakota State is probably foaming at the mouth for this matchup after losing in the first round to Western Illinois. Mike Daum and David Jenkins are a potent duo. This team has lost by eight at Memphis, by 4 at Nevada and by 6 really early in the year at Florida Gulf Coast. This is a great opportunity for Daum to continue to add to his illustrious career. Take the dog in this one. |
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03-19-19 | Wright State +15 v. Clemson | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Wright State is one of those teams that loves to play a lower scoring ugly defensive affair which is what I think they'll get on Tuesday in Clemson. Loudon Love is the center while Billy Wampler and Cole Gentry are the other scoring options. Let's be clear, this isn't a great offensive team, but they lost by four at Northern Kentucky, by seven at Kent State and by four at Mississippi State. They like to keep their games in the 60s and they are ecstatic for this opportunity. You can't say the same for Clemson who is having questions about the NET and why they weren't closer to making the NCAA Tournament. Clemson has only themselves to blame for not making the tourney. They lost by two at home late against UNC and lost by one at Louisville and Miami in back-to-back contests. The Tigers have a veteran team, but who knows how pumped they are for a game like this. I think this is a rather large number for a game that will be played in the 60s. Wright State isn't great, but I think they can make things interesting. |
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03-17-19 | Auburn v. Tennessee OVER 143.5 | 84-64 | Win | 100 | 1 h 25 m | Show | |
Auburn has won seven in a row entering this one against Tennessee. One of those victories came at home against these Vols 84-80 to close out the regular season. The Tigers want to get up and down and they've shown some better defense, but that was against Florida and South Carolina who can't score. Now they get Tennessee and their many weapons fresh off their Super Bowl win over Kentucky. That game had so much hype that I wonder if Tennessee comes out flat here. I think the Tigers could take advantage of that on the offensive end which is why I like the over. Tennessee has allowed 78, 76, 84 over their last three games. Title games are usually played a little tighter so the overs are tricky here but I think we see plenty of points in this one. |
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03-16-19 | Western Kentucky +100 v. Old Dominion | 56-62 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
It's meeting number three between ODU and WKU on Saturday. The Monarchs have wins by 69-66 and 67-63 at home in the previous two meetings. The first one saw the Toppers blow a huge lead that was over 20 points at one point. The second game saw ODU shoot just 39.7% from the court, but they got 16 offensive rebounds. ODU has been living on a prayer the last two nights needing late baskets to move on. Western Kentucky has had it a little easier with their wins. The Toppers have more talent, but getting them to be consistent is a whole different story. Meanwhile, BJ Stith is struggling shooting the ball for ODU. I think that magic runs out for ODU. Western Kentucky takes down the title. |
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03-16-19 | Iowa State v. Kansas OVER 143.5 | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Iowa State has gone over in five of their last six entering this one against Kansas. These two had their meetings way back in almost a 2.5 week span in January with ISU winning 77-60 at home and losing 80-76 on the road. On a pure talent basis, few teams can match Iowa State's starting five and they want to get out and run when they can. Their offense has been clicking as of late. Kansas has gone over in five of seven and nine of their last 12 as their offense and defense have taken turns doing what they can to help. The offense put up 88 on West Virginia last time out and has scored 70 or more in seven of their last 12. The defense has also had it's issues from time to time. It's a championship game so if it's tight there will be plenty of fouling in the end. I think this over is worth a look. |
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03-16-19 | St. Louis v. Davidson -2 | 67-44 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
St. Louis is making a fantastic run through the A-10 tournament but it ends on Saturday. The Billikens lost at home to Davidson 54-53 under two months ago in a game where neither team shot well, and SLU crushed them on the boards. St. Louis' formula is to shoot poorly but get the rebound and crush you inside. Davidson's defense won't allow that it seems and if their offense gets going, then I don't think SLU has enough to keep up. St. Louis has been able to beat the smaller Richmond and the greener Dayton team. Davidson is the more veteran squad and has the guys inside to bang around. Give me the team who can shoot straight to win this one. |
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03-16-19 | Memphis +8.5 v. Houston | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
I'll take the points with the home team in this one. Memphis lost 90-77 back on January 6th at Houston in a game that saw both teams go nuts offensively. Memphis had 17 turnovers while the Cougars had 18 offensive rebounds. The Tigers are a different team at home and Jeremiah Martin is a special scorer who is really hot right now. Houston's defense has clamped down a bit as of late holding UConn and Cincy to under 70 points. It'll be hard for Memphis to score, but it's also rare to get this money points with a home team in a conference tournament. |
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03-16-19 | Rhode Island +2 v. St Bonaventure | 51-68 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
I want to back the Rams once again as I keep saying that I think they are finally hitting their potential. Yes, the injury by Marcus Evans was a huge help, but URI got very little from Fatts Russell and Cyril Langevine. With those two picking up the production and Jeff Dowtin continuing to be awesome, I like their chances to advance again. Rhody beat the Bonnies 75-63 back in January in a game that saw them shoot over 50% from the court. The Bonnies are uber young and I just think they will get a little frustrated in this one. Put Rhode Island in the title game. |
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03-16-19 | CS-Fullerton v. UC-Santa Barbara OVER 139 | 64-58 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
These two teams split their two meetings during the regular season. Fullerton won at home 81-60, but lost on the road 82-67. In each game the two teams took turns figuring out the offensive side, but struggled on the defensive side. There's a ton of talent in this game and whomever wins should be able to give UC Irvine some fits. Fullerton has gone over in four of their last six games as their defense has been rather leaky. Fullerton wants to play faster while UCSB goes slower. They've scored 70 or more in four straight and seven of their last eight. They have won six of their last seven contests as well. I think this one is an over. |
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03-15-19 | Fresno State v. Utah State OVER 145 | 60-85 | Push | 0 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
Utah State and Fresno State have played two high scoring games this season. The scores were 82-81 and 78-77 with the road team winning each game. The Bulldogs are averaging over 80 points per contest over their last six games or so while the defense is playing pretty well as well. Utah State is pretty much the same although they are coming off a really struggling effort against New Mexico whom they were favored to beat. Sam Merrill vs. Fresno's various scorers are something to look forward to. I think this one is played with some pace and I think the over is in play here. |
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03-15-19 | UAB +5 v. Old Dominion | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
UAB has won three straight since a brief two game losing streak. One of those three wins came against today's opponent ODU 64-50 at home back on March 9th. The Blazers have a pretty good offense and a potentially good defense. These two played in February in Birmingham with UAB blowing a 1st half lead on their way to a 70-59 loss to the Monarchs. ODU has lost two of their last three and needed a late three to beat Louisiana Tech. The Monarchs offense is pretty putrid outside of Stith and Caver. Going back even further, they haven't covered in five straight and seven of their last nine. They are another team that struggles at the free throw line. Give me the underdog here. |
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03-15-19 | Rhode Island +8 v. VCU | 75-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
It's a battle of the Rams on Friday in Brooklyn. First off, VCU is the hottest team in the conference and they've split with Rhody this season. URI has three of the top 10 players in the conference in Russell, Dowtin and Langevine and they are finally playing like it winning five straight contests. One of those wins was at Dayton. VCU beat URI at home 76-42 in a game where the Rams didn't even show up. I think that'll play in their minds as well as VCU potentially struggling in new surroundings. URI beat VCU 71-65 at home back in January because they pounded the glass and forced 19 turnovers. This is a lot of points. VCU could win the game, but man, it's going to be a battle. Last year this was the same situation but flipped with URI being the 1 and VCU being the 8-9 game winner. Rhody won that one 76-67. I like the underdog plus the points. |
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03-14-19 | Marshall +3.5 v. Southern Miss | 73-82 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Marshall has won six in a row entering this matchup with Southern Miss. The Thundering Herd were expected to be better before the season and they are finally playing like it. They are playing a little bit better defense but the likes of Jon Elmore is shooting a lot better. The offense has scored 80 points or more in five of their six wins during this streak. Now, the rough part is that they lost by 50 at Southern Miss back on January 26th. Southern Miss has won two straight after losing two in a row. I just don't have as much confidence in them as I do Marshall. The Thundering Herd also have a game under their belt at the tournament site which I think will help them early on. Give me the hot underdog. |
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03-14-19 | North Texas v. Western Kentucky -146 | 51-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
WKU has won seven of their last 10 as they take on North Texas in this game. Their last meeting was back on February 9th in Texas with WKU winning 62-59 in a game that saw a lot of defense and very little scoring. The Toppers have the talent edge in this one, but they are prone to being a little underwhelming and unfocused. North Texas has lost seven of their last eight and are coming off a 71-57 win over FIU. This team lost as a favorite against Marshall, FAU, FIU and FAU again. They just don't score enough despite playing pretty good defense. Give me the favorite in this one. |
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03-14-19 | UC Riverside v. Cal-Irvine -14.5 | 44-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
UC Irvine has not lost in almost two months and they've picked up seven straight double digit victories as the Anteaters continue to roll. This is one of the deeper teams in the country and they play fantastic defense for the most part. They've beaten UC Riverside 68-47 and 82-64 in two meetings with them. Over that seven game double digit win streak, Irvine shot 45% from the court or better. Riverside has lost five of their last six with three of those losses being by double digits. They just don't have enough talent and don't play very good defense. I really think this is a big mismatch and Irvine will win rather easily. |
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03-14-19 | Richmond +5.5 v. St. Louis | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
The Spiders played the worst game possible and picked up a win over Fordham. Sometimes that's enough to help a team in a conference tournament setting get comfortable the next night. They also had over 24 hours to prepare after the win. Richmond beat St. Louis on the road in a headscratcher earlier in the year. The Billikens have lost three of their last five with the wins coming at home against Duquesne and Mason. They are an ugly bunch when it comes to offense and they aren't great at free throws either. I think that's a factor in a new surrounding like Brooklyn. SLU is bigger and stronger and fresher, but I like the intangibles with Richmond having played a game already. I think the Spiders can keep things close. |
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03-14-19 | South Alabama v. UL - Lafayette -145 | 70-69 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
South Alabama takes on Louisiana on Thursday. The Jaguars have won three of their last four, but for the most part it's been at home and against teams they should beat. The Jags lost by four at Lafayette over two months ago 88-84. The Ragin Cajuns have won three of four and six of their last eight as the offense continues to roll. JaKeenan Gant and Marcus Stroman are a pretty solid duo to back with several others who can contribute as well. I just think Lafayette is the better team and they'll win this one. |
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03-14-19 | Tulane v. Memphis OVER 154 | 68-83 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Memphis is home for the AAC tournament and they get Tulane in the first game. The last time these two played in Tennessee it was a 102-76 win for the home team. These two played a closer game in New Orleans with the Tigers winning 83-79. They were basically able to get whatever they wanted in both games and were able to do some work on the boards. Outside of their game against Tulsa last time out, Memphis has been awesome offensively at home scoring 81, 102, 78, 64 and 77 the past few games there. The 64 came against Cincy who doesn't want to run at all. Tulane has gone over in three straight and five of their last six overall. Their offense has improved a bit, but the defense is really bad. On the road they've allowed 80, 72, 102, 77, 66, 85 and 87. To me, this one gets played at a nice pace and it goes over the total. |
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03-14-19 | Virginia Tech v. Florida State +1 | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
I am stunned that Virginia Tech is favored over Florida State considering how awful of a matchup this is for them. Last time out, they went out to a huge lead, but blew it eventually going to overtime and failing to cover. FSU's size is going to be an issue for Tech who can only match it with PJ Horne and Kerry Blackshear. Tech doesn't have the depth that FSU has. Their advantage comes in coaching with Buzz Williams over Leonard Hamilton. After having a relatively easy time with Miami, I don't see endurance being an issue. I just think this is a bad matchup for the Hokies. |
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03-13-19 | Vanderbilt v. Texas A&M -3 | 52-69 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
Texas A&M has lost three of their last four with the win coming over Vanderbilt at home back on March 2nd 64-57. Ugly game of sorts as both teams couldn't shoot, but the Aggies made stops when they had to. This team has won five of their last nine, but the talk is that Billy Kennedy is being let go so maybe there will be some motivation there to win for the coach. Vandy just completed a winless SEC and some of the results have been ugly. The Commodores have scored 65 or less in eight straight games and have not gotten to 70 since January 23rd when they put up 83 on Tennessee in a loss. This team's defense has been brutal and their offense even worse. I feel like this is a squad ready for the offseason. |
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03-13-19 | Pittsburgh +7 v. Syracuse | 59-73 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Syracuse has lost four of five and five of their last seven games. The Orange have struggled terribly on offense and have blown second half leads in a bunch of games as of late. They won 65-56 at Pittsburgh in a game that saw the Panthers shoot very poorly, but once again Syracuse's offense struggled. The Cuse beat Pitt 74-63 at home back on January 19th in another game that saw very little O from Pitt. The Orange have had a terrible time in the ACC tourney in their short history in the conference and there's nothing that tells me they are just going to discover offense and blow anyone out. I think this one is a tight game. |
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03-13-19 | San Jose State v. Air Force OVER 143 | 56-87 | Push | 0 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
Air Force and San Jose State are looking for some momentum after rough finishes to their season. The Falcons have lost two straight 80-52 to Boise State and 90-79 to Nevada. They beat the Spartans twice this year 82-68 at home and 73-71 on the road. Air Force's offense usually works against the lower teams in this conference. They put up 80 and 81 on Wyoming earlier this year. San Jose State plays no defense giving up 121, 81, 84, 82, 82 and 91 over their last six games. They've gone over in nine of their last 12 games with the 10th one being a push. The worry for this over is that the offense doesn't work and Air Force wins a lower scoring game. Give me the over in this one. |
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03-13-19 | Arizona v. USC +1 | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
It's two teams having disappointing years as Arizona takes on USC. The Trojans have lost four straight with three of those coming on the road and three of those being as an underdog. They rely on Bennie Boatwright and some of the other talented frontcourt guys. It's worth watching what Kevin Porter Jr's status is as he played against Colorado, but didn't practice on Monday. I still think this is one of those teams that can get it together and make a run. Arizona has lost two in a row and is coming off a horrible 2nd half effort against rival Arizona State at home. This came after they were embarrassed in a 26 point loss at Oregon. I just think this is a team ready for the offseason and Sean Miller knows that he's very short on time in Tucson. I think the Trojans gets the win. |
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03-13-19 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech OVER 137 | 56-71 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
It's a third meeting between Miami and Virginia Tech on Wednesday afternoon. These two just played five days ago with the Hokies winning at home 84-70 in a game that saw Tech hit 14 of their 26 three pointers and hold the Canes to just six of those. They also won 82-70 down in Coral Gables in a contest that saw them shoot nearly 60% from the court. Miami's not a deep team and they don't play a ton of defense either. They've gone over in three straight and seven of their last nine as the offense has shown flashes, but the defense has been brutal. Ideally they want to play a slower tempo, but their two matchups with VT have produced some quicker games. Tech has gone over in three straight and seven of their last nine as well. Their defense has been a little leaky as of late, but their offense has potential to go off as well. I have a little worry about them struggling early in the new surroundings, but I don't think it'll last long. Give me the over in this one. |
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03-12-19 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College +100 | 80-70 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
BC has lost five of their last six entering this one against Pittsburgh. These two played just once in the regular season with the Eagles winning 66-57 at home. They held the Panthers to just 29% shooting in that one. It's a bummer that Wynston Tabbs won't be able to play in this one, but it looks like Nik Popovic will be available. BC is nothing special, but when you've got a guy like Ky Bowman on the court, then you are able to win this coin toss games. Pittsburgh had a long losing streak end last time out as they beat Notre Dame at home 56-53. The offense was dreadful but Notre Dame's was worse. Pittsburgh has been through a long season and while they've been competitive at times, they've also struggled mightily. I just think Bowman is a difference maker so they win and move on. |
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03-11-19 | College of Charleston +3.5 v. Northeastern | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
I'll take a chance with the host school Charleston as they are a slight underdog to Northeastern. The home team won each of their matchups during the regular season with the Huskies winning 69-60 and Charleston winning 88-79. The common thread in both games is that Northeastern shot the ball well, but had a bit of a turnover issue. Charleston's duo of Grant Riller and Jarrell Brantley are one of the best in the conference. These two teams played last year in the CAA tourney with Charleston winning 83-76. Northeastern enters this one having won five straight contests. Their defense has been the calling card with the offense doing work as well. The biggest issue with the host school is their defense, but they've clamped down on their last two opponents. Granted, neither are as good as the Huskies, but I'll take the points with arguably the better team. |
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03-11-19 | Ball State v. Eastern Michigan -3 | 61-43 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
EMU goes for the threepeat against Ball State on Monday night. The Cardinals have lost two in a row and five of their last six. The once potent offense just hasn't been there as they've scored less then 70 in six of their last seven. I'm not quite sure what is wrong with Ball State, but they have had problems on the road. They have road wins at CMU, WMU and NIU this season but outside of that, they've been pretty poor away from home. EMU has won six of their last nine and has covered six games as well. The Eagles are coming off a six point road loss at Toledo, but they've been good at home. The team beat Ball State 68-61 just about six days ago in a game that saw them clamp down on the BSU offense. EMU's defense has been fantastic and the offense is playing like we thought it would. I had them six days ago and I'll take them once again. |
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03-10-19 | Drexel v. College of Charleston OVER 149 | 61-73 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Drexel and Charleston play in the CAA tournament and have split their two meetings this season with each team winning on the road. The Dragons beat the Cougars 79-78 back in January but lost at home 86-84. In both games Charleston started fast scoring 49 and 46 in the first half. With Grant Riller and Jarrell Brantley, they have arguably two of the best players in the conference. They have gone over in six of their last seven as the offense went through a stretch where they were regularly putting up over 80 points. The team's defense also struggled during that time which could be an issue against an intriguing Drexel team. The Dragons have lost five of their last six and it's because the defense has been awful and the offense has gotten a little stale. They've scored less then 70 in six of their last nine. I think this one is an over though especially since it'll be a home game for Charleston. |
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03-10-19 | SMU v. South Florida -122 | 77-71 | Loss | -122 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
SMU has lost four straight and nine of their last 10. The team's last win came at home against UConn, but they've had some issues on the road. They are coming off an 11 point loss at Houston and continued their theme of no defense away from home. They allowed 90 at Houston, 95 at UCF and 82 at Temple. Since a five game win streak, USF has lost five of their last six although two of those were by two points or less. They are coming off a 75-70 win at Tulane. USF plays decent defense and gets to the line often. They are looking to recapture what they had a little bit earlier in the year. The Bulls have a win at SMU already this season 67-66 back on February 7th. I think they can win this one once again on Sunday afternoon in sunny Florida. |
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03-10-19 | East Tennessee State v. Wofford OVER 141 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Two of the better teams in the SoCon play as Wofford takes on ETSU. These two played two games during the regular season with Wofford winning 78-76 on the road and 79-62 at home. Both offenses are very capable of making things happen in this one. The Terriers averaged 84.1 points per game in conference shooting over 50% from the court. They play good defense, but it's not infallible. ETSU averaged 79 points per game in conference while their opponents scored over 70. Wofford easily dispatched VMI in their first game of the tourney. ETSU has gone over in 13 of their 19 conference games. I think this one is tight and higher scoring. The pace will be conducive to plenty of points being scored. |
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03-09-19 | Air Force +9.5 v. Boise State | 52-80 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
Boise State is locked into their seed in the Mountain West tourney and has lost six straight contests including two of them at home against Colorado State and Utah State. This team is not playing any defense and the few times that they do, they don't actually score. Their only win since the start of February came against San Jose State and everyone is beating them. Air Force held serve at home 74-60 against the Broncos as they flashed some defense and shot over 50% from the field. The Falcons have won three of their last four and are coming off a solid effort in a 90-79 loss at home to Nevada. This team has actually won two road games as of late at Wyoming and Fresno State. This is a rather large number and I think the Falcons can cover it. They had a stretch in January where they covered four straight and five of six. Give me the road team to make things close. |
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03-09-19 | Western Illinois v. South Dakota State -15 | 79-76 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Western Illinois has lost two straight and seven of their last eight overall as they look to close out their season. They get the Jackrabbits who will essentially have the homecourt advantage in South Dakota. This team has two wins in this series by scores of 86-66 and 100-58. WIU has five straight losses by double digits and it's because they can't score and they don't stop anyone on defense. The team did have a couple of close losses at home, but this will not feel like home. South Dakota State has Mike Daum and a lot more talent then their opponents in this conference most nights. I think they win this one rather easily. |
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03-09-19 | Northern Iowa +2 v. Drake | 60-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
It's a quick turnaround for Drake who may not have Nick McGlynn out there and he's the leading scorer and rebounder. UNI is really hot right now as they have gotten back to their stingy defense that they've been known for in the past. These two teams each won on their own homecourt earlier in the regular season. The Bulldogs were able to get around the injury on Friday night, but even if McGlynn plays, he clearly won't be 100%. I think in a quick turnaround situation like this, it's hard to change a ton of things without your leading scorer. Keep your eyes on the twitter wire to see if McGlynn plays or not. Right now I'll take the underdog. |
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03-09-19 | Samford v. NC-Greensboro OVER 143 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Samford snapped their four game losing streak in round one of the tourney beating the Citadel 100-71. This is a Bulldogs team that has some offensive talent, but their lack of defense has been a killer. Over that losing skid, they gave up 85, 90, 87 and 65 points to some of the better squads in the league. These two met twice with UNCG winning 83-75 and 75-67. This is a Samford team that wants to get up and down and has some talent to execute that. The Spartans have won four straight after a brief two game losing streak. UNCG has a lot of veteran talent and a group that plays some good defense for the most part. They did allow 76 to lowly Western Carolina, 81 to Mercer and 96 at the Citadel. I think this one is played with a little bit of pace and I think that it goes over the total. |
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03-09-19 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas-Little Rock OVER 145.5 | 79-62 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
UL Monroe has lost two straight and four of their last six entering this one. They beat Little Rock at home 97-84 way back on January 3rd in a game that saw both teams shoot over 55% from the court. This is a Warhawks team who prefers the game a little slower but has allowed 75 points or more in three of four and nine of their last 11 overall. Little Rock is a team that has a capable offense but is coming off a recent stretch of four straight where they didn't crack 70 points. Their problems come on the defensive end from time to time. At home they allowed 84 to Arkansas State, 77 to App State, 72 to Coastal Carolina and 77 to Lafayette. I think there's a chance they could win this game and I think they push the pace to do so. |
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03-09-19 | Old Dominion -120 v. UAB | 50-64 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Normally I don't take road teams, but there's something about this one that I like. ODU won in UAB back on February 7th 70-59 in a game that saw them come back in the second half. The Monarchs laid a massive egg last time out losing 59-52 at home to Southern Miss as a six point favorite. I think this got this team to focus a bit. Yes, they have nothing to play for with everything locked up, but they need some momentum to get them into their tourney next week. This team has won at UTSA, UAB, UTEP, Charlotte and Middle Tennesee among others. UAB has lost two straight and six of their last nine. The Blazers have lost four straight at home in conference and their defense has been bad there somewhat. They lost to Charlotte there as a 10.5 point favorite awhile ago. I think we get a really good Monarch effort and an outright win. |
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03-09-19 | Troy State v. Coastal Carolina -11 | 74-67 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
The Chanticleers have won two straight and three of their last four after a four game losing streak. Coastal Carolina has been very hot and cold with five straight wins in the middle of January to early February. They have an awesome balance led by Zac Cuthbertson who puts up nearly a double-double per contest. They've put up 92 and 97 the last two games and scored 95 at home against Georgia State. This team has a 13 point win at Troy back on January 3rd shooting over 50% from the court. They have five double digit home victories in conference. Troy has lost six straight and 10 of their last 11. The Trojans have lost their last few games by 8, 13, 14, 16, 25 and 14. Ever since losing Jordon Varnado to suspension, this team has taken a massive nosedive. I think Coastal keeps that going and wins easily on Saturday. |
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03-08-19 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Toledo | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
The Eagles have won six of their last eight as they travel to Toledo. One of those wins came over the Rockets at home 76-69 back on February 19th. In that one they made shots when they had to and made just enough stops. EMU has road wins at NIU, Ohio, Western Michigan and Ball State. I think more was expected from this team and now they are finally realizing their potential. Toledo has won four in a row and nine of their last 11. The Rockets are very tough at home although they did beat NIU by only three and Central Michigan by only 4. If EMU can limit their explosiveness, they can certainly keep this one close. Last year Toledo won by 1 in the tourney, lost by 2 at home to EMU and by six on the road. I think this is a tough matchup for the home team. |
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03-08-19 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan OVER 151.5 | 82-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Western Michigan has gone over in nine of their 13 home games where they are better as an offense. This team is no good by any stretch, but they do have some talent led by the Dugan kid on the inside. The Broncos have allowed 79 to Miami-Ohio, 82 to Kent State, 74 to NIU, 85 to Bowling Green and 93 to Eastern Michigan at home. Their offense has gone dry as of late which is a worry, but CMU's defense isn't exactly stellar either. The Chips are coming off a three point loss at home to NIU. They have had a little bit of a struggle at times on the road but their defense has allowed 79 at Bowling Green, 90 at Buffalo and 76 at Toledo. I think this one is played with some pace and I think it goes over the total. |
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03-08-19 | Akron v. Kent State -2 | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Kent State has lost three of their last five as they host Akron on Friday night. The Golden Flashes have hit the rough part of their schedule with four of five and seven of their last 10 away from home. This is a real solid home team who has only lost to Liberty, Bowling Green and Buffalo there. Jaylin Walker is a primetime scorer and he's got help from several other options. This team needs to tighten up defensively, because things will not come easily against Akron's D. They lost at Akron 72-53 a month ago in a contest that saw them struggle to shoot. Akron has lost five of their last seven and has won just once away from home at lowly Ohio. They fell by 13 at Buffalo, by 4 at Bowling Green and by 11 at Toledo. The Zips offense has struggled terribly at times especially away from home. This is a tight number because they cover a lot of games as of late. Still, I think Kent flexes their muscles and wins this one. |
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03-07-19 | Pacific v. Pepperdine | 53-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
I'll take Pepperdine in their game against Pacific on Thursday. These two teams played in Pepperdine just a few days ago with Pacific getting the road win 73-72. Pacific shot the ball for a rare time this season. They've shot better then 40% just twice over their last six games. This squad scored 32 at home against St. Mary's and 56 against Loyola Marymount. Even without Kameron Edwards, Pepperdine still has Colbey Ross, Eric Cooper Jr and Kessler Edwards along with a couple of other solid options. They have lost four of their last five and one can point to a lack of defense which is the reason why. Pacific won the home matchup between the two 66-59 back on February 2nd. I'll use the cliche it's hard to beat a team three times in one season, but I also think that Pepperdine is the better team so give me them. |
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03-07-19 | NJIT v. Lipscomb OVER 145.5 | 55-78 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
NJIT is on the road once again and for the fourth time in their last five as they take on Lipscomb. These two played at Lipscomb back on February 25th with the home team winning 81-77. The Highlanders have had four different leading scorers in four straight contests. They are coming off an 83-78 win at Florida Gulf Coast. I'm a little concerned about them being road weary and think the letdown occurs on defense. This team also has played high scoring games at North Florida (76-72) and at Jacksonville (77-73). Lipscomb has won three straight and four of their last five as the team's offense has been humming. They've scored 86, 87 and 81 in their last three games and have been held less then 75 just twice the last month and a half and neither of those games were home. I think we see plenty of points in this one. |
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03-07-19 | Temple v. Connecticut -1.5 | 78-71 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
The records may look different, but the team with the worse one is the one i'm looking at on Thursday. It's been a rough year for UConn sitting at 14-15, having lost six of their last seven contests. They are coming off a tough two point win at home over USF in front of a solid crowd and a good homecourt advantage. The Huskies are close to putting it together with a two point loss at Wichita and a four point home loss to Cincy. This team lost 81-63 at Temple in a game where they basically allowed the Owls to do whatever they wanted. Yes, Jalen Adams is out but Alterique Gilbert is back and he's been playing well. Temple is a tough team to figure. They have road wins at Wichita State and South Florida, but also played poorly in road losses to Tulsa and Memphis. Alston and Rose are the best backcourt in the AAC, but they are really inconsistent. This team sleepwalked through an 80-69 win at home against Tulane. They also host UCF this weekend. I just don't love Temple right now despite them being in the mix for an NCAA Tourney bid. |
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03-06-19 | Oregon v. Washington State OVER 142 | 72-61 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Wazzu has lost three straight and four of their last seven entering this one. The Cougars are led by Robert Franks who is an underappreciated scorer. This team plays a lot better at home where they've scored 70 or more in four straight and five of their last seven in conference. Their defense has been an issue though as they've allowed 70 or more in five straight and 11 of their last 12. This team has some high totals which is why they don't hit the over as much as they should. Oregon's offense isn't great, but they've scored 70 or more in three straight. They've definitely laid some eggs on the road scoring only 49 at USC and 57 at Oregon State, but I think they don't do that in Pullman. These two played in Eugene back on January 27th with the Ducks winning 78-58. Both teams shot over 50% from the court. I think we should see plenty of points and the over in this one. |
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03-06-19 | Texas-San Antonio +6 v. Western Kentucky | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
UTSA returns to Western Kentucky where they lost 96-88 in overtime to the Hilltoppers. Jhivvan Jackson had a monster game that should have been won outright by the road team, but they folded down the stretch in regulation and WKU banked in a couple of threes. UTSA saw their three game losing streak snapped last time out in their 6 point win over UAB. This team has lost by 5 at La Tech, by 7 at Southern Miss, by 8 at WKU and by 3 at MTSU. They also have a road win at Marshall as well. The Toppers are the more talented team, but they are prone to lapses where they struggle with lesser talent. This team has played seven straight single digit games with that stretch going even farther back in their schedule. I think they win this one, but the Roadrunners can keep it close. |
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03-06-19 | Richmond +2 v. Massachusetts | 79-87 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
It's been a long year for UMass as they host Richmond. The team has lost four of their last five and continue to deal with plenty of injuries. The Minutemen will be without Curtis Cobb and Khalea Turner-Morris and potentially Samba Diallo as well. The good news is that it looks like Luwane Pipkins will play but who knows how effective he will be with the hamstring injury. They have lost to Dayton, Fordham, St. Bonaventure, George Mason and La Salle at home in conference. Richmond has lost two straight, but before then they had won five of seven contests. This team has road wins at La Salle, St. Louis and GW this season and have one of the better offenses when they get things going. This team has shot 55% or more four times since January 30th. They should be able to get whatever they want offensively. I think the Spiders are the better team and although that's been no guarantee for them this season, I think they pull out the win here. |
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03-06-19 | Richmond v. Massachusetts OVER 141 | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
UMass and Richmond aren't exactly great on defense. The Spiders have an efficient offense that should be able to get whatever they want. If Luwane Pipkins plays, which it looks like he will, he will spark the offense that has laid some eggs at times. In a dead atmosphere at the Mullins Center, I think there will be plenty of scoring. |
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03-05-19 | Utah State v. Colorado State OVER 144 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
Utah State has won six straight and is coming off the highly emotional 81-76 win over Nevada. The Aggies offense has scored 70 points or more in every game during this win streak with two of those going over and two others pushing. The Aggies defense has been not as good on the road allowing 71 at Boise State, 68 at San Diego State, 81 at Fresno State and 72 at Nevada. They've only lost three games in conference with two of those on the road. These two teams played a 87-72 game in Utah back on January 19th. Colorado State has won three of their last four and have been pretty good offensively at home against some opponents. They put up 83 on Wyoming, 82 on Nevada, 74 on Fresno State and 91 on New Mexico. There's some talent on this team, but there's also a lack of defense on this team. I just don't think we'll get a focused effort from the Aggies and the letdown will occur on defense. Give me the over. |
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03-05-19 | Virginia Tech v. Florida State -4 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a bad matchup for Virginia Tech who continues to be without Justin Robinson. Buzz Williams has done great things with the lineup without him and the team has had a week to soak up the win over Duke. Tech's two road wins without Robinson came at Notre Dame and Pittsburgh. They lost at Clemson 59-51 without him as well. Kerry Blackshear is going to find it hard to stay out of foul trouble with so many bigs to worry about for FSU. Florida State has won 10 of their last 11 entering this one. They have so much size and so much depth that it will be hard for Tech to keep up I think. FSU won in Blacksburg last year 91-82, out-rebounding them by 12 and shooting around 53% in the win. It's just a bad matchup stylistically especially without Robinson. |
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03-05-19 | Western Michigan v. Toledo OVER 143 | 57-76 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Toledo hosts Western Michigan on Tuesday night. The Broncos have lost three straight after a brief stretch of two wins in three contests. Their defense on the road has been leaky to say the least especially in conference where they've allowed 70, 77, 79, 85, 81, 79 and 88. The team's offense definitely could improve but there's some decent talent there. They did manage to score 77 at home in an 85-77 loss to the Rockets back on January 12th. Toledo's offense has scored 80 or more in three of their last five. They do play a little bit better defense at home so that's a concern, but they've also gone over in four of their last six overall. I can see the Rockets pouring it on as they continue to look for victories. This is a pretty nice mismatch. Give me the over. |
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03-05-19 | Northern Illinois v. Central Michigan -4 | 89-86 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
NIU has lost seven of their last eight entering this one against Central Michigan. The Huskies haven't won a conference road game since January. Their offense has been very inconsistent as you can see in early February. They alternated scoring efforts of 55, 71, 49, 74, 67, 54 in consecutive games last month. The Chips have won four of their last five and are coming off a tough 12 point home loss to Toledo. CMU's offense is very explosive and Shawn Roundtree is back. They've been a covering machine failing to do so just twice since January 19th. I'm not quite understanding this line because CMU is that much better. They won by nine at NIU back on January 15th so this line is a bit odd. I'll take the bait though and will back the home team. |
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03-04-19 | NJIT v. Florida Gulf Coast -125 | 83-78 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
NJIT and Florida Gulf Coast have split their two meetings with each team winning at home. The Highlanders took their home contest 66-54 while Dunk City won 57-55. NJIT has lost six of their last eight and have struggled at times on the road this season. FGCU is tightening up on the long range defense with just one of their last seven opponents shooting better then 32% from long range. The Eagles have won six of their last eight with the losses being on the road at Liberty and Stetson. They have beaten Lipscomb at home already this season and are in a good place offensively. They also have had four different leading scorers over the last month or so. I think the home team is worth a look here at this tight number. |
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03-03-19 | Marshall +5.5 v. North Texas | 85-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Two teams going in different directions play on Sunday as North Texas hosts Marshall. Marshall lost this game just under a month ago 78-51 in a game that saw them stymied from the floor and getting crushed on the boards by 25. Since then, the Mean Green have lost five in a row failing to eclipse 60 points on offense in any of those games. They were also favored in four of those contests and just weren't able to do much. Yes, they are getting players back in the lineup, but is that helping them if they aren't quite 100%. Marshall has won two straight since a four game losing streak including an 11 point victory at Louisiana Tech. The extra time off has helped them get healthy and get some time to rest their legs. They have regained some offensive form putting up 98 in a win over MTSU and 90 in a victory in Ruston. I think there's some value with the road team in this one. |
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03-03-19 | Wichita State v. SMU OVER 140 | 67-55 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
The Shockers have won six of their last eight and have gone over in four of those over that span with another being a push. The reason for that is an improved offense and a defense that has struggled at times to slow down the opponent. These two teams played an 85-83 game at Wichita back in January in which both teams shot the ball very well from long range. SMU has lost six of their last seven because they are playing next to no defense and have struggled a bit offensively. They allowed 95 at UCF, 82 at Temple, 85 at Wichita and 75 at home to Tulane. The over has hit in six of their last eight. I think this number is a little low for a game that will be played with some pace. |
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03-02-19 | San Jose State v. San Diego State -20 | 56-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
San Jose State saw a long losing streak get snapped last time out as they beat New Mexico 89-82 at home as a 10.5 point underdog. On the road, the Spartans are a different story. They've lost by 14 at Air Force, by 32 at New Mexico, by 48 at Boise State, by 30 at Utah State, by 13 at Wyoming, by 38 at UNLV and by 39 at Nevada in conference. This team plays no defense allowing 90 or more six times this season. San Diego State is coming off a 16 point loss at Utah State. They've been very good at home this season for the most part and have beaten up the bad teams that have come there. The Aztecs have a 30 point win over Wyoming. There's some concern they could be looking ahead to Fresno State next, but I think even with an unfocused effort, there will be a rout. |
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03-02-19 | Utah v. Colorado OVER 144.5 | 63-71 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
It's meeting #2 between Colorado and Utah on Saturday in Colorado. These two played in Utah about a month and a half ago with the Utes winning 78-69. It was a huge blowout at halftime with the home team winning 41-19. Neither team shot all that well from long range which I think will benefit us in this one. At home Colorado averages 80.3 points per game while shooting nearly 50% from the court. Their defense holds opponents to just under 70. Utah's defense has disappeared as they've allowed over 80 points per contest over their last five games and 77 points per contest on the road. This team should be able to score themselves with their various weapons. They've gone over in 17 of their 27 lined contests. I think this one will as well. |
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03-02-19 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Oakland OVER 153 | 63-74 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
There figures to be plenty of points as Oakland hosts IUPUI. Oakland has gone over in three straight after a long stretch of unders for the Grizzlies. Their last three games were 86-72, 95-75 and 89-73 wins. Oakland's been able to put up some points at home this season scoring 86, 95, 83, 74, 90 over their last five in-conference. IUPUI doesn't play good defense especially on the road where they've allowed 87, 89 and 75 in their last three contests away from home. This team has gone over in five of their last eight overall. I think there will be some good pace in this one and we'll see plenty of points. |
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03-02-19 | Ohio State v. Purdue -12 | 51-86 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Purdue has won four straight since the loss at Maryland last month. The Boilermakers are steamrolling teams at home with wins of 17, 12, 19, 10, 10, 15 and 35 in their last seven conference games. The team has size, speed, scoring and defense which should be a deadly competition. Ohio State has lost three of their last five and will be without Kaleb Wesson who got suspended for this one. Wesson is the team's leading scorer and who knows how much this will affect the roster. They lost by 10 at Maryland, by 18 at Michigan State, by 16 at Michigan and by 10 at Iowa. They lost 79-67 at home to Purdue in a game that saw Wesson do very little. This one should be ugly for the road team. |
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03-02-19 | Wofford v. Samford OVER 147 | 85-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This one should see plenty of points on Saturday as Samford looks to extend their Saturday over streak. These two teams played a tremendous game at Wofford 107-106 in which Samford shot 66.7% and lost while Wofford checked in at 55.4% and won. Samford has gone over in four of five and eight of their last 11. They've got a pretty good offense and a mighty leaky defense that allows over 70 pretty regularly to teams who have good offenses. Wofford is explosive and has to continue to win games by healthy margins so they can look good for the committee. This one should see plenty of points. |
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03-02-19 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Georgia State -9.5 | 70-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
The Panthers have won four of five and six of their last nine overall entering this one against Little Rock. Georgia State has taken care of business at home in conference winning by 16, 9, 14, 9, 6, 1 and 13. They do have a home loss to Texas State, but Little Rock isn't near them in terms of talent. This offense is smoking hot right now as they have five double digit scorers led by D'Marcus Simonds. Little Rock has treated me well this season, but they've lost eight of their last 11. They have fallen by 15 at Georgia Southern, by 7 at Arkansas State, by 9 at Arlington and by 18 at Texas State with two other big losses on the road. UALR plays very little defense and lost by 9 and 30 in their two meetings with the Panthers in 2018. I think the home team gets the easy win. |
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